Simulation and Optimizing Groundwater Investigations, Conceptual Design Analysis, Model Calibration and Remedial Design Using Parallel Numerical Methods: Theory and Application - 16578
Optimization of environmental restoration efforts at complex groundwater sites involves the development of a conceptual and often numerical flow and transport models. Typically, a limited number of simulations are done to assess the impact of parameter uncertainty, to evaluate remedial alternatives and develop a remedy, or to modify an existing remedy. A limited number of simulations are performed because each simulation can take upwards of several hours per simulation and until now the ability to conduct the 100's to 1000's of simulations needed to derive an optimal remedy was beyond the reach of the everyday practitioner. HGL has developed and implemented new parallel simulation and optimization methods in their software and has successfully deployed applications on high performance Cloud-based computing platforms. This advancement removes the impediment of burdensome and unpredictable runtime requirements these types of projects have typically exhibited using heuristic trial-and-error or even automated serial computation approaches. A parallel numerical solver has been added to the subsurface flow and transport simulator MODFLOW-SURFACT{sup TM} and has demonstrated reductions in solution time by as much as a factor of 9.8. This is accomplished by distributing the numerical computations of every time step over multiple processors. The integrated parallel simulation and optimization method uses the breadth and depth search approach; iteratively producing sets of tens or 100's of candidate solutions that are evaluated concurrently instead sequentially (i.e. one model evaluation at a time). Solutions within 80-100% of the globally optimal solution are regularly found expending only 5-10% of the usual computational effort using this new parallel optimization method (reducing computation effort by 10 to 20 times). Distributing optimal search runs across multiple processors additionally reduces calendar time to solutions. Practitioners evaluating multiple conceptual site models, model calibration by auto-calibration methods and remedial design by heuristics can enjoy significant reductions in model solution time by using the parallel numerical matrix solver in the physics-based simulator. Combining investigation and design analysis with breadth and depth parallel optimization methods, projects at the fringe of practical optimization, along with projects that were beyond the reach of formal optimization methods are now wholly feasible and tractable optimization problems. (authors)