SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “rock”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 91 records · Page 5

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2025

Evolving physical and mechanical rock properties during exposure at Earth's surface

Rocks at Earth's surface experience progressive damage due to exposure to environmental conditions. Although environmental damage to rocks is recognized as being time-dependent, our quantitative understanding of its effects on physical and mechanical properties remains limited by field and laboratory studies constrained to short timescales. In this study, we aim to rigorously quantify how these properties evolve under longer natural environmental exposure spanning from the Holocene to the late Pleistocene. We conducted a ‘time series’ analysis of key physical and mechanical rock properties using multiple interior samples from 10 cogenetic granitoid boulders exposed for different amounts of time at two sites in Eastern California, USA. We find that over the late Pleistocene (~30 ka), rocks exhibit porosity increases of 40 ± 4 % and seismic velocity decreases of 7 ± 1 % at both sites. Similarly, over the same time period, rock tensile and compressive strengths declined by an average of 11 ± 4 %, and rock permeability increased on average by 104 ± 50 %. Microscopic analysis of thin sections of the same rocks indicates that microfracture density and intensity also progressively increased over the same timescales. These results suggest that time-dependent fracture propagation due to environmental exposure is likely a central contributor to the observed changes in rock properties. This study provides quantitative documentation that pronounced changes in the physical and mechanical properties of rock progressively occur within thousands of years of exposure.

Critical zone↗

DOE OSTI2020

Mineral reaction kinetics constrain the length scale of rock matrix diffusion

Mass transport by aqueous fluids is a dynamic process in shallow crustal systems, redistributing nutrients as well as contaminants. Rock matrix diffusion into fractures (void space) within crystalline rock has been postulated to play an important role in the transient storage of solutes. The reacted volume of host rock involved, however, will be controlled by fluid-rock reactions. Here we present the results of a study which focusses on defining the length scale over which rock matrix diffusion operates within crystalline rock over timescales that are relevant to safety assessment of radioactive and other long-lived wastes. Through detailed chemical and structural analysis of natural specimens sampled at depth from an active system (Toki Granite, Japan), we show that, contrary to commonly proposed models, the length scale of rock matrix diffusion may be extremely small, on the order of centimetres, even over timescales of millions of years. This implies that in many cases the importance of rock matrix diffusion will be minimal. Additional analyses of a contrasting crystalline rock system (Carnmenellis Granite, UK) corroborate these results.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Phytoremediation potential of Nerium oleander and Salix alba for heavy metal removal in rock-amended soils: a natural and cost-effective approach

Enhanced weathering (EW) through the application of ground rock is a competitive carbon removal strategy. Adoption of this technology at a meaningful scale requires a systematic assessment of its long-term feasibility, especially with regard to soil quality from the application of rock amendments that contain varying levels of heavy metal (loid)s (HM) such as Cu, Ni, Cr, Co, and Pb. The potential accumulation of these metal (loid)s could be an unintended consequence of repeated large-scale EW applications, necessitating careful evaluation for use in croplands. This study explores the idea of using phytoremediation as a natural, low-cost means of remediating rock-amended soils. Specifically, we examined the ability of Nerium oleander and Salix alba species to remove HM from rock-amended soils in their tissues (i.e., leaves, stems, and roots). In this study, the relative abundance of HM accumulation in hyperaccumulator plants followed the order: Si > Rb > Cu > Sn > Cr > Cd > Pb > Ni > Mo > Co > As > Sb > Se > Cs. Our results indicate that HM accumulation in soils treated with rock were significantly below permissible limits set by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Further, in reasonable amounts, some of these HM serve as essential micronutrients required by plants. In fact, we found increased growth and higher biomass for both plants under rock application than without. We further found a significant uptake of most HM in rock-amended soils planted with S. alba. Comparatively, uptake of certain HM like Ni, Mo, Cs, Pb and Cu was relatively higher in the roots of N. oleander. In contrast to N. oleander, S. alba accumulated higher levels of HM in its stems and leaves than in its roots. Interestingly, 31–35% weathering of metabasalt (applied rock) was observed across plant types over a 5-month period. Overall, we conclude that S. alba has a greater potential for phytoremediation in rock-amended soils, although both plants may be useful in remediating soils with varying levels and types of contamination.

Ibrahim, Naira [Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS (↗

NASA NTRS1973

Rock physics properties of some lunar samples

Linear strains and acoustic velocity data for lunar samples under uniaxial and hydrostatic loading are presented. Elastic properties are presented for 60335,20; 15555,68; 15498,23; and 12063,97. Internal friction data are summarized for a number of artificial lunar glasses with compositions similar to lunar rocks 12009, 12012, 14305, 15021, and 15555. Zero porosity model-rock moduli are calculated for a number of lunar model-rocks, with mineralogies similar to Apollo 12, 14, and 16 rocks. Model-rock calculations indicate that rock types in the troctolitic composition range may provide reasonable modeling of the lunar upper mantle. Model calculations involving pore crack effects are compatible with a strong dependence of rock moduli on pore strain, and therefore of rock velocities on nonhydrostatic loading. The high velocity of rocks under uniaxial loading appears to be compatible with, and may aid in, interpretation of near-surface velocity profiles observed in the active seismic experiment.

Warren, N.↗

NASA NTRS1974

A chemical model for lunar non-mare rocks

Nearly all rocks returned from the moon are readily divided into three broad categories on the basis of their chemical compositions: (1) mare basalts, (2) non-mare rocks of basaltic composition (KREEP, VHA), and (3) anorthositic rocks. Only mare basalts may unambiguously be considered to have original igneous textures and are widely understood to have an igneous origin. Nearly all other lunar rocks have lost their original textures during metamorphic and impact processes. It is shown that for these rocks one must work primarily with chemical data in order to recognize and define rock groups and their possible modes of origin. Non-mare rocks of basaltic composition have chemical compositions consistent with an origin by partial melting of the lunar interior. The simplest origin for rocks of anorthositic chemical composition is the crystallization and removal of ferromagnesian minerals. It is proposed that the rock groups of anorthositic and non-mare basaltic chemical composition could have been generated from a single series of original but not necessarily primitive lunar materials.

Hubbard, N. J.↗

NASA NTRS1977

A chemical model for lunar non-mare rocks

Nearly all rocks returned from the moon are readily divided into three broad categories on the basis of their chemical compositions: (1) mare basalts, (2) non-mare rocks of basaltic composition (KREEP, VHA), and (3) anorthositic rocks. Only mare basalts may unambiguously be considered to have original igneous textures and are widely understood to have an igneous origin. Nearly all other lunar rocks have lost their original textures during metamorphic and impact processes. For these rocks one must work primarily with chemical data in order to recognize and define rock groups and their possible modes of origin. Non-mare rocks of basaltic composition have chemical compositions consistent with an origin by partial melting of the lunar interior. The simplest origin for rocks of anorthositic chemical composition is the crystallization and removal of ferromagnesian minerals. It is proposed that the rock groups of anorthositic and non-mare basaltic chemical composition could have been generated from a single series of original, but not necessarily primitive, lunar materials.

Hubbard, N. J.↗

NASA NTRS1982

Rust and schreibersite in Apollo 16 highland rocks - Manifestations of volatile-element mobility

Rust is a manifestation of halogen and volatile-metal mobility in the lunar environment. Schreibersite is stable as the primary phosphorus-bearing phase in the highland rocks, a consequence of the inherently low oxygen fugacity within impact-generated melts. Apatite and whitlockite are subordinate in these rocks. The partitioning of P into phosphide in impact-generated melts, and the failure of phosphate to crystallize, effects a decoupling of the halogens and phosphorus. Of the Apollo 16 rocks, 63% contain rust, 70% contain schreibersite, and 52% contain both phases, thereby establishing the pervasiveness of volatile-elements throughout the highland rocks. The major portion of these volatile-bearing phases occur in impact melt-rocks or in breccia matrices. Rhabdites of schreibersite in some of the FeNi grains indicate that there is a meteoritic contribution to the phosphorus in these rocks. Cl/P2O5 ratios in lunar highland rocks are a function of secondary effects, with any apparent Cl-P correlations being coincidential. The present observations preclude the validity of models based on such elemental ratios in these rocks. The presence of rust in the clast laden matrices of pristine rocks indicates fugitive element localization. Pristine clasts may have been contaminated. The basis for a pristine volatile chemistry is questioned.

Hunter, R. H.↗

NASA NTRS2004

Mapping Rock and Soil Units in the MPF IMP SuperPan Using a Kohonen Self Organizing Map

The 1997 Mars Pathfinder mission provided information on a site in the Ares Vallis floodplain. Initial analysis of multispectral data from the Imager for Mars Pathfinder (IMP) indicated the presence of only a single rock type, the 'gray rock' spectral class and various coated variants thereof (e.g., 'maroon rock'). Continued analysis of the IMP 'SuperPan' mosaic has confirmed multiple examples of a second 'black rock' spectral class existing as small cobbles in the near field and as boulders in the far field. These results are consistent with recent analysis of MGS Thermal Emission Spectrometer (TES) data which indicates that there is likely a mix of both 'Surface Type 1' (ST1) and 'Surface Type 2' (ST2) spectral classes at the MPF landing site. Nominally, the black rock spectral class would correspond to ST1 (basalts) and 'gray rock' would correspond to ST2 (andesites). Orbital remote sensing has also revealed the pervasive presence of layering on Mars. Recently it was suggested that there are extensive outcrops of the black rock spectral class in the SuperPan far field on the flanks of the Twin Peaks and on the rim of Big Crater. These authors suggested that these exposures represented outcrops of black rock from beneath a surficial, flood deposited layer. In this work, we have reexamined the MPF IMP SuperPan mosaic using an artificial neural network self organizing map (SOM) processing architecture in order to classify the distribution of spectral classes within the SuperPan. In this paper, we present initial results from that work and draw specific attention to a subset of the identified spectral classes in order to address questions relating to whether there are extensive exposures of black rock in the IMP far field, what other materials might be exposed in the far field, and what evidence there is for subsurface layering at the MPF landing site.

Farrand, W.↗

NASA NTRS2004

Classification and Distribution of Mars Pathfinder Rocks Using Quantitative Morphologic Indices

The Mars Pathfinder (MPF) landing site was predicted to contain a broad sampling of rock types varying in mineralogical, physical, mechanical and geochemical characteristics. Although rocks have been divided into several spectral categories based on Imager for Mars Pathfinder visible/near-infrared spectra, it has not been fully determined which of these stem from intrinsic mineralogical differences between rocks or rock surfaces, and which result from factors such as physical or chemical weathering. This has made isolation of unique mineralogy's difficult. Efforts in isolating and classifying spectral units among MPF rocks and soils have met with varying degrees of success, and the current understanding is such that many factors influencing spectral signatures cannot be quantified to a sufficient level so they may be removed. The result is that fundamental questions regarding information needed to reveal the present and past interactions between the rocks and rock surfaces and the Martian environment remain unanswered. But it is possible to approach the issue of identifying distinct rock and rock surface types from a different angle.

Yingst, R. A.↗

NASA NTRS2004

Undercut Rocks at the MER Gusev Landing Site

On January 3 2004, the NASA Spirit rover landed on the plains inside the Gusev Crater in the southern hemisphere of Mars, and has made observations of the landing site and nearby region in visual and infrared wavelengths, as well as making in-situ measurements of rocks and soil. A number of rocks at the Gusev site are perched, with a significant undercut above the surface; additional rocks show a feature of being eroded or etched at a height of one to three centimeters immediately above the soil line. Some rocks also show terracing, and others show a two-tone pattern of albedo, with a distinct dividing line between a lighter area near the surface and a darker color above the surface. In a small number of cases, the dividing line is correlated with a visible horizontal groove in the rock, most likely indicating an earlier location of burial of the rock. A number of explanations for this undercutting are possible. Perched rocks can be placed on the surface by deflation of the soil from underneath the rock. The surface etching may be abrasion due to reptation. Reptation, or surface creep, occurs as sand moves without leaving the surface, as small (100-200 micron particles) moved by saltation set larger particles in motion. These large particles are effective at abrading the rocks at the surface level. The structure of "ripple" features at the site is evidence to support reptation at the Gusev site. An alternate explanation is etching at the surface by chemically active grit.

Landis, Geoffrey A.↗

NASA NTRS2008

Geochemical Properties of Rocks and Soils in Gusev Crater, Mars: APXS Results from Cumberland Ridge to Home Plate

The Mars Exploration Rover Spirit landed in Gusev crater on Jan. 4, 2004. Spirit has traversed the Gusev crater plains, ascended to the top of Husband Hill, and entered into the Inner Basin of the Columbia Hills. The Athena science payload onboard Spirit has recorded numerous measurements on the chemistry and mineralogy of materials encountered during nearly 2 Mars years of operation within the crater. Rocks and soils have been grouped into classes based upon their unique differences in mineralogy and chemistry [1-3]. Some of the most significant chemical discoveries include the composition of Adirondack class flood basalts [4-6]; high sulfur in Clovis and Peace Class rocks [7,2]; high P and Ti in Wishstone Class rocks [7,2]; composition of alkalic basalts [2,6]; very high S in Paso Robles class soils [7,2], and the possible occurrence of a smectite-like chemical composition in Independence class rocks [8]. Water has played a significant role in the alteration of rocks and soils in the Columbia Hills. The occurrence of goethite and ferric sulfate alone suggests that liquid water was involved in their formation [3]. The pervasively altered materials in Husband Hill outcrops and rocks may have formed by the aqueous alteration of basaltic rocks, volcaniclastic materials, and/or impact ejecta by solutions that were rich in acid-volatile elements [2]. The objective of this paper is to provide an update on the health of the Alpha Particle X-ray Spectrometer (APXS) and to expand the geochemical dataset from sol 470 to sol 1368. Specific objectives are to (1) update the rock and soil classifications, (2) characterize elemental relationships among the major rock and soil classes, and (3) evaluate the involvement of water in the formation or alteration of the materials in these classes.

Ming, D. W.↗

NASA NTRS2007

A Photographic Atlas of Rock Breakdown Features in Geomorphic Environments

A primary goal of geomorphological enquiry is to make genetic associations between process and form. In rock breakdown studies, the links between process, inheritance and lithology are not well constrained. In particular, there is a need to establish an understanding of feature persistence. That is, to determine the extent to which in situ rock breakdown (e.g., aeolian abrasion or salt weathering) masks signatures of earlier geomorphic transport processes (e.g., fluvial transport or crater ejecta). Equally important is the extent to which breakdown during geomorphic transport masks the imprint of past weathering. The use of rock features in this way raises the important question: Can features on the surface of a rock reliably indicate its geomorphic history? This has not been determined for rock surfaces on Earth or other planets. A first step towards constraining the links between process, inheritance, and morphology is to identify pristine features produced by different process regimes. The purpose of this atlas is to provide a comprehensive image collection of breakdown features commonly observed on boulders in different geomorphic environments. The atlas is intended as a tool for planetary geoscientists and their students to assist in identifying features found on rocks on planetary surfaces. In compiling this atlas, we have attempted to include features that have formed 'recently' and where the potential for modification by another geomorphic process is low. However, we acknowledge that this is, in fact, difficult to achieve when selecting rocks in their natural environment. We group breakdown features according to their formative environment and process. In selecting images for inclusion in the atlas we were mindful to cover a wide range of climatic zones. For example, in the weathering chapter, clast features are shown from locations such as the hyper-arid polar desert of Antarctica and the semi-arid canyons of central Australia. This is important as some features (e.g., alveoli) occur across climate regimes. We have drawn on the published geomorphological literature and our own field experience. We use, where possible, images of extrusive igneous rocks as the data returned from Mars, Venus and the Moon indicates that this is the predominant rock type. One of the purposes of this atlas is to expand the range of surface features that are known to indicate a particular geomorphic environment or process history. The surface features on boulders in some environments such as aeolian and weathering are well understood. In contrast, those in fluvial or ejecta environments are not. Therefore we have presented a comprehensive assemblage of features that are likely to be produced in each of the geomorphic environments. We hope that this atlas will trigger more research on diagnostic features, particularly their morphometry and detailed morphology, their persistence and rates of formation. In this first edition of the atlas we detail the features found on clasts in three geomorphic environments: aeolian, fluvial and weathering. Future editions of the atlas will include chapters on ejecta, micro-impacts, coastal, colluvial, glacial and structural features.

Bourke, Mary C.↗

NASA NTRS2011

Space Weathering of Rocks

Space weathering discussions have generally centered around soils but exposed rocks will also incur the effects of weathering. On the Moon, rocks make up only a very small percentage of the exposed surface and areas where rocks are exposed, like central peaks, are often among the least space weathered regions we find in remote sensing data. However, our studies of weathered Ap 17 rocks 76015 and 76237 show that significant amounts of weathering products can build up on rock surfaces. Because rocks have much longer surface lifetimes than an individual soil grain, and thus record a longer history of exposure, we can study these products to gain a deeper perspective on the weathering process and better assess the relative impo!1ance of various weathering components on the Moon. In contrast to the lunar case, on small asteroids, like Itokowa, rocks make up a large fraction of the exposed surface. Results from the Hayabusa spacecraft at Itokowa suggest that while the low gravity does not allow for the development of a mature regolith, weathering patinas can and do develop on rock surfaces, in fact, the rocky surfaces were seen to be darker and appear spectrally more weathered than regions with finer materials. To explore how weathering of asteroidal rocks may differ from lunar, a set of ordinary chondrite meteorites (H, L, and LL) which have been subjected to artificial space weathering by nanopulse laser were examined by TEM. NpFe(sup 0) bearing glasses were ubiquitous in both the naturally-weathered lunar and the artificially-weathered meteorite samples.

Noble, Sarah↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Exploring rock-regolith interfaces in Jezero crater with Mars 2020 SHERLOC

The Perseverance rover successfully landed in Jezero crater, Mars in February 2021 at the Octavia E. Butler landing site and began its mission to explore and sample an ancient crater lake basin. Principal goals of the Mars 2020 mission include characterizing the geology of Mars and seeking signs of ancient microbial life via the spacecraft cameras and spectroscopic instruments onboard. The Scanning Habitable Environments with Raman and Luminescence for Organics and Chemicals (SHERLOC) instrument is a deep UV Raman spectrometer that utilizes a 248.6nm pulsed laser. Part of SHERLOC is a color camera known as the Wide Angle Topographic Sensor for Operations and eNgineering (WATSON). The SHERLOC suite provides coordinated, spectroscopic and imaging capabilities at high spatial resolution, to detect minerals and organic molecules in microtextural context. By pairing high spatial resolution (~100 μm) resonance Raman and native fluorescence spectroscopy with microscopic imaging in a novel spacecraft capability, SHERLOC enables texture-specific molecular composition measurements of rock and regolith targets on Mars. Coordinated rock-regolith observations illuminate unique insights into weathering processes and thereby to primary properties of rocks in Jezero crater. This work describes the potential of rock-regolith interfaces to preserve unique records of geological processes in Jezero crater and can powerfully supplement observations of the more general rock record on Mars. Linking observations of local rock texture with associated regolith reveals important lithologic information based on the interrelationship between differential weathering behavior and mineralogy, grain size, and cement chemistry. Preliminary observations indicate that the polygonally fractured lithotype common near the Octavia E. Butler landing site may weather by granular disintegration and/or surface creep, a relation that can be uniquely observed at the rock-regolith interface. SHERLOC -specific observations of microtextural and elemental composition transitions presented here trace rock-regolith boundaries at multiple indurated surfaces adjacent to regolith. At these locales, grain-scale based examinations suggest chemical weathering could be related to a variably distributed coating or rind on dark rock targets that may be mafic in composition. Granule deposits overlying widely distributed fine-grained material are also observable. Mineral identifications of each phase are presented, with cross-scale comparisons to the remote insights gained by the SuperCam instrument.

Emily L. Cardarelli↗

DOE OSTI2021

WHOLESCALE Catalog of Rock Samples at San Emidio Nevada collected in January 2021 Version 2.0

This submission includes an update to the WHOLESCALESamples2021January.xls file where the strikes and dips initially reported have been corrected to comply with the right hand rule. The updated excel file and a link to the original submission are included in this report. The original submission "WHOLESCALE Catalog of Rock Samples at San Emidio Nevada collected in January 2021" contains information on thirty-six rock samples collected from San Emidio, Nevada during January, 2021 for Subtask 2.3 of the WHOLESCALE project. The following resources include a .zip of rock sample photos taken in the field, a .zip of rock sample photos taken in the laboratory at UW-Madison, and an excel catalog of rock samples with information on sample name, rock type, coordinates of sample location, structural measurements, field notes, observations for plug preparation (e.g., weathering, ability to be cut and cored), and rock descriptions. It should be noted that not every sample was photographed in the field. Names and descriptions of rock formation units are taken from Rhodes et al. (2011). The README.txt file is a description of this submission.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Rock-Sourced Nitrogen in Semi-Arid, Shale-Derived California Soils

Models suggest that rock-derived nitrogen (N) inputs are of global importance to ecosystem N budgets; however, field studies demonstrating the significance of rock N inputs are rare. We examined rock-derived N fluxes in soils derived from sedimentary rocks along a catena formed under a semi-arid climate. Our measurements demonstrate that there are distinct and traceable pools of N in the soil and bedrock and that the fraction of rock-derived N declines downslope along the catena. We used geochemical mass balance weathering flux measurements to estimate a rock-derived N flux of 0.145 to 0.896 kg ha -1 yr -1 at the ridgecrest. We also developed independent N flux estimates using a 15 N-based isotope mixing model. While geochemical mass-balance-based estimates fell within the 95% confidence range derived from the isotope mixing model (-1.1 to 44.3 kg ha -1 yr -1 ), this range was large due to uncertainty in values for atmospheric 15 N deposition. Along the catena, N isotopes suggest a diminishing effect of rock-derived N downslope. Overall, we found that despite relatively large N pools within the saprolite and bedrock, slow chemical weathering and landscape denudation limit the influence of rock-derived N, letting atmospheric N deposition (7.1 kg ha -1 yr -1 ) and N fixation (0.9-3.1 kg ha -1 yr -1 ) dominate N inputs to this grassland ecosystem.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Changes in rock matrix compressibility during deep CO 2 storage

Geologic carbon storage projects aim to permanently trap large volumes of CO 2 in reservoir rock sealed with low permeability layers. As high-pressure supercritical or liquid CO 2 is injected, hydromechanical and chemical processes caused by the reaction between the rock and acidic mixture of brine and CO 2 are initiated. The compressibility of reservoir rock needs to be properly characterized in order to assess the deformation and stability of the host formations, and there are a number of factors to be considered, including the matrix structure, solid, pores, and fluid. Here this study triggers from a fundamental question whether CO 2 treatment affects the compressibility of the rock matrix and its dominant composing solid minerals. Three different reservoir representatives are selected: Berea sandstone for silica-rich rock, and Apulian limestone and Indiana limestone for calcite-rich rock. Quartz and calcite are the main composing minerals of the reservoir rock, and their crystals are separately examined. Experimental methods are introduced for high-pressure CO 2 treatment of water-saturated materials, and measurements of the unjacketed and solid compressibilities are conducted. No change in the solid compressibility of the sandstone and quartz after CO 2 treatment is observed, whereas it increases by 18–21% for the limestones and by 15% for calcite. The latter observation is inconsistent with the ultrasonic wave velocities measurements and is believed to be due to the local dissolution of the calcite crystal surface. Our results show that only the solid matrix of the limestones becomes more compressible after CO 2 treatment. Consequent microimaging and mercury intrusion porosimetry analyses allowed observations of dissolution and precipitation of calcite, and creation of new connected and non-connected pores. Finally, the changes in limestone solid compressibilities and pore structure could significantly affect the rock properties and behavior during and after CO 2 injection and should be accounted for in the reservoir models.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2020

Predicting the proximity to macroscopic failure using local strain populations from dynamic in situ X-ray tomography triaxial compression experiments on rocks

Predicting the proximity of large-scale dynamic failure is a critical concern in the engineering and geophysical sciences. Here we use evolving contractive, dilatational, and shear strain deformation preceding failure in dynamic X-ray tomography experiments to examine which strain components best predict the proximity to failure. We develop machine learning models to predict the proximity to failure using time series of three-dimensional local incremental strain tensor fields acquired in rock deformation experiments under stress conditions of the upper crust. Three-dimensional scans acquired in situ throughout triaxial compression experiments provide a distribution of density contrasts from which we estimate the three-dimensional incremental strain that accumulates between each scan acquisition. Training machine learning models on multiple experiments of six rock types provides suites of feature importance that indicate the predictive power of each feature. Comparing the average importance of groups of features that include information about each strain component quantifies the ability of the contractive, dilatational and shear strain to predict the proximity of macroscopic failure. A total of 24 models of four machine learning algorithms with six rock types indicate that 1) the dilatational strain provides the best predictive power of the strain components, and 2) the intermediate values (25th-75th percentile) of the strain population provide the best predictive power of the statistics of the strain populations. In addition, the success of the predictions of models trained on one rock type and tested on other rock types quantifies the similarities and differences of the precursory strain accumulation process in the six rock types. These similarities suggest the potential existence of a unified theory of brittle rock deformation for a range of rock types.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗