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At least 91 records · Page 5

Allometric-kinetic model predictions of concentration ratios for anthropogenic radionuclides across animal classes and food selection

Protection of the environment from radiation fundamentally relies on dose assessments for non-human biota. These dose assessments use measured or predicted concentrations of radionuclides in soil or water combined with Concentration Ratios (CRs) to estimate tissue concentrations in animals and plants, yet there is a paucity of CR data relative to the vast number of potential taxa and radioactive contaminants in the environment and their taxon-specific ecosystems. Because there are many taxa each having very different behaviors and biology and many possible bioavailable radionuclides, CRs have the potential to vary by orders-of-magnitude, as often seen in published data. Given the diversity of taxa, the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) has categorized non-human biota into 12 representative organisms (ROs), while the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) uses the non-taxon specific categories of terrestrial, riparian, and aquatic animals. The question we examine here is: do these categorizations adequately “represent” the broad diversity of animals? To explore this question, here we analyze an Allometric-Kinetic (A-K) model to calculate radionuclide-specific CRs for common animal classes which are then further subcategorized into herbivores, omnivores, carnivores, and invertebrate detritivores. Comparisons in CRs among animal classes exhibited only small differences, but there was order of magnitude differences between herbivores, carnivores, and especially detritivores, for many radionuclides of interest. These findings suggest that the ICRP ROs and the DOE categories are reasonable, but their accuracy could be improved by including sub-categories related to animal dietary ecology. Finally, comparisons of A-K model predicted CR values to published CRs show order-of-magnitude variations, providing justification for additional studies of assimilation across radionuclides and animal classes.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

A passive model for the evolution of subgrid-scale instabilities in turbulent flow regimes

In this work, a zero-dimensional model for the development of turbulent mixing layers driven by Rayleigh–Taylor (RT) or Richtmyer–Meshkov (RM) instabilities is presented, for application in Reynolds-Averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) simulations. The model approximates the behavior of the turbulent mixing layer at a passively advected tracer particle that sits on the material interface of interest in the simulation, and is used to provide initial conditions for the RANS model once the mixing layer width has developed to a size that may be resolved on the computational mesh. The model relies on approximations to the Besnard–Harlow–Rauenzahn (BHR) RANS closure equations and is thus consistent the turbulent development of the mixing layer, unlike previous models of this type which have focused on the early-time laminar development of RT or RM instabilities. These instabilities will often grow through an initially laminar state before developing into turbulence, and criteria for switching from an existing laminar model to the proposed turbulent model are considered. The proposed model reproduces the mixing layer development of RT and RM instabilities seen in mixed width resolving BHR RANS simulations to a reasonable degree of accuracy, and relaxes the need for the RANS simulation to resolve the mixed width as soon as the mixing layer becomes turbulent, which may be impractical in cases where the mixing layer grows through a wide range of scales.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Analytic model for neutral penetration and plasma fueling

Neutral atoms recycled from wall interaction interact with confined plasma, thereby refuelling it, most strongly in the region closest to the wall. This occurs near the X-point in diverted configurations, or else near the wall itself in limited configurations. A progression of analytic models is developed for neutral density in the vicinity of a planar or linear source in an ionising domain. First-principles neutral transport simulations with DEGAS2 are used throughout to test the validity and limits of the model when using equivalent sources. The model is further generalised for strong plasma gradients or the inclusion of charge exchange. An important part of the problem of neutral fuelling from recycling is thereby isolated and solved with a closed-form analytic model. A key finding is that charge exchange with the confined plasma can be significantly simplified with a reasonable sacrifice of accuracy by treating it as a loss. The several assumptions inherent to the model (and the simulations with which it is compared) can be adapted according to the particular behaviour of neutrals in the divertor and the manner in which they cross the separatrix.

fusion plasma↗

Equation‐Free Surrogate Modeling of Geophysical Flows at the Intersection of Machine Learning and Data Assimilation

Abstract There is a growing interest in developing data‐driven reduced‐order models for atmospheric and oceanic flows that are trained on data obtained either from high‐resolution simulations or satellite observations. The data‐driven models are non‐intrusive in nature and offer significant computational savings compared to large‐scale numerical models. These low‐dimensional models can be utilized to reduce the computational burden of generating forecasts and estimating model uncertainty without losing the key information needed for data assimilation (DA) to produce accurate state estimates. This paper aims at exploring an equation‐free surrogate modeling approach at the intersection of machine learning and DA in Earth system modeling. With this objective, we introduce an end‐to‐end non‐intrusive reduced‐order modeling (NIROM) framework equipped with contributions in modal decomposition, time series prediction, optimal sensor placement, and sequential DA. Specifically, we use proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) to identify the dominant structures of the flow, and a long short‐term memory network to model the dynamics of the POD modes. The NIROM is integrated within the deterministic ensemble Kalman filter (DEnKF) to incorporate sparse and noisy observations at optimal sensor locations obtained through QR pivoting. The feasibility and the benefit of the proposed framework are demonstrated for the NOAA Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature (SST) V2 data set. Our results indicate that the NIROM is stable for long‐term forecasting and can model dynamics of SST with a reasonable level of accuracy. Furthermore, the prediction accuracy of the NIROM gets improved by almost one order of magnitude by the DEnKF algorithm.

Pawar, Suraj↗

A second order yield-temperature relation for accurate inference of burn-averaged quantities in multi-species plasmas

Measured yields and ion temperatures inferred from the fusion product energy spectra can be used as metrics for the performance of an ICF implosion. This can be used to infer species separation, thermal decoupling, flows, or other effects that can cause the inferred ion temperatures to deviate from the true underlying thermal temperature and the yield ratio to deviate from the expected value. Direct inference of the impact of these effects on observed temperatures and yields can be difficult to uncover due to the underlying dependence on the shape and time evolution of the temperature and density profiles of the fusing plasma. Due to differences in the temperature dependence of the reactivities, different fusion products are emitted from different regions and times within the implosion. In order to properly account for this, a second-order analytical expression relating the apparent temperatures and yield ratios is developed. This expression can be coupled to models of yield and/or temperature altering effects to infer their burn-averaged impact on an implosion. The second-order expression shows significant improvement over lower-order expressions in synthetic data studies. Demonstrations of its applications to synthetic data coupled with models of ion thermal decoupling and radial flows are presented. In the case of thermal decoupling, both first and second-order expressions show reasonable levels of accuracy. To consistently infer the amplitude of radial flow with a <10% error, the second-order equation is required.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Smart Proxy Modeling Application of Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning in Computational Fluid Dynamics

Smart proxy technology leverages the art of artificial intelligence and machine learning in order to build accurate and very fast proxy models for highly complex numerical simulation models. In this project, smart proxy technology is used to replicate the results of a highly complex single phase CFD simulation with reasonable degree of accuracy while reducing the computational cost associated with such CFD simulations. The CFD model under study simulates the combustion of natural gas under various conditions such as varying natural gas composition and flow rate, inlet air flow rate and temperature, and outlet pressure in a High-Pressure Combustion Facility (B6 Combustor) with more than 4 million simulation cells. Only eight CFD simulation runs were used to create a smart proxy model that replicates the detail distribution of Pressure, Temperature, Nitrogen, Oxygen and Carbon-dioxide concentration in the CFD simulation model in seconds with less than 10% error.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Energy Sector Position, Navigation, and Time Cybersecurity Profile

The Pacific Northwest National Laboratory has developed this positioning, navigation, and timing (PNT) profile for the Energy Sector at the request of the U.S. Department of Energy. The Department of Energy is the sector-specific agency for the Energy Sector and is responsible for providing guidance in the form of this PNT Profile, per Executive Order 13905, Strengthening National Resilience Through Responsible Use of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing Services (Executive Office of the President 2020) issued February 18, 2020. Executive Order 13905 directed the National Institute of Standards & Technology to develop a PNT Profile that is broadly applicable to all sectors and to serve as a foundation for sector-neutral guidance, NISTIR 8323 Foundational PNT Profile: Applying the Cybersecurity Framework for the Responsible Use of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing (PNT) Services. This document builds on NISTIR 8323 to identify and serve as the required Energy Sector specific guidance. For purposes of this PNT Profile, Energy Sector precise time is 0.5 µs (microseconds) to 1 µs accuracy. Currently, the electricity subsector has systems that use this level of precision time, but the oil and natural gas subsector currently does not. While the electricity subsector uses precision timing, it does not use positioning and/or navigation at this level of accuracy. For this reason, this PNT Profile will focus on only precise time for the electricity subsector.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Excited State Phenomena in Correlated Nanostructures: Transition Metal Oxide Clusters and Nanocrystals

The primary goal of our research program was to apply advanced computational techniques to predict electronic properties of molecular species. These include transition metal monoxide and dioxide clusters and negatively charged copper oxide clusters which are important systems for their utilization in a variety of technological applications. The enhanced electron-electron interactions inherent in these systems make it challenging to model their excited state properties within a parameter-free approach. The excited state properties in question include the interaction of light with these molecules which results in ejection of electrons from the system, or the absorption of light by the molecular system resulting in a molecule in a higher-energy state. Our overall goal was to investigate the impact of various computational and theoretical approaches on such electronic and optical excitations in these systems. Comparing several variants of theoretical approaches with available experimental data, and high-level quantum chemistry computations helped us identify the level of theory and approximations that are needed to achieve a reasonable balance between accuracy and computational demand.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Stream Temperature Predictions for River Basin Management in the Pacific Northwest and Mid-Atlantic Regions Using Machine Learning

Stream temperature (Ts) is an important water quality parameter that affects ecosystem health and human water use for beneficial purposes. Accurate Ts predictions at different spatial and temporal scales can inform water management decisions that account for the effects of changing climate and extreme events. In particular, widespread predictions of Ts in unmonitored stream reaches can enable decision makers to be responsive to changes caused by unforeseen disturbances. In this study, we demonstrate the use of classical machine learning (ML) models, support vector regression and gradient boosted trees (XGBoost), for monthly Ts predictions in 78 pristine and human-impacted catchments of the Mid-Atlantic and Pacific Northwest hydrologic regions spanning different geologies, climate, and land use. The ML models were trained using long-term monitoring data from 1980–2020 for three scenarios: (1) temporal predictions at a single site, (2) temporal predictions for multiple sites within a region, and (3) spatiotemporal predictions in unmonitored basins (PUB). In the first two scenarios, the ML models predicted Ts with median root mean squared errors (RMSE) of 0.69–0.84 °C and 0.92–1.02 °C across different model types for the temporal predictions at single and multiple sites respectively. For the PUB scenario, we used a bootstrap aggregation approach using models trained with different subsets of data, for which an ensemble XGBoost implementation outperformed all other modeling configurations (median RMSE 0.62 °C).The ML models improved median monthly Ts estimates compared to baseline statistical multi-linear regression models by 15–48% depending on the site and scenario. Air temperature was found to be the primary driver of monthly Ts for all sites, with secondary influence of month of the year (seasonality) and solar radiation, while discharge was a significant predictor at only 10 sites. The predictive performance of the ML models was robust to configuration changes in model setup and inputs, but was influenced by the distance to the nearest dam with RMSE <1 °C at sites situated greater than 16 and 44 km from a dam for the temporal single site and regional scenarios, and over 1.4 km from a dam for the PUB scenario. Our results show that classical ML models with solely meteorological inputs can be used for spatial and temporal predictions of monthly Ts in pristine and managed basins with reasonable (<1 °C) accuracy for most locations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Sensitivity analysis of numerical modeling input parameters on floating offshore wind turbine loads in extreme idling conditions

Abstract. Floating offshore wind turbine (FOWT) systems are subject to complex environmental loads, with significant potential for damage in extreme storm conditions. Design simulations in these conditions are required to assess the survivability of the device with some level of confidence. Aero-hydro-servo-elastic engineering tools can be used with a reasonable balance of accuracy and computational efficiency. The models require many input parameters to describe the air and water conditions, the system properties, and the load calculations. Each of these parameters has some possible range, due to either statistical uncertainty or variations with time. Variation in the input parameters can have important effects on the uncertainty in the resulting loads, but it is not practical to perform detailed assessments of the impact of this uncertainty for every input parameter. This work demonstrates a method to identify the input parameters that have the most impact on the loads to focus further inspection. The process is done specifically for extreme storm load cases defined in the International Electrotechnical Commission design requirements for floating offshore wind turbines. The analysis was performed using the International Energy Agency Wind 15 MW offshore reference wind turbine atop the University of Maine VolturnUS-S reference platform in two US offshore wind regions, the Gulf of Maine and Humboldt Bay. It was found that the direction of incident waves and current, yaw misalignment, and the length of mooring line sections were among the primary sensitivities.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

A second order yield-temperature relation for accurate inference of burn-averaged quantities in multi-species plasmas

Measured yields and ion temperatures inferred from the fusion product energy spectra can be used as metrics for the performance of an ICF implosion. This can be to infer species separation, thermal decoupling, flows or other effects that can cause the inferred ion temperatures to deviate from the true underlying thermal temperature and the yield ratio to deviate from the expected value. Direct inference of the impact of these effects on observed temperatures and yields can be difficult to uncover due to underlying dependence on the shape and time evolution of the temperature and density proles of the fusing plasma. Due to differences in the temperature dependence of the reactivities, different fusion products are emitted from different regions and times within the implosion. In order to properly account for this, a second order analytic expression relating the apparent temperatures and yield ratios is developed. This expression can be coupled to models of yield and/or temperature altering effects to infer their burn-averaged impact on an implosion. The second order expression shows significant improvement over lower order expressions in synthetic data studies. Demonstrations of its applications to synthetic data coupled with models of ion thermal decoupling and radial flows are presented. In the case of thermal decoupling both first and second order expressions show reasonable levels of accuracy. To consistently infer the amplitude of radial flow with <10% error the second order equation is required.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Memory-efficient emulation of physical tabular data using quadtree decomposition

Computationally expensive functions are sometimes replaced in simulations with an emulator that approx-imates the true function (e.g., equations of state, wavelength-dependent opacity, or composition-dependent materials properties). For functions that have a constrained domain of interest, this can be done by discretizing the domain and performing a local interpolation on the tabulated function values of each local domain. For these so-called tabular data methods, the method of discretizing the domain and mapping the input space to each subdomain can drastically influence the memory and computational costs of the emulator. This is especially true for functions that vary drastically in different regions. We present a method for domain discretization and mapping that utilizes quadtrees, which results in significant reductions in the size of the emulator with minimal increases to computational costs or loss of global accuracy. We apply our method to the electron-positron Helmholtz free energy equation of state and show over an order of magnitude reduction in memory costs for reasonable levels of numerical accuracy.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Accurate and Accelerated Neuromorphic Network Design Leveraging A Bayesian Hyperparameter Pareto Optimization Approach

Neuromorphic systems allow for extremely efficient hardware implementations for neural networks (NNs). In recent years, several algorithms have been presented to train spiking NNs (SNNs) for neuromorphic hardware. However, SNNs often provide lower accuracy than their artificial NNs (ANNs) counterparts or require computationally expensive and slow training/inference methods. To close this gap, designers typically rely on reconfiguring SNNs through adjustments in the neuron/synapse model or training algorithm itself. Nevertheless, these steps incur significant design time, while still lacking the desired improvement in terms of training/inference times (latency). Designing SNNs that can mimic the accuracy of ANNs with reasonable training times is an exigent challenge in neuromorphic computing. In this work, we present an alternative approach that looks at such designs as an optimization problem rather than algorithm or architecture redesign. We develop a versatile multiobjective hyperparameter optimization (HPO) for automatically tuning HPs of two state-of-the-art SNN training algorithms, SLAYER and HYBRID. We emphasize that, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first work trying to improve SNNs’ computational efficiency, accuracy, and training time using an efficient HPO. We demonstrate significant performance improvements for SNNs on several datasets without the need to redesign or invent new training algorithms/architectures. Our approach results in more accurate networks with lower latency and, in turn, higher energy efficiency than previous implementations. In particular, we demonstrate improvement in accuracy and more than 5× reduction in the training/inference time for the SLAYER algorithm on the DVS Gesture dataset. In the case of HYBRID, we demonstrate 30% reduction in timesteps while surpassing the accuracy of the state-of-the-art networks on CIFAR10. Further, our analysis suggests that even a seemingly minor change in HPs could change the accuracy by 5 - 6×.

Parsa, Maryam↗

Array-Based Machine Learning for Functional Group Detection in Electron Ionization Mass Spectrometry

Mass spectrometry is a ubiquitous technique capable of complex chemical analysis. The fragmentation patterns that appear in mass spectrometry are an excellent target for artificial intelligence methods to automate and expedite the analysis of data to identify targets such as functional groups. To develop this approach, we trained models on electron ionization (a reproducible hard fragmentation technique) mass spectra so that not only the final model accuracies but also the reasoning behind model assignments could be evaluated. The convolutional neural network (CNN) models were trained on 2D images of the spectra using transfer learning of Inception V3, and the logistic regression models were trained using array-based data and Scikit Learn implementation in Python. Our training dataset consisted of 21,166 mass spectra from the United States’ National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Webbook. The data was used to train models to identify functional groups, both specific (e.g., amines, esters) and generalized classifications (aromatics, oxygen-containing functional groups, and nitrogen-containing functional groups). We found that the highest final accuracies on identifying new data were observed using logistic regression rather than transfer learning on CNN models. It was also determined that the mass range most beneficial for functional group analysis is 0–100 m/z. We also found success in correctly identifying functional groups of example molecules selected from both the NIST database and experimental data. Beyond functional group analysis, we also have developed a methodology to identify impactful fragments for the accurate detection of the models’ targets. The results demonstrate a potential pathway for analyzing and screening substantial amounts of mass spectral data.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Definition of fragmentation functions and the violation of sum rules

We point out a problem with the formulation and derivations of sum rules for quark fragmentation functions that impacts their validity in QCD, but which potentially points toward an improved understanding of final states in inclusive hard processes. Fragmentation functions give the distribution of final-state hadrons arising from a parton exiting a hard scattering, and the sum rules for momentum, electric charge, etc. express conservation of these quantities. The problem arises from a mismatch between the quark quantum numbers of the initial quark and the fact that all observed final-state hadrons are confined bound states with color zero. We point that, in a confining theory like QCD, the Wilson line in the operator definition of a fragmentation function entails that the final state in a fragmentation function includes a bound state in the external field generated by the Wilson line. We justify this with the aid of general features of string hadronization. The anomalous bound states are restricted to fractional momentum z = 0 . They tend to invalidate sum rules like the one for charge conservation when applied to the fragmentation functions inferred from experimental data but not the momentum sum rule. We propose to exploit our ideas in future studies as a way to relate the fragmentation functions extracted from inclusive cross sections to more detailed nonperturbative descriptions of final state hadronization. We also describe scenarios wherein the traditional sum rules might remain approximately valid with a reasonably high degree of accuracy. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Rapid Construction of Validated Chemistry Models for Advanced Biofuels (Co-Optima Final Report)

Computer methods were developed and demonstrated that make it possible to predict the combustion and pyrolysis chemistry of proposed biofuels, even before the biofuels are ever manufactured or experimentally tested. The methods are based on first-principles calculations of reaction rates and equilibria. A large number of complicated calculations are required, so we developed a computer workflow that automates many of the steps. With the chemical structure of the biofuel and the system conditions (temperature, pressure, compositions, etc.) as the input, the computer methods can construct a detailed kinetic model with refined parameters without intense human intervention. The automation of model construction makes it practical for a single engineer to make the predictions in a reasonable time period. The accuracy of the computer predictions was tested by measuring the time-profiles of various reaction intermediates (carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide, water, formaldehyde, methane, and ethylene) formed as the biofuels pyrolyze or ignite using sophisticated laser shock tube methods. Several biofuels, including methyl propyl ether, cyclopentanone, butyl acetate isomers, etc., were carefully studied to demonstrate the validity of the proposed computational and experimental methodology. This research project opens up the possibility for assessing some proposed biofuels on the computer without expensive experimental campaigns. The new computer methods are open source and well-documented, allowing a knowledgeable modeler to easily access the developed methods and implement them in their work routine. Moreover, they are also convenient and powerful, promising for developing the fuel chemistry models needed for use in engine simulators, facilitating co-optimization of new engine designs with new fuels.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Extended Applications of Subgrid Representation in the 2D/1D Method

Recent efforts in MPACT have focused on improving the performance of the 2D/1D subplane implementation to help target computational performance goals. Here, we build on previous efforts that targeted the use of subgrid treatments to improve the accuracy of control rod representation, presenting three additional applications of subgrid treatments with the goal of reducing the computational burden of simulations. These subgrid applications include treatment of spacer grids, thermal feedback, and axial reflector material representation. With these approaches, a single method of characteristics (MOC) plane can contain several different materials axially that are represented explicitly via subgrids on the coarse mesh finite difference (CMFD) mesh but are axially homogenized on the MOC mesh. This allows for a substantial reduction in the number of MOC planes needed in the calculation through the introduction of an approximate treatment, particularly with regard to the self-shielded cross sections and MOC-informed radial current coupling coefficients in CMFD. Several test problems ranging from single rod to quarter core are used to assess the solution accuracy and performance of these various subgrid representations. Overall, the accuracy of the approximations seems very reasonable, with extremely small differences in eigenvalue observed and maximum pin power errors in the 0.5% to 1.0% range. Several cases show substantial value in the compromise between accuracy and computational performance. Others highlight the new computational hurdles that future research will aim to resolve.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Elastic scattering and rotational excitation of H 2 by electron impact: Convergent close-coupling calculations

We apply the adiabatic-nuclei molecular convergent close-coupling (MCCC) method to the study of elastic scattering and rotational excitation of H 2 by 0.01–20-eV electrons. Integral cross sections are presented for all rotational transitions with |Δ⁢N| ≤ 2 and N i = 0–31 within the v = 0 vibrational level and differential cross sections for a selection of transitions. Agreement with the available measurements and previous calculations is mostly excellent, depending on the transition and incident energy. Finally, we suggest possible reasons, and argue for the accuracy of the MCCC data.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗