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At least 91 records · Page 5

Dr. Ian Hutcheon Award: Spectroscopic Fingerprinting of Vapor-Phase Uranium Species

The Dr. Ian Hutcheon Post-Doctoral Fellowship provides resources to fund a TNFapplicable research project as well as promote mentorship, career development, and relevant training for the recipient. The two-year proposal incorporated a research plan to investigate uranium chemistry relevant to post-detonation nuclear forensics and a mentorship plan to address career development for the recipient in TNF-relevant areas.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

New Architecture to Support Integration and Processing of Seismic Data from Heterogeneous Sources

The Geophysical Monitoring Program (GMP) at Lawrence Livermore National Lab (LLNL) maintains a database and supporting infrastructure for geophysical data used in support of the Nuclear Detonation Detection mission. This database includes data from multiple sources, many of which do not distribute data to the public or for which there is no automated means of access. For example, Figure 1 shows (left) the distribution of waveform data in our database by source. The Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology Data Management Center (IRISDMC) is our major source of waveform data and those data may be retrieved at will using the Federated Digital Seismograph Networks FDSN web Application Programming Interface (API). However, the next 6 most important sources of waveform data have no or only limited automated access to waveforms. As Figure 1 (right) shows, it is very common for waveform records associate with an event in our database to come from two or more sources, and in some cases data come from 10 sources. This diversity of data sources drives our need for efficient and correct integration of metadata, parametric data, and waveform data.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Heavily Confined PBX 9501 Experiment Report FY2020

Most accidental insults to explosives are invariably thermal in nature—either direct thermal via application of heat or indirect thermal when mechanical energy is converted to heat. The key question is whether the initial thermal insult transitions into a violent explosive response. If the ultimate violence attained is moderate, nearby personnel may be harmed or killed, but Inadvertent Nuclear Detonation (IND) will not occur. However, if the explosive ultimately transitions from deflagration to detonation (DDT) then IND becomes a concern. PBX 9501 is not an insensitive high explosive (IHE). It has been conclusively demonstrated that mechanically and thermally damaged PBX 9501 can readily DDT in heavy confinement. However, it is currently unknown whether pristine explosive—i.e. thermally and mechanically undamaged— is capable of DDT. Three experiments were conducted in order to determine whether very heavily confined pristine PBX 9501 is capable of DDT. All experiments used identical 6-inch diameter spherical charges of PBX 9501 confined in a 350 lb. hardened steel vessel with >2.5-inch thick walls. The first, primary experiment tested pristine PBX 9501 and was thermally ignited at the center of using a laser over optical fiber. Two additional baseline experiments were performed for comparison: the second test was initiated at the center using a detonator; the third test was bulk heated until self-ignition (cookoff). Velocimetry data in combination with hydrocode simulations suggest that a classical detonation wave did not develop in the pristine, thermally ignited PBX 9501. Reaction violence was approximately equivalent—in terms of ultimate energy output—as a full detonation, but the acceleration of metal fragments occurred more slowly than in a detonation-driven scenario.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

CISME report on experiments with HMX powder, PBX 9501 prills, and heated PBX 9501

The ability to predict post-ignition explosive response is relevant to explosives safety, particularly weapons assembly/disassembly operations that must operate under a sufficiently conservative safety basis to meet risk mitigation criteria for inadvertent nuclear detonation (IND). In particular, hazard determinations hinge on whether the PBX 9501 main charge can ultimately attain detonation from an initial, non-shock, ignition stimulus. The CISME experiment uses a spherical explosive charge, which is thermally ignited in the center using a fiber-delivered infrared laser pulse. This ignition mechanism - i.e. a localized thermal hotspot - is representative of the ignition-causing insults typical in accident scenarios, including low-velocity impact, drop, skid, and punch events. In fiscal year 2018 CISME experiments were conducted with pristine PBX 9501 spheres, confined and unconfined. Sub-detonative, low-violence reactions were observed. Here we report experiments conducted since 2018. The explosive charge was varied: experiments were conducted with room temperature pour-density HMX powder and prills of PBX 9501, and heated, thermally damaged PBX 9501. Experiments were conducted in a confined configuration, with two 4 mm-thick stainless-steel hemispherical shells bolted around the sphere. Detonation, via DDT (deflagration-to-detonation transition) was observed in the 3-inch diameter powdered HMX and the 6-inch diameter heated and thermally-damaged PBX 9501 tests. No transition to DDT was observed in smaller diameters for those configurations, and no DDT was observed for pour-density prills of PBX 9501 of any diameter. The original test series demonstrated that the response of pristine, undamaged PBX 9501 to a central ignition is relatively benign. This new test series shows that increased porosity, lack of polymer binders and thermal damage can greatly increase the violence of the post-ignition response, up to and including detonation. These results bridge the explosive response of PBX 9501 from sub-detonative through detonation as a function of diameter and provide valuable test cases for modeling efforts that strive to capture the DDT threshold. By exploring explosive response in a more representative 3D geometry, we can also benchmark these new results to more plentiful DDT datasets generated from testing in 1D tube confinement (the historical test configuration)–the configuration upon which almost all DDT models were developed.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Operation Plumbbob

On June 24, 1957, a thirty-seven kiloton nuclear device, codenamed Priscilla, exploded 700 feet over the Nevada Test Site’s Frenchman dry lake. Below, on the lakebed, was a bank vault designed by the Mosler Safe Company for one of several Federal Civil Defense Administration experiments. The vault was constructed “to evaluate the effectiveness of a reinforced-concrete vault and steel vault door in providing protection against the effects of a nuclear detonation.” Blast damage to the exterior was largely confined to the side walls, whose concrete was stripped off; its steel reinforcing rods bent and twisted. The vault door was essentially undamaged and was opened with minimal difficulty. The vault contents - sandbags, movie camera, and thermometers - were only slightly disturbed. The camera operated as planned, running 40 ft of film. The film, however, was completely fogged. Two clinical type thermometers registered 88°F, and a 24-hr stylus American temperature recorder registered a constant 88°F. Priscilla was the fifth of twenty-nine tests conducted in 1957 as part of Operation Plumbbob, whose stated purpose was to conduct tests “aimed to attain new knowledge important to the defense of the United States and the Free World.” Individual events included “proof tests of air defense and antisubmarine warheads to be stockpiled, development tests of bomb components and mockups, and design tests of smaller and lighter warheads.” One test, John, was that of an air-to-air missile detonated 18,500 feet over the test site.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

SULI Research Report Paper

The Intelligence and Space Research Group 4 (ISR-4) at the Los Alamos National Laboratory focuses on signal processing and developing space electronics for various national security missions. The Space and Atmospheric Burst Reporting System (SABRS) is a sensing payload designed for nuclear detonation detection. As the sensors from previous payloads become obsolete, the requirement for a novel payload design increases. SABRS Prime is the successor to the previous SABRS payloads and is scheduled for delivery in 2028. As part of the SABRS Prompt Gamma Instrument Interface Board, high frequency signals from silicon photomultiplier tubes need to be split and subsequently transmitted to the Analog to Digital Converter. Prior to developing the Space Grade Instrument Interface Board, evaluation modules with Commercial off-the-shelf (COTS) components are evaluated and tested under rigorous conditions. Verification of power levels and gain specifications are some of the important steps taken during the evaluation stage. Working on the Signal Splitting Board has enabled me to work with various schematic software applications and learn more about the processes behind designing space grade electronic components. In addition, I conducted research on efficiency improvements for space-based power systems. Changes in design approaches were found to be the most significant sources of improvement. Being able to interact with researchers and peers across various scientific disciplines has given me a better insight into my future pursuits. Working in a R&D environment has cemented my decision to work on space applications for Quantum Sensing and pursue a PhD in Electrical Engineering. The SULI internship program at the Los Alamos National Laboratory has helped me develop the skillset of a researcher, understand the rigorous processes behind developing space grade hardware, and improve my critical thinking abilities to support the development of reliable instrumentation for deep space missions.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Design and Testing of the Vortex Ring Facility

This document summarizes the efforts of building an experimental test facility to study the evolution of the cloud following a nuclear detonation above ground level and support the development of numerical models to describe it. The experimental facility allows nonintrusive flow visualization and measurements of buoyant vortex ring formation and evolution using background-oriented Schlieren and particle image velocimetry techniques. In addition, 3D unsteady computational fluid dynamics simulations using unsteady Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes and volume-of-fluid numerical methods were performed to support the experimental design as well as to provide insight about the formation and evolution of the vortex ring.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Technical Report on Waveform Fit Metrics for Global Models

The new WAVEFORMS Initiative in the Ground-based Nuclear Detonation Detection (GNDD) program includes an increased emphasis on the development of Earth models and methods to predict entire seismic and acoustic waveforms more accurately. In general, this increased emphasis is predicated on the need to better characterize seismic events and provide improved model-based discrimination between event types including earthquakes and explosions. More specifically, while current moment tensor inversion methods tend to work well for larger events (M>~4) using tuned 1-D Earth models, the development of state-of-the-art 3-D models and methods is required for the prediction of shorter period waves over large areas for discrimination of smaller events. There is no standard metric for model-based waveform prediction accuracy used in the waveform modeling/inversion community. However, there are several popular waveform misfit definitions; and minimizing the corresponding objective functions is the goal of waveform inversion. Some example misfit definitions employed for adjoint waveform tomography include measures of simple travel time differences (e.g. Tape et al., 2010), cross-correlation travel time differences (e.g. Luo and Schuster, 1991), multi-taper frequency dependent methods (e.g. Lei et al., 2020), time-frequency phase misfit functions (e.g. Fichtner 2010; Rodgers et al., 2022), normalized cross-correlation methods (e.g. Tao et al., 2018), and others. In some cases, these misfit definitions also involve complicated weighting schemes and summations over multiple frequency bands making it difficult to duplicate the misfit measurement with alternative models and datasets. Although each of the misfit definitions mentioned above are useful for developing waveform models, the actual misfit values are not usually meaningful outside of a given project, model, and/or dataset. Therefore, it is difficult to understand and communicate model performance for predicting waveforms and comparing to other models and/or new model iterations with a different dataset. Therefore, there is a need for a generalized method for evaluating overall model performance that is independent from the specific misfit chosen to develop the waveform models that is also intuitive and meaningful. In this report, we describe a new metric we refer to as ‘Percent of Correlated Signal’. The following sections describe and demonstrate the metric with a case study event and a more rigorous test using a random selection of globally distributed events. While the focus here is on global tomography models, the metric is meant to applicable to regional ‘wiggle-for-wiggle’ waveform models/studies as well.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Corrective Action Decision Document/Corrective Action Plan for Corrective Action Units 101 and 102: Central and Western Pahute Mesa Nevada National Security Site, Nevada (Rev. 1)

This corrective action decision document (CADD)/corrective action plan (CAP) has been prepared for the Central and Western Pahute Mesa (PM) Corrective Action Units (CAUs) 101 and 102. Corrective action is needed because underground radioactive contamination exists in these areas resulting from historic underground nuclear testing. The PM CAUs are located in the northwestern portion of the Nevada National Security Site and comprise 82 corrective action sites. A total of 85 underground nuclear detonations took place within the area covered by the PM CAUs between 1965 and 1992 and resulted in the release of radionuclides (RNs) in the subsurface in the vicinity of the test cavities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Transfer Factors for the FRMAC Assessment Manual and Turbo FRMAC to Improve Radiological Dose Assessment

The Turbo FRMAC analysis tool is used to perform complex calculations to quickly evaluate radiological consequences and aid in decision making during an emergency response by assessing impacts to the public, workers, and the food supply. Turbo FRMAC calculations are based on methods established by the Federal Radiological Monitoring and Assessment Center (FRMAC). To be able to assess impacts, input data called transfer factors that describe radionuclide uptake by local plants and animals are required. During the code application exercises in late 2016, identifying, finding, and validating nonstandard transfer factors proved to be time consuming and diverted the teams’ activity away from other critical tasks. As a result, a task was undertaken to dramatically expand the list of available transfer factors (food and non-food) and incorporate these factors into Turbo FRMAC. This will ultimately result in improved efficiency of the assessment team to perform calculations during times when the FRMAC is activated and provide more defensible, vetted data from which to calculate results. As a result of these and subsequent exercises, transfer factors were needed for the following items: bell peppers, Christmas tree, deer, flowers, fresh cucumbers, tomatoes, grapefruit, lichens, mushrooms, oranges, snap beans, squash, strawberries, sugarcane for sugar and seed, sweet corn, tea, tobacco, tree bark, and watermelon. To expand the applicability of the information tables, generic transfer data were also provided for common categories and recommendations were made for expanding the list of chemicals based on chemical similarity. The data presented in this report were compiled from recent literature with most of the data encompassing the period from 2000 to 2018. The following radionuclides were targeted during the literature search: elements associated with reactor accidents or nuclear detonations (Sr 89/90, Cs 134/137, Ce 141/144, Ru 103/106, I 129/131/133, Pu 238/239, Am 241, Zr 95, and Nb 95) and elements associated with industrial accidents or dirty bombs (Ir 192 and Co 60). Data from other elements were evaluated if they were identified during the literature search. In addition, reports were evaluated that were recommended by the research consultants. For each plant or animal transfer factor, the goal was to determine the geometric mean, the geometric standard deviation, the minimum, the maximum, and the number of measurements used. If only one measurement was available that was presented as the mean. Concentration ratios with large geometric standard deviations (GSDs) were generally the result of a paucity of measurements or a few disparate measurements. Measurement disparity was observed for data from different soil types. The geometric mean (GM) is a good reference value for planning and responses purposes, but the location-specific concentrations are unlikely to be similar to the model results. Recommendations for further work include: segregating the data to reflect the influence of soil type, developing approaches to incorporate animal data based on aggregated transfer measurements, and including data for foliar deposition on plants.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Report on the sensitivity kernel construction and updating the SPiRaL model with waveform data

The WAVEFORMS Initiative in the Ground-based Nuclear Detonation Detection (GNDD) program includes research leading towards the prediction of entire seismic and acoustic waveforms produced by natural and manmade events, including explosions. A key aspect of this research is the development of Earth (seismic) models at multiple scales including crustal, regional, and global. The work described here pertains to the global-scale seismic tomography effort led by LLNL.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Corrective Action Decision Document/Corrective Action Plan for Corrective Action Units 101 and 102: Central and Western Pahute Mesa Nevada National Security Site, Nevada, Revision 2

This revision was prepared to document changes to the data-collection activities. Specifically, the drilling and completion of the wells have been revised, and enhancements to the surface geophysics measurements have been included. Corrective action is needed because underground radioactive contamination exists in these areas resulting from historic underground nuclear testing. The PM CAUs are located in the northwestern portion of the Nevada National Security Site and comprise 82 corrective action sites. A total of 85 underground nuclear detonations took place within the area covered by the PM CAUs between 1965 and 1992 and resulted in the release of radionuclides in the subsurface in the vicinity of the test cavities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Artificial perturbations of the radiation belts

A review is given of the properties of the radiation belts which have been produced by high-altitude nuclear detonations. The low-yield, Argus devices, 1, 2, and 3, and the Soviet test of 1 November 1962 injected intense electron fluxes in narrow L-shell intervals, with peaks at L = 1.72, 2.11, 2.17, and 1.77, respectively. The energy spectra of the electrons were indistinguishable from the equilibrium fission beta spectrum, and the fluxes initially decayed at rates approximately proportional to (time) sup -1.1. The high-yield devices, Starfish and the Soviet tests of 22 October and 28 October 1962, injected electrons over wide ranges. At L values near the lower boundary, the electron spectra appeared to be softer at the higher L values.

Cladis, J. B.↗

Response of surge protection devices to fast rising pulses

Two types of lightning protection modules incorporating leadless (pill type) Zener like devices were evaluated with regard to their ability to suppress EMP induced transients. Two series of tests were performed to evaluate the ability of these modules to react to fast rate of rise ( 1Kv/ns) transients, and the attenuation introduced and the ability to limit damped sinusoid pulses which may be induced due to an EMP resulting from a nuclear detonation.

Mindel, I. N.↗

Short-period atmospheric gravity waves - A study of their statistical properties and source mechanisms

Gravity waves for the one year period beginning 19 October 1976 around Palisades, New York, are investigated to determine their statistical properties and sources. The waves have typical periods of 10 min, pressure amplitudes of 3 Pa and velocities of 30 m/s. In general, the largest, amplitude waves occur during late fall and early winter when the upper tropospheric winds directly overhead are fastest and the static stability of the lower troposphere is greatest. Mean wave amplitudes correlate highly with the product of the mean maximum wind speed and the mean low level stratification directly aloft. A distinct diurnal variation of wave amplitudes with the largest waves occurring in the pre-dawn hours is also observed as a result of the increased static stability then. The majority of waves are generated by shear instability; however, a number of waves are generated by distant sources such as nuclear detonations or large thunderstorms. The waves with distant sources can be distinguished on the basis of their generally much higher coherency across the grid and velocities that depart markedly from the wind velocity at any point in the sounding.

Gedzelman, S. D.↗

Propagation of wide bandwidth signals through strongly turbulent ionized media

Analytic and numerical techniques are presented which directly address the problem of propagation of wide bandwidth signals through random ionized media. This work is applicable to the problems of satellite communication and space based radar observation through a disturbed ionospheric propagation channel that would result from a high altitude chemical release or nuclear detonation. An analytic solution is presented for the two-position, two-frequency mutual coherence function for spherical wave propagation in the strong scattering limit. This solution is used to derive simple expressions for the power impulse response function and to determine its relationship to the important parameters of decorrelation distance and coherence bandwidth which describe the disturbed propagation channel. Results for mean time delay and time delay jitter are presented and compared to direct simulation results and to other theoretical calculations. A numerical/analytical solution to the parabolic wave equation is presented in the form of a multiple phase-screen (MPS) propagation simulation. In this very general solution technique, the random medium is divided into a finite number of layers. The field fluctuation through each layer is obtained by replacing the layer by a centrally located thin phase-screen, whose statistical properties are determined from the statistics of the electron-density irregularities. The waveform then propagates from phase-screen to phase-screen via an exact solution to the Fresnel-Kirchnoff equation. For wide bandwidth waveforms, numerical solutions are obtained at a number of discrete frequencies centered about the carrier and then time-domain solutions are obtained by Fourier transform techniques. Detailed results are presented for a number of interesting cases including propagation of a 20 MHz bandwidth signal through a finite barium cloud at a carrier frequency of 100 MHz. One of the major uses of the MPS propagation simulation has been to provide realizations of the received signal after propagation through a disturbed channel. The MPS simulation obtains a general solution of the parabolic wave equation under both weak and strong scattering conditions. A second technique to directly obtain realizations of wide bandwidth waveforms is presented here. This technique is limited to the case of strong scattering but requires only a fraction of the computer resources needed for MPS signal generation. Detailed comparisons of the two signal generation techniques are presented.

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