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Explainable and trustworthy artificial intelligence for correctable modeling in chemical sciences

Data science has primarily focused on big data, but for many physics, chemistry, and engineering applications, data are often small, correlated and, thus, low dimensional, and sourced from both computations and experiments with various levels of noise. Typical statistics and machine learning methods do not work for these cases. Expert knowledge is essential, but a systematic framework for incorporating it into physics-based models under uncertainty is lacking. Here, we develop a mathematical and computational framework for probabilistic artificial intelligence (AI)–based predictive modeling combining data, expert knowledge, multiscale models, and information theory through uncertainty quantification and probabilistic graphical models (PGMs). We apply PGMs to chemistry specifically and develop predictive guarantees for PGMs generally. Our proposed framework, combining AI and uncertainty quantification, provides explainable results leading to correctable and, eventually, trustworthy models. The proposed framework is demonstrated on a microkinetic model of the oxygen reduction reaction.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Understanding of Ag Nanocatalysts for Electrocatalytic CO2 Conversion: Effects of Particle Size and Carbon Support

In this talk, we combined ultrahigh vacuum (UHV) surface science techniques, electrochemical measurements, and computational modeling to investigate Ag based electrocatalysts for CO2 reduction reaction (CO2RR). Our goal is to understand the critical characteristics governing the activity and selectivity of Ag electrocatalysts. Ag electrocatalysts were grown on highly oriented pyrolytic graphite (HOPG) in the UHV chamber, characterized with X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) and scanning tunneling microscopy (STM), and then tested in a custom-built gastight H-cell. Supported by computational modeling based on density functional theory (DFT) calculations and microkinetic modeling (MKM), our studies revealed a strong size-dependent electrocatalytic CO2-to-CO conversion of the Ag nanoparticle electrocatalysts with average particle diameter between 2 to 6 nm. Smaller diameter (< 3 nm) particles favored H2 evolution reaction (HER) due to a high population of Ag edge sites, whereas larger diameter particles favored CO2RR as the population of Ag(100) surface sites grew. We further discovered that electronic interactions between small diameter Ag particles and highly defective carbon supports could break the size-dependent CO2RR reactivity, resulting in highly selective (CO Faradaic Efficiency > 90%) and active Ag nanoparticle electrocatalysts with sizes < 2 nm diameter. This knowledge is key to understand electrocatalysts performance and to ultimately guide electrocatalyst design

Ag nanoparticles↗

Mechanistic insights into nitrogen activation on atomic Ru clusters in self-pillared pentasil using operando atomistic models and experimental kinetics

Alternative catalysts to the industrial Haber Bosch process have been of significant interest in the field of heterogeneous catalysis, yet realizing ammonia synthesis under mild conditions (e.g., 300 °C and 10 bar) is challenging due to the low per-pass conversion. One strategy is to promote the associative ammonia synthesis mechanism which eschews direct N-N bond cleavage. Here, in this work, we use self-pillared pentasil, a self-pillared hierarchical zeolite built by thin MFI zeolite nanosheets, as a support for subnanometric Ru clusters to synthesize ammonia. We show that Ru remains well-dispersed during reaction and further demonstrate that ammonia synthesis rates are higher than Cs-Ru/MgO. Reaction kinetics show a positive order in H 2 providing evidence for the associative mechanism, which then becomes negative in H 2 if Ru is allowed to aggregate into nanoparticles. Operando Density Functional Theory models for Ru speciation in SPP, free energy diagrams, and microkinetic modeling were then applied to develop a reaction mechanism that involves sequential hydrogenation of N 2 from metallic Ru clusters. For this hydrogenation to occur, there are site requirements for N 2 to adopt a bridge-bound configuration that facilitates sequential hydrogenation on single sites and metal clusters. These site requirements in turn inform the design of improved zeolite-supported ammonia synthesis catalysts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ethylene oxidation on unpromoted silver catalysts: Reaction pathway and selectivity analysis using DFT calculations

Chemical conversions in catalytic partial oxidation processes of light hydrocarbons are responsible for the production of numerous industrial chemicals, plastics, and intermediates. These processes are relatively expensive to perform, and are typically operated at high thermodynamic inefficiency, so the development of novel, highly efficient catalysts would prove to be very cost effective. Herein, our study focused on surface catalytic mechanisms of the ethylene oxide (EO) formation process. Periodic plane-wave Density Functional Theory (DFT) methods were used to analyze related reaction mechanisms on the Ag(111) surface facet with low coverage. Energetic changes of related species and pathways were calculated. Key surface species are identified to suggest the factors for the observed selectivity during EO formation. Our results are consistent with previous kinetic modeling efforts in the literature which did not employ DFT analysis. Lastly, our study demonstrates how fundamental theoretical investigations and multi-scale modeling techniques are currently impacting the advancement of rational catalyst design and microkinetic modeling techniques in the light hydrocarbon processing industry.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Cross-Scale Catalyst Modeling Applied to H 2 Storage and Release via Formic Acid

Here, we propose the Systems-to-Atoms (S2A) modeling framework that integrates the kinetics of reaction chemistry and structural configurations across various length scales with the aim of establishing a versatile template for multiscale modeling of reactive flow problems and to predict the operando activity of catalyst materials. The approach encompasses a microkinetic model to analyze surface reactions on individual facets of catalyst nanoparticles coupled with the computation of average surface reaction rates for catalyst nanoparticles of specific size distributions. Macro-homogeneous surface reaction kinetics are derived as a function of catalyst loading and used as input parameters for the continuum-scale reactor model. The cross-scale framework enables the optimization of catalyst utilization through reactor design and operating strategy. To demonstrate the framework, we studied the storage and release of hydrogen from formic acid, a promising liquid organic hydrogen carrier (LOHC), over Pd, Pt, and Cu catalysts. The framework predicts observed trends in formic acid dehydrogenation activity for catalysts with comparable weight loadings and metal particle diameters, demonstrating satisfactory quantitative alignment. Finally, the seamless transmission of parameter uncertainties between scales is also discussed.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Catalytic resonance theory for parametric uncertainty of programmable catalysis

Microkinetic models are useful tools for screening catalytic materials; however, errors in their input parameters can lead to significant uncertainty in model predictions of catalyst performance. Here, in this work, we investigate the impact of linear scaling and Brønsted-Evans-Polanyi relation parametric uncertainty on microkinetic predictions of programmable-catalyst performance. Two case studies are considered: a generic A-to-B prototype reaction and the oxygen evolution reaction (OER). The results show that error-unaware models can accurately predict trends and, for the prototype reaction, values of optimal waveform parameters. The specific model parameters driving output uncertainty are identified via variance-based global sensitivity analysis. However, predictions of dynamic rate enhancement can decrease when uncertainty is propagated into the models. In both cases, we identify operating conditions where the programmable catalyst achieves a rate enhancement of at least one order of magnitude despite parametric uncertainty in the model, supporting programmable catalysis as a viable strategy for exceeding the Sabatier limit.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Electrocatalytic nitrate reduction on rhodium sulfide compared to Pt and Rh in the presence of chloride

Chloride poisoning is a serious problem for the electrocatalytic reduction of aqueous nitrate (NO 3 – ) and improved electrocatalysts are needed. Here we study the electrocatalytic activity of rhodium sulfide supported on carbon (Rh x S y /C) for the reduction of nitrate and compare it against Pt/C and Rh/C in the presence of chloride. Between 0.05–0.15 V vs. RHE, Rh x S y /C has a steady-state nitrate reduction current density in 1 M H 2 SO 4 + 1 M NaNO 3 that is 1.6–5.6 times greater than Rh/C (the most active metal electrocatalyst) and 10–24 times greater than Pt/C. Current densities are decreased by 37% for Rh x S y /C, 62% for Rh/C, and 40% for Pt/C at 0.1 V vs. RHE in the presence of 1 mM chloride. The decrease in nitrate reduction activity for Pt, Rh, and Rh x S y is due to the competitive adsorption of chloride and nitrate on the surface. Density functional theory (DFT) modeling predicts that chloride poisoning will persistently inhibit nitrate reduction on metals due to linear adsorbate scaling relations between nitrate and chloride. DFT calculations and microkinetic modeling of our experimental measurements predict that nitrate converts to nitrite via an H-assisted dissociation mechanism on Pt and direct nitrate dissociation on Rh and Rh x S y . Pristine Rh x S y (i.e., Rh 3 S 4 , Rh 2 S 3 , and Rh 17 S 15 ) terraces are predicted to be inactive toward nitrate reduction. In contrast, sulfur vacancies in Rh 3 S 4 terraces are predicted to be active for nitrate reduction, but also bind chloride strongly. Furthermore, sulfur-defected Rh 3 S 4 rationalize the experimentally observed high activity but moderate chloride poison-resistance of Rh x S y /C for nitrate reduction.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Adsorbate Free Energies from DFT-Derived Translational Energy Landscapes

Adsorption free energies are fundamental to surface chemistry and catalysis. Standard models combine some assumed analytical form of the translational potential energy surface, often parameterized against density functional theory (DFT) calculations, with an analytical expression for the resultant translational densities of states (DOS), free energy, and entropy. Here we compare the performance of such models against numerical evaluations of the DOS and thermodynamic functions derived from solutions to the translational Schrodinger equation. We compare results for a translational potential energy surface (PES) derived from nudged eleastic band calculations with those obtained from adsorbate rastering across a series of monatomic (O, S, C, N, H) and polyatomic (NH x ) adsorbates on (100) Pt and Au facets. We find that analytical models as commonly parameterized have mixed performance for describing the translational PES and that the consequences for computed free energies are modest but potentially significant in microkinetic models. Here, numerical solutions are possible for modest to no additional computational cost over analytical models and thus should be considered when reliable free energy estimates are needed or translational potential energy surfaces are available.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Uncertainty Quantification and Error Propagation in the Enthalpy and Entropy of Surface Reactions Arising from a Single DFT Functional

Accounting for parametric uncertainty in models is essential for quantifying the models’ predictive ability. Recently, approaches have been introduced to estimate parametric uncertainty in kinetic models while accounting for correlations among energy parameters. However, correlations have been estimated indirectly and correlations in entropies have not been accounted for. For surface-catalyzed microkinetic models of >C2 (more than two carbon-containing) molecules, which consist of thousands of reaction steps and intermediate surface species, first-principles density functional theory (DFT) is costly, and thus, estimation of thermochemistry and reaction barriers requires surrogate methods of DFT, such as group additivity and Brønsted–Evans–Polanyi relationships, respectively. For such parametrization, model uncertainty is unclear. This work develops a framework to overcome these gaps using group additivity and a single DFT functional. We estimate correlations in parameters of kinetic models and quantify uncertainty for thermochemistry, reaction barriers, reaction paths, and ultimately reaction rates, accounting also for the contribution of entropic uncertainty. Furthermore, the approach is illustrated on propane combustion and ethane oxidative dehydrogenation reactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Understanding the Unique Reactivity of Cu for Electrochemical CO 2 Reduction with a 3-Site Model

Cu-based catalysts for the electrochemical reduction of CO 2 and CO exhibit a perplexingly unique reactivity toward multicarbon based products compared to other studied electrocatalysts. Here, in this study, we use insights gained from a recent phenomenological 3-site microkinetic model and grand-canonical density functional theory calculations to clarify the importance of an underemphasized aspect critical to Cu’s unique reactivity: a population of so-called “reservoir” sites. Using model Cu surface motifs, we discuss how these types can be represented by undercoordinated structural defects like step edges and grain boundaries which form a network of highly anisotropic migration channels. These pathways are found to be amenable for feeding *CO over time to reactive sites like Cu adatoms more active toward C–C coupling. These results highlight an often overlooked aspect of catalyst optimization: reservoir site engineering, which exploits surface mobility and presents an equally important avenue for electrocatalyst engineering oversimply maximizing active site densities.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

First-Principles Insights into the Thermocatalytic Cracking of Ammonia-Hydrogen Blends on Fe(110). 2. Kinetics

Ammonia (NH 3 ) is an energy-rich molecule that is routinely synthesized from nitrogen (N 2 ) and hydrogen (H 2 ). NH 3 ’s more favorable physical properties compared to H 2 suggests it may offer a way to more conveniently store, transport, and, when needed, extract H 2 via thermal decomposition. However, the high kinetic barrier and endoergicity to decompose to H 2 and N 2 require high temperatures. The standard reaction free energy indicates nearly 100% thermodynamic conversion to the diatomic molecules only at ~673 K and higher. However, even at these temperatures, a catalyst, e.g., iron (Fe), is needed for favorable kinetic conversion. Here, in this study, we explore via density functional theory the kinetics of NH 3 decomposition on the most stable facet of body-centered cubic Fe, namely, (110), under typical high-temperature and finite-pressure operando conditions. We predict coverage-dependent energetics of elementary surface reactions, often neglected in atomic-scale modeling. From these models, we find the recombinative desorption of adsorbed N as N 2 is rate-determining at 573.15–773.15 K and even at an extreme case of 1173.15 K. From microkinetic modeling, we find that the steady-state turnover frequencies (TOFs) for N 2 and H 2 generation rates (r$_{H_2}$) depend exponentially on temperature. The catalyst achieves a steady-state TOF of 36.4 s –1 and an r$_{H_2}$ of 0.107 μmol cm –2 s –1 for a feed of 1.8 bar NH 3 with 0.2 bar H 2 at 1173.15 K. However, at 773.15 K, with the same feed composition and velocity, the steady-state TOF and r$_{H_2}$ decrease to 0.14 s –1 and 4.10 × 10 –4 μmol cm –2 s –1 , respectively, as the process is significantly hindered by slow N 2 desorption. Although at first glance counterintuitive, our simulations suggest that surface modifications that reduce Fe’s reactivity toward NH x species should enhance its overall NH 3 decomposition activity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Modeling Synergistic Fuel Cell Membrane Degradation with Mitigating Effects of Cerium

During operation, polymer-electrolyte-membrane (PEM) fuel cells undergo mechanical and chemical degradation mechanisms, which behave synergistically and lead to accelerated membrane degradation over time. This study builds upon previous modeling work on mechanical degradation as described by a pinhole in the membrane and the effects of cerium on chemical degradation.1 By combining these two models, analysis can be carried out on the coupled degradation methods and how the mitigation effects of cerium disrupt the degradation cycle. The mechanical model represents a pinhole in the membrane using an effective void fraction, which allows for increased gas crossover through the membrane and impacts the membrane transport and mechanical properties. A microkinetic model for the chemical degradation is included in the model, including attack of the membrane polymer by hydroxyl radicals as well as the mitigation reaction for quenching of hydroxyl radicals with cerium. A concentrated solution theory approach is used to model the transport of cerium ions throughout the cell.2 The model results show how the location of cerium in the cell can be used to prevent chemical degradation. In addition, the model shows how cerium slows down the rate of pinhole growth by reducing the gas crossover and membrane thinning rate. Finally, the model can be used to optimize the distribution of cerium in the membrane and catalyst layers by balancing trade-offs between lowering degradation rates and decreasing fuel cell performance.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Synergic Effects of Surface Chemistry and Applied Potentials on the Kinetics of the Electrocatalytic Oxygen Evolution Reaction in IrO 2

Improving the efficacy of the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) through water oxidation is critical for advancing photoelectrochemical water splitting. Among the catalysts, IrO 2 exhibits a high OER catalytic activity and stability under acidic conditions. The OER mechanism in this system has been a topic of intense research; however, many mechanistic understandings are lacking. In this work, we carried out first-principles calculations with an implicit solvation model at a constant potential to study the OER behavior on the IrO 2 (110) surface. We find that the surface hydrogen coverage has a significant effect on OER kinetics and transition states. We then develop a microkinetics model that accounts for the continuous evolution of both OER activation energy and hydrogen coverage as a function of an applied potential. We show that this inclusion leads to significant improvement in the simulated Tafel plot compared to available experiments. In conclusion, our results point to a complex interplay between surface chemistry and the applied potential on OER kinetics.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Multi-Scale Modeling for Plasma-Enhanced Ammonia Decomposition over Carbides and Nitrides

Ammonia is a carbon-free hydrogen carrier, but its decomposition typically requires high temperatures over costly Ru-based catalysts due to the large barrier for N≡N bond formation. We develop a multiscale framework combining density functional theory, zero-dimensional plasma kinetics, and microkinetic modeling to elucidate how non-thermal plasma (NTP) enables low-temperature NH 3 decomposition over Co-based carbides and nitrides, benchmarked against Ru and Co. Under thermal conditions, all catalysts are limited by N≡N bond formation, with Co 3 C(001) most active owing to its negatively charged surface, strong N* binding, and low activation barriers of N≡N bond formation. Plasma-induced vibrational excitation of NH 3 and its reactive radicals promotes a radical-driven •NH 2 –N* coupling pathway that dominates on Co 3 C(001) and Co 3 N(001), shifting the rate-limiting step to NH 3 (v1) dissociation, increasing turnover frequencies by up to 6 orders of magnitude, and reducing the temperature needed to reach a turnover frequency of 5 s –1 from >680 °C (Ru and Co under thermal condition) to 267 °C (Co 3 C) and 415 °C (Co 3 N). These results identify Co-based carbides and nitrides as promising plasma-active catalysts for energy-efficient hydrogen production from ammonia.

ammonia decomposition↗

Oxidative dehydrogenation of propane on the oxygen adsorbed edges of boron nitride nanoribbons

Metal-free boron nitride has recently been reported to exhibit high catalytic activity and selectivity towards oxidative dehydrogenation of propane (ODHP). Despite several experimental studies, the exact nature and function of the active sites in this emerging catalyst are unknown. In the present work, density functional theory calculations are combined with microkinetic modeling to systematically explore the ODHP on oxygen passivated boron nitride nanoribbons (BNNRs). Here, the relative stabilities of different edge structures of BNNR were examined using ab initio thermodynamic analysis, and the most stable oxygen passivated edge structure was used for a mechanistic study. Microkinetic analysis revealed that a N 2 O or NO x -type active site is active and selective for the conversion of propane to propene. In addition to a heterogeneous catalytic cycle, the proposed N 2 O/NO x -type active sites are expected to be able to generate gas phase C 3 H 7 ˙, which in turn can trigger gas phase reactions of ODHP as experimentally speculated.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Modeling Hydrogen Evolution Reaction Kinetics through Explicit Water–Metal Interfaces

Despite the apparent simplicity of the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER) and the decades of research into it, controversy remains in the literature regarding the identity of the active site and the competition between the Heyrovsky and Tafel steps. In this work, we use charge-extrapolated ab initio simulations with explicit water in conjunction with mean-field microkinetic modeling to explore the mechanism for HER on both close-packed (111) and stepped (211) transition metals. First, we show that atop H*, beyond a monolayer of hollow H*, is unlikely to play a role in the HER mechanism, given its very positive adsorption energies. The energetics suggests the Volmer–Heyrovsky mechanism to predominate on fcc transition metals under typical operating conditions. Here, we evaluate our theoretical results vs several experimental observations. We show that the Volmer–Heyrovsky mechanism predicts an activity volcano with its peak at a H* binding ΔG H* ≈ 0 eV, consistent with experiment. In contrast, the Volmer–Tafel volcano shows a broad rate plateau between ΔG H* ≈ 0 eV and ΔG H* ≈ – 0.4 eV. We find our theoretical Tafel slopes to be consistent with experimental ones on a range of transition metals. We show that, in line with experimental observations, the introduction of a CO(g) atmosphere shifts the strong binding metals toward the weak binding leg. Our study suggests that the simple thermodynamic approach to HER activity still holds, even when a detailed kinetic picture is considered.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Multiscale modeling of hydrogenolysis of ethane and propane on Ru(0001): Implications for plastics recycling

Plastic waste presents an environmental threat. Chemical recycling via hydrogenolysis can convert plastic waste into waxes, lubricants, and fuels. Among catalysts, Ru stands out for its superior activity and selectivity. The chemistry of light alkane hydrogenolysis can help understanding plastics deconstruction. Here, we perform first-principles calculations, develop descriptor-based relations, and conduct microkinetic modeling and analysis on ethane and propane. Predictions are in excellent agreement with experimental data. We identify a similar cracking pattern for both hydrocarbons entailing a deeply dehydrogenated species with the removal of four hydrogen atoms: CHCH*+* → 2CH* for ethane and CH 3 CCH*+2* → CH 3 C* + CH* for propane. We find that the rate-determining step is the C-C cracking for ethane and the first dehydrogenation from the terminal carbon (CH 3 CH 2 CH 3 *+* → CH 3 CH 2 CH 2 *+H*) for propane. The vinyl species CH 2 CH* produced from propane cracking is responsible for whether a single or multiple cracking events occur and effectively controls the selectivity. Specifically, ethane formation in propane hydrogenolysis is suppressed at elevated temperatures due to over-cracking via multiple (two here) cracking events being preferred over hydrogenation and desorption of ethane from the catalyst. Our workflow and models provide a baseline for future studies on heavier hydrocarbons. Insights into recent experimental studies of polyethylene over Ru-based catalysts are discussed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗