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DOE OSTI2025

Future Industrial Demand: Large, Elastic, and Concentrated [Guest Editorial]

Here, the future industrial demand on the grid is expected to be large, price sensitive, and concentrated. Grid industrial demand increasingly encompasses a new customer type defined as a large flexible load (LFL). This LFL type defines customers with consumption that responds quickly to price or other incentives without interrupting their core business process, such cryptocurrency mining. This customer type can often ramp up and down quickly, which across an entire industry can mean gigawatts of power within a few minutes. In addition to these price-sensitive loads, significant growth is also anticipated in sectors like manufacturing, data centers, and electrification of transportation and buildings.

Mukherjee, Srijib [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (↗

DOE OSTI2021

Electrification Futures Study: Scenarios of Power System Evolution and Infrastructure Development for the United States

This report is one in a series of Electrification Futures Study (EFS) publications. The EFS is a multiyear research project to explore potential widespread electrification in the future energy system of the United States. Electrification is defined as the substitution of electricity for direct combustion of non-electricity-based fuels used to provide similar services. The EFS is specifically designed to examine electric technology advancement and adoption for end uses in the major economic sectors of the United States, electricity consumption growth and load profiles, future power system infrastructure development and operations, and economic and environmental implications of electrification. Because of the expansive scope and the multiyear duration of the study, research findings and supporting data will be published as a series of reports, with each report being released on its own time frame.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Charting a Path for Research and Development of Reliability and Resilience in South Asia's Power Sector

The power sector in South Asia faces several trends with the potential to impact its reliability and resilience. Rapidly increasing demand, coupled with an increasing reliance on variable renewable resources and the circular linkages with climate change points to an increasing need to understand the extent of climate impacts on both the electricity load and the electricity generation. These larger shifts are also coupled with opportunities near the grid edge that could have a large impact on system planning and operations, such as electrification of the transport sector, increased reliance on buildings to serve a broader set of loads and be flexible resources for utilities, more efficient use of industrial and agricultural loads, and growth in distributed energy resources such as rooftop solar and batteries. It is critical that as this transformation takes place that expectations for reliability and resilience of the grid continue to increase in the region. The South Asia Group for Energy (SAGE), composed of USAID, the US Department of Energy, and three national laboratories, has been tasked with providing an overview of the research and development resources necessary to understand the upcoming challenges for the power system as it pertains to reliability and resilience. This discussion paper identifies some of the key trends and connections that are important for power sector reliability and resilience and provides a starting point for eliciting feedback from power sector stakeholders about their experiences and needs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

MegaWatt Mayhem: Grid Operator Challenges Center Loads

This report provides a summary of the challenges faced by United States electricity grid operators in accommodating and anticipating the rapid deployment of large loads, particularly data centers, based on academic literature and industry working groups. The report highlights the unique requirements and operational characteristics of data centers, which differ significantly from traditional industrial loads. Key issues addressed utility planning considerations, with emphasis on the implications for grid operators, impacts to normal operations for grid operators, reliability considerations during periods of grid stress, and resilience considerations for the changing operational paradigms based on data centers. Real-world examples are used to highlight these challenges and the changes that grid operators must address. The findings underscore the necessity for coordinated efforts and innovative solutions from both grid operators and regulatory bodies to ensure the stable integration of large loads into the grid. This report is the first in a series that will explore the challenges of data center deployments based on several key power system perspectives.

24 - POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Transitioning to Hybrid Power Plants

Hybrid power plants are power generation systems that combine two or more types of electricity generation or storage, creating systems where the optimal dispatch provides more benefits that the sum of the individual components can. These plants exemplify the interconnected challenges of grid modernization. On one hand, rapid increase in deployment and enhanced controllability of renewable energy assets is needed to meet clean energy targets, but on the other, increasing electrification makes it more difficult to manage load and growth in the number of endpoints and stakeholders involved with hybrid plants complicates asset management and cybersecurity. This talk will cover trends in hybrid power plant technologies and deployments, identify future prospects for hybrid systems, and discuss the challenges and research opportunities that exist to transition from the traditional power grids of today to smart, distributed, hybrid power grids we may see in the next few decades.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

The heterogeneous nature of mechanically accelerated grain growth

Abstract While grain growth is traditionally viewed as a purely thermally driven process, nanocrystalline metals can undergo grain growth under mechanical loads, even at room temperature. We performed a detailed atomistic study of the heterogeneous nature of mechanically accelerated grain growth in a polycrystalline Pt nanowire. Using molecular dynamics simulations, we compared the grain-growth behavior of individual grains during tensile and shear cyclic loading, for three different equivalent strain levels, and at two temperatures. Pure thermal grain growth with no mechanical loading provided a baseline reference case. On average, grains that were already susceptible to thermal grain growth were stimulated to grow faster with mechanical loading, as expected. However, when analyzed on a grain-by-grain basis, the results were far more complex: grains that grew fastest under one stimuli were less accelerated under other stimuli. Even when the magnitude of loading changed, the relative growth of individual grains was distorted. We interpret this complexity from the perspective of superimposed growth mechanisms.

Chen, Elton Y.↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Model to Account for the Effects of Load Ratio and Hydrogen Pressure on the Fatigue Crack Growth Behavior of Pressure Vessel Steels

A phenomenological model for estimating the effects of load ratio R and hydrogen pressure P H2 on the hydrogen-assisted fatigue crack growth rate (HA–FCGR) behavior in the transient and steady-state regimes of pressure vessel steels is described. The “transient regime” is identified with crack growth within a severely embrittled zone of intense plasticity at the crack tip. The “steady-state” behavior is associated with the crack growing into a region of comparatively lower hydrogen concentration located further away from the crack tip. The model treats the effects of R and P H2 as being functionally separable. In the transient regime, the effects of the hydrogen pressure on the HA–FCGR behavior were negligible but were significant in the steady-state regime. The hydrogen concentration in the steady-state region is modeled as being dependent on the kinetics of lattice diffusion, which is sensitive to pressure. Experimental HA–FCGR data from the literature were used to validate the model. The new model was shown to be valid over a wide range of conditions that ranged between –1 ≤ R ≤ 0.8 and 0.02 ≤ P H2 ≤ 103 MPa for pressure vessel steels.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Poromechanical Framework for Internal Interactions Induced by Solid Inclusions

The framework of poromechanics is generalized to simulate the multiscale behavior of porous media subjected to internal loadings stemming from the growth of solid inclusions. This generalization is designed to enable the study of anisotropic internal stress generation from solid growth within the pores, while recovering isotropic fluid-induced loading as a particular case. For this purpose, a mathematical strategy to define constitutive tensors in a thermodynamically consistent form is proposed, thus offering new opportunities for determining the poromechanical properties of a porous solid through advanced experimentation or micromechanical models. The framework is specialized by means of established elastic solutions for single pore–matrix interaction, as well as through homogenization schemes considering the interaction among congruent pores. In particular, the second Eshelby solution and the Tanaka–Mori–Benveniste homogenization scheme are used to derive a microporoelastic model. At an elemental scale, the model is tested under mixed control conditions by replicating different scenarios of geomaterial testing. In addition, the model characteristics are outlined with reference to inelastic microscopic loadings replicating chemo-mechanical forcing, such as expansive crystal formation. Through a series of parametric analyses, it is shown that the microstructure of the pores significantly influences the properties of porous media. Most notably, it is shown that the effects of a solid forming within the pores depend in a highly nonlinear fashion on the constitutive characteristics of the inhomogeneities and can therefore not be readily quantified or predicted without models capturing the diverse multiscale interactions among pores, inhomogeneities, and matrix.

chemomechanics↗

DOE OSTI2024

A phosphorylation-deficient ribosomal protein eS6 is largely functional in Arabidopsis thaliana , rescuing mutant defects from global translation and gene expression to photosynthesis and growth

The eukaryote-specific ribosomal protein of the small subunit eS6 is phosphorylated through the target of rapamycin (TOR) kinase pathway. Although this phosphorylation event responds dynamically to environmental conditions and has been studied for over 50 years, its biochemical and physiological significance remains controversial and poorly understood. Here, we report data from Arabidopsis thaliana, which indicate that plants expressing only a phospho-deficient isoform of eS6 grow essentially normally under laboratory conditions. The eS6z (RPS6A) paralog of eS6 functionally rescued a double mutant in both rps6a and rps6b genes when expressed at approximately twice the wild-type dosage. A mutant isoform of eS6z lacking the major six phosphorylatable serine and threonine residues in its carboxyl-terminal tail also rescued the lethality, rosette growth, and polyribosome loading of the double mutant. This isoform also complemented many mutant phenotypes of rps6 that were newly characterized here, including photosynthetic efficiency, and most of the gene expression defects that were measured by transcriptomics and proteomics. However, compared with plants rescued with a phospho-enabled version of eS6z, the phospho-deficient seedlings retained a mild pointed-leaf phenotype, root growth was reduced, and certain cell cycle-related mRNAs and ribosome biogenesis proteins were misexpressed. The residual defects of the phospho-deficient seedlings could be understood as an incomplete rescue of the rps6 mutant defects. There was little or no evidence for gain-of-function defects. As previously published, the phospho-deficient eS6z also rescued the rps6a and rps6b single mutants; however, phosphorylation of the eS6y (RPS6B) paralog remained lower than predicted, further underscoring that plants can tolerate phospho-deficiency of eS6 well. Our data also yield new insights into how plants cope with mutations in essential, duplicated ribosomal protein isoforms.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Role of grain boundary crystallography on void growth in FCC metals

The growth of an isolated spherical void at and near a grain boundary or a triple junction is studied by means of full-field crystal plasticity simulations with explicit representation of the void. To examine the fundamental aspects of void/grain boundary interactions in these cases, a three-dimensional large-strain elasto-viscoplastic fast-Fourier transform (LS-EVP-FFT) model with axisymmetric tensile periodic boundary conditions was developed. We employ this model to reveal the role of crystallography (grain orientations, grain boundary misorientation and inclination angle with respect to the largest component of the applied stress) and type of loading on void growth. It was found that grain orientation was the primary crystallographic feature governing void growth in strain-rate controlled simulations. For strains small enough to not significantly alter the local geometry, the overall growth of the void in bicrystal boundaries was not strongly affected by grain boundary inclination angle. The relative amount of void growth experienced within each grain in a bicrystal or tri-crystal was strongly dependent on the grain boundary inclination angle. We found a subset of orientations that exhibit faster void growth in bicrystal boundaries than inside the constituent single crystals. Last, we show that when placed primarily in one grain but near the grain boundary, void growth was similar to void growth when placed at the grain boundary. Furthermore, the growing void remained in the original grain and did not grow into the other grain, regardless of crystallographic character.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Futures for electrochromic windows on high performance houses in arid, cold climates

This study investigates high performance electrochromic windows used on a passive house and residential dwelling to IECC 2021 (i.e., IECC dwelling). In the lab, the electrochromic film switches transmitted solar heat gain coefficient (SHGC) from 0.09 to 0.7 and visible transmittance from 0.15 to 0.82 with power consumption of 1.23 W/m 2 during switching times less than 3 minutes. We extrapolate these results to a window assembly. Building energy models of the houses were evaluated in Santa Fe, New Mexico. A Monte Carlo analysis for 2020, 2040, 2060, and 2080 was conducted for Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2-4.5, 3-7.0, and 5-8.5. Cases with and without the electrochromic windows and with and without electricity were used to determine energy use intensity and hours beyond thermal safety thresholds. The passive house showed 1.3-3.1% mean energy savings and the IECC dwelling 4.4-5.1% with electrochromic efficiency benefits growing into the future for both cases. Even so, overall savings decrease into the future for the passive house, due to growth in cooling load being dominant, conversely overall energy savings increase into the future for the IECC dwelling due to heating loads being dominant. For thermal resilience, the passive house exhibited a mean percent decrease of 0.02-0.31% hours in the extreme caution (i.e., > 32.2 °C, ≤ 39.4 °C) range while the IECC dwelling exhibited 0.38-4.38%. The study therefore shows that electrochromic windows will have smaller benefits for the passive house in comparison to the IECC dwelling. The relationship between electrochromic windows is shown to have a complex relationship between house efficiency and climate change by these results.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Biohydrogen Generation from Un-Pretreated Spent Coffee Grounds with Clostridium Thermocellum

Coffee is among the world's most widely consumed beverages, generating 18 million wet tonnes of waste spent coffee grounds annually. Disposal of SCGs is complicated by their high moisture content, their recalcitrant chemical composition, and the presence of caffeine and other bioactive compounds. Dark fermentation is a promising technology for conversion of waste cellulosic biomass into renewable hydrogen, carbon dioxide, and volatile fatty acids. Typical SCGs have high moisture content, are pre-milled to fine particle sizes, and contain 8%-19% cellulose and up to 40% hemicellulose, making them an attractive feedstock for dark fermentation. In this study, we investigate biohydrogen production from unpretreated SCGs using Clostridium thermocellum strain KJC19-9, a cellulolytic bacterium engineered to co-utilize xylose, specifically examining the inhibitory effects of residual caffeine and high solids loadings on microbial growth and hydrogen production efficiency. While SCGs were initially resistant to both cell growth and biohydrogen production, a strategy to co-ferment with low concentrations of cellobiose dramatically enhanced process performance, reducing lag phase duration and enabling cellulosome production for efficient cellulose hydrolysis. This co-substrate approach generated up to 944 mL hydrogen per L reaction from 50 g/L of spent coffee grounds over 120 h (1.34 mol H2/mol carbohydrate), validating SCGs as a promising dark fermentation feedstock and underscoring the value of mixed substrate approaches in consolidated bioprocessing.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2020

Effects of cryogenic temperature and grain size on fatigue-crack propagation in the medium-entropy CrCoNi alloy

CrCoNi-based high-entropy alloys have demonstrated outstanding mechanical properties, particularly at cryogenic temperatures. Here we investigate the fatigue-crack propagation properties of the equiatomic, single-phase, face-centered cubic, medium-entropy alloy (MEA), CrCoNi, that displays exceptional strength, ductility and toughness, all of which are enhanced at cryogenic temperatures. Fatigue-crack growth is examined, at a load ratio of 0.1 over a wide range of growth rates, from ~10 –11 to >10 –7 m/cycle, at room (293 K) and cryogenic (198 K, 77 K) temperatures for two grain sizes (~7 and 68 µm), with emphasis on near-threshold behavior. We find that the ΔK th fatigue thresholds are increased with decreasing temperature and increasing grain size: from 5.7 MPa√m at 293 K to 8 MPa√m at 77 K in the fine-grained alloy, and from 9.4 MPa√m at 293 K to 13.7 MPa√m at 77 K in the coarse-grained alloy. Mechanistically, transgranular cracking at 293 K transitions to a mixture of intergranular and transgranular at cryogenic temperatures, where the increased propensity of nano-twins appears to inhibit growth rates by deflecting the crack path. However, the main factor affecting near-threshold behavior is roughness-induced crack closure from interference between the crack flanks, which is enhanced by the rougher fracture surfaces at low temperatures, particularly in the coarser-grained microstructure. Here, fatigue-crack propagation behavior in CrCoNi is comparable to nickel-based superalloys but is superior to that of the high-entropy CrMnFeCoNi (Cantor) alloy and many high-strength steels, making the CrCoNi alloy an excellent candidate material for safety-critical applications, particularly involving low temperatures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Metamorphic Tunnel Junctions Grown Via MOCVD Designed for GaAs 0.75 P 0.25 /Si Tandem Solar Cells

A high-performance metamorphic Al 0.2 Ga 0.8 As 0.75 P 0.25 /GaAs 0.75 P 0.25 heterojunction tunnel junction structure was developed for application to monolithic epitaxial GaAs 0.75 P 0.25 /Si 1.7 eV/1.1 eV bandgap tandem solar cells produced via metal-organic chemical vapor deposition. Doping optimization focused on both bulk doping concentrations and mitigating the transient incorporation effects that otherwise causes non-abrupt doping profiles in the Te doped layer. Furthermore, these efforts resulted in a fully-relaxed metamorphic tunnel diode at the target lattice constant having a peak tunneling current density (JP) of 279.1 A·cm –2 and a zero-bias resistance area product (RA) of 3.0×10 –4 Ω·cm 2 . After post-growth annealing to emulate the thermal load of the GaAs 0.75 P 0.25 top cell growth and elimination of the performance enhancing carbon activation anneal, the device achieved JP = 13.1 A·cm –2 and RA = 1.5×10 –3 Ω·cm 2 . These worst-case values are very promising as they enable the operation of GaAs 0.75 P 0.25 /Si tandems under one-sun AM1.5G illumination with negligible series resistance and at AM1.5D concentrations up to 240 suns with only 0.1% absolute efficiency loss.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

One dislocation at a time

The direct observation of enhanced dislocation mobility in iron by in situ electron microscopy offers key insights and adds to the ongoing debate on the mechanisms of hydrogen embrittlement. The tiniest atom in nature, hydrogen, is pervasive and sneaky. When hydrogen atoms, either from gas or liquid sources, come into contact with a metal, they rush into the solid and squeeze through the narrow spaces between the host atoms. Being chemically active, atomic hydrogen can potentially bind to either host or impurity atoms, forming hydrides and thus changing a material’s properties. Metals, which are well known and widely used in industry for their strength and ductility, can become dangerously brittle when exposed to hydrogen. Furthermore, this phenomenon is known as hydrogen embrittlement and can lead to catastrophic failure of a load-bearing part. For example, the hydrogen produced when water molecules break apart in coolants in a nuclear reactor can cause sudden failure of the pressure vessel. In another example, although blending hydrogen in natural-gas pipelines provides a promising pathway to transition into the hydrogen economy, it could lower the fatigue resistance of the pipeline steel, making it more susceptible to crack growth due to cyclic loading induced by pressure fluctuations in the pipeline. Remarkably, perhaps as a result of a multitude of recognized failure mechanisms in which hydrogen can potentially participate, it still remains unknown exactly why hydrogen makes a metal brittle. Now, writing in Nature Materials, Longchao Huang and colleagues present unambiguous experimental observations of hydrogen-enhanced dislocation mobility in iron, offering key insights into the hydrogen embrittlement mechanisms.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Factors influencing recent trends in retail electricity prices in the United States

This study analyzes the primary drivers of recent state-level trends in U.S. retail electricity prices. We summarize pricing trends, explore descriptive relationships, and employ regression models to quantify the influence of various factors. Although the recent national rise in retail prices has largely tracked inflation, state-level trends vary widely. We identify a number of factors that explain trends in subsets of states. States with the greatest price increases typically exhibited shrinking customer loads—partially linked to growth in net metered behind-the-meter solar—and had renewables portfolio standards (RPS) in concert with relatively costly incremental renewable energy supplies. By contrast, recent utility-scale wind and solar deployment that occurred outside RPS programs (but that benefited from tax incentives) had no discernible impact on increased retail prices. Hurricanes, storms and wildfires also contributed to sizable price increases in some states, most notably in California, where wildfire risk mitigation and liability insurance were major cost drivers. Fluctuations in natural gas prices—particularly following the onset of the Ukraine-Russia war—further contributed to sharp price increases through 2022–2023 in many states, with moderation in 2024. The relative influence of these factors varies across states and over time, and relationships may change in the future. Nonetheless, the findings underscore the diverse set of price determinants and highlight the need for continued research to inform effective policy and ensure customer affordability.

Customer load↗

DOE OSTI2023

Molecular Dynamics Simulations of Calcite Fracture in Water

Calcite (CaCO 3 ) is one of the most common minerals in geologic and engineered systems. It is often in contact with aqueous solutions, causing chemically assisted fracture that is critical to understanding the stability of subsurface systems and manmade structures. Calcite fracture was evaluated with reactive molecular dynamics simulations, including the impacts of crack tip geometry (notch), the presence of water, and surface hydroxyl groups. Chemo-mechanical weakening was assessed by comparing the loads where fracture began to propagate. Our analyses show that in the presence of a notch, the load at which crack growth begins is lower, compared to the effect of water or surface hydroxyls. Additionally, the breaking of two adjacent Ca–O bonds is the kinetic limitation for crack initiation, since transiently broken bonds can reform, not resulting in crack growth. In aqueous environments, fresh (not hydroxylated) calcite surfaces exhibited water strengthening. Manual addition of H + and/or OH – species on the (104) calcite surface resulted in chemo-mechanical weakening of calcite by 9%. Achieving full hydroxylation of the calcite surface was thermodynamically and kinetically limited, with only 0.17–0.01 OH/nm 2 surface hydroxylation observed on the (104) surface at the end of the simulations. In conclusion, the limited reactivity of pure water with the calcite surface restricts the chemo-mechanical effects and suggests that reactions between physiosorbed water and localized structural defects may be dominating the chemo-mechanical process in the studies where water weakening has been reported.

Calcite↗

DOE OSTI2023

Hall interchange instability as a seed for helical magneto-Rayleigh–Taylor instabilities in magnetized liner inertial fusion Z-Pinches scaled from Z-Machine parameters to a next generation pulsed power facility

Magnetized liner inertial fusion (MagLIF) is a magneto-inertial-fusion concept that is studied on the 20-MA, 100-ns rise time Z Pulsed Power Facility at Sandia National Laboratories. Given the relative success of the platform, there is a wide interest in studying the scaled performance of this concept at a next-generation pulsed-power facility that may produce peak currents upward of 60 MA. An important aspect that requires more research is the instability dynamics of the imploding MagLIF liner, specifically how instabilities are initially seeded. It has been shown in magnetized 1-MA thin-foil liner Z-pinch implosion simulations that a Hall interchange instability (HII) effect can provide an independent seeding mechanism for helical magneto-Rayleigh–Taylor instabilities. Here in this paper, we explore this instability at higher peak currents for MagLIF using 2D discontinuous Galerkin PERSEUS simulations, an extended magneto-hydrodynamics code, which includes Hall physics. Our simulations of scaled MagLIF loads show that the growth rate of the HII is invariant to the peak current, suggesting that studies at 20-MA are directly relevant to 60-MA class machines.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗