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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Determining the Solubility Behavior of Kogarkoite in Simulated Nuclear Waste

Kogarkoite (Na 3 FSO 4 ) is a sparingly soluble fluoride–sulfate double salt that has been identified in high level nuclear waste sludge at the Hanford Site and, more recently, in sludge batch compilation samples at the Savannah River Site (SRS). Due to its complex dissolution behavior, which exhibits an inverse dependence on sodium ion activity, the presence of this mineral poses significant challenges to waste retrieval and processing. Incomplete dissolution during sludge washing can lead to the retention of fluoride and sulfate in the high-level waste feed, potentially causing the formation of corrosive, immiscible molten salt layers, known as "glass gall,” in vitrification melters. Current efforts to optimize flowsheet parameters and wash-water volumes are hindered by the absence of a commercially available, certified reference material, which prevents the accurate calibration of analytical methods and the verification of dissolution kinetics. To address this critical gap, this research focuses on the laboratory synthesis of pure Kogarkoite to serve as a standard for comprehensive solubility and washing performance testing. A coupled synthesis and simulant campaign was executed using an evaporative crystallization protocol designed to replicate the dynamic concentration effects observed in tank farm operations. Thirteen simulant matrices were prepared by dissolving systematically varied ratios of sodium fluoride (NaF) and sodium sulfate (Na 2 SO 4 ) in deionized water under three distinct caustic regimes: 0.0 g (control), 4.0 g (~1 M), and 12.0 g (~3 M) sodium hydroxide (NaOH). While thermodynamic equilibrium models suggest that high-caustic environments should favor the stability of the double salt7, results from this evaporative study at 25 0 C revealed a distinct kinetic divergence. Simulants with high hydroxide loading predominantly yielded large, blocky crystals of sodium sulfate decahydrate (Na 2 SO 4 .10H 2 O). Successful synthesis of pure Kogarkoite was achieved exclusively in specific NaOH-free compositional windows, where the precipitate manifested as fine, opaque granular aggregates. Ion chromatography (IC) analysis confirmed phase purity through the simultaneous stoichiometric depletion of both fluoride and sulfate from the supernatant. This successful synthesis establishes a reproducible route to generate bulk Kogarkoite, enabling the subsequent phase of quantitative dissolution testing using inhibited water to optimize sludge-batch assembly.

Sarker, Md Sharif [Florida International Univ. (FI↗
DOE OSTI2026

Theory and simulation of gap distance transitions in planar magnetically insulated transmission lines

Magnetically insulated transmission lines (MITLs) are critical components for efficiently transporting power from pulsed power sources to a diverse range of loads, including magneto-inertial confinement fusion and radiation production. This study investigates the behavior of planar MITLs, taking into account the source voltage and source and load impedances, using two-dimensional theory and simulations. Self-limited behavior, where the MITL operating impedance (voltage divided by current) is insensitive to the value of load impedance, is extended to small-to-large gap distance MITL transitions. Load-limited behavior, in which the load impedance is below the self-limited impedance, causes the MITL operating impedance to adjust to match the load impedance and can be extended to describe large-to-small transitions. In both cases, the operating impedance of the larger MITL section changes to match the self-limited operating impedance of the smaller section. This behavior extends to multiple transitions and to both low and high impedance loads. Assuming equilibration occurs (pulse duration larger than MITL transit time), the entire MITL operating impedance becomes the self-limited impedance of the smallest-gap MITL section or the load impedance, whichever is lower.

Darr, Adam M. [Sandia National Laboratories (SNL-N↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Hardware-in-the-Loop Experimental Testbed Using Air Conditioners for Grid Balancing

Driven by the need to offset the variability of renewable generation on the grid, development of load control is a highly active field of research. However, practical use of residential loads for grid balancing remains rare, in part due to the cost of communicating with large numbers of small loads and also the limited experimentation done so far to demonstrate reliable operation. To establish a basis for the safe and reliable use of fleets of compressor loads as distributed energy resources, we constructed an experimental testbed in a laboratory, so that load coordination schemes could be tested at extreme conditions. Here, this experimental testbed was used to tune a simulation testbed to which it was then linked, thereby augmenting the effective size of the fleet. Modeling of the system was done both to demonstrate the experimental testbed's behavior and also to understand how to tune the behavior of each load. Implementing this testbed has enabled rapid turnaround of experiments on various load control algorithms, and year-round testing without the constraints and limitations arising in seasonal field tests with real houses. Experimental results show the practical feasibility of an ensemble of small loads contributing to grid balancing.

Air Conditioners↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mechanical Solutions Scan Report

Power lines, poles, and towers are the backbone of the United States (U.S.) electric-power grid. These transmission and distribution networks route electricity from generator to loads. The characteristics of these routes are rapidly changing -- trending towards decentralized renewable generation, electric heating, vehicle charging, and large data-center loads. Coupled with aging infrastructure and the increased frequency of extreme weather events, there is concern about the future reliability and transmission capacity of conductors and adjacent components. This scan report seeks to provide an overview of mechanical solutions to challenges caused by extreme weather events associated with components of transmission and distribution infrastructure, including conductor heat sag, ice accumulation, wind, and wildfire. Many options could increase transmission capacity or reliability, and these are at various stages of technological readiness. Some have only been lab tested, while some have been widely deployed in the U.S. or overseas for decades. The solution categories and providers featured in this report are intended to be comprehensive at the time of publication and to serve as a reference for decision-makers concerned about transmission and distribution reliability. There are two other categories of large, complex solutions, which are not covered in this report: replacing existing conductors with advanced conductors and implementing digital grid enhancing technologies. A separate scan report titled “Advanced Conductor Scan Report,” which discusses advanced carbon-core conductors, was published by the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) in 2023. Information on digital technologies, such as dynamic line ratings, power-flow controllers, and other power electronics and communications-based devices, can be found on the Grid- Enhancing Technologies landing page. Mechanical grid-enhancing technologies, or solutions covered in this report, often do not require full equipment replacement and do not rely on digital components. Mechanical technologies are overlooked because they may be older, simpler, or seemingly “more obvious” than digital or carbon-core technologies. However, it is wise to consider mechanical solutions in a thorough evaluation of grid enhancing technology solutions.

24 - POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Critical design load case fatigue and ultimate failure simulation for a 10-m H-type vertical-axis wind turbine

While previous studies investigating critical VAWT design load cases have focused on large and relatively flexible Darrieus designs, the bulk of current commercial products seeking certification fall in the relatively small, stiff, and H-type configuration, such as the XFlow Energy Corporation turbine that this study compares against. Understanding the critical design load case impacts for both fatigue and ultimate failure for this size and type of VAWT are imperative for certification. The abil

Brownstein, Ian↗
DOE OSTI2026

Ultra-low thermal resistance and pressure drop copper and copper-tungsten diamond-shaped pin fin cold plates for liquid cooling of electronics

Modern and future data centers face increasing cooling challenges due to increasing chip thermal design power and die size, along with the need to reduce energy consumption used for cooling. High performance cooling solutions that maintain a low chip junction temperature are needed to ensure electronics reliability. This work develops an ultra-low thermal resistance and low pressure drop 75 mm × 75 mm cold plate, intended for next-generation electronics cooling. The cold plate features an array of diamond-shaped pin fins and integrated copper tungsten heat spreader, selected for its low coefficient of thermal expansion which reduces thermomechanical deformation and allows for closer integration of the cold plate with silicon dies. Starting with 300 candidate designs, three-dimensional computational fluid dynamics simulations predict the thermal-hydraulic performance of cold plate subsections. The highest performing geometries are evaluated with high fidelity simulations. Four cold plates are manufactured for experiments: three with diamond-shaped pin fins and one with straights fins for comparison purposes. The cold plates are fabricated from copper-tungsten (CuW), copper (Cu), or aluminum-silicon-magnesium alloy (AlSi10Mg). The diamond-shaped pin fins achieve a roughly 15 % lower thermal resistance compared to the conventional straight fin microchannel. The highest performing design achieves a chip-to-coolant (including thermal interface material) thermal resistance of 9.0 K/kW in CuW and 6.9 K/kW in Cu under a 1 kW heat load with an inlet-to-outlet pressure drop of 9.0 kPa and water as the working fluid. This work demonstrates ultra-low thermal resistance and pressure drop cold plates for large die, high heat load applications, and shows that CuW is an attractive cold plate material for improved reliability in next generation data center cooling.

Coefficient of thermal expansion↗
DOE OSTI2026

Dynamic Wind Loading on Compliant, Floating PV Arrays: Cooperative Research and Development (Final Report)

PV panels are subjected to wind loads during normal outdoor operation, where th wind speed, wind direction, panel angle, and array layout play a large role in the overall loading magnitude. For floating PV systems, where panels are installed on floating rafts, these forces can lead to a dynamic displacement of the raft and mounted PV hardware. The Contractor and Participant will perform fluid-structure interaction simulations of this phenomenon for a variety of wind speeds, directions, and panel angles to characterize these forces and help design mooring/tethering lines to resist and anchor raft movement.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Stability Considerations for Virtual Capacitor Control in Constant Power DC Loads

In a DC grid, constant power loads (CPLs) necessitate a large bus capacitor to prevent negative impedance instability. Some of the capacitance can be realized virtually through CPL control to reduce the bus capacitor size. Here, this paper analytically studies system stability with virtual capacitor control. We demonstrate that the effectiveness of virtual capacitor control is highly sensitive to the implementation of the derivative action required to emulate the capacitor. For the first time, we theoretically demonstrate that a virtual capacitor can stabilize the system without any physical bus capacitor, provided that a set of analytically derived conditions are met. However, this stabilization is not achievable in practice due to the influence of non-idealities. In an example system requiring a $14$ mF capacitor to stably support the CPL, we show that stability can be achieved through virtual capacitor control, using only a 2 mF physical capacitor to account for the switching ripple non-idealities. Hardware-in-the-loop tests verify the analysis.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2025

In‐situ Analysis of Paste Properties in Resonant Acoustic Mixers for Quality Monitoring

Formulation control is key to achieving consistent target properties of energetic materials, as feedstock variations and slight deviations in the ratios of different ingredients can have major effects on final product properties, particularly in dense pastes with high particle loading >65 vol.%. In large‐scale operations, it is imperative to either correct or remove batches of material that perform outside baseline property specifications as early as possible to avoid unnecessary processing of suboptimal material. Quality monitoring is the practice of measuring material properties during processing using process analytical technologies as opposed to only testing the properties of the final product; it is a key principle in the quality‐by‐design frameworks used for designing formulations and manufacturing processes. Herein, a process analytical technology method for correlating material properties of dense pastes directly after mixing in a Resonant Acoustic Mixer to motor data is developed and used to detect differences in the particle content of dense paste formulations. This method was also capable of detecting variations in powder feedstock properties, such as particle packing efficiency, and is sensitive enough to detect changes of 2 wt.% in the total solids content of the formulation. The techniques presented herein show excellent promise for use as a process analytical technology capable of quantifying formulation effects on material movement modes during resonant acoustic mixing.

Materials science↗
DOE OSTI2025

Understanding Pore Filling Processes and Adsorption/Desorption Hysteresis in Nanoporous Metal–Organic Frameworks: Insights from Grand Canonical Monte Carlo Simulations and Free Energy Calculations

Grand canonical Monte Carlo (GCMC) simulations were used to investigate pore filling and hysteresis in nanoporous metal-organic frameworks (MOFs). Adsorption and desorption isotherms were calculated for argon at 87 K in 1866 MOFs from the CoRE MOF database and for short n-alkanes in selected MOFs, keeping the adsorbent structure rigid. Analysis of the molecular configurations showed two different mechanisms and origins of hysteresis: one involving a transition of the adsorbate arrangement in the pores similar to a gas-to-liquid transition associated with a large change in the loading and one more similar to a liquid-to-solid transition associated with a relatively small change in the loading. Our GCMC simulations in MOFs with diverse pore topologies indicate exceptions to an empirical relationship for the minimum diameter of a cylindical pore required for hysteresis as a function of the adsorbate diameter and reduced temperature. The simulations reveal some structures where isotherms exhibit two steps in the adsorption branch and only one step in the desorption branch. Hysteresis loops with a different number of adsorption and desorption steps are not common. Here, to better understand why hysteresis is observed in the GCMC simulations, the concept of the transition probability for observing a step in the adsorption isotherm at a given pressure in a GCMC simulation is introduced. We used two different methods to calculate the transition probabilities and find that these yield comparable results. Furthermore, the transition probability provides a measure for the length of GCMC simulations to yield reliable results.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Application of a Physics-Informed Convolutional Neural Network for Monitoring the Temperature Fields in High-Temperature Gas Reactors

Here, this work presents current advances in applying a physics-informed convolutional neural network (CNN) to evaluate temperature distributions in advanced reactors. Our goal is to demonstrate that the CNN can reconstruct temperature fields within the solid region of a prismatic fuel assembly in a high-temperature gas reactor (HTGR) with sensor data available in only a few cooling channels. Before that, we showcase the superior performance of the physics-informed CNN in comparison to a purely data-driven multilayer perceptron (MLP), considering a canonical heated channel setup. This analysis shows the advantages of our approach and justifies its choice. The datasets employed here are obtained upon numerical simulations performed with codes under the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program. This work is important, as industry experience indicates that the assembly material in HTGR concepts is prone to large thermal-mechanical loads nearing operational limits. This makes it crucial to characterize peak temperatures and their distributions near hot spots. Modern thermocouples are unreliable in these types of harsh environments because of the high neutron fluxes and elevated temperatures involved. The CNN-based field reconstruction represents an attractive solution, enabling sensor arrays in less aggressive locations and augmenting indirect predictions for less accessible regions. The results show that the CNN reduces prediction errors by orders of magnitude in comparison to the MLP, considering the simple yet well-representative heated channel case. In the case of the HTGR fuel assembly, the CNN can successfully reconstruct temperature fields over various cooling regimes. Furthermore, we also explore the algorithm’s ability to detect abnormalities. Interestingly, the CNN proves it has the capacity to detect blockage in one of the noninstrumented cooling channels.

Machine learning↗
DOE OSTI2025

Aerosol Particle Mixing State and Composition at AMF3 (Interim Field Campaign Report)

The campaign is designed to support deployment of aerosol sampling equipment at the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility’s third ARM Mobile Facility (AMF3) to enable both singe-particle and bulk characterization of the aerosol particles at the field site in Bankhead National Forest, northern Alabama. We are proposing to do this work as part of our proposal “Generalizing aerosol mixing state: synthesis from observations and connection to models,” which has the pre-proposal tracking number PRE-0000035878. The full proposal has Dr. Rachel O’Brien as the Principal Investigator (PI) and Dr. Andy Ault and Dr. Nicole Riemer as Co-PIs. We sought to deploy instruments in winter 2025 and summer 2025 to obtain samples in different seasons, but were delayed by AMF3 set-up and availability of students and PIs. We just completed our first deployment this summer (2025) and we are interested in obtaining samples during this upcoming fall and winter to see the seasonal trends in aerosol mixing state at the site. This will provide a comparison of the impact of biogenic emissions on the mixing state and the chemical composition of the aerosol particles. Overall, the proposed study will provide key information regarding the mixing state of aerosol particles at AMF3 with direct ties to impacts of the particles on cloud formation and light scattering/absorption. From our deployment that ended las week we have some visible observations from our samples. We are observing a regular amount of black carbon on stage 6 of our Micro-Orifice Uniform Deposit Impactor (MOUDI) and we have also observed some short, large increases in aerosol loading. We hope to continue observations of these two features to determine the sources/aging for the black carbon and the physical mixing state as well as the sources for the short (a few minutes) increases in the aerosol loading and determine if the source for these is dust or sea salt or another source. We are also interested in comparing the black carbon we see here to samples collected during the agriculture burns in January/February and in comparing the larger particles to bioaerosols in the spring. To obtain these comparisons, we will need to collect more samples in the other seasons. Finally, we have some size-resolved particle collectors that can be deployed at the same time as the tethered balloon launches. We have discussed with Swarup China about trying to get the timing to work in August and we are interested in coordinating again later, if possible. This will give us ground-level and vertical aerosol mixing state sample sets that will be very exciting to analyze.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Exergy Analysis of a Convective Heat Pump Dryer Integrated with a Membrane Energy Recovery Ventilator

To increase energy efficiency, heat pump dryers and membrane dryers have been proposed to replace conventional fossil fuel dryers. Both conventional and heat pump dryers require substantial energy for condensing and reheating, while “active” membrane systems require vacuum pumps that are insufficiently developed. Lower temperature dehumidification systems make efficient use of membrane energy recovery ventilators (MERVs) that do not need vacuum pumps, but their high heat losses and lack of vapor selectivity have prevented their use in industrial drying. In this work, we propose an insulating membrane energy recovery ventilator for moisture removal from drying exhaust air, thereby reducing sensible heat loss from the dehumidification process and reheating energy. The second law analysis of the proposed system is carried out and compared with a baseline convective heat pump dryer. Irreversibilities in each component under different ambient temperatures (5–35 °C) and relative humidity (5–95%) are identified. At an ambient temperature of 35 °C, the proposed system substantially reduces sensible heat loss (47–60%) in the dehumidification process, resulting in a large reduction in condenser load (45–50%) compared to the baseline system. The evaporator in the proposed system accounts for up to 59% less irreversibility than the baseline system. A maximum of 24.5% reduction in overall exergy input is also observed. The highest exergy efficiency of 10.2% is obtained at an ambient condition of 35 °C and 5% relative humidity, which is more than twice the efficiency of the baseline system under the same operating condition.

Balaraman, Anand (ORCID:0000000218355788)↗
DOE OSTI2025

Digital Real-Time Simulation and Power Quality Analysis of a Hydrogen-Generating Nuclear-Renewable Integrated Energy System

This paper investigates the challenges and solutions associated with integrating a hydrogen-generating nuclear-renewable integrated energy system (NR-IES) under a transactive energy framework. The proposed system directs excess nuclear power to hydrogen production during periods of low grid demand while utilizing renewables to maintain grid stability. Using digital real-time simulation (DRTS) in the Typhoon HIL 404 model, the dynamic interactions between nuclear power plants, electrolyzers, and power grids are analyzed to mitigate issues such as harmonic distortion, power quality degradation, and low power factor caused by large non-linear loads. A three-phase power conversion system is modeled using the Typhoon HIL 404 model and includes a generator, a variable load, an electrolyzer, and power filters. Active harmonic filters (AHFs) and hybrid active power filters (HAPFs) are implemented to address harmonic mitigation and reactive power compensation. The results reveal that the HAPF topology effectively balances cost efficiency and performance and significantly reduces active filter current requirements compared to AHF-only systems. During maximum electrolyzer operation at 4 MW, the grid frequency dropped below 59.3 Hz without filtering; however, the implementation of power filters successfully restored the frequency to 59.9 Hz, demonstrating its effectiveness in maintaining grid stability. Future work will focus on integrating a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework with real-time simulation and optimizing real-time power dispatch, thus enabling a scalable, efficient NR-IES for sustainable energy markets.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Fault-Tolerant Deep Learning Cache with Hash Ring for Load Balancing in HPC Systems

Large-scale DL on HPC systems like Frontier and Summit uses distributed node-local caching to address scalability and performance challenges. However, as these systems grow more complex, the risk of node failures increases, and current caching approaches lack fault tolerance, jeopardizing large-scale training jobs. We analyzed six months of SLURM job logs from Frontier and found that over 30% of jobs failed after an average of 75 minutes. To address this, we propose fault-tolerance strategies that recache data lost from failed nodes using a hash ring technique for balanced data recaching in the distributed node-local caching, reducing reliance on the PFS. Our extensive evaluations on Frontier showed that the hash ring-based recaching approach reduced training time by approximately 25% compared to the approach that redirects I/O to the PFS after node failures and demonstrated effective load balancing of training data across nodes.

Lee, Seoyeong↗
DOE OSTI2025

Unsteady aerodynamics of large-scale floating offshore wind turbines in surge motion

Unsteady aerodynamic loads significantly influence the design and wake flow field of floating offshore wind turbines, especially due to wave- or vibration-induced tower top motions triggering various unsteady phenomena. Recent studies show that increasing turbine sizes amplify unsteady aerodynamic effects, as their impact typically grows with rotor diameter. This work combines recent findings from experiments and simulations on model-scale FOWT aerodynamics with new numerical analyses of large-scale rotors, providing a comprehensive understanding of unsteady phenomena occurrence and impact. Numerical analyses of the IEA 15-MW and 22-MW rotors undergoing surge motions characterise the combined influence of motion-induced unsteady phenomena on rotor thrust. Results indicate that unsteady effects can reduce thrust force variations by up to 40% at realistic surge periods. These findings contrast with prior model-scale rotor investigations, attributed to the specialised design of the model rotors. Comparisons between numerical methods - the dynamic blade element momentum method in OpenFAST and free vortex wake modules in panMARE and OpenFAST - reveal persistent differences in thrust predictions under both idealised and realistic conditions. This highlights that classical blade element momentum approaches require enhancement to accurately capture unsteady loads on large-scale floating offshore wind turbines at low wind speeds.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2026

Benchmarking of three DWM-based wake models at below-rated wind speeds

Wind turbine wake models are essential tools for predicting power losses and structural loads in wind farms. Among these, the dynamic wake meandering (DWM) model, included as a recommended approach in the International Electrotechnical Commission design standard, is a widely used engineering-fidelity method that balances accuracy and computational cost. This study compares the performance of three DWM-based wake model implementations (from the Technical University of Denmark, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, and the Institute for Energy Technology) under below-rated wind speed conditions. Model predictions of wake flow, power output, and structural loads for a four-turbine row are evaluated across different ambient turbulence levels and wind-direction misalignments and compared against high-fidelity large-eddy simulation results. All three models captured the overall wake evolution and mean turbine performance with reasonable accuracy; their predicted time-averaged thrust and power were typically within 5 %–10 % of the large-eddy simulation benchmark. However, notable differences emerged in wake structure and unsteady load predictions, with discrepancies increasing for turbines further downstream. These differences highlight the importance of modelling choices such as wake summation and turbulence treatment, which strongly influence power-deficit and fatigue-load predictions. Comparison with large-eddy simulations reveals each approach's strengths and weaknesses, indicating where improvements are needed. Overall, the findings point to specific refinements for DWM models to improve their fidelity, ultimately enabling more robust wake predictions for wind farm design and operation.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Progressing Analysis of Variable Electric Rates (PAVER) Study

The Progressing Analysis of Variable Electric Rates (PAVER) study analyzed the impact of a range of time-varying electric rates on the performance of a regional electric grid and the resulting costs for participating and non-participating customers. This analysis leveraged and extended the work of PNNL’s Distribution System Operator with Transactive (DSO+T) study. Five different rate designs were included: a flat volumetric energy charge, a typical Time of Use (TOU) rate, a dynamic energy (DE) rate (based on wholesale locational marginal prices), a dynamic energy and capacity (DE+C) rate, and, finally, a Block and Swing (B&S) rate that billed customers based on their average load profile at constant pricing, but used the DE+C dynamic price for load deviations from their average profile. These rates were analyzed in a large-scale co-simulation of an entire regional grid with a customer population representative of the current state. A large fraction (80%) of residential and commercial customers were assumed to participate in these time-varying rates with automatically controlled HVAC, water heaters, electric vehicles, and batteries. This study assumed no industrial sector participation. The DE and DE+C rates saw system peak loads reduced by 6-7%, while the large participation in the TOU rate case saw a significant rebound effect and a resulting peak load increase of >5%. The impacts to the annual and peak system demand impacted system wholesale prices and the overall grid operating costs. This cost structure determined the revenue needed to be collected from customers by each rate design. Participating customers on the DE and DE+C rates (located in one of the modeled DSOs) saw reductions in average annual electricity bills of 11-17% with average increases in monthly bill variation of no more than 13%. At such high participation levels, TOU customers saw 10% higher average annual bills (due to system-wide rebound effects) and average increased monthly bill variation of 16%. Residential owners of large flexible loads (such as electric vehicles) saw larger bill savings (17-20%) when on a fully dynamic rate. The presence of on-site generation (such as rooftop solar) did not appear to appreciably change customer outcomes. Customers on the Block and Swing rate did see 6% lower monthly bill variation (as intended) than the flat rate case, but at the expense of appreciable bill savings, which were only 3%, comparable to the savings seen by non-participants. Given this finding we recommend that additional research be conducted into how best various bill protection mechanisms can balance minimizing customer bill variation with providing financial incentives commensurate with the flexibility customers provide. We also recommend that customer outcomes be explored across a range of regions using current actual customer and system cost data.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗