Qualitative Investigation of Gaseous Hydrodynamic Mixing Model Efficacy and Associated Sensitivity.
Abstract not provided.
White, Caleb Daniel↗
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Qualitative Investigation of Gaseous Hydrodynamic Mixing Model Efficacy and Associated Sensitivity.
Abstract not provided.
White, Caleb Daniel↗
Simulation of Hurricane Harvey flood event through coupled hydrologic-hydraulic models: Challenges and next steps
Using the 2017 Hurricane Harvey flood event as a test case, this study set up a series of sensitivity analyses to highlight three challenges associated with large-scale flood inundation modeling, including (a) model parameterization, (b) errors in digital elevation models, and (c) effects of reservoir retention. Driven by radar-based hourly rainfall data, a series of hydrologic-hydraulic models including the VIC hydrologic model, RAPID routing model, and Flood2D-GPU hydrodynamic model are set up over Harris County, Texas, to simulate flood inundation and hazards. The results demonstrate the importance of hydrologic parameters in improving flood modeling. For a large flood event such as Hurricane Harvey, the effect of the initial water depths is insignificant. The Manning's n values may increase the peak water depth by ~1%, the flood extents by 65km 2 , and the high danger zone by ~6%. On the contrary, the bathymetry correction factors may reduce the flood extent by ~1.4% and the high-danger zone by ~4%. Reducing the reservoir storage capacity to 1% may increase the flood extent by ~4% and the high-danger zone by ~17%. This study may provide supporting information to guide and prioritize the development of future high-performance computing hydrodynamic large-scale flood simulations.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Detectability of collective neutrino oscillation signatures in the supernova explosion of a 8.8 M ⊙ star
In order to investigate the impact of collective neutrino oscillations (CNOs) on the neutrino signal from a nearby supernova, we perform three-flavor neutrino oscillation simulations employing the multiangle effect. The background hydrodynamic model is based on the neutrino hydrodynamic simulation of a 8.8 M ⊙ progenitor star. In this work, we find that CNO commences after some 100 ms post bounce. Before this, CNO is suppressed by matter-induced decoherence. In the inverted mass hierarchy, the spectrum of $\bar{ν}_e$ becomes softer after the onset of CNO. To evaluate the detectability of this modification, we define a hardness ratio between the number of high energy neutrino events and low energy neutrino events adopting a fixed critical energy. We show that Hyper-Kamiokande (HK) can distinguish the effect of CNO for supernova distances out to ~ 10 kpc. On the other hand, for the normal mass hierarchy, the spectrum of ν e becomes softer after the onset of CNO, and we show that DUNE can distinguish this feature for supernova distances out to ~ 10 kpc . More work is necessary to optimize the best value of critical energy for maximum sensitivity. We also show that if the spectrum of $\bar{ν}_e$ in HK becomes softer due to CNO, the spectrum of $ν_e$ in DUNE becomes harder, and vice versa. These synergistic observations in $\bar{ν}_e$ and $ν_e$, by HK and DUNE, respectively, will be an intriguing opportunity to test the occurrence of CNO.
79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
The MBARI-WEC: a power source for ocean sensing
Abstract Interest in wave energy converters to provide autonomous power to various ocean-bound systems, such as autonomous underwater vehicles, sensor systems, and even aquaculture farms, has grown in recent years. The Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute has developed and deployed a small two-body point absorber wave energy device suitable to such needs. This paper provides a description of the system to support future open-source access to the device and further the general development of similar wave energy systems. Additionally, to support future control design and system modification efforts, a set of hydrodynamic models are presented and cross-compared. To test the viability of using a linear frequency-domain admittance model for controller tuning, the linear model is compared against four WEC-Sim models of increasing complexity. The linear frequency-domain model is found to be generally adequate for capturing system dynamics, as the model agreement is good and the degree of nonlinearity introduced in the WEC-Sim models is generally less than 2.5%.
16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
Modeled Hourly Tidal Current Velocities, Directions, and Heights from May 1 - September 1, 2005 at Two Points Near East Forelands and Tyonek in Cook Inlet, Alaska
This dataset includes modeled tidal current velocities, direction and depth at two locations in East and North Forelands (60.716, -151.434 and 61.024, -151.157) near Nikiski and Tyonek, respectively, in Cook Inlet, Alaska. Data from two grid cells were provided by the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory based on a tidal hydrodynamic model that characterized the tidal stream resources in Cook Inlet for a period from May 1 to September 1, 2005 (Wang and Yang 2020). The model grid size had a horizontal spatial resolution of 100 m at East Forelands and 200 m at Tyonek; mean sea level (MSL) depth was 47.9 m and 23.7 m at each respective site, and there were 10 depth bins that ranged in size with the tide from 4.3-5.2 m and 1.9-2.8 m, respectively (Wang and Yang 2020).
16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
Climate-extreme modeling framework for sustainable flood management in the Arabian Peninsula
Evaluating extreme precipitation events (EPEs) is essential for building climate-resilient water management strategies, but it remains a major challenge in ungauged basins. Using the 26,070 km 2 Wadi al-Rummah basin in central Saudi Arabia as a case study, we developed an alternative, reliable, cost-effective satellite-based framework that combines empirically derived EPE thresholds, imagery-calibrated 2D hydrodynamic modeling, GRACE water-storage diagnostics, and bias-corrected CMIP6 projections to assess flood hazards and recharge potential under current and future climate scenarios in ungauged basins. The integrated approach and the resulting findings followed four key steps: (1) Identified a 22.5 mm EPE threshold, the 80th percentile of 3-day GPM/IMERG rainfall (2000–2024), aligned with flood-triggering events (Nov 2018: 23–28 mm; Apr, 2023: 42 mm); (2) Developed and calibrated a RiverFlow2D model using Sentinel-2 and PlanetScope imagery for the November 2018 flood, accurately reproducing flood depth and extent (RMSE ≤0.31 m; fuzzy-Dice ≥0.91), and estimating runoff (41 %), infiltration (25 %), and evaporation (34 %); (3) Independently validated the model with the April 2023 event (RMSE ≤0.35 m; fuzzy-Dice ≥0.86); (4) Conducted climate projections (2025–2100) from five bias-corrected NEX-GDDP CMIP6 models that revealed a 34 % increase in EPE intensity under SSP2-4.5 and 48 % under SSP5-8.5 scenarios, relative to 20th-century baselines. Our findings indicate that while intensifying extremes in the 21st century increase flood risk, the results highlight the potential for episodic recharge if effective retention strategies are employed, and offer a transferable model for climate-informed planning in data-scarce arid regions.
CMIP6↗
Co-Extrusion of Dissimilar Aluminum Alloys via Shear-Assisted Processing and Extrusion
Bimetallic tubes are used when a component requires more than one performance requirement, for instance, strength/creep resistance and oxidation/corrosion resistance. Shear-assisted processing and extrusion (ShAPE) can be used to fabricate extrudates that are comparable or superior in performance relative to conventionally manufactured extrudates. For the first time, ShAPE has been successfully employed in producing bimetallic Al tubing consisting of 6061 and 7075 Al alloys. Both light and electron microscopy techniques were used to investigate the integrity of the tubes, especially the interface between the core and cladding of the bimetallic tubes. Void-free bimetallic tubes were produced using ShAPE. Quantification of tube integrity was carried out with tensile testing under as-extruded and post-aged conditions. All the bimetallic tubes in the as-extruded samples exhibited uniform elongation above 5% with good tensile strength. Key insights such as material flow during bimetallic tube extrusion were obtained from the characterization of remnant billet and simulation results from a smoothed particle hydrodynamics model.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
The transport dynamics of tens of micrometer-sized water droplets in RF atmospheric pressure glow discharges
Abstract Charging of particles having diameters of tens of microns has been extensively studied at atmospheric pressure in the context of, for example, electrostatic precipitators where the focus was on unipolar charging. The ambipolar charging of particles in atmospheric pressure plasmas, and of droplets in particular, has received less attention. The plasma activation of droplets is of interest for water purification, fertilizer production and materials synthesis, all of which depend on the transport of the droplets through the plasma, which in turn depends on their charging. In this paper, we report on the transport dynamics of water droplets, tens of microns in diameter, carried by the gas flow through an atmospheric pressure radiofrequency glow discharge sustained in helium. The droplets pass through the plasma with minimal evaporation and without reaching the Rayleigh limit. The droplet trajectory in the presence and absence of the plasma provides insights on the forces acting on the droplet. The measurements were analyzed using results from a three-dimensional fluid model and a two-dimensional plasma hydrodynamics model. We found that the transport dynamics as the droplet enters and leaves the plasma are due to differential charging of the droplet in the plasma gradients of the bounding sheaths to the plasma.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
TEAMER: Numerical Modeling and Optimization of the iProTech Pitching Inertial Pump (PIP) Wave Energy Converter (WEC)
This project focused on developing an automated workflow to evaluate and optimize the iProTech Pitching Inertial Pump (PIP) wave energy converter (WEC) using open-source Python packages and the MATLAB/Simulink tool, WEC-Sim. The process involved parameterizing key design variables, running time-domain simulations, and performing sensitivity analyses to determine their impact on power output. The workflow, designed for the PIP device, is generalized and can be extended to optimize other WECs that can be simulated in WEC-Sim. This work establishes a foundation for future time-domain-based WEC design optimizations. Included in this submission are all figures from the final report and the model inputs required to generate them. This includes Python scripts with inputs that produce the meshes, boundary element method (BEM) models, hydrodynamic coefficients, and the WEC-Sim models used for time-domain analyses. Although data for every single run is not included to save space, all of it can be reproduced using the provided models. Detailed instructions for setting up the environment and running the codes are also included.
16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
Impact of Limited Degree of Freedom Drag Coefficients on a Floating Offshore Wind Turbine Simulation
The worldwide effort to design and commission floating offshore wind turbines (FOWT) is motivating the need for reliable numerical models that adequately represent their physical behavior under realistic sea states. However, properly representing the hydrodynamic quadratic damping for FOWT remains uncertain, because of its dependency on the choice of drag coefficients (dimensionless or not). It is hypothesized that the limited degree of freedom (DoF) drag coefficient formulation that uses only translational drag coefficients causes mischaracterization of the rotational DoF drag, leading to underestimation of FOWT global loads, such as tower base fore-aft shear. To address these hydrodynamic modeling uncertainties, different quadratic drag models implemented in the open-source mid-fidelity simulation tool, OpenFAST, were investigated and compared with the experimental data from the Offshore Code Comparison Collaboration, Continued, with Correlation (OC5) project. The tower base fore-aft shear and up-wave mooring line tension were compared under an irregular wave loading condition to demonstrate the effects of the different damping models. Two types of hydrodynamic quadratic drag formulations were considered: (1) member-based dimensionless drag coefficients applied only at the translational DoF (namely limited-DoF drag model) and (2) quadratic drag matrix model (in dimensional form). Based on the results, the former consistently underestimated the 95th percentile peak loads and spectral responses when compared to the OC5 experimental data. In contrast, the drag matrix models reduced errors in estimates of the tower base shear peak load by 7–10% compared to the limited-DoF drag model. The underestimation in the tower base fore-aft shear was thus inferred be related to mischaracterization of the rotational pitch drag and the heave motion/drag by the limited-DoF model.
17 WIND ENERGY↗
Modeling Assessment of Tidal Energy Extraction in the Western Passage
Numerical models have been widely used for the resource characterization and assessment of tidal instream energy. The accurate assessment of tidal stream energy resources at a feasibility or project-design scale requires detailed hydrodynamic model simulations or high-quality field measurements. This study applied a three-dimensional finite-volume community ocean model (FVCOM) to simulate the tidal hydrodynamics in the Passamaquoddy–Cobscook Bay archipelago, with a focus on the Western Passage, to assist tidal energy resource assessment. IEC Technical specifications were considered in the model configurations and simulations. The model was calibrated and validated with field measurements. Energy fluxes and power densities along selected cross sections were calculated to evaluate the feasibility of the tidal energy development at several hotspots that feature strong currents. When taking both the high current speed and water depth into account, the model results showed that the Western Passage has great potential for the deployment of tidal energy farms. The maximum extractable power in the Western Passage was estimated using the Garrett and Cummins method. Different criteria and methods recommended by the IEC for resource characterization were evaluated and discussed using a sensitivity analysis of energy extraction for a hypothetical tidal turbine farm in the Western Passage.
16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
Optimal Uses of Magnetic Fields for Indirect-Drive Inertial Fusion
This project explored how applied magnetic fields can improve inertial confinement fusion (ICF), specifically the indirect-drive approach that uses a hohlraum. This has been proposed for several decades as potentially beneficial, due to thermal insulation (reduced losses) from the imploded hotspot. We performed the most advanced radiation-magneto-hydrodynamic modeling to date of magnetized ICF designs in the ignition regime. We found that adding technologically feasible fields up to 60 – 70 Tesla could increase the fusion yield of current igniting designs for the National Ignition Facility (NIF) by up to 8x. Also, simulations show that in certain cases relatively small fields of 3 – 5 Tesla could double the yield, and be implemented at much lower cost. Early work on re-optimizing NIF designs with magnetic fields, namely by using a thicker ablator with more mass remaining, could increase the yield of a sub-ignition target by 18x and bring it into the ignition regime. A separate benefit of magnetization besides reduced thermal loss is reduced hydrodynamic instability. Modeling work under this project shows this could be significant, though early experiments at NIF and the Omega Laser proved inconclusive. We designed and proposed an improved NIF experiment on magnetized mix, based on a large-amplitude imposed perturbation. The project also supported basic physics research into magnetized laser-plasma interactions, namely cross-beam energy transfer, both with experiments at Omega and theory / modeling.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
A hybrid CNN-LSTM surrogate model for hyper-resolution spatiotemporal flood forecasting in Norfolk, Virginia
Study region: Norfolk, Virginia, United States Study focus: Accurate and timely flood forecasting is essential for enhancing resilience in coastal urban areas in the context of increasing frequency and intensity of rainfall, sea level rise and urbanization. This study presents a hybrid deep learning-based surrogate model that integrates Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to enable real-time spatiotemporal flood forecasting. The model leverages CNN to capture spatial features from inputs such as elevation and Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), while LSTM processes time-series inputs of rainfall and tide data to capture temporal features. New hydrologic insights for the region: The hybrid CNN-LSTM model was trained using the physics-based hydrodynamic model simulations obtained from the Two-dimensional Unsteady FLOW (TUFLOW) model for Norfolk, Virginia, and achieved high predictive accuracy across diverse flood-prone areas. The reduced computational time from four to six hours using TUFLOW to 3.2 min per event using CNN-LSTM enables rapid flood inundation mapping and early warning applications. The model effectively captured both spatial flood extents and their temporal evolution across different flooding scenarios, providing forecasts at a 2.5-m spatial resolution and 15-min temporal resolution and a one-hour-ahead prediction horizon. While challenges remain in terms of transferability to new regions and real-time data assimilation, this approach demonstrates strong potential for supporting operational flood risk management in coastal urban environments.
Coastal urban flooding↗
Development of an ab initio learned model of electron deposition range in deuterium-tritium plasmas through time-dependent density functional theory calculations and machine learning
Accurate hydrodynamic modeling for laser-direct-drive (LDD) inertial-confinement-fusion (ICF) relies on precise calculations of the electron thermal conduction in all target materials. The nonlocal stopping range of electrons in ICF plasmas directly influences thermal conduction; yet, no first principles model exists for the electron mean free path in the conduction-zone regime. This work utilized time-dependent stochastic density-functional theory (TD-sDFT) to calculate the electron stopping power in deuterium-tritium (DT) plasmas at (ρ, T) conditions relevant to the conduction zone and the compressed shell in ICF. Using a combination of our TD-sDFT data and already established analytical models, we developed and trained an artificial neural network to create a global model for the nonlocal electron deposition range, λ E . We compared our machine-learning (ML) based model for λ E to the currently-used modified-Lee-More model in LDD radiation-hydrodynamic codes, such as lilac, and saw an overall decrease in the deposition range. To understand the effects of λ E on LDD ICF implosion dynamics, we implemented the ML-based model into lilac; specifically, we looked at designs consistent with a current experiment on the OMEGA laser and for a newly designed LDD-ICF target for the future OMEGA-Next facility. In both cases, we saw an overall drop in predicted ablation pressure, peak areal density, and neutron yield due to the reduced thermal conduction (smaller λ E ) in DT plasmas. Comparisons with the experiment on OMEGA are also made.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
Life Cycle Cost Analysis of Prestressed Concrete Poles Subjected to Wind, Surges, and Waves
Prestressed concrete (PC) poles are becoming popular choices to support coastal power transmission systems. However, the existing literature does not offer a detailed analysis of the effectiveness of PC poles in terms of long-term vulnerabilities and the direct and indirect costs. This is due to (1) lack of fragility models for PC poles and (2) lack of probabilistic wind, storm surge, and wave models in coastal settings. In this study, we address these gaps through a series of Monte Carlo simulations to estimate fragility of PC poles as a function of age and hazard (wind, surges, and waves) intensity, and the development of a probabilistic hazard model based on 10,000 years of synthetic tropical cyclone data. The probabilistic hazard model is used in conjunction with high-resolution hydrodynamic models to generate realizations of coastal wind, storm surges, and waves for the Louisiana and Mississippi coasts. A comprehensive life cycle cost analysis for a service life of 70 years considering direct and indirect losses is conducted to compare the performance of a transmission line located in Pascagoula, Mississippi, when wood poles are replaced by PC poles. Results showed that aging has a minor effect on the reliability of PC poles, highlighting the advantages of replacing wood poles with PC poles, especially in coastal areas. In addition, PC poles are significantly more cost-effective compared with wood poles over their life cycle, leading to an estimated saving of $11.55 million (68.17% reduction). The results of this study provide key insight to inform decision-making processes to keep the coastal power grids resilient and cost-effective against future storm hazards.
natural disasters↗
Ponderosa pine hydraulic stress predicts more extreme wildfire behavior under future conditions in Bandelier National Monument, New Mexico
Background Live fuel moisture contributes to wildfire spread and reflects plant stress and physiological traits. The anticipated change in live fuel moisture under future conditions is likely non-linear, owing to physiological plant thresholds in water hydraulics. We constructed a mechanistic model of live fuel moisture’s response to water stress to understand the impact of future climate on live fuel moisture. We first gathered data on plant physiology and live fuel moisture for Pinus ponderosa at Bandelier National Monument, NM, USA, and modeled their relationship. We then parameterized a mechanistic plant hydrodynamics model (FATES-HYDRO) to simulate changes in plant stress and a statistical model to simulate the resulting impact on live fuel moisture. We then simulated FATES-HYDRO under future climate anomalies (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5: 2080–2100) to understand the change in plant stress and estimate its impact on live fuel moisture. Results We found that the number of days below crucial thresholds of live fuel moisture (100% and 79%) increased from contemporary levels (< 100%: 72 days, < 79%: 1.4 days) under SSP2-4.5 (< 100%: 185 days, < 79%: 10.2 day) and increased exponentially under SSP5-8.5 (< 100%: 215 days, < 79%: 65 days). We found that gross primary productivity decreased under both future climate scenarios (contemporary: 336 g C m −2 , SSP2-4.5: 203 g C m −2 , SSP5-8.5: 243 g C m −2 ); however, spring productivity increased under SSP5-8.5, potentially altering fuel loading. We additionally see a potentially lethal loss of conductivity in hydraulic P. ponderosa under SSP5-8.5. Conclusions The overall increase in plant water stress (as represented by loss of hydraulic conductivity and leaf water potential) and lower live fuel moisture appear to be driven by reduced precipitation during late summer monsoons typical of the region, extending the fire season later in the year. We predict increasing variability in the P. ponderosa wildfire regime under both climate projections driven by changing productivity, rising mortality, and an overall decrease in live fuel moisture.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
HYDRODYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF MACROALGAE LOCAL MODEL USING COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS
In this article, a local scale, fully nonlinear coupled fluid-structural interaction (FSI) sugar kelp model has been developed using a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) method. In this model, to be consistent with available experimental data, the sugar kelp is approximated as elongated rectangles with smoothed isosceles triangles at the ends and a single kelp model with one end fixed in a channel with constant current model is developed. Several different current speeds are simulated, and the resulting drag forces and calculated drag coefficients are validated by comparison with experimental data from the literature. In a previous study, a global scale model was developed using a computational structural dynamics (CSD) method to simulate macroalgae farming system and guide the system configuration design. In the global scale model, the hydrodynamic forces are calculated using Morison’s equation and the kinematics and dynamics of the sugar kelp are simplified and the group of kelps attached to the long line is modeled as a slender structure with the same length and an effective diameter such that the volumes are consistent with the real physical system. This simplified model matches the weight and buoyancy but adjusting the hydrodynamic properties when the general hydrodynamic coefficients are employed. Therefore, optimal hydrodynamic coefficients used in global scale model were determined to obtain the hydrodynamic force more accurately. The validated local scale model is then be applied to determine the hydrodynamic coefficients of the simplified sugar kelp model for global dynamic analysis.
hydrodynamic modeling, macroalgae, CFD model↗