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At least 91 records · Page 5

Northward propagation of the Gulf of Elat-Aqaba constrained by cosmogenic burial ages and magnetostratigraphy of onshore sediments

The Gulf of Elat-Aqaba (GEA), located in the southern part of the Dead Sea Transform (DST), is one of the most active segments of the Dead Sea fault system. Yet, some fundamental details concerning its evolution in space and time are still not fully understood. To better constrain the tectonic history of this region, we study a succession of alluvial, lacustrine, and fluvial deposits in the north-western edge of the GEA, which belong to the Quaternary Eilot and Garof Fms. The Eilot Fm. represents low-energy shallow freshwater bodies and sabkhas, which predate the development of the deep part of the basin. Later, in response to the subsidence of the basin, the Garof Fm. was deposited in alluvial fans that built up following the increase in the depositional energy. Cosmogenic burial ages combined with magnetostratigraphy show that these Fms. were deposited as early as 3.03 Ma and as late as 1.65 Ma, depending on the applied age model. Considering the present depth of the northern GEA, this age indicates a maximum subsidence rate of the head of the GEA of ~1.98mm/yr. We suggest that faults along the onshore margin of the deep basin were active during the deposition of the Garof Fm. and subsequently became inactive, while the faulting activity migrated toward the center of the basin. In conclusion, closed Holocene basins north of the present seashore, such as the Elat and Evrona playas, which may represent a modern analogue to the Plio-Pleistocene morphology, raise the possibility that the GEA head is still propagating northward.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Wetter California Projected by CMIP6 Models With Observational Constraints Under a High GHG Emission Scenario

As the world's fifth-largest economy entity, California (CA) is vulnerable to climate changes especially the magnitude of winter (wet season) precipitation that is closely linked to regional drought severity, vegetation growth, and wildfire activities. However, the fate of CA precipitation in the future remains highly uncertain, for example, the state-of-the-art Earth system models (ESMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) projected –3% to +42% and –27% to +63% precipitation changes in northern and central-southern CA, respectively, under the high greenhouse gas (GHG) emission scenario (SSP585). In this work, we applied the Pareto optimality concept and used observed teleconnection patterns (causal relationships between ocean regions and CA precipitation) to mechanistically constrain CMIP6 projected CA precipitations. We estimated that precipitation will robustly increase by 0.4–1.3 mm d –1 (10–34%) over northern CA and increase by 0.1–0.5 mm d –1 (7–32%) over central-southern CA by the end of the 21st century compared with present-day. Up to 71% of ESM projection uncertainties were reduced mainly due to the strong and consistent causal relationship between North American west coast sea level pressure and CA precipitation in both observations and CMIP6 models. Our results suggest that teleconnection patterns are powerful mechanistic constraints that can help explain and reduce uncertainties in ESM projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

First detection of VHE gamma-ray emission from TXS 1515–273, study of its X-ray variability and spectral energy distribution

ABSTRACT We report here on the first multiwavelength (MWL) campaign on the blazar TXS 1515–273, undertaken in 2019 and extending from radio to very-high-energy gamma-rays (VHE). Up until now, this blazar had not been the subject of any detailed MWL observations. It has a rather hard photon index at GeV energies and was considered a candidate extreme high-synchrotron-peaked source. MAGIC observations resulted in the first-time detection of the source in VHE with a statistical significance of 7.6σ. The average integral VHE flux of the source is 6 ± 1 per cent of the Crab nebula flux above 400 GeV. X-ray coverage was provided by Swift-XRT, XMM–Newton, and NuSTAR. The long continuous X-ray observations were separated by ∼9 h, both showing clear hour scale flares. In the XMM–Newton data, both the rise and decay time-scales are longer in the soft X-ray than in the hard X-ray band, indicating the presence of a particle cooling regime. The X-ray variability time-scales were used to constrain the size of the emission region and the strength of the magnetic field. The data allowed us to determine the synchrotron peak frequency and classify the source as a flaring high, but not extreme synchrotron-peaked object. Considering the constraints and variability patterns from the X-ray data, we model the broad-band spectral energy distribution. We applied a simple one-zone model, which could not reproduce the radio emission and the shape of the optical emission, and a two-component leptonic model with two interacting components, enabling us to reproduce the emission from radio to VHE band.

Acciari, V. A.↗

Study of alpha-resonances in ¹¹B via the ⁷Li(⁷Li, t ) reaction

The near-threshold proton resonance in ¹¹B, recently identified and characterized through independent experi-ments, plays a crucial role in understanding the unexpectedly high decay branch observed in the β-delayed proton emission (β− p) from the neutron halo nucleus ¹¹Be. Critical to interpreting this process is the determination of whether or not this state has any significant α-decay width (rα). A coincidence measurement was conducted to study the alpha-transfer reaction ⁷Li(⁷Li, t ) ¹¹B∗ → ⁷Li +α employing the Super-Enge Split Pole Spectrograph coupled with a silicon detector at Florida State University. This experiment aimed to investigate the structure of α resonances in ¹¹B in the Eₑₓ = 9.0 MeV–14 MeV energy region. In particular, to explore and constrain the α-decay branch of the near-threshold proton resonance at Eₑₓ = 11.44 MeV. No significant α-decay strength was observed from this state. Additionally, the experimental results provided insights into the state at Eₑₓ = 12.55 MeV, previously proposed as the T = 3/2 isobaric analog state of the ¹¹Be ground state. The observed decay pattern, dominated by α + ⁷Li, suggests a strong T = 1/2 component, indicating the need for further experimental measurements.

Lopez-Saavedra, E.↗

Measurements of $W$ and $Z/γ^*$ cross sections and their ratios in $pp$ collisions at STAR

While the unpolarized parton distribution functions of the valence quarks ( d d and u u ) are well determined from DIS experiments, the sea quark counterparts, \bar{d} d ‾ and \bar{u} u ‾ , are much less constrained, in particular, near the valence region. Measurements of W^+/W^- W + / W − production ratio in pp p p collider experiments, such as the STAR experiment at RHIC, can probe the \bar{d}/\bar{u} d ‾ / u ‾ ratio at a large Q^2 Q 2 set by the W W mass. These proceedings will discuss recent results of W W and Z Z cross-section measurements using the STAR pp p p collision data at a center-of-mass energy of \sqrt{s} = 500/510\;\mathrm{GeV} s = 500 / 510 G e V collected in 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2017.

Nam, Jae↗

Rock Valley Dense Gravity Acquisition

Characterizing the shallow structure of the Rock Valley region of the Nevada National Security Site is a critical component of the Rock Valley Direct Comparison project. Geophysical data of the region is needed for operational decisions, to constrain geologic models used for simulation, and to facilitate the analysis of future explosive source data. Local measurements of gravity are a key piece of geophysical information that helps to resolve the underlying geologic composition, fault structure, and density characteristics, yet, in the Rock Valley region these measurements are sparse on the scale of the testbed. In this report, we present the details of a recent gravity data acquisition survey designed to collect a dense dataset in the region of interest that complements the existing gravity work but greatly enhances our resolution. This dataset will be integrated with a complementary Los Alamos National Laboratory gravity collection and combined with the existing seismic data in a joint inversion. These measurements were conducted over two weeks with a portable gravimeter and high-resolution GPS and include repeat measurements at a USGS base station as well as reoccupation of gravity sites in the regional dataset. This collection of over 100 new dense gravity measurements will facilitate refinement of the existing Geologic Framework Model and directly complement newly acquired dense seismic data, ultimately improving the project’s ability to investigate the direct comparison of shallow earthquake and explosive sources.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Emergent Constrained Projections of Mean and Extreme Warming in China

Reliable regional temperature projections including heat extremes are essential for climate change adaptation and mitigation. Taking China as an example, simple averages from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models project high warming due to sampling many high climate sensitivities in the ensemble. Here, we develop an emergent constraint (EC) framework to obtain constrained mean and daily maximum temperature (TXx) warming over China by using observed global warming and local residual warming. The constrained annual mean and TXx warming over China (2.33°C [1.61–3.05°C] and 2.31°C [1.21–2.99°C]) are 0.65°C [0.04–1.76°C] and 0.63°C [–0.50–2.39°C], respectively, lower than raw projections (2.98°C [1.85–4.22°C] and 2.94°C [2.04–4.39°C]) for 2080–2099 under the intermediate-emission scenario. Approximately half model uncertainty is reduced after constraint. The land area (population) experiencing temperature extremes in our metric is 78% (85%) of the raw projections. Our results imply a lower impact of extreme heat than implied by current raw CMIP6 projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Constraining level densities through quantitative correlations with cross-section data

The adopted level densities (LD) for the nuclei produced through different reaction mechanisms significantly impact the accurate calculation of cross sections for the different reaction channels. Many common LD models make simplified assumptions regarding the overall behavior of the total LD and the intrinsic spin and parity distributions of the excited states. However, very few experimental constraints are taken into account in these models: LD at neutron separation energy coming from average spacings of s- and p-wave resonances ( D 0 and D 1 , respectively) whenever they have been previously measured, and the sometimes subjective extrapolation of discrete levels. These, however, constrain the LD only in very specific regions of excitation energy, and for specific spins and parities. This work aims to establish additional experimental constraints on LD through quantitative correlations between cross sections and LD. This allows for fitting and the determination of detailed structures in LD. For this we use the microscopic Hartree-Fock-Bogoliubov (HFB) LD as a starting point as the HFB LD provide a more realistic spin and parity distributions than phenomenological models such as Gilbert-Cameron (GC). We then associate variations predicted by the HFB model with the structure observed in double-differential cross sections at low outgoing neutron energy, a region that is dominated by the LD input. We also use (n, p) on 56 Fe , as an example case where angle-integrated cross sections are extremely sensitive to LD. For comparison purposes we also perform calculations with the GC model. With this approach we are able to perform fits of the LD based on actual experimental data, constraining the model and ensuring its consistency. This approach can be particularly useful in extrapolating the LD to nuclei for which high-excited discrete levels and/or values of D 0 or D 1 are unknown. Finally, it also predicts neutron-induced inelastic γ cross sections that in some cases can differ significantly from more standard phenomenological LD models such as GC.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Mixing of Condensable Constituents with H–He during the Formation and Evolution of Jupiter

Simulations of Jupiter's formation are presented that incorporate mixing of H–He with denser material entering the planet as solids. Heavy compounds and gas mix substantially when the planet becomes roughly as massive as Earth, because incoming planetesimals can fully vaporize. Supersaturation of vaporized silicates causes the excess to sink as droplets, but water remains at higher altitudes. Because the mean molecular weight decreases rapidly outward, some of the compositional inhomogeneities produced during formation can survive for billions of years. After 4.57 Gyr, our Jupiter model retains compositional gradients; proceeding outward, one finds (i) an inner heavy-element core, the outer part derived from hot supersaturated rain-out; (ii) a composition-gradient region, containing most of the heavy elements, where H–He abundance increases outward, reaching about 0.9 mass fraction at 0.3 of the radius, with silicates enhanced relative to water in the lower parts and depleted in the upper parts; (iii) a uniform-composition region (neglecting He immiscibility) that is enriched over protosolar and contains most of the planet’s mass; and (iv) an outer region where cloud formation (condensation) of heavy constituents occurs. This radial compositional profile has heavy elements more broadly distributed than predicted by classical formation models but less diluted than suggested by Juno-constrained gravity models. The compositional gradients in the region containing the bulk of the heavy elements prevent convection, in both our models and those fitting current gravity, resulting in a hot interior where much of the accretion energy remains trapped.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Influence of physical and chemical hydrology on bioremediation of a U-contaminated aquifer informed by reactive transport modeling incorporating 238 U/ 235 U ratios

Microbially-catalyzed reductive immobilization of aqueous uranium (U) as a solid phase has been proposed as a U remediation technique. Both laboratory and field experiments have demonstrated that this reduction reaction alters the 238 U/ 235 U ratio, producing a 238 U-enriched U(IV) solid. In contrast, other major U reactive transport processes fractionate these isotopes much less. This suggests the potential to quantify the extent of bioreduction occurring in groundwater containing U using the 238 U/ 235 U ratio, which would substantially improve upon current practices largely relying on U concentration measurements alone. Current reactive transport models for uranium dynamics include only concentration measurements, which are strongly influenced by highly coupled reactive transformation and aqueous transport processes. The complex physical and chemical behavior of U potentially compromises such quantitative analysis of U storage and release. Here we report the first numerical reactive transport model which explicitly incorporates variations in the 238 U/ 235 U ratio of U and demonstrates improved interpretation of the principal chemical reactions and groundwater transport processes affecting the subsurface mobility and distribution of this widespread contaminant. Recent U bioreduction studies performed in a contaminated aquifer in Rifle, Colorado, USA applied Rayleigh distillation models to interpret U stable isotope fractionation observed as a result of acetate amendment. These simplified models were unable to resolve the spatiotemporal pattern of U isotope fractionation recorded in the aqueous solutes. Here, we employ the multi-component, isotope-enabled CrunchTope reactive transport software to interpret these measured U isotope ratios, and demonstrate accurate reproduction of observed trends in both geochemistry and 238 U/ 235 U ratios for two consecutive years of field experiments. Overall, our results indicate that accurately modeling both the U concentration and isotope ratio distributions greatly constrains the parameter space of the model. We find that the transport properties of U in the Rifle aquifer are governed by the presence of low-permeability regions, which the isotopes are uniquely sensitive to. When U reduction is spatially constrained by these low-permeability regions, the shift in the 238 U/ 235 U ratio becomes more muted. Accurate modeling of observed U isotope ratios thus provides a powerful means to better understand bioremediation, and the current study serves to advance the application of this novel method.

238U/235U↗

The IRX–β relation in kpc-sized star-forming regions in nearby galaxies

The effect of dust attenuation on a galaxy’s light depends on a number of physical properties, such as geometry and dust composition, both of which can vary across the faces of galaxies. To investigate this variation, we continue analysis on star-forming regions in 29 galaxies studied previously. We analyse these regions using Swift /UV Optical Telescope and Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer images, as well as Sloan Digital Sky Survey/Mapping Nearby Galaxies at Apache Point Observatory emission line maps to constrain the relationship between the infrared excess (IRX) and the ultraviolet spectral index, β, for each star-forming region. This relationship can be used to constrain which dust attenuation law is appropriate for the region. We find that the value of D n (4000) for a region is correlated with both IRX and β, and that the gas-phase metallicity is strongly correlated with the IRX. This correlation between metallicity and IRX suggests that regardless of aperture, metal-rich regions have steeper attenuation curves. We also find that integrated galactic light follows nearly the same IRX–β relationship as that found for kpc-sized star-forming regions. Here, this similarity may suggest that the attenuation law followed by the galaxy is essentially the same as that followed by the regions, although the relatively large size of our star-forming regions complicates this interpretation because optical opacity and attenuation curves have been observed to vary within individual galaxies.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Improvement of Atmospheric Objective Analysis Over Sloping Terrain and Its Impact on Shallow-Cumulus Clouds in Large-Eddy Simulations

Surface topography strongly impacts the regional atmospheric circulation dynamically and thermodynamically. Over the Great Plains in the United States, the gently tilted slope is an important factor that impacts clouds, convection and regional circulations. This study enhances an atmospheric constrained variational analysis by using a terrain-following sigma vertical coordinate and applies to the data collected at the Southern Great Plain (SGP) site of the Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program. Sensitivity studies are performed to examine the impact of the terrain effects on the derived large-scale atmospheric forcing fields and the simulated shallow-cumulus clouds in large-eddy simulation (LES) driven by the forcing. We found that the terrain impacts on the large-scale forcing fields are mainly at lower levels and are strongly controlled by up/downslope winds. The response of the derived forcing to the slope of the terrain is monotonic, but the response of the simulated shallow-cumulus clouds is more complex and depends on several factors. Overall, the terrain impact is small over SGP due to the small slope angle. However, the flat-surface assumption may cause larger biases in the large-scale forcing fields at locations with steeper terrain. The new sigma-coordinate algorithm, with its consideration of surface slope, should be more suitable to derive large-scale objective analysis over regions with steep terrain for application to force single-column models, cloud resolving models and LES models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Constrained Extrapolation Problem and Order-Dependent Mappings

In this work, we consider the problem of extrapolating the perturbation series for the dilute Fermi gas in three dimensions to the unitary limit of infinite scattering length and into the BEC region, using the available strong-coupling information to constrain the extrapolation problem. In this constrained extrapolation problem (CEP) the goal is to find classes of approximants that give well converged results already for low perturbative truncation orders. First, we show that standard Padé and Borel methods are too restrictive to give satisfactory results for this CEP. A generalization of Borel extrapolation is given by the so-called Maximum Entropy extrapolation method (MaxEnt). However, we show that MaxEnt requires extensive elaborations to be applicable to the dilute Fermi gas and is thus not practical for the CEP in this case. Instead, we propose order-dependent-mapping extrapolation (ODME) as a simple, practical, and general method for the CEP. Here, we find that the ODME approximants for the ground-state energy of the dilute Fermi gas are robust with respect to changes of the mapping choice and agree with results from quantum Monte Carlo simulations within uncertainties.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Industrial emission inventories of iron and phosphorus for past, present and future

Global emission inventories of aerosol iron by species, and of phosphorus, were developed for inclusion in Earth system modeling that includes atmospheric transport. The time period covered was 1850-2010 to evaluate human influence. A variety of approaches to compare measured and modeled values of aerosol iron was synthesized to estimate how well anthropogenic emissions are known. Anthropogenic emissions are constrained within a factor of two and if there is a bias, it is an overestimation. The exception is shipping emissions, which may be underestimated. Direct radiative forcing by iron aerosol is small in the global average (0.02 W m -2 ) but reaches 0.25 W m -2 around source regions. Regions of high direct radiative forcing are poorly constrained by observations. The central value of change in oceanic net primary productivity due to iron deposition is about 0.26 PgC yr -1 , also highly localized. This leads to a decrease in atmospheric CO2 accumulation that corresponds to a forcing of 0.008 W m -2 since 1850 (0.003-0.18 W m -2 ). Emissions of particulate matter to 2050 were estimated in response to different policy scenarios, including the need for renewable energy installations under decarbonization scenarios. Under the business-as-usual scenario, the total metal demand is 195 Mt/yr in 2020, peaking at 270 Mt/yr in years 2040-2045; under the Rapid Decarbonization scenario, total metal demand is nearly doubled at its peak: 480 Mt/yr in year 2040. Primary particulate matter emissions attributable to processing metals for renewable energy are also amplified under rapid decarbonization, but total atmospheric emissions are much lower because of the shift away from combustion.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Leveraging automotive fuel cells can supply zero-emission peak power in the near-term

An increasingly decarbonized yet resilient power grid requires the corresponding build-out of dispatchable zero-emission resources to supply peak power. However, there is a recognized dearth of solutions which can serve multi-day peak demand events both cost-effectively and with near-term deployability. Here, we find that pairing low-cost automotive fuel cells with hydrogen storage in salt caverns can serve as a peaker plant at less than 500 US$/kW at present, a fraction of the cost of conventional fossil fuel-fired peakers. We demonstrate the peaker’s value for long duration storage by comparing it with pumped hydro and assessing its profitability within Texas’ energy-only market region. Although deployment of these peakers is constrained by the presence of salt caverns, we show that a number of sites in the United States and Europe are endowed with suitable salt formations, while utilizing hydrogen storage in pressurized containers could form a location-agnostic peak power solution.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Probing the limits of statistical neutron capture for the r process: Experimental constraints on 141 Cs nuclear level densities

The r-process abundance peaks, particularly near mass number A ∼ 130, reflect underlying nuclear structure effects such as closed neutron shells, yet modeling the nucleosynthesis in this region remains hindered by uncertain neutron-capture rates. These rates are especially sensitive to nuclear level densities (NLDs) and γ-ray strength functions of neutron-rich nuclei, where experimental data are scarce. We present the first experimental constraint on the NLD of 141 Cs using the β-Oslo method, extending sensitivity to the neutron-rich regime near the N = 82 closed shell. Our data allow for critical calibration of microscopic NLD models and reveal that 141 Cs lies near the limit of statistical model applicability. Using this experimental input, we evaluate radiative neutron-capture rates across neighboring isotones using both Hauser–Feshbach (HF) and High Fidelity Resonance (HFR) models. Our results show order-of-magnitude rate increases for nuclei along the N = 86 line, signaling a transition to resonance-dominated capture in this region. These findings underscore the importance of constraining NLDs to improve r-process reaction network predictions, particularly in environments where the validity of statistical models breaks down.

Nuclear level density↗

Global mean frequency increases of daily and sub-daily heavy precipitation in ERA5

Abstract Changes in heavy precipitation frequency can be viewed as a change in the event return period, a common metric of risk. Compared with intensity, frequency changes are less well-studied and past work has largely been constrained to analysis of well-instrumented regions. We exploit the latest ERA5 reanalysis and its global hourly accumulations at 1/4° spatial resolution and apply a metric that captures frequency changes across both wet and dry regions. According to ERA5 and in a global average sense, during 1989–2018, hourly events that occurred once per year in 1979–1988 increased in frequency by 71 (53–93, 95% range) %, while the one day per year heavy event frequency increased by 44 (37–54) %. Thus, hourly events that occurred once per year in the baseline decade are on track to double in frequency by 2021–2030, and the daily events by 2047–2056. Furthermore, our results replicate prior findings that relative frequency increases are larger for increasingly rare events, and for the first time we quantify that mean frequency increases have been greater over ocean than land. Ocean increases are larger by factors of 3.0 and 2.1 for the hourly and daily events that occurred once per year in 1979–1988, respectively.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

Repositioning Quantum Cellular Automata for Dependable Quantum-Classical Systems

Quantum Cellular Automata (QCA) provides a structured model of distributed quantum computation with inherent locality and regularity properties that are suited to dependable execution. However, QCA remain largely absent from discussions on reproducibility, fault management, and orchestration in heterogeneous quantum-classical systems. We propose a dual-axis framework that situates QCA within both computation and physical realizability, revealing regions where robust, scalable, and hardware-constrained quantum dynamics may reside. By revisiting prior results through the lens of reproducibility and architecture resilience, we suggest that QCA offers a potential substrate for benchmarking and system-level co-design.

Stapleton, Nicholas [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000335305325↗