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DOE OSTI2025

Data from a throughfall exclusion experiment: Fine root dynamics, morphology, chemistry, and AMF colonization across four lowland Panamanian forests

Fine roots regulate forest nutrient, carbon, and water cycling, yet their variation within and among tropical forests remains under-characterized. We quantified root productivity, disappearance, and stocks to 1 m using minirhizotron imaging, and we measured morphology, elemental composition [root carbon (C), root nitrogen (N), root phosphorus (P)], and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF) colonization to 20 cm using ingrowth cores and sequential coring. Sampling took place in four distinct lowland Panamanian forests (32 plots; 8 per forest) from 2018 through 2022 under control and throughfall-exclusion (drought) treatments in the Panama Rainforest Changes with Experimental Drying (PARCHED) experiment.The dataset is presented as an Excel workbook with six tabs. The first tab is the data dictionary. Tab S1 contains ingrowth-core production and mortality, morphology and soil moisture. Tab S2 contains sequential-coring standing stocks with associated morphology and soil moisture. Tab S3 contains minirhizotron row data records to 1 m depth, including per-frame root length and diameter, normalized length metrics, and session timing. Tab S4 contains AMF colonization. Tab S5 contains fine-root chemistry at 0–10 cm, reporting %P, %C, %N, and C:N for samples collected via ingrowth cores and sequential-coring standing stocks. CSV mirrors for each tab are provided, and a KML file supplies coordinates for all 32 plots.Key variables span live and dead fine-root biomass (and coarse fractions where applicable), specific root length (SRL) and area (SRA), diameter, root tissue density (RTD), soil moisture, AMF colonization, root %N, %C, %P, and C:N, along with minirhizotron root length and diameter. Depth, season, treatment, and plot/site identifiers are included to support cross-tab integration and analysis from 0–100 cm (minirhizotron) and 0–20 cm (cores).Units are reported in-column and missing values are coded as NA. No special software is required to open or use the files (Excel, CSV, and KML compatible).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Reconstructing parent microstructures in martensitic and pearlitic Ti-Cu

Evaluating the microstructural evolution of parent phases has long been a challenge in metals with a partial or complete solid state transformation. Most parent microstructure evolution has to be inferred from the product microstructure, with some information permanently lost. Parent microstructure reconstructions relying on orientation relationships and EBSD data are a useful tool to overcome this challenge, though much background knowledge is required to do so. Here, this work introduces a reconstruction process for a eutectoid composition Ti-Cu binary alloy to evaluate the high temperature β-Ti phase from martensitic and pearlitic product microstructures. Martensitic microstructures were accurately reconstructed, enabling elucidation of β-Ti grain size and texture, and the employed script included for scientific reference. Pearlitic microstructures did not reconstruct effectively with the current process. However, new insight into the interfacial crystallographic orientations of pearlitic Ti-Cu microstructures was gleaned via this analysis, and future investigations of interest are discussed accordingly. Ultimately, these findings demonstrate tools widely implemented on conventional titanium and ferrous alloys can also be applied to understand parent microstructures in Ti-Cu and other alloys of emerging interest. This is especially of use as new manufacturing processes for such materials require understanding how parent phase microstructures respond to new, novel material processing such as AM.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

High temperature oxidation of corrosion resistant alloys from machine learning

Parabolic rate constants, k p , were collected from published reports and calculated from corrosion product data (sample mass gain or corrosion product thickness) and tabulated for 75 alloys exposed to temperatures between ~800 and 2000 K (~500–1700 °C; 900–3000°F). Data were collected for environments including lab air, ambient and supercritical carbon dioxide, supercritical water, and steam. Materials studied include low- and high-Cr ferritic and austenitic steels, nickel superalloys, and aluminide materials. A combination of Arrhenius analysis, simple linear regression, supervised and unsupervised machine learning methods were used to investigate the relations between composition and oxidation kinetics. The supervised machine learning techniques produced the lowest mean standard errors. The most significant elements controlling oxidation kinetics were Ni, Cr, Al, and Fe, with Mo and Co composition also found to be significant features. The activation energies produced from the machine learning analysis were in the correct distributions for the diffusion constants for the oxide scales expected to dominate in each class.

Materials Science↗

DOE OSTI2024

Integrated Off-Gas System Tests on the DM1200 Melter with RPP-WTP LAW Sub-Envelope Bl Simulants, VSL-03R3851-1, Rev. 0 (Oct 2003)

The report documents melter and off-gas performance results obtained on the DM1200 melter during processing of LAW Sub-Envelope B1 feed. The principal objectives of the DM1200 melter testing were to demonstrate suitable processing and production rates for LAW B1 feed; characterize the glass product for elemental composition; measure elemental emission rates and decontamination factors (DFs) across the melter and off-gas treatment components; and provide additional data on the performance of the thermal catalytic oxidation and selective catalytic reduction (TCO/SCR) unit efficiency in treating organic emissions. The feed was spiked with organic compounds for part of the testing duration. All data were collected for use in engineering and system design purposes. No sampling and analysis to collect environmental data was performed during these tests.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2020

Fluorine Limits and Impacts in High-Level Waste Glass Compositions

The impact of elevated fluorine (F) content on Hanford high-level waste (HLW) glasses has not previously been studied in detail. This effort represents the first systematic study to determine what F concentration limits should be used for the design of alkali-borosilicate-based Hanford Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP) HLW glasses, and to document the technical basis for that limit. If alkali borosilicate glass made from Hanford HLW can accommodate a large amount of F, the large capital costs for complex sludge washing facilities may be avoided, as would much of the operational costs and negative schedule impacts associated with handling the large volumes of water required to dissolve these salts. In order to determine a limit for F in likely HLW glass compositions, an evaluation was conducted on glasses with F ≤ 0.90 mass% from previous nuclear waste glass studies. The collected dataset contains 239 glasses (232 HLW glasses and 7 LAW glasses) including 109 glasses with 0.9 ≤ F mass% ≤ 2.5, 116 with 2.5 < F mass% ≤ 8.0, and 14 with F mass% ≥ 8 (max. F mass% = 17.42). The collected composition and property data were analyzed to determine the basis for the F tolerance, i.e. the maximum F concentration that can be processed without potential issues. Fluorine volatility, product consistency test (PCT) response, liquidus temperature (T L ), glass melt viscosity, and crystallinity have been investigated. No limits for F concentration can be made based on F volatility, T L , or glass melt viscosity, because the data show that high F in glasses do not indicate, with high probability, being restricted by those property constrains. However, crystallinity and PCT response were used to estimate the F tolerance. The results show that glasses with high F (≥ 0.90 mass%) are more likely to form large fractions of F-containing crystal phases which may increase PCT responses, i.e. decrease the glass durability. Based on the results of crystallinity and PCT data, the F tolerance of 4.5 mass% is estimated. There is no evidence of other glass components, such as calcium oxides and alkali metal oxides have combined impacts with F on the glass properties. Overall, the available high-F glass data is limited, especially in the designed HLW glass composition regions. Future work on formulation and testing of HLW glasses with F ≥ 0.9 mass% will close the data gaps and expand operational flexibility with respect to the fluoride tolerances. Volatility of F from melters and corrosion of materials in contact with glass melts are important for processing of high-F wastes; yet no test data are currently available. It is recommended tests be conducted to address these two potential issues.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2022

A machine learning approach for clinker quality prediction and nonlinear model predictive control design for a rotary cement kiln

Abstract Cement manufacturing is energy‐intensive (5Gj/t) and comprises a significant portion of the energy footprint of concrete systems. Incorporating modern monitoring, simulation and control systems will allow lower energy use, lower environmental impact, and lower costs of this widely used construction material. One of the goals of the CESMII roadmap project on the Smart Manufacturing of Cement included developing an analytical process model for clinker quality that includes the chemistry of the kiln feed and accounts for critical process variables. This predictive model will be used in nonlinear model predictive control system designed to significantly reduce process energy use while maintaining or improving product quality. In the cement manufacturing plant used in this study, the kiln feed (meal) is tested every 12 h and used to estimate the mineral composition of the cement kiln output (clinker) using the stoichiometry‐based Bogue's model and the expertise of the plant operators. During kiln operation, kiln output (clinker) is sampled and tested every 2 h to measure its chemical and mineral composition. The predicted and measured values of the clinker composition are used by the plant operators to adjust the kiln input stream and the production process characteristics to maintain stable operation and uniform product quality. However, the time delay between prediction and testing, along with inaccuracies inherent in the Bogue's model have made any process changes designed to minimize energy use problematic, especially in‐light of potential clinker quality issues that process changes often pose. A new analytical model that integrates quality information and process operation information has been developed from data collected from 2 years of production from an operating cement facility. To make the model fuel‐type‐independent, consumed heat energy was computed in the model instead of fuel type and amount. A Feedforward Network was trained and tailored from collected data. Many data‐based simulations were conducted to quantitatively evaluate the proposed model and the 5‐fold cross‐validation procedure was used to test the models. The resulting predictive model was shown to have a low root mean square error (MSE) with respect to the estimated clinker mineral composition compared to that using the industry standard “Bogue’ model”. The end goal of this work was to develop a single machine learning tool that allows the use of quality control data and process control variables to improve energy efficiency of the process in a continuous fashion. The proposed nonlinear model predictive control system (NMPC) can generate predicted kiln production characteristics based on manipulated variables in manner that accurately follows the target product quality values. Simulation results also show that the proposed model produced accurate predictions of kiln outputs that fell within the required constraints, while manipulating control variables within typical operational ranges.

Ali, Asem M.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Model ages of three uranium metal CRMs and implications for radiochronometry data interpretation

In this study, we report 230 Th/ 234 U and 231 Pa/ 235 U model ages in three uranium metal certified reference materials with distinct production histories and isotopic compositions ranging from depleted to highly enriched (CRMs 112-A, 115, and 116-A). Here, our results provide the first model age values for these materials using multiple radiochronometers, which can be used as reference values for quality control of radiochronometry measurements performed during nuclear forensic investigations. Furthermore, we evaluate the model ages in the context of available production records for the materials, which provides insight into the processes that may impact radiochronometry systems during uranium metal production.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

DOE OSTI2023

Algal Biomass Production via Open Pond Algae Farm Cultivation: 2022 State of Technology and Future Research

The annual State of Technology (SOT) assessment is an essential activity for platform research conducted under the Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO). It allows for the impact of research progress (both directly achieved in-house at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory [NREL] and furnished by partner organizations) to be quantified in terms of economic improvements in the overall biofuel production process for a particular biomass processing pathway, whether based on terrestrial or algal biomass feedstocks. As such, initial benchmarks can be established for currently demonstrated performance, and progress can be tracked toward out-year goals to ultimately demonstrate economically viable biofuel technologies. NREL's algae SOT benchmarking efforts focus both on front-end algal biomass production and separately on back-end conversion to fuels through NREL's "combined algae processing" (CAP) pathway. The production model is based on outdoor long-term cultivation data, enabled by comprehensive algal biomass production trials conducted under the Development of Integrated Screening, Cultivar Optimization, and Verification Research (DISCOVR) consortium efforts, driven by data furnished by Arizona State University (ASU) at the Arizona Center for Algae Technology and Innovation (AzCATI) testbed site. The CAP model is based on experimental efforts conducted primarily under NREL research and development projects. This report focuses on front-end algal biomass production, documenting the pertinent algal biomass cultivation parameters that were input to the NREL open pond algae farm model. Through partnerships under DISCOVR, collaborators at ASU furnished details on cultivation performance metrics including biomass productivity and harvest densities for recent growth trials done at the AzCATI site. The resulting biomass productivity was calculated at 18.5 g/m2/day (ash-free dry weight [AFDW], annual average) for seasonal cultivation of Picochlorum celeri, Tetraselmis striata LANL1001, and Monoraphidium minutum 26B-AM biomass strains at the ASU site. Picochlorum celeri achieved the best productivity from May to September, with Monoraphidium minutum 26B-AM being used in October, November, March, and April, and Tetraselmis striata employed during winter months (December through February). Beyond the standard SOT models, in Appendix C of this report we also present an industry case study evaluating several scenarios reflective of outdoor cultivation data furnished by an industry collaborator. This case study provides a supplementary datapoint on work being performed elsewhere achieving comparable cultivation productivity with more favorable compositional quality, producing biomass enriched in lipids as may be more optimal for conversion upgrading to fuels and products.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Characterization of Hanford LAW phase 3 glasses. Revision 2

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2020

Characterization of Hanford LAW Phase 3 Glasses

This report provides analyses of glass compositions, wash solution compositions, and Product Consistency Test (PCT) leachate compositions for a series of simulated low-activity waste (LAW) glasses fabricated at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL). These data will be used in the development of improved property/composition models for LAW glass at Hanford. Chemical analyses were performed on a representative sample of each of the quenched and sulfur saturated glasses to allow for comparisons with the targeted compositions. For some of the quenched glasses, measured concentrations of Cr₂O₃, K₂O, Na₂O, P₂O₅, and ZrO₂ were below the targeted values. For some of the sulfur saturated glasses, the measured concentrations of Al₂O₃, Cl⁻, Cr₂O₃, F⁻, K₂O, Na₂O, P₂O₅, V₂O₅, and ZrO₂ were generally low relative to the targeted values. A comparison of the measured compositions of the quenched and sulfur saturated versions of the study glasses showed that the measured concentrations of Al₂O₃, Cl⁻, and F⁻ were lower for most of the sulfur saturated glasses. The measured Cr₂O₃ and K₂O concentrations were markedly lower for the sulfur saturated versions of the glasses as compared to the quenched versions, which may indicate that these elements partitioned to the soluble sulfur salts. A set of modified glasses was received from PNNL later in this study. Chemical analysis showed that these glasses generally met their targeted compositions. The measured SO₃ concentrations were higher for most of the sulfur saturated glasses relative to those of the quenched versions, as expected. Chemical analysis of the wash solutions that resulted from preparation of the sulfur saturated melts identified Cr, K, Na, P, S, and V as the major elements in solution. With the exception of sulfur, this may explain why the measured concentrations of these components in the study glasses were generally below the targeted values. PNNL performed PCTs on quenched and canister centerline cooled (CCC) versions of the study glasses, as well as the modified glasses. The leachates were sent to SRNL for chemical analysis. Minor scatter in the measured values among the triplicate samples for each glass was noted. Several of the study glasses, both quenched and CCC, have NCi values that are greater than the immobilized LAW constraint of 4 g/L for B, Na, and Si.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2021

Product Consistency Test Results for the HFG1 Glasses

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is responsible for building the Hanford Tank Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP) at the Hanford site in Washington to remediate 55 million gallons of radioactive waste that is temporarily stored in 177 underground tanks. The Office of River Protection (ORP) has requested that the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) contribute in areas of recognized capabilities and expertise for glass waste form development to support successful startup of the WTP. As part of this effort, the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) is developing, batching, and fabricating simulated high-level waste (HLW) glasses to generate the associated property data needed to validate or identify areas of potential characterization improvement in the current glass property/composition models. Currently, the models cover only a small fraction of the waste compositions projected in the Hanford tank farm; therefore, the models must be expanded to include high fluoride compositions to successfully complete the WTP mission. SRNL support of this work is defined in the Task Technical and Quality Assurance Plan (TTQAP). This report provides the results of the Product Consistency Test (PCT) leachates from the High Fluoride Glasses-1 (HFG1), a series of simulated nuclear waste glasses fabricated at PNNL. The series included quenched (Q) and canister-centerline cooled (CCC) versions of the glasses. The glasses were selected as part of a broader study of the influence of glass composition on chemical durability, sulfur retention, and other properties. These data will be used to validate or identify areas of potential characterization improvements in the current glass property/composition models.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2021

CO2 Capture Strategies via Mineralization with Industrial Waste Brines

Large coal-fired power plants (>500 MW) account for 30% of global CO2 emissions, and long-term management of this CO2 to is urgently needed mitigate global temperature increases. Sequestration of CO2 within stable mineral carbonates (e.g., CaCO3) represents an attractive emission reduction strategy because it offers a leakage-free alternative to geological storage of CO2 in an environmentally friendly form. We have previously described a mineralization process in which divalent cations are sourced from various waste streams (e.g., produced water and brackish water) and alkalinity is induced via regenerable ion-exchange materials (Bustillos et. al. Frontiers in Energy Research. 2020, 8, 352). In our process, aqueous carbonate-bearing streams with pH > 8 are produced by contacting fresh water and carbon dioxide with various ion-exchange materials (e.g., Na form zeolites or ion exchange resins). These streams are mixed with produced water containing varying concentrations (~0.01 – 1.0 M) of Ca2+ leading to the precipitation of solid calcium carbonate (PCC). This process has the advantages of using regenerable solids in a simple and continuous process to increase the pH of water by ion exchange instead of relying on the consumption of costly and unsustainable sources of alkalinity (e.g., sodium hydroxide). While once-through column experiments showed the above benefits, the same were yet to established in a steady-state process with recycle streams. In this work, we set up a process simulation to quantify the energy requirements and CO2 emissions associated with the process and seek optimal produced water compositions and CO2 concentrations (5 – 20 vol%). The process simulation was set up in ASPEN Plus using eRNTL as the thermodynamic property method and sequential modular strategy. Ion exchange alkaline solution was simulated using sodium hydroxide and validated against the experimental data obtained from once-through kinetic experiments. Nanofiltration and reverse osmosis membrane steps were also implemented for the separation of divalent cations and production of fresh water and a regeneration stream following mineralization. Sensitivity analysis was carried out using a range of produced water compositions (0.01 – 1.0 M Ca2+, 0.001 – 0.15 M Mg2+, 0.5 – 3.5 M Na+ and 0.0004 – 0.002 M Fe2+) according to the United States Geological Survey (USGS) database. Calcium carbonate yields increased with increasing CO2 concentrations and were maximized using produced water compositions with larger Ca2+ concentrations. Maximum calcium carbonate yields produced at 5 vol%, 12 vol% and 20 vol% CO2 were 2.3 mmol/L, 5.5 mmol/L, and 9.3 mmol/L, respectively, with the formation of brucite (a magnesium hydroxide phase, Mg(OH)2) and goethite (an iron hydroxide phase, FeOOH) as the primary contaminant phases (99% calcite, 0.6% brucite, 0.4% goethite), which agree with phases detected by XRD experimentally. These results indicate high purity calcium carbonate can be precipitated using industrial waste streams. Consequentially, energy consumption and net CO2 emissions were minimized where precipitated calcium carbonate was maximized for all produced water compositions and CO2 concentrations. Minimum energy consumptions were 0.21 kWh/ton CO2 processed, with 98% of the energy input required coming from the membrane filtration steps. Produced water compositions with large Na+ concentrations (> 0.5 M) were effective at reducing energy consumptions due to faster regeneration time of ion exchange materials. Additionally, calculated net CO2 emissions were negative for the process and ranged from -0.02 kg/ton CO2 to -0.15 kg/ton CO2 processed, indicating a low emission process. We will also present techno-economic assessment showing the economic benefits of the current process as an alternative to the addition of stoichiometric bases to induce alkalinity for the precipitation of CaCO3.

Simonetti, Dante↗

DOE OSTI2023

A decay database of coincident γ–γ and γ–X -ray branching ratios for in-field spectroscopy applications

Current fieldable spectroscopy techniques often use single detector systems heavily impacted by interferences from intense background radiation fields. These effects result in low-confidence measurements that can lead to misinterpretation of the collected spectrum. To help improve interpretation of the fission products and short-lived radionuclides produced in a composite sample, a coincidence-database is being developed in support of a robust portable and X-ray coincidence detector system concurrently under development at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory for in-field deployment. Hitherto, no database exists containing coincident γ–γ and γ–X-ray branching-ratio intensities on an absolute scale that will greatly enhance isotopic identification for in-field applications. As part of this project, software has been developed to parse all radioactive-decay data sets from the Evaluated Nuclear Structure Data File (ENSDF) archive to enable translation into a more useful JavaScript Object Notation (JSON) formats that more readily supports query-based data manipulation. The coincident database described in this work is the first of its kind and contains coincidence γ–γ and γ–X-ray intensities and their corresponding uncertainties, together with auxiliary metadata associated with each decay data set. The new JSON format provides a convenient and portable means of data storage that can be imported into analysis frameworks with relatively low overhead allowing for meaningful comparison with measured data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Predicting Sintering Window of Binder Jet Additively Manufactured Parts Using a Coupled Data Analytics and CALPHAD Approach

Batch-to-batch variation in powder compositions for binder jet additive manufacturing (BJAM) can significantly deter defining an “ideal” sintering window for a given alloy. One way to overcome the problem is by running sintering experiments at various temperatures for each batch of the powder. However, such an approach increases the time required to achieve large-scale production of parts. The predictive capabilities of computational thermodynamic tools like CALPHAD can be leveraged to overcome the challenge, especially for binder jet additive manufacturing, since the process occurs under near-equilibrium conditions. However, calculating the sintering window using CALPHAD can be computationally expensive, considering many possible feedstock compositions within “specification”. Here, we generate high throughput CALPHAD data for nickel-based superalloys to develop machine learning models to predict the sintering window rapidly. The predictive capability of the models has been validated using published results on BJAM of Inconel 718 and 625. Further, validated models are lightweight and can be deployed in an industrial setting to get sintering window in an accelerated manner.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Radiological Monitoring Plan for the Oak Ridge Y-12 National Security Complex: Surface Water

DOE Order 458.1 requires that dose estimates consider contributions from all facilities. In the Y-12 Radiological Monitoring Plan (RMP), surface water is monitored at points that reflect individual facilities, as well as at points that reflect the combined contributions of all facilities. This monitoring plan does not consider other potential routes (i.e., airborne releases and food chains). Thus, a complete determination of total effective dose (TED) cannot be made based on this plan alone. The other routes from Y-12, and all routes from other DOE facilities on the Oak Ridge Reservation (e.g., Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and The Heritage Center), must be considered in order to satisfy DOE Order 458.1 requirements. Determination of TED from all sites and pathways is done through the use of dose-assessment models and is documented in the Annual Site Environmental Report. This monitoring plan provides adequate monitoring goals for Y-12 surface water releases to provide input of sufficient sensitivity and accuracy to reliably determine the Y-12 surface water component of the TED. The routine radiological monitoring program is designed to monitor effluents at four types of locations: (1) treatment facilities, (2) other point and area source discharges, (3) instream locations, and (4) production building roof run-off. With this sampling and analysis program, data will be obtained on primary point sources as well as on locations that represent the composite of other potential sources. This plan will be reviewed periodically to determine necessary modifications to the sampling frequencies, parameters, and locations. Modifications, if any, will be based on the analysis of the previous data and its effectiveness in satisfying the objectives of this plan. Appendix A contains graphs of the sum of the DCS fractions for locations and frequencies contained in a previous version of this plan. The data was collected from January 2009 through December 2019. Each sample was analyzed, and each result was divided by the appropriate DCS to compute a DCS fraction. These fractions were summed for all isotopes. According to DOE –STD-1196-2011, the annual average of these sums should be below 1.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Extension of SCALE/Sampler’s sensitivity index for the assessment of cross section, fission yield, and decay data uncertainties

Accurate prediction of nuclide compositions and neutron and gamma sources and spectra for fresh and spent nuclear fuel through computational modeling and simulations is the basis for safeguards instruments design, optimization, and calibration, and for validation of the measured responses. The accuracy of these simulations can be significantly impacted by uncertainties in input parameters to the applied computer code. Input parameters are, for example, dimensions, material compositions, and temperatures of the model. Additionally, important but sometimes neglected input parameters for simulations of nuclear systems are the nuclear data that include nuclear reaction cross sections, fission product yields, and decay data. It has been shown that uncertainties of calculated results are dominated by uncertainties of these nuclear data.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Leaf 13 C data constrain the uncertainty of the carbon dynamics of temperate forest ecosystems

Stable carbon isotope discrimination occurred in plant biophysical and biogeochemical processes can help understand plant physiology and soil biogeochemistry with respect to carbon cycling. Here, we incorporated the photosynthetic carbon isotope discrimination into a process-based land surface model (iTEM) to test if stable carbon isotope composition (δ 13 C) can impose additional constraint on model parameters. Sequential data assimilation was implemented at six eddy covariance flux tower sites using carbon flux observations including gross primary productivity (GPP) and net ecosystem exchange (NEE) with and without considering foliar δ 13 C (δ 13 C f ) measurement constraints, respectively. Our model-data fusion showed that δ 13 C f can provide useful constraint on photosynthetic (V cmax25 , the maximum rate of carboxylation at 25°C) and stomatal (g1, the slope of stomatal function) parameters as well as the posterior carbon fluxes. When including δ 13 C f measurement, g1 spatially varies among the six sites and is significantly correlated with annual precipitation. We incorporated the statistical relationship between g1 and annual precipitation into iTEM, which is then used to quantify the regional carbon dynamic in temperate forest ecosystems of the Northern Hemisphere. Compared with the simulation only conditioned on carbon flux observations, regional carbon flux estimations performed slightly better against the FLUXCOM products and the uncertainties of modeled carbon fluxes were reduced by 27%. Our study demonstrated that δ 13 C f data constrains carbon flux uncertainties across space.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

High-resolution national mapping of natural gas composition substantially updates methane leakage impacts

Methane is emitted from oil and gas operations alongside heavier hydrocarbons and non-hydrocarbon gases, shaping emissions management decision-making, including air quality impacts. Yet, most assessments assume fixed gas composition, overlooking significant spatial and temporal variations. Here, we generate a high-resolution, data-driven map of natural gas composition across the United States, reconstructing methane, heavier hydrocarbons, and non-hydrocarbon species using spatio-temporal interpolation and oil-and-gas production patterns. Our approach is able to reduce composition prediction errors by 39% in terms of Mean Absolute Error (MAE) compared to standard techniques and reveals that methane loss rates have been underestimated by more than 50% in some regions. Beyond methane, we uncover substantial variability in co-emitted gases, exposing blind spots in current emissions inventories and emissions management frameworks. Our work enables more accurate emissions assessments, guides targeted measurement strategies, and informs emissions management decision-making. It also provides a general framework for prediction in environmental applications that integrate sparse measurements with auxiliary variables.

03 NATURAL GAS↗