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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2019

Method for Tracking and Communicating Aggregate Risk Through the Use of Model-Based Systems Engineering (MBSE) Tools

Large, complex projects can identify a significant number and variety of risks, throughout the project life cycle. These risks are analyzed, mitigated, closed or accepted as independent uncertainties. Once closed or accepted, it is easy for projects to lose awareness of their impact. In reality, each of these risks contributes some amount to the overall risk posture of the project. The ability to track and effectively communicate this aggregate risk has represented a challenge to project management. There have been previous attempts to create a schema to communicate the aggregate effect of risks, without notable success. Most of these attempts have centered on some additive metric derived from the scoring of likelihood and consequence values. This, in and of itself, is a logical approach, but all too often the scores were then aggregated to a level where all context was lost. One weakness has been a lack of attempt to create linkages or logical groups of the risks upon which useful aggregation could then occur. The overall move to model-based (systems) engineering (MBSE) has opened up a vast frontier of opportunities to better integrate all project data. MBSE provides an underlying layer that links data items to each other. Objectives link to requirements, which then link to functions, functions to physical architecture items, and so on, as far down as projects want to model. While it started with a focus on modeling requirements based on things like use cases, efforts are now underway to integrate safety and mission assurance (S&MA) information and analyses, such as risks. This effort, called Model Based Mission Assurance (MBMA), is yielding models that are more useful and are a more accurate representations of the systems. MBSE models, with this ability to link related items, provide a new means of tracking and communicating aggregate risks. In the proposed method, risks are added into the models as distinct items, having attributes that communicate a scoring derived from the likelihood and consequence values as charted on the standard NASA 5x5 risk matrix. Like earlier efforts, each box in the 5x5 has an associated scoring, which may include both a current score and potential post-mitigation/control score. The risk items are then linked to elements of the model, such as system objectives/goals, requirements, functions, or physical architecture items, with "Risk to" relationships. These risks will then be communicated by use of reports generated from the model, detailing all risks and/or hazards linked to model elements. These reports can include aggregate impacts, including a current scoring and potential future state scoring based on the planned mitigations and/or controls. These reports will show all risks, open, accepted, and closed, linked to project objectives or requirements. When run as part of an upcoming risk acceptance discussion, these reports will serve to remind the team of all previous risks that relate to the effected portion of the system. When included as part of periodic program or project reviews, risk reviews, and safety reviews, this method can improve the overall understanding of the system's true risk posture. This proposed method takes full advantage of the advances that modern modeling techniques provide, with a minimal investment of additional time. Utilizing the model environment also enables a near constant access to current state of aggregate risks.

model based mission assurance↗
DOE OSTI2022

Aggregation in bottom-up vulnerability assessments and equity implications: The case of Jordanian households’ water supply

Bottom-up methods for water resources modeling rely on acceptability thresholds to find, through a response surface, which deeply uncertain futures lead to system failure. They commonly treat water users as aggregate actors, which may preclude analysis of the equity impacts of interventions. This paper explores how aggregation choices for large groups of water users lead to different policy recommendations in response surface assessments. Herein, two aggregation methods with varying parameters are considered: percentile satisfaction targets and generalized mean. A 2-dimensional stress-test assessment across groundwater availability and population is applied to household water supply in Jordan. The study compares six different policies covering supply enhancement and rebalancing, using a country-wide multi-agent model that characterizes households across socioeconomic strata. For different aggregation levels, policies are ordered by their associated robustness index. Results show that aggregation choices may modify response surfaces as much as policy changes and strongly determine policy preference. Modifying allocation rules can substantially reduce the disparity in household vulnerability. Preferences defined by aggregation intervals provide a finer understanding of trade-offs among water users and may improve deliberation over equity under deep uncertainty.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Fluorescent aggregate structure revealed in bisphenol F epoxy thermoset

Bisphenol F (BPF) epoxy resin is a prepolymer component of thermosets used in construction of reinforced carbon fiber composites (RCFC). The fluorescence of this resin can provide information about chemical and structural alterations of the thermoset from thermal or mechanical damage. While some work has investigated the fluorescence spectra of bisphenol A epoxy resin, a structural analog of BPF, none have studied BPF. The purpose of this study is to investigate the baseline fluorescence spectra of the BPF epoxy resin for features that could be utilized for monitoring damage and structural alterations. Bisphenol F epoxy resin was found to have two emission peaks with a broad peak centered at 410 nm and a sharp peak centered at 550 nm. The broad emission peak was identified as the fluorescence from BPF epoxy monomer while the sharp emission peak was found to be from an aggregate structure present in the epoxy resin. It is hypothesized that this structure is an H-aggregate based on the emission features and structural stability of the aggregate compared to the alternative J-aggregate which was determined via density functional theory calculations. The H-aggregate was found to persist into one of the cured thermoset formulations evaluated but was lost when exposed to elevated temperatures below thermal degradation of the thermoset. This loss of aggregate structure was due to polymer network rearrangement. This new fluorescence signature can be used as an indicator of polymer network rearrangement from thermal exposure which may alter the expected material performance and precede thermal degradation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Frustrated Coulombic and Cation Size Effects on Nanoscale Boehmite Aggregation: A Tumbler Small- and Ultra-Small-Angle Neutron Scattering Study

To better understand the effects of solution chemistry on particle aggregation in the complex legacy tank wastes at the Hanford (WA) and Savannah River (SC) sites, we have performed a series of tumbler small- and ultra-small-angle neutron scattering experiments on 20 wt % solid slurries of nanoparticulate aluminum oxyhydroxide (boehmite) with M 1+ nitrates of various concentrations and radii. In this study, the solutes consisted of H, Li, Na, K, and Rb nitrates at 10 –5 , 10 –3 , 10 –1 , 2, and 4 molal (m) concentrations, as well as in pure H 2 O. Synthetic boehmite nanoparticles were used with a size range from ~20 to 30 nm. Tumbler cells were used to keep the solids from settling. Although particles initially form individual rhombohedral platelets, once placed in solution, they quickly form well-bonded stacks, primary aggregates, up to ~1500 Å long, and a second level of aggregates whose concentration and structure vary as a function of cation type and concentration. Aggregation generally increases with increased solute concentration and with cation radius up to a concentration somewhat above 10 –1 m, at which point the trend reverses. Primary aggregates become more rodlike and larger. The Kirkwood-like reversal probably reflects a change from Derjaguin–Landau–Verwey–Overbeek (DLVO)/Debye behavior controlled by surface chemistry to a frustrated Coulombic system controlled by the solution structure. These data suggest that an understanding of the effects of salt concentration and chemistry on nanoparticle aggregate structures provides useful physical insights into the microscopic origin of slurry rheology in the Hanford and Savannah River legacy wastes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Tunable and Robust Optical and Structural Properties of a Cooperative Squaraine-Dye Aggregate-DNA DX-DAE Tile System

Molecular excitons, which are excitations delocalized over multiple dyes in a wavelike manner, are of interest for a wide range of applications, including quantum information science. Numerous studies have templated a variety of synthetic dyes via a DNA scaffold to induce dye aggregation to create molecular excitons upon photoexcitation. Dye aggregate optical properties are critically dependent on relative dye geometry and local environment; therefore, an understanding of dye-dye and DNA-dye interactions is critical for advancing toward more complex DNA-dye systems. The extensively studied DNA Holliday junction (HJ) and less-studied double-crossover (DX) tile motif are fundamental test beds for designing complex and ultimately modular DNA-dye architectures. Here, we report the first study of single-linked squaraine dye aggregation and exciton delocalization on a larger and more stable (compared with the HJ) DX tile motif. We first highlight a few DNA-dye constructs that support single dyes and aggregates with distinct optical properties that are both tunable—through sample design, buffer conditions, and heat treatment—and robust to environment changes, including transfer to solid phase. Next, we assess several experimental and design considerations that demonstrate directed dye-driven assembly of a novel double-tile DNA configuration. Our results demonstrate that single-linked squaraine dyes templated to DX tiles provide a viable research path to design and evaluate dye aggregate networks that support exciton delocalization. We include herein the first report of exciton delocalization in the solid phase in a DNA-dye construct. Additionally, our findings indicate that dye aggregation impacts the assembly of the DNA-dye construct, and, in some cases, thereby cooperates with the DNA to determine a final robust system configuration. Finally, we show that a controlled annealing schedule can be employed to promote the homogeneous assembly of DNA-dye constructs. The findings in this study contribute to the understanding of DNA-dye systems and the relevant factors involved in their directed assembly to achieve specific constructs with desirable properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Soil pore network response to freeze-thaw cycles in permafrost aggregates

This dataset contains data used for the paper "Pore network response to freeze-thaw cycles in permafrost aggregates". The Related References field will be updated with a full citation when available.Climate change in Arctic landscapes may increase freeze-thaw frequency within the active layer as well as newly thawed permafrost. A highly disruptive process, freeze-thaw can deform soil pores and alter the architecture of the soil pore network with varied impacts to water transport and retention, redox conditions, and microbial activity. Our objective was to investigate how freeze-thaw cycles impacted the pore network of newly thawed permafrost aggregates to improve understanding of what type of transformations can be expected from warming Arctic landscapes. We measured the impact of freeze-thaw on pore morphology, pore throat diameter distribution, and pore connectivity with X-ray computed tomography (XCT) using six permafrost aggregates with sizes of 2.5 cm3 from a mineral soil horizon (Bw; 28-50 cm depths) in Toolik, Alaska. Freeze-thaw cycles were performed using a laboratory incubation consisting of five freeze-thaw cycles (-10˚C to 20˚C) over five weeks. Our findings indicated decreasing spatial connectivity of the pore network across all aggregates with higher frequencies of singly connected pores following freeze-thaw. Water-filled pores that were connected to the pore network decreased in volume while the overall connected pore volumetric fraction was not affected. Shifts in the pore throat diameter distribution were mostly observed in pore throats ranges of 100 microns or less with no corresponding changes to the pore shape factor of pore throats. Responses of the pore network to freeze-thaw varied with aggregate, suggesting that initial pore morphology may play a role in driving freeze-thaw response. Our research suggests that freeze-thaw alters the microenvironment of permafrost aggregates during the incipient stage of deformation following permafrost thaw, impacting soil properties and function in Arctic landscapes undergoing transition. This dataset contains a compressed (.zip) archive of the data and R scripts used for this manuscript. The dataset includes files in .csv format, which can be accessed and processed using MS Excel or R. This archive can also be accessed on GitHub at https://github.com/Erin-Rooney/XCT-freezethaw (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.5816355).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Critical Role of Polymer Aggregation and Miscibility in Nonfullerene‐Based Organic Photovoltaics

Abstract Understanding the correlation between polymer aggregation, miscibility, and device performance is important to establish a set of chemistry design rules for donor polymers with nonfullerene acceptors (NFAs). Employing a donor polymer with strong temperature‐dependent aggregation, namely PffBT4T‐2OD [poly[(5,6‐difluoro‐2,1,3‐benzothiadiazol‐4,7‐diyl)‐ alt ‐(3,3″′‐di(2‐octyldodecyl)‐2,2′;5′,2″;5″,2″′‐quaterthiophen‐5,5‐diyl)], also known as PCE‐11 as a base polymer, five copolymer derivatives having a different thiophene linker composition are blended with the common NFA O‐IDTBR to investigate their photovoltaic performance. While the donor polymers have similar optoelectronic properties, it is found that the device power conversion efficiency changes drastically from 1.8% to 8.7% as a function of thiophene content in the donor polymer. Results of structural characterization show that polymer aggregation and miscibility with O‐IDTBR are a strong function of the chemical composition, leading to different donor–acceptor blend morphology. Polymers having a strong tendency to aggregate are found to undergo fast aggregation prior to liquid–liquid phase separation and have a higher miscibility with NFA. These properties result in smaller mixed donor–acceptor domains, stronger PL quenching, and more efficient exciton dissociation in the resulting cells. This work indicates the importance of both polymer aggregation and donor–acceptor interaction on the formation of bulk heterojunctions in polymer:NFA blends.

Yi, Xueping↗
DOE OSTI2021

Partial substitution of rice husks for manure in greenhouse vegetable fields: Insight from soil carbon stock and aggregate stability

Abstract Soil aggregate stability and C stock are key factors in greenhouse vegetable production, which are influenced by the application of different organic materials. However, the responses of soil aggregate stability and C stock to organic amendment in greenhouse vegetable fields are not well understood. A 5‐year study was carried out in greenhouse vegetable fields to investigate the effect of partial substitution of rice husks for manure on soil aggregate stability, C compositions, and their relationships. Four treatments included: (a) no organic fertilization (control), (b) 30 t ha −1 chicken manure (CM), (c) 30 t ha −1 rice husks (RH), and (d) 10 t ha −1 chicken manure plus 20 t ha −1 rice husks (MR). Rice husks addition significantly increased the proportion of >2 mm aggregates and mean weight diameter (MWD), while manure addition showed no difference with control. Polysaccharide and humin (HM) were increased with rice husks addition (RH and MR) compared with that in CM treatment. Polysaccharide and HM caused 86.03% variation of soil aggregate, in which polysaccharide and HM contributed 76.3 and 9.7%, respectively. The soil C stock in CM, RH, and MR treatments was increased by 146, 175, and 164% compared with control, respectively. Aliphatic‐C and amorphous Fe‐oxides (Fe‐ox) content were as higher in MR added soil than those in RH treatment. Partial substitution of rice husk for manure improved soil aggregation stability and thus enhanced C stock by suppling more polysaccharide, HM and liberated soil minerals, which was conducive to the sustainable development in greenhouse vegetable production.

Fei, Chao↗
DOE OSTI2021

Meso-scale modelling of compressive fracture in concrete with irregularly shaped aggregates

This paper presents a meso-scale modelling framework to investigate the fracture process in concrete subjected to uniaxial and biaxial compression accounting for its mesostructural characteristics. 3D mesostructure of concrete consisting of coarse aggregates, mortar and interfacial transition zone between them was developed using an in-house code based on the Voronoi tessellation and splining method, which enables to generate the realistic-look aggregates with controllable structural features such as content, location, size and shape. Based on the generated 3D mesostructure, the concrete damage plasticity approach was employed to simulate the compressive fracture behaviour of concrete in terms of crack morphology and stress-strain response against the shape parameters of aggregate. Results indicate that the shape of aggregate has a negligible effect on compressive strength of concrete, which is highly associated with the random location and size distribution of aggregate. The aggregate irregularity has a significant influence on crack initiation and growth of concrete.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Aggregation and data driven identification of building thermal dynamic model and unmeasured disturbance

An aggregate model is a single-zone equivalent of a multi-zone building, and is useful for many purposes, including model based control of large heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) equipment. This paper deals with the problem of simultaneously identifying an aggregate thermal dynamic model and unknown disturbances from input–output data of multi-zone buildings. The unknown disturbance is a key challenge since it is not measurable but non-negligible. In this paper, we first present a principled method to aggregate a multi-zone building model into a single zone model, and show the aggregation is not as trivial as it has been assumed in the prior art. We then provide a method to identify the parameters of the model and the unknown disturbance for this aggregate (single-zone) model. Finally, we test our proposed identification algorithm to data collected from a multi-zone building testbed in Oak Ridge National Laboratory. A key insight provided by the aggregation method allows us to recognize under what conditions the estimation of the disturbance signal will be necessarily poor and uncertain, even in the case of a specially designed test in which the disturbances affecting each zone are known (as the case of our experimental testbed). This insight is used to provide a heuristic that can be used to assess when the identification results are likely to have high or low accuracy.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2020

Percolated Ionic Aggregate Morphologies and Decoupled Ion Transport in Precise Sulfonated Polymers Synthesized by Ring-Opening Metathesis Polymerization

Here, we describe a set of precise single-ion conducting polymers that form self-assembled percolated ionic aggregates in glassy polymer matrices and have decoupled transport of metal cations. These precise single-ion conductors (SICs), synthesized by a scalable ring-opening metathesis polymerization, consist of a polyethylene backbone with a sulfonated phenyl group pendant on every fifth carbon and are fully neutralized by a counterion X + (Li + , Na + , or Cs + ). Experimental X-ray scattering measurements and fully atomistic molecular dynamics (MD) simulations are in good agreement. The MD simulations show that the ionic groups nanophase separate from the polymer backbone to form percolating ionic aggregates. Using graph theory, we find that within the Li + - and Na + -neutralized polymers the percolated aggregates exhibit planar and ribbon-like configurations at intermediate length scales, while the percolated aggregates within the Cs + -neutralized polymers are more isotropic. Electrical impedance spectroscopy measurements show that the ionic conductivities exhibit Arrhenius behavior, with conductivities of 10 –7 to 10 –6 S/cm at 180 °C. In the MD simulations, the cations move between sulfonate groups in the percolated aggregates, larger ions travel further, and overall cations travel further than the polymer backbones, indicating a decoupled ion-transport mechanism. Thus, the percolated ionic aggregates in these polymers can serve as pathways to facilitate decoupled ion motion through a glassy polymer matrix.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Quantifying Single-Ion Transport in Percolated Ionic Aggregates of Polymer Melts

Single-ion conducting polymers such as ionomers are promising battery electrolyte materials, but it is critical to understand how rates and mechanisms of free cation transport depend on the nanoscale aggregation of cations and polymer-bound anions. We perform coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations of ionomer melts to understand cation mobility as a function of polymer architecture, background relative permittivity, and corresponding ionic aggregate morphology. In systems exhibiting percolated ionic aggregates, cations diffuse via stepping motions along the ionic aggregates. These diffusivities can be quantitatively predicted by calculating the lifetimes of continuous association between oppositely charged ions, which equal the time scales of the stepping (diffusive) motions. In contrast, predicting cation diffusivity for systems with isolated ionic aggregates requires another time scale. Finally, our results suggest that to improve conductivity the Coulombic interaction strength should be strong enough to favor percolated aggregates but weak enough to facilitate ion dissociation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Discovering the Multisectoral Impacts of Global Energy Sector Outcomes Through Multiple Ensemble Aggregation Measures

Understanding complex human-Earth system interactions often involves analyzing large scenario ensembles that encompass a wide range of plausible futures. These ensembles often require aggregation to summarize information based on specific criteria or conditions. However, previous research using global change scenario ensembles has largely overlooked how the choice of aggregation method influences the interpretation of results. To address this gap, we leverage a large ensemble data set designed to capture broad energy system dynamics generated using the Global Change Analysis Model. We first explore how energy-related uncertainties are propagated to both global and regional water-energy-food sectors. We then conduct a rank correlation analysis across seven ensemble aggregation measures and demonstrate the need to consider multiple measures in global change scenarios. Our results suggest that global water and food sector outcomes in the 21st century vary widely depending on different scenario assumptions. The global energy productivity is projected to improve by the end of the century across all scenarios. Moreover, regions facing water scarcity challenges in 2100 do not always overlap with those facing extreme energy and food sector outcomes. Although rank correlations across seven aggregation measures are relatively stable across sectors, we identify cases where relying on a single measure leads to losing critical information in the full ensemble. Reliance on a single aggregation measure can distort the interpretation of global change scenario outcomes. Instead, adopting multiple ensemble aggregation measures provides a more holistic understanding of global change scenario ensembles.

Kim, Gijoo↗
DOE OSTI2024

Two-dimensional-lattice-confined single-molecule-like aggregates

Intermolecular distance largely determines the optoelectronic properties of organic matter. Conventional organic luminescent molecules are commonly used either as aggregates or as single molecules that are diluted in a foreigner matrix. They have garnered great research interest in recent decades for a variety of applications, including light-emitting diodes, lasers and quantum technologies, among others. However, there is still a knowledge gap on how these molecules behave between the aggregation and dilution states. Here we report an unprecedented phase of molecular aggregate that forms in a two-dimensional hybrid perovskite superlattice with a near-equilibrium distance, which we refer to as a single-molecule-like aggregate (SMA). By implementing two-dimensional superlattices, the organic emitters are held in proximity, but, surprisingly, remain electronically isolated, thereby resulting in a near-unity photoluminescence quantum yield, akin to that of single molecules. Moreover, the emitters within the perovskite superlattices demonstrate strong alignment and dense packing resembling aggregates, allowing for the observation of robust directional emission, substantially enhanced radiative recombination and efficient lasing. Molecular dynamics simulations together with single-crystal structure analysis emphasize the critical role of the internal rotational and vibrational degrees of freedom of the molecules in the two-dimensional lattice for creating the exclusive SMA phase. Furthermore, this two-dimensional superlattice unifies the paradoxical properties of single molecules and aggregates, thus offering exciting possibilities for advanced spectroscopic and photonic applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Revealing temperature-dependent polymer aggregation in solution with small-angle X-ray scattering

We report that improving the morphology of bulk heterojunction active layers remains a primary challenge for organic photovoltaics (OPVs), and much research has been devoted to achieving this through modifying OPV casting solutions to control film formation and crystallinity. Yet, the solution conformation of conjugated polymers used in OPVs is largely unknown. Here, we report observations of temperature dependent aggregation (TDA) through small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS) investigations of polymer conformation in chlorobenzene:dichlorobenzene casting solvent as a function of temperature for PffBT4T-2OD, a polymer known to display TDA, and its derivative PffBT3T-2OD which displays significantly reduced TDA. We find that, upon cooling below 80 °C, PffBT4T-2OD forms large crystalline aggregates in solution, while its derivative PffBT3T-2OD forms mostly amorphous aggregates of similar size with some evidence of short-range order. This change in solution aggregation behavior is reflected in the lack of gelation by PffBT3T-2OD upon film deposition by spin coating. Grazing-incidence wide-angle X-ray scattering (GIWAXS) revealed a preferred face-on π–π stacking orientation for PffBT3T-2OD films while PffBT4T-2OD's π–π stacking peak was isotropic. We combine these findings to suggest that the presence of crystalline seed aggregates in PffBT4T-2OD solution quickly form an isotropic crystallite network upon cooling while PffBT3T-2OD's amorphous aggregates more slowly crystallize resulting in improved processability of PffBT3T-2OD.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Implementing Directive-Based Deferred Execution for Effective Network Aggregation

Remote direct memory access technology provides an efficient mechanism for one-sided communication that can be leveraged to implement a distributed shared memory programming model. However, when applications generate large numbers of small, irregular messages, network congestion often arises. Existing solutions address this small message problem by facilitating message aggregation but typically require disruptive code transformations that detract from the algorithmic intent of applications, or can be limited by dependent operations on aggregated data between synchronisation points. A solution is to use a directive-assisted approach that enables compilers to transform code dependent on aggregated communication for deferred execution. This paper presents an algorithm that a compiler can use to implement and optimise deferred execution for code dependent on aggregated data, based on an "aggregation context" extension for the OpenSHMEM partitioned global address space library. This new capability addresses a key challenge of message aggregation, allowing its full potential to reduce network congestion and enhance programmability to be realised.

Welch, Aaron [ORNL]↗
DOE OSTI2024

Field To Farm Aggregation For Agricultural Systems

The Fields to Farms methodology illustrates the generation of farm parcels from the Crop Data Layer (CDL), a raster dataset containing 133 categories representing various crop types and land uses. This methodology involves two primary steps: Field Delineation and Farm Aggregation. The code specifically addresses the aggregation of pre-delineated fields within a county to form farms, adhering to predefined criteria for farm size categories. It is assumed that the field delineation process, which involves creating vector polygons from CDL raster, has been completed beforehand, possibly through external tools or methods. Upon initialization, the script processes county-level fields, preparing them for farm aggregation. In the Farm Aggregation phase, the code iteratively combines delineated fields into farms based on specified criteria, continuing until the aggregated farm size meets predefined thresholds derived from data from the 2017 National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) census. Throughout this iterative process, the script dynamically adjusts the aggregation to ensure alignment with the desired distribution reported by NASS. The resulting output of the script is a GeoDataFrame containing classified farms, which are subsequently saved as GeoPackage files. These files enable further analysis and visualization, facilitating comprehensive exploration of the farm landscape generated through the methodology.

Paudel, Rajiv [Idaho National Laboratory (INL), Id↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Shallow-Water Model for Convective Self-Aggregation

Randomly distributed convective storms can self-aggregate in the absence of large-scale forcings. Here we present a 1D shallow-water model to study the convective self-aggregation. This model simulates the dynamics of the planetary boundary layer and represents convection as a triggered process. Once triggered, convection lasts for finite time and occupies finite length. Here we show that the model can successfully simulate self-aggregation, and that the results are robust to a wide range of parameter values. In the simulations, convection excites gravity waves. The gravity waves then form a standing wave pattern, separating the domain into convectively active and inactive regions. We analyze the available potential energy (APE) budget and show that convection generates APE, providing energy for self-aggregation. By performing dimensional analysis, we develop a scaling theory for the size of convective aggregation, which is set by the gravity wave speed, damping time scale, and number density of convective storms. This paper provides a simple modeling framework to further study convective self-aggregation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗