Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Yield Prediction”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 91 records · Page 5
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Programmed synthesis of mesoporous protein crystals in cellular reactors

Protein crystals are naturally derived mesoporous materials with versatile structures and physicochemical properties. Here we introduce an intracellular synthesis platform that enables controllable and programmable protein crystallization. In live cells, we show that, after initial nucleation, steady protein expression governs crystal growth, yielding predictable, tunable dynamics in live cells. Exploiting this feature, we combined HaloTag and click chemistries to achieve modular, programmable immobilization of diverse guest materials with spatial patterning down to ~100 nm resolution. We further demonstrated the sequential release of immobilized materials in physiologically relevant fluids. As a proof of concept, we programmed particles to carry human fibroblast growth factors in distinct layers, which elicited designed oscillatory Akt signalling patterns in cell culture. Finally, this work outlines a programmable method for producing mesoporous materials, with possible applications in catalysis and biomedicine.

Yang, Hongru [Johns Hopkins Univ., Baltimore, MD (↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Gaussian process based surrogate approach for the optimization of cylindrical targets

Simulating direct-drive inertial confinement experiments presents significant computational challenges, both due to the complexity of the codes required for such simulations and the substantial computational expense associated with target design studies. Machine learning models, and in particular, surrogate models, offer a solution by replacing simulation results with a simplified approximation. In this study, we apply surrogate modeling and optimization techniques that are well established in the existing literature to one-dimensional simulation data of a new cylindrical target design containing deuterium–tritium fuel. These models predict yields without the need for expensive simulations. We find that Bayesian optimization with Gaussian process surrogates enhances sampling efficiency in low-dimensional design spaces but becomes less efficient as dimensionality increases. Nonetheless, optimization routines within two-dimensional and five-dimensional design spaces can identify designs that maximize yield, while also aligning with established physical intuition. Optimization routines, which ignore constraints on hydrodynamic instability growth, are shown to lead to unstable designs in 2D, resulting in yield loss. However, routines that utilize 1D simulations and impose constraints on the in-flight aspect ratio converge on novel cylindrical target designs that are stable against hydrodynamic instability growth in 2D and achieve high yield.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Electron-ion recombination in composite interactions in liquid xenon

The response of liquid xenon to various types of ionizing radiation has been extensively studied theoretically and experimentally. Recent progress in direct detection dark matter experiments highlights the significance of composite events, where multiple particles interact with xenon simultaneously and generate overlapping ionization signatures. In these events, recombination of electrons and ions associated with different primary particles leads to additional suppression of the ionization signal, introducing a new source of uncertainty in dark matter searches and Migdal effect studies. We developed a model to estimate the recombination enhancement for overlapping low-energy particle interactions. This method, which has minimal dependence on xenon microphysics and is primarily driven by existing experimental data, yields predictions that are consistent with available measurements of composite interactions. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the model predictions are robust against xenon microphysics assumptions.

charge↗
DOE OSTI2022

Magnetic structure of few-nucleon systems at high momentum transfers in a chiral effective field theory approach

The five low-energy constants (LECs) in the electromagnetic current derived in chiral effective field theory ( χ EFT ) up to one loop are determined by a simultaneous fit to the A = 2 – 3 nuclei magnetic moments and to the deuteron magnetic form factor and threshold electrodisintegration at backward angles over a wide range of momentum transfers. The resulting parametrization then yields predictions for the 3 He/ 3 H magnetic form factors in excellent accord with the experimental values for momentum transfers ranging up to ≈0.8 GeV/c, beyond the expected regime of validity of the χEFT approach. The calculations are based on last-generation two-nucleon interactions including high orders in the chiral expansion and derived by Entem, Machleidt, and Nosyk [Phys. Rev. C 96, 024004 (2017)] and by Piarulli et al. [Phys. Rev. C 94, 054007 (2016)], using different χEFT formulations. In the A = 3 calculations, (chiral) three-nucleon interactions are also accounted for. The model dependence resulting from these different formulations of the interactions is found to be mild for momentum transfer below ≈0.8 GeV/c . Further, an analysis of the convergence of the chiral expansion is also provided.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Machine learning approaches for intentional materials engineering

In this article, the development of nanoporous metals and metallic composites through dealloying processes presents significant opportunities in materials engineering. However, designing multicomponent precursor alloys and establishing corresponding processing methods that yield predictable compositions and nanostructures remain a complex challenge. This article explores how machine learning (ML)-augmented computational and experimental methodologies can tackle these challenges by predicting precursor alloy compositions, final nanoporous structures, and mechanical properties, while integrating ML-enabled autonomous experimentation for material design and quantification. We highlight recent advancements in applying ML to nanostructured materials design via dealloying and discuss how techniques from other nanomaterial designs can be adapted for improved control over morphological and compositional outcomes in nanoporous and nanocomposite materials. Furthermore, we explore the role of ML in autonomous synchrotron x-ray experimentation, enabling real-time feedback between modeling and experimental setups. ML-driven approaches to microstructure characterization and mechanical property prediction are also examined, with a focus on modeling and advanced imaging techniques such as three-dimensional nanotomography. Finally, this article outlines future directions for ML-enhanced materials science, emphasizing the exploration of high-dimensional parameter spaces and the incorporation of materials kinetics into processing and property evaluation, ultimately advancing the design of nanoporous structures and materials science.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

The Consortium for Advanced Sorghum Phenomics (CASP). Final report

The goal of CASP was to accelerate breeding of biomass sorghum [Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench] by identifying genotypes exhibiting high yield under well-watered, pre- or post-drought and/or salinity-stress conditions. We did this by combining high-throughput, non-invasive drone phenotyping with genomics and molecular profiling. Field-based phenotyping utilized a multi-modal sensor suite of LiDAR, multispectral cameras, and thermal cameras mounted on a commercial drone to detect traits required for yield prediction and selection of drought and saline tolerant lines of sorghum. Traits of interest included plant height (PH), leaf area index (LAI), wet biomass (BMW), and biomass at 65% moisture (BM65) and were measured from emergence to harvest on a weekly basis over three growing seasons. The final output were measurements of traits on a plot-by-plot basis, identified by the plot ID used by the Proprietary data processing software enabled raw field data to be turned into plant traits and delivered to the PNNL and JGI within the same workday.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Metastability and Long-Term Degradation in CIGS Devices: Effect of Alkali Treatments, Back Contact and Emitter Layers

Thin-film solar cell technologies often suffer from metastable and long-term performance degradation, which may or may not be reversible. The presence of the transient or degradation issues pose challenges for energy-yield prediction in the field for these technologies. Cu(In,Ga)(S,Se) 2 solar cells are a promising thin-film technology, however, the underlying mechanisms of instability in these devices are not well understood. The most common mechanism of metastability in CIGS solar cells has been speculated to be the configuration changes of (VSe-VCu) divacancy complex. However, the role of metastability in light soaking behavior and the effect of alkali treatments and buffer layers is not understood. The goal of the current project is to understand the effect of alkali treatments and buffer materials on metastability and light soaking behavior and develop a device model to simulate experimental results. Input parameters are taken from literature or derived from first-principle calculations, and are fine-tuned through validation experiments.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Dynamics and Transport in Strongly-Anisotropic Quantum Magnets (Final Report)

This DOE Award has evolved from a set of projects centered on the thermal transport phenomena in quantum magnets to the broader effort in the theory of dynamical properties of complex magnets, with the focus on their enigmatic ground states, disorder-induced phenomena, and novel spectroscopic and transport effects in them. Most recent emphasis of the research under the umbrella of this Award has been on the rare-earth- and transition-metal-based strongly-anisotropic magnets, the effort that has utilized a significant experience of our group in the studies of excitations, transport, and disorder in these new materials. The studies performed in our group have advanced basic understanding of fundamental physical properties of a diverse group of materials and yielded predictions of new phenomena in them. The research under this Award has targeted the problems that are at the forefront of the modern condensed matter physics and has also addressed the need for the theoretical understanding of experiments. Our work has influenced experiments conducted at the national and international facilities and provided an impact on the DOE basic energy science missions and areas of thrust in new electronic materials, energy transport, neutron- and X-ray scattering science, and in nanoscale science.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2022

Improving Common PV Module Temperature Models by Incorporating Radiative Losses to the Sky

PV module operating temperature is the second-most important factor influencing PV system yield–after irradiance–and a substantial contributor to uncertainty in energy system yield predictions. Models commonly used to predict operating temperature in system simulations are based on a simplified energy balance that lumps together different heat loss mechanisms–including radiation–and assumes an overall linear behavior. Radiative heat loss to the sky is usually substantial, but modeling it accurately requires additional information about down-welling long-wave radiation or sky temperature and increases the complexity of temperature model equations. In this work we show how radiative losses to the sky can be separated into two parts to improve the accuracy of modeling without additional complexity. We also predict and demonstrate the variation of these losses at different tilt angles and show that the effective view factor is reduced by the non- isotropic distribution of down-welling long-wave radiation. Finally, we demonstrate substantial reduction in bias (MBE) and scatter (RMSE) when the new radiative loss term is added to the Faiman model using one year of measurements at Sandia National Labs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Advancing Tassel Detection and Counting: Annotation and Algorithms

Tassel counts provide valuable information related to flowering and yield prediction in maize, but are expensive and time-consuming to acquire via traditional manual approaches. High-resolution RGB imagery acquired by unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), coupled with advanced machine learning approaches, including deep learning (DL), provides a new capability for monitoring flowering. In this article, three state-of-the-art DL techniques, CenterNet based on point annotation, task-aware spatial disentanglement (TSD), and detecting objects with recursive feature pyramids and switchable atrous convolution (DetectoRS) based on bounding box annotation, are modified to improve their performance for this application and evaluated for tassel detection relative to Tasselnetv2+. The dataset for the experiments is comprised of RGB images of maize tassels from plant breeding experiments, which vary in size, complexity, and overlap. Results show that the point annotations are more accurate and simpler to acquire than the bounding boxes, and bounding box-based approaches are more sensitive to the size of the bounding boxes and background than point-based approaches. Overall, CenterNet has high accuracy in comparison to the other techniques, but DetectoRS can better detect early-stage tassels. The results for these experiments were more robust than Tasselnetv2+, which is sensitive to the number of tassels in the image.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Utilizing machine learning to predict tensile ductility and yield strength of CoNiV-based multi-principal elements alloys

This study explores the use of machine learning (ML) as a computational tool to accelerate the design of multi-principal element alloys (MPEAs) with improved tensile elongation. An ML model was trained using available experimental data from the literature along with theoretically derived features to predict yield strength (YS) and ductility. A subset of ML-predicted compositions—CoNiVFe, CoNiVTi, CoNiVTiFe, and CoCrNiVTi—was synthesized and evaluated through tensile testing. The ML model underpredicted YS by approximately 20–30 % and overpredicted ductility by 60–70 % for Ti-containing alloys. Microstructural analysis revealed that Ti segregation at interdendritic regions contributed to early fracture, leading to discrepancies in ductility predictions. Ti segregation at these regions likely drives the increased YS due to segregation strengthening. In contrast, the CoNiVFe alloy showed good agreement with both experimental YS and elongation, with prediction errors of ∼10.2 % and ∼20.7 %, respectively. Microstructural characterization revealed minimal segregation in this alloy, suggesting that the ML model can reliably predict the properties of alloys with little to no segregation. These findings highlight the capability of ML in predicting YS with good accuracy but underscore its limitations in capturing defect-driven failure mechanisms such as segregation-induced embrittlement.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

On Magnitudes and Inferred Yields of the 39 Underground Nuclear Test Explosions at the Novaya Zemlya Test Site

ABSTRACT We review the previously compiled seismic magnitudes for underground nuclear explosions at the Union of the Soviet Socialist Republics Novaya Zemlya Test Site, and analyze these data in the context of published details about individual tests and official Russian reports of annual cumulative explosive energy release at the test site. We derive relationships between teleseismic body wave magnitude mb and explosive yield Y by predicting the yield of each test using mb and minimizing the difference between predicted and reported annual cumulative yield. A linear relationship between mb and logY with a slope of 0.82 provides a good fit to the annual total yield, with a root mean square (rms) misfit of 0.095 logY units. A spectral magnitude relationship based on the explosion source model of Mueller and Murphy (1971) with a single-free-parameter provides a slightly better fit. For the 10 tests for which individual yields can be directly deduced from the official reports, the rms misfit of reported yields is less than 0.1 logY units or about 25%. More complex relationships that differentiate between the northern and southern test areas, or take account of variations in the scaled depth of burial, do not provide substantially better fits to the reported yields.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗
DOE OSTI2024

Human limits in machine learning: prediction of potato yield and disease using soil microbiome data

Abstract Background The preservation of soil health is a critical challenge in the 21st century due to its significant impact on agriculture, human health, and biodiversity. We provide one of the first comprehensive investigations into the predictive potential of machine learning models for understanding the connections between soil and biological phenotypes. We investigate an integrative framework performing accurate machine learning-based prediction of plant performance from biological, chemical, and physical properties of the soil via two models: random forest and Bayesian neural network. Results Prediction improves when we add environmental features, such as soil properties and microbial density, along with microbiome data. Different preprocessing strategies show that human decisions significantly impact predictive performance. We show that the naive total sum scaling normalization that is commonly used in microbiome research is one of the optimal strategies to maximize predictive power. Also, we find that accurately defined labels are more important than normalization, taxonomic level, or model characteristics. ML performance is limited when humans can’t classify samples accurately. Lastly, we provide domain scientists via a full model selection decision tree to identify the human choices that optimize model prediction power. Conclusions Our study highlights the importance of incorporating diverse environmental features and careful data preprocessing in enhancing the predictive power of machine learning models for soil and biological phenotype connections. This approach can significantly contribute to advancing agricultural practices and soil health management.

Aghdam, Rosa↗
DOE OSTI2020

The Separation and Hα Contrasts of Massive Accreting Planets in the Gaps of Transitional Disks: Predicted Hα Protoplanet Yields for Adaptive Optics Surveys

We present a massive accreting gap planet model that ensures large gaps in transitional disks are kept dust free by the scattering action of three coplanar quasi-circular planets in a 1:2:4 mean motion resonance (MMR). This model uses the constraint of the observed gap size, and the dust-free nature of the gap, to determine within ∼10% the possible orbits for three massive planets in an MMR. Calculated orbits are consistent with the observed orbits and Hα emission (the brightest line to observe these planets) for LkCa 15 b, PDS 70 b, and PDS 70 c within observational errors. Moreover, the model suggests that the scarcity of detected Hα planets is likely a selection effect of the current limitations of non-coronagraphic, low (<10%) Strehl, Hα imaging with adaptive optics (AO) systems used in past Hα surveys. We predict that as higher Strehl AO systems (with high-performance custom coronagraphs; like the 6.5 m Magellan Telescope MagAO-X system) are utilized at Hα, the number of detected gap planets will substantially increase by more than tenfold. For example, we show that >25 ± 5 new Hα “gap planets” are potentially discoverable by a survey of the best 19 transitional disks with MagAO-X. Detections of these accreting protoplanets will significantly improve our understanding of planet formation, planet growth and accretion, solar system architectures, and planet–disk interactions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Samoa Updater: An Application of the Levenberg-Marquardt Method to Update DELFIC Predictions Using Field Measurements

The US Department of Energy (DOE) Forensics Operations (DFO) is a member of the Ground Collections Task Force (GCTF), which is responsible for sample collection of radiological debris for attribution should a nuclear detonation ever occur in the United States. The DFO runs the Defense Land Fallout Interpretive Code (DELFIC) Fallout Planning Tool to predict the deposition of fallout from a nuclear detonation. This prediction is refined using the DELFIC Updater tool, which takes ground measurements and adjusts DELFIC inputs to minimize the difference between prediction and observation, yielding improved predictions of fallout in locations both measured and not yet measured. Samoa, a framework for uncertainty analysis and optimization, is used to improve DELFIC predictive fallout modeling. This new capability using Samoa, dubbed “Samoa Updater,” is compared with the current DELFIC Updater, a brute-force sampling approach. Samoa Updater uses the Levenberg– Marquardt (LM) method, a gradient-based nonlinear least squares approach that uses the functional shape of the input space to increase optimization speed. In simulated test cases Samoa Updater yields faster and more accurate solutions than the current Updater.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
DOE OSTI2021

Theoretical Yields for 188 W Production in the High Flux Isotope Reactor

Accurately predicting the production yield of 188 W and 191 Os from enriched 186W metal rings irradiated in HFIR is not straightforward. Two key factors can lead to significant uncertainty or inaccuracy in yield predictions: The effect of neutron flux depression in the dense tungsten metal target. Inaccuracy of the currently published 187 W thermal neutron absorption cross section. This manuscript reports the calculated yields for 188 W, 191 Os, and total osmium mass for the NM-888 target that was irradiated in High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) Cycles 487 and 488. Three different yield calculation methods were used and are described herein. The results are presented in terms of total yield and in terms of yield per target mass. This allows for an approximate estimation of yields for future targets of varying mass loading but with similar irradiation profiles. For more accurate prediction yields, target-specific models that account for target loading, target positioning within HFIR, and accurate HFIR cycle data are required.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Predicting the Cetane Number, Yield Sooting Index, Kinematic Viscosity, and Cloud Point for Catalytically Upgraded Pyrolysis Oil Using Artificial Neural Networks

Abstract The conversion of biomass using fast pyrolysis has the potential to be significantly less expensive at scale compared to alternative methods such as fermentation and gasification. Selective upgrading of the products of fast pyrolysis through chemical catalysis produces compounds with lower oxygen content and lower acidity; however, identifying the specific catalytic pathways for producing viable fuels and fuel additives often requires a trial-and-error approach. Specifically, key properties of the compounds must be experimentally tested to evaluate the viability of the resultant compounds. The present work proposes predictive models constructed with artificial neural networks (ANNs) for cetane number (CN), yield sooting index (YSI), kinematic viscosity (KV), and cloud point (CP), with blind test set median absolute errors of 5.14 cetane units, 3.36 yield sooting index units, 0.07 millimeters squared per second, and 4.89 degrees Celsius, respectively. Furthermore, the cetane number, yield sooting index, kinematic viscosity, and cloud point were predicted for over three hundred expected products from the catalytic upgrading of pyrolysis oil. It was discovered that 130 of these compounds have predicted cetane numbers greater than 40, with four of these compounds possessing predicted yield sooting index values significantly less than that of diesel fuel and predicted viscosities and cloud points comparable to that of diesel fuel.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗