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At least 91 records · Page 5

Machine-learned closure of URANS for stably stratified turbulence: connecting physical timescales & data hyperparameters of deep time-series models

Stably stratified turbulence (SST), a model that is representative of the turbulence found in the oceans and atmosphere, is strongly affected by fine balances between forces and becomes more anisotropic in time for decaying scenarios. Moreover, there is a limited understanding of the physical phenomena described by some of the terms in the Unsteady Reynolds-Averaged Navier–Stokes (URANS) equations—used to numerically simulate approximate solutions for such turbulent flows. Rather than attempting to model each term in URANS separately, it is attractive to explore the capability of machine learning (ML) to model groups of terms, i.e. to directly model the force balances. We develop deep time-series ML for closure modeling of the URANS equations applied to SST. We consider decaying SST which are homogeneous and stably stratified by a uniform density gradient, enabling dimensionality reduction. We consider two time-series ML models: long short-term memory and neural ordinary differential equation. Both models perform accurately and are numerically stable in a posteriori (online) tests. Furthermore, we explore the data requirements of the time-series ML models by extracting physically relevant timescales of the complex system. We find that the ratio of the timescales of the minimum information required by the ML models to accurately capture the dynamics of the SST corresponds to the Reynolds number of the flow. The current framework provides the backbone to explore the capability of such models to capture the dynamics of high-dimensional complex dynamical system like SST flows.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Time series analysis of sferics rate data associated with severe weather patterns

Data obtained by an electronic transducer measuring the rate of occurrence of electrical disturbances in the atmosphere (the sferic rate in the form of a time series) over the life of electrical storms are analyzed. It is found that the sferic rate time series are not stationary. The sferics rate time series has a complete life cycle associated with a particular storm. The approach to recognition of a spectral pattern is somewhat similar to real-time recognition of the spoken word.

Wang, P. P.↗

Time Series Photometry with a CCD Camera

Time series observations of a field in the cluster NGC 4755 with a CCD camera are used to show that differential photometry between stars on the CCD frame is limited in accuracy mostly by photon statistics, over a 5 magnitude range. Scintillation noise appears to be almost entirely suppressed. The maximum accuracy possible is limited by the storage capacity of the CCD to about 0.001 mag.

Walker, A. R.↗

Incorporating Satellite Time-Series Data into Modeling

In situ time series observations have provided a multi-decadal view of long-term changes in ocean biology. These observations are sufficiently reliable to enable discernment of even relatively small changes, and provide continuous information on a host of variables. Their key drawback is their limited domain. Satellite observations from ocean color sensors do not suffer the drawback of domain, and simultaneously view the global oceans. This attribute lends credence to their use in global and regional model validation and data assimilation. We focus on these applications using the NASA Ocean Biogeochemical Model. The enhancement of the satellite data using data assimilation is featured and the limitation of tongterm satellite data sets is also discussed.

Gregg, Watson↗

Studies in Astronomical Time Series Analysis. VI. Bayesian Block Representations

This paper addresses the problem of detecting and characterizing local variability in time series and other forms of sequential data. The goal is to identify and characterize statistically significant variations, at the same time suppressing the inevitable corrupting observational errors. We present a simple nonparametric modeling technique and an algorithm implementing it-an improved and generalized version of Bayesian Blocks [Scargle 1998]-that finds the optimal segmentation of the data in the observation interval. The structure of the algorithm allows it to be used in either a real-time trigger mode, or a retrospective mode. Maximum likelihood or marginal posterior functions to measure model fitness are presented for events, binned counts, and measurements at arbitrary times with known error distributions. Problems addressed include those connected with data gaps, variable exposure, extension to piece- wise linear and piecewise exponential representations, multivariate time series data, analysis of variance, data on the circle, other data modes, and dispersed data. Simulations provide evidence that the detection efficiency for weak signals is close to a theoretical asymptotic limit derived by [Arias-Castro, Donoho and Huo 2003]. In the spirit of Reproducible Research [Donoho et al. (2008)] all of the code and data necessary to reproduce all of the figures in this paper are included as auxiliary material.

signal detection↗

Deviations from uniform power law scaling in nonstationary time series

A classic problem in physics is the analysis of highly nonstationary time series that typically exhibit long-range correlations. Here we test the hypothesis that the scaling properties of the dynamics of healthy physiological systems are more stable than those of pathological systems by studying beat-to-beat fluctuations in the human heart rate. We develop techniques based on the Fano factor and Allan factor functions, as well as on detrended fluctuation analysis, for quantifying deviations from uniform power-law scaling in nonstationary time series. By analyzing extremely long data sets of up to N = 10(5) beats for 11 healthy subjects, we find that the fluctuations in the heart rate scale approximately uniformly over several temporal orders of magnitude. By contrast, we find that in data sets of comparable length for 14 subjects with heart disease, the fluctuations grow erratically, indicating a loss of scaling stability.

Non-NASA Center↗

Development of an IUE Time Series Browser

The International Ultraviolet Explorer (IUE) satellite operated successfully for more than 17 years. Its archive of more than 100,000 science exposures is widely acknowledged as an invaluable scientific resource that will not be duplicated in the foreseeable future. We have searched this archive for objects which were observed 10 or more times with the same spectral dispersion and wavelength coverage over the lifetime of IUE. Using this definition of a time series, we find that roughly half of the science exposures are members of such time series. This paper describes a WEB-based IUE time series browser which enables the user to visually inspect the repeated observations for variability and to examine each member spectrum individually. Further, if the researcher determines that a specific data set is worthy of further investigation, it can be easily downloaded for further, detailed analysis.

Massa, Derck↗

Studies in Astronomical Time Series Analysis: VII. An Enquiry Concerning Non-Linearity, the RMS-Mean Flux Relation, and log-Normal Flux Distributions

A broad and widely used class of stationary, linear, additive time series models can have statistical properties which many authors have asserted imply that the underlying process must be non-linear, non-stationary, multiplicative, or inconsistent with shot noise. This result is demonstrated with exact and numerical evaluation of the model flux distribution function and dependence of flux standard deviation on mean flux (here and in the literature called the rms-flux relation). These models can: (1) exhibit normal, log-normal or other flux distributions; (2) show linear or slightly non-linear rms-mean flux dependencies; as well as (3) match arbitrary second order statistics of the time series data. Accordingly the above assertions cannot be made on the basis of statistical time series analysis alone. Also idscussed are ambiguities in the meaning of terms relevant to this study – linear, stationary and multiplicative – and functions that can transform observed fluxes to a normal distribution as well or better than the logarithm.

Jeffrey D Scargle↗

Adventures in Modern Time Series Analysis: From the Sun to the Crab Nebula and Beyond

With the generation of long, precise, and finely sampled time series the Age of Digital Astronomy is uncovering and elucidating energetic dynamical processes throughout the Universe. Fulfilling these opportunities requires data effective analysis techniques rapidly and automatically implementing advanced concepts. The Time Series Explorer, under development in collaboration with Tom Loredo, provides tools ranging from simple but optimal histograms to time and frequency domain analysis for arbitrary data modes with any time sampling. Much of this development owes its existence to Joe Bredekamp and the encouragement he provided over several decades. Sample results for solar chromospheric activity, gamma-ray activity in the Crab Nebula, active galactic nuclei and gamma-ray bursts will be displayed.

solar chromospheric activity↗

Examination of time series through randomly broken windows

In order to determine the Fourier transform of a quasi-periodic time series (linear problem), or the power spectrum of a stationary random time series (quadratic problem), data should be recorded without interruption over a long time interval. The effect of regular interruption such as the day/night cycle is well known. The effect of irregular interruption of data collection (the "breaking" of the window function) with the simplifying assumption that there is a uniform probability p that each interval of length tau, of the total interval of length T = N sub tau, yields no data, is investigated. For the linear case it is found that the noise-to-signal ratio will have a (one-sigma) value less than epsilon if N exceeds p(-1)(1-p)epsilon(-2). For the quadratic case, the same requirement is met by the less restrictive requirement that N exceed p(-1)(1-p)epsilon(-1).

Sturrock, P. A.↗

Generation of artificial helioseismic time-series

We present an outline of an algorithm to generate artificial helioseismic time-series, taking into account as much as possible of the knowledge we have on solar oscillations. The hope is that it will be possible to find the causes of some of the systematic errors in analysis algorithms by testing them with such artificial time-series.

Schou, J.↗

Computation of canonical correlation and best predictable aspect of future for time series

The canonical correlation between the (infinite) past and future of a stationary time series is shown to be the limit of the canonical correlation between the (infinite) past and (finite) future, and computation of the latter is reduced to a (generalized) eigenvalue problem involving (finite) matrices. This provides a convenient and essentially, finite-dimensional algorithm for computing canonical correlations and components of a time series. An upper bound is conjectured for the largest canonical correlation.

Pourahmadi, Mohsen↗

Time Series Analysis in Flight Flutter Testing at the Air Force Flight Test Center: Concepts and Results

The Air Force Flight Test Center (AFFTC) flight flutter facility is described. Concepts of using a minicomputer-based time series analyzer and a modal analysis software package for flight flutter testing are examined. The results of several evaluations of the software package are given. The reasons for employing a minimum phase concept in analyzing response only signals are discussed. The use of a Laplace algorithm is shown to be effective for the modal analysis of time histories in flutter testing. Sample results from models and flight tests are provided. The limitations inherent in time series analysis methods are discussed, and the need for effective noise reduction techniques is noted. The use of digital time series analysis techniques in flutter testing is shown to be fast, accurate, and cost effective.

Lenz, R. W.↗

TIME-SERIES SOIL MOISTURE RETRIEVAL USING S-BAND BACKSCATTER MEASUREMENTS FROM THE SMEX02 CAMPAIGN

S-band observations from NASA’s Passive/Active L/S Band (PALS) radar from theSMEX02 campaign were used to estimate soil moisture. The “alpha”method is applied for this process, in which a time series of ratios of normalized radar cross section values at successive measurements is used to infer the corresponding soil moisture time series given ancillary information on the minimum and maximum soil moisture values expected over the time series. Results are examined as a function of the polarization and crop type. The results show reasonable retrieval performance, indicating the potential of usingS-band observations from the future NASA/ISRO SAR(NISAR)mission.

Dustin Horton↗

Assessment Of Polsar And Insar Time-Series From The 2019 Nasa Am-Pm Campaign For Above-Ground Biomass Estimation

The forthcoming launch of the NASA-ISRO Synthetic ApertureRadar (NISAR) mission will open the path to a new typeof L-band measurements constituted by dense time-series ofpolarimetric backscatter and interferometric coherence withunprecedented spatial and temporal sampling. Here, we startthe development of a theoretical framework that links L-bandbackscatter time-series with interferometric coherence measurements.The water-cloud-model (WCM) and an extendedversion of the random-motion-over-ground (RMoG) modelare adopted to express radar measurements in terms of forestabove-ground biomass and tree height. Time-series datacollected during the 2019 UAVSAR AM-PM campaign inSoutheastern United States are used to evaluate the correlationof various PolSAR- and InSAR-derived parameters withfield-measured above-ground biomass.

Lavalle, Marco↗

Coastal Atmosphere and Sea Time Series (CoASTS)

The Coastal Atmosphere and Sea Time Series (CoASTS) Project aimed at supporting ocean color research and applications, from 1995 up to the time of publication of this document, has ensured the collection of a comprehensive atmospheric and marine data set from an oceanographic tower located in the northern Adriatic Sea. The instruments and the measurement methodologies used to gather quantities relevant for bio-optical modeling and for the calibration and validation of ocean color sensors, are described. Particular emphasis is placed on four items: (1) the evaluation of perturbation effects in radiometric data (i.e., tower-shading, instrument self-shading, and bottom effects); (2) the intercomparison of seawater absorption coefficients from in situ measurements and from laboratory spectrometric analysis on discrete samples; (3) the intercomparison of two filter techniques for in vivo measurement of particulate absorption coefficients; and (4) the analysis of repeatability and reproducibility of the most relevant laboratory measurements carried out on seawater samples (i.e., particulate and yellow substance absorption coefficients, and pigment and total suspended matter concentrations). Sample data are also presented and discussed to illustrate the typical features characterizing the CoASTS measurement site in view of supporting the suitability of the CoASTS data set for bio-optical modeling and ocean color calibration and validation.

Hooker, Stanford B.↗