Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Systematic error”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 91 records · Page 5

Stitching interferometry for ellipsoidal x-ray mirrors

Ellipsoidal mirrors, which can efficiently produce a two-dimensional focusing beam with a single mirror, are superior x-ray focusing optics, especially when compared to elliptical-cylinder mirrors in the Kirkpatrick–Baez geometry. However, nano-focusing ellipsoidal mirrors are not commonly used for x-ray optics because achieving the accuracy required for the surface metrology of nano-focusing ellipsoidal mirrors is difficult due to their small radius of curvature along the short ellipsoidal axis. Here, we developed a surface metrology system for nano-focusing ellipsoidal mirrors using stitching interferometric techniques. The developed system simultaneously measures sub-aperture shapes with a microscopic interferometer and the tilt angles of the sub-aperture shapes with a large Fizeau interferometer. After correcting the systematic errors included in the sub-aperture shapes, the entire mirror shape is calculated by stitching the sub-aperture shapes based on the obtained relative angles between partially overlapped sub-apertures. In this study, we developed correction methods for systematic errors in sub-aperture shapes that originated from off-axis aberrations produced in the optics of the microscopic interferometer. The systematic errors on an ellipsoidal mirror were estimated by measuring a series of tilted plane substrates and the ellipsoidal substrate. From measurements of an ellipsoidal mirror with a 3.6-mm radius of curvature at the mirror center, we obtained a measurement repeatability of 0.51 nm (root-mean-square) in an assessment area of 0.5 mm × 99.18 mm. This value satisfies the requirements for surface metrology of nano-focusing x-ray mirrors. Thus, the developed metrology system should be applicable for fabricating nano-focusing ellipsoidal mirrors.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

The impact of detection rate changes and correlations on random-coincidence background measurements

Coincidence detection of multiple particles emitted during an experiment can yield a new depth of understanding of the underlying process under study. However, the probability of detecting particles that are generated from the same physical event within a given coincidence time window is generally much lower than that of detecting particles that appear in the same coincidence time window, but were not created from the same physical event, and are therefore detected randomly in coincidence with each other. Thus, accurate and precise methods of measuring this random-coincidence background are essential for a wide variety of fields of science. A method to determine this background directly using the data themselves without any additional experimental run time or fake signals introduced in the data was recently established (O’Donnell, 2016). This method yields a statistical uncertainty on the random-coincidence background that is orders of magnitude smaller than that of the true coincidence data, though the potential for systematic errors of backgrounds from this method was never explored. In this work, we discuss common varieties of correlated and uncorrelated changes in the detection rates of each particle detected in an experiment. Here we demonstrate here that a correlation between particle detection rates from, for example, an incident particle beam that initiates a physical process of interest, creates systematic errors in the random-coincidence background measurement. We also discuss the impact of a variety of other realistic scenarios for rate changes in experiments. Lastly, a method is introduced to correct for errors in the random-coincidence background from any source, yielding an optimization between statistical precision and eliminating potential lingering systematic errors.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Establishing precision and accuracy in PDV results

We need to know uncertainties and systematic errors because we create and compare against archival weapons data, we constrain the models, and we provide scientific results. Good estimates of precision from the data record are available and should be incorporated into existing results; reanalysis of valuable data is suggested. Estimates of systematic errors are largely absent. The original work by Jensen et al. using gun shots for window corrections, and the integrated velocity comparison with X-rays by Schultz are two examples where any systematic errors appear to be <1% level.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Evaluation of NMME temperature and precipitation bias and forecast skill for South Asia

Systematic error and forecast skill for temperature and precipitation in two regions of Southern Asia are investigated using hindcasts initialized May 1 from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble. We focus on two contiguous but geographically and dynamically diverse regions: the Extended Indian Monsoon Rainfall (70–100E, 10–30 N) and the nearby mountainous area of Pakistan and Afghanistan (60–75E, 23–39 N). Forecast skill is assessed using the Sign test framework, a rigorous statistical method that can be applied to non-Gaussian variables such as precipitation and to different ensemble sizes without introducing bias. We find that models show significant systematic error in both precipitation and temperature for both regions. The multi-model ensemble mean (MMEM) consistently yields the lowest systematic error and the highest forecast skill for both regions and variables. However, we also find that the MMEM consistently provides a statistically significant increase in skill over climatology only in the first month of the forecast. While the MMEM tends to provide higher overall skill than climatology later in the forecast, the differences are not significant at the 95% level. We also find that MMEMs constructed with a relatively small number of ensemble members per model can equal or outperform MMEMs constructed with more members in skill. This suggests some ensemble members either provide no contribution to overall skill or even detract from it.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Three independent one-dimensional margins for single-fraction frameless stereotactic radiosurgery brain cases using CBCT

Purpose: Setting a proper margin is crucial for not only delivering the required radiation dose to a target volume, but also reducing the unnecessary radiation to the adjacent organs at risk. This study investigated the independent one-dimensional symmetric and asymmetric margins between the clinical target volume (CTV) and the planning target volume (PTV) for linac-based single-fraction frameless stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS).Methods: The authors assumed a Dirac delta function for the systematic error of a specific machine and a Gaussian function for the residual setup errors. Margin formulas were then derived in details to arrive at a suitable CTV-to-PTV margin for single-fraction frameless SRS. Such a margin ensured that the CTV would receive the prescribed dose in 95% of the patients. To validate our margin formalism, the authors retrospectively analyzed nine patients who were previously treated with noncoplanar conformal beams. Cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) was used in the patient setup. The isocenter shifts between the CBCT and linac were measured for a Varian Trilogy linear accelerator for three months. For each plan, the authors shifted the isocenter of the plan in each direction by ±3 mm simultaneously to simulate the worst setup scenario. Subsequently, the asymptotic behavior of the CTV V{sub 80%} for each patient was studied as the setup error approached the CTV-PTV margin.Results: The authors found that the proper margin for single-fraction frameless SRS cases with brain cancer was about 3 mm for the machine investigated in this study. The isocenter shifts between the CBCT and the linac remained almost constant over a period of three months for this specific machine. This confirmed our assumption that the machine systematic error distribution could be approximated as a delta function. This definition is especially relevant to a single-fraction treatment. The prescribed dose coverage for all the patients investigated was 96.1%± 5.5% with an extreme 3-mm setup error in all three directions simultaneously. It was found that the effect of the setup error on dose coverage was tumor location dependent. It mostly affected the tumors located in the posterior part of the brain, resulting in a minimum coverage of approximately 72%. This was entirely due to the unique geometry of the posterior head.Conclusions: Margin expansion formulas were derived for single-fraction frameless SRS such that the CTV would receive the prescribed dose in 95% of the patients treated for brain cancer. The margins defined in this study are machine-specific and account for nonzero mean systematic error. The margin for single-fraction SRS for a group of machines was also derived in this paper.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Baryon acoustic oscillation theory and modelling systematics for the DESI 2024 results

This paper provides a comprehensive overview of how fitting of baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) is carried out within the upcoming Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument’s (DESI) 2024 results using its DR1 data set, and the associated systematic error budget from theory and modelling of the BAO. We derive new results showing how non-linearities in the clustering of galaxies can cause potential biases in measurements of the isotropic (⁠α iso ⁠) and anisotropic (⁠α ap ) BAO distance scales, and how these can be effectively removed with an appropriate choice of reconstruction algorithm. We then demonstrate how theory leads to a clear choice for how to model the BAO and develop, implement, and validate a new model for the remaining smooth-broad-band (i.e. without BAO) component of the galaxy clustering. Finally, we explore the impact of all remaining modelling choices on the BAO constraints from DESI using a suite of high-precision simulations, arriving at a set of best practices for DESI BAO fits, and an associated theory and modelling systematic error. Overall, our results demonstrate the remarkable robustness of the BAO to all our modelling choices and motivate a combined theory and modelling systematic error contribution to the post-reconstruction DESI BAO measurements of no more than 0.1 per cent (0.2 per cent) for its isotropic (anisotropic) distance measurements. We expect the theory and best practices laid out to here to be applicable to other BAO experiments in the era of DESI and beyond.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Characterization of Cameras for the COSMO K-coronagraph

Digital image sensors are ubiquitous in astronomical instrumentation and it is well known that they suffer from issues that must be corrected for data to be scientifically useful. I present discussion on errors resulting from digitization and characterization of nonlinearity and ADC errors of the PhotonFocus MV-D1024E cameras selected for the K-coronagraph of the Coronal Solar Magnetism Observatory. I derive an analytic expression for quantization errors. The MV-D1024E camera has adequate bit depth for which quantization error is not an issue. I show that this is not the case for all cameras, particularly those with deep wells and low read noise. The impact of nonlinearity and ADC errors on science observations of the K-coronagraph is analyzed using a simplified telescope model. Errors caused by the camera ADCs result in systematic errors in the measurement of the polarimetric signal of several times 10{sup −9} B {sub ⊙}, which is about an order of magnitude above the desired sensitivity. I demonstrate a method for post-facto data correction using a lookup table and derive parameters from camera characterization measurements that were made with a lab setup. Nonlinearity is traditionally addressed with a global correction. I show through analysis of calibration data that for the MV-D1024E this correction leaves residual systematic errors after dark and gain correction of up to 1% of the signal. I demonstrate that a pixel-wise correction of nonlinearity reduces the errors to below 0.1%. These corrections are necessary for the K-coronagraph data products to meet the science requirements. They have been implemented in the instrument data acquisition system and data reduction pipeline. While no other instruments besides the K-coronagraph or cameras besides the MV-D1024E are discussed here, the results are illustrative for all instruments and cameras.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Applying Multi-Frequency AC LOCO for Finding Sextupole Errors

A fast and precise technique of multi-frequency AC LOCO has been developed and tested for finding the sextupole alignment and field-offset errors at NSLS-II. This technique is based on sine-wave beam excitation simultaneously at multiple frequencies via different fast correctors. The unique combination of the fast speed and high measurement accuracy opens the door for two different types of potential applications: finding the sextupole alignment and field-offset errors. Beam excitation via fast correctors results in the elimination of the systematic error caused by the hysteresis effect. Systematic errors of the sextupole alignment caused by orbit drift and power supply calibration are also eliminated because the measurement takes only two minutes and does not depend on the current-to-field conversion of sextupole magnets. Furthermore, the simulation studies indicate that multi-frequency AC LOCO together with an orbit bump bigger than 0.5 mm can be applied to measure the relative field offset of a sextupole magnet with a precision better than 10%. The measurement technique is described and the results of two proof-of-principle experiments carried out at NSLS-II are presented.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

A Measurement of Gravitational Lensing of the Cosmic Microwave Background by Galaxy Clusters Using Data from the South Pole Telescope

Clusters of galaxies are expected to gravitationally lens the cosmic microwave background (CMB) and thereby generate a distinct signal in the CMB on arcminute scales. Measurements of this effect can be used to constrain the masses of galaxy clusters with CMB data alone. Here we present a measurement of lensing of the CMB by galaxy clusters using data from the South Pole Telescope (SPT). We also develop a maximum likelihood approach to extract the CMB cluster lensing signal and validate the method on mock data. We quantify the effects on our analysis of several potential sources of systematic error and find that they generally act to reduce the best-fit cluster mass. It is estimated that this bias to lower cluster mass is roughly 0.85σ in units of the statistical error bar, although this estimate should be viewed as an upper limit. Furthermore, we apply our maximum likelihood technique to 513 clusters selected via their Sunyaev–Zeldovich (SZ) signatures in SPT data, and rule out the null hypothesis of no lensing at 3.1σ. The lensing-derived mass estimate for the full cluster sample is consistent with that inferred from the SZ flux: M 200,lens = 0.83 +0.38 -0.37 M 200,SZ (68% C.L., statistical error only).

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Performance of Al-Mn Transition-Edge Sensor Bolometers in SPT-3G

SPT-3G is a polarization-sensitive receiver, installed on the South Pole Telescope, that measures the anisotropy of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) from degree to arcminute scales. The receiver consists of ten 150-mm-diameter detector wafers, containing a total of similar to 16,000transition-edge sensor (TES) bolometers observing at 95, 150, and 220 GHz. During the 2018-2019 austral summer, one of these detector wafers was replaced by a new wafer fabricated with Al-Mn TESs instead of the Ti/Au design originally deployed for SPT-3G. We present the results of in-laboratory characterization and on-sky performance of this Al-Mn wafer, including electrical and thermal properties, optical efficiency measurements, and noise-equivalent temperature. In addition, we discuss and account for several calibration-related systematic errors that affect measurements made using frequency-domain multiplexing readout electronics.

Al-Mn↗

Dynamic shear localization of a titanium alloy under high-rate tension characterized by x-ray digital image correlation

Highlights: • First systematic error analyses for XDIC • First XDIC study of Ti-6Al-4V under dynamic tension • Deformation mode transition induces dynamic ductility decrease. • Dynamic shear localization due to rate-dependent microvoid coalescence process. - Abstract: Dynamic and quasi-static tension experiments are conducted on Ti-6Al-4V alloys, with in situ, synchrotron-based, high-speed, x-ray phase contrast imaging implemented to characterize the dynamic deformation and fracture process of Ti alloys at the Advanced Photon Source. X-ray digital imaging correlation (XDIC) is applied for strain field mapping. The size distribution of x-ray speckles are quantified via a morphological analysis, with a mean of ∼20 μm. Systematic error analyses of displacement and strain field measurements are firstly conducted for XDIC, and demonstrate that the displacement and strain errors can be controlled below 0.01 pixel and 0.1%, respectively. Mesoscale strain characteristics measured via XDIC are consistent with and reveal mechanisms for the bulk-scale stress–strain responses. Under dynamic tension, a sharp transition to strain softening occurs when the bulk strain exceeds about 0.04, which leads to a lower dynamic fracture strain (0.08) than the quasi-static one (0.1). The corresponding strain filed mapping demonstrates that shear deformation localizations grow and coalesce rapidly into a narrow shear deformation band under dynamic loading, while tensile deformation and necking progresses gradually under quasi-static loading. Scanning electron microscopy shows that void nucleation occurs mainly at the interface of α and β phases for both quasi-static and dynamic tension. However, microvoids coalesce preferentially along colony boundaries or the boundary α phase under quasi-static tension, but along the maximum shear stress direction (across colonies) under dynamic tension. Fractography of recovered samples also shows consistent features.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Spectroscopic research of Lambda hypernuclei up to medium-heavy mass region with the (e,e'K + ) reaction

In 2009 (August-November), the E05-115 experiment was carried out at JLab to investigate L hypernuclei in the wide mass region up to A = 52 ($7\atop{Λ}$He, $10\atop{Λ}$Be, $12\atop{Λ}$B and $52\atop{Λ}$V) with the (e,e'K + ) reaction. This is the first attempt to investigate a medium heavy L hypernucleus with the (e,e'K + ) reaction. Experimentally, it is difficult to measure heavier L hypernuclei as background rates of particles which originate from electromagnetic processes are roughly in proportion to Z2 (Z: target proton number) in the (e,e'K + ) experiment. To perform the experiment, many experimental techniques have been developed and introduced such as optimization of the electron spectrometer configuration (tilt method), clean kaon identification, particle tracking under high multiplicity environment, precise energy scale calibration and so on. In the present thesis, experimental results of the elementary process of p(e,e'K + )L, L hypernuclei of $7\atop{Λ}$He, $10\atop{Λ}$Be, $12\atop{Λ}$B and $52\atop{Λ}$V are shown. Elementary processes of the electroproduction of L and Σ 0 , p(e,e'K + )L, Σ 0 were used for the absolute energy scale calibration of our spectrometer systems. A careful Monte Carlo simulation shows that the binding energy can be obtained with a systematic error of 0.11 MeV with our energy scale calibration method. A study of the elementary process of L is important to understand L hypernuclei as it is essential for theoretical calculations of L hypernuclei. The differential cross section of the p(e,e'K + )L reaction at the small K + scattering angle (theta-CM/gamma-K approx. 15.5°), the small Q 2 (approx 0.01 [GeV/c] 2 ) and the total energy of W = 1.92 GeV, where no experimental data exists was obtained to be 235 ± 13$+28\atop{-24}$ nb/sr. The ground state (1/2 + ) binding energy of $7\atop{Λ}$He was already measured in JLab E01-011 (2005). In the present work, the binding energy of 1/2 + state was determined to be B Λ = 5.55 ± 0.10 ±0.11 MeV with five times more statistic and smaller systematic errors than those of the previous experiment. The ground state binding energy is important to test the phe- nomenologically introduced CSB (Charge Symmetry Breaking) LN interaction for A = 7, T = 1 hypernuclear systems. In addition, a peak which is interpreted as 3/2 + and 5/2 + states was measured to be B Λ = 3.65 ± 0.20 ±0.11 MeV with sufficient statistic for the first time. Only three events of the ground state of $10\atop{Λ}$ Be had been observed in the emulsion experiments. The present experiment is the first spectroscopic measurement of 10/L-Be, and the detailed structures have been successfully measured for the first time. About three times better energy resolution was achieved in the present experiment (0.78 MeV in FWHM) than that of the mirror L hy- pernucleus, $10\atop{Λ}$B (2.2 MeV in FWHM) which was measured in the (π + ,K + ) experiment at KEK. The result of the ground state binding energy was obtained to be B Λ = 8.55 ± 0.07 ± 0.11 MeV which serves also to discuss about the CSB effect in the LN interaction. $12\atop{Λ}$B has been measured with the world best energy resolution of 0:5 MeV (FWHM) among the reaction spectroscopy of L hypernuclei. The results of $12\atop{Λ}$B are compared with the experimental results in the previous experiments to confirm the consistency. Furthermore, the obtained ground state binding energies of $12\atop{Λ}$B (B Λ = 11.38 ± 0.02 ± 0.11 MeV) and $52\atop{Λ}$V (B Λ = 21.88 ± 0.59 ± 0.11 MeV) indicate that the reported value of 12/L-C which has been used as a reference of binding energy measurements for the (π + ,K + ) experiments would be shallower by ~ 0.5 MeV. A pilot study for investigation in the medium-heavy mass region with the (e,e'K + ) experiment was performed by measuring $52\atop{Λ}$V. The ground state binding energy of $52\atop{Λ}$V has been measured, overcoming high multiplicity environment. The results are discussed with the ex- perimental results of 51/L-V measured at KEK. The present result is the first measurement of L's binding energy of the ground state without the emulsion reference in the medium-heavy mass region, which could be a substantial improvement in the information needed for understanding the single particle potential of L. In the present experiment, L hypernuclear measurement with a small systematic error of ~ 0.1 MeV by the (e,e'K + ) reaction has been established. Moreover, the present work opened a door to the heavier L hypernuclear measurement with the (e,e'K + ) reaction in the future.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Kinematic Dependence of the Dilution Factor in the SpinQuest Experiment E1039 at Fermilab

Thirty years after the "Spin Crisis" began, there is still uncertainty surrounding the spin structure of the nucleon. SpinQuest Experiment E1039 at FermiLab will attempt to probe the internal transverse dynamics of the nucleon via Drell-Yan scattering of a 120 GeV proton beam from a polarized proton target to determine if the orbital angular momentum of the sea-quarks contributes to the overall spin of the nucleon. In order to understand a leading contribution to the overall systematic uncertainty in this experiment, a study was performed to calculate and evaluate the uncertainty in the dilution factor of the experimental target. This thesis catalogs that effort, highlights where it overlaps with other sources of systematic error, and suggests future work aimed at reducing the overall systematic error of the experiment.

Conover, Arthur↗

Simple model to investigate jet quenching and correlated errors for centrality-dependent nuclear modification factors in relativistic heavy-ion collisions

Here, we apply Bayesian techniques to compare a simple, empirical model for jet quenching in heavy-ion collisions to centrality-dependent jet R AA measured by ATLAS for Pb + Pb collisions at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$ = 5.02 TeV. We find that the R AA values for central collisions are adequately described with a model for the mean p T -dependent jet energy loss using only two parameters. This model is extended by incorporating two-dimensional initial geometry information from TRENTo and compared to centrality-dependent R AA values. We find that the results are sensitive to the value of the jet-quenching formation time, τ ƒ , and that the optimal value of τ ƒ varies with the assumed path-length dependence of the energy loss. We construct a covariance error matrix for the data from the p T -dependent contributions to the ATLAS systematic errors and perform Bayesian calibrations for several different assumptions for the systematic error correlations. We show that the most-probable functions and $χ^2_d$ values are sensitive to assumptions made when fitting to correlated errors. This work demonstrates the utility of a simple model that can quickly demonstrate the constraining power of jet-quenching observables with corresponding uncertainties and guide future studies using more sophisticated models.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Dark Energy Survey Year 1 results: weak lensing mass calibration of redMaPPer galaxy clusters

We constrain the mass-richness scaling relation of redMaPPer galaxy clusters identified in the Dark Energy Survey Year 1 data using weak gravitational lensing. We split clusters into 4 x 3 bins of richness lambda and redshift z for lambda >= 20 and 0.2 <= z <= 0.65 and measure the mean masses of these bins using their stacked weak lensing signal. By modelling the scaling relation as M-200m|lambda, M-0(lambda/40)(F)((1 + /1.35)(G), we constrain the normalization of the scaling relation at the 5.0 per cent level, finding M-0 = [3.081 +/- 0.075(stat) +/- 0.133(sys)] center dot 10(14) M-aS (TM) at lambda = 40 and = 0.35. The recovered richness scaling index is F = 1.356 +/- 0.051 (stat) +/- 0.008 (sys) and the redshift scaling index G = -0.30 +/- 0.30 (stat) +/- 0.06 (sys). These are the tightest measurements of the normalization and richness scaling index made to date from a weak lensing experiment. We use a semi-analytic covariance matrix to characterize the statistical errors in the recovered weak lensing profiles. Our analysis accounts for the following sources of systematic error: shear and photometric redshift errors, cluster miscentring, cluster member dilution of the source sample, systematic uncertainties in the modelling of the halo-mass correlation function, halo triaxiality, and projection effects. We discuss prospects for reducing our systematic error budget, which dominates the uncertainty on M-0. Our result is in excellent agreement with, but has significantly smaller uncertainties than, previous measurements in the literature, and augurs well for the power of the DES cluster survey as a tool for precision cosmology and upcoming galaxy surveys such as LSST, Euclid, and WFIRST

clusters↗

SU-F-T-288: Impact of Trajectory Log Files for Clarkson-Based Independent Dose Verification of IMRT and VMAT

Purpose: To investigate the effect of the trajectory files from linear accelerator for Clarkson-based independent dose verification in IMRT and VMAT plans. Methods: A CT-based independent dose verification software (Simple MU Analysis: SMU, Triangle Products, Japan) with a Clarksonbased algorithm was modified to calculate dose using the trajectory log files. Eclipse with the three techniques of step and shoot (SS), sliding window (SW) and Rapid Arc (RA) was used as treatment planning system (TPS). In this study, clinically approved IMRT and VMAT plans for prostate and head and neck (HN) at two institutions were retrospectively analyzed to assess the dose deviation between DICOM-RT plan (PL) and trajectory log file (TJ). An additional analysis was performed to evaluate MLC error detection capability of SMU when the trajectory log files was modified by adding systematic errors (0.2, 0.5, 1.0 mm) and random errors (5, 10, 30 mm) to actual MLC position. Results: The dose deviations for prostate and HN in the two sites were 0.0% and 0.0% in SS, 0.1±0.0%, 0.1±0.1% in SW and 0.6±0.5%, 0.7±0.9% in RA, respectively. The MLC error detection capability shows the plans for HN IMRT were the most sensitive and 0.2 mm of systematic error affected 0.7% dose deviation on average. Effect of the MLC random error did not affect dose error. Conclusion: The use of trajectory log files including actual information of MLC location, gantry angle, etc should be more effective for an independent verification. The tolerance level for the secondary check using the trajectory file may be similar to that of the verification using DICOM-RT plan file. From the view of the resolution of MLC positional error detection, the secondary check could detect the MLC position error corresponding to the treatment sites and techniques. This research is partially supported by Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development (AMED)

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Improved uncertainty quantification in nondestructive assay for nonproliferation

This paper illustrates methods to improve uncertainty quantification (UQ) for non-destructive assay (NDA) measurements used in nuclear nonproliferation. First, it is shown that current bottom-up UQ applied to calibration data is not always adequate, for three main reasons: (1) Because there are errors in both the predictors and the response, calibration involves a ratio of random quantities, and calibration data sets in NDA usually consist of only a modest number of samples (3–10); therefore, asymptotic approximations involving quantities needed for UQ such as means and variances are often not sufficiently accurate; (2) Common practice overlooks that calibration implies a partitioning of total error into random and systematic error, and (3) In many NDA applications, test items exhibit non-negligible departures in physical properties from calibration items, so model-based adjustments are used, but item-specific bias remains in some data. Therefore, improved bottom-up UQ using calibration data should predict the typical magnitude of item-specific bias, and the suggestion is to do so by including sources of item-specific bias in synthetic calibration data that is generated using a combination of modeling and real calibration data. Second, for measurements of the same nuclear material item by both the facility operator and international inspectors, current empirical (top-down) UQ is described for estimating operator and inspector systematic and random error variance components. A Bayesian alternative is introduced that easily accommodates constraints on variance components, and is more robust than current top-down methods to the underlying measurement error distributions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Two-pion contribution to hadronic vacuum polarization

We present a detailed analysis of e + e - → π + π - data up to \( \sqrt{s}=1 \) GeV in the framework of dispersion relations. Starting from a family of ππ P -wave phase shifts, as derived from a previous Roy-equation analysis of ππ scattering, we write down an extended Omnès representation of the pion vector form factor in terms of a few free parameters and study to which extent the modern high-statistics data sets can be described by the resulting fit function that follows from general principles of QCD. We find that statistically acceptable fits do become possible as soon as potential uncertainties in the energy calibration are taken into account, providing a strong cross check on the internal consistency of the data sets, but preferring a mass of the ω meson significantly lower than the current PDG average. In addition to a complete treatment of statistical and systematic errors propagated from the data, we perform a comprehensive analysis of the systematic errors in the dispersive representation and derive the consequences for the two-pion contribution to hadronic vacuum polarization. In a global fit to both time- and space-like data sets we find a ππ μ | ≤ 1 GeV = 495.0(1.5)(2.1) × 10 -10 and a ππ μ | ≤ 0.63 GeV = 132.8(0.4)(1.0) × 10 -10 . While the constraints are thus most stringent for low energies, we obtain uncertainty estimates throughout the whole energy range that should prove valuable in corroborating the corresponding contribution to the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon. As side products, we obtain improved constraints on the ππ P -wave, valuable input for future global analyses of low-energy ππ scattering, as well as a determination of the pion charge radius, $\langle$$r^{2}_{π}$$\rangle$ = 0 . 429(1)(4) fm 2 .

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗