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NASA NTRS2009

Complexity Science Applications to Dynamic Trajectory Management: Research Strategies

The promise of the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) is strongly tied to the concept of trajectory-based operations in the national airspace system. Existing efforts to develop trajectory management concepts are largely focused on individual trajectories, optimized independently, then de-conflicted among each other, and individually re-optimized, as possible. The benefits in capacity, fuel, and time are valuable, though perhaps could be greater through alternative strategies. The concept of agent-based trajectories offers a strategy for automation of simultaneous multiple trajectory management. The anticipated result of the strategy would be dynamic management of multiple trajectories with interacting and interdependent outcomes that satisfy multiple, conflicting constraints. These constraints would include the business case for operators, the capacity case for the Air Navigation Service Provider (ANSP), and the environmental case for noise and emissions. The benefits in capacity, fuel, and time might be improved over those possible under individual trajectory management approaches. The proposed approach relies on computational agent-based modeling (ABM), combinatorial mathematics, as well as application of "traffic physics" concepts to the challenge, and modeling and simulation capabilities. The proposed strategy could support transforming air traffic control from managing individual aircraft behaviors to managing systemic behavior of air traffic in the NAS. A system built on the approach could provide the ability to know when regions of airspace approach being "full," that is, having non-viable local solution space for optimizing trajectories in advance.

Sawhill, Bruce↗

NASA NTRS2006

Integrating Terrain Maps Into a Reactive Navigation Strategy

An improved method of processing information for autonomous navigation of a robotic vehicle across rough terrain involves the integration of terrain maps into a reactive navigation strategy. Somewhat more precisely, the method involves the incorporation, into navigation logic, of data equivalent to regional traversability maps. The terrain characteristic is mapped using a fuzzy-logic representation of the difficulty of traversing the terrain. The method is robust in that it integrates a global path-planning strategy with sensor-based regional and local navigation strategies to ensure a high probability of success in reaching a destination and avoiding obstacles along the way. The sensor-based strategies use cameras aboard the vehicle to observe the regional terrain, defined as the area of the terrain that covers the immediate vicinity near the vehicle to a specified distance a few meters away.

Howard, Ayanna↗

NASA NTRS2013

Evaluation of Contrail Reduction Strategies Based on Environmental and Operational Costs

This paper evaluates a set of contrail reduction strategies based on environmental and operational costs. A linear climate model was first used to convert climate effects of carbon dioxide emissions and aircraft contrails to changes in Absolute Global Temperature Potential, a metric that measures the mean surface temperature change due to aircraft emissions and persistent contrail formations. The concept of social cost of carbon and the carbon auction price from recent California's cap-and-trade system were then used to relate the carbon dioxide emissions and contrail formations to an environmental cost index. The strategy for contrail reduction is based on minimizing contrail formations by altering the aircraft's cruising altitude. The strategy uses a user-defined factor to trade off between contrail reduction and additional fuel burn and carbon dioxide emissions. A higher value of tradeoff factor results in more contrail reduction but also more fuel burn and carbon emissions. The strategy is considered favorable when the net environmental cost benefit exceeds the operational cost. The results show how the net environmental benefit varies with different decision-making time-horizon and different carbon cost. The cost models provide a guidance to select the trade-off factor that will result in the most net environmental benefit.

social cost of carbon↗

NASA NTRS2016

Galaxy Strategy for Ligo-Virgo Gravitational Wave Counterpart Searches

In this work we continue a line of inquiry begun in Kanner et al. which detailed a strategy for utilizing telescopes with narrow fields of view, such as the Swift X-Ray Telescope (XRT), to localize gravity wave (GW) triggers from LIGO (Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory) / Virgo. If one considers the brightest galaxies that produce 50 percent of the light, then the number of galaxies inside typical GW error boxes will be several tens. We have found that this result applies both in the early years of Advanced LIGO when the range is small and the error boxes large, and in the later years when the error boxes will be small and the range large. This strategy has the beneficial property of reducing the number of telescope pointings by a factor 10 to 100 compared with tiling the entire error box. Additional galaxy count reduction will come from a GW rapid distance estimate which will restrict the radial slice in search volume. Combining the bright galaxy strategy with a convolution based on anticipated GW localizations, we find that the searches can be restricted to about 18 plus or minus 5 galaxies for 2015, about 23 plus or minus 4 for 2017, and about 11 plus or minus for 2020. This assumes a distance localization at the putative neutron star-neutron star (NS-NS) merger range mu for each target year, and these totals are integrated out to the range. Integrating out to the horizon would roughly double the totals. For localizations with r (rotation) greatly less than mu the totals would decrease. The galaxy strategy we present in this work will enable numerous sensitive optical and X-ray telescopes with small fields of view to participate meaningfully in searches wherein the prospects for rapidly fading afterglow place a premium on a fast response time.

galaxies: statistics aEuro" gamma-ray burst: gener↗

NASA NTRS2015

Evolvable Mars Campaign Long Duration Habitation Strategies: Architectural Approaches to Enable Human Exploration Missions

The Evolvable Mars Campaign (EMC) is the current NASA Mars mission planning effort which seeks to establish sustainable, realistic strategies to enable crewed Mars missions in the mid-2030s timeframe. The primary outcome of the Evolvable Mars Campaign is not to produce "The Plan" for sending humans to Mars, but instead its intent is to inform the Human Exploration and Operations Mission Directorate near-term key decisions and investment priorities to prepare for those types of missions. The FY'15 EMC effort focused upon analysis of integrated mission architectures to identify technically appealing transportation strategies, logistics build-up strategies, and vehicle designs for reaching and exploring Mars moons and Mars surface. As part of the development of this campaign, long duration habitats are required which are capable of supporting crew with limited resupply and crew abort during the Mars transit, Mars moons, and Mars surface segments of EMC missions. In particular, the EMC design team sought to design a single, affordable habitation system whose manufactured units could be outfitted uniquely for each of these missions and reused for multiple crewed missions. This habitat system must provide all of the functionality to safely support 4 crew for long durations while meeting mass and volume constraints for each of the mission segments set by the chosen transportation architecture and propulsion technologies. This paper describes several proposed long-duration habitation strategies to enable the Evolvable Mars Campaign through improvements in mass, cost, and reusability, and presents results of analysis to compare the options and identify promising solutions. The concepts investigated include several monolithic concepts: monolithic clean sheet designs, and concepts which leverage the co-manifested payload capability of NASA's Space Launch System (SLS) to deliver habitable elements within the Universal Payload Adaptor between the SLS upper stage and the Orion/Service module on the top of the vehicle. Multiple modular habitat options for Mars surface and in-space missions are also considered with various functionality and volume splits between modules to find the best balance of reducing the single largest mass which must be delivered to a destination and reducing the number of separate elements which must be launched. Analysis results presented for each of these concepts in this paper include mass/volume/power sizing using parametric sizing tools, identification of unique operational constraints, and limited comments on the additional impacts of reusability/dormancy on system design. Finally, recommendations will be made for promising solutions which will be carried forward for consideration in the Evolvable Mars Campaign work.

Simon, Matthew A.↗

NASA NTRS2017

A Dynamic Model for the Evaluation of Aircraft Engine Icing Detection and Control-Based Mitigation Strategies

Aircraft flying in regions of high ice crystal concentrations are susceptible to the buildup of ice within the compression system of their gas turbine engines. This ice buildup can restrict engine airflow and cause an uncommanded loss of thrust, also known as engine rollback, which poses a potential safety hazard. The aviation community is conducting research to understand this phenomena, and to identify avoidance and mitigation strategies to address the concern. To support this research, a dynamic turbofan engine model has been created to enable the development and evaluation of engine icing detection and control-based mitigation strategies. This model captures the dynamic engine response due to high ice water ingestion and the buildup of ice blockage in the engines low pressure compressor. It includes a fuel control system allowing engine closed-loop control effects during engine icing events to be emulated. The model also includes bleed air valve and horsepower extraction actuators that, when modulated, change overall engine operating performance. This system-level model has been developed and compared against test data acquired from an aircraft turbofan engine undergoing engine icing studies in an altitude test facility and also against outputs from the manufacturers customer deck. This paper will describe the model and show results of its dynamic response under open-loop and closed-loop control operating scenarios in the presence of ice blockage buildup compared against engine test cell data. Planned follow-on use of the model for the development and evaluation of icing detection and control-based mitigation strategies will also be discussed. The intent is to combine the model and control mitigation logic with an engine icing risk calculation tool capable of predicting the risk of engine icing based on current operating conditions. Upon detection of an operating region of risk for engine icing events, the control mitigation logic will seek to change the engines operating point to a region of lower risk through the modulation of available control actuators while maintaining the desired engine thrust output. Follow-on work will assess the feasibility and effectiveness of such control-based mitigation strategies.

engine control↗

NASA NTRS2017

A Dynamic Model for the Evaluation of Aircraft Engine Icing Detection and Control-Based Mitigation Strategies

engine control↗

NASA NTRS2019

Electrified Aircraft Propulsion Systems: Potential Failure Modes and Failure Mitigation Strategies

Electrified aircraft propulsion (EAP) systems hold great potential for the reduction of aircraft fuel burn, emissions, and noise. Currently, NASA and other organizations are actively working to identify and mature technologies necessary to bring EAP designs to reality. A requirement for the development of any civil aircraft and its systems is to ensure that potential hazards in the design are identified and appropriately mitigated to ensure that the system is safe. During aircraft development, a system safety assessment that consists of a functional hazard assessment is conducted to identify all potential failure conditions of each function, and classify those failures according to the severity of their effects on the aircraft or its occupants. The more severe a function's failure condition classification, the greater the development assurance level required for the function to ensure that the probability of the hazard is acceptably low. Today, aircraft engines and their control systems receive type certificate approval as a stand-alone system to signify their airworthiness. However, the complex coupling and distributed nature of EAP designs are expected to place added challenges on the certification of these systems. This presentation will provide an initial high-level review of the potential failure modes and hazards posed by a generic EAP system along with potential mitigation strategies for those failures. The EAP system is assumed to be a hybrid design consisting of gas turbine engines, mechanical drives, electric machines, power electronics and distribution systems, energy storage devices, and motor driven propulsors. The functionality provided by each of these EAP subsystems will be discussed along with the potential failure modes they may encounter. This will include a discussion of coupled failure effects, where a fault in one EAP subsystem effects the operation of other subsystems in the architecture. Next, potential failure mitigation strategies are discussed including both software-based and hardware-based mitigation strategies. The presentation will conclude with an example evaluation of the potential failure modes and mitigation strategies for a concept EAP system proposed by NASA.

Simon, Donald L.↗

NASA NTRS2019

Integrated Research Plan to Assess the Combined Effects of Space Radiation, Altered Gravity, and Isolation and Confinement on Crew Health and Performance: Implementation Strategy

This document supplements the white paper titled CBS Integrated Research Plan: Problem Statement. The Problem Statement describes why it is important to implement a fully integrated research plan to derive risk estimates for the combined, potentially synergistic, effects of the three major spaceflight hazards (space radiation; isolated, confined, and extreme environments; altered gravity). These risk estimates will help establish acceptable maximum decrement or change in a physiological or behavioral parameter during or after spaceflight, and the acceptable limit of exposure to the combined spaceflight hazards. This Implementation Strategy describes how the research plan will accomplish the CBS Integrated Research Plan goals. The Implementation Strategy includes approaches to evaluate relationships among biological responses underlying three risks that are managed by three of NASA’s Human Research Project (HRP) organizational “elements”. This CBS (Acute effects of radiation on CNS, BMed, Sensorimotor) Integrated Research Plan also identifies strategies to monitor and mitigate decrements to operationally relevant performance. Currently, the strategy that was initiated in 2018, includes an eight-year research plan and a four-year validation plan that extend to the year 2030. Once the monitoring tools and countermeasures are developed, they will be validated and refined during four years of early exploration missions. The planned tasks and their associated research products and deliverables have been mapped to the individual research emphases to clearly demonstrate how each research area helps ensure crew health and safety during exploration missions.

Susan Steinberg↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Bio-stasis: A Strategy for Survivability and Payload Cost Reduction in Long-duration Space Missions

As humans proceed with long-term space voyages, involving flights with lasting duration of months or years, “adaptation to space” will eventually lead to hard realities resultant physiological and psychological conditions must be realistically estimated and considered before it occurs. It is obvious that humans in their lifespan cannot adopt to spaceflight environment by reversible modification of their complex biochemical reactions and physiological functions without jeopardizing sustainable homeostasis shaped by multiple generations during evolution. In this case Nature offers an evolutionary proven alternative strategy- a coordinative adjustment of metabolism in order to survive. Incorporation of this metabolic adjustment strategy along with the relevant life support system into space flight architecture would protect humans during long term space flight from many irreversible physiological alterations and may dramatically reduce overall cost of space missions. In addition to the harmful space radiation and prolonged weightlessness, incorporation of this strategy may also benefit by solving other major medical unknowns in interplanetary flight such as isolation and psychological stress which still remains a risk. It is one of the priorities of NASA and other space agencies to figure out not only how to keep long-distance travelers alive and in good cognitive health but also how to return them to normal life on Earth with a minimum rehabilitation period after prolonged exposure to space. Presently re-adaptation of astronauts to Earth conditions and recovery from spaceflight exposure may take many months and years and, in some cases, require medical intervention. Therefore, recognizing physiological adjustment of the energy-regulating system as a viable life support strategy for human space exploration beyond LEO is essential.

Bio-stasis;↗

NASA NTRS2021

Developing a strategy for the national coordinated soil moisture monitoring network

Soil moisture is a critical land surface variable, affecting a wide variety of climatological, agricultural, and hydrological processes. Determining the current soil moisture status is possible via a variety of methods, including in situ monitoring, remote sensing, and numerical modeling. Although all of these approaches are rapidly evolving, there is no cohesive strategy or framework to integrate these diverse information sources to develop and disseminate coordinated national soil moisture products that will improve our ability to understand climate variability. The National Coordinated Soil Moisture Monitoring Network initiative has developed a national strategy for network coordination with NOAA's National Integrated Drought Information System. The strategy is currently in review within NOAA, and work is underway to implement the initial milestones of the strategy. This update reviews the goals and steps being taken to establish this national-scale coordination for soil moisture monitoring in the United States.

Michael H. Cosh↗

NASA NTRS2022

Demonstrating a New Flood Observing Strategy on the Nos Testbed

A new observing strategy for floods was demonstrated and evaluated in a testbed environment. The strategy coordinates several observing platforms, including in situ and space based, to observe a flood from multiple vantage points and to dynamically target predicted flood events with high- resolution observations. The coordinated observations were assimilated back into the model to improve forecasts and future observation selection. This demonstration shows the potential for coordinated, model-driven observing strategies and the feasibility of the NOS Testbed for demonstrating and evaluating new observing strategies.

Capra, Leigha↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Impact of Sleep Shifting Strategies on the International Space Station

Astronaut crews have historically averaged around six hours of sleep per night, especially during missions that required a high tempo work environment, confined spacecraft without crew quarters, and frequent sleep schedule changes. In recent years, crew aboard the ISS have had much more stable schedules, with a consistent bedtime at 2130 and wake time at 0600 Greenwich Mean Time. Despite these improvements to sleep conditions on the ISS, sleep schedules are disrupted by visiting vehicles that arrive or leave the ISS or when uncontrollable operational events require the crewmembers to shift their sleep. We characterized the approaches to sleep shifting, including shifting sleep earlier and later and split sleep to determine the impact on sleep duration and quality. METHODS Data were gathered though the Spaceflight Standard Measures protocol. These consisted of objective measures of sleep duration (calculated via a wrist-worn accelerometer) collected by 19 crewmembers (7 females; mean age 46 ± 7 years) throughout their tenure aboard the ISS. We first categorized episodes of “split sleep” whereby a person attempts sleep on two separate occasions in a 24-hour period that are similar in length. For example, they might have a 4-hour sleep opportunity followed by a night awake, followed by another 4-hour sleep opportunity the next morning. RESULTS Out of the 19 crewmembers, a total of 8 engaged in 11 episodes of split sleep while inflight. These periods all surrounded visiting vehicle events that interfered with their nominal sleep window, including docking, relocation, and undocking events. The first sleep opportunity typically took place during the afternoon before the disrupting event (all sleep periods were contained between 1151 and 2009), while the second episode took place the following morning (between 0343 and 1325) On average, the time in bed of the first sleep opportunity was shorter than the second (M1=2.89±0.82 vs. M2=4.30±1.41). DISCUSSION Next in our analysis, we will compare the crewmembers’ split sleep outcomes to those from other strategies (e.g., phase delays). We aim to determine which strategies yield the best sleep outcomes and to determine whether the sleep shifting strategy has consequences to subsequent sleep. Understanding these impacts will aid in decision making for future ISS operations and will also help us better understand the impacts of various strategies to adjust sleep and help guide scheduling in future missions where consistent schedules may not be possible.

sleep↗

NASA NTRS2024

Route-Recapturing State-Based Horizontal Maneuver Strategy for Automated Detect-and-Avoid

This report describes a novel approach to the development of a horizontal maneuver guidance strategy for Detect-and-Avoid systems. The maneuver guidance strategy provides a directive turn action that can be automatically executed by the vehicle’s auto-pilot system, taking into account the cost of recapturing the flight plan path. Pairwise conflict scenarios with non-accelerating intruders are simulated to validate the effectiveness of the maneuver guidance strategy. Initial results suggest the strategy is more effective for faster ownship than for slower ownship, which is unable to avoid conflict in certain scenarios against fast intruders. These findings indicate this novel approach shows great potential, but improvement to its performance is necessary and will be future work.

detect-and-avoid↗

NASA NTRS2021

Future Model-Based Systems Engineering Vision and Strategy Bridge for NASA

A vision for the future of model-based systems engineering (MBSE) at NASA in 2029 and a strategy bridge towards that future are presented. Strategic thinking and leading change concepts were used to analyze reports and presentations on global trends and visionary thinking about the future of systems and digital engineering. The context, strategic time horizon, stakeholders, strategic challenges, strategic advantages, driving forces, and opportunities were considered. The analysis resulted in a future vision of MBSE that shows what NASA systems engineers and digital machines will do to perform rapid, extraordinary, and unprecedented missions. The NASA systems engineer, in this future vision, works with a global project team in a virtual and collaborative environment, engineers the system, and uses digital approaches as the routine and default way of working. The digital machines provide data-driven and automated mission designs; have a backbone of program and project management, systems engineering, and product life-cycle management; and are a knowledge-sharing infrastructure. The NASA systems engineer and the systems engineering team are envisioned to use digital machines to plan and perform rapid exploration missions, develop a digital twin that lasts across the life cycle, and develop enduring and adaptable systems. NASA has an engineering enterprise and a life-cycle management framework that endure, adapt, and respond. A strategy bridge based on the Baldrige Criteria for Performance Excellence Framework and lessons learned from a recent MBSE initiative illuminates a way forward from today to this desired future. The bridge lays out a strategy for leaders and recommends investments of today for immediate benefits and for benefits in 2029.

model-based systems engineering, digital engineeri↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Exploring Self-Scheduling Strategies and Heuristics in Novice Schedulers

Missions beyond low Earth orbit will require crews to act with greater autonomy. Increasing communication delays will require crews to take on tasks currently supported by Mission Control, including the involved process of scheduling and rescheduling their own complex spaceflight timelines to fit a variety of restrictions and constraints. Astronauts, unlike Mission Control, are not expert planners, however, and determining simple strategies and heuristics that enable them to schedule successfully can increase the range of problems they can solve successfully. In two human-in-the-loop scheduling experiments, we analyzed 1) common strategies among novice schedules, and 2) the development of self-scheduling heuristics. We find that, even when participants are instructed to follow a given strategy, they rapidly develop their own self-scheduling heuristics as they learn to successfully complete the scheduling task. Participants conducting naturally learn to schedule activities with the most constraints first, while participants vary in heuristics in the rescheduling task.

self-scheduling↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Exploring Self-Scheduling Strategies and Heuristics in Novice Schedulers

Missions beyond low Earth orbit will require crews to act with greater autonomy. Increasing communication delays will require crews to take on tasks currently supported by Mission Control, including the involved process of scheduling and rescheduling their own complex spaceflight timelines to fit a variety of restrictions and constraints. Unlike Mission Control, astronauts are not expert planners, and determining strategies and heuristics that enable crews to schedule successfully may increase the range of problems they can solve. In two human-in-the-loop scheduling experiments, we analyzed 1) common strategies among novice schedulers and 2) the development of self-scheduling heuristics. We find that, even when participants are instructed to follow a given strategy, they rapidly develop their own self-scheduling heuristics as they learn to successfully complete the scheduling task. While scheduling, participants naturally learn to arrange activities with the most constraints first, whereas while rescheduling, they display greater variability in their heuristics.

self-scheduling↗

NASA NTRS1971

A Viking satellite orbit trim strategy

One strategy is submitted for meeting the varied and stringent requirements of the Viking Project on the control of the satellite orbit to obtain reconnaissance and to prepare for lander release. To satisfy these requirements, different orbit trim maneuver strategies were developed for two typical Viking missions. In addition, a summary of recent numerical results is included to show that this strategy satisfies the mission requirements which have been identified.

Hintz, G. R.↗