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At least 91 records · Page 5

Spray Manufacturing Thermal Insulation Composites

Cellulose-based thermal insulation materials present significant potential for modern green building applications due to their inherent carbon sequestration properties. However, traditional manufacturing of composites often results in the limited thermal insulation performance and embodied carbon footprint due to an increased density from material shrinkage and higher energy consumption during the water-based slurry drying process. Here, we report solvent spraying coupled with dry powder feedstock to manufacture highly porous silica/straw insulation composites. The manufactured composite exhibits negligible shrinkage with the density of 0.08 g/cm 3 , thermal conductivity of 27.8 mW/(m·K), flexural modulus of 3.1 MPa, and compressive modulus of 0.89 MPa. Additionally, the prepared composite demonstrates fire retardancy (burning rate of 0.5 mm/min) and recyclability (99%). Furthermore, this solvent-spraying strategy opens up opportunities of energy-efficient insulation materials for carbon-sequestration building sectors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Improving Lithium Metal Composite Anodes with Seeding and Pillaring Effects of Silicon Nanoparticles

Metallic lithium (Li) anodes are crucial for the development of high specific energy batteries yet plagued by their poor cycling efficiency. Electrode architecture engineering is vital for maintaining a stable anode volume and suppress Li corrosion during cycling. In this paper, a reduced graphene oxide “host” framework for Li metal anodes is further optimized by embedding silicon (Si) nanoparticles between the graphene layers. They serve as Li nucleation seeds to promote Li deposition within the framework even without pre-stored Li. Meanwhile, the LixSi alloy particles serve as supporting “pillars” between the graphene layers, enabling a minimized thickness shrinkage after full stripping of metallic Li. Combined with a Li compatible electrolyte, 99.4% Coulombic efficiency over ~600 cycles is achieved, and stable cycling of a Li||NMC532 full cell for ~380 cycles with negligible capacity decay is realized.

Wang, Hansen↗

Neutron Diffraction Study of Significant sp 3 and sp 2 C–H Bond Shortening in a Fluorinated Pyridinium Saccharinate

Here we have experimentally shown by neutron diffraction significant shortening of both $sp^3$- and $sp^2$-hybridized C–H bonds to 1.092(2) and 1.081(1) Å in a hydrogen-bonded crystal of a difluorinated compound, 4-((2,2-difluoroethoxy)methyl)pyridinium saccharinate. Both MP2 and DFT calculations affirmed the C–H bond shrinkages. Sanderson’s electronegativity equalization principle provides insight into the shortening of the C–H covalent bond lengths for both $sp^3$- and $sp^2$-hybridized carbon atoms. To the best of our knowledge, this neutron diffraction study has revealed the largest extents of $sp^3$ and $sp^2$ C–H bond shrinkages with a 3-sigma rule being satisfied.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Characterization of Acoustic Emissions From Analogue Rocks Using Sparse Regression‐DMDc

Abstract Moisture loss in rock is known to generate acoustic emissions (AE). Phenomena that result in AE during drying are related to the movement of fluids through the pores and induced‐cracks that arise from differential mineral shrinkage, especially in clay‐bearing rock. AE from the movement of fluids occurs from the reconfiguration of fluid interfaces during drying, while AE from mineral shrinkage involves the debonding within or between minerals. Here, analogue rock samples were used to examine the differences in the AE signatures when one or both AE source‐types are present. An unsupervised sparse regression model, Dynamic Mode Decomposition with control, that extends Dynamic Mode Decomposition is used to characterize the AE signals recorded during the drying of porous analogue rock samples fabricated with ordinary Portland cement, with and without clay. This method can effectively and accurately reconstruct acoustic signals emitted from samples that only experience moisture loss without cracking. However, the method struggles to reconstruct signals from samples with intricate crack networks that formed during drying because AE generating mechanisms can emit contemporaneously, and the resulting waves propagate through drying‐induced cracks that can lead to multiple internal reflections. Thus, the differential reconstruction accuracy of time series generated by different underlying physical processes provides a robust filter for reducing large data catalogs. In general, both dynamics and sparse initiating events are learned directly from data and this method exposes a data hierarchy based on the complexity of the intrinsic dynamics.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Numerical Study of Coupled Water and Vapor Flow, Heat Transfer, and Solute Transport in Variably-Saturated Deformable Soil During Freeze-Thaw Cycles

As climate change intensifies, soil water flow, heat transfer, and solute transport in the active, unfrozen zones within permafrost and seasonally frozen ground exhibit progressively more complex interactions that are difficult to elucidate with measurements alone. For example, frozen conditions impede water flow and solute transport in soil, while heat and mass transfer are significantly affected by high thermal inertia generated from water-ice phase change during the freeze-thaw cycle. To assist in understanding these subsurface processes, the current study presents a coupled two-dimensional model, which examines heat conduction-convection with water-ice phase change, soil water (liquid water and vapor) and groundwater flow, advective-dispersive solute transport with sorption, and soil deformation (frost heave and thaw settlement) in variably saturated soils subjected to freeze-thaw actions. This coupled multiphysics problem is numerically solved using the finite element method. The model's performance is first verified by comparison to a well-documented freezing test on unsaturated soil in a laboratory environment obtained from the literature. Then based on the proposed model, we quantify the impacts of freeze-thaw cycles on the distribution of temperature, water content, displacement history, and solute concentration in three distinct soil types, including sand, silt and clay textures. The influence of fluctuations in the air temperature, groundwater level, hydraulic conductivity, and solute transport parameters was also comparatively studied. The results show that (a) there is a significant bidirectional exchange between groundwater in the saturated zone and soil water in the vadose zone during freeze-thaw periods, and its magnitude increases with the combined influence of higher hydraulic conductivity and higher capillarity; (b) the rapid dewatering ahead of the freezing front causes local volume shrinkage within the non-frozen region when the freezing front propagates downward during the freezing stage and this volume shrinkage reduces the impact of frost heave due to ice formation. This gradually recovers when the thawed water replenishes the water loss zone during the thawing stage; and (c) the profiles of soil moisture, temperature, displacement, and solute concentration during freeze-thaw cycles are sensitive to the changes in amplitude and freeze-thaw period of the sinusoidal varying air temperature near the ground surface, hydraulic conductivity of soil texture, and the initial groundwater levels. Our modeling framework and simulation results highlight the need to account for coupled thermal-hydraulic-mechanical-chemical behaviors to better understand soil water and groundwater dynamics during freeze-thaw cycles and further help explain the observed changes in water cycles and landscape evolution in cold regions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Keyhole fluctuation and pore formation mechanisms during laser powder bed fusion additive manufacturing

Keyhole porosity is a key concern in laser powder-bed fusion (LPBF), potentially impacting component fatigue life. However, some keyhole porosity formation mechanisms, e.g., keyhole fluctuation, collapse and bubble growth and shrinkage, remain unclear. Using synchrotron X-ray imaging we reveal keyhole and bubble behaviour, quantifying their formation dynamics. The findings support the hypotheses that: (i) keyhole porosity can initiate not only in unstable, but also in the transition keyhole regimes created by high laser power-velocity conditions, causing fast radial keyhole fluctuations (2.5-10 kHz); (ii) transition regime collapse tends to occur part way up the rear-wall; and (iii) immediately after keyhole collapse, bubbles undergo rapid growth due to pressure equilibration, then shrink due to metal-vapour condensation. Concurrent with condensation, hydrogen diffusion into the bubble slows the shrinkage and stabilises the bubble size. The keyhole fluctuation and bubble evolution mechanisms revealed here may guide the development of control systems for minimising porosity.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Improving protonic ceramic electrochemical cell performance via a dual-phase reaction-sintered bilayer electrolyte

Protonic ceramic electrochemical cells (PCCs) are promising energy conversion devices, but their fabrication remains challenging. In particular, the typical electrolytes for PCCs such as BaCe 0.7 Zr 0.1 Y 0.1 Yb 0.1 O 3−δ (7111) and BaCe 0.4 Zr 0.4 Y 0.1 Yb 0.1 O 3−δ (4411) suffer from intrinsic barium evaporation issues during high-temperature sintering. This tendency towards barium loss, combined with their highly refractory nature, leads to a tradeoff between sinterability and chemical stability. To address this tradeoff, we propose a bilayer electrolyte combining layers of 4411 and 7111 materials that is designed to enhance sinterability and conductivity through dual-phase reactive sintering. Our findings demonstrate that the bilayer structure exhibits shrinkage behavior closely matched to that of the fuel electrode substrate, with a higher shrinkage compared to a single-layer 4411 electrolyte. Utilizing this bilayer electrolyte structure, our PCCs achieve a peak power density of 637 mW∙cm −2 in fuel-cell mode and a current density of 1060 mA∙cm −2 at 1.3 V in electrolysis mode at 600 °C. Our PCCs demonstrate high Faradaic efficiency of 83% at 1.3 V and 500 °C. Hybrid distribution of relaxation times (DRT) polarization mapping further reveals that the bilayer structure reduces Ohmic and polarization resistance in both fuel-cell and electrolysis modes.

ceramic processing↗

Effect of calcite filler on carbonation behavior in a synthesized C‐S‐H binder

Widespread implementation of portland limestone cements (PLC) in industry has raised new questions about their carbonation resistance due to higher initial limestone content than ordinary portland cement. While carbonation of portland cement and each of its hydrate phases has been studied at a fundamental level, the integral role of how limestone fillers interact chemically or physically during carbonation necessitates further study. In this study, a C-S-H binder comprised of a highly reactive zeolite pozzolan and lime was used to evaluate the effect of varying calcite additions on carbonation behavior at a microstructural level. Fundamental insight into hydration kinetics and carbonation mechanisms of hydraulic binders was obtained via analysis of the C-S-H and calcite microstructure. X-ray microcomputed tomography (X-ray CT) was used to quantify microstructural changes, and the results showed a decrease in shrinkage for increased calcite dosages, with a ∼50% reduction observed for a 45% wt. calcite replacement level. Crystallographic and thermal analyses measured compositional changes in the binder and confirmed that shrinkage was related to the decalcification of C-S-H. Furthermore, the addition of calcite to the C-S-H binder effectively reduced the liquid-to-solid ratio, porosity, and amount of C-S-H present in these binders. Ultimately, these results help elucidate how the carbonation risks of PLC can be mitigated by proportioning the mixture water only to the reactive component of the binder.

C-S-H↗

Microstructure Experiments-Enabled MARMOT Simulations of SiC/SiC-based Accident Tolerant Nuclear Fuel System

We have undertaken an experimental-computational project that addresses a few key technology gaps associated with the use of SiC/SiC composites for light water reactor fuel cladding. Two principal endeavors in this project are to assess the irradiation-induced microstructural changes and swelling in SiC/SiC composites, and to characterize and model the porous oxide surface layer (when exposed to steam) along SiC recession that is detrimental to the clad integrity under accident conditions. The project tasks are: (i) ion irradiation and characterization (University of Tennessee, Knoxville), (ii) mechanical tests and analysis (University of South Carolina), (iii) steam exposure tests (Oak Ridge National Laboratory), (iv) electron microscopy and spectroscopic characterization (NC State University), (v) x-ray microscopy and reconstruction (University of South Carolina and NC State University), (vi) phase field modeling and simulations (NC State University and Idaho National Laboratory). The effects of 10 MeV Au ion irradiation at 350°C on the microstructure evolution in SiC/SiC composites are investigated at doses up to 400 displacements per atom (dpa) at the University of Tennessee, Knoxville. Atomic force microscopy and optical profilometry reveal irradiation induced axial and radial shrinkage of the fibers for doses greater than 10 dpa. Based on detailed electron microscopy characterization, the primary cause of the fiber shrinkage is attributed to irradiation-induced loss of carbon packets. Additionally, the multilayer PyC interface is observed to portray high resistance to irradiation damage. The mechanical response and failure mechanisms of un-irradiated samples is also assessed through loading tests and X-ray imaging at the University of South Carolina. Steam exposure tests are performed at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory in a facility that represents a reactor pressure vessel under a loss-of-coolant-accident scenario. The samples that are analyzed methodically in this report are tested for 32/31 hours at 1200°C with a velocity of 0.25 cm/s for the pressures: 0.1 MPa, 0.45 MPa, 0.92 MPa and 1.38 MPa. Scanning/transmission electron microscopy analysis conducted at the NC State University (NCSU) shows that the oxide layer thickness increases with the steam pressure. While the oxide layer is crystalline (α- cristobalite) for the pressures 0.45 MPa, 0.92 MPa and 1.38 MPa, the layer is amorphous at 0.1 MPa. Results from Raman spectroscopy have also confirmed the formation of α-cristobalite phase of SiO₂. The abrupt increase in the integrated Raman intensity ratio between steam pressures 0.1 and 0.45 MPa suggests the onset of accelerated crystallization. Non-destructive three dimensional X-ray microscopy/tomography (XCT) and computational image processing techniques are employed by the University of South Carolina to probe the porous oxidation features on SiC samples at varying pressures. Interestingly, most pores are observed to be located away from the surface as well as the oxide-SiC interface. The average oxide layer thickness assessed from the XCT analysis is seen to be in excellent agreement with the values determined through scanning electron microscopy analysis for the highest pressures where the oxide layer is relatively more uniform. A phase-field model developed by the NC State University and Idaho National Laboratory for simulating oxidation of SiC by steam captures the paralinear kinetics of SiC oxidation with a high degree of fidelity. Results from quasi-one-dimensional and two dimensional simulations show that the pores with oxidizing species lead to a higher volatilization rate. These simulations indicate that the enhanced apparent volatilization rates at higher pressures observed in experiments can be rationalized by the increased volatilization from the pores. The project team has also successfully developed the capability to import images from experiments for realistic evolution of the oxidizing microstructure.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Dynamic Behavior of Natural Seep Vents: Analysis of Field and Laboratory Observations and Modeling (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

In this project, we have analyzed data collected by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) in a high pressure water tunnel (HPWT) and data from two research cruises to natural seeps in the Gulf of Mexico to adapt and validate a numerical model to predict the dynamics of natural seeps in the deep oceans. The HPWT data include video observations of the shrinkage rate of individual methane and natural gas bubbles under simulated deep-water conditions. Field data were collected during two cruises by the Gulf Integrated Spill Research (GISR) Consortium led by Texas A&M University and funded by the Gulf of Mexico Research Initiative (GoMRI). These data included in situ observations from a remotely operated vehicle (ROV) of gas bubbles at two natural seep sites in the Gulf and acoustic observations of the natural seep bubble flares in the ocean water column. The acoustic data were from multibeam echosounders, one mounted in a forward-looking orientation on the ROV and another mounted down-looking in the haul of the ship. All of these laboratory and field data were focused on the dynamics of natural gas bubbles at temperatures and pressures favorable for clathrate hydrate formation between the gas and water. Our analyses of this data focused on understanding the mechanisms responsible for gas bubble dissolution within the hydrate stability zone (HSZ) of the oceans. Ice-like hydrate shells may form on the bubble-water interface under these conditions, and it was unknown how this might affect the mass transfer of gas into the ocean. We were able to extract bubble shrinkage rates from the HPWT datasets. Using this data we determined that mass transfer coefficients with and without a hydrate shell match empirical values for bubbles in contaminated systems (so-called dirty bubbles contaminated by naturally occurring surfactants). We also showed that free gas, and not gas hydrate, is the dominant dissolving phase when the hydrate sub-cooling is below 11 degree Celsius (temperature difference between hydrate the hydrate formation temperature and ambient temperator) or the pressure is reducing as bubbles rise through the ocean water column. Using this mass transfer model, our numerical model of bubble dissolution matched the over 200 HPWT experiments with an average error of 10% for predicting the bubble size at the end of an experiment. From field data in the literature, we also observed that gas bubbles dissolve faster when they are initially released, following mass transfer coefficients for so-called clean-bubbles (those not yet contaminated by surfactants). Shortly after release within the HSZ, a hydrate shell forms on the bubble-water interface, and the mass transfer reduces to rates matching those of dirty bubbles. We correlated this transition time from clean to dirty bubble behavior with the initial bubble surface area and the hydrate sub-cooling. With this model for hydrate formation time and using the mass transfer coefficients deduced from the HPWT data, we validated our numerical model for predicting the rise heights of natural seep flares in the oceans. Flare heights are commonly observed in haul-mounted acoustic multibeam data. The numerical model predicts bubbles to rise high in the ocean water column owing to the slower mass transfer rates for dirty bubbles that accompany the majority of their rise time. We found that the numerical model predictions matched the observed flare heights within 5% to 10% accuracy when we compared the rise heights of the largest bubbles released from the seafloor with the bubbles acoustically visible in the multibeam data. Bubbles become acoustically transparent as they shrink to sizes of order 1 mm in diameter for the multibeam frequencies used in the field. The forward-looking multibeam on the ROV also provided data on the lateral spreading of bubbles in natural seep flares. Our analysis of this data showed that spreading follows a diffusion process, with the effective diffusivity correlating with the wobbling length scale of these ellipsoidal bubbles. When we apply this diffusivity in a random displacement model of bubble spreading, our numerical simulations match closely the lateral spread observed by the M3 in the ocean water column. Finally, we compared the seep model predictions for the acoustic properties of these natural seep plumes with that observed by the acoustic instruments in the field. The M3 and EM 302 observations were converted to relative values of target strength using a calibration we obtained in the laboratory for the M3 and using an algorithm from the manufacturer for the EM 302. Comparing the numerical seep model to these data, we obtain good agreement over the whole height of rise of these bubble flares. This further validates the numerical model. Overall, our validated seep model captures the key dynamics of gas bubbles released from natural seeps in the oceans and helps to predict the fate of methane in the water column.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Integrated Multiphysics Modeling of Environmentally Assisted Brittle Fracture

Brittle materials, such as cement, compose major portions of built infrastructure and are vulnerable to degradation and fracture from chemo-mechanical effects. Currently, methods of modeling infrastructure do not account for the presence of a reactive environment, such as water, on the acceleration of failure. Here, we have developed methodologies and models of concrete and cement fracture that account for varying material properties, such as strength, shrinkage, and fracture toughness due to degradation or hydration. The models have been incorporated into peridynamics, non-local continuum mechanics methodology, that can model intersecting and branching brittle fracture that occurs in multicomponent brittle materials, such as concrete. Through development of new peridynamic capabilities, decalcification of cement and differential shrinkage in clay-cement composites have been evaluated, along with exemplar problems in nuclear waste cannisters and wellbores. We have developed methods to simulate multiphase phenomena in cement and cement-composite materials for energy and infrastructure applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Convergent Manufacturing of Large-Scale Components for Nuclear Applications, via Additive Manufacturing and Powder Metallurgy Hot Isostatic Pressing

Powder metallurgy (PM)–hot isostatic pressing (PM-HIP) has long been recognized as a powerful route for producing fully dense, near net shape metallic components. By consolidating powders under high temperature and pressure, HIP provides isotropic properties, uniform microstructures, and scalability to complex geometries that are vital for sectors such as aerospace, energy, and nuclear power. Yet despite these advantages, the technology has remained constrained by costly trial and error canister fabrication, limitations of conventional forging, and incomplete knowledge about how the canister design influences final part properties. Additive manufacturing (AM), by contrast, thrives on design freedom and geometric flexibility but struggles with speed, scalability, and cost when applied to very large structures. The research presented in this report investigated how a convergent manufacturing approach, combining AM with PM-HIP, can merge the strengths of both technologies, leveraging AM’s flexibility for canister design and HIP’s consolidation capability to deliver reliable, large, and complex parts. The work progressed through three case studies that built on one another in scale and complexity. Small cylindrical canisters fabricated by conventional methods, laser powder bed fusion, and directed energy deposition were filled with stainless steel powders and subjected to HIP. The resulting parts demonstrated near-full density and mechanical properties on par with wrought stainless steel, showing for the first time that AM canisters can be a direct substitute for conventional ones without sacrificing quality. The next step involved a medium-scale, noncentrosymmetric T-valve, which is an enclosed, multibranch geometry that tested the limits of AM + PM-HIP integration. The T-valve achieved predictable shrinkage and uniform densification, confirming feasibility for enclosed designs. However, this study also revealed oxide inclusions and interfacial challenges at the AM + HIP boundary, underscoring the critical importance of controlling interface chemistry and employing robust, in situ strategies, such as melt pool monitoring and thermal monitoring, coupled with nondestructive evaluation techniques such as x-ray computed tomography. Finally, the effort culminated in fabricating a large-scale impeller weighing nearly 2000 lb and spanning 5 ft in diameter. Produced via multirobot wire arc AM and hot isostatic pressed to near-full density, the impeller validated industrial-scale feasibility. Predictive models closely matched experimental shrinkage, tensile properties were spatially uniform across the component, and the AM + PM-HIP interface proved mechanically sound despite the presence of oxide-decorated prior particle boundaries. This large-scale demonstration is a major milestone, showing that hybrid AM + PM‑HIP can reliably deliver components at reactor-relevant scales. Collectively, these studies charted a logical pathway: small-scale work built scientific confidence, medium-scale work highlighted opportunities and challenges, and large-scale work proved industrial impact. The overarching conclusion of this report is that AM + PM-HIP should not be seen as a replacement for forging but as a complementary pathway that provides the US with flexibility, resilience, and new options for manufacturing nuclear-grade components. Looking ahead, several directions emerge as critical to sustaining progress. Predictive modeling must become faster, more accessible, and more accurate, with digital twins and machine learning reducing reliance on trial and error. Powders and alloys must be optimized for HIP, with improved cleanliness, reduced oxides, and tailored chemistries that enhance creep, fatigue, and irradiation resistance. Interfaces between AM and HIP regions must be better engineered through coatings, machining strategies, and surface treatments to mitigate oxide formation and ensure reliable bonding to explore opportunities for HIP of targeted compositional parts, as well as multimaterial HIP cladding applications. Monitoring and nondestructive evaluation need to expand, incorporating multimodal sensors, x-ray computed tomography, and real-time data integration through platforms such as Pelican. At the same time, the pathway to industrial adoption requires techno-economic analysis, machinability studies, and qualification frameworks aligned with industry and regulatory standards. Finally, workforce and academic engagement must be strengthened. Programs that train technicians and engineers for US Navy and US Department of Energy manufacturing challenges should be paired with academic partnerships to support fundamental research, with open sharing of non-export-controlled data to accelerate innovation and build the next generation of experts. In conclusion, this report demonstrates that hybrid AM + PM-HIP is scientifically viable and strategically important. By combining the design agility of AM with the consolidation strength of HIP and embedding modeling, monitoring, and workforce development, this approach provided a transformative new capability for US manufacturing. The path forward is clear: hybrid AM + PM-HIP is not just a promising research direction but is also potentially an industrially relevant pathway that can reshape how nuclear-grade components are designed, qualified, and deployed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

PIP-II Linac Cryogenic Distribution System Design Challenges

The PIP-II linac Cryogenic Distribution System (CDS) is characterized by extremely small heat inflows and robust mechanical design. It consists of a Distribution Valve Box (DVB), Intermediate Transfer Line, Tunnel Transfer Line, comprising 25 Bayonet Cans, and ends with a Turnaround Can. Multiple helium streams, each characterized by distinct helium parameters, flow through each of these elements. The CDS geometry allows maintaining an acceptable pressure drop for each helium stream, considering the planned flows and helium parameters in different operation modes. This is particularly crucial for the return line of helium vapors, which return from cryomodules to the cold compressors and thus have very restrictive pressure drop requirements. On both sides of the DVB there are fixed supports for process pipes. One of the DVB design challenges was to route the process pipes in such a way that their shape provided sufficient compensation for thermal shrinkage. This ensures th at the forces resulting from thermal shrinkage acting on the cryogenic valves remain at a level acceptable to the manufacturer. The required thermal budget of the CDS was achieved by thermo-mechanical optimization of its components, like process pipes fixed supports in Bayonet Cans.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Regularized Differentiation for Bioburden Density Estimation in Planetary Protection

In this paper, we propose and investigate the performance of two novel shrinkage estimators for bioburden density estimation in planetary protection. The estimators are based on the regularized differentiation of a cumulative count of colony forming units collected throughout the data collecting session or the life cycle of the entire mission. The regularized differentiation recasts the problem of bioburden density estimation as a linear least squares problem. The least squares problem is then solved through regularization techniques, such as truncated singular value decomposition and penalized least squares. The regularization is necessary to avoid noise amplification during the differentiation of noisy data. The two regularization estimators are compared with four other commonly used estimators to simultaneously evaluate the means of multivariable independent Poisson distributions: the maximum likelihood, noninformative Bayes estimator with Jeffreys prior, Empirical Bayes using conjugate gamma-Poisson model with gamma parameters selected by method of moments, and the Clevenson-Zidek estimator. It is shown through computer-simulated data that the regularized differentiation based on ridge regression has the smallest mean-squared error among all estimators. The analysis of shrinkage mechanism implemented by regularized differentiation is performed, and it is shown that the regularized differentiation amounts to performing a weighted averaging of all the samples. The weights are determined by the regularization parameter automatically selected by the L-curve technique. Since the method of least squares makes no distributional assumptions about the data, it presents an attractive technique for bioburden density estimation when there are concerns about the misspecification of the distributional model. The paper concludes with the analysis of the bioburden data collected during InSight mission and directions for future work.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Short-term nodal load forecasting based on machine learning techniques

This paper introduces an advanced Short-term Nodal Load Forecasting (STNLF) method that forecasts nodal load profiles for the next day in power systems, based on the combined use of three machine learning techniques. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) is employed to reduce the number of features for a single nodal load forecasting. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is used to capture the features of historical loads in low-dimensional space compared to the original high-dimensional load space where features are barely possible to depict. Additionally, Bayesian Ridge Regression (BRR) is utilized to decide the parameters of the prediction model from a statistics perspective. Tests based on modified PJM load data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed STNLF method compared to the state-of-the-art General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) method. Moreover, the reliability of the day-ahead Unit Commitment (UC) solution is shown to have been improved, based on the forecasted load data using the proposed STNLF method.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Prediction of moisture transfer in cement-based materials: Use of a porous network model to access transfer parameters

Knowing the water transport phenomena is fundamental for understanding the durability of cement-based materials. The moisture content within cementitious materials is of primary importance because it has a direct influence on mechanical (shrinkage, creep) and chemical (penetration of aggressive agents) degradation. Many models based on the determination of the transfer properties of the material under study already exist but require fitting of the parameters to find the experimental kinetics. Transfer parameters are generally estimated from the empirical approaches developed for soils by Van Genuchten and the water vapour diffusion reduction factor is often calculated via Millington's semi-empirical model. In this paper, we make a proposal to improve the prediction of moisture transfer, through mechanisms such as drying, capillary imbibition and water vapour permeability in cement-based materials, by using a porous network model to access the transfer parameters.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effect of PCEs with different structures on hydration and properties of cementitious materials with low water-to-binder ratio

Polycarboxylate ethers (PCEs) with different structures and densities of anchor groups in the backbone were synthesized and characterized. The surface tension of their solutions, their adsorption on cementitious particles and zeta potential of cement-silica fume pastes with PCEs were measured. Their effects on hydration and properties of cement-silica fume paste with low water-to-binder ratio were examined. Results indicated that the adsorption kinetics of theses PCEs on cementitious particles are fitted the pseudo-second-order model. The introduction of long silane chain on PCE decreased its electrostatic adsorption, while PCE was adsorbed onto the surface of particles via both chemical and electrostatic adsorption, when silicon hydroxyl is directly connected to its backbone. In the presence of PCE with higher adsorbed amount, pastes exhibited lower yield stress and higher flowability, and higher strength at 7 d and 28 d. The low plastic viscosity, autogenous and drying shrinkage were related to the low surface tension of PCE solution.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

On the use of limestone calcined clay cement (LC3) in high-strength strain-hardening cement-based composites (HS-SHCC)

Highlights: • Use of LC{sup 3} slightly reduces flowability and shortens the setting time of fresh matrices. • Highly polymerized C-A-S-H gel and abundant ettringite benefit flexural strength of LC{sup 3}-matrices. • Use of LC{sup 3} enhances the bond strength between fiber and high-strength matrix. • LC{sup 3}-based HS-SHCC yields similar flexural performance as the composite with Portland cement. High-strength strain-hardening cement-based composites (HS-SHCC) demonstrate excellent mechanical and durability properties. However, high cement content typical to HS-SHCC results not only in high carbon footprint, but also in excessive hydration heat and severe autogenous shrinkage. In this investigation, Limestone Calcined Clay Cement (LC{sup 3}) was used to produce sustainable HS-SHCC. The LC{sup 3} substitution resulted in higher energy consumption during mixing and in shorter setting times of the fresh, plain matrices. Although the LC{sup 3} substitution slightly reduced the compressive strength, the formation of highly polymerized C-A-S-H gel and abundant ettringite benefited the flexural strength of the plain matrices. Additionally, single-fiber pullout experiments showed that the use of LC{sup 3} led to increased fiber-matrix bond strength and pullout energy. Finally, the replacement of Portland cement by LC{sup 3} resulted in HS-SHCC with similar mechanical performance to the reference composite, indicating a high potential for using LC{sup 3} in high-performance cement-based composites.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗