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At least 91 records · Page 5

Fuel performance analysis of fully-resolved TRISO compact

The TRi-structural ISOtropic (TRISO) fuel multilayered coating structure offers multiple barriers to fission product release, enhancing safety and performance. The heterogeneous nature of TRISO fuel compacts, comprising thousands of randomly distributed coated fuel particles embedded in a graphite matrix, creates intricate stress fields and thermal gradients that cannot be accurately modeled using simplified one-dimensional or homogenized approaches. Consequently, three-dimensional modeling enables the prediction of fuel compact dimensional changes, internal pressure buildup, and fission product transport pathways under diverse irradiation and thermal conditions. This capability facilitates detailed analysis of particle-to-particle interactions, matrix cracking mechanisms, and the statistical distribution of coating failures, which directly impact fuel performance and safety margins. This capability is particularly critical for advanced reactors, such as high-temperature gas-cooled reactors and other Generation IV reactor designs where TRISO fuel operates at elevated temperatures and burn-up levels. This work introduces a novel method to generate an optimized packing of TRISO compacts and a complete 3D mesh with random distribution of TRISO particles, which are discretized into each coating component layer.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Development of fast-running eighth core nodal solution

A fast-running, eighth-core solution technique has been developed for the quick core calculations in ANC, the Westinghouse core analysis code based on the nodal expansion method, and the BEACON{sup TM} Core Monitoring System (BEACON). This technique, referred to as 'Fast Eighth' (Fast8), enables users to obtain satisfactory macroscopic core calculation results such as reactivity, axial offset and assembly power much more quickly than calculations performed in the standard full-core or quarter-core geometry. Fast8 uses three techniques: folding the radial geometry into eighth-core geometry, reducing the axial geometry into a coarse axial mesh geometry, and smearing the spacer grids into nodes on-the-fly after the first calculation in the standard geometry. These geometry adjustments in Fast8 contribute to the reduction of the number of neutronic and material nodes while maintaining the reaction rates in each node. The axial mesh condition dependency in Fast8 is investigated in a xenon transient calculation in single assembly geometry, and the Fast8 maximum axial mesh size is determined based on these results. Fast8 is then applied to the load swing calculation, and the results are compared with the reference, full-core geometry, solution. The critical boron concentration and axial offset of Fast8 show good agreement with the reference solutions, and that Fast8 is a good technique for obtaining macroscopic core calculation results in significantly shorter time. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Historical review and proof-of-concept future method demonstration of adaptive mesh refinement in nuclear engineering for increased fidelity and computational efficiency

As the nuclear industry's use of computational tool increases, the need for increased fidelity and computational efficiency is well known. While most approaches to increased fidelity rely on applying a fine mesh over the problem domain, a more efficient method is to apply an adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) algorithm to the mesh definition. In the field of nuclear engineering, AMR has previously been used in conjunction with deterministic methods, including: S{sub N} transport methods, Lattice Boltzmann Methods, and COMSOL. The future of AMR in nuclear engineering is to couple it to a Monte Carlo code with the goal of reducing calculation time. A proof-of-concept example yielded positive results for using the gradient of the flux as a refinement criteria. The refinement criteria was varied from 0.01 to 0.10, which yielded a recommended range of 0.01 to 0.04, and the number of refinement iterations was varied from 0 to 7, with diminishing returns seen after 5 iterations. After the success of the proof-of-concept exercise, work began on creating a full program coupling MCNP6.2 and the AMR algorithm in the deal.II library. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

3D TRISO particle-explicit compact meshing

The TRI-structural ISOtropic (TRISO) layered fuel particle is a robust nuclear fuel form offering enhanced safety and performance for advanced reactor concepts, including high-temperature gas-cooled reactors and other Generation IV designs. These poppy-seed-sized particles are embedded in a graphite matrix to form fuel elements that must withstand elevated temperatures and high burn-up levels. The heterogeneous nature of these fuel elements — comprising thousands of randomly distributed TRISO particles — produces complex stress fields and thermal gradients that one- and two-dimensional models cannot accurately capture. While three-dimensional modeling has improved predictions of dimensional changes, internal pressure buildup, and fission product transport under irradiation, current approaches rely on homogenized material properties that are known to have considerable divergence from experimental observations. This work presents a methodology for optimized random packing of TRISO fuel compacts and full three-dimensional mesh generation within the BISON fuel performance code, with each particle coating layer individually discretized. The resulting mesh was demonstrated through heat conduction simulations under representative in-reactor operating conditions, showing strong agreement with expected behavior. This capability enables detailed analysis of particle-to-particle interactions, matrix cracking mechanisms, and the statistical distribution of coating layer failures — all of which directly govern fuel performance and safety margins.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Magnetic mesh generation and field line reconstruction for scrape-off layer and divertor modeling in stellarators

The design of divertor targets and baffles for optimal heat and particle exhaust from magnetically confined fusion plasmas requires a combination of fast, low-fidelity models (such as EMC3-Lite (Feng 2022 Plasma Phys. Control. Fusion 64 125012)) for scoping studies and high-fidelity ones (such as EMC3-EIRENE (Feng et al 2014 Contrib. Plasma Phys. 54 426–31)) for verification. Both of those approaches benefit from a magnetic flux tube mesh for fast interpolation and mapping of field line segments (Feng et al 2005 Phys. Plasmas 12 052505). A new automated mesh generator for unstructured quadrilateral flux tubes with adaptive refinement is presented and integrated into FLARE (Frerichs 2024 Nucl. Fusion 64 106034). For HSX with an extended first wall, it is found that several layers of flux tubes can span the entire half field period before splitting is required. This is an advantage over the traditional setup of the EMC3-EIRENE mesh where careful construction of several sub- domains is required already for the much tighter present first wall. In particular, there is no longer the need to manually construct a suitable outer boundary for the mesh. The divide and conquer paradigm with unstructured mesh layout offers a powerful alternative for fast head load approximation that is suitable for integration into optimization workflows. Further examples for W7-X and CTH demonstrate the versatile application range.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Accurate Compression of Tabulated Chemistry Models with Partition of Unity Networks

Tabulated chemistry models are widely used to simulate large-scale turbulent fires in applications including energy generation and fire safety. Tabulation via piecewise Cartesian interpolation suffers from the curse-of-dimensionality, leading to a prohibitive exponential growth in parameters and memory usage as more dimensions are considered. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have attracted attention for constructing surrogates for chemistry models due to their ability to perform high-dimensional approximation. However, due to well-known pathologies regarding the realization of suboptimal local minima during training, in practice they do not converge and provide unreliable accuracy. Partition of unity networks (POUnets) are a recently introduced family of ANNs which preserve notions of convergence while performing high-dimensional approximation, discovering a mesh-free partition of space which may be used to perform optimal polynomial approximation. In this work, we assess their performance with respect to accuracy and model complexity in reconstructing unstructured flamelet data representative of nonadiabatic pool fire models. Our results show that POUnets can provide the desirable accuracy of classical spline-based interpolants with the low memory footprint of traditional ANNs while converging faster to significantly lower errors than ANNs. For example, we observe POUnets obtaining target accuracies in two dimensions with 40 to 50 times less memory and roughly double the compression in three dimensions. We also address the practical matter of efficiently training accurate POUnets by studying convergence over key hyperparameters, the impact of partition/basis formulation, and the sensitivity to initialization.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Computational design of metamaterials with self contact

Inverse homogenization in combination with contact modeling, topology optimization and shape optimization is used to design metamaterials with optimized macroscopic response. The homogenization assumes length scale separation which allows the non-linear macroscopic behavior to be obtained by analyzing a single unit cell in a lattice structure. Self contact in the unit cell, which is modeled using a third medium contact method, is leveraged to obtain a complex homogenized response. The inverse homogenization problem is initially formulated as a topology optimization problem, where the macroscopic stress–strain behavior is tuned to our liking. However, it is well known that boundary phenomena are difficult to model in topology optimization and that interface modeling is crucial to accurately analyze contact. For that reason, the boundary representation of the topology optimized design is extracted and used as initial design in a subsequent shape optimization. The behaviors of our designs are verified by performing rigorous post-processing analyzes using conforming meshes and conventional contact formulations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Preparing an Incompressible-Flow Fluid Dynamics Code for Exascale-Class Wind Energy Simulations

The U.S. Department of Energy has identified exascale-class wind farm simulation as critical to wind energy scientific discovery. A primary objective of the ExaWind project is to build high-performance, predictive computational fluid dynamics (CFD) tools that satisfy these modeling needs. GPU accelerators will serve as the computational thoroughbreds of next-generation, exascale-class supercomputers. Here, we report on our efforts in preparing the ExaWind unstructured mesh solver, Nalu-Wind, for exascale-class machines. For computing at this scale, a simple port of the incompressible-flow algorithms to GPUs is insufficient. To achieve high performance, one needs novel algorithms that are application aware, memory efficient, and optimized for the latest-generation GPU devices. The result of our efforts are unstructured-mesh simulations of wind turbines that can effectively leverage thousands of GPUs. In particular, we demonstrate a first-of-its-kind, incompressible-flow simulation using Algebraic Multigrid solvers that strong scales to more than 4000 GPUs on the Summit supercomputer.

algebraic multigrid↗

Conservative numerical schemes with optimal dispersive wave relations: Part I. Derivation and analysis

An energy-conserving and an energy-and-enstrophy conserving numerical schemes are derived by approximating the Hamiltonian formulation of the inviscid shallow water flows based on the vorticity-divergence variables. These schemes also conserve the first-order moments such as mass and vorticity, as usual. The conservative properties of the schemes stem from the skew-symmetry and singularities of the Poisson brackets, which are carefully retained in the discrete approximations. Here, the schemes operate on unstructured orthogonal dual meshes, over bounded or unbounded domains, and they are also shown to possess the same optimal dispersive wave relations as those of the Z-grid scheme, which is a consequence of the use of the vorticity and divergence variables.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Enhanced joining strength in additive-manufactured polylactic-acid structures fused by embedded heated metallic meshes

Additively manufactured thermoplastic polymers, such as polylactic acid (PLA), hold significant promise for sustainable engineering structures, including wind turbine blades. Upscaling these structures beyond the limitations of 3D printer build volumes is a challenge; fusion joining presents a potential solution. This paper introduces a displacement-controlled resistance welding process for PLA, as an alternative to the typical force-controlled methods. Here, we investigated the bonding quality of resistance-welded and adhesive-bonded PLA beams through three-point bending and measured the surface deformations using digital image correlation. Different metal meshes (30%/0.11 mm Ni—Cu, 34%/0.07 mm Ni—Cu, and 36%/0.25 mm Co—Ni) served as heating elements. The process parameters were varied for the 34%/0.07 mm Ni—Cu mesh to identify an optimum set of parameters. Results showed that this optimized displacement-controlled welding achieved 94% of the original strength of monolithic samples. This indicates that the new welding process not only ensures high-quality bonding and fine surface finishing but also promotes sustainability, recyclability, and economic efficiency in various polymer and composite structural applications.

Additive manufacturing↗

Large-Eddy Simulation of a wind turbine using a Filtered Actuator Line Model

When dealing with multirotor devices such as quadcopters or wind farms, the cost of blade-resolved large-eddy simulation (LES) becomes prohibitive. Combining LES with a family of lower-fidelity models, called actuator line models (ALMs), has grown in popularity in the past decade. ALM replaces full blade resolution with an array of actuator points or lines parameterized by aerodynamic lift/drag polar plots along the blades. Body forces computed based on these actuator points are then projected onto the LES flow mesh, mimicking the effect of rotating blades on the flow. However, the optimal projection radius and the associated LES grid size is often too restrictive for multirotor simulations. Recently, a new tip-correction-based filtered ALM (F-ALM) was proposed by Martinez-Tossas and Meneveau (2019), which allows coarser-than-optimal grids by avoiding the associated overprediction of thrust. In this work, F-ALM is implemented into a high-order, in-house LES code to simulate National Renewable Energy Laboratory Phase VI wind turbine. It is then followed by a comparison between the baseline ALM and the newly implemented F-ALM in terms of instantaneous and time-averaged flow fields and blade loads, revealing the advantages of F-ALM in preventing the overprediction of power on coarse grids. Finally, this encourages accurate and affordable simulations of multirotor devices in the future.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Combined Dimensional and Topology Optimization of Synchronous Machine Rotors Using a Material Density Interpolation Method

This article presents a magneto-structural combined dimensional and topology optimization technique for interior permanent magnet synchronous machine (IPMSM) and wound field synchronous machine (WFSM) rotors. Dimensional changes to the permanent magnet (PM) and rotor winding location or size are accomplished by interpolating or projecting a smoothed Heaviside rectangular function representing the presence of PM material onto the IPMSM rotor design domain mesh, whereas the presence of copper material for WFSM rotor is interpolated in the same manner. A density based Solid Isotropic Material with Penalization (SIMP) topology optimization approach is then used to vary the presence of electrical steel in mesh elements to form flux barriers around the PM. The proposed method enforces a defined shape for the PM without requiring the mesh in the design domain to be deformed. Four examples are presented to demonstrate the technique: Two flat bar IPMSM, one V-shaped IPMSM, and a WFSM. Here, a comparative study is performed on one of the flat bar IPMSMs using Metamodel of Optimal Prognosis (MOP) based method.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

3D reconstruction and neural rendering for adversarial machine learning

While evasion attacks on computer vision systems have been widely studied, creating attacks that remain effective under significant changes in viewpoint continues to be challenging. Traditional approaches often rely on affine transformations of images, but these approaches degrade at larger perspective shifts and often produce unrealistic or ineffective perturbations. Recent methods use differentiable renderers to improve viewpoint robustness, but they typically depend on manually constructed 3D models. We introduce a semi-automated pipeline that generates physically printable and perspective-invariant adversarial patches using only a small set of 2D images. Our method integrates 3D reconstruction, neural rendering, adversarial patch optimization, and an object detection victim model into a unified workflow. We use 2D Gaussian Splatting for high fidelity mesh reconstruction and FlexPara for surface parameterization that produces texture maps suitable for patch editing. Together, these components form a fully differentiable pipeline in PyTorch3D that links texture modification to model outputs, enabling efficient optimization of patches that remain effective across many viewpoints. The complete process, from image capture to patch printing and physical evaluation, can be completed within a few hours. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the resulting patches through attacks on the YOLOv8 object detection model and discuss remaining challenges and opportunities for improving robustness and scalability.

Singhvi, Vivaan [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000586288221)↗

Algebraic Multigrid with Filtering: An Efficient Preconditioner for Interior Point Methods in Large-Scale Contact Mechanics Optimization

Large-scale contact mechanics simulations are crucial in many engineering fields such as structural design and manufacturing. In the frictionless case, contact can be modeled by minimizing an energy functional; however, these problems are often nonlinear, nonconvex, and increasingly difficult to solve as mesh resolution increases. In this work, we employ a Newton-based interior-point (IP) filter line-search method, an effective approach for large-scale constrained optimization. While this method converges rapidly, each iteration requires solving a large saddle-point linear system that becomes ill-conditioned as the optimization process converges, largely due to IP treatment of the contact constraints. Such ill-conditioning can hinder solver scalability and increase iteration counts with mesh refinement. Here, to address this, we introduce a novel preconditioner, algebraic multigrid with filtering (AMGF), tailored to the Schur complement of the saddle-point system. Building on the classical AMG solver, commonly used for elasticity, we augment it with a specialized subspace correction that filters near null space components introduced by contact interface constraints. Through theoretical analysis and numerical experiments on a range of linear and nonlinear contact problems, we demonstrate that the proposed solver achieves mesh independent convergence and maintains robustness against the ill-conditioning that notoriously plagues IP methods. These results indicate that AMGF makes contact mechanics simulations more tractable and broadens the applicability of Newton-based IP methods in challenging engineering scenarios. More broadly, AMGF is well suited for problems, optimization or otherwise, where solver performance is limited by a low-dimensional subspace, such as those arising from localized constraints, interface conditions, or model heterogeneities. This makes the method widely applicable beyond contact mechanics and constrained optimization.

Mathematics and Computing↗

Preparing an Incompressible-Flow Fluid Dynamics Code for Exascale-Class Wind Energy Simulations: Preprint

The US Department of Energy has identified Exascale-Class wind farm simulation tools as critical to wind energy scientific discovery. A primary objective of the Exawind project is to build high-performance, predictive Computational Fluid Dynamics tools that satisfy these modeling needs. GPU accelerators will serve as the computational thoroughbreds of next generation, Exascale-Class, platforms. Here, we report on our efforts for preparing the Exawind unstructured mesh solver, Nalu-Wind, for Exascale-Class machines. For computing at this scale, a simple port of the incompressible-flow algorithms to GPUs is not sufficient. One needs novel algorithms that are application aware, memory efficient, and optimized for latest generation GPU devices to get high-performance. The result of our efforts are unstructured mesh simulations of wind turbines that use 1/6 the compute resources of Summit supercomputer at Oak Ridge National Lab. In particular, we demonstrate a first-of-its-kind, simulation using Algebraic Multigrid solvers on over 4000 GPUs.

algebraic multigrid↗

H-AMR: A New GPU-accelerated GRMHD Code for Exascale Computing with 3D Adaptive Mesh Refinement and Local Adaptive Time Stepping

General relativistic magnetohydrodynamic (GRMHD) simulations have revolutionized our understanding of black hole accretion. Here, we present a GPU-accelerated GRMHD code H-AMR with multifaceted optimizations that, collectively, accelerate computation by 2–5 orders of magnitude for a wide range of applications. First, it introduces a spherical grid with 3D adaptive mesh refinement that operates in each of the three dimensions independently. This allows us to circumvent the Courant condition near the polar singularity, which otherwise cripples high-resolution computational performance. Second, we demonstrate that local adaptive time stepping on a logarithmic spherical-polar grid accelerates computation by a factor of ≲10 compared to traditional hierarchical time-stepping approaches. Jointly, these unique features lead to an effective speed of ~10 9 zone cycles per second per node on 5400 NVIDIA V100 GPUs (i.e., 900 nodes of the OLCF Summit supercomputer). We illustrate H-AMR's computational performance by presenting the first GRMHD simulation of a tilted thin accretion disk threaded by a toroidal magnetic field around a rapidly spinning black hole. With an effective resolution of 13,440 × 4608 × 8092 cells and a total of ≲22 billion cells and ~0.65 × 10 8 time steps, it is among the largest astrophysical simulations ever performed. We find that frame dragging by the black hole tears up the disk into two independently precessing subdisks. The innermost subdisk rotation axis intermittently aligns with the black hole spin, demonstrating for the first time that such long-sought alignment is possible in the absence of large-scale poloidal magnetic fields.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Hydrogeological assessment of CO2 containment assurance and wellbore integrity at a Gulf Coast storage site

Abstract A large-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) initiative on the Texas Gulf Coast serves as a premier demonstration of the U.S. Department of Energy’s CarbonSAFE program. Targeting deep saline formations, specifically Oligo-Miocene deltaic sequences, the project aims to establish technical and commercial viability for geologic CO2 storage within a major industrial corridor. This study provides a rigorous hydrogeological assessment to support Class VI permitting by quantifying the high degree of containment security. Utilizing a compositional reservoir simulator, we developed a suite of 27 distinct simulation cases to evaluate vertical plume dynamics near both planned injection wells and proximal legacy infrastructure. To ensure numerical accuracy near wellbores, we implemented a refined mesh strategy, determining that a 5.6 ft × 5.6 ft grid refinement offered the optimal balance between computational efficiency and descriptive precision. The modeling framework utilized a systematic sensitivity-based approach to evaluate the mechanical redundancy of the subsurface system by performing a bounding analysis of wellbore interfaces against hypothetical high-permeability microannuli. By systematically isolating competing physical drivers, including permeability, porosity, gas hysteresis, thermal gradients, salinity, and solubility trapping (quantified via Henry’s law with dynamically adjusted coefficients), this work moves beyond binary assessments to establish a nuanced hierarchy of containment factors. The results confirm that primary trapping mechanisms (e.g., gas hysteresis and solubility), combined with the site's unique geomechanical stratigraphy, significantly restrict vertical mobility and reinforce the robust containment security of the reservoir. Baseline results demonstrate substantial vertical separation between the CO2 plume and the upper confining system, ensuring robust containment. Sensitivity analysis reveals that even under highly conservative bounding scenarios—assuming theoretical 10-Darcy pathways at specific wellbore locations—the 2,900-ft thick multi-layered confining zone remains a reliable barrier. In these hypothetical upper-bound cases, peak upward fluxes of CO2 and saltwater after 15 years of injection remain localized and dissipate rapidly within the lower sections of the confining interval, leaving the integrity of the seal uncompromised. Furthermore, the study identifies that while localized wellbore pathways define theoretical upper bounds of vertical migration, the Area of Review (AoR) is primarily sensitive to regional thermal gradients and hysteresis, which can influence the AoR by over 3,000 acres in pessimistic configurations. Also, primary trapping mechanisms, specifically gas hysteresis and solubility, work in tandem with the Gulf Coast’s unique geomechanical stratigraphy to significantly restrict vertical mobility. Ductile, smectite-rich mudstones facilitate natural borehole convergence and the self-healing of potential conduits, creating a natural geomechanical bridge that effectively mitigates migration potential at both current injection points and legacy-well locations. This comprehensive modeling effort demonstrates that the integration of high-resolution wellbore simulations and regional geomechanical observations confirms the long-term storage security of the studied site, providing a physics-based foundation for industrial-scale CCS deployments. This modeling framework establishes a baseline for future research into coupled geomechanical effects, such as time-dependent borehole convergence, to further refine long-term containment projections. Acknowledgements We thank the Gulf Coast Carbon Center (GCCC) at the Bureau of Economic Geology for foundational research support. We appreciate Alex Bump for technical guidance and David Hoffman for model mesh generation. This work used TACC’s Frontera cluster for simulations and CMG Ltd. software licenses provided to UT-Austin. This material is based upon work supported by the Department of Energy under Award Number DE-FE0032338. Disclaimer This material is based upon work supported by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Fossil Energy and Carbon Management Office under the CarbonSAFE program, award Number DE-FE0032338. The views expressed herein do not necessarily represent the views of the U.S. Department of Energy or the United States Government.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Hydrogeological assessment of CO2 containment assurance and wellbore integrity at a Gulf Coast storage site

Abstract A large-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) initiative on the Texas Gulf Coast serves as a premier demonstration of the U.S. Department of Energy’s CarbonSAFE program. Targeting deep saline formations, specifically Oligo-Miocene deltaic sequences, the project aims to establish technical and commercial viability for geologic CO2 storage within a major industrial corridor. This study provides a rigorous hydrogeological assessment to support Class VI permitting by quantifying the high degree of containment security. Utilizing a compositional reservoir simulator, we developed a suite of 27 distinct simulation cases to evaluate vertical plume dynamics near both planned injection wells and proximal legacy infrastructure. To ensure numerical accuracy near wellbores, we implemented a refined mesh strategy, determining that a 5.6 ft × 5.6 ft grid refinement offered the optimal balance between computational efficiency and descriptive precision. The modeling framework utilized a systematic sensitivity-based approach to evaluate the mechanical redundancy of the subsurface system by performing a bounding analysis of wellbore interfaces against hypothetical high-permeability microannuli. By systematically isolating competing physical drivers, including permeability, porosity, gas hysteresis, thermal gradients, salinity, and solubility trapping (quantified via Henry’s law with dynamically adjusted coefficients), this work moves beyond binary assessments to establish a nuanced hierarchy of containment factors. The results confirm that primary trapping mechanisms (e.g., gas hysteresis and solubility), combined with the site's unique geomechanical stratigraphy, significantly restrict vertical mobility and reinforce the robust containment security of the reservoir. Baseline results demonstrate substantial vertical separation between the CO2 plume and the upper confining system, ensuring robust containment. Sensitivity analysis reveals that even under highly conservative bounding scenarios—assuming theoretical 10-Darcy pathways at specific wellbore locations—the 2,900-ft thick multi-layered confining zone remains a reliable barrier. In these hypothetical upper-bound cases, peak upward fluxes of CO2 and saltwater after 15 years of injection remain localized and dissipate rapidly within the lower sections of the confining interval, leaving the integrity of the seal uncompromised. Furthermore, the study identifies that while localized wellbore pathways define theoretical upper bounds of vertical migration, the Area of Review (AoR) is primarily sensitive to regional thermal gradients and hysteresis, which can influence the AoR by over 3,000 acres in pessimistic configurations. Also, primary trapping mechanisms, specifically gas hysteresis and solubility, work in tandem with the Gulf Coast’s unique geomechanical stratigraphy to significantly restrict vertical mobility. Ductile, smectite-rich mudstones facilitate natural borehole convergence and the self-healing of potential conduits, creating a natural geomechanical bridge that effectively mitigates migration potential at both current injection points and legacy-well locations. This comprehensive modeling effort demonstrates that the integration of high-resolution wellbore simulations and regional geomechanical observations confirms the long-term storage security of the studied site, providing a physics-based foundation for industrial-scale CCS deployments. This modeling framework establishes a baseline for future research into coupled geomechanical effects, such as time-dependent borehole convergence, to further refine long-term containment projections. Acknowledgements We thank the Gulf Coast Carbon Center (GCCC) at the Bureau of Economic Geology for foundational research support. We appreciate Alex Bump for technical guidance and David Hoffman for model mesh generation. This work used TACC’s Frontera cluster for simulations and CMG Ltd. software licenses provided to UT-Austin. This material is based upon work supported by the Department of Energy under Award Number DE-FE0032338. Disclaimer This material is based upon work supported by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Fossil Energy and Carbon Management Office under the CarbonSAFE program, award Number DE-FE0032338. The views expressed herein do not necessarily represent the views of the U.S. Department of Energy or the United States Government.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗