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Illinois State Geological Survey (ISGS), Illinois Basin - Decatur Project (IBDP) Seismic Data, July 7, 2021. Midwest Geological Sequestration Consortium (MGSC) Phase III Data Sets. DOE Cooperative Agreement No. DE-FC26-05NT42588.

Seismic data from the IBDP, included primarily under folders: Active_Seismic_Data and Passive_Seismic_Events_Monitoring. The data included under IBDP_Located_Microseismic_Event_Data are a subset of microseismic (Passive Seismic Events Monitoring) data acquired throughout the project from pre-injection to shut-in. These data represent the “located” microseismic events and the two datasets, located in folders Downhole_Geophone_Data and Surface_Seismometer_Data, are correlated.

3D Seismic,Carbon Sequestration,Decatur,Illinois B↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-11435-DND

Acoustical studies of atmospheric events like convective storms, shear-induced turbulence, acoustic gravity waves, microbursts, hurricanes, and clear air turbulence (CAT) over the past thirty years have established that these events are strong emitters of infrasound. Several mechanisms for the production of infrasound have been proposed, for example by the acceleration of vorticity or by space-time correlations of the turbulent Reynolds stresses (Lighthill theory). Electromagnetic (EM) sensors suffer two severe disadvantages in the detection of clear air turbulence and severe storms. The first is the inability to receive returns in clear air, where reflective targets (precipitation, particulate matter) are absent. The second disadvantage is that EM systems, being active, require scanning to locate an event, as opposed to a passive infrasonic array, which receives infrasonic radiation independently of event location. Further, EM systems, even weather radar ("NEXRAD"), do not have the extensive range (hundreds of miles) characteristic of infrasound. The leading laboratory for studies on atmospheric infrasound over the past thirty years has been the Environmental Technology Laboratory of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. This laboratory conducted measurements of infrasound from many sources, among which clear air turbulence was but a small part of the overall program. The summary of the results of this program suggests for development of a practical detection system. In other words, despite the progress made in this area, there does not exist today a National network of stations to monitor infrasound from turbulence. Under Innovative Partnership Program, Researchers at NASA Langley Research Center have been working to achieve that goal. As a first step, NASA Langley has designed and developed a portable infrasonic detection system which can be used to make useful infrasound measurements at a location where it was not possible previously. The design and results of the compact system, based upon laboratory and field experiments, will be presented.

Qamar Shams↗

The Dynamic Networks Experiments: Virtual Experiments to Quantify Gains in Nuclear Explosion Monitoring

We describe an ongoing series of virtual experiments conducted collaboratively by four United States National Laboratories: Sandia National Laboratories, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. These Dynamic Network Experiments (DNEs) provide an experimental framework to evaluate the potential impact of new research tools on nuclear explosion monitoring. The second DNE (DNE2), completed in 2024, exploited waveform data (seismic, infrasound, and electromagnetic) that was recorded by multi-modal sensors within and near the Nevada National Security Site and synthetic radionuclide signatures over multiple time periods. During the execution of DNE2, we processed and analyzed data through a multi-stage event processing pipeline that ingested raw data, performed quality control, detected signals, built events from these signals, located these events, and characterized the events’ source types and sizes. For each stage and over the entire event processing pipeline, we evaluated performance changes by comparing the performance of new data processing methods, models, and algorithms against a baseline. We also performed an additional execution phase to assess event processing pipeline function, speed, and efficiency against that of an expert analyst, including computational and manual efforts. Finally, we assessed the impact and effort of modern computing infrastructure on the monitoring pipeline. This paper describes key elements of the DNEs, from formulation through execution, as demonstrated in DNE2. The DNEs introduce several novel concepts to quantitatively measure the potential impact of new methods on explosion monitoring, including the collaborative design of multi-modal datasets, performance and logistical metrics, and integrated analyses.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Event-Based Analysis of Solar Power Distribution Feeder Using Micro-PMU Measurements

Solar distribution feeders are commonly used in solar farms that are integrated into distribution substations. In this paper, we focus on a real-world solar distribution feeder and conduct an event-based analysis by using micro-PMU measurements. The solar distribution feeder of interest is a behind-the-meter solar farm with a generation capacity of over 4 MW that has about 200 low-voltage distributed photovoltaic (PV) inverters. The event-based analysis in this study seeks to address the following practical matters. First, we conduct event detection by using an unsupervised machine learning approach. For each event, we determine the event’s source region by an impedancebased analysis, coupled with a descriptive analytic method. We segregate the events that are caused by the solar farm, i.e., locallyinduced events, versus the events that are initiated in the grid, i.e., grid-induced events, which caused a response by the solar farm. Second, for the locally-induced events, we examine the impact of solar production level and other significant parameters to make statistical conclusions. Third, for the grid-induced events, we characterize the response of the solar farm; and make comparisons with the response of an auxiliary neighboring feeder to the same events. Fourth, we scrutinize multiple specific events; such as by revealing the dynamics to the control system of the solar distribution feeder. The results and discoveries in this study are informative to utilities and solar power industry.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A Wrapper to Use a Machine-Learning-Based Algorithm for Earthquake Monitoring

Seismology is one of the main sciences used to monitor volcanic activity worldwide. Fast, efficient, and accurate seismicity detectors are crucial to assess the activity level of a volcano in near–real time and to issue timely warnings. Traditional real–time seismic processing software uses phase onset pickers followed by a phase association algorithm to declare an event and estimate its location. The pickers typically do not identify whether the detected phase is a P or S arrival, which can have a negative impact on hypocentral location quality and complicates phase association. We implemented the deep–neural–network–based method PhaseNet to identify in real time P and S seismic waves on data from one– and three–component seismometers. We tuned the Earthworm binder_ew associator module to use the phase identification from PhaseNet to detect and locate the events, which we archive in a SeisComP3 database. We assessed the performance of the algorithm by comparing the results with existing catalogs built to monitor seismic and volcanic activity in Mayotte and the Lesser Antilles region. Our algorithm, which we refer to as PhaseWorm, showed promising results in both contexts and clearly outperformed the previous automatic method implemented in Mayotte. As a result, this innovative real–time processing system is now operational for seismicity monitoring in Mayotte and Martinique.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Visualization of Traffic Accidents

Traffic accidents have tremendous impact on society. Annually approximately 6.4 million vehicle accidents are reported by police in the US and nearly half of them result in catastrophic injuries. Visualizations of traffic accidents using geographic information systems (GIS) greatly facilitate handling and analysis of traffic accidents in many aspects. Environmental Systems Research Institute (ESRI), Inc. is the world leader in GIS research and development. ArcGIS, a software package developed by ESRI, has the capabilities to display events associated with a road network, such as accident locations, and pavement quality. But when event locations related to a road network are processed, the existing algorithm used by ArcGIS does not utilize all the information related to the routes of the road network and produces erroneous visualization results of event locations. This software bug causes serious problems for applications in which accurate location information is critical for emergency responses, such as traffic accidents. This paper aims to address this problem and proposes an improved method that utilizes all relevant information of traffic accidents, namely, route number, direction, and mile post, and extracts correct event locations for accurate traffic accident visualization and analysis. The proposed method generates a new shape file for traffic accidents and displays them on top of the existing road network in ArcGIS. Visualization of traffic accidents along Hampton Roads Bridge Tunnel is included to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Wang, Jie↗

Small Seismic Events in Oklahoma Detected and Located by Machine Learning–Based Models

A complete earthquake catalog is essential to understand earthquake nucleation and fault stress. Following the Gutenberg–Richter law, smaller, unseen seismic events dominate the earthquake catalog and are invaluable for revealing the fault state. The published earthquake catalogs, however, typically miss a significant number of small earthquakes. Part of the reason is due to a limitation of conventional algorithms, which can hardly extract small signals from background noise in a reliable and efficient way. To address this challenge, we utilized a machine learning method and developed new models to detect and locate seismic events. These models are efficient in processing a large amount of seismic data and extracting small seismic events. We applied our method to seismic data in Oklahoma, United States, and detected ~14 times more earthquakes compared with the standard Oklahoma Geological Survey catalog. The rich information contained in the new catalog helps better understand the induced earthquakes in Oklahoma.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

On the origin of multiply-impulsive emission from solar flares

A set of solar hard X-ray bursts observed with the hard X-ray burst spectrometer on board the OSO-5 satellite was analyzed. The multiply-impulsive two stage events were selected on the basis of both morphological characteristics and association with appropriate phenomena at other wavelengths. Coincident radio, soft X-ray, H-alpha interplanetary particle, and magnetographic data were obtained from several observatories, to aid in developing a comprehensive picture of the physical processes underlying these complex bursts. Two classes of multiply impulsive bursts were identified: events whose components spikes apparently originate in one location, and events in which groups of spikes appear to come from separate regions which flare sequentially. The origin of multiplicity in the case of a single source region remains unidentified. Purely impulsive emissions show no sign of betatron acceleration, thus eliminating this mechanisn as a candidate for inducing multiply spiked structure. The majority of the two stage bursts, however, exhibited spectral behavior consistent with the betatron model, for the first few minutes of the second stage. Betatron acceleration thus has been identified as a common second stage phenomenon.

Karpen, J. T.↗

Magnetic location of C IV events in the quiet network

Ultraviolet Spectrograph and Polarimeter (UVSP) observations of C IV intensity in the quiet sun were examined and compared to magnetograms and He I 10830 A spectroheliograms from Kitt Peak National Laboratory. The observations were made between 3 and 9 April, 1985. Spatially rastered UVSP intensity measurements were obtained at 11 wavelength positions in the 1548 A line of C IV. It was concluded that the stochastic process whereby convective shuffling of loop footprints leads to many topically dissipative events in active regions and the larger bipoles treated here continues to operate in regions of fewer, weaker flux loops, but the resulting events above threshold are less frequent.

Porter, Jason G.↗

Effect of volcanic emissions on clouds during the 2008 and 2018 Kilauea degassing events

Volcanic eruptions in otherwise clean environments are “natural experiments” wherein the effects of aerosol emissions on clouds and climate can be partitioned from meteorological variability and anthropogenic activities. In this work, we combined satellite retrievals, reanalysis products, and atmospheric modeling to analyze the mechanisms of aerosol–cloud interactions during two degassing events at the Kilauea volcano in 2008 and 2018. The eruptive nature of the 2008 and 2018 degassing events was distinct from long-term volcanic activity for Kilauea. Although previous studies assessed the modulation of cloud properties from the 2008 event, this is the first time such an analysis has been reported for the 2018 event and that multiple degassing events have been analyzed and compared at this location. Both events resulted in significant changes in cloud effective radius and cloud droplet number concentration that were decoupled from local meteorology and in line with an enhanced cloud albedo. However, it is likely that the effects of volcanic emissions on liquid water path and cloud fraction were largely offset by meteorological variability. Comparison of cloud anomalies between the two events suggested a threshold response of aerosol–cloud interactions to overcome meteorological effects, largely controlled by aerosol loading. In both events, the ingestion of aerosols within convective parcels enhanced the detrainment of condensate in the upper troposphere, resulting in deeper clouds than observed under pristine conditions. Accounting for ice nucleation on ash particles led to enhanced ice crystal concentrations at cirrus levels and a slight decrease in ice water content, improving the correlation of the model results with the satellite retrievals. Overall, aerosol loading, plume characteristics, and meteorology contributed to changes in cloud properties during the Kilauea degassing events.

Katherine H. Breen↗

Monitoring Seismic Velocity Changes Across the San Jacinto Fault Using Train‐Generated Seismic Tremors

Abstract Microseismic noise has been used for seismic velocity monitoring. However, such signals are dominated by low‐frequency surface waves that are not ideal for detecting changes associated with small tectonic processes. Here we show that it is possible to extract stable, high‐frequency body waves using seismic tremors generated by freight trains. Such body waves allow us to focus on small velocity perturbations in the crust with high spatial resolution. We report on 10 years of seismic velocity temporal changes at the San Jacinto Fault. We observe and map a two‐month‐long episode of velocity changes with complex spatial distribution and interpret the velocity perturbation as produced by a previously undocumented slow‐slip event. We verify the hypothesis through numerical simulations and locate this event along a fault segment believed to be locked. Such a slow‐slip event stresses its surroundings and may trigger a major earthquake on a fault section approaching failure.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Unsupervised learning from three-component accelerometer data to monitor the spatiotemporal evolution of meso-scale hydraulic fractures

Enhanced geothermal systems can provide a substantial share of the global energy demand. There exist several hurdles in the engineering implementations of such geothermal systems. One such hurdle is the accurate monitoring of the fracture networks created in subsurface through hydraulic stimulation of these systems. Micro seismicity associated with the stimulation is the primary means to locate the event hypocenters for estimating the stimulated rock volume. Existing methods for location the hypocenters are restricted to only the highest amplitude impulsive signals that are simultaneously detected on several sensors. Consequently, a large portion (usually ~99%) of the measurements are left unused. In this paper, an unsupervised manifold-approximation followed by clustering of 3-component accelerometer data is used to analyze the seismicity recorded on a monitoring well. With this method, a larger portion of the measured signal is used for the monitoring of the hydraulic fracture network. We analyze the EGS Collab experiment 1 microseismic data, recorded at the Sanford Underground Research Facility, South Dakota. Using the data from a single three-component accelerometer, the polarization features viz. Azimuth, incidence, rectilinearity, and planarity are used as inputs for the unsupervised manifold approximation followed by clustering. Our study shows that density-based clusters in the projected 3D space correspond to distinct types of hydraulically fractured zones around the injection point. Finally, we show that the temporal evolution of these clusters can be used to track fracture creation and propagation.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

C-Coupon Studies of SiC/SiC Composites: Acoustic Emission Monitoring - Part 1

Modal acoustic emission (AE) was used to monitor the acoustic activity during room temperature and elevated temperature c-coupon tests for a variety of SiC/SiC systems including composites containing Sylramic (trademark), ZMI (trademark), or Hi-Nicalon (trademark) fibers with melt-infiltrated or polymer-infiltrated SiC matrices. Modal AE proved excellent at monitoring matrix cracking in the curved portion of the C-coupon specimen with increasing load. This included the load at which the first AE event occurred and the location of AE events during the test that were, presumably, caused by the formation and growth of interlaminar cracks and, at higher loads, transverse cracks. Graphical techniques were employed to estimate the load for first AE. It was determined that for this test with these material systems, the first AE could be estimated within the load range bounded by the load at which initial deviation from linearity of the load-displacement curve occurs and the load where the 98% offset of the linear regression fit intercepted the load-displacement curve. The calculation of interlaminar tensile (ILT) stress from the load for first AE was determined for all the systems. Ultimate ILT strength usually corresponded to ILT stress determined from the ultimate load to failure of the C-coupon test, which was considerably higher than the first cracking stress.

Morscher, Gregory N.↗

Photographic Analysis Technique for Assessing External Tank Foam Loss Events

A video camera and recorder were placed inside the solid rocket booster forward skirt in order to view foam loss events over an area on the external tank (ET) intertank surface. In this Technical Memorandum, a method of processing video images to allow rapid detection of permanent changes indicative of foam loss events on the ET surface was defined and applied to accurately count, categorize, and locate such events.

Rieckhoff, T. J.↗

Magnetospheric observation of large sub-auroral electric fields

An example of large subauroral poleward electric fields similar to those observed on OGO-6, S3-2 and AE-C (SAID) has been found in the magnetosphere near L = 4 and 2300 MLT using ISEE-1 electric field data. The event is located adjacent to and outside the plasmapause and occurs 1 1/2 hours into a substorm. The event is accompaned by a significant penetration of the convection electric field inside the plasmasphere. Data from similar regions on the next orbit occurring near the beginning of a substorm did not exhibit these effects. Recent theoretical models predict SAID to occur in the trough regions, where substorm dynamics force currents to flow in regions of low conductivity. These models provide a first-order interpretation of this phenomena; however, the overal picture is more complex.

Maynard, N. C.↗

Preliminary Transfer Learning Results on Israel Data

In this preliminary report, we use publicly available data recorded in Israel to test and expand upon existing machine learning models for seismic-phase detection and arrival-time measurement. We downloaded 3-years of waveform data from Geofon, and cross referenced the waveforms to Israel bulletin picks (Schardong et al., 2021). The initial results using existing models directly generated ubiquitous false detections and that obscured detections of signals that are clearly visible in the waveforms. However, after applying transfer learning (tuning parameters in the existing ML models using one year of the Israel-network data), the results are encouraging, i.e. ML picks agree within a few tenths of a second with bulletin picks and the number of false detections is greatly reduced. The bulletin picks are a good starting point, but they cannot be considered ground-truth. To test potential improvement in picking using ML we would like to relocate the events using the ML picks to see if the events cluster more tightly at known mine locations. However, in order to constrain event locations, we need ML picks for the whole Israeli-Jordanian network, which requires waveforms that are not publicly available.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Report on the LLNL Global Seismic Waveform Tomography Modeling Project

Earth models have important applications for seismic event monitoring including the location and characterization of potential underground nuclear tests. Seismic waves generated by earthquakes and man-made events are altered by variations in Earth’s subsurface properties; and these distortions effect the arrival times of energy packets (phases) and obscure the characteristics of the original energy source (event mechanism). Three-dimensional models of Earth’s seismic properties can help explain and predict the distortions to the seismic wavefield and reveal the properties of a source that generated the waves, including the event location using the model-predicted timing of the phases and source mechanism using the modelpredicted waveform characteristics.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗