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Life Cycle Cost Analysis of Shuttle-Derived Launch Vehicles, Volume 1

The design, performance, and programmatic definition of shuttle derived launch vehicles (SDLV) established by two different contractors were assessed and the relative life cycle costs of space transportation systems using the shuttle alone were compared with costs for a mix of shuttles and SDLV's. The ground rules and assumptions used in the evaluation are summarized and the work breakdown structure is included. Approaches used in deriving SDLV costs, including calibration factors and historical data are described. Both SDLV cost estimates and SDLV/STS cost comparisons are summarized. Standard formats are used to report comprehensive SDLV life cycle estimates. Hardware cost estimates (below subsystem level) obtained using the RCA PRICE 84 cost model are included along with other supporting data.

Source record

Scaleup and Site-Specific Engineering Design for Global Thermostat Direct Air Capture Technology

The overall goal of the project is completion of an initial design of a commercial-scale, Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage Direct Air Capture (CCUS-DAC) plant design at three different sites that captures a net of at least 100,000 tonnes per year (TPY) carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) from the atmosphere and considers compression and conditioning of the captured CO 2 for purpose of pipeline transportation to different geological formation sites for deep well injection and underground storage. In addition to the leading system consisting of a scaled-up Global Thermostat DAC unit, overall plant design includes a combined Heat and Power (CHP) unit integrated with a conventional liquid amine-based carbon capture system (90% capture) and compression facilities. These are considered balance of plant (BOP) systems and are required to provide low carbon-intensity steam and power to the DAC process. A second approach involving provision of DAC units modified to directly capture emissions from the CHP unit was initially assessed as an alternative and it was determined to be less mature than considered approach and not included in the scaled-up plant design efforts. Three geographically diverse continental United States locations were selected to better understand the effect of local/regional ambient conditions on scaled-up DAC system performance and project costs: Bucks, Alabama (hot wet climate), Odessa, Texas (dry hot climate), and Goose Creek, Illinois (mid continental climate). The team focused on initial engineering design activities, including the development of project design criteria, initiation of site-specific studies and investigations, completion of DAC system process and equipment design, and definition of balance of plant (BOP) engineering. The purpose of the activities were to develop Technoeconomic Analysis (TEA), Life-Cycle Analysis (LCA), and Environmental, Health, and Safety (EH&S) analysis, and Business Case Analysis (BCA) to validate that the project engineering and scale-up plans of the DAC systems, at each of the three distinct case studies considered, are technically, economically, and environmentally feasible for commercial-scale operation.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS

Ammonium Looping with Membrane Absorber and Distributed Stripper for Enhanced Algae Growth

The objective of this project is to conduct a comprehensive investigation to develop and demonstrate a practical, reliable, and cost-effective integrated carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) capture and biofixation process for algae production. This process utilizes a chemical hindered ammonium solution (NH 4 OH) as both a capture reagent and an algae nutrient. The membrane absorber employed in the system ensured minimal ammonia (NH 3 ) emissions in the treated flue gas. Additionally, distributed solar-energy powered strippers located near the bioreactor modules facilitate solvent regeneration and enable just-in-time delivery of CO 2 and NH 3 to the algae, thereby minimizing the pH swing for enhanced productivity. The proposed membrane CO 2 absorber and solar-powered stripper is designed and seamlessly integrated with the existing 0.1 MWth bench-scale CO 2 capture system (CCS) and open raceway ponds (ORPs) at the University of Kentucky Center for Applied Energy (UK CAER) campus. The entire integrated process has undergone construction, operation, testing, and analysis. Furthermore, technology has been evaluated with a techno-economic analysis (TEA), technology gap analysis (TGA), life-cycle analysis (LCA), and a technology maturation plan (TMP). This project was performed within two budget periods, 54 months in duration. There are fourteen Project Tasks, twelve Milestones and four Success Criteria.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Natural Gas LCA

This presentation was provided via a pre-recorded presentation at the 2025 Coordinating Research Council Life Cycle Analysis of Transportation Workshop at Argonne National Laboratory on October 9, 2025. The presentation provides an overview of the methods and data sources used in the report, Life Cycle Analysis of Natural Gas Extraction and Power Generation: U.S. 2020 Emissions Profile and briefly discusses discrepancies between top-down and bottom-up inventory methods and how those might be overcome.

LCA

Altair Lander Life Support: Design Analysis Cycles 4 and 5

Life support systems are a critical part of human exploration beyond low earth orbit. NASA s Altair Lunar Lander team is pursuing efficient solutions to the technical challenges of human spaceflight. Life support design efforts up through Design Analysis Cycle (DAC) 4 focused on finding lightweight and reliable solutions for the Sortie and Outpost missions within the Constellation Program. In DAC-4 and later follow on work, changes were made to add functionality for new requirements accepted by the Altair project, and to update the design as knowledge about certain issues or hardware matured. In DAC-5, the Altair project began to consider mission architectures outside the Constellation baseline. Selecting the optimal life support system design is very sensitive to mission duration. When the mission goals and architecture change several trade studies must be conducted to determine the appropriate design. Finally, several areas of work developed through the Altair project may be applicable to other vehicle concepts for microgravity missions. Maturing the Altair life support system related analysis, design, and requirements can provide important information for developers of a wide range of other human vehicles.

Anderson, Molly

Altair Lander Life Support: Design Analysis Cycles 4 and 5

Life support systems are a critical part of human exploration beyond low earth orbit. NASA s Altair Lunar Lander team is pursuing efficient solutions to the technical challenges of human spaceflight. Life support design efforts up through Design Analysis Cycle (DAC) 4 focused on finding lightweight and reliable solutions for the Sortie and Outpost missions within the Constellation Program. In DAC-4 and later follow on work, changes were made to add functionality for new requirements accepted by the Altair project, and to update the design as knowledge about certain issues or hardware matured. In DAC-5, the Altair project began to consider mission architectures outside the Constellation baseline. Selecting the optimal life support system design is very sensitive to mission duration. When the mission goals and architecture change several trade studies must be conducted to determine the appropriate design. Finally, several areas of work developed through the Altair project may be applicable to other vehicle concepts for microgravity missions. Maturing the Altair life support system related analysis, design, and requirements can provide important information for developers of a wide range of other human vehicles.

Anderson, Molly

Altair Lander Life Support: Requirements Analysis Cycles 1 and 2

Life support systems are a critical part of human exploration beyond low earth orbit. NASA's Altair Lunar Lander has unique missions to perform and will need a unique life support system to complete them. Initial work demonstrated a feasible minimally -functional Lander design. This work was completed in Design Analysis Cycles (DAC) 1, 2, and 3 were reported in a previous paper'. On October 21, 2008, the Altair project completed the Mission Concept Review (MCR), moving the project into Phase A. In Phase A activities, the project is preparing for the System Requirements Review (SRR). Altair has conducted two Requirements Analysis Cycles (RACs) to begin this work. During this time, the life support team must examine the Altair mission concepts, Constellation Program level requirements, and interfaces with other vehicles and spacesuits to derive the right set of requirements for the new vehicle. The minimum functionality design meets some of these requirements already and can be easily adapted to meet others. But Altair must identify which will be more costly in mass, power, or other resources to meet. These especially costly requirements must be analyzed carefully to be sure they are truly necessary, and are the best way of explaining and meeting the true need. If they are necessary and clear, they become important mass threats to track at the vehicle level. If they are not clear or do not seem necessary to all stakeholders, Altair must work to redefine them or push back on the requirements writers. Additionally, the life support team is evaluating new technologies to see if they are more effective than the existing baseline design at performing necessary functions in Altair's life support system.

Anderson, Molly

Altair Lander Life Support: Requirement Analysis Cycles 1 and 2

Life support systems are a critical part of human exploration beyond low earth orbit. NASA s Altair Lunar Lander has unique missions to perform and will need a unique life support system to complete them. Initial work demonstrated a feasible minimally-functional Lander design. This work was completed in Design Analysis Cycles (DAC) 1, 2, and 3 were reported in a previous paper. On October 21, 2008, the Altair project completed the Mission Concept Review (MCR), moving the project into Phase A. In Phase A activities, the project is preparing for the System Requirements Review (SRR). Altair has conducted two Requirements Analysis Cycles (RACs) to begin this work. During this time, the life support team must examine the Altair mission concepts, Constellation Program level requirements, and interfaces with other vehicles and spacesuits to derive the right set of requirements for the new vehicle. The minimum functionality design meets some of these requirements already and can be easily adapted to meet others. But Altair must identify which will be more costly in mass, power, or other resources to meet. These especially costly requirements must be analyzed carefully to be sure they are truly necessary, and are the best way of explaining and meeting the true need. If they are necessary and clear, they become important mass threats to track at the vehicle level. If they are not clear or do not seem necessary to all stakeholders, Altair must work to redefine them or push back on the requirements writers. Additionally, the life support team is evaluating new technologies to see if they are more effective than the existing baseline design at performing necessary functions in Altair s life support system.

Anderson, Molly

System-of-Systems Technology-Portfolio-Analysis Tool

Advanced Technology Life-cycle Analysis System (ATLAS) is a system-of-systems technology-portfolio-analysis software tool. ATLAS affords capabilities to (1) compare estimates of the mass and cost of an engineering system based on competing technological concepts; (2) estimate life-cycle costs of an outer-space-exploration architecture for a specified technology portfolio; (3) collect data on state-of-the-art and forecasted technology performance, and on operations and programs; and (4) calculate an index of the relative programmatic value of a technology portfolio. ATLAS facilitates analysis by providing a library of analytical spreadsheet models for a variety of systems. A single analyst can assemble a representation of a system of systems from the models and build a technology portfolio. Each system model estimates mass, and life-cycle costs are estimated by a common set of cost models. Other components of ATLAS include graphical-user-interface (GUI) software, algorithms for calculating the aforementioned index, a technology database, a report generator, and a form generator for creating the GUI for the system models. At the time of this reporting, ATLAS is a prototype, embodied in Microsoft Excel and several thousand lines of Visual Basic for Applications that run on both Windows and Macintosh computers.

O'Neil, Daniel

Comparative Technoeconomic Analysis and Life Cycle Assessment of Emerging Reactive Carbon Capture-to-Methanol Pathways

Our group recently developed dual-function materials (DFMs) and reactive carbon capture (RCC) processes for the selective production of methanol (MeOH) or CO, offering two novel and unique pathways for MeOH production. This study conducted a comparative techno-economic analysis (TEA) of the two RCC pathways from exhaust CO 2 : 1) a “Direct RCC-to-MeOH” pathway and 2) an “Indirect RCC-to-CO” pathway followed by MeOH synthesis. The “Direct RCC-to-MeOH” pathway produced a lower levelized cost of MeOH (LCOM) at $\$$0.78/kg, compared to $\$$0.84/kg for the “Indirect RCC-to-CO” pathway. The key difference is the need to recompress the syngas from RCC before MeOH synthesis in “Indirect RCC-to-CO.” Nonetheless, with reduced catalyst costs and hydrogen requirements for “RCC-to-CO,” this pathway merits further study to produce syngas rather than MeOH. Both pathways are comparable in LCOM to baseline e-MeOH production from CO 2 hydrogenation ($\$$0.72/kg) while having lower carbon intensities (0.45 and 0.51 kg-CO 2 e/kg vs 0.54 kg-CO 2 e/kg).

08 HYDROGEN

Constellation Program Life-cycle Cost Analysis Model (LCAM)

The Constellation Program (CxP) is NASA's effort to replace the Space Shuttle, return humans to the moon, and prepare for a human mission to Mars. The major elements of the Constellation Lunar sortie design reference mission architecture are shown. Unlike the Apollo Program of the 1960's, affordability is a major concern of United States policy makers and NASA management. To measure Constellation affordability, a total ownership cost life-cycle parametric cost estimating capability is required. This capability is being developed by the Constellation Systems Engineering and Integration (SE&I) Directorate, and is called the Lifecycle Cost Analysis Model (LCAM). The requirements for LCAM are based on the need to have a parametric estimating capability in order to do top-level program analysis, evaluate design alternatives, and explore options for future systems. By estimating the total cost of ownership within the context of the planned Constellation budget, LCAM can provide Program and NASA management with the cost data necessary to identify the most affordable alternatives. LCAM is also a key component of the Integrated Program Model (IPM), an SE&I developed capability that combines parametric sizing tools with cost, schedule, and risk models to perform program analysis. LCAM is used in the generation of cost estimates for system level trades and analyses. It draws upon the legacy of previous architecture level cost models, such as the Exploration Systems Mission Directorate (ESMD) Architecture Cost Model (ARCOM) developed for Simulation Based Acquisition (SBA), and ATLAS. LCAM is used to support requirements and design trade studies by calculating changes in cost relative to a baseline option cost. Estimated costs are generally low fidelity to accommodate available input data and available cost estimating relationships (CERs). LCAM is capable of interfacing with the Integrated Program Model to provide the cost estimating capability for that suite of tools.

Prince, Andy

Techno-Economic Analysis and Life Cycle Assessment for the Separation of 2,3-Butanediol from Fermentation Broth Using Liquid–Liquid Extraction

It is energy-intensive to separate dilute 2,3-butanediol (2,3-BDO) (<10 wt %) from the aqueous phase of fermentation broth for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) using conventional distillation. Liquid–liquid extraction (LLE) using oleyl alcohol as a solvent in a membrane extractor to extract BDO from water can significantly reduce the energy cost and minimize the potential emulsion. In an Aspen Plus model simulation, 95.2% BDO recovery and 97.1% BDO purity have been achieved using this LLE method with solvent recovery and heat integration. Here, the thermal energy cost was estimated to be 4.57 MJ/kg BDO, which is only about 16.8% of the lower heating value (LHV) of the BDO. This method consumes 81% less energy than the cascade distillation and reduces about $0.46/GGE (gasoline gallon equivalent) to the minimal fuel selling price. Meanwhile, the greenhouse gas (GHG) emission is 62% lower than petroleum-based jet fuel production and 34% less than using the cascade distillation.

09 BIOMASS FUELS

The Effect of Drive Signal Limiting on High Cycle Fatigue Life Analysis

It is common practice to assume a Gaussian distribution of both the input acceleration and the response when modeling random vibration tests. In the laboratory, however, shaker controllers often limit the drive signal to prevent high amplitude peaks. The high amplitudes may either be truncated at a given level (socalled brick wall limiting or abrupt clipping), or compressed (soft limiting), resulting in drive signals which are no longer Gaussian. The paper first introduces several methods for limiting a drive signal, including brick wall limiting and compression. The limited signal is then passed through a linear time-invariant system representing a device under test. High cycle fatigue life predictions are subsequently made using spectral fatigue and rainflow cycle counting schemes. The life predictions are compared with those obtained from unclipped input signals. Some guidelines are provided to help the test engineer decide how clipping should be applied under different test scenarios.

Kihm, Frederic

Techno-Economic Analysis and Life Cycle Assessment of the Production of Biodegradable Polyaliphatic–Polyaromatic Polyesters

Poly(butylene-adipate terephthalate) (PBAT) is a polyaliphatic–polyaromatic polyester that is biodegradable and has found application in several markets, making it a widely produced biodegradable polymer worldwide. However, the production of PBAT is carbon-intensive, as it relies on the use of petroleum-based monomers. There is, thus, significant interest in identifying polyesters that are biodegradable and less carbon-intensive (e.g., use of biomass- derived monomers). In this work, we develop a detailed process model (and an associated database) for the production of polyaliphatic–polyaromatic polyesters including petroleum-based PBAT and biomass-derived alternatives including poly(pentylene- adipate terephthalate) and poly(pentylene-adipate furandicarboxy- late). Techno-economic analysis (TEA) reveals that the production costs of these polyesters strongly depend on monomer costs (accounting for over 90% of the total production cost) and identifies market conditions under which biomass-based polyesters can be cost-competitive to petroleum-based PBAT. Life cycle assessment (LCA) shows that biomass-derived polyesters can reduce the global warming impact of PBAT by half. Altogether, the proposed TEA/LCA model aims to provide guidance into polyesters that are most promising and help assess their overall economic and environmental performance.

42 ENGINEERING

Technoeconomic and life cycle energy analysis of carbon fiber manufactured from coal via a novel solvent extraction process

Coal is a versatile energy resource and was a driver of the industrial revolution that transformed the economies of Europe and North America and the trajectory of civilization. In this work, a technoeconomic analysis was performed for a coal-to-carbon-fiber manufacture process developed at the University of Kentucky’s Center for Applied Energy Research. According to this process, coal, with decant oil as the solvent, was converted to mesophase pitch via solvent extraction, and the mesophase pitch was subsequently converted to carbon fiber. The total cost to produce carbon fibers from coal and decant oil via the solvent extraction process was estimated to be $\$$11.50/kg for 50,000-tow pitch carbon fiber with a production volume of 3750 MT/year. The estimated carbon fiber cost was significantly lower than the current commercially available PAN-based carbon fiber price ($\$$20–$\$$30/kg). With decant oil recycling rates of 50% and 70% in the solvent extraction process, the manufacturing cost of carbon fiber was estimated to be $\$$9.90/kg and $\$$9.50/kg of carbon fiber, respectively. A cradle-to-gate energy assessment revealed that carbon fiber derived from coal exhibited an embodied energy of 510 MJ/kg, significantly lower than that of conventionally produced carbon fiber from PAN. This notable difference is primarily attributed to the substantially higher conversion rate of coal-based mesophase pitch fibers into carbon fiber, surpassing PAN fibers by 1.6 times. These findings indicate that using coal for carbon fiber production through solvent extraction methods could offer a more energy-efficient and cost-competitive alternative to the traditional PAN based approach.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT

Unpacking Modeling Analysis for the Circular Economy

This session will cover: (1) How models simulate material recovery, recycling, product life cycles and waste management. (2) Using life cycle analysis (LCA) to measure environmental impacts across product life cycles and guide decision-making. (3) Optimizing resource use, reducing energy consumption and minimizing waste in recycling systems. (4) Evaluating EPR and other interventions through scenario analysis to make informed decisions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY