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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 91 records · Page 5
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

A Bayesian Multi-fidelity Neural Network to Predict Nonlinear Frequency Backbone Curves

The use of structural mechanics models during the design process often leads to the development of models of varying fidelity. Often low-fidelity models are efficient to simulate but lack accuracy, while the high-fidelity counterparts are accurate with less efficiency. Here, this paper presents a multi-fidelity surrogate modeling approach that combines the accuracy of a high-fidelity finite element model with the efficiency of a low-fidelity model to train an even faster surrogate model that parameterizes the design space of interest. The objective of these models is to predict the nonlinear frequency backbone curves of the Tribomechadynamics Research Challenge benchmark structure which exhibits simultaneous nonlinearities from frictional contact and geometric nonlinearity. The surrogate model consists of an ensemble of neural networks that learn the mapping between low and high-fidelity data through nonlinear transformations. Bayesian neural networks are used to assess the surrogate model's uncertainty. Once trained, the multi-fidelity neural network is used to perform sensitivity analysis to assess the influence of the design parameters on the predicted backbone curves. Additionally, Bayesian calibration is performed to update the input parameter distributions to correlate the model parameters to the collection of experimentally measured backbone curves.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

The SPT-3G+ Experiment on the South Pole Telescope

Observations of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) offer an unparalleled opportunity to advance our understanding of fundamental physics. SPT-3G+ is an upgraded receiver for the arcminute-resolution South Pole Telescope (SPT) that plans to deploy in late 2028. SPT-3G+ will increase the CMB mapping speed of SPT by nearly an order of magnitude over the currently installed SPT-3G receiver. SPT-3G+ will have ~24,000 transition-edge sensor (TES) bolometers in two frequency bands with center frequencies at 95 GHz and 150 GHz that will be read out with microwave multiplexing. SPT-3G+ will measure the CMB lensing spectrum and galaxy clusters to constrain the growth of structure, dark matter, and dark energy. SPT-3G+ will also reach critical thresholds on inflationary constraints by combining data with BICEP/Keck, forming the South Pole Observatory (SPO). BICEP/Keck has deep degree-angular scale measurements but is currently delensing-limited, while SPT-3G+ will provide deep lensing measurements. Forecasts show that SPO will reach an uncertainty on the tensor-to-scalar ratio $r$ of $\sigma(r) \sim 1.2\times 10^{-3}$ by 2034. A detection at these levels would provide evidence of inflation and probe new physics at grand unified theory energy scales, while no detection would exclude large classes of models and shift the scientific paradigm describing the early universe. I will give an overview of SPT-3G+ including its design and current status.

Simon, Sara M. [Fermilab] (ORCID:0009000006683584)↗
DOE OSTI2024

A theory of phonon-induced friction on molecular adsorbates

In this manuscript, we provide a general theory for how surface phonons couple to molecular adsorbates. Our theory maps the extended dynamics of a surface’s atomic vibrational motions to a generalized Langevin equation, and by doing so captures these dynamics in a single quantity: the non-Markovian friction. The different frequency components of this friction are the phonon modes of the surface slab weighted by their coupling to the adsorbate degrees of freedom. Using this formalism, we demonstrate that physisorbed species couple primarily to acoustic phonons while chemisorbed species couple to dispersionless local vibrations. We subsequently derive equations for phonon-adjusted reaction rates using transition state theory and demonstrate that these corrections improve agreement with experimental results for CO desorption rates from Pt(111).

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Measurement of the Largest-scale CMB E -mode Polarization with CLASS

We present measurements of large-scale cosmic microwave background E-mode polarization from the Cosmology Large Angular Scale Surveyor 90 GHz data. Using 115 det-yr of observations collected through 2024 with a variable-delay polarization modulator, we achieved a polarization sensitivity of 82 μK arcimin, comparable to Planck at similar frequencies (100 and 143 GHz ). The analysis demonstrates effective mitigation of systematic errors and addresses challenges to large-angular-scale power recovery posed by time-domain filtering in maximum-likelihood map-making. A novel implementation of the pixel-space transfer matrix is introduced, which enables efficient filtering simulations and bias correction in the power spectrum using the quadratic cross-spectrum estimator. Overall, we achieved an unbiased time-domain filtering correction to recover the largest angular scale polarization, with the only power deficit, arising from map-making nonlinearity, being characterized as <3%. Through cross-correlation with Planck, we detected the cosmic reionization at 99.4% significance and measured the reionization optical depth τ = $0.053^{+0.018}_{-0.019}$, marking the first ground-based attempt at such a measurement. At intermediate angular scales (ℓ > 30), our results, both independently and in cross-correlation with Planck, remain fully consistent with Planck’s measurements.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Phase-resolving spin-wave microscopy using infrared strobe light

The need for sensitively and reliably probing magnetization dynamics has been increasing in various contexts such as studying novel hybrid magnonic systems, in which the spin dynamics strongly and coherently couple to other excitations, including microwave photons, light photons, or phonons. Recent advances in quantum magnonics also highlight the need for employing the magnon phase as quantum state variable, which is to be detected and mapped out with high precision in on-chip micro- and nanoscale magnonic devices. Here, in this study, we demonstrate a facile optical technique that can directly perform concurrent spectroscopic and imaging functionalities with spatial and phase resolutions, using infrared strobe light operating at 1550-nm wavelength. To showcase the methodology, we spectroscopically studied the phaseresolved spin dynamics in a bilayer of Permalloy and yttrium iron garnet Y 3 Fe 5 O 12 (YIG), and spatially imaged the backward-volume spin-wave modes of YIG in the dipolar spin-wave regime. Using the strobe light probe, the detected precessional phase contrast can be directly used to construct the map of the spin wave's wave front, in the continuous-wave regime of spin-wave propagation and in the stationary state, without needing any optical reference path. By selecting the applied field, frequency, and detection phase, the spin-wave images can be made sensitive to the precession amplitude and phase. Our results demonstrate that infrared optical strobe light can serve as a versatile platform for magneto-optical probing of magnetization dynamics, with potential implications in investigating hybrid magnonic systems.

Xiong, Yuzan [University of North Carolina, Chapel↗
DOE OSTI2025

Restoring Historic Forest Disturbance Frequency Would Partially Mitigate Droughts in the Central Sierra Nevada Mountains

Forest thinning and prescribed fire are expected to improve the climate resilience and water security of forests in the western U.S., but few studies have directly modeled the hydrological effects of multi-decadal landscape-scale forest disturbance. By updating a distributed process-based hydrological model (DHSVM) with vegetation maps from a distributed forest ecosystem model (LANDIS-II), we simulate the water resource impacts of forest management scenarios targeting partial or full restoration of the pre-colonial disturbance return interval in the central Sierra Nevada mountains. In a fully restored disturbance regime that includes fire, thinning, and insect mortality, reservoir inflow increases by 4%–9% total and 8%–14% in dry years. At sub-watershed scales (10–100 km2), thinning dense forests can increase streamflow by >20% in dry years. In a thinner forest, increased understory transpiration compensates for decreased overstory transpiration. Consequentially, 73% of streamflow gains are attributable to decreased overstory rain and snow interception loss. Thinner forests can increase headwater peak flows, but reservoir-scale peak flows are almost exclusively influenced by climate. Uncertainty in future precipitation causes high uncertainty in future water yield, but the additional water yield attributable to forest disturbance is about five times less sensitive to annual precipitation uncertainty. This partial decoupling of the streamflow disturbance response from annual precipitation makes disturbance especially valuable for water supply during dry years. Our study can increase confidence in the water resource benefits of restoring historic forest disturbance frequencies in the central Sierra Nevada mountains, and our modeling framework is widely applicable to other forested mountain landscapes.

Boardman, Eli N. [University of Nevada, Reno, NV (↗
DOE OSTI2024

Experimental investigation of thermal conductivity of high entropy ceramics

In this talk, we will present the experimental investigation of thermal conductivity of high entropy carbides (HEC) and borides (HEB) with different compositions. Thermal conductivity determines the capability of a material to transport thermal energy and is considered as one critical physical property, specially in the energy industry. Due to the presences of disordered cation sublattice, it is expected that thermal conductivity of high entropy ceramics is lower than the counterparts with simpler compositions, but the experimental studies are relatively few. Using laser-based spatial-domain and frequency-domain thermoreflectance technique, we measured thermal conductivity of HECs and HEBs in a temperature range from 77K to 773K. Furthermore, by focusing the laser using an objective lens, we were able to perform the thermal property mapping on samples with the spatial resolution of micrometer. Such measurements could reveal important microstructure information in a rapid and efficient way without using scanning electron microscopy. The high spatial resolution also enables thermal conductivity measurements on ion-irradiated HECs with the damage layer of merely 1.1µm. These measurements can provide valuable information to predict the performances of HECs and HEBs with different compositions and from different manufacturing processes, and in the extreme environments such as nuclear reactors.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Quantum-Enhanced Sensing of Axion Dark Matter with a Transmon-Based Single Microwave Photon Counter

We report an axion dark matter search with a haloscope equipped with a microwave photon counter. The haloscope is a tunable high quality factor three-dimensional microwave cavity placed in a magnetic field. The photon counter, operated cyclically, maps an incoming microwave photon onto the state of a superconducting transmon qubit. The measurement protocol continuously monitors the power emitted by the haloscope cavity as well as the dark count background and enables tuning of the cavity frequency to probe different axion masses. With this apparatus, we enhance by a factor of 20 the search speed that can be reached with quantum-limited linear amplifiers and set a new standard for probing the existence of axions with resonant detectors above 5 GHz. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Single-molecule infrared spectroscopy with scanning tunneling microscopy

Probing vibrations at the single-molecule level is essential for achieving bond-specific chemical control in realistic heterogeneous environments. Here, we introduce a new measurement scheme that integrates frequency-tunable infrared excitation with scanning tunneling microscopy to characterize vibration-mediated nuclear motions of single molecules. We first validated the technique by monitoring the infrared-induced rotation of the ethynyl radical and then applied it to mapping pyrrolidine’s conformational dynamics. The resulting broadband spectra captured fundamental vibrational modes together with rich overtone and combination bands inaccessible by conventional methods, which we confirmed with isotopic substitutions. Density functional theory calculations showed that delocalized modes coupled with pyrrolidine ring puckering drive the structural transition, revealing altered selection rules compared with traditional infrared spectroscopy. Here, this new experimental platform enables molecular vibrations and transformations to be probed with atomic precision.

Liang, Kangkai [University of California, San Dieg↗
DOE OSTI2025

On Alfvénic turbulence of solar wind streams observed by Solar Orbiter during March 2022 perihelion and their source regions

It has been recently accepted that the standard classification of the solar wind solely according to flow speed is outdated, and particular interest has been devoted to the study of the origin and evolution of so-called Alfvénic slow solar wind streams and to what extent such streams resemble or differ from fast wind. In March 2022, Solar Orbiter completed its first nominal phase perihelion passage. During this interval, it observed several Alfvénic streams, allowing for characterization of fluctuations in three slow wind intervals (AS1-AS3) and comparison with a fast wind stream (F) at almost the same heliocentric distance. This work makes use of Solar Orbiter plasma parameters from the Solar Wind Analyzer (SWA) and magnetic field measurements from the magnetometer (MAG). The magnetic connectivity to the solar sources of selected solar wind intervals was reconstructed using a ballistic extrapolation based on measured solar wind speed down to the (spherical) source surface at 2.5 R s below which a potential field extrapolation was used to map back to the Sun. The source regions were identified using SDO/AIA observations. A spectral analysis of in situ measured magnetic field and velocity fluctuations was performed to characterize correlations, Alfvénicity, normalized cross-helicity, and residual energy in the frequency domain as well as intermittency of the fluctuations and spectral energy transfer rate estimated via mixed third-order moments. A machine learning technique was used to separate proton core, proton beam, and alpha particles and to study v − b correlations for the different ion populations in order to evaluate the role played by each population in determining the Alfvénic content of solar wind fluctuations. The comparison between fast wind and Alfvénic slow wind intervals highlights the differences between the two solar wind regimes: The fast wind is characterized by larger amplitude fluctuations, and magnetic and velocity fluctuations are closer to equipartition of energy. In fact the Alfvénic slow wind streams appear to be on a spectrum of wind types, with AS1, originating from open field lines neighboring active regions and displaying similarities with the fast wind in terms of fluctuation amplitude and turbulence characteristics, but not with respect to the alpha particles and proton beams. The other two slow streams differed both in their sources as well as plasma characteristics, with AS2 coming from the expansion of a narrow coronal hole corridor and AS3 from a region straddling a pseudostreamer. The latter displayed the coldest and highest density but the slowest stream with the smallest fluctuation amplitude and greatest magnetic energy excess. It also showed the largest scatter in proton beam speeds and the greatest difference in speed between proton beam and alpha particles. This study shows how the old fast–slow solar wind dichotomy, already called into question by the observations of slower Alfvénic solar wind streams, should further be refined, as the Alfvénic slow wind, originating in different solar wind regions, show significant differences in density, temperature, and proton and alpha-particle properties in the inner heliosphere. The observations presented here provide the starting point for a better understanding of the origin and evolution of different solar wind streams as well as the evolving turbulence contained within.

magnetohydrodynamics (MHD)↗
DOE OSTI2026

21 cm Power Spectrum Analysis of North Celestial Pole Observations with the Tianlai Dish Pathfinder Array

The Tianlai Dish Pathfinder Array (TDPA) is a radio interferometer designed to test techniques for 21 cm intensity mapping in the post-reionization Universe as a means of measuring large-scale cosmic structure. Using nine nights of observations targeting the North Celestial Pole field, totaling approximately 107 hr of integration time, we analyze data in the frequency range 700–800 MHz (corresponding to redshift z ∼ 0.9). We do the data format conversion, radio frequency interference flagging, calibration, imaging and point source subtraction, and foreground removal via Singular Value Decomposition. The spherically averaged power spectrum Δ 2 (k) is obtained. Furthermore, this work successfully establishes and validates a comprehensive data analysis framework for the TDPA. We identify key improvements including sky model refinement, increased integration time, and pipeline optimization that will enable future detection of the 21 cm signal through auto-correlation and cross-correlation with optical galaxy surveys.

cosmology: large-scale structure of universe↗
DOE OSTI2026

A Methodology to Evaluate the Grid Reliability Impact of Oscillations Induced by Large Loads

The rapid growth of hyperscale AI data centers is bringing renewed attention to the reliability risk that sustained forced oscillations pose to bulk power systems, with cyclic computational workloads emerging as a new forcing source. Unlike the broadband, stochastic disturbances from traditional industrial loads such as arc furnaces, AI training and inference facilities can inject large active power swings concentrated at specific frequencies over extended durations - characteristics that existing grid planning practices do not account for. While the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) has recognized this gap and called for system-level studies of large load interconnections, no standardized methodology exists to screen, simulate, and quantify these risks at the planning stage. This report presents the Risk Assessment Tool for Large Load-induced Events (RATLLE), a Python-based, publicly available script suite developed at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory to evaluate bulk power system reliability risks from data center-induced oscillations. RATLLE implements a three-module workflow: a screening module that identifies vulnerable interconnection locations and excitable system modes; a simulation module that models cyclic data center load behavior using a commercial positive sequence simulation platform; and an analysis module that computes risk metrics and generates interactive visualization dashboards. The risk metrics, formulated around simulation observables, map oscillation impacts to a three-stage severity scale spanning latent equipment fatigue through imminent cascading failure. The methodology is demonstrated on two Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) system models: a publicly available 240-bus reduced representation and a detailed 2031 Heavy Winter planning case. Case studies illustrate that even modest 50 MW forced oscillations at resonant frequencies can produce wide-area power swings, N-1 security constraint violations, and cascading generator trips through protection actions - outcomes that would not occur under normal operating conditions without oscillations present. The results underscore the need for standardized oscillation impact assessment in large load interconnection studies and provide a reproducible, extensible framework for utilities to adopt or customize within their existing planning workflows.

Biswas, Shuchismita↗
DOE OSTI2026

Field-Coupled Water Splitting with Metal-Free Donor–Acceptor Covalent Organic-Framework Junctions

Advancing metal-free electrocatalysts for hydrogen and oxygen evolution reactions (HER/OER) across acidic and alkaline media requires coordinated control of intermediate binding thermodynamics, interfacial charge delivery, and near-electrode transport dynamics. Here, we design amide-linked benzene–triazine covalent organic frameworks (BTA/TzTA-Hz COFs) and integrate them with carbon nanotubes (CNTs) to form COF–CNT junctions that establish a built-in interfacial electric field. Density functional theory (DFT) and electrostatic potential maps indicate complementary active motifs, with benzene-proximal fragments associated with HER and triazine-proximal motifs associated with OER. CNT integration shifts the contact-potential difference by ≈0.20 V, while operando electrochemical impedance spectroscopy suggests partially separable high-frequency junction-charging and lower-frequency Faradaic/transport responses. A 300 mT static magnetic field lowers the HER and OER overpotentials by tens of millivolts. Under anodic bias, the effective interfacial charging capacitance increases, and Mott–Schottky analysis shows an apparent ∼0.15 V flat-band shift with an essentially unchanged slope. Together, these observations are consistent with field-perturbed interfacial charging and altered bias partitioning. Field-dependent impedance and bubble imaging are consistent with magnetohydrodynamic convection that promotes bubble detachment and near-electrode mass transport for both half-reactions, and they reveal an OER-specific high-frequency perturbation under anodic bias. Under field, the heterostructure reaches an OER onset overpotential of ∼261 mV and requires an overpotential of 366 mV at 10 mA cm –2 in alkaline electrolyte. These results illustrate how reticular-framework chemistry, junction engineering, and both built-in and applied fields can program reactivity through interfacial electrostatics and near-electrode transport in organic-framework electrocatalysts.

Garcia-Enriquez, Lissette [Univ. of Texas at El Pa↗
DOE OSTI2024

Performance evaluation of the USGS velocity model for the San Francisco Bay Area

In this study, we evaluated the performance of the United States Geological Survey velocity model developed for the San Francisco Bay Area (SFBA), version 21.1. The evaluation was performed through high-resolution three-dimensional physics-based ground motion simulations of seven small-magnitude earthquakes (ranging from magnitude 3.8 to 4.4) that occurred on the eastern side of the San Francisco Bay. The simulations were performed in the frequency range from 0 to 5 Hz with a minimum shear-wave velocity of 250 m/s, which allowed the capture of wave propagation effects of the near-surface soft materials that characterize local basins. Based on the direct comparison of Fourier amplitude spectra between recorded and simulated ground motions for more than 250 stations, we found that the velocity model generally performs well in the frequency range of 0.2–5 Hz. The median value of the Fourier amplitude residuals was found to be near zero for all seven earthquakes. The slight over-prediction of 0.2 log-natural units at frequencies above 3 Hz in our simulations was attributed to the potentially inaccurate representation of the source radiation pattern by a double-couple point source model, and simple representation of shallow small-scale underground structural complexity in the velocity model. Maps of spectral amplitude differences between the simulated and recorded data were used to identify areas responsible for systematic ground motion over-predictions or under-predictions. For example, while some sub-domains over soft sediments show over-prediction patterns, the block east of the Hayward fault is prone to exhibit patterns of under-prediction. These maps can be used to guide future refinements of the SFBA velocity model. Since our simulation methodology allows for the decoupling of the source and wave propagation effects, the ground motion data generated by our simulations can also be used to quantify the epistemic uncertainty due to the velocity model, in empirically based ground motion estimates for the SFBA.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

A Visual Understanding of Circular Dichroism Spectroscopy

Mapping chemical and structural properties to electronic and magnetic responses is critical to many applications such as quantum information science, where the precise storage and transmission of unique information is paramount. Specifically, constructing molecules and materials that provide strong polarized responses at tunable frequencies and with large anisotropies is key to optical processing of quantum information. Chiral molecules provide chiroptical response to circularly polarized light, making them attractive for quantum information science and other applications related to sensing, polarized photodetectors, and spintronics. Predicting a molecular design, a priori, with large anisotropies to circularly polarized light is challenging due to the complex interplay between electric and magnetic components of the optical response. In this work, we explore a visual representation of the electronic chiroptical response by decomposing the rotary strength into its constituent components. Here, we make use of the intuitive electronic oscillator framework to develop classical intuition regarding the rotary strength and its constituents. We explore three model chemical systems that exhibit local and global chirality. Our analysis reveals that local chirality necessarily exhibits competition between the local chiral center and chirality induced in other fragments of the molecule, resulting in both unexpected nonmonotonic trends and sign flips in chemically adjacent geometries. Furthermore, we can visually distinguish between local and global chirality via examination of the transition chiral tensor. Interestingly, we make strong connections to ferromagnetic and antiferromagnetic spin systems in that chiroptically inactive transitions exhibit antiferromagnetic-like alternating orbital patterns while active transitions show domain formation in an ferromagnetic-like alignment that produces a net chiroptical response.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Spectroscopic and Computational Studies of Spin-Orbit Coupling of Lanthanide Oxides

Spin-orbit (SO) coupling makes it possible for spin forbidden transitions or reactions within non-relativistic quantum theory feasible. Thus, quantification of such interactions has important implications in photophysics and chemical catalysis. This work aims to quantify SO interactions using lanthanide (Ln) oxides as target molecular systems. Through these systems, we examine the impact on the SO coupling by electron configurations and 4f orbital occupancies of Ln elements and sizes of the metal oxides. By examining these factors, we explore how SO coupling is affected by the number of Ln 4f electrons for a given size of molecules and if the Ln 4f orbitals remain atomic in nature in these small clusters. Ln oxides are produced in laser ablation molecular beams, identified with time-of-fight mass spectrometry, and characterized with laser spectroscopy and relativistic quantum chemical computations. Spectroscopic measurements include mass-analyzed threshold ionization (MATI), zero electron kinetic energy, and slow electron velocity-map imaging spectroscopies. Relativistic computations treat scalar relativistic corrections, electron correlations, and SO interactions. The main results are SO terms and energies of the neutral molecules and singly charged cations, ionization energies of the neutral species, metal-metal and metal-oxygen vibrational frequencies of the ions and, in some cases, neutrals as well, and charge effects on the bonding and structures.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

The Muon g-2 Experiment at Fermilab: Precision Measurements and Nonlinear Beam Dynamics

The Muon g-2 Experiment has achieved a significant milestone by measuring the positive muon anomalous magnetic moment to an unprecedented accuracy of 0.20 ppm, paving the way to a better understanding of particle physics, including beyond-the-Standard-Model possibilities. In the experiment, muons are circulated within a storage ring, and their anomalous precession frequency — the spin precession relative to momentum — is determined from decay positron time and energy data, captured using calorimeters. In support of accurate storage ring simulations, we performed high-order calculations of the field of the experiment's high-voltage quadrupoles. We also carried out accurate, transfer map–based calculations of the storage ring's chromaticity. These calculations are essential for understanding the beam dynamics effects in the Muon g-2 storage ring.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Elevated Forest Canopy Loss After Wildfires in Moist and Cool Forests in the Pacific Northwest

Wildfire frequency, intensity, and rate of spread are increasing across the Western U.S, resulting in more severe ecosystem impacts. Significant tree mortality can occur years after fire events, but this has received little attention compared to the immediate tree loss during a fire. We overlapped forest cover loss data with burn severity maps in the U.S. Pacific Northwest and quantified the total and delayed forest canopy loss after fires. We found that wildfires resulted in total canopy loss fraction (CLF) of 84%, 53%, and 22% within 3 years in areas burned at high, moderate, and low severity, respectively. The delayed canopy loss accounted for approximately 1/3, 1/2, and 2/3 of the total canopy loss for high, moderate, and low severity burns. Delayed canopy loss was greater in moist and cool areas than in dry and warm areas, likely because tree species in wetter environments were less adapted to survive when fires did occur. Across all forests, delayed CLF doubled as temperature increased from the climatological mean to a hot anomaly and tripled as vapor pressure deficit increased from a wet anomaly to a dry anomaly. Fire impacts on forest ecosystems are likely to intensify under future climate scenarios as wildfires expand into areas that historically experienced infrequent fires. The impacts can also be exacerbated by more frequent compound extreme events, such as droughts, heatwaves, and fires. These findings highlight the urgent need for targeted forest management strategies, particularly in mesic forests, to mitigate future fire impacts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗