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At least 91 records · Page 5

Fatigue crack growth resistance of a mesoscale composite microstructure Haynes 282 fabricated via electron beam melting additive manufacturing

Materials synthesis via additive manufacturing gives unprecedented control over the solidified microstructure. While a number of studies have demonstrated the ability to produce spatially varying microstructures, little work exists to understand the behavior of such “composite” materials. In this work, we utilized electron beam melting to process Ni-based superalloy Haynes 282 and produce compact tension samples with a spatially varying mesoscale structure. Fatigue crack growth experiments reveal that the crack growth rate is dependent on the degree of microstructural heterogeneity. This work demonstrates that the crack growth resistance can be tailored within a component using electron beam melting additive manufacturing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Gearbox Reliability Collaborative 1.5 (GRC1.5) Project: Joint Industry Megawatt Scale Gearbox Field Tests: Cooperative Research and Development (Final Report) CRADA Number CRD-16-00608

A new DOE/NREL industry collaboration called the Gearbox Reliability Collaborative 1.5 (GRC1.5) will undertake field testing on a commercial multi-megawatt wind turbine gearbox to collect loading data as installed in the turbine to thoroughly characterize gearbox loads and responses during actual in-field conditions. A chief outcome is to provide publicly available operational loading data to the industry. This will provide a greater understanding of steady-state, transient, and fault response for both the input and output of the gearbox; thus, facilitating improvements in the gearbox components, lubrication system, power converter or turbine controller.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Determination of Constraint-Independent Crack Tip Opening Angle for Stable Crack Growth in High-Strength Ductile Steels

The crack tip opening angle (CTOA) is one of fracture toughness parameters that has been used for decades in describing large stable crack growth in thin-walled aerospace structures under the low-constraint conditions. Recently, the pipeline industry has developed a growing interest in using the CTOA parameter to serve as the minimum required fracture toughness to arrest dynamic crack propagation in modern gas transmission pipelines made of high-strength ductile steel. To meet this industrial need, the CTOA test standard ASTM E3039 was therefore developed for measuring the constant critical CTOA. ASTM E3039 recommends a drop weight tearing test (DWTT) specimen with a shallow crack for standard CTOA testing, but its CTOA may depend on the low constraint condition of the DWTT specimen at the crack tip. Verifying the constraint independence of the DWTT-measured CTOA thus becomes indispensable for applying CTOA toughness to the running fracture control in the pipeline design. For this purpose, the present paper evaluates critical CTOA values in a set of fracture toughness tests on single-edge notched bend (SENB) specimens with shallow and deep cracks, based on four CTOA estimation models. Among these, the Ln(P)-LLD linear fit model is similar to that recommended by ASTM E3039 for CTOA calculation. Fracture test data for X80 pipeline steel and HY80 structural steel were considered in the CTOA evaluation. The results showed that the four CTOA models were able to determine a constraint independent CTOA value for stable crack growth in the SENB specimens. As a result, a single, reliable, constant CTOA value could be determined regardless of the specimen geometry or the crack-tip constraint conditions. Therefore, the CTOA measured using ASTM E3039 is constraint-independent and transferable to use in cases of actual cracks propagating in gas transmission pipelines.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Mending cracks atom-by-atom in rutile TiO2 with electron beam radiolysis

Abstract Rich electron-matter interactions fundamentally enable electron probe studies of materials such as scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM). Inelastic interactions often result in structural modifications of the material, ultimately limiting the quality of electron probe measurements. However, atomistic mechanisms of inelastic-scattering-driven transformations are difficult to characterize. Here, we report direct visualization of radiolysis-driven restructuring of rutile TiO 2 under electron beam irradiation. Using annular dark field imaging and electron energy-loss spectroscopy signals, STEM probes revealed the progressive filling of atomically sharp nanometer-wide cracks with striking atomic resolution detail. STEM probes of varying beam energy and precisely controlled electron dose were found to constructively restructure rutile TiO 2 according to a quantified radiolytic mechanism. Based on direct experimental observation, a “two-step rolling” model of mobile octahedral building blocks enabling radiolysis-driven atomic migration is introduced. Such controlled electron beam-induced radiolytic restructuring can be used to engineer novel nanostructures atom-by-atom.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Injection Parameters That Promote Branching of Hydraulic Cracks

Fluid injection into rock formations can either produce complex branched hydraulic fractures, create simple planar fractures, or be dominated by porous diffusion. Currently, the optimum injection parameters to create branched fractures are unknown. We conducted repeatable hydraulic fracturing experiments using analog-rock samples with controlled heterogeneity to quantify the fluid parameters that promote fracture branching. A large range of injection rates and fluid viscosities were used to investigate their effects on induced fracture patterns. Paired with a simple analytical model, our results identify the threshold at which fracture transitions from an isolated planar crack to branched cracks when closed natural fractures exist. These results demonstrate that this transition can be controlled by injection rate and fluid viscosity. In relation to the field practices, the present model predicts slickwater and lower viscosity fluid injections promote fracture branching, with the Marcellus shale used as an example.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Inversion-based correction of Double-Torsion (DT) subcritical crack growth tests for crack profile geometry

Because of its simplicity and the ability to produce a stable, slow-propagating crack, the Double-Torsion (DT) method has been used widely for investigating the critical and subcritical propagation of a slow-propagating tensile (mode-I) crack. However, to determine the complex relationship between the crack velocity $\mathcal{v_c}$ vs. the strain energy release rate $\mathscr{G}$ (or the stress intensity factor K) from laboratory measurements, several corrections must be made to account for the impact of sample and crack geometry. Particularly, DT test typically produces a crack with a curved edge profile instead of a straight line, causing the local $\mathcal{v_c}$ and $\mathscr{G}$ vary along the crack front. The experimentally measured $\mathcal{v_c}$ and $\mathscr{G}$ data merely reflect collective, averaged behavior of the crack. This makes inversion for the intrinsic, “true” crack growth kinetics necessary, based upon the knowledge of the crack geometry. Simple and effective correction methods have been proposed and validated for the slow, chemical-reaction-controlled part (Region I) of the $\mathcal{v_c}$-$\mathscr{G}$ curve. However, reliable methods for the highly nonlinear, transport-dominated part (Region II) and its sudden transition to the dynamic propagation part (Region III) are still lacking. Here we propose a method for determining the intrinsic $\mathcal{v_c}$-$\mathscr{G}$ relationship across all three Regions based upon DT test data, using a simple model function and its numerical inversion. The performance of this approach is examined and demonstrated using both synthetic and laboratory data for subcritical crack growth in soda lime glass.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Fabrication of yttrium hydride for high-temperature moderator application

We report given the superior thermal stability and highly attainable hydrogen density, yttrium hydride is an excellent high-temperature moderator material in advanced thermal neutron spectrum reactors that require small core volumes. Large-scale, crack-free, bulk yttrium hydride is in high demand; however, fabrication of yttrium hydride is challenging and has not been demonstrated for nearly half century. The associated challenges are discussed herein. In response to these challenges, a hydriding system was designed and constructed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory and was used to successfully fabricate crack-free yttrium hydride in complex geometries at large scales. This was accomplished by precisely controlling the hydrogen’s partial pressure and the retort temperature, which was informed by the well-established thermodynamic properties of the binary H–Y system. Hydrogen content in as-fabricated hydride was determined by weight change, an approach which was considered reliable based on the use of ultra–high-purity yttrium, the absence of oxide phases up to levels detectable using x-ray diffraction (XRD), and the significant weight gain. Hydrogen distribution along one yttrium hydride rod was evaluated with XRD analysis on materials extracted from different locations on the rod. The results indicated a relatively homogeneous hydrogen distribution along the hydride rod, with <3% uncertainty in the fraction of the δ-phase hydride. In addition, significant efforts are being dedicated to establish a complete database summarizing the thermomechanical and physical properties of as-fabricated yttrium hydride and the irradiation response to facilitate its deployment as a high-temperature moderator in advanced nuclear reactors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Physical and Thermomechanical Properties of Yttrium Hydride from Large Scale Bulk Metal Hydriding Furnace

Given the superior thermal stability and highly attainable hydrogen density, yttrium hydride is an excellent high-temperature moderator material in advanced thermal neutron spectrum reactors that require small core volumes. Yttrium hydride has been selected as the moderator material for the Transformational Challenge Reactor, which was launched at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) in 2019. However, fabrication of large-scale crack-free yttrium hydride is challenging and very limited efforts have been committed to the characterization of bulk yttrium hydride in response to the need to establish a complete database of the thermomechanical properties of YHx. In this report, the challenges associated with fabricating large-scale crack-free yttrium hydride are discussed herein. In response to those challenges, a hydriding system was designed and constructed at ORNL and was used to successfully fabricate crack-free yttrium hydride in complex geometries at large scales. This was accomplished by precisely controlling the hydrogen’s partial pressure and the retort temperature, which was informed by the well-established thermodynamic properties of the binary H-Y system. Hydrogen content in as-fabricated hydride was determined by the weight change method and vacuum hot extraction technique, complemented by the X-ray diffraction (XRD). In addition, significant efforts are being dedicated to establishing a complete database of the thermomechanical properties of as-fabricated yttrium hydride. In FY2020, we investigated the thermophysical properties of yttrium hydrides as a function of temperature (room temperature to 700°C) and hydrogen concentration (H/Y ratio ranges from 1.52 to 1.93). The results indicate that at the temperatures below 300 °C, the hydrogen content did not have a significant influence on the thermal expansion, while the specific heat capacity, the thermal diffusivity, and the calculated thermal conductivity were slightly higher for the higher H/Y ratio. Between 300°C and 700 °C, a reversible second-order endothermic transition in all measured thermal properties was observed. It was also found that the onset temperatures of the observed transition varied, with the composition having inverse dependence on the hydrogen content. An attempt was made to explain the behavior of the thermophysical properties at higher temperatures by considering the order– disorder transition as a result of hydrogen redistribution. In addition, nanoindentation was employed to determine the elastic modulus and hardness and to capture the crystal orientation dependence of these parameters. Vickers hardness was also reported. The final section of the report introduces ongoing neutron irradiation campaign of yttrium hydride.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Experimental and theoretical study of the restrained shrinkage cracking of early age well cement

The shrinkage cracking occurring in oil & gas well cement material is a major factor that reduces the cement sheath integrity and impairs the durability of an underground well. Shrinkage mainly takes place in the early hydration period of the cement, and the resulting restrained shrinkage cracking can form a leaking network for oil & gas or carbon dioxide stored in an underground reservoir. It is thus important to understand the early age behavior of well cement and the leaking pathway formation in the well. This study describes the application of the digital image correlation (DIC) method as a tool to measure the strain development and crack distributions of well cement in the lab during early phase changes. A theoretical model is presented to calculate the stress distribution built up in the cement sheath during early ages of well cement hydration, which helps to interpret the experimental observations and determine the major factors influencing the cracking sequences. This study presents the whole hydration – drying shrinkage – and cracking mechanism of early age well cement under restrained ring conditions experimentally and theoretically. Finally, the results offer useful insights on the key material and geometric parameters which control the fracture of a well cementing structure.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

In-line measurements of below-the-surface food deformation during drying with an interference-based optical fiber strain sensor

Real-time measurements of food deformation are important for quality control in drying, yet they pose significant challenges. In this study, we developed an interference-based optical fiber strain sensor to enable in-line, continuous, below-the-surface strain measurements in drying of soft food samples. Compared to a strain resolution of 8 × 10 -4 at zero strain and 7.2 × 10 -3 at 0.20 strain reported in our previously published work, the present study achieves markedly improved resolutions of 1.3 × 10 -4 at zero strain and 7.8 × 10 -4 at 0.25 strain, which strains are the lower and higher boundaries of the dynamic range, respectively. This nearly order-of-magnitude improvement is attributed to the unique interference-based sensing mechanism, no need for calibration to convert optical signals to strain, and the system-design-enabled immunity to fiber-disk misalignments and light source intensity fluctuations. To demonstrate the in-line process monitoring, deformation measurements of fresh banana slices and sugar cookie doughs were carried out in a benchtop oven and an industrial-scale hot-air pilot dryer, respectively. In both dryers, strain measurements were continuously measured during the whole drying process at various depths and radii below the sample surfaces, with the strains up to 25%. Computer vision was used only in the benchtop drying to confirm the faithfulness of the fiber sensor measurements and cannot provide below-the-surface measurements. The measured spatiotemporal deformation allowed us to confirm the shell-hardening effect and to determine the speed and location of large deformation changes in the whole drying process, the latter of which is related to the sample cracking. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is the first to report on an interferometry-based fiber sensor to measure food deformation. This sensor and the sensing mechanism have high potential for real-time process monitoring and control to prevent over-drying or cracking during drying processes.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Impact of Plate Thickness and Joint Geometry on Residual Stresses in 347H Stainless Steel Welds

Weldments of 347H stainless steel are potentially susceptible to stress relaxation cracking at elevated service temperatures. Mitigation of stress relaxation cracking susceptibility within a multipass weld requires a good understanding of welding practices and manufacturing techniques to control high tensile residual stresses. Here in this work, the dependence of residual stress distribution in 347H stainless steel on base plate thickness, joint geometry design, and preheating condition was systematically investigated by using three-dimensional finite element models. The finite element models were validated through good agreement between neutron diffraction measurements and calculated elastic strains. The single-V-groove welds with and without a preheating step all produced similar peak von Mises residual stresses, above 450 MPa, within both the fusion zone and heat-affected zone (HAZ). In plates thicker than 0.5 in. (12.7 mm), high tensile residual stress could be observed in a relatively large area, from the middle of the plate thickness to underneath the top surface. A double-V groove shifted the high tensile stress area to the middle thickness of the weld. A single-J-groove weld was able to confine the residual stress to a very small region near the middle thickness within the fusion zone and suppressed the von Mises residual stress within the HAZ to below 400 MPa.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Slow Strain Rate Testing of A537 Tank Wall Material

At Savannah River Site (SRS), High-Level Waste is stored in below-grade carbon steel tanks. This waste in part consists of sludge, salt cake, and/or supernate. Preparation of this waste for future processing involves dissolution of the salt cake layer. The salt dissolution process can create conditions that leave the carbon steel tanks susceptible to localized corrosion. The salt to be dissolved contains high concentrations of nitrate, that once released, create an environment that may be conducive to pitting corrosion and/or stress corrosion cracking (SCC) of carbon steel. The salt dissolution process also liberates interstitial liquid trapped between the salt crystals. This liquid is initially high in nitrite and hydroxide concentration. High pH and greater ratios of nitrite to nitrate act as inhibitors to minimize corrosion of carbon steel in high nitrate environments. However, as dissolution proceeds, the concentration of nitrate will increase, while the hydroxide and nitrite concentration of the interstitial liquid will deplete and become insufficient to prevent the onset of corrosion attack. Tank blending and the addition of inhibitors are used to ensure adequate concentrations of hydroxide and nitrite. However, this is not desirable during salt dissolution as it can reduce process efficiency and increase the amount of waste that needs processing. This testing program was designed to examine the risk of SCC associated with utilizing the pitting factor (PF) and nitrite/nitrate (NO 2 - /NO 3 - ) ratio limits for handling dissolved salt solutions at an elevated temperature in the carbon steel waste tanks. The previously identified limits are a PF of 1.2 and an NO 2 - /NO 3 - ratio of 0.15. The results indicate that as long as the NO 2 - /NO 3 - ratio exceeds 0.1 and the PF is above approximately 0.8, there is a discernible safety margin between the open circuit potential (OCP) and the critical cracking potential (CCP) observed during applied potential testing. However, this margin, defined by the difference between the OCP and CCP, is relatively narrow, ranging from 0.1 to 0.25 volts. This small margin raises concerns about potential shifts in OCP during waste retrieval operations, which could inadvertently increase the risk of SCC if the OCP approaches or exceeds the CCP. These results confirm that dissolved salt solutions provide a potent chemistry that, under certain conditions, makes carbon steel susceptible to SCC. The next question to consider is the influence these results have on decisions for storage and retrieval of waste from the tanks. For Type III/IIIA waste tanks, the risk of SCC remains very low. First, and most importantly, the post-weld stress relief of the tanks has reduced the residual stress near the welds. Thus, without the stress component, SCC risk is minimized. The material of construction (A537 Carbon steel) for the Type III/IIIA tanks is superior to the steel in its resistance to SCC than the steel that was utilized for the Type I, II, and IV tanks (A285 carbon steel). From a chemistry control standpoint for a Type III/IIIA tank directly involved with handling dissolved salt solutions, the PF and NO 2 - /NO 3 - ratio limits may be utilized wherein chemistry control provides an extra layer of defense against SCC. Chemistry control for a Type III/IIIA tank minimizes the risk for a tank that may receive the dissolved salt solution, particularly if that tank is a Type I, II, or IV waste tank. On the other hand, if the dissolved salt solution is handled by a Type I, II, or IV waste tank the risk of SCC is real. The potent chemistry, absence of stress relief, and inferior material result in a condition that is conducive to cracking. Efforts should be made to either avoid transferring waste that may not meet the PF and NO 2 - /NO 3 - ratio criteria to one of these tanks or if it is unavoidable, take measures to minimize the consequences of a leak. As shown by these tests, even if the PF and NO 2 - /NO 3 - ratio criteria are met, there is a risk that the tank potential may be disturbed in the positive direction and the risk of SCC increase.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Effect of microstructure on fatigue crack propagation in additive manufactured nickel-based superalloy Haynes 282: an experiment and crystal plasticity study

Haynes 282 is a γ' precipitation-strengthened nickel-based superalloy known for its exceptional high-temperature creep resistance and excellent fabricability. Recent advancements in powder-bed fusion-based additive manufacturing (PBF-AM) have enabled the fabrication of Haynes 282 with accurate, site-specific control of the grain orientation and morphology at the microscale. This ability opens up new avenues for microstructure design, to improve the material’s fatigue crack resistance and service life. This paper investigates the fatigue crack growth behavior of hybrid microstructure Haynes 282 fabricated via PBF-AM. Previous experiments revealed a higher crack propagation rate in the coarse columnar-grained microstructural regions when compared against fine-grained areas. Here, a strain gradient crystal plasticity model was adapted to study the fracture-related mechanical fields at the crack tip in the two microstructures. The simulation results showed a consistent influence of grain structure and texture on crack propagation, as was seen in the experiment. The model analysis revealed higher crack propagation driving force along crack direction in the coarse-grained sharply textured microstructure and higher driving force for crack kinking in fine-grained more diffusely textured microstructure, which is ascribed to the combined effect of yield stress, hardening rate, texture and grain morphology. The presented modeling approach will facilitate the development of the AM-based accurate microstructure design by deepening the fundamental study in AM-specific microstructure-properties relations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Development of Testing Methods to Predict Cracking in Photovoltaic Backsheets

In recent years there have been some significant failures of photovoltaic backsheets resulting from inadequacies of design that are not detected in current versions of the qualification standards. In some cases, this has resulted in catastrophic failure in less than 5 y of deployment. In this work, we develop a test sample construction and evaluate accelerated exposure conditions necessary to duplicate the cracking field failure of backsheets using a small and manageable coupon. This sample uses a piece of solder wire to put some controlled topology and stress into the backsheet. Through exposure to different environmental stressors it was found that the application of thermal cycling stresses, after ultraviolet radiation exposure, is of primary importance to duplicate field failures.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Strategies for simultaneous strengthening and toughening via nanoscopic intracrystalline defects in a biogenic ceramic

While many organisms synthesize robust skeletal composites consisting of spatially discrete organic and mineral (ceramic) phases, the intrinsic mechanical properties of the mineral phases are poorly understood. Using the shell of the marine bivalve Atrina rigida as a model system, and through a combination of multiscale structural and mechanical characterization in conjunction with theoretical and computational modeling, we uncover the underlying mechanical roles of a ubiquitous structural motif in biogenic calcite, their nanoscopic intracrystalline defects. These nanoscopic defects not only suppress the soft yielding of pure calcite through the classical precipitation strengthening mechanism, but also enhance energy dissipation through controlled nano- and micro-fracture, where the defects’ size, geometry, orientation, and distribution facilitate and guide crack initialization and propagation. These nano- and micro-scale cracks are further confined by larger scale intercrystalline organic interfaces, enabling further improved damage tolerance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Sub-pilot-scale Production of High-Value Products from U.S. Coals

Investigators from the University of Utah, University of Wyoming and Marshall University pursued a program to study the conversion of raw coal to high-value products of carbon fiber and silicon carbide. Team members also developed an initial framework for a data portal that can incorporate laboratory data on coal processing and product quality, and also work with tools for machine learning for data analysis, data visualization and economic assessment. Experimental R&D efforts focused on the conversion of raw coal to coal tar and other byproducts, and the resulting tar intermediates were upgraded to form anisotropic and isotropic pitch materials. These pitch materials were produced from coal using both thermal (pyrolysis) and chemical (mild solvolysis liquefaction) decomposition of raw coal. Four different coals were studied: Utah bituminous coal (Sufco), Wyoming PRB coal (Black Thunder), Illinois bituminous coal (Illinois #6), and West Virginia bituminous coal (Flying Eagle). Both metallurgical-grade coking coals and lower-grade steam coals were investigated, and controlled secondary gas-phase reactions were used during a two-stage pyrolysis process to induce cracking and condensation reactions among the pyrolytic tar species. This approach successfully improved the performance of the lower grade coals for yielding pitch materials, with properties more consistent with a commercial-grade pitch that had previously demonstrated success for quality carbon fiber production. The use of waste plastic materials was also studied, to help improve physical and chemical characteristics of the intermediate tars and final pitch product; in particular, for lowering the pitch softening point to an acceptable level for melt spinning carbon fiber. Mild solvolysis liquefaction was also used as a method for producing pitch for carbon fiber production. As expected, significantly higher pitch yields were obtained using this approach, and waste plastic materials were also successfully used to reduce pitch softening point to an acceptable level. The plastic materials were also utilized to create a solvent for the mild solvolysis process, and this plastic-derived solvent was shown to provide results consistent with more expensive commercial chemical solvents, and could thus avoid the need for costly recovery and recycle of a liquefaction solvent. Additional experimental R&D focused on the production of silicon carbide (β-SiC) from the residual char byproduct from pitch production, and also on the production of carbon fiber from the anisotropic pitch. SiC was successfully synthesized using a mixture of residual char and sandstone at a ratio of 1:1. Reaction temperature and residence time were optimized and yielded a product purity of 81%. For carbon fiber production, the most successful pitch samples were obtained from the mild solvolysis liquefaction approach, combined with the use of a plastic (HDPE)-derived solvent. Fiber properties improved over time as laboratory fiber production methodologies improved, and final yields of carbon fiber were obtained with a diameter of 12.14 ± 1.10 um, Modulus of 173.73 ± 15.25 GPa, and Tensile Strength of 1.04 ± 0.10 GPa. A proof-of-concept Modern Community Research Data Portal (MCRDP) was developed and deployed for coal and coal-derived pitch characterization, with the full support of (i) remote web-based access, (ii) distributed analysis, (iii) interactive visualization and exploration, (iv) shared and long-term data access, (v) advanced query capabilities and (vi) real-time collaboration. The Coal to Products Data Portal “coaltoproducts.org” provides researchers with space to store and share data within a project, tools for analyzing and understanding data for scientific investigation, and the ability to publish data to the broader community for reproducibility. The portal leverages the Material Commons 2.0 (MC) platform developed by the Center for PRedictive Integrated Structural Materials Science (PRISMS) of the University of Michigan, to achieve long-term longevity of data collections and, more importantly, collaborative science. A number of data visualization tools were also assessed and implemented for interrogating the experimental and modeling data. The machine learning portion of this project analyzed datasets from two different coal conversion processes performed on a diverse set of coal samples from both the coal pyrolysis experiments and the solvent liquefaction experiments. The work was initiated by exploring standard regression models on the pyrolysis data, aiming to understand the impact of sample characteristics and processing conditions on key product metrics. Over the course of the project, the focus expanded to include a variety of machine learning tools, delving into both supervised and unsupervised learning methods. Models tested on the pyrolysis data included linear, ridge, lasso, elastic-net, Gaussian process, random forest regression, and AutoSklearn, and the approach was continually refined to enhance predictive accuracy and model interpretability. Similar techniques were applied to the liquefaction data with an additional focus on feature engineering. Along with mesophase content, additional outputs of interest were the pitch yield, softening point, and QI content. Insights derived from these analyses are crucial in determining the factors influencing the quality and yield of coal-derived products. As the work progressed, the research evolved from foundational model comparisons to analyses of random forests, decision paths, and feature importance scores. A thorough market analysis was performed to examine the prospects of coal-based carbon fibers. The best opportunities for coal come from its lower and more stable price relative to petroleum, particularly for subbituminous coals, which is the primary advantage that a coal refinery may have over a petroleum refinery. Before a commercial CTP production facility can be modeled, however, several things need to be understood regarding the nature of the would-be coal refinery. These include the technology to be deployed, the size of facility, the volume(s) of co-product(s), and the waste and emissions profile of the plant. The volume of co-products and waste may be substantial and will require separate market analysis to ensure viability. In the near-term, the importance of coal tar pitch, in the form of carbon pitch, to the aluminum and steel industries is likely to overshadow the alternative use of this material as an input for carbon fiber. The importance of steel and aluminum in building materials, and the need for carbon materials in their manufacturing, will ensure that demand for these products remains for the long run. In addition, carbon fiber may also be the best substitute for steel and aluminum well into the future. While society will eventually be able to shift production of much of its electricity needs to renewables, it will not be able to shift away from fossil fuels for production of high-strength construction and vehicular materials. Demand for carbon fiber is expected to increase quickly, but the volume of carbon fiber and the amount of coal that would be needed to produce even a sizeable share of this market may still be relatively small compared to current coal production. Thus, other coal-based products like graphene, graphite, carbon foams, resins, and carbon-based building products will play important roles in sustaining coal production as coal-fired power generation continues to decline.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Gearbox bearing crack growth prognostics and uncertainty quantification with physics-informed machine learning

This paper introduces the extreme theory of functional connections (X-TFC), a physics-informed machine learning algorithm, and tailors it to estimate the remaining useful life (RUL) of wind turbine gearbox bearings experiencing fatigue crack growth. Unlike purely data-driven methods, X-TFC embeds a physics model, based on Head's theory in this work, into its training objective. The core of X-TFC is a random-projection single-layer neural network trained via an extreme learning machine, which requires only limited damage progression data and solves for output weights with a least-squares optimization algorithm. A composite loss function balances the network's fit to observed degradation data against the residuals of the governing crack growth differential equation, ensuring the learned damage trajectory remains physically plausible. When applied to a vibration-based health-index (HI) dataset measured during the growth of a crack on the inner ring of a high-speed bearing in a wind turbine gearbox (Bechhoefer and Dubé, 2020), X-TFC achieves near-zero prediction bias. Even when trained on only the first 10 %–20 % of the damage progression data, with sufficient physics weighting its predictions remain monotonic and smooth, delivering high prognosability and trendability. To quantify the epistemic uncertainty, we employ a Monte Carlo ensemble of independently initialized X-TFC models trained on noise-perturbed data, which yields confidence intervals around each RUL estimate and captures both model-parameter and epistemic uncertainty. In addition to a vibration-based HI, we demonstrate that the proposed framework can be directly applied to a supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) data-based HI (Eftekhari Milani et al., 2026) measured during similar wind turbine gearbox bearing crack faults, preserving its accuracy and interpretability. This extension shows the versatility of our approach, which is applicable to bearings of multiple gearbox manufacturers, models, and ratings using only SCADA data. By integrating domain knowledge with machine learning, X-TFC offers a rapid, reliable tool for crack prognostics. Its adaptability to other bearing failure modes, such as pitch bearing ring cracks, positions X-TFC as a powerful enabler of data-driven, physics-informed asset management in the wind energy sector and beyond.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

RuKY Catalyst‐Packed Permeation Membrane for Quantitative Ammonia and d3‐Ammonia Dehydrogenation to Ultrapure Hydrogen

Ammonia is a promising carbon-free hydrogen carrier, but incomplete ammonia dehydrogenation (cracking) generates atmospheric emissions of NO x , a potent greenhouse gas. Additionally, incomplete cracking of ammonia leads to regulatory challenges in nuclear and fusion power, where tritiated ammonia (NT 3 ) emissions are strictly controlled. Therefore, we report the use of low-temperature ammonia dehydrogenation catalysts (3%Ru/1%Y/12%K/Al 2 O 3 ) in a palladium alloy H 2 permeation membrane for quantitative conversion of ammonia into hydrogen and nitrogen at industry-relevant conditions. This catalytic membrane reactor system achieved an astonishing effluent concentration of <1 ppm at 450°C under a 100% NH 3 stream, which is far beyond the 99.6% conversion target required for the adoption of ammonia as a vehicle fuel. The low-temperature ammonia dehydrogenation catalyst was tested in a packed bed reactor with NH 3 and ND 3 to both elucidate the reaction mechanism and to quantify the kinetic isotope effect of the membrane reactor. The rate-limiting step at temperatures relevant to the palladium membrane are isotope independent, indicating that the isotopologue content will not modify the desired reaction kinetics. By reducing emissions to below-trace levels with no additional separation, this work provides a path to greatly simplified and miniaturized ammonia cracking processes.

ammonia decomposition↗