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At least 91 records · Page 5

An Operational Algorithm for Evaluating Satellite Collision Consequence

Risk is properly considered as the combination of likelihood and consequence; but conjunction assessment has usually limited itself to the consideration of only collision likelihood. When considered from an orbital regime protection perspective, the focus shifts to the question of the amount of debris that a collision might produce (the “consequence”). The present paper presents an operational algorithm for determining the expected amount of debris production should a conjunction result in a collision, and an assessment of the algorithm’s fidelity against a database of characterized objects.

Lechtenberg, Travis↗

Miserable Risk Estimation: “Managing” Low-Probability, High-Consequence Risks

As with all bold endeavors, NASA missions must identify and manage their risks. While estimating the consequences of these risks is typically straightforward, it can be challenging to estimate their likelihood. This is especially true for low-probability risks, due both to the lack of operational data and the cognitive biases humans bring to risk estimation. In this talk, I will present both a tongue-in-cheek and “Management Science” approach to estimating low-probability, high-consequence risks. I then summon my Human Factors colleagues to provide NASA mission managers with the gentle guidance needed to avoid common errors in risk assessment

Mary K Kaiser↗

Neuro-behavioral Consequences of Low Dose Radiation Social Isolation and Sex Differences in the Longevity MCAT Mouse Model

The physiological responses to spaceflight elicit wide-ranging consequences and resemble aspects of aging on Earth. Previous studies have shown that oxidative damage via reactive oxygen species (ROS), contributes to aging-related pathologies. Our study uses 1-year old C57BL/6NJ male and female mice (astronaut-relevant age) that underwent exposure to 0.5 gray of gamma radiation together with social isolation and were euthanized 12 weeks after. We used the longevity MCAT mouse model in which human catalase is overexpressed in the mitochondria, for ROS quenching. We aimed to determine whether in older mice quenching ROS, will mitigate the neuro-behavioral consequences of low dose ionizing radiation and/or social isolation and whether the outcomes will differ in males and females. We have performed five mission relevant behavioral tests which focused on performance, memory, physical stance, and stress. We have detected both sex and radiation effects; the older females look physically better are faster and perform better almost in all behavioral tests compared to their male counterparts. On the other hand, they are more sensitive to low dose radiation in many cases, in some cases this effect was indeed mitigated in the MCAT mice, pointing out to the importance of ROS in response to radiation stress and social isolation. We have measured plasma (7- and 90-days post radiation), cytokines, corticosterone and hippocampal cytokine and microglial activation at the end of the experiment. We saw significant changes in the plasma markers due to radiation, sex, and genotype in both short and long post radiation period and detected long term sex and radiation effects in the brain. Our focus is now on applying advanced statistical modeling to corelate the behavioral tests with our recent molecular findings to look for specific biomarkers that could predict behavioral deficits.

radiation↗

Evaluation of the MARVEL Reactor Inhalation Dose Consequences

A dose consequence analysis was performed to support the preliminary Microreactor Applications Research Validation and Evaluation Project (MARVEL) design effort. The purpose of the MARVEL project is to develop a nuclear microreactor applications test bed at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to perform research and development on various operational features of microreactors to ultimately improve integration of microreactors to end-user applications. The MARVEL concept is a 100 kilowatt (kW) thermal (kWth) and approximately 20-kW electric (kWe) generating microreactor. The MARVEL system will be located in the INL TREAT facility in the north high-bay equipment pit. The analysis considers the bounding release fractions of the MARVEL reactor concept and documents the dose consequences to the public and collocated worker.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

CCE Phase 1: Consequence Prioritization

Idaho National Laboratory (INL) developed the Consequence-driven Cyber-informed Engineering (CCE) methodology to provide public and private organizations with steps to work collaboratively and establish a working relationship to protect critical infrastructure and other national assets. This process is a considerable undertaking, iterative in nature, and—as time and resources allow—should become a part of a company’s culture. By focusing on the impact of potentially negative Events, CCE provides a better understanding of how and why adversaries can affect critical functions and services using cyber-enabled sabotage. This document describes Phase 1 of the CCE process.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Monitoring of helium gas leakage from canister storing spent nuclear fuel: Radiological consequences and management

Chloride-induced stress corrosion cracking (CISCC) of canisters has been identified as a potential degradation mechanism requiring ageing management — especially in a marine air environment. Methods for monitoring helium gas leakage from canisters have been developed on the basis of a phenomenon that the bottom temperature of the canister increases as the top temperature of the canister decreases when helium gas leaks during storage. In this paper, we consider the radiological consequences of CISCC based on two scenarios of helium gas leakage and propose effective management that includes a timeline for monitoring and mitigation. Monitoring helium gas leakage by measuring the difference in temperature between canister surfaces in the dry cask storage of spent fuel (SF) can detect leakage before SF undergoes oxidation as a result of air ingress and before country-specific regulatory limits of off-site doses are exceeded, thereby enabling mitigatory action.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Statistical Uncertainty of Inhalation Dose Coefficients in Consequence Management: Propagated Dose Uncertainty in ICRP 66 Human Respiratory Tract Model

Reference inhalation dose models rely on deterministic biokinetics and reference computational phantoms, limiting their applicability to the variability present in population-specific exposures encountered in emergency response scenarios. Here, this study introduces REDCAL, a Python-based computational framework developed to propagate uncertainty in inhalation dose coefficients using the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) Publication 66 Human Respiratory Tract Model. REDCAL integrates ICRP deposition and clearance models, systemic biokinetics, and governing physics principles, and leverages Sandia National Laboratories’ Dakota toolkit for uncertainty quantification via Latin Hypercube Sampling. REDCAL was validated against DCAL, with biokinetic retention results differing by less than 1% and effective dose coefficients by less than 2% across all tested radionuclides. Stochastic sampling introduced variability in dose coefficients, with geometric standard deviations (GSD) in committed effective dose coefficients (CEDC) ranging from 1.0 to 1.5, based on lognormal distribution fits. Analysis demonstrated that variations in the activity median aerodynamic diameter (AMAD) notably influenced the computed CEDC values. Smaller particles (<1 µm) increased doses by 20–30% due to deeper lung deposition and prolonged retention for alpha emitting radionuclides, such as 241 Am and 239 Pu. Radionuclides with fast clearance, such as 133 I, demonstrated a dose reduction exceeding 50%, as AMAD increased beyond 5 µm due to upper airway deposition and rapid mucociliary clearance. The greatest GSD among the radionuclides reported in this study was for 241 Am. In most cases, the largest GSDs in the CEDC were associated with larger particle sizes, an expected outcome, as ICRP Publication 66 defines GSD in particle size as a function of AMAD, resulting in an extended tail of the lognormal distribution. The findings support improved inhalation dose assessments and enhance consequence management strategies for the U.S. Federal Radiological Monitoring and Assessment Center by quantifying uncertainty in dose coefficients and strengthening decision-making for emergency response scenarios.

Biokinetic Modeling↗

Radiological Dose Consequence Modeling Parameters for Reactor and Nonreactor Nuclear Facilities

To assure consistency between DOE and NRC safety basis requirements this ECAR documents the DOE basis requirements for dose consequence assessments in accordance with Standard DOE-STD-3009-2014. The methodology in this ECAR outlines parameters for evaluating airborne radiological releases and provides a consistent basis for assessing current and future DOE NE facilities.

73 - NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Revisiting Current Paradigms: Subject Matter Expert Views on High Consequence Facility Security Assessments

Security assessments support decision-makers' ability to evaluate current capabilities of high consequence facilities (HCF) to respond to possible attacks. However, increasing complexity of today's operational environment requires a critical review of traditional approaches to ensure that implemented assessments are providing relevant and timely insights into security of HCFs. Using interviews and focus groups with diverse subject matter experts (SMEs), this study evaluated the current state of security assessments and identified opportunities to achieve a more "ideal" state. The SME-based data underscored the value of a systems approach for understanding the impacts of changing operational designs and contexts (as well as cultural influences) on security to address methodological shortcomings of traditional assessment processes. These findings can be used to inform the development of new approaches to HCF security assessments that are able to more accurately reflect changing operational environments and effectively mitigate concerns arising from new adversary capabilities.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Consequence Management Asset Overview

Presentation summarizing DOE Consequence Management assets available to support state, local, territorial, and tribal partners during a radiological emergency. This presentation will be given at various state engagements, including training and outreach for ingestion pathway exercises, national and regional CM exercises, and trainings for radiological emergency preparedness events as requested.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Probing the Consequences of Cubic Particle Shape and Applied Field on Colloidal Crystal Engineering with DNA

Abstract In a magnetic field, cubic Fe 3 O 4 nanoparticles exhibit assembly behavior that is a consequence of a competition between magnetic dipole–dipole and ligand interactions. In most cases, the interactions between short hydrophobic ligands dominate and dictate assembly outcome. To better tune the face‐to‐face interactions, cubic Fe 3 O 4 nanoparticles were functionalized with DNA. Their assembly behaviors were investigated both with and without an applied magnetic field. Upon application of a field, the tilted orientation of cubes, enabled by the flexible DNA ligand shell, led to an unexpected crystallographic alignment of the entire superlattice, as opposed to just the individual particles, along the field direction as revealed by small and wide‐angle X‐ray scattering. This observation is dependent upon DNA length and sequence and cube dimensions. Taken together, these studies show how combining physical and chemical control can expand the possibilities of crystal engineering with DNA.

Urbach, Zachary J.↗

Probing the Consequences of Cubic Particle Shape and Applied Field on Colloidal Crystal Engineering with DNA

In a magnetic field, cubic Fe 3 O 4 nanoparticles exhibit assembly behavior that is a consequence of a competition between magnetic dipole-dipole and ligand interactions. In most cases, the interactions between short hydrophobic ligands dominate and dictate assembly outcome. To better tune the face-to-face interactions, cubic Fe3O4 nanoparticles were functionalized with DNA. Their assembly behaviors were investigated both with and without an applied magnetic field. Upon application of a field, the tilted orientation of cubes, enabled by the flexible DNA ligand shell, led to an unexpected crystallographic alignment of the entire superlattice, as opposed to just the individual particles, along the field direction as revealed by small and wide-angle X-ray scattering. This observation is dependent upon DNA length and sequence and cube dimensions. Taken together, these studies show how combining physical and chemical control can expand the possibilities of crystal engineering with DNA.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Consequences of plane-strain and plane-stress assumptions in fully coupled chemo-mechanical Li-ion battery models

In Li-ion battery research, it is common to simulate chemo-mechanical phenomena in reduced dimensions (e.g., 2-D) as opposed to fully resolve these complex physics in 3-D. It is common to assume either (1) the out-of-plane strain is negligible (commonly referred to as plane-strain), or (2) the out-of-plane stress is negligible (commonly referred to as plane-stress). However, there is typically little consideration as to the quantitative consequences of these approximations. Furthermore, the influence of these out-of-plane assumptions can be compounded and convoluted when chemo-mechanics models implement so-called “fully coupled” formulations, where the local species concentrations influence the stress-state and the stress-state influences the local species fluxes. Here, the present manuscript explores the implications of using plane-stress and plane-strain assumptions in 2-D as compared to simulating a full 3-D electrode particle. This comparative study includes simulating both isotropic and anisotropic particle intercalation where the particles can be surrounded by either a liquid or solid electrolyte. Additionally, common Li-ion battery-model metrics such as the state-of-stress, intercalation fraction distribution, and specific capacity are compared, while also considering the effects of particle size and C-rate. As alternatives to the pure plane-strain and plane stress approximations, two modified plane-strain assumptions are found to better approximate the fully coupled chemo-mechanical 3-D behavior.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Consequences of adsorbate-adsorbate interactions for apparent kinetics of surface catalytic reactions

Lateral adsorbate interactions at catalyst surfaces are known to influence adsorption energies and reaction rates. Lattice-based kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) simulations are able to capture these influences, but such models are typically parameterized for a specific reaction network and catalyst surface. Here we report kMC simulations to probe the influence of lateral interactions on simulated rates, rate orders, apparent activation energies, and Sabatier plots. We construct a simple, two-step reaction network involving a single adsorbate and rate- limiting diatomic dissociation, employ a generic repulsive lateral interaction model consistent with known adsorbate-adsorbate interactions on metal surfaces, and a rate model consistent with known Brønsted-Evans-Polyani relationships for diatomic dissocations. Furthermore, we juxtapose reaction kinetics over a wide range of reaction conditions and catalyst binding energies, as a function of interaction strength. We find that at a given zero-coverage binding energy and external conditions, adsorbate coverage decreases monotonically with increasing interaction strength, but absolute rates can vary linearly or nonlinearly. Interactions flatten the Sabatier volcano and shift the maximum towards stronger binding. Influences on apparent rate orders and activation energies are modest and are sensitive to interaction-induced adsorbate ordering. Model predictions are sensitive to lattice size effects at high coverages. The results, modelled for a simple reaction system, highlight the generic consequences of lateral interactions and guidance for identifying their signatures in observed kinetics.

kinetic Monte Carlo↗

Comparison of atmospheric radionuclide dispersion models for a risk-informed consequence-driven advanced reactor licensing framework

Current nuclear facility emergency planning zones (EPZs) are based on outdated distance-based criteria, predating comprehensive dose and risk-informed frameworks. Recent advancements in simulation tools have permitted the development of site-specific, dose, and risk-based consequence-driven assessment frameworks. This study investigated the computation of advanced reactor (AR) EPZs using two atmospheric dispersion models: a straight-line Gaussian plume model (GPM) and a semi-Lagrangian Particle in Cell (PIC). Two case studies were conducted: (1) benchmarking the NRC SOARCA study for the Peach Bottom Nuclear Generating Station and (2) analyzing an advanced INL Heat Pipe Design A microreactor's end-of-cycle inventory. The dose criteria for both cases were 10 mSv at mean weather conditions and 50 mSv at 95th percentile weather conditions at 96 h post-release. Results demonstrated that GPM and PIC estimated similar mean peak dose levels for large boiling water reactors in the farfield case, placing EPZ limits beyond current regulations. For ARs with source terms remaining in the nearfield, PIC modeling without specific nearfield considerations could result in excessively high doses and inaccurate EPZ designations. PIC dispersion demonstrated an order of magnitude higher estimate of nearfield inhalation dose contribution when compared to GPM results. Furthermore, both models significantly reduced EPZ sizing within the nearfield. Thus, reductions in the AR source term may eliminate the need for a separate EPZ.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Covalency in Fe 2 O 3 and FeO: Consequences for XPS satellite intensity

The covalent character of the interaction between the metal cation and the oxygen ligands has been examined for two Fe oxides with different nominal oxidation states, Fe(II)O, and Fe(III) 2 O 3 . The covalent character is examined for the initial, ground state configuration and for the ionic states involving the removal of a shallow core, Fe 3p, and a deep core, Fe 2p, electron. The covalency is assessed based on novel theoretical analyses of wave functions for the various cases. It is found that the covalency is considerably different for different oxidation states and for different ionized and non-ionized configurations. The changes in covalency for the ions are shown to be responsible for important changes in relaxation energies for X-Ray Photoelectron Spectroscopy (XPS) spectra and in the intensity lost from main XPS peaks to shake satellites. While these consequences are not observables themselves, they are important for the interpretation of the XPS spectra, in particular, for efforts to extract stoichiometries of these iron oxides from XPS data. This is a finding likely applicable across various 3d transition metal oxide materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Electrical, optical, and magnetic properties of amorphous yttrium iron oxide thin films and consequences for non-local resistance measurements

We present magnetic characterization, charge resistivity, and optical photoluminescence measurements on amorphous yttrium iron oxide thin films ( ⁠a-Y–Fe–O), with supporting comparisons to amorphous germanium (⁠ a-Ge) films. We measured magnetic properties with both SQUID magnetometry and polarized neutron reflectometry. These results not only confirm that a-Y–Fe–O is a disordered magnetic material with strong predominantly antiferromagnetic exchange interactions and a high degree of frustration, but also that it is best understood electrically as a disordered semiconductor. As with amorphous germanium, a-Y–Fe–O obeys expectations for variable-range hopping through localized electron states over a wide range of temperature. We also clarify the consequences of charge transport through such a semiconducting medium for non-local voltage measurements intended to probe spin transport in nominally insulating magnetic materials. We further compare non-local resistance measurements made with “quasi-dc” automated current reversal to ac measurements made with a lock-in amplifier. These show that the “quasi-dc” measurement has an effective ac current excitation with frequency up to approximately 22 Hz, and that this effective ac excitation can cause artifacts in these measurements including incorrect sign of the non-local resistance. Here, this comprehensive investigation of non-local resistance measurements in a-Y–Fe–O shows no evidence of spin transport on micrometer length scales, which is contrary to our original work, and in line with more recent investigations by other groups.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Debris-induced consequences on turbulence and vorticity in solar photovoltaic module-generated array wakes

Particle-laden flows in solar photovoltaic (PV) systems are inevitable, where wind-swept debris in open environments are carried by high winds and turbulence, coating panel surfaces or damaging structures. Particle deposition, or soiling, is a well-known issue for large-scale plants which rely on uninhibited solar rays for optimal production. But understanding the mechanisms leading to soiling requires a physical and fluid dynamics-centered focus, since turbulence dominates PV panel wakes and is also known to alter particle concentration and trajectories. This study presents an experimental campaign toward consequences of particle-laden flow between two model PV panels using time-resolved particle image velocimetry. The model array was subjected to varied particle volume fractions, including a tracer particle case and a water droplet case. Characterization of mean velocity, turbulence statistics, and mean kinetic energy within the single phase and, separately, particle phase flows showed modified features due to particle inertia. Images captured at a frequency of 1 kHz in the near wake of the upstream panel allow for a first experimental look at vorticity and convective velocity of vortex structures for single-phase and particle-phase flows which are crucial to debris transport and soiling in PV environments.

Energy & Fuels↗