On the Eastward Travelling Wavenumber Two in the Northern Stratosphere
Disturbances in the middle atmosphere are often interpreted in the framework of waves superimposed on a zonal-mean flow. This paper presents an analysis of travelling waves in the northern hemisphere stratosphere, concentrating on planetary wavenumber two (W2). Space-time spectral analysis reveals the existence of a substantial eastward-travelling planetary W2 at high latitudes in winter. While a similar feature is well documented in the southern hemisphere stratosphere, where it is observed in most winters, this northern hemisphere counterpart is less common and has not been examined in detail. A climatology of occurrence of the wave is given for the northern stratospheric winter. It is denoted as the quasi-16-day eastward travelling W2, because of its dominant periodicity, which ranges from about one to three weeks. Although the wave has some similarities with the southern hemispheric wave, there is much larger interannual and intraseasonal variability in the northern hemisphere. will emphasize the variations in the spatial and temporal structure of this wave, as isolated in meteorological analyses of radiosonde and satellite data. The possible role of these travelling waves in preconditioning the stratosphere as a precursor to sudden stratospheric warmings in both hemispheres will be discussed.