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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Hydropower Capacity Factor Trends & Analytics for the United States

This data repository contains all code, input data, and data generated for Turner et al. (2024)—“Hydropower capacity factors trending down in the United States”. File descriptions: – hydro-cf-trends-inputs.zip: Full set of input data used in this study, organized for direct entry into “/data” directory of hydro-cf-trends data processing pipeline. – hydro-cf-trends.zip: Full data processing pipeline, coded using the R {targets} framework. This is a snapshot release (v1.0) of the code repository stored at https://code.ornl.gov/turnersw/hydro-cf-trends/. – hydro-cf-trends-results.zip: Provides all dam level results required to reproduce results and graphics in Turner et al. (2024). Dams are identified by the “complxID” (root of the hydropower plant ID in the Existing Hydropower Assets Database, inherited from HILARRI). Results include: • dam_CF_trends.csv: Table of long-term trends in annualized capacity factors for 610 dams and modeled annualized capacity factors for 362 modeled dams (naturalized and assimilated flows). • dam_annualized_CF_gen.csv: Annualized time series of the following variables for each of 610 hydropower dams with nameplate > 5MW – Reported nameplate capacity (MW) – Implied maximum annual generation (MWh) – Reported net generation (MWh) – Computed annual capacity factor – Modeled annual capacity factor (362 modeled plants only)

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Enhancing Cycling Stability and Capacity Retention of NMC811 Cathodes by Reengineering Interfaces via Electrochemical Fluorination

High-capacity cathodes (LiNi 0.8 Mn 0.1 Co 0.1 O 2 ) that can boost the energy density of lithium-ion batteries are promising candidates for vehicle electrification. However, several factors specific to high energy density materials entailing electrode reactions inhibit their application. Fluorination has shown a promising ability to combat the detrimental electrochemical performances of cathode materials, however, it remains difficult to achieve the desired functionality. In this work, a novel electrochemical fluorination (ECF) that demonstrates a promising electrochemical performance enhancement via stabilization of the cathode–electrolyte-interphase (CEI) by forming conformal LiF is proposed. Besides LiF surface layer formation, ECF reduces the degree of fluorination-induced Ni/Li disordering and enhances the layered structural stability as probed by X-ray diffraction. Because of the robust CEI, ECF-NMC811 cathodes deliver 203.0 mAh g -1 first discharge capacity at the current rate of C/10, with ≈98% capacity retention up to 100 cycles. Similarly, it delivers ≈180 mAh g -1 capacity at a 1 C rate with 86.4% capacity retention up to 200 cycles with average coulombic efficiency of > 99.5%. Comprehensive characterization with a multitude of probes reveals that ECF enhances the cycling stability of the electrode without altering bulk structure and morphology.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Ultrahigh-Capacity Rocksalt Cathodes Enabled by Cycling-Activated Structural Changes

Mn-redox-based oxides and oxyfluorides are considered the most promising earth-abundant high-energy cathode materials for next-generation lithium-ion batteries. While high capacities are obtained in high-Mn content cathodes such as Li- and Mn-rich layered and spinel-type materials, local structure changes and structural distortions ( often lead to voltage fade, capacity decay, and impedance rise, resulting in unacceptable electrochemical performance upon cycling. In the present study, structural transformations that exploit the high capacity of Mn-rich oxyfluorides while enabling stable cycling, in stark contrast to commonly observed structural changes that result in rapid performance degradation, are reported. Here, it is shown that upon cycling of a cation-disordered rocksalt (DRX) cathode (Li 1.1 Mn 0.8 Ti 0.1 O 1.9 F 0.1 , an ultrahigh capacity of ≈320 mAh g –1 (energy density of ≈900 Wh kg –1 ) can be obtained through dynamic structural rearrangements upon cycling , along with a unique voltage profile evolution and capacity rise. At high voltage, the presence of Mn 4+ and Li + vacancies promotes local cation ordering, leading to the formation of domains of a “δ phase” within the disordered framework. On deep discharge, Mn 4+ reduction, along with Li + insertion transform the structure to a partially ordered DRX phase with a β'-LiFeO 2 -type arrangement. At the nanoscale, domains of the in situ formed phases are randomly oriented, allowing highly reversible structural changes and stable electrochemical cycling. These new insights not only help explain the superior electrochemical performance of high-Mn DRXbut also provide guidance for the future development of Mn-based, high-energy density oxide, and oxyfluoride cathode materials.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

3D–Integrated, Multi–Functional Carbon Fibers for Stable, High–Areal–Capacity Batteries

Increasing lithium-ion batteries' (LIBs) electrode areal capacity can boost energy density and lower manufacturing costs, but faces challenges in manufacturing, rate performance, and cycling stability. A conductive framework made of commercial micro-sized carbon fibers (Cfs) is presented that serves as a host for both the LiNi 0.5 Mn 0.3 Co 0.2 O 2 (NMC 532) cathode and Cfs anode. The Cf framework has multiple functions that offer high electronic conductivity (270 mS cm –1 ), low tortuosity (1.7), low Li + diffusion resistance (22 Ω), and high thermal conductivity (200 W mK –1 ). Additionally, the Cf-integrated electrodes can have an extremely high mass loading of NMC 532 (70 mg cm –2 ) with a theoretical capacity of 14 mAh cm –2 . Thus, the practical full cells assembled with the Cfs-enabled electrodes exhibit an initial areal capacity of 4.1 mAh cm –2 and capacity retention of 90.4% at 500 cycles at a cycling rate of C/3, 1.5 mA cm –2 . Data collected from the operando isothermal microcalorimetry suggest that full cells utilizing the Cf anode experience less heat release from side reactions compared to cells utilizing a conventional graphite anode. Finally, this present approach is scalable and cost-effective and can fabricate practical LIBs that boast high areal capacity, rate performance, and a lengthy cycling lifetime.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Quantifying Uncertainties in Heat Capacity Measurements of Molten Salts Determined Using Differential Scanning Calorimetry

Uncertainty in specific heat capacity values of a molten salt determined by using differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) was assessed based on the precision of replicate measurements of heat flows used in the calculation and effects of corrections that are commonly made to heat flow measurements. The ratio method of determining heat capacity was applied using the results of replicate heat flow measurements made with two empty cells, a sapphire reference material, and three samples of a doped NaCl-UCl 3 salt mixture. Replicate measurements with empty cells were used to quantify the effects of system instabilities and sensitivities on the measured heat flows of sapphire and salt. The combined effects of uncertainties in individual heat flow measurements made with blank cells using this system were quantified to be 2.6 μV based on isothermal holds before and after the scan, with cell placement adding the greatest uncertainty. This value was used as the tolerance for accepting background-corrected heat flows measured with sapphire and salt to calculate the specific heat capacity. The acceptable heat flows measured for sapphire and salt over the temperature range of 540 to 725 °C resulted in calculated specific heat capacity values ranging from 0.53 to 0.91 J g −1 K −1 with an overall average value of 0.70 J g −1 K −1 and an uncertainty of 0.22 J g −1 K −1 at the 99 % confidence level. The combined uncertainty in the specific heat capacity masked detection of any effect of temperature or salt composition that occurred.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Group additivity values for entropy and heat capacities of C 2 –C 8 alkanes, alkyl hydroperoxides, and their radicals

Group additivity values for the thermodynamic properties of oxygenated radicals are poorly determined due to the absence of high quality reference data. Here, a set of 58 group additive values (GAV) for the standard entropy and heat capacity of relevance to alkane oxidation is derived from fits to an extensive and accurate database of standard entropies (298.15 K) and heat capacities (300–3000 K) recently calculated with the “STAR-1D” formalism. The 192 species in this database represent the alkanes (RH), alkyl radicals ($\dot{R}$), alkyl hydroperoxides (RO 2 H), alkyl-peroxy (R$\dot{O}$ 2 ) and hydroperoxy-alkyl ($\dot{Q}$OOH) radicals for all of the isomers of C 2 –C 5 alkane fuels and a select number of isomers of C 6 –C 9 species. The STAR-1D thermochemical data for this set of species was previously obtained from a coupling of scaled B2PLYPD3/cc-pVTZ vibrational analyses with scaled ωB97X-D/cc-pVTZ one-dimensional hindered rotor corrections. The 2σ uncertainties in the GAV results relative to the STAR-1D data set are 2.4 cal K –1 mol –1 for the entropies and at most 2.0 cal K –1 mol –1 for the heat capacities in the temperature range 500–800 K. The 2σ fitting uncertainties in the heat capacity gradually reduce at higher temperatures reaching a value of 0.8 cal K –1 mol –1 at 2000 K decreasing to only 0.5 cal K –1 mol –1 at 3000 K. The high degree of accuracy for the GAV representations is obtained through the introduction of various new group terms, together with the re-optimization of existing group terms. Among the full set of 58 GAV terms, 25 include non-next-nearest neighbor interactions (NNI) and β-corrections. The updated GAVs can be applied in the prediction of entropies and heat capacities for a wide range of hydrocarbons and hydroperoxide species and their radicals, which is important to the accurate prediction of fuel reactivity at low-temperatures in the range 600–1000 K.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Discrete versus continuous: Enhancing battery optimization in capacity expansion models

This study compares two battery modeling approaches for capacity expansion models: discrete-duration and continuous-duration formulations. In the discrete approach, battery duration is fixed, and power capacity is optimized. In the continuous approach, both power and energy capacities are decision variables, allowing storage duration to be optimized endogenously. Although both discrete-duration and continuous-duration battery formulations are used in long-term power system planning models, the literature has provided limited direct, systematic comparisons of their implications within a common modeling framework. To address this gap, this study implements both approaches in the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS TM ) capacity expansion model using two resource adequacy methods, across a range of future system conditions, and with varying battery cost projections. Results show continuous-duration and high-resolution discrete approaches produce similar capacity expansion outcomes. The continuous formulation achieves faster runtimes compared to discrete-duration runs with many discrete-duration options. However, the discrete-duration approach allows users to choose to have limited fidelity for storage duration options, which in some cases can outperform the continuous formulation. The continuous formulation has the lowest overall system costs, indicating its ability to fine-tune storage duration to better meet specific system needs. This study's findings provide a side-by-side evaluation of discrete and continuous battery modeling approaches and offer guidance for improving the representation of real-world systems, flexibility, and computational efficiency for representing energy storage in long-term power system planning models.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Revisiting the capacity-fading mechanism of P2-type sodium layered oxide cathode materials during high-voltage cycling

We report P2-type sodium layered oxide cathode (Na 2/3 Ni 1/3 Mn 2/3 O 2 , P2-NNMO) has attracted great attention as a promising cathode material for sodium ion batteries because of its high specific capacity. However, this material suffers from a rapid capacity fade during high-voltage cycling. Several mechanisms have been proposed to explain the capacity fade, including intragranular fracture caused by the P2-O2 phase transion, surface structural change, and irreversible lattice oxygen release. Here we systematically investigated the morphological, structural, and chemical changes of P2-NNMO during high-voltage cycling using a variety of characterization techniques. It was found that the lattice distortion and crystal-plane buckling induced by the P2-O2 phase transition slowed down the Na-ion transport in the bulk and hindered the extraction of the Na ions. The sluggish kinetics was the main reason in reducing the accessible capacity while other interfacial degradation mechanisms played minor roles. Our results not only enabled a more complete understanding of the capacity-fading mechanism of P2-NNMO but also revealed the underlying correlations between lattice doping and the moderately improved cycle performance.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Elucidating the mechanism underlying the augmented capacity of MoO 2 as an anode material in Li-ion batteries

Transition-metal oxide anode materials have been observed to possess an intriguing surplus of capacity beyond the expected values based on conversion reaction. However, the mechanisms behind this phenomenon have remained contentious and elusive. Here, this study focuses on synthesized nanosized molybdenum dioxide and its electrochemical performance as an anode material for Li-ion batteries. Our findings reveal a substantial increase in capacity upon cycling, achieving approximately 1688 mA h g -1 , nearly double the theoretical capacity, after 700 cycles at a 1C rate. To elucidate the mechanisms underlying this augmented capacity, a comprehensive analysis employing in situ and ex situ X-ray diffraction, X-ray absorption spectroscopy, scanning electron microscopy, and transmission electron microscopy was conducted at various stages of the Li-ion cell cycling. Our results indicate that no conversion reaction occurs during the initial discharge phase, with Li 2 O and Mo remaining undetected. Instead, Li 0.98 MoO 2 is generated upon lithiation. Further materials characterization employing electron energy loss spectroscopy and energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy on the cycled electrode suggests the potential formation of a metallic Li-rich layer at the interface of the Li-ion intercalated phase subsequent to the formation of Li 0.98 MoO 2 , contributing to the surplus Li storage. Moreover, electrochemical impedance spectroscopy coupled with ex situ SEM and TEM analyses reveals that alterations in particle size and morphology, along with changes in the solid electrolyte interphase (SEI) resistance, are instrumental in the capacity variation observed upon cycling.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions and carbon intensity of U.S. fuel use and projection for the next 10 years-based on built capacity and expansion plans

The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 supports biofuel production expansion through the 45Z clean fuel production tax credit, replacing previous 40A and 40B credits. This follows on the Renewable Fuel Standard from the Energy Policy Act of 2005 and its expansion in 2007. States like California, Oregon, and Washington also offer clean fuel credits. Meanwhile, federal agencies, including the U.S. Department of Energy, have advanced alternative fuel technologies through research and development funding. The surging interest in the biofuel industry has spurred the demand for biofuel supplies in the markets, although achieving profitability for advanced biofuels and low-carbon e-fuels remains challenging. This study aims to track U.S. alternative fuel production capacity expansion plans over the next 10 years and estimate impacts on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. By tracking built capacity and industry announcements of planned expansion, this study complements other studies which use models to predict changes in energy technologies and the associated GHG implications. Modeled projections of future technologies are often criticized for over or underestimating the cost and potential role of new technologies. The study focuses on sustainable aviation fuel, renewable diesel, ethanol, biodiesel, and renewable natural gas. Using facility-level data, we conducted a bottom-up analysis linking biofuel production pathways with corresponding pathways and parameterizations in the Argonne R&D GREET model. Results indicate that biofuel capacity could reach 3.8 exajoules in 2035, potentially reducing U.S. GHG emissions by 179 million tonnes, including the full life cycle. This corresponds to a 20% reduction in transportation and 5% in industry sector emissions by 2035, or a 3.6% reduction in economy-wide emissions. Overall, this study shows that while biofuel production capacity in the U.S. is expanding, the capacities remain limited compared to fuel demand. Uncertainty regarding the durability and extension of incentives may be dampening the pace of growth. Meanwhile, demonstrating the commercial potential for alternative fuels and climbing the learning curve for new technologies could lead to an increased pace of expansion in later years. This study offers insights for bioenergy stakeholders, highlighting biofuel technologies' contribution to U.S. energy system and emissions reduction over time based on producers' plans.

Biofuel Producers↗
DOE OSTI2023

Distributed PV Hosting Capacity Evaluation Considering Equitable PV Accommodation

Distributed photovoltaic (DPV) hosting capacity is widely used by distribution system operators to evaluate how much DPV the distribution networks can accommodate without violating operational constraints. If the proliferation of DPV deployment is appropriately managed, it offers an excellent opportunity to mitigate the energy inequity issue in electric grids. Hosting capacity improvement plans that neglect energy equity can exacerbate unequal DPV access. To consider energy equity in distribution network planning to enhance DPV accommodation, hosting capacity evaluations should be improved to consider equity constraints endogenously. This paper proposes a DPV hosting capacity evaluation method that considers equitable DPV access among sub-regions of a distribution feeder partitioned by socioeconomic indicators, such as income level. The results demonstrate that considering equity in DPV hosting capacity evaluations can provide a valuable reference in the equitable energy transition. This work provides guidance for future distribution network upgrade planning for equitable DPV deployment.

distributed PV↗
DOE OSTI2022

Distribution Capacity Expansion Planning: Current Practice, Opportunities, and Decision Support

The distribution utility industry and its engineers are experiencing monumental shifts in consumer needs and expectations. Characterizing future native loads as compared to net load demand for long-term capacity planning is especially difficult, as consumers are increasingly adopting prosumer technologies. This paper is the culmination of 5 months of utility interviews coordinated by the National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL) and Kevala, Inc. (Kevala) to better understand distribution capacity planning challenges. The interviews covered all aspects of capacity planning including load and DER forecasting, criteria for assessing system constraints, solution types, and organizational and decision-making structures. Our intent is to provide insight into distribution capacity planning decision support needs for utilities and the increasing number of stakeholders involved, from state and regulatory agencies to community and solution providers with interest in increasing their understanding in the distribution capacity planning process.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Spatially-Explicit Prediction of Capacity Density Advances Geographic Characterization of Wind Power Technical Potential

Mounting interest in ambitious clean energy goals is exposing critical gaps in our understanding of onshore wind power potential. Conventional approaches to evaluating wind power technical potential at the national scale rely on coarse geographic representations of land area requirements for wind power. These methods overlook sizable spatial variation in real-world capacity densities (i.e., nameplate power capacity per unit area) and assume that potential installation densities are uniform across space. Here, we propose a data-driven approach to overcome persistent challenges in characterizing localized deployment potentials over broad extents. We use machine learning to develop predictive relationships between observed capacity densities and geospatial variables. The model is validated against a comprehensive data set of United States (U.S.) wind facilities and subjected to interrogation techniques to reveal that key explanatory features behind geographic variation of capacity density are related to wind resource as well as urban accessibility and forest cover. We demonstrate application of the model by producing a high-resolution (2 km × 2 km) national map of capacity density for use in technical potential assessments for the United States. Our findings illustrate that this methodology offers meaningful improvements in the characterization of spatial aspects of technical potential, which are increasingly critical to draw reliable and actionable planning and research insights from renewable energy scenarios.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Distributed PV Hosting Capacity Evaluation Considering Equitable PV Accommodation: Preprint

In distribution systems, distributed photovoltaic (DPV) hosting capacity is widely used by system operators to evaluate how much DPV the distribution networks can accommodate without violating operational constraints. With the proliferation of DPV deployment, if managed properly, it offers a great opportunity to mitigate the persistent energy inequity issue in electric grid. Otherwise, energy inequity can be exacerbated with unequal DPV access when hosting capacity improvement plans ignore the equity factor. To consider energy equity in distribution network planning for enhancing DPV accommodation, the hosting capacity evaluation should be improved to consider equity constraints endogenously. In this paper, a DPV hosting capacity evaluation method is proposed considering equitable DPV access among sub-regions of a distribution feeder partitioned by social-economic indicators such as the income levels. The results demonstrate that considering equity in DPV hosting capacity evaluation can provide valuable reference in the equitable energy transition. This work provides a valuable guidance for future distribution network upgrade planning for equitable DPV deployment.

distributed PV↗
DOE OSTI2023

Unlocking High Capacity and Fast Na + Diffusion of H x CrS 2 by Proton-Exchange Pretreatment

This study presents a new material, “H x CrS 2 " (denotes approximate composition) formed by proton-exchange of NaCrS 2 which has a measured capacity of 728 mAh g -1 with significant improvements to capacity retention, sustaining over 700 mAh g -1 during cycling experiments. This is the highest reported capacity for a transition metal sulfide electrode and outperforms the most promising proposed sodium anodes to date. H x CrS 2 exhibits a biphasic structure featuring alternating crystalline and amorphous lamella on the scale of a few nanometers. This unique structural motif enables reversible access to Cr redox in the material resulting in higher capacities than seen in the parent structure which features only S redox. In conclusion, pretreatment by proton-exchange offers a route to materials such as H x CrS 2 which provide fast diffusion and high capacities for sodium-ion batteries.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Direct Ink Writing of 3D Zn Structures as High‐Capacity Anodes for Rechargeable Alkaline Batteries

The relationship between structure and performance in alkaline Zn batteries is undeniable, where anode utilization, dendrite formation, shape change, and passivation issues are all addressable through anode morphology. While tailoring 3D hosts can improve the electrode performance, these practices are inherently limited by scaffolds that increase the mass or volume. Herein, a direct write strategy for producing template‐free metallic 3D Zn electrode architectures is discussed. Concentrated inks are customized to build designs with low electrical resistivity (5 × 10 −4 Ω cm), submillimeter sizes (200 μm filaments), and high mechanical stability (Young's modulus of 0.1–0.5 GPa at relative densities of 0.28–0.46). A printed Zn lattice anode versus NiOOH cathode with an alkaline polymer gel electrolyte is then demonstrated. This Zn||NiOOH cell operates for over 650 cycles at high rates of 25 mA cm −2 with an average areal capacity of 11.89 mAh cm −2 , a cumulative capacity of 7.8 Ah cm −2 , and a volumetric capacity of 23.78 mAh cm −3 . A thicker Zn anode achieves an ultrahigh areal capacity of 85.45 mAh cm −2 and a volumetric capacity of 81.45 mAh cm −3 without significant microstructural changes after 50 cycles.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Replica wormholes and capacity of entanglement

We consider the capacity of entanglement as a probe of the Hawking radiation in a two-dimensional dilaton gravity coupled with conformal matter of large degrees of freedom. A formula calculating the capacity is derived using the gravitational path integral, from which we speculate that the capacity has a discontinuity at the Page time in contrast to the continuous behavior of the generalized entropy. We apply the formula to a replica wormhole solution in an eternal AdS black hole coupled to a flat non-gravitating bath and show that the capacity of entanglement is saturated by the thermal capacity of the black hole in the high temperature limit.

2D gravity↗
DOE OSTI2021

Using concentrating-solar-power plants as economic carbon-free capacity resources

Deep decarbonization of electricity systems raises concerns about the need for generating capacity that can maintain reliable energy supply. Given this concern, we explore the ability of concentrating-solar-power plants with thermal energy storage to provide a carbon-free source of such capacity. We develop an approach to assessing the capacity contribution of concentrating-solar-power plants that considers future systems. Such considerations are important, because of potential differences in net-load patterns compared to today (e.g., due to higher renewable-energy penetrations). Using historical data spanning an 18-year period, we demonstrate that concentrating-solar-power plants with thermal energy storage can provide this necessary capacity with little impact on their financial viability. We examine the impact of myopic decisions and imperfect foresight of future system conditions on the operation of concentrating-solar-power plants and the resultant impact on their capacity contributions. We find that imperfect foresight can have limited impacts on such a use of concentrating-solar-power plants, so long as proper forecasting techniques are developed and used. Overall, our work shows that concentrating-solar-power plants with thermal energy storage may have a role to play in delivering reliable electricity supply in a decarbonized energy system.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗