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At least 883 records · Page 49

A Robust Machine Learning Schema for Developing, Maintaining, and Disseminating Machine Learning Models

Recent advances in the development of machine learning (ML) algorithms have enabled the creation of predictive models that can improve decision making, decrease computational cost, and improve efficiency in a variety of fields. As an organization begins to develop and implement such models, the data used in the training, validation, and testing of ML models, the model parameters, and the use cases or limitations of the models must be properly stored to ensure models are both fully traceable and used correctly. In the context of predicting material behavior, advances in computationally intense, physics-based modeling of material behavior at various length scales and the emergence of Integrated Computational Materials Engineering (ICME) have driven the need for developing data-driven surrogate models of the physics-based simulation tools using ML techniques. Surrogate model development allows for accurate material behavior prediction at a fraction of the cost of its physics-based counterpart, allowing for multiscale simulations of real-world applications, further enabling the ability to design fit-for-purpose materials for a reasonable computational investment. However, training such models requires extensive data, and thus, effective data management is necessary to reach the full potential that ML can offer to material design and ICME. This paper proposes a generalized, robust schema that allows organizations to store both real (experimental) and virtual (simulation) data used to train ML models and the defining model parameters and architectures within the Granta MI Platform. The developed schema allows for various types of data inputs and outputs, including single point values, time-series data, and images that can be used in the prediction of material behavior, while following outlined best practices for effective data management. An effective schema for ML data and models can help prevent the recreation of virtual/real training data and surrogate models, help reduce the time to create new models similar to existing ones by offering a starting point in the hyperparameter determination stages, minimize resources devoted to verification and validation (V&V) and certification of models, and ensure that data and surrogate models are not misused due to full traceability of both the data and ML model. It also allows organizations access to models that have already been developed, such that they can be used in the design of new materials, enabling the overall goals of ICME.

Brandon L. Hearley↗

Predicting Fiber Failure of Plain Weave Fabric with Recursive Multiscale Micromechanics

Recent advances in the development of machine learning (ML) algorithms have enabled the creation of predictive models that can improve decision making, decrease computational cost, and improve efficiency in a variety of fields. As an organization begins to develop and implement such models, the data used in the training, validation, and testing of machine learning models, the model parameters, and the use cases or limitations of the models must be properly stored to ensure models are both fully traceable and used correctly. In the context of predicting material behavior, advances in computationally intense, physics-based, modeling of material behavior at various length scales, and the emergence of Integrated Computational Materials Engineering (ICME) have driven the need for developing data-driven surrogate models of the physics-based simulation tools using machine learning (ML) techniques. Surrogate model development allows for accurate material behavior prediction at a fraction of the cost of its physics-based counterpart, allowing for multiscale simulations of real-world applications, further enabling the ability to design fit-for-purpose materials for a reasonable computational investment. However, training such models requires extensive data, and thus effective data management is necessary to reach the full potential that ML can offer to material design and ICME. This paper proposes a generalized, robust schema that allows organizations to store both real (experimental) and virtual (simulation) data used to train machine learning models and the defining model parameters and architectures. The developed schema allows for various types of data inputs and outputs, including single point values, time-series data, and images that can be used in for various types of machine learning models while following outlined best practices for effective data management. An effective schema for machine learning data and models can help prevent the recreation of virtual/real training data and surrogate models, can help reduce the time to create new models similar to existing ones by offering a starting point in the hyperparameter determination stages, minimize resources devoted to verification and validation (V&V) and certification of models, and ensure that data and surrogate models are not misused due to full traceability of both the data and ML model. It also allows organizations access to models that have already been developed, such that they can be used in the design of new materials, enabling the overall goals of ICME.

Failure↗

The TOLNet 2.0 Website: How an API Can Promote Open Science and FAIR Principles

The Tropospheric Ozone Lidar Network (TOLNet) has generated over a decade of ozone vertical profile data products over North America. The science value of the TOLNet data has been demonstrated in numerous peer-reviewed publications on air quality and other ozone relevant research. To support the broad spectrum of data use, the TOLNet team launched a major effort to upgrade the web-based data repository aiming to enhance the data discoverability and to enable machine-to-machine data upload and download processes. Specifically, the TOLNet website included an application programming interface (API), which supports machine-to-machine data search and data download. The API also extracts selected variables from the files, which can be retrieved as JSON objects and used to create data displays without having to download or open the underlying files. The TOLNet science team members can also use the API for automated data upload, including a data file scanning feature to ensure data product integrity. To be presented will include a summary of key features of data repositories, an actual use case of machine-to-machine data access/use, as well as our journey to make TOLNet data more FAIR, i.e., more findable, accessible, interoperable, and (re)usable.

Crystal Gummo↗

Awe Bonner sphere measurements of the neutron leakage spectrum from the GODIVIA-IV critical assembly at NCERC - 14413

The US National Criticality Experiments Research Centre (NCERC) is home to several critical assembly machines that were relocated from Los Alamos National Laboratory in the last decade. The centre is sponsored by the Department of Energy's Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP), which has the mission to ensure the safe handling of fissile materials from a criticality perspective. Under the auspices of the NCSP, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) is planning to host an international inter-comparison of nuclear accident dosimetry (NAD) using the Godiva-IV assembly at NCERC. The inter-comparison is motivated by a decline in the frequency of performance testing of NADs (both in the US, the UK and France) and the desire to modernize and harmonize dosimetry systems. A pre-requisite for the inter-comparison is the characterisation of the neutron and gamma-ray leakage spectra associated with the Godiva-IV assembly at NCERC. AWE provided its Bonner-sphere spectrometry capability to LLNL for two experimental campaigns, in November 2013 and May 2014, to measure the neutron leakage spectrum of the assembly in both a sub-critical 'steady-state' and a super-prompt-critical 'burst'. Nine points, at distances from 2 to 4 meters from the machine were measured with the Bonner-sphere spectrometer using both an active He-3 detector and a passive technique employing gold foils. This paper presents the spectra unfolded from the data and integral dose values, and compares these to previously published data. The limitations of the work and future plans are also discussed. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Remote Characterization of Biomass Measurements: Case Study of Mangrove Forests

Accurately quantifying forest biomass is of crucial importance for climate change studies. By quantifying the amount of above and below ground biomass and consequently carbon stored in forest ecosystems, we are able to derive estimates of carbon sequestration, emission and storage and help close the carbon budget. Mangrove forests, in addition to providing habitat and nursery grounds for over 1300 animal species, are also an important sink of biomass. Although they only constitute about 3% of the total forested area globally, their carbon storage capacity -- in forested biomass and soil carbon -- is greater than that of tropical forests (Lucas et al, 2007). In addition, the amount of mangrove carbon -- in the form of litter and leaves exported into offshore areas is immense, resulting in over 10% of the ocean's dissolved organic carbon originating from mangroves (Dittmar et al, 2006) The measurement of forest above ground biomass is carried out on two major scales: on the plot scale, biomass can be measured using field measurements through allometric equation derivation and measurements of forest plots. On the larger scale, the field data are used to calibrate remotely sensed data to obtain stand-wide or even regional estimates of biomass. Currently, biomass can be calculated using average stand biomass values and optical data, such as aerial photography or satellite images (Landsat, Modis, Ikonos, SPOT, etc.). More recent studies have concentrated on deriving forest biomass values using radar (JERS, SIR-C, SRTM, Airsar) and/or lidar (ICEsat/GLAS, LVIS) active remote sensing to retrieve more accurate and detailed measurements of forest biomass. The implementation of a generation of new active sensors (UAVSar, DesdynI, Alos/Palsar, TerraX) has prompted the development of new tecm'liques of biomass estimation that use the combination of multiple sensors and datasets, to quantify past, current and future biomass stocks. Focusing on mangrove forest biomass estimation, this book chapter has 3 main objectives: a) To describe in detail the field methodologies used to derive accurate estimates of biomass in mangrove forests b) To explain how mangrove forest biomass can be measured using several remote sensing techniques and datasets c) To give a detailed explanation of the measurement challenges and errors that arise in each estimate of forest biomass

Fatoyinbo, Temilola E.↗

Extraction from flight data of longitudinal aerodynamic coefficients in maneuvering flight for F-8C aircraft

Flight-test data were used to extract the longitudinal aerodynamic parameters of the F-8C aircraft. The aircraft was trimmed in a steady turn at angles of attack of approximately 9 deg and 13 deg at Mach numbers of 0.7 and 0.8. The parameters extracted resulted in a good match to the flight data and the values obtained were reasonable. The values were further verified by comparing the period and time to damp to half-amplitude, as calculated by using the extracted parameter values, with the period and time to damp to half-amplitude actually measured from the flight data traces. These results show that for the set of data examined, a mathematical model using linear aerodynamics was adequate to describe the response motions at the test angles of attack.

Suit, W. T.↗

Aerodynamic parameters of High-Angle-of attack Research Vehicle (HARV) estimated from flight data

Aerodynamic parameters of the High-Angle-of-Attack Research Aircraft (HARV) were estimated from flight data at different values of the angle of attack between 10 degrees and 50 degrees. The main part of the data was obtained from small amplitude longitudinal and lateral maneuvers. A small number of large amplitude maneuvers was also used in the estimation. The measured data were first checked for their compatibility. It was found that the accuracy of air data was degraded by unexplained bias errors. Then, the data were analyzed by a stepwise regression method for obtaining a structure of aerodynamic model equations and least squares parameter estimates. Because of high data collinearity in several maneuvers, some of the longitudinal and all lateral maneuvers were reanalyzed by using two biased estimation techniques, the principal components regression and mixed estimation. The estimated parameters in the form of stability and control derivatives, and aerodynamic coefficients were plotted against the angle of attack and compared with the wind tunnel measurements. The influential parameters are, in general, estimated with acceptable accuracy and most of them are in agreement with wind tunnel results. The simulated responses of the aircraft showed good prediction capabilities of the resulting model.

Klein, Vladislav↗

Lightning observations from space shuttle

The experimental program of the Earth Sciences and Applications Division at NASA/MSFC includes development of the Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) for the NOAA Earth Observing System (EOS) Polar Platform. The research plan is to use existing lightning information to generate simulated data for the LIS experiment. Navigation algorithms were used to transform pixel locations to latitude and longitude values. The simulated data would then be used to test and develop algorithms for the analysis of LIS data. Individual frames of video imagery obtained from Space Shuttle Missions provide the raw data for the simulation. Individual video frames were digitized to get the pixel locations of lightning flashes. The pixel locations will be used to locate the geographical position of the event. Because of a lack of detailed knowledge of camera orientation with respect to the Space Shuttle, video scenes that contain identifiable city lights were chosen for analysis. A method for locating the payload bay camera axis was developed and tested. Two measurements are needed: the pixel location of the apparent horizon and a timed siting of a known location passing the principal line of the image. Individual video frames were navigated and lightning illuminated clouds were located on the map. Satisfactory agreement in location was achieved for cities and LLP lightning locations. Ground truth measurements were compared to satellite observations. A vertical lightning event was identified on the horizon. Very low frequency (VLF) transmission on this particular occassion shows a strong response to negative cloud to cloud flashes.

Boeck, William L.↗

Modelling Rift Valley fever (RVF) disease vector habitats using active and passive remote sensing systems

The NASA Ames Ecosystem Science and Technology Branch and the U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases are conducting research to detect Rift Valley fever (RVF) vector habitats in eastern Africa using active and passive remote-sensing. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) calculated from Landsat TM and SPOT data is used to characterize the vegetation common to the Aedes mosquito. Relationships have been found between the highest NDVI and the 'dambo' habitat areas near Riuru, Kenya on both wet and dry data. High NDVI values, when combined with the vegetation classifications, are clearly related to the areas of vector habitats. SAR data have been proposed for use during the rainy season when optical systems are of minimal use and the short frequency and duration of the optimum RVF mosquito habitat conditions necessitate rapid evaluation of the vegetation/moisture conditions; only then can disease potential be stemmed and eradication efforts initiated.

Ambrosia, Vincent G.↗

Bayesian optimization of generalized data

Direct application of Bayes' theorem to generalized data yields a posterior probability distribution function (PDF) that is a product of a prior PDF of generalized data and a likelihood function, where generalized data consists of model parameters, measured data, and model defect data. The prior PDF of generalized data is defined by prior expectation values and a prior covariance matrix of generalized data that naturally includes covariance between any two components of generalized data. A set of constraints imposed on the posterior expectation values and covariances of generalized data via a given model is formally solved by the method of Lagrange multipliers. Posterior expectation values of the constraints and their covariance matrix are conventionally set to zero, leading to a likelihood function that is a Dirac delta function of the constraining equation. It is shown that setting constraints to values other than zero is analogous to introducing a model defect. Since posterior expectation values of any function of generalized data are integrals of that function over all generalized data weighted by the posterior PDF, all elements of generalized data may be viewed as nuisance parameters marginalized by this integration. One simple form of posterior PDF is obtained when the prior PDF and the likelihood function are normal PDFs. For linear models without a defect this PDF becomes equivalent to constrained least squares (CLS) method, that is, the χ2 minimization method.

Arbanas, Goran↗

Review of Landscaping Equipment Vibration Risk Exposure, LLNL Site 200 (Various Locations), Whole Body Vibration Seated and Standing Mowers

WBV (Whole-Body Vibration) for operators of seated and standing lawn mowers was conducted during landscape activities from April 2019 through August 2019 at various locations around LLNL Site 200. Mowing is generally performed by each landscaper for 2-3 days every other week with a maximum duration of 3-5 hours each day. On mowing days, other tasks are performed for the remainder of the day that do not expose the worker to WBV such as irrigation, blowing, or sweeping. The mowing terrain at LLNL is variable with typical reported conditions such as gopher holes, exposed tree roots, quick turns, normal and high growth, weeds, and mushy/wet ground that can result in jolts to the mower operator. The Larson Davis HVM200 seat pad with tri-axial accelerometer was used for monitoring workers. For the seated mowers, the HVM200 seat pad with tri-axial accelerometer was placed on the seat between the user and seat pan of the mower. For standing mowers, the seat pad with tri-axial accelerometer was wrapped with Dycem (for seat pad protection) and placed directly on top of the mower deck and underneath the end-user’s right foot. Monitoring for WBV was conducted while operators used different types, makes, and models of mowers. A total of sixteen samples were collected from the operators of seated mower and 6 samples were collected from operators of standing mower. This initial data sampling was part of a discovery phase to identify if WBV exposure met the 2016 ACGIH TLVs (Threshold Limit Values). This initial data identified that workers operating the mowers do not exceed either the TLV or Action Level (AL) for Weighted Acceleration Levels (A(8)) but typically exceed the Vibration Dose Value (VDV) lower boundary for the standing mowers.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Are existing magnetospheric models excessively stretched?

The distribution of the average north-south magnetic field component Bz in the vicinity of the neutral sheet has been investigated. This component is crucial for mappings between the nightside polar ionosphere and the equatorial magnetosphere. Data sets consisting of about 0.5 R(E) averages of magnetic field observations by the IMP/HEOS and ISEE spacecraft have been compared to the field predicted by the Tsyganenko (1987, 1989) models T87 and T89. It was found that both T87 and T89 underestimate Bz in the near tail region by as much as a factor of 2. Modified versions of the T87 model, incorporating plasma sheet warping, were obtained by fitting the model parameters via nonlinear least squares to the ISEE data set and yielded Bz values in agreement with the ISEE data. The study reveals an enormous scatter among the observed baseline values of Bz (on a time scale of 10-20 min), as well as intrinsic biases imposed by the mathematical structure of tail models, and these two factors (especially the first one) greatly limit the accuracy of model predictions of tail Bz.

Peredo, Mauricio↗

Quasar UV/X-ray relation luminosity distances are shorter than reverberation-measured radius–luminosity relation luminosity distances

ABSTRACT We use measurements of 59/58 quasars (QSOs), over a redshift range 0.0041 ≤ z ≤ 1.686, to do a comparative study of the radius–luminosity (R − L) and X-ray−UV luminosity (LX − LUV) relations and the implication of these relations for cosmological parameter estimation. By simultaneously determining R − L or LX − LUV relation parameters and cosmological parameters in six different cosmological models, we find that both R − L and LX − LUV relations are standardizable but provide only weak cosmological parameter constraints, with LX − LUV relation data favouring larger current non-relativistic matter density parameter Ωm0 values than R − L relation data and most other available data. We derive LX − LUV and R − L luminosity distances for each of the sources in the six cosmological models and find that LX − LUV relation luminosity distances are shorter than R − L relation luminosity distances as well as standard flat ΛCDM model luminosity distances. This explains why LX − LUV relation QSO data favour larger Ωm0 values than do R − L relation QSO data or most other cosmological measurements. While our sample size is small and only spans a small z range, these results indicate that more work is needed to determine whether the LX − LUV relation can be used as a cosmological probe.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

Geologic exploration: The contribution of LANDSAT-4 thematic mapper data

The major advantages of the TM data over that of MSS systems are increased spatial resolution and a greater number of narrow, strategically placed spectral bands. The 30 meter pixel size permits finer definition of ground features and improves reliability of the photointerpretation of geologic structure. The value of the spatial data increases relative to the value of the spectral data as soil and vegetation cover increase. In arid areas with good exposure, it is possible with careful digital processing and some inventive color compositing to produce enough spectral differentiation of rock types and thereby produce facsimiles of standard geologic maps with a minimum of field work or reference to existing maps. Hue-saturation value images are compared with geological maps of Death Valley, California, the Big Horn/Wind River Basin of Wyoming, the area around Cement, Oklahoma, and Detroit. False color composites of the Ontario region are also examined.

Everett, J. R.↗

REV-INR: Regularized Evidential Implicit Neural Representation for Uncertainty-Aware Volume Visualization

Applications of Implicit Neural Representations (INRs) have emerged as a promising deep learning approach for compactly representing large volumetric datasets. These models can act as surrogates for volume data, enabling efficient storage and on-demand reconstruction via model predictions. However, conventional deterministic INRs only provide value predictions without insights into the model’s prediction uncertainty or the impact of inherent noisiness in the data. This limitation can lead to unreliable data interpretation and visualization due to prediction inaccuracies in the reconstructed volume. Identifying erroneous results extracted from model-predicted data may be infeasible, as raw data may be unavailable due to its large size. To address this challenge, we introduce REV-INR, Regularized Evidential Implicit Neural Representation, which learns to predict data values accurately along with the associated coordinate-level data uncertainty and model uncertainty using only a single forward pass of the trained REV-INR during inference. By comprehensively comparing and contrasting REV-INR with existing well-established deep uncertainty estimation methods, we show that REV-INR achieves the best volume reconstruction quality with robust data (aleatoric) and model (epistemic) uncertainty estimates using the fastest inference time. Consequently, we demonstrate that REV-INR facilitates assessment of the reliability and trustworthiness of the extracted isosurfaces and volume visualization results, enabling analyses to be solely driven by model-predicted data.

Saklani, Shanu [Indian Institute of Technology, Ka↗

Radar Super Resolution using a Deep Convolutional Neural Network

Super-resolution involves synthetically increasing the resolution of gridded data beyond its native resolution. Typically, this is done using interpolation schemes, which estimate sub-grid scale values from neighboring data, and perform the same operation everywhere regardless of the large-scale context, or by requiring a network of radars with overlapping fields of view. Recently, significant progress has been made in single image super resolution using convolutional neural networks. Conceptually, a neural network may be able to learn relations between large scale precipitation features and the associated sub-pixel scale variability and outperform interpolation schemes. Here, we use a deep convolutional neural network to artificially enhance the resolution of NEXRAD PPI scans. The model is trained on 6-months of reflectivity observations from the Langley Hill WA (KLGX) radar, and we find that it substantially outperforms common interpolation schemes for x4 and x8 resolution increases based on several objective error and perceptual quality metrics.

radar, machine learning, super resolution, Remote ↗

The Power Curve Working Group's assessment of wind turbine power performance prediction methods

Wind turbine power production deviates from the reference power curve in real-world atmospheric conditions. Correctly predicting turbine power performance requires models to be validated for a wide range of wind turbines using inflow in different locations. The Share-3 exercise is the most recent intelligence-sharing exercise of the Power Curve Working Group, which aims to advance the modeling of turbine performance. The goal of the exercise is to search for modeling methods that reduce error and uncertainty in power prediction when wind shear and turbulence digress from design conditions. Herein, we analyze data from 55 wind turbine power performance tests from nine contributing organizations with statistical tests to quantify the skills of the prediction-correction methods. We assess the accuracy and precision of four proposed trial methods against the baseline method, which uses the conventional definition of a power curve with wind speed and air density at hub height. The trial methods reduce power-production prediction errors compared to the baseline method at high wind speeds, which contribute heavily to power production; however, the trial methods fail to significantly reduce prediction uncertainty in most meteorological conditions. For the meteorological conditions when a wind turbine produces less than the power its reference power curve suggests, using power deviation matrices leads to more accurate power prediction. We also determine that for more than half of the submissions, the data set has a large influence on the effectiveness of a trial method. Overall, this work affirms the value of data-sharing efforts in advancing power curve modeling and establishes the groundwork for future collaborations.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Comparison of Wind-Tunnel Predictions with Flight Measurements of the Longitudinal-Stability and -Control Characteristics of a Douglas BTD-1 Airplane

Low Mach number longitudinal-stability and control characteristics as predicted by use of wind tunnel data from a powered 3/16-scale model are compared with flight test measurements of a Navy BTD-1 airplane. The accuracy of the wind tunnel data and the discrepancies involved in attempting to correlate with flight data are discussed and analyzed. The comparison showed that wind tunnel predictions were, in general, in good agreement with flight test data. The predicted values were for the most part sufficiently accurate to show the satisfactory and unsatisfactory characteristics in the preliminary design stage and to indicate possible methods of improvement. The discrepancies which did occur were attributed principally to physical dissimilarities between model and airplane and the instability to determine accurately the flight power conditions. The effect of Mach number was considered negligible since the maximum flight test value was about 0.5. In order to simulate more closely the flight conditions and hence obtain more accurate data for predictions, it appears desirable to perform large-scale tests of unorthodox control surfaces such as the sealed vaned elevators with which the airplane was equipped.

Bunnell, Mort V.↗