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At least 883 records · Page 49

Hybrid phenology matching model for robust crop phenological retrieval

Crop phenology regulates seasonal agroecosystem carbon, water, and energy exchanges, and is a key component in empirical and process-based crop models for simulating biogeochemical cycles of farmlands, assessing gross and net primary production, and forecasting the crop yield. The advances in phenology matching models provide a feasible means to monitor crop phenological progress using remote sensing observations, with a priori information of reference shapes and reference phenological transition dates. Yet the underlying geometrical scaling assumption of models, together with the challenge in defining phenological references, hinders the applicability of phenology matching in crop phenological studies. The objective of this study is to develop a novel hybrid phenology matching model to robustly retrieve a diverse spectrum of crop phenological stages using satellite time series. The devised hybrid model leverages the complementary strengths of phenometric extraction methods and phenology matching models. It relaxes the geometrical scaling assumption and can characterize key phenological stages of crop cycles, ranging from farming practice-relevant stages (e.g., planted and harvested) to crop development stages (e.g., emerged and mature). To systematically evaluate the influence of phenological references on phenology matching, four representative phenological reference scenarios under varying levels of phenological calibrations in terms of time and space are further designed with publicly accessible phenological information. The results indicate that the hybrid phenology matching model can achieve high accuracies for estimating corn and soybean phenological growth stages in Illinois, particularly with the year- and region-adjusted phenological reference (R-squared higher than 0.9 and RMSE less than 5 days for most phenological stages). The inter-annual and regional phenological patterns characterized by the hybrid model correspond well with those in the crop progress reports (CPRs) from the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS). Compared to the benchmark phenology matching model, the hybrid model is more robust to the decreasing levels of phenological reference calibrations, and is particularly advantageous in retrieving crop early phenological stages (e.g., planted and emerged stages) when the phenological reference information is limited. This innovative hybrid phenology matching model, together with CPR-enabled phenological reference calibrations, holds 3 considerable promise in revealing spatio-temporal patterns of crop phenology over extended geographical regions.

Phenology↗

Angles-Only Robust Trajectory Optimization for NRHO Rendezvous

This study demonstrates a robust trajectory optimization approach for rendezvous and proximity operations with angles-only navigation measurements. Often, sensors that directly measure relative range and velocity require communication or coordination between the chaser and target vehicle and can have limiting pointing accuracy, mass, or power requirements compared to angle measurement sensors. Thus, the capability to perform a rendezvous with only angle measurements can be advantageous for vehicle design and to improve robustness to failures. However, the well studied limitation of angles-only navigation in measuring range results in large uncertainties in the navigation system that must be reduced with chaser vehicle thrust maneuvers to induce observability in range for the navigation filter. This analysis presents a trajectory optimization problem for a lunar ascent rendezvous during a crewed lunar mission in a Near-Rectilinear Halo Orbit (NRHO) that is limited to only angle measurements. The objective of this study is to show that an angles-only rendezvous is feasible in an NRHO and to present the sensitivity to an assortment of constraints generated from a systematic optimization process using linear covariance analysis and particle swarm optimization. Linearized NRHO dynamics and linearized relative targeting are applied to use linear covariance analysis to determine the expected delta-v and trajectory dispersions due to initial state uncertainty, sensor errors, maneuver execution errors, and unmodeled dynamics. The delta-v and trajectory dispersions are passed into a particle swarm optimization algorithm to find the optimized maneuver profile that minimizes fuel use while satisfying constraints such as free drift and underburn to 3-sigma certainty. The trajectory constraints including time available, desired final uncertainty, and initial uncertainty are varied to ascertain sensitivity and desirable engineering trades.

Linear Covariance Analysis↗

Development of a Weather Robust Microphone Configuration for Sonic Boom Measurements

This paper discusses ongoing development and testing of ground-based, weather-robust microphone measurement systems in conjunction with preparation for community testing of the NASA X-59 quiet supersonic aircraft. Prior efforts [Anderson et al., Proc. Mtgs. Acoust. 42, 040005 (2022)] resulted in the refinement of a ground-plate setup by investigating varied windscreen and plate diameters and thicknesses. The most recent goal has been to make the setup more compact and easier to manufacture. This paper discusses the results of additional tests performed on updated designs meant to find the balance between compactness and performance. Anechoic chamber testing was performed to examine ground plate and windscreen performance and to compare results against prior versions. Outdoor tests included measurements during different wind conditions and over different ground surfaces to examine low-frequency wind noise reduction and ground impedance effects. Results discussed during the presentation suggest the new design strikes an acceptable compromise between compactness, manufacturing ease and robustness, and performance. [Work supported by NASA Langley Research Center through Analytical Mechanics Associates]

sonic boom↗

Robust Trajectory Optimization Techniques Using a Sweeping Gradient Method and Linear Covariance Analysis

We present robust trajectory optimization techniques using a sweeping gradient method for ordinary differential equations with events (SGM) and linear covariance analysis (LinCov). SGM is a method for computing the gradient of trajectory analyses defined by performance indices over initial value problems with events with respect to static parameters. LinCov is an analytic technique for predicting stochastic behavior of dynamical systems. By combining SGM and LinCov, it is possible use efficient, off-the-shelf, gradient-based optimizers to solve robust optimal trajectory design problems. We describe the individual methods and some details on how they can be combined. Then we apply the combined techniques to a variety of orbital trajectory design problems to demonstrate its use, including minimum fuel transfer and mid-course correction burn scheduling.

Benjamin W L Margolis↗

Robust Critical Point Detection

Robust Critical Point Detection is a software to compute critical points in a 2D or 3D vector field robustly. The software was developed as a part of the author's work at the lab as a Phd student under Livermore Scholar Program (now called Livermore Graduate Scholar Program).

Bhatia, Harsh↗

Robust Reconfiguration of A Distribution System

In this paper, a robust reconfiguration approach based on Mixed Integer Programming (MIP) is proposed to minimize loss in distribution systems. A Depth-First Search (DFS) algorithm to enumerate possible loops provides radiality constraint. This provides a general solution to the radiality constraint for distribution system reconfiguration/expansion problems. Still, imprecision and ambiguity in net loads, i.e. load minus renewable generation, due to lack of sufficient measurements and high utilization of demand response programs and renewable resources, creates challenges for effective reconfiguration. Deterministic optimization of reconfiguration may no lead to optimal/feasible results. Two methods to address these uncertainties are introduced in this paper: one, based on a stochastic MIP (SMIP) formulation and two, based on a fuzzy MIP (FMIP) formulation. Case studies demonstrate the robustness and efficiency of the proposed reconfiguration methods.

Depth-First Search (DFS)↗

Robust Online Monitoring for Calibration Assessment of Transmitters and Instrumentation

Robust online monitoring (OLM) technologies are expected to enable the extension or elimination of periodic sensor calibration intervals in operating and new reactors. These advances in OLM technologies will improve the safety and reliability of current and planned nuclear power systems through improved accuracy and increased reliability of sensors used to monitor key parameters. In this article, we discuss an overview of research being performed within the Nuclear Energy Enabling Technologies (NEET)/Advanced Sensors and Instrumentation (ASI) program, for the development of OLM algorithms to use sensor outputs and, in combination with other available information, 1) determine whether one or more sensors are out of calibration or failing and 2) replace a failing sensor with reliable, accurate sensor outputs. Algorithm development is focused on the following OLM functions: • Signal validation • Virtual sensing • Sensor response-time assessment These algorithms incorporate, at their base, a Gaussian Process-based uncertainty quantification (UQ) method. Various plant models (using kernel regression, GP, or hierarchical models) may be used to predict sensor responses under various plant conditions. These predicted responses can then be applied in fault detection (sensor output and response time) and in computing the correct value (virtual sensing) of a failing physical sensor. The methods being evaluated in this work can compute confidence levels along with the predicted sensor responses, and as a result, may have the potential for compensating for sensor drift in real-time (online recalibration). Evaluation was conducted using data from multiple sources (laboratory flow loops and plant data). Ongoing research in this project is focused on further evaluation of the algorithms, optimization for accuracy and computational efficiency, and integration into a suite of tools for robust OLM that are applicable to monitoring sensor calibration state in nuclear power plants.

fault detection↗

ROBUST ONLINE MONITORING FOR CALIBRATION ASSESSMENT OF TRANSMITTERS AND INSTRUMENTATION

Robust online monitoring (OLM) technologies are expected to enable the extension or elimination of periodic sensor calibration intervals in operating and new reactors. Specifically, the next generation of OLM technology is expected to include newly developed advanced algorithms that improve monitoring of sensor/system performance and enable the use of plant data to derive information that currently cannot be measured. These advances in OLM technologies will improve the safety and reliability of current and planned nuclear power systems through improved accuracy and increased reliability of sensors used to monitor key parameters. In this paper, we discuss an overview of research being performed within the Nuclear Energy Enabling Technologies (NEET)/Advanced Sensors and Instrumentation (ASI) program, for the development of OLM algorithms to use sensor outputs and, in combination with other available information, 1) determine whether one or more sensors are out of calibration or failing and 2) replace a failing sensor with reliable, accurate sensor outputs. Algorithm development is focused on the following OLM functions: • Signal validation – fault detection and selection of acceptance criteria • Virtual sensing – signal value prediction and acceptance criteria • Response-time assessment – fault detection and acceptance criteria selection A GP-based uncertainty quantification (UQ) method previously developed for UQ in OLM, was adapted for use in sensor-fault detection and virtual sensing. For signal validation, the various components to the OLM residual (which is computed using an AAKR model) were explicitly defined and modeled using a GP. Evaluation was conducted using flow loop data from multiple sources. Results using experimental data from laboratory-scale flow loops indicate that the approach, while capable of detecting sensor drift, may be incapable of discriminating between sensor drift and model inadequacy. This may be due to a simplification applied in the initial modeling, where the sensor degradation is assumed to be stationary. In the case of virtual sensors, the GP model was used in a predictive mode to estimate the correct sensor reading for sensors that may have failed. Results have indicated the viability of using this approach for virtual sensing. However, the GP model has proven to be computationally expensive, and so alternative algorithms for virtual sensing are being evaluated. Finally, automated approaches to performing noise analysis for extracting sensor response time were developed. Evaluation of this technique using laboratory-scale data indicates that it compares well with manual techniques previously used for noise analysis. Moreover, the automated and manual approaches for noise analysis also compare well with the current “gold standard”, hydraulic ramp testing, for response time monitoring. Ongoing research in this project is focused on further evaluation of the algorithms, optimization for accuracy and computational efficiency, and integration into a suite of tools for robust OLM that are applicable to monitoring sensor calibration state in nuclear power plants.

calibration interval extension↗

Key factors in designing a robust biorefinery feedstock preprocessing system

One essential prerequisite for achieving design throughput and product conversion yield of cellulosic biofuel in commercial operation is a robust biomass feedstock preprocessing system. Such a system will reliably and steadily supply consistent quality feedstock to the conversion reactor. Pioneer cellulosic biofuel plants have encountered many feedstock handling challenges which lead to lengthy startup and difficulties in meeting plant nameplate production rate. Most of the biomass material handling challenges are caused by: (1) variability in biomass properties especially for herbaceous materials such as corn stover, (2) inadequate integrated testing of equipment, (3) not using the appropriate equipment or equipment design for the job, (4) mismatching of equipment capacity and turn down ratio, (5) lack of integrated control for the whole feedstock preprocessing system, and (6) inadequate surge capacity. This presentation will discuss the feedstock preprocessing challenges, identify key areas from equipment design and operation to process integration requiring optimization or further development to achieve robust integrated biomass feedstock preprocessing systems.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Optimal PV Inverter Control in Distribution Systems via Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization

Distribution systems with high penetration of uncertain solar generation call for advanced control strategies of photovoltaics (PVs) inverters. This paper proposes a data-driven distributionally robust optimization (DDDRO) approach to optimally controlling the PV inverters to improve the system operation performance under solar power uncertainties. In the proposed DDDRO approach, a Wasserstein ball-based method is proposed to construct the distributional ambiguity set to model the uncertainties of PV generation through partial observations of historical data without knowing exact probability distributions. We further reformulate the computationally intractable DDDRO model to a mixed integer second order cone programming (MISOCP) problem. The effectiveness and out-of-sample performance of the proposed approach have been demonstrated on a modified IEEE 33-node system. We conduct a comparative study to compare the proposed method with traditional chance constrained programming (CCP). It shows that the proposed DDDRO approach can provide a less conservative yet robust solution to minimize the worse-case expectation of the total network loss while maintaining nodal voltages in a secure range.

Xue, Yaosuo↗

A Robust Approach to Sequential Information Theoretic Planning

In many sequential planning applications a natural approach to generating high quality plans is to maximize an information reward such as mutual information (MI). Unfortunately, MI lacks a closed form in all but trivial models, and so must be estimated. In applications where the cost of plan execution is expensive, one desires planning estimates which admit theoretical guarantees. Through the use of robust M-estimators we obtain bounds on absolute deviation of estimated MI. Moreover, we propose a sequential algorithm which integrates inference and planning by maximally reusing particles in each stage. We validate the utility of using robust estimators in the sequential approach on a Gaussian Markov Random Field wherein information measures have a closed form. Lastly, we demonstrate the benefits of our integrated approach in the context of sequential experiment design for inferring causal regulatory networks from gene expression levels. Here, our method shows improvements over a recent method which selects intervention experiments based on the same MI objective.

Zheng, Sue↗

Robustness of deep learning algorithms in astronomy -- galaxy morphology studies

Deep learning models are being increasingly adopted in wide array of scientific domains, especially to handle high-dimensionality and volume of the scientific data. However, these models tend to be brittle due to their complexity and overparametrization, especially to the inadvertent adversarial perturbations that can appear due to common image processing such as compression or blurring that are often seen with real scientific data. It is crucial to understand this brittleness and develop models robust to these adversarial perturbations. To this end, we study the effect of observational noise from the exposure time, as well as the worst case scenario of a one-pixel attack as a proxy for compression or telescope errors on performance of ResNet18 trained to distinguish between galaxies of different morphologies in LSST mock data. We also explore how domain adaptation techniques can help improve model robustness in case of this type of naturally occurring attacks and help scientists build more trustworthy and stable models.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Evaluation and Comparison of a New Robust Waveform Against Direct Sequence Spread Spectrum for HF

This paper provides a comprehensive performance comparison between a filter bank multicarrier spread-spectrum (FBMC-SS) waveform and a current robust military waveform; namely, MIL-STD-188-110D, Waveform 0, proposed for communications through ionospheric/skywave HF channels. Waveform 0 is effectively a direct sequence spread spectrum waveform that uses the Walsh multi-codes to enhance the information transmission rate. It may thus be referred to as Walsh-DSSS. FBMC-SS, on the other hand, makes use of filter banks to provide excellent performance when the received signal is subject to partial band interference. Successful application of FBMC-SS for communications across skywave HF channels has been previously demonstrated, both theoretically and through experimental work. However, very little has been done to contrast FBMC-SS against Walsh-DSSS. The goal of this paper is to first add new features to FBMC-SS to bring it on par with Walsh- DSSS. These features include: (i), introduction of multi-codes that achieve a comparable (or better) data rate to the Walsh-DSSS; and (ii), addition of a scrambling step applied to the multi-codes to make the receiver detection robust against widely spread multipaths. With this established, in the second part of the paper, we examine the performance of the developed FBMC-SS against Walsh-DSSS when both are applied for communications across skywave HF channels. The two waveforms are compared both through a theoretical study and through experimental works across several skywave channels ranging from hundreds to thousands of kilometers.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Impact of f-element complexation on the radiolytic robustness of separations ligands

Impact of f-element complexation on the radiolytic robustness of separations ligands Gregory P. Horne, Makayla R. Baxter, Corey D. Pilgrim, Travis S. Grimes, Center for Radiation Chemistry Research, Idaho National Laboratory, P.O. Box 1625, Idaho Falls, ID, 83415, USA Cristian Celis Barros, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306, USA. E-mail: ccelisbarros@fsu.edu Andrew R. Cook, Department of Chemistry, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, New York, 11973, USA Stephen P. Mezyk, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, California State University Long Beach, 1250 Bellflower Boulevard, Long Beach, California, 90840-9507, USA The effects of ionizing radiation are ubiquitous throughout all aspects of a nuclear fuel cycle. However, the complexity and intensity of these effects are greatest during the management of used nuclear fuel, owing to the presence of a wide spectrum of radionuclides from neutron capture and fission processes. With regards to used nuclear fuel (UNF) reprocessing, radiation-induced processes typically promote the destruction of active compounds (e.g., complexants and additives) with the concomitant formation of potentially detrimental degradation products and corresponding changes in physical and chemical properties, which ultimately impact the effectiveness and longevity of a given reprocessing system. Concerning UNF complexants, radiation chemistry studies have historically focused on their radiation robustness in the absence of the metal ions they were designed to selectively complex. This knowledge gap is worrisome as previous studies on aqueous phase complexants have demonstrated significant changes in radiolytic behavior upon metal ion complexation.1-4 More recently, the rate of reaction of the n-dodecane radical cation—believed to be the major organic phase radiation-induced transient species responsible for complexant radiolysis in n-dodecane based solvent systems—with hexa-n-octylnitrilo-triacetamide (HONTA) was shown to increase by an order-of-magnitude upon complexation of europium or americium.5 These findings have significant implications on the projected longevity of complexants in UNF reprocessing solvent systems. Consequently, a thorough understanding of metal ion complexation effects on the radiolytic integrity of UNF complexants is essential to evaluate their potential for process application. Presented here are two recent studies from the Idaho National Laboratory Center for Radiation Chemistry Research group that demonstrate the various impacts of f-element complexation (uranium, americium, and lanthanides) on the radiolytic integrity (gamma and electron pulse) of tributyl phosphate (TBP), N,N-di-(2-ethylhexyl)butyramide (DEHBA), N,N-di-2-ethylhexylisobutryamide (DEHiBA), and 2-ethylhexylphosphonic acid mono-2-ethylhexyl ester (HEH[EHP]) under UNF reprocessing conditions. References 1) Bhattacharyya and Kundu, Int. J. Radiat. Phys. Chem., 1971, 3, 1. 2) Kundu and Matuura, Int. J. Radiat. Phys. Chem., 1975, 7, 565. 3) Ilan and Czapski, Biochimica et Biophysica Acta, 1977, 498, 386. 4) Buettner, Doherty, and Patterson, Fed. Euro. Biochem. Soc., 1983, 158 (1), 143. 5) Toigawa, Peterman, Meeker, Grimes, Zalupski, Mezyk, Cook, Yamashita, Kumagai, Matsumura, Horne, PCCP, 2021, 23, 1343.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Robust online monitoring for calibration assessment of transmitters and instrumentation - 260

Robust online monitoring (OLM) technologies are expected to enable the extension or elimination of periodic sensor calibration intervals in operating and new reactors. Advances in OLM technologies will improve the safety and reliability of current and planned nuclear power systems through improved accuracy and increased reliability of sensors used to monitor key parameters. In this paper, we discuss an overview of research being performed within the Nuclear Energy Enabling Technologies (NEET)/Advanced Sensors and Instrumentation (ASI) program, for the development of OLM algorithms to use sensor outputs and, in combination with other available information, 1) determine whether one or more sensors are out of calibration or failing and 2) replace a failing sensor with reliable, accurate sensor outputs. A Gaussian Process (GP)-based uncertainty quantification (UQ) method previously developed for UQ in OLM, was adapted for this purpose. The resulting models are being evaluated for use in high-confidence signal validation for the purpose of detecting and diagnosing sensor faults, and for computing virtual sensor outputs that may be used as a temporary replacement for failing sensors. In addition to assessing sensor drift, approaches for extracting sensor response time in an automated fashion were developed, for monitoring changes in sensor response time in pressure transmitters. Such changes are also indicative of various fault modes. These algorithms were evaluated with existing measurement data from several laboratory-scale flow loops. Ongoing research in this project is focused on further evaluation of the algorithms, optimization for accuracy and computational efficiency, and integration into a suite of tools for robust OLM that are applicable to monitoring sensor calibration state in nuclear power plants. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Recent Advances in PyROS: The Pyomo Solver for Two-Stage Nonconvex Robust Optimization

The slides present recent algorithmic and implementation advances of the two-stage robust optimization (RO) solver PyROS, and a benchmarking study which demonstrates the utility of PyROS for two-stage RO problems. The advances include extensions of the scope of PyROS to models with uncertain variable bounds, improvements to the initializations of the subproblems used by the underlying cutting set algorithm, and extensions of the uncertainty set interfaces. The benchmarking study is performed on a library of over 8,500 instances, with variations in the nonlinearities, degree-of-freedom partitioning, uncertainty sets, and polynomial decision rule approximations. Overall, the results highlight the effectiveness of PyROS for obtaining robust solutions to optimization problems with uncertain equality constraints.

Sherman, Jason↗

Nonconvex Two-Stage Robust Optimization of an Amine-Based CO2 Capture System

These summary slides highlight uncertainty and technical risk reduction capabilities in CCSI2, with a focus on robust optimization. PyROS is used to obtain robust system designs of a MEA-based CO2 absorber under uncertainty in the thermodynamic property models for a variety of CO2 capture rate threshold requirements.

Sherman, Jason↗

Recent Advances in PyROS: The Pyomo Solver for Two-Stage Nonconvex Robust Optimization

The slides present recent algorithmic and implementation advances of the two-stage robust optimization (RO) solver PyROS, and a benchmarking study which demonstrates the utility of PyROS for two-stage RO problems. The advances include extensions of the scope of PyROS to models with uncertain variable bounds, improvements to the initializations of the subproblems used by the underlying cutting set algorithm, and extensions of the uncertainty set interfaces. The benchmarking study is performed on a library of over 8,500 instances, with variations in the nonlinearities, degree-of-freedom partitioning, uncertainty sets, and polynomial decision rule approximations. Overall, the results highlight the effectiveness of PyROS for obtaining robust solutions to optimization problems with uncertain equality constraints.

Sherman, Jason↗