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At least 883 records · Page 49
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2014

Expansion of the Real-time Sport-land Information System for NOAA / National Weather Service Situational Awareness and Local Modeling Applications

The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center in Huntsville, AL (Jedlovec 2013; Ralph et al. 2013; Merceret et al. 2013) is running a real-time configuration of the Noah land surface model (LSM) within the NASA Land Information System (LIS) framework (hereafter referred to as the "SPoRT-LIS"). Output from the real-time SPoRT-LIS is used for (1) initializing land surface variables for local modeling applications, and (2) displaying in decision support systems for situational awareness and drought monitoring at select NOAA/National Weather Service (NWS) partner offices. The SPoRT-LIS is currently run over a domain covering the southeastern half of the Continental United States (CONUS), with an additional experimental real-time run over the entire CONUS and surrounding portions of southern Canada and northern Mexico. The experimental CONUS run incorporates hourly quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) from the National Severe Storms Laboratory Multi- Radar Multi-Sensor (MRMS) product (Zhang et al. 2011, 2014), which will be transitioned into operations at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) in Fall 2014. This paper describes the current and experimental SPoRT-LIS configurations, and documents some of the limitations still remaining through the advent of MRMS precipitation analyses in the SPoRT-LIS land surface model (LSM) simulations. Section 2 gives background information on the NASA LIS and describes the realtime SPoRT-LIS configurations being compared. Section 3 presents recent work done to develop a training module on situational awareness applications of real-time SPoRT-LIS output. Comparisons between output from the two SPoRT-LIS runs are shown in Section 4, including a documentation of issues encountered in using the MRMS precipitation dataset. A summary and future work in given in Section 5, followed by acknowledgements and references.

Case, Jonathan L.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Prediction of convective activity using a system of parasitic-nested numerical models

A limited area, three dimensional, moist, primitive equation (PE) model is developed to test the sensitivity of quantitative precipitation forecasts to the initial relative humidity distribution. Special emphasis is placed on the squall-line region. To accomplish the desired goal, time dependent lateral boundaries and a general convective parameterization scheme suitable for mid-latitude systems were developed. The sequential plume convective parameterization scheme presented is designed to have the versatility necessary in mid-latitudes and to be applicable for short-range forecasts. The results indicate that the scheme is able to function in the frontally forced squallline region, in the gently rising altostratus region ahead of the approaching low center, and in the over-riding region ahead of the warm front. Three experiments are discussed.

Perkey, D. J.↗
NASA NTRS2007

An Improved Bulk Microphysical Scheme for Studying Precipitation Processes: Comparisons with Other Schemes

Cloud microphysical processes play an important role in non-hydrostatic high-resolution simulations. Over the past decade both research and operational numerical weather prediction models have started using more complex cloud microphysical schemes that were originally developed for high-resolution cloud-resolving models. An improved bulk microphysical parameterization (adopted from the Goddard microphysics schemes) has recently implemented into the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. This bulk microphysical scheme has three different options --- 2ICE (cloud ice & snow), 3ICE-graupel (cloud ice, snow & graupel) and 3ICE-hail (cloud ice, snow & hail). High-resolution model simulations are conducted to examine the impact of microphysical schemes on two different weather events (a midlatitude linear convective system and an Atlantic hurricane). In addition, this bulk microphysical parameterization is compared with WIRF's three other bulk microphysical schemes.

Tao, W. K.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Spark plasma sintered, MoNbTi-based multi-principal element alloys with Cr, V, and Zr

MoNbTi, MoNbTiZr, CrMoNbTiZr, and MoNbTiVZr multi-principal element alloys (MPEAs) were fabricated via spark plasma sintering (SPS) and investigated for use in high-strength applications. The fabrication method by SPS and powder metallurgy differs from those presented in the prior literature, where most MPEAs are fabricated using arc melting (AM) methods. Here cryogenic milling was used to maximize potential defect sinks (grain boundaries) for radiation resistance and to increase ultimate tensile strength through the Hall-Petch effect. SPS was chosen for consolidation in order to maintain a fine-grained structure during densification. Each alloy was characterized using x-ray diffraction and scanning electron microscopy for phase identification and compositional homogeneity. The base ternary alloy MoNbTi presented a predominantly single BCC system with minor cubic phases. The introduction of additional alloying elements—Zr, V, and Cr—heightened the phase complexity and increased the fractions of a secondary BCC phase and an HCP phase from Zr. The addition of Cr induced a larger fraction of the Laves phase to form. The addition of V caused the precipitation of small Mo inclusions. Thermodynamic analysis was performed to understand the separation of phases in each alloy. Discrepancies among the phase predictions generated by thermodynamic models, phases previously presented in the literature, and the characterization results suggest that MPEA fabrication methods, especially solid-state methods, require significant investigation to ensure that alloys can remain stable throughout their anticipated service lifetimes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Inhibition of asphaltene aggregation using deep eutectic solvents: COSMO-RS calculations and experimental validation

Asphaltene precipitation/deposition adversely affects various oil and gas processes, such as oil recovery, transportation, and petroleum processing. The resulting increase in viscosity of crude oil decreases distillate yields creating unstable phase separation. Deep eutectic solvents (DESs) have recently gained interest as inhibitors of asphaltene aggregation. The goal of the present study is to derive the mechanism of inhibition of petroleum asphaltene aggregation by a novel screening of DESs. An archipelago-based chemical structure of asphaltene was adopted for performing quantum chemical calculations. The structure was used in the conductor-like screening model for real solvents (COSMO-RS) model to screen potential DESs for asphaltene precipitation. It was found that DESs containing thymol were the most promising of the 153 DES combinations screened. The COSMO-RS predictions were validated experimentally using solubility data of asphaltene in DESs. Among the studied DESs, thymol-diphenyl ether provided the highest solubility for asphaltene, which was further validated using the experimental and the COSMO-RS predicted data. In addition, to characterize the structural interactions between asphaltene and DESs, Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy and nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) measurements were performed. It was found that strong interaction between asphaltene and the DESs is responsible for the higher asphaltene dispersion. Finally, the present approach opens pathways to rationally design and understand the impact of structural variation of DESs based on their interactions with asphaltene.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

High-Entropy Alloys for Accelerator Beam Window Applications

Development of novel high-entropy alloys (HEAs) is currently underway for potential use as beam windows in future multi-megawatt target systems at Fermilab. HEAs encompass a new class of materials with a vast design space allowing for material properties to be tailored for particular applications and to potentially offer improved resistance to beam-induced radiation damage and thermal shock effects. The alloy systems being studied consist of several compositions of AlCoCrMnTiV with 4 6 component elements. These alloys are all predicted by CALPHAD simulation to have a single-phase BCC crystal structure and low density, with some compositions displaying ordered, nanoscale precipitates. This presentation will briefly discuss alloy design and synthesis before giving a detailed description of the characterization studies of these HEAs in both the pristine state and post-irradiation by low-energy heavy ions to high damage levels. Electron microscopy techniques to quantify elemental homogeneity and composition, determine grain size, shape, and orientation, and quantify lattice parameters, defect structures and precipitate phases are all being used to study alloy microstructures. Mechanical properties of the alloys at the microscale will be reported. The evolution of these properties as a function of radiation damage will also be described. Bulk thermal characteristics of these HEAs have been tested to measure specific heat capacity and coefficient of thermal expansion as a function of temperature. To determine bulk tensile properties a miniature tensile testing apparatus is under development; it s commissioning will be covered briefly. The talk will conclude with our plans for alloy down-selection.

Burleigh, A. [Fermilab]↗
NASA NTRS1977

Orbiter CCTV video signal noise analysis

The amount of steady state and transient noise which will couple to orbiter CCTV video signal wiring is predicted. The primary emphasis is on the interim system, however, some predictions are made concerning the operational system wiring in the cabin area. Noise sources considered are RF fields from on board transmitters, precipitation static, induced lightning currents, and induced noise from adjacent wiring. The most significant source is noise coupled to video circuits from associated circuits in common connectors. Video signal crosstalk is the primary cause of steady state interference, and mechanically switched control functions cause the largest induced transients.

Lawton, R. M.↗
NASA NTRS1979

Quantitative Analysis of Defects in Silicon

The evaluation and prediction of the conversion efficiency for a variety of silicon samples with differences in structural defects, such as grain boundaries, twin boundaries, precipitate particles, dislocations, etc. are discussed. Quantitative characterization of these structural defects, which were revealed by etching the surface of silicon samples, is performed by using an image analyzer. Due to different crystal growth and fabrication techniques the various types of silicon contain a variety of trace impurity elements and structural defects. The two most important criteria in evaluating the various silicon types for solar cell applications are cost and conversion efficiency.

Natesh, R.↗
NASA NTRS1987

Soil moisture estimation using GOES-VISSR infrared data - A case study with a simple statistical method

Five days of clear sky observations of Kansas and Nebraska are used to examine the statistical relationship between soil moisture and infrared surface temperature observations taken from a geosynchronous satellite. Linear regression is used to relate soil moisture to surface temperature and other variables that represent wind speed, vegetation cover, and low-level temperature advection. Results show good agreement between estimated and observed soil moisture features on each of the 5 days. The average coefficient of determination for five pseudoindependent tests in which the test day is held out of the regression is 0.71. It is shown that a depletion coefficient of 0.92, when used to compute antecedent precipitation index (API), produces the best correlation between API and soil moisture as inferred from GOES thermal infrared data. By averaging daily predicted values over the 5-day rain-free case study period, 92 percent of the variance of the morning surface temperature change is explained by a simple multiple linear regression with all independent variables, or, alternatively, 85 percent of the observed variance in API is explained. It is concluded that this approach can distinguish at least four classes of soil wetness, but the necessity for measurement of surface advection may limit its usefulness in remote areas.

Wetzel, Peter J.↗
NASA NTRS1994

High-spatial-resolution passive microwave sounding systems

The principal contributions of this combined theoretical and experimental effort were to advance and demonstrate new and more accurate techniques for sounding atmospheric temperature, humidity, and precipitation profiles at millimeter wavelengths, and to improve the scientific basis for such soundings. Some of these techniques are being incorporated in both research and operational systems. Specific results include: (1) development of the MIT Microwave Temperature Sounder (MTS), a 118-GHz eight-channel imaging spectrometer plus a switched-frequency spectrometer near 53 GHz, for use on the NASA ER-2 high-altitude aircraft, (2) conduct of ER-2 MTS missions in multiple seasons and locations in combination with other instruments, mapping with unprecedented approximately 2-km lateral resolution atmospheric temperature and precipitation profiles, atmospheric transmittances (at both zenith and nadir), frontal systems, and hurricanes, (3) ground based 118-GHz 3-D spectral images of wavelike structure within clouds passing overhead, (4) development and analysis of approaches to ground- and space-based 5-mm wavelength sounding of the upper stratosphere and mesosphere, which supported the planning of improvements to operational weather satellites, (5) development of improved multidimensional and adaptive retrieval methods for atmospheric temperature and humidity profiles, (6) development of combined nonlinear and statistical retrieval techniques for 183-GHz humidity profile retrievals, (7) development of nonlinear statistical retrieval techniques for precipitation cell-top altitudes, and (8) numerical analyses of the impact of remote sensing data on the accuracy of numerical weather predictions; a 68-km gridded model was used to study the spectral properties of error growth.

Staelin, D. H.↗
NASA NTRS2003

NASA's Scientific Agenda for GPM Mission

The objectives of the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Mission are to: 1) Understand the horizontal and vertical structure of rainfall, its macro- and micro-physical nature, and its associated latent heating, 2) Train and calibrate retrieval algorithms for constellation radiometers, 3) Provide sufficient global sampling to significantly reduce uncertainties in short-term rainfall accumulations, and 4) Extend scientific and societal applications. The GPM mission design consists of a core satellite, constellation satellties, precipitation validation sites for error characterization, and a precipitation processing center. This viewgraph presentation profiles the science goals of the mission, and its capability for producing climate data and weather predictions.

Smith, Eric A.↗
NASA NTRS2012

Development of the GPM Observatory Thermal Vacuum Test Model

A software-based thermal modeling process was documented for generating the thermal panel settings necessary to simulate worst-case on-orbit flight environments in an observatory-level thermal vacuum test setup. The method for creating such a thermal model involved four major steps: (1) determining the major thermal zones for test as indicated by the major dissipating components on the spacecraft, then mapping the major heat flows between these components; (2) finding the flight equivalent sink temperatures for these test thermal zones; (3) determining the thermal test ground support equipment (GSE) design and initial thermal panel settings based on the equivalent sink temperatures; and (4) adjusting the panel settings in the test model to match heat flows and temperatures with the flight model. The observatory test thermal model developed from this process allows quick predictions of the performance of the thermal vacuum test design. In this work, the method described above was applied to the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) core observatory spacecraft, a joint project between NASA and the Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) which is currently being integrated at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center for launch in Early 2014. From preliminary results, the thermal test model generated from this process shows that the heat flows and temperatures match fairly well with the flight thermal model, indicating that the test model can simulate fairly accurately the conditions on-orbit. However, further analysis is needed to determine the best test configuration possible to validate the GPM thermal design before the start of environmental testing later this year. Also, while this analysis method has been applied solely to GPM, it should be emphasized that the same process can be applied to any mission to develop an effective test setup and panel settings which accurately simulate on-orbit thermal environments.

Yang, Kan↗
NASA NTRS2018

Sub-Seasonal Forecasting of the Stratospheric Wave Events, Sudden Stratospheric Warmings, and Their Influence on the Troposphere

Stratospheric wave events and major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events are well captured in high-resolution global forecasts out to 10 days. Tropospheric influences of SSW include statistically significant shifts in the storm tracks and associated surface temperature and precipitation pattern changes. Since these events can in turn influence the troposphere on time scales of 30-60 days the ability to predict these events and the subsequent long-term response on time scales beyond 10 days is of interest. Here we examine the prediction of stratospheric wave events and their evolution using the NASA GMAO (Global Modeling and Assimilation Office) Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) system. This is a recently released subseasonal to seasonal forecast system, GEOS-S2S version 2.1. Compared to GMAO's previous system, the new version runs at higher atmospheric resolution (approximately 1/2 degree globally), contains a substantially improved model of the cryosphere, includes additional interactive aerosol model components, and the ocean data assimilation system has been replaced with a Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter. Results are based on a comprehensive series of hindcasts starting from the year 2000. They show that while the S2S system is not as accurate at 10 days in forecasting major SSW events as the NASA GMAO Forward Processing system, it can usefully predict stratospheric anomalies out to 20 days and the subsequent stratospheric/tropospheric evolution beyond 30 days.

Coy, L.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Observing System Simulation Experiments to Determine the Impact of Spaceborne Differential Absorption Radar Measurements of Marine Surface Pressure on Numerical Weather Prediction

Surface air pressures over marine regions can potentially be measured by estimating the total atmospheric column oxygen content with differential absorption radar (DAR). A demonstration instrument, the Microwave Barometric Radar and Sounder (MBARS) has been funded by NASA for airborne missions in 2024 to show proof of concept. In this presentation, the potential use of such marine surface pressure observations from a spaceborne DAR platform to improve numerical weather prediction is examined using the NASA/GMAO global Observing System Simulation Experiment. Several aspects of the instrument are explored, including contamination by heavy precipitation and the expected error characteristics of the observations. Different orbit and scan configurations are compared, including various constellations of nadir smallsats and A-Train-type scanning configurations. The impacts of marine surface pressure observations are put into context with the current global observing network with a Forecast Sensitivity Observation Impact tool.

Nikki Privé↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Cloud-Based Time Series Analysis of Extremes: Use Cases and Applications

"Extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, droughts, heatwaves, and blizzards, can cause widespread damage, disrupting ecosystems, agricultural production, and economies. The frequency and intensity of these events have been increasing, likely due to climate change, raising concerns and the need for more accurate analysis and predictions. NASA's Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC) has migrated its long-term historical datasets, including precipitation data from MERRA-2 reanalysis, GLDAS land data assimilation, and IMERG satellite observations, to the cloud. This cloud-stored data enables scientists and researchers to utilize cloud computing for advanced modeling and forecasting of extreme weather events, eliminating the need to download large datasets. In this presentation, we will provide an overview of the cloud-based data and services managed by GES DISC; demonstrate methods for accessing and analyzing time series data stored in the cloud; and compare results across various datasets to address critical questions related to extreme precipitation. We will present use cases including: 1. Determining the average total precipitation in California during January and February from 2000 to 2024, and identifying anomalous precipitation in 2021. 2. Calculating the 10, 20, 50, and 100-year return periods for maximum daily rainfall based on 25 years of historical precipitation data (2000-2024) for Maryland.

time series↗
DOE OSTI2024

Present-day correlations are insufficient to predict cloud albedo change by anthropogenic aerosols in E3SM v2

Cloud albedo susceptibility to droplet number perturbation remains a source of uncertainty in understanding aerosol–cloud interactions and thus both past and present climate states. Through the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) v2 experiments, we probe the effects of competing processes on cloud albedo susceptibility of low-lying marine stratocumulus in the northeast Pacific. In present-day conditions, we find that increasing precipitation suppression by aerosols increases cloud albedo susceptibility, whereas increasing cloud sedimentation decreases it. By constructing a hypothetical model configuration exhibiting negative susceptibility under all conditions, we conclude that cloud albedo change due to aerosol perturbation cannot be predicted by present-day co-variabilities in E3SM v2. As such, our null result herein challenges the assumption that present-day climate observations are sufficient to constrain past states, at least in the context of cloud albedo changes to aerosol perturbation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1990

Inelastic deformation under nonisothermal loading

The objective of this paper is to evaluate, both experimentally and analytically, the appropriate forms of the hardening evolution equations in unified constitutive models for conditions involving nonisothermal loading. Critical experiments were performed for a cast nickel-base superalloy by using variable temperature tensile, creep, and cyclic tests in the 538-982 C temperature range. These experimental results were compared with both isothermal data and predictions of the Bodner-Partom-Bodner, 1987 elastic-viscoplastic theory to assess the effects of thermal history on constitutive behavior. The results indicate that the hardening evolution equations based on isothermal data are applicable for nonisothermal loading of these precipitation strengthened alloys. Additional thermal history effect terms in the hardening evolution equations were not required beyond those accounting for the variation of material constants with temperature. Using material constants determined solely from isothermal data, the inelastic deformation behavior of B1900 + Hf subject to thermomechanical loading were adequately predicted by the Bodner-Partom model.

Chan, K. S.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Global Microphysical Sensitivity of Superparameterized Precipitation Extremes

Abstract A recent study found statistically significant differences in extreme precipitation distributions over the contiguous United States (CONUS) when changing the microphysics scheme in a superparameterized global climate model. Here, we repeat the analysis globally and similarly find that differences are widespread when varying the number of predicted moments in the microphysics parameterization, but not when comparing variants of the double‐moment scheme. However, contrary to the previous study in which differences largely disappeared over CONUS when 5‐day simulations were conducted, we found that the signal in these shorter integrations remains within the tropics, implying a direct local effect of microphysics on precipitation extremes in these regions. The effect on precipitation is traced back to changes in vertical velocity profiles changes that are then amplified in the climatological simulations compared to the 5‐day ones. Finally, the superparameterized extremes, regardless of the microphysics scheme, are shown to be larger than those from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project One‐Degree Daily data set and generally smaller than those from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission 3B42 data set.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗