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At least 883 records · Page 49

Importance of incorporating spatial and temporal variability of biomass yield and quality in bioenergy supply chain

Abstract Biofuels made from biomass and waste residues will largely contribute to United States’ 2050 decarbonization goal in the aviation sector. While cellulosic biofuels have the potential fuel performance equivalent to petroleum-based jet fuel, the biofuel industry needs to overcome the supply chain barrier caused by temporal and spatial variability of biomass yield and quality. This study highlights the importance of incorporating spatial and temporal variability during biomass supply chain planning via optimization modeling that incorporates 10 years of drought index data, a primary factor contributing to yield and quality variability. The results imply that the cost of delivering biomass to biorefinery may be significantly underestimated if the multi-year temporal and spatial variation in biomass yield and quality is not captured. For long term sustainable biorefinery operations, the industry should optimize supply chain strategy by studying the variability of yield and quality of biomass in their supply sheds.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Estimated winter wheat yield from crop growth predicted by LANDSAT

An evapotranspiration and growth model for winter wheat is reported. The inputs are daily solar radiation, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, precipitation/irrigation and leaf area index. The meteorological data were obtained from National Weather Service while LAI was obtained from LANDSAT multispectral scanner. The output provides daily estimates of potential evapotranspiration, transpiration, evaporation, soil moisture (50 cm depth), percentage depletion, net photosynthesis and dry matter production. Winter wheat yields are correlated with transpiration and dry matter accumulation.

Kanemasu, E. T.↗

The January 2015 Repressurization of ISS ATCS Loop B - Analysis Limitations and Concerns

In January 2013 a false ammonia leak alarm resulted in the shutdown and partial depressurization of one of the two International Space Station (ISS) External Active Thermal Control System (EATCS) loops. The depressurization resulted in a vapor bubble of 18 liters in warm parts of the stagnant loop. To repressurize the loop and regain system operation, liquid would have to be moved from the Ammonia Tank Assembly (ATA) into the loop. This resulted in the possibility of moving cold (as low as ‐30 C) ammonia into the water‐filled Internal Active Thermal Control System (IATCS) interface heat exchangers. Before moving forward, the freezing potential of the repressurization was evaluated through analysis - using both a Thermal Desktop SINDA/FLUINT model and hand calculations. The models yielded very different results, but both models indicated that heat exchanger freezing was not an issue. Therefore, the repressurization proceeded. The presentation describes the physical situation of the EATCS prior to repressurization and discusses the potential limits and pitfalls of the repressurization. The pre‐repressurization analytical models and their results are discussed. The successful repressurization is describled and the results of a post‐event model assessment is detailed.

Ungar, Eugene↗

Parsimonious Inference Information-Theoretic Foundations for a Complete Theory of Machine Learning (CIS-LDRD Project 218313 Final Technical Report)

This work examines how we may cast machine learning within a complete Bayesian framework to quantify and suppress explanatory complexity from first principles. Our investigation into both the philosophy and mathematics of rational belief leads us to emphasize the critical role of Bayesian inference in learning well-justified predictions within a rigorous and complete extended logic. The Bayesian framework allows us to coherently account for evidence in the learned plausibility of potential explanations. As an extended logic, the Bayesian paradigm regards probability as a notion of degrees of truth. In order to satisfy critical properties of probability as a coherent measure, as well as maintain consistency with binary propositional logic, we arrive at Bayes' Theorem as the only justifiable mechanism to update our beliefs to account for empiracle evidence. Yet, in the machine learning paradigm, where explanations are unconstrained algorithmic abstractions, we arrive at a critical challenge: Bayesian inference requires prior belief. Conventional approaches fail to yield a consistent framework in which we could compare prior plausibility among the infinities of potential choices in learning architectures. The difficulty of articulating well-justified prior belief over abstract models is the provinence of memorization in traditional machine learning training practices. This becomes exceptionally problematic in the context of limited datasets, when we wish to learn justifiable predictions from only a small amount of data.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Empirical estimation of weather-driven yield shocks using biophysical characteristics for U.S. rainfed and irrigated maize, soybeans, and winter wheat

Agricultural yields are highly susceptible to changes in weather system patterns, including both annual and sub-annual changes in temperature and precipitation. Understanding the impacts of future changes in meteorological variables on crop yields have been widely studied in both empirical and process-based models. This work presents a structural econometric approach that combines historical weather data with information about the biophysical growth cycles of maize, winter wheat, and soy to predict the year-to-year yield responses for rainfed crops. Modeled soil moisture and temperature are taken as key predictors, which allows testing the fitted rainfed model’s ability to predict irrigated yields by assuming irrigation produces the numerically optimal level of soil moisture. This approach is grounded in known biophysical processes, which improves confidence in the model predictions. It produces estimates of interannual variability in yields, which enable study of the effects of extreme events on agricultural productivity. Finally, it enables prediction of the potential impacts of changing weather patterns on irrigated crops in areas that are currently primarily rainfed. We present the results of the empirical model, fitted with rainfed data; out-of-sample validation on irrigated crops; and projections of yield shocks under multiple future climate scenarios. Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, this approach predicts average yield change, relative to 2006-2020 average yields, across U.S. counties in the 2040-2060 period of -16.9% and -13.4% for rainfed and irrigated maize, of -19.1% and -18.4% for rainfed and irrigated soy, and of -4.0% and -2.0% for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat. And in the 2070-2090 period of -30.3% and -28.8 % for rainfed and irrigated maize, of -33.1% and -32.8% for rainfed and irrigated soy, and of -6.5% and -5.2%for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Constraining the $\overline{K}$N coupled channel dynamics using femtoscopic correlations at the LHC

The interaction of K – with protons is characterised by the presence of several coupled channels, systems like $\overline{K}$ 0 n and πΣ with a similar mass and the same quantum numbers as the K – p state. The strengths of these couplings to the K – p system are of crucial importance for the understanding of the nature of the Λ(1405) resonance and of the attractive K – p strong interaction. In this article, we present measurements of the K – p correlation functions in relative momentum space obtained in pp collisions at $\sqrt{s}$=13 Te, in p–Pb collisions at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$= 5.02 Te, and (semi)peripheral Pb–Pb collisions at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$= 5.02 Te. The emitting source size, composed of a core radius anchored to the K + p correlation and of a resonance halo specific to each particle pair, varies between 1 and 2 fm in these collision systems. The strength and the effects of the $\overline{K}$ 0 n and πΣ inelastic channels on the measured K – p correlation function are investigated in the different colliding systems by comparing the data with state-of-the-art models of chiral potentials. A novel approach to determine the conversion weights ω, necessary to quantify the amount of produced inelastic channels in the correlation function, is presented. In this method, particle yields are estimated from thermal model predictions, and their kinematic distribution from blast-wave fits to measured data. The comparison of chiral potentials to the measured K – p interaction indicates that, while the πΣ –K – p dynamics is well reproduced by the model, the coupling to the $\overline{K}$ 0 n channel in the model is currently underestimated.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Multisite Field Evaluation of Oil Accumulation and Agronomic Performance in Grain and Sweet Sorghums Engineered for Lipid Hyperaccumulation

Oil sorghum (OS) has been developed by engineering grain (TX430) and sweet (Ramada) genetic backgrounds to accumulate triacylglycerols (TAG) in vegetative tissues as an energy-dense feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and other biofuels. This study evaluated two TX430 OS lines (TxHO-2, TxHO-3) and two Ramada OS lines (RmHO-1, RmHO-2) alongside wild-type (WT) lines in NE and IL over 2 years (2023–2024) to quantify genotype × environment effects on agronomic performance and TAG accumulation. Across four environments, TX430 OS lines showed average TAG concentrations of 15.0 g kg −1 in leaves and 12.8 g kg −1 in stems, approximately 19-fold higher than WT. Ramada OS lines accumulated 26.1 g kg −1 in leaves and 12.3 g kg −1 in stems, approximately 25-fold and 13-fold increases over WT, respectively. OS lines in TX430 exhibited an 18% reduction in biomass (8.4 vs. 9.9 Mg ha −1 for WT), while Ramada OS lines had similar WT biomass (18.3 vs. 19.9 Mg ha −1 for WT). Among TX430 OS lines, TxHO-2 achieved the highest TAG yield (190 kg ha −1 ), while RmHO-1 led the Ramada lines (335 kg ha −1 ) due to higher biomass and similar TAG concentration. Enhanced TAG accumulation increased N, P, and K removal in TX430 lines but not in Ramada lines. Structural carbohydrate and ash concentration were unaffected. Overall, results confirm vegetative lipid accumulation as a viable strategy for high-biomass sorghum, supporting its potential as a dual-purpose feedstock for SAF. Future work should focus on minimizing biomass yield penalties and improving nutrient use efficiency in oil sorghum systems.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Techno-economic assessment of electricity market potential for co-located hydro-floating PV systems

Abstract—Harnessing renewable energy from diverse sources is paramount for sustainable power systems. Recently, co-located floating PV (FPV) systems present an intriguing prospect in this context. These hybrid systems, blending hydro and solar power, may offer a more consistent electricity output and potential economic advantages. Yet, assessing their actual potential requires a comprehensive techno-economic assessment. In addition, probabilistic price forecasting has recently gained attention in electricity market because decisions based on such predictions can yield significantly higher profits than those made with point forecasts alone. To this end, this paper embarks on a journey to elucidate the electricity market potential of co-located hydro-FPV systems in a probabilistic fashion to investigate the technological merits and economic viability of co-located hydro-FPV under different market structures. Our preliminary findings suggest that LCOE and payback metrics are sensitive not only to different markets but also to different solar incentives. Concurrently, we also observe that the payback period is generally faster with a production tax credit (PTC) than an investment tax credit (ITC). This assessment serves as a cornerstone for understanding the future prospects of co-located hydro-FPV systems in modern electricity markets.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

A theoretical kinetic study of ĊH 3 + ṄH 2 : From electronic structure to NH 3 /CH 4 combustion modelling implications

Carbon–nitrogen interaction reactions play an important role in governing the reactivity of ammonia blended fuels. However, there remains uncertainties regarding their detailed reaction pathways and rate constants, hampering the development of high-fidelity chemical kinetic models. In this study, the kinetics of ĊH 3 + ṄH 2 , a key C–N interaction reaction in ammonia/methane blend combustion have been investigated. The potential energy surface has been explored using the high-level ANL0F method, yielding highly accurate stationary point energies that agree with ATcT values within 0.1 kcal mol –1 . Variable reaction coordinate transition state theory is used to treat the barrierless association and decomposition reaction channels, based on directly sampled radical-radical interaction energies at the CASPT2-F12(2e,2o)/cc-pVTZ-F12 level of theory. The minimum transitional mode numbers of states obtained are then coupled with the RRKM/master equation to calculate temperature- and pressure-dependent rate constants. Our a priori calculations capture available experimental measurements from the literature very well. The calculated rate constants have been incorporated into an NH 3 /CH 4 chemical kinetic model currently under development at the University of Galway. The effect of the updated kinetic data for ĊH 3 + ṄH 2 on model predicted NH 3 /CH 4 fuel reactivity is elucidated.

ab initio↗

A quantitative risk assessment framework for fault reactivation in underground hydrogen storage: Coupled simulation and deep learning approach

Underground hydrogen storage (UHS) is emerging as a critical solution for large-scale energy storage. However, like all subsurface fluid injection activities, UHS poses the risk of injection-induced fault reactivation. Accurate risk assessment is essential to ensuring the safety and efficiency of UHS operations. This study presents the development of deep-learning surrogate models for fault reactivation prediction in UHS, trained on a comprehensive database of fully coupled fluid flow-geomechanics simulations. Our findings reveal that analytical models often yield unreliable estimates, with errors up to 54% in the allowable injection pressure, potentially leading to a 40% reduction in UHS operational capacity. The developed surrogate models were incorporated into a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) framework, enabling probabilistic evaluation of fault reactivation risk while accounting for uncertainties in the input variables. Site-specific features, such as horizontal stress gradients, fault’s dip and strike angles, and operational parameters like bottom-hole injection pressure and well-fault distance, were identified as the primary drivers of fault reactivation across various stress regimes. Whereas other hydraulic, geological, and poroelastic reservoir properties were found to have a secondary impact. Notably, we observed that the risk of fault reactivation for a critically oriented fault with a static friction coefficient greater than 0.55 remains below 10% in a normal faulting stress regime. However, the risk significantly increases as the stress regime transitions from normal to strike-slip and ultimately to reverse faulting conditions. These findings underscore the importance of rigorous site characterization and comprehensive QRA evaluations to optimize UHS performance and minimize geomechanical risks.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Metabolic engineering of low-pH-tolerant non-model yeast, Issatchenkia orientalis , for production of citramalate

Methyl methacrylate (MMA) is an important petrochemical with many applications. However, its manufacture has a large environmental footprint. Combined biological and chemical synthesis (semisynthesis) may be a promising alternative to reduce both cost and environmental impact, but strains that can produce the MMA precursor (citramalate) at low pH are required. A non-conventional yeast, Issatchenkia orientalis, may prove ideal, as it can survive extremely low pH. Here, we demonstrate the engineering of I. orientalis for citramalate pro- duction. Using sequence similarity network analysis and subsequent DNA synthesis, we selected a more active citramalate synthase gene (cimA) variant for expression in I. orientalis. We then adapted a piggyBac transposon system for I. orientalis that allowed us to simultaneously explore the effects of different cimA gene copy numbers and integration locations. A batch fermentation showed the genome-integrated-cimA strains produced 2.0 g/L citramalate in 48 h and a yield of up to 7% mol citramalate/mol consumed glucose. These results demonstrate the potential of I. orientalis as a chassis for citramalate production.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Urea-to-Ammonia Conversion at Proteus mirabilis Modified Pt–Ni/BDD Electrodes

Efficient wastewater recycling technologies are essential for long-duration space missions and sustainable water management on Earth. Here, a bioelectrochemical system integrating Proteus mirabilis with a platinum–nickel-modified boron-doped diamond electrode (Pt–Ni/BDDE) for urea-to-ammonia conversion in synthetic urine is presented. Immobilized P. mirabilis catalyzes enzymatic ureolysis, converting urea into ammonia, which is subsequently oxidized electrochemically, and no direct electrochemical urea oxidation is observed. Cyclic voltammetry (CV) of P. mirabilis on Pt–Ni/BDDE in 0.1 M urea and synthetic urine revealed a broad anodic oxidation peak at approximately 0.55–0.75 V vs Ag/AgCl (sat. KCl), corresponding to ammonia oxidation. Control experiments using bare BDDE and Pt–Ni/BDDE in synthetic urine showed no oxidation peak, establishing that the bioelectrocatalytic response originates exclusively from the bioelectrode interface. Chronoamperometry studies revealed that immobilization potential and time critically influenced bacterial adhesion and electrochemical response, with optimal conditions yielding a maximum current density of 0.0055 mA·cm –2 . These quantitative results establish that microbial ureolysis can be efficiently coupled with advanced electrode materials for urea-to-ammonia conversion, offering a promising self-sustaining strategy for urine processing and water recovery in closed-loop life support systems.

Ammonia↗

Visible Light Harvesting Cr(III) Photocatalysts

Pseudo-octahedral Cr(III) photosensitizers offer a promising alternative to Ru(II)/Ir(III) MLCT chromophores due to their long-lived, strongly photo-oxidizing excited states, yet suffer from poor visible-light absorption. Here, to address this challenge, we prepared a series of homoleptic Cr(III) trissd phenanthroline) complexes bearing arylacetylene units on the 4- and 7-positions at each phenanthroline core. This modification produced a >1 eV bathochromic shift in intraligand (IL) π–π* transitions and enhanced absorption across the UVA and blue-to-green regions (ε ∼25,000–100,000 M –1 cm –1 ) compared to [Cr(phen) 3 ] 3+ , eclipsing traditional MLCT photosensitizers while leaving 2 E ligand-field-emission energies largely unaffected. Nanosecond transient absorption and photoluminescence measurements confirmed long excited-state lifetimes (τ = 33–119 μs in CH 3 ) while featuring strongly oxidizing excited-state potentials: E°'([Cr] 3+ */ 2+ ) = 0.97–1.09 V vs. Fc +/0 . High quantum yields for 1 O 2 production (Φ Δ ≤ 0.85) resulted in efficient photosensitized oxidation of 1,5-dihydroxynaphthalene to juglone under blue or green light irradiation within 30 min (0.1–0.2 mol % catalyst loading). Photocatalytic [4 + 2] cycloadditions under blue or green light (yields up to 100%) were also demonstrated at low catalyst loadings (0.1–0.3 mol %). The combined results demonstrate that large visible absorption cross sections are readily achievable in Cr(III) diimines by leveraging IL transitions, without compromising excited-state energetics or lifetimes.

Wheeler, Jonathan P. [North Carolina State Univers↗

All-day fresh water harvesting by microstructured hydrogel membranes

Abstract Solar steam water purification and fog collection are two independent processes that could enable abundant fresh water generation. We developed a hydrogel membrane that contains hierarchical three-dimensional microstructures with high surface area that combines both functions and serves as an all-day fresh water harvester. At night, the hydrogel membrane efficiently captures fog droplets and directionally transports them to a storage vessel. During the daytime, it acts as an interfacial solar steam generator and achieves a high evaporation rate of 3.64 kg m −2 h −1 under 1 sun enabled by improved thermal/vapor flow management. With a homemade rooftop water harvesting system, this hydrogel membrane can produce fresh water with a daily yield of ~34 L m −2 in an outdoor test, which demonstrates its potential for global water scarcity relief.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Observation and rationalization of nitrogen oxidation enabled only by coupled plasma and catalyst

Abstract Heterogeneous catalysts coupled with non-thermal plasmas (NTP) are known to achieve reaction yields that exceed the contributions of the individual components. Rationalization of the enhancing potential of catalysts, however, remains challenging because the background contributions from NTP or catalysts are often non-negligible. Here, we first demonstrate platinum (Pt)-catalyzed nitrogen (N 2 ) oxidation in a radio frequency plasma afterglow at conditions at which neither catalyst nor plasma alone produces significant concentrations of nitric oxide (NO). We then develop reactor models based on reduced NTP- and surface-microkinetic mechanisms to identify the features of each that lead to the synergy between NTP and Pt. At experimental conditions, NTP and thermal catalytic NO production are suppressed by radical reactions and high N 2 dissociation barrier, respectively. Pt catalyzes NTP-generated radicals and vibrationally excited molecules to produce NO. The model construction further illustrates that the optimization of productivity and energy efficiency involves tuning of plasma species, catalysts properties, and the reactor configurations to couple plasma and catalysts. These results provide unambiguous evidence of synergism between plasma and catalyst, the origins of that synergy for N 2 oxidation, and a modeling approach to guide material selection and system optimization.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Cost-effective carbon fiber precursor selections of polyacrylonitrile-derived blend polymers: carbonization chemistry and structural characterizations

Blending polyacrylonitrile (PAN) with plastic wastes and bio-based polymers provides a convenient and inexpensive method to realize cost-effective carbon fiber (CF) precursors. In this work, PAN-based blend precursors are investigated using ReaxFF reactive molecular dynamics simulations with respect to the formation of all-carbon rings, the evolutions of oxygen-containing and nitrogen-containing species, and the migration of carbon atoms to form turbostratic graphene. From these simulations, we identify that PAN/cellulose (CL) blend manifests the highest carbon yield and the most substantial all-carbon ring formation. This ReaxFF-based finding is confirmed by Raman and TEM experiments indicating high crystallinity for PAN/CL-derived blend CFs. We trace the pathway of gasification and carbonization of PAN/CL to elaborate the mechanism of the formation of all-carbon ring networks. We discover that the acetals of CL can catalyze the cyclization of the blend precursor, allowing for the search for CL derivatives or the other kinds of bio-based polymers with similar functionalities as alternative blends. In addition, we examine the structural characteristics using the carbon–carbon (C–C) radial distribution functions, C–C bond length distributions, and sp2 C atom ratios for the four representative precursors, i.e., PAN, oxidized PAN, PAN/nylon 6,6, and PAN/CL. Our simulation results show the most extensive all-carbon ring cluster and graphitic structure growths for PAN/CL. Here, we propose PAN/CL as a cost-effective alternative CF precursor, since (a) CL is naturally abundant and eco-friendly for production, (b) the blend precursor PAN/CL does not require oxidation treatment, (c) PAN/CL has a high carbon yield with substantial all-carbon ring formation, and (d) PAN/CL based CFs potentially provide a mechanical property enhancement.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Genome‐wide quantitative trait loci detection for biofuel traits in switchgrass ( Panicum virgatum L.)

Abstract Switchgrass ( Panicum virgatum L.) has been identified as a potential feedstock for cellulosic ethanol production in United States for its high biomass yield and adaptation to marginal lands. Composition of the cell wall plays an important role in bioethanol conversion. A total of 209 pseudo‐F 1 testcross progenies obtained from a biparental cross, AP13 × VS16, were grown at three locations from 2008 to 2011. Near‐infrared spectroscopy was used to estimate cell wall composition from biomass harvested at maturity. A linkage map of the pseudo‐F 1 testcross was constructed with 8,757 SNPs developed by genotyping‐by‐sequencing. Quantitative trait loci (QTL) analysis was performed on eight lignocellulosic traits, namely, klason lignin, sugar, glucose, xylose, hexose, ethanol, hexosoic ethanol, and cell wall ethanol conversion percentage. A total of 327 QTL were recorded for the eight lignocellulosic traits. We have identified 111 major regions in the switchgrass genome that underlie these lignocellulosic traits. Scanning of the genome sequence for genes flanking the QTL peaks, we identified 45 important genes that are involved in lignin biosynthesis, carbohydrate and sugar metabolism, and other biological and cellular functions. Identification of valuable genes associated with QTL along with pleotropic effects of the significant number of QTL suggests that simultaneous selection and genetic improvement of these traits are possible using marker‐assisted selection.

Ali, Shahjahan↗