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At least 883 records · Page 49
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Machine learned synthesizability predictions aided by density functional theory

Abstract A grand challenge of materials science is predicting synthesis pathways for novel compounds. Data-driven approaches have made significant progress in predicting a compound’s synthesizability; however, some recent attempts ignore phase stability information. Here, we combine thermodynamic stability calculated using density functional theory with composition-based features to train a machine learning model that predicts a material’s synthesizability. Our model predicts the synthesizability of ternary 1:1:1 compositions in the half-Heusler structure, achieving a cross-validated precision of 0.82 and recall of 0.82. Our model shows improvement in predicting non-half-Heuslers compared to a previous study’s model, and identifies 121 synthesizable candidates out of 4141 unreported ternary compositions. More notably, 39 stable compositions are predicted unsynthesizable while 62 unstable compositions are predicted synthesizable; these findings otherwise cannot be made using density functional theory stability alone. This study presents a new approach for accurately predicting synthesizability, and identifies new half-Heuslers for experimental synthesis.

Lee, Andrew (ORCID:0000000153014295)↗
DOE OSTI2021

Measurement of Local Magnetic Fields in Actinide Tetrafluorides

Fluorine-19 magnetic shielding tensors have been measured in a series of actinide tetrafluorides (AnF4) by solid state nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy. Tetravalent actinide centers with 0 to 8 valence electrons can form tetrafluorides with the same unit cell, making these compounds an attractive choice for a systematic study of the variation in electronic structure across the 5f row of the Periodic Table. Pronounced deviations from predictions based on localized valence electron models have been detected by these experiments, which suggests that this approach may be used as a quantitative probe of electronic correlations.

Walter, Eric D.↗
DOE OSTI2020

Elucidating algal-bacterial community interactions by tracking volatile biomarkers (Final Report)

This feasibility study project aimed to lay further groundwork for studying and understanding how microorganisms interact with each other at the molecular level using model algal-bacterial co-cultures. A better understanding of such interactions is critical to optimizing and operating biotic platforms for a number of applications, including bioenergy, algal bioproducts and agriculture, and carbon capture. Here we explored the feasibility of characterizing and following these interactions by identifying and tracking volatile metabolites and biomarkers in the complex gaseous headspace of such cultures. We set up an experimental platform using a co-culture of Phaeodactylum tricornutum and Marinobacter subspecies 3-2 as a model system, used solid-phase microextraction fibers for volatile collection at various time points throughout culture growth, and employed gas chromatography mass spectrometry-based instrumentation available at LLNL for compound identification and quantification. We found that it is feasible to determine volatile profiles from the growth of Phaeodactylum tricornutum and Marinobacter subspecies 3-2 using our methodology and monitor profile changes over time. We also observed that volatiles distinguishing between cultures of the individual species and the co-cultures could be detected. We expect that results of this project will feed into the ongoing LLNL’s DOE BER funded Biofuels Scientific Focus Area (SFA) on algal-bacterial interactions and pave the way for future expanded volatile studies supported by DOE. The approach and technologies developed here would also be applicable and transferable to other microbial communities under study, such as cyanobacteria, rhizosphere communities and biofilms.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Bacterial Membranes Are More Perturbed by the Asymmetric Versus Symmetric Loading of Amphiphilic Molecules

Characterizing the biophysical properties of bacterial membranes is critical for understanding the protective nature of the microbial envelope, interaction of biological membranes with exogenous materials, and designing new antibacterial agents. Presented here are molecular dynamics simulations for two cationic quaternary ammonium compounds, and the anionic and nonionic form of a fatty acid molecule interacting with a Staphylococcus aureus bacterial inner membrane. The effect of the tested materials on the properties of the model membranes are evaluated with respect to various structural properties such as the lateral pressure profile, lipid tail order parameter, and the bilayer’s electrostatic potential. Conducting asymmetric loading of molecules in only one leaflet, it was observed that anionic and cationic amphiphiles have a large impact on the Staphylococcus aureus membrane’s electrostatic potential and lateral pressure profile as compared to a symmetric distribution. Nonintuitively, we find that the cationic and anionic molecules induce a similar change in the electrostatic potential, which points to the complexity of membrane interfaces, and how asymmetry can induce biophysical consequences. Finally, we link changes in membrane structure to the rate of electroporation for the membranes, and again find a crucial impact of introducing asymmetry to the system. Understanding these physical mechanisms provides critical insights and viable pathways for the rational design of membrane-active molecules, where controlling the localization is key.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Effective Lanthanide Diffusivity through U-Zr Metallic Fuel

Fuel-cladding chemical interaction (FCCI) is one of the main concerns for the performance of U-Zr metallic fuels. Although FCCI results in complex phase transformations and morphological changes in both the fuel and cladding sides of the interface, the formation of a brittle layer in the cladding side of the interface (sometimes referred to as wastage) has one of the most significant impacts on the cladding mechanical integrity. This brittle layer is associated with the formation of intermetallic compounds between the cladding constituents Fe, Cr and the lanthanide fission product species. The formation of this cladding wastage layer has been the focus of recent efforts to develop a mechanistic modeling framework, including production of lanthanides in the fuel, transport through the fuel to the fuel-cladding interface, and phase transformation to form intermetallic phases. To calculate the rate of transport of lanthanides through the fuel, a multi-scale computational approach has been used. Atomistic calculations have been performed to determine the diffusivities of Nd, the most prevalent lanthanide species, through the solid fuel matrix and along pore surfaces. These diffusivities have been used as input parameters for a mesoscale model to determine an effective diffusion coefficient that accounts for the formation of porosity, its interconnection, and infiltration with bond sodium from the fuel-cladding gap. The effective diffusivity has been used in engineering-scale simulations using the BISON fuel performance code, and BISON simulations have been compared to representative validation cases from the EBR-II reactor.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Experimental evaluation of the stabilization of the COT orbitals by 4f orbitals in COT 2 Ce using a Hubbard model

Significant orbital mixing is rare in lanthanide complexes because of the limited radial extent of the 4f orbitals, which results in a generally small stabilization due to 4f orbital interactions. Nevertheless, even a small amount of additional stabilization could enhance lanthanide separations. One lanthanide complex in which orbital mixing has been extensively studied both experimentally and computationally is cerocene, COT 2 Ce, where COT is cyclooctatetraene. This compound has a singlet ground state with a low-lying, triplet excited state. Previous fluorescence studies on trimethylsilyl-substituted cerocenes indicate the triplet state is 0.4 eV higher in energy than the singlet state. In addition, computational studies predict that the triplet is 0.3 to 1 eV higher in energy than the singlet. The synthesis of highly pure COT 2 Ce by Walter and Andersen allowed its physical properties to be accurately measured. Using these measurements, we evaluate the stabilization of the 4f orbitals using two, independent approaches. A Hubbard model is used to evaluate the stabilization of the ground state due to orbital mixing. This stabilization, which is also the singlet–triplet gap, is –0.29 eV using this model. Furthermore, this gap was also from the temperature independent paramagnetism of COT 2 Ce, which yielded a value of –0.32 eV.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Insights into co-pyrolysis of polyethylene terephthalate and polyamide 6 mixture through experiments, kinetic modeling and machine learning

The non-isothermal pyrolysis of polyethylene terephthalate (PET), polyamide 6 (PA6), and their mixtures was studied in a thermogravimetric analyzer at different heating rates. Temperature of maximum decomposition (T max ) decreased by 25–45 °C and 35–55 °C for the PET:PA6 mixtures (3:1, 1:1, 1:3) compared to PET and PA6, respectively. The kinetic analysis was initially carried out using isoconversional method. However, the dependency of activation energy on conversion was observed for the co-pyrolysis of PET and PA6 that suggested the occurrence of multi-step reactions in the mixtures. Distributed activation energy model (DAEM) was used in this study to describe the multistep reactions occurring during pyrolysis of PET:PA6 mixtures. Here, in this work, a four-parallel reaction DAEM was developed to describe the pyrolysis kinetics of PET:PA6 mixtures. The apparent mean activation energies (E o ) for PET, PA6, and mixtures varied in the range of 244–255, 140–215, and 138–255 kJ mol –1 , respectively. The mass loss profiles of PET and PA6 mixtures were also modeled using artificial neural network (ANN). Out of 155 ANN models, the best prediction was made by ANN511 with R 2 greater than 0.997 for both test and unseen data. The interaction effects observed through TGA experiments and subsequent kinetic analysis were further assessed in terms of product composition using analytical pyrolysis coupled with gas chromatograph/mass spectrometer (Py-GC/MS). Co-pyrolysis of PET and PA6 resulted in the formation of new aromatic compounds with nitrogen-containing functional groups, which were not detected when PET or PA6 were pyrolyzed individually.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Ecosystems and Networks Integrated with Genes and Molecular Assemblies (ENIGMA) (Final Scientific/Technical Report, Subcontract Award No. 6953691)

The overarching objective the Baliga lab is to develop a mechanistic understanding of the field relevant metabolic processes underlying community partitioning of respiration pathways and physiological state shifts. In order to dissect how environmental perturbations influence microbial regulatory networks, we have constructed data-driven models that capture the dynamic interplay between abiotic and biotic factors during laboratory simulations. Specifically, we have developed multiple computational models (i.e., cMonkey2, EGRIN 2.0, and multiple genome-scale metabolic models) connecting environmental influence to genome-encoded regulatory programs. In addition, we have generated new tools such as Live Anaerobic Cell Sorting (LAnCS) and Fluidized Bed Reactors (FBRs) to investigate the dynamics of community partitioning of metabolic processes supporting sulfate or nitrate respiration, which are two critical activities observed from the field site at Oak Ridge National Labs (ORNL). This framework of connecting field phenomena with laboratory simulations and computational modeling has created the Environmental Simulations and Modelling (EnvSim) campaign within ENIGMA. The campaign, which spans multiple laboratories across ENIGMA and is led by the Baliga group, has established synthetic communities (SynComs) to discover, characterize, and dissect key microbial processes relevant to field observations, such as emissions of the greenhouse gas nitrous oxide (N 2 O). For example, the EnvSim campaign so far has deduced four potential mechanisms that may account for the N 2 O emissions at the FRC and are currently being investigated by labs across ENIGMA. Denitrification may be driven by complete denitrifiers, however, their NosZ enzymes, which catalyze the final step in denitrification by converting N 2 O to N 2 , may be sensitive at a lower pH. Additionally, the denitrification process could be partitioned among organisms and some may have pH-sensitive NosZ genes. Another factor contributing to variable N 2 O emissions relates to the metal co-factors involved in the denitrification pathway. For instance, excess Cu, Al, Mn, U, Ni, Co, Cu, and/or Cd may have inhibitory effects on multiple enzymatic steps during denitrification, while the enzymatic production of nitrite, the precursor of N 2 O, can be limited by the essential metal Mo. Lastly, abiotic production of N 2 O may occur as a result of chemodenitrification, in which metals like Fe, Mn, and some organic compounds can drive redox reactions that convert nitrogen cycle intermediates to N 2 O under the right conditions. Current investigations and analyses have generated multiple transcriptomic profiles aiding the refinement of new metabolic and gene regulatory network model for our denitrifying SynCom. In sum, the previous funding cycle has generated 33 peer-reviewed publications spanning predictive network biology to co-operativity of mutualistic interspecies interactions of evolved communities. Our integration of multiple omics datasets and the development of new network modelling tools has revealed important insights that can explain field observed phenomenon and generated new hypotheses to be investigated in the field.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Impacts of Non-Ideal Back Contact on Capacitance Measurements in CdTe Solar Cells

CdTe solar cells suffer from a non-ideal back contact which can strongly affect the equivalent circuit model and complicate capacitance measurements. Here, five different back contact materials are deposited on identical CdTe absorbers and their influence on capacitance measurements is characterized. A five-element equivalent circuit model is shown to represent a CdTe solar cell with a non-ideal back contact, and capacitance-frequency (C-f) measurements on each sample clearly show the influence of this contact. Capacitance-voltage (C-V) measurements on each sample show the influence of frequency on measured capacitance. In the AlGaOx/Au sample, temperature dependent C-fs show the back barrier height to be 240 meV, and ongoing measurements will give a comparison of back barrier heights for all samples. This study provides insight into the efficacy of various back contacts and highlights potential errors in the interpretation of capacitance measurements due to the presence of the back contact.

cadmium compounds↗
DOE OSTI2025

Insight into industrial hemp ( Cannabis sativa L.) root exudation composition in a simulated soil environment: a rhizosphere-on-a-chip study

Microfluidic technologies provide a reduced complexity and soil-free environment to study plant-soil interactions at the microscale. Traditionally used for model plants such as Arabidopsis thaliana, this study represents the first application of a rhizosphere-on-a-chip (RhizoChip) to investigate root exudation in industrial hemp (Cannabis sativa L.), an agronomic crop with growing economic importance. By incorporating soil-like minerals (kaolinite, potassium feldspar, and biotite), the RhizoChip addresses limitations of previous research. Hemp seedlings grown in mineral-containing chips exhibited significant root growth, emphasizing the critical role of minerals in root development. Using untargeted metabolomics, 170 compounds were identified, including organic acids, amino acids, and secondary metabolites, with distinct profiles across conditions. Metabolic pathway analysis revealed activity in amino acid metabolism, the citric acid cycle, and secondary metabolite biosynthesis. In conclusion, this study highlights the RhizoChip's potential for long-term studies of root exudates in non-model crops and offers insights into rhizosphere processes with implications for sustainable agriculture.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

BindingDB in 2024: a FAIR knowledgebase of protein-small molecule binding data

Abstract BindingDB (bindingdb.org) is a public, web-accessible database of experimentally measured binding affinities between small molecules and proteins, which supports diverse applications including medicinal chemistry, biochemical pathway annotation, training of artificial intelligence models and computational chemistry methods development. This update reports significant growth and enhancements since our last review in 2016. Of note, the database now contains 2.9 million binding measurements spanning 1.3 million compounds and thousands of protein targets. This growth is largely attributable to our unique focus on curating data from US patents, which has yielded a substantial influx of novel binding data. Recent improvements include a remake of the website following responsive web design principles, enhanced search and filtering capabilities, new data download options and webservices and establishment of a long-term data archive replicated across dispersed sites. We also discuss BindingDB’s positioning relative to related resources, its open data sharing policies, insights gleaned from the dataset and plans for future growth and development.

Liu, Tiqing↗
DOE OSTI2024

Automatic Extraction of Network Configurations for Realistic Simulation and Validation

Popular HPC network interconnection simulators such as SST Macro provide a variety of configurable parameters to explore the design space of hardware components such as network links and switches. While such knobs provide flexibility to explore design trade-offs for novel hardware, manually configuring simulations for existing hardware to focus on topology exploration can be cumbersome and error-prone, leading to widely inaccurate simulations. This challenge is compounded when specifications of various (proprietary) technologies are not readily available or are intentionally omitted. In this work, we provide a methodology to automatically tune the simulation configuration of the multiple network models running within SST Macro using Bayesian optimization. We perform this optimization in the context of multiple messaging regimes (i.e., small to large and latency to bandwidth-bound messages) and provide a detailed analysis of the simulation error for four systems. With our automated framework, we achieve a 5x improvement in accuracy over best-effort configurations based on available hardware specifications.

Suetterlein, Joshua D.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Meanders as a scaling motif for understanding of floodplain soil microbiome and biogeochemical potential at the watershed scale

Abstract Background Biogeochemical exports from watersheds are modulated by the activity of microorganisms that function over micron scales. Here, we tested the hypothesis that meander-bound regions share a core microbiome and exhibit patterns of metabolic potential that broadly predict biogeochemical processes in floodplain soils along a river corridor. Results We intensively sampled the microbiomes of floodplain soils located in the upper, middle, and lower reaches of the East River, Colorado. Despite the very high microbial diversity and complexity of the soils, we reconstructed 248 quality draft genomes representative of subspecies. Approximately one third of these bacterial subspecies was detected across all three locations at similar abundance levels, and ~ 15% of species were detected in two consecutive years. Within the meander-bound floodplains, we did not detect systematic patterns of gene abundance based on sampling position relative to the river. However, across meanders, we identified a core floodplain microbiome that is enriched in capacities for aerobic respiration, aerobic CO oxidation, and thiosulfate oxidation with the formation of elemental sulfur. Given this, we conducted a transcriptomic analysis of the middle floodplain. In contrast to predictions made based on the prominence of gene inventories, the most highly transcribed genes were relatively rare amoCAB and nxrAB (for nitrification) genes, followed by genes involved in methanol and formate oxidation, and nitrogen and CO 2 fixation. Within all three meanders, low soil organic carbon correlated with high activity of genes involved in methanol, formate, sulfide, hydrogen, and ammonia oxidation, nitrite oxidoreduction, and nitrate and nitrite reduction. Overall, the results emphasize the importance of sulfur, one-carbon and nitrogen compound metabolism in soils of the riparian corridor. Conclusions The disparity between the scale of a microbial cell and the scale of a watershed currently limits the development of genomically informed predictive models describing watershed biogeochemical function. Meander-bound floodplains appear to serve as scaling motifs that predict aggregate capacities for biogeochemical transformations, providing a foundation for incorporating riparian soil microbiomes in watershed models. Widely represented genetic capacities did not predict in situ activity at one time point, but rather they define a reservoir of biogeochemical potential available as conditions change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Coupled Biotic-Abiotic Processes Control Biogeochemical Cycling of Dissolved Organic Matter in the Columbia River Hyporheic Zone

A critical component of assessing the impacts of climate change on watershed ecosystems involves understanding the role that dissolved organic matter (DOM) plays in driving whole ecosystem metabolism. The hyporheic zone—a biogeochemical control point where ground water and river water mix—is characterized by high DOM turnover and microbial activity and is responsible for a large fraction of lotic respiration. Yet, the dynamic nature of this ecotone provides a challenging but important environment to parse out different DOM influences on watershed function and net carbon and nutrient fluxes. We used high-resolution Fourier-transform ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometry to provide a detailed molecular characterization of DOM and its transformation pathways in the Columbia river watershed. Samples were collected from ground water (adjacent unconfined aquifer underlying the Hanford 300 Area), Columbia river water, and its hyporheic zone. The hyporheic zone was sampled at five locations to capture spatial heterogeneity within the hyporheic zone. Our results revealed that abiotic transformation pathways (e.g., carboxylation), potentially driven by abiotic factors such as sunlight, in both the ground water and river water are likely influencing DOM availability to the hyporheic zone, which could then be coupled with biotic processes for enhanced microbial activity. The ground water profile revealed high rates of N and S transformations via abiotic reactions. The river profile showed enhanced abiotic photodegradation of lignin-like molecules that subsequently entered the hyporheic zone as low molecular weight, more degraded compounds. While the compounds in river water were in part bio-unavailable, some were further shown to increase rates of microbial respiration. Together, river water and ground water enhance microbial activity within the hyporheic zone, regardless of river stage, as shown by elevated putative amino-acid transformations and the abundance of amino-sugar and protein-like compounds. This enhanced microbial activity is further dependent on the composition of ground water and river water inputs. Our results further suggest that abiotic controls on DOM should be incorporated into predictive modeling for understanding watershed dynamics, especially as climate variability and land use could affect light exposure and changes to ground water essential elements, both shown to impact the Columbia river hyporheic zone.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Correcting the PFNS for more consistent fission modeling

For FY20, we had a deliverable to write a report detailing efforts to simultaneously evaluate both the prompt neutron multiplicity, $\overline{ν}$, and the prompt neutron fission neutron spectrum, PFNS, using CGMF. CGMF is the LANL-developed fission fragment decay code that consistently evaporates prompt neutrons and γ rays using the Hauser-Feshbach statistical theory of compound reactions. The decay begins by constructing the initial conditions of the fission fragments, then decaying each one from the excited state by neutrons and γ rays, conserving energy, momentum, spin, and parity in each step of the emission. The initial conditions of the fragments, along with the multiplicity, energy, and direction of each emitted neutron or γ ray, are recorded, allowing for the full reconstruction of the fission event. These event histories allow us to reconstruct average quantities, as well as correlations between observables, that can be compared with experimental or evaluated data. In that initial report, although there was already a favorable comparison between $\overline{ν}$ from CGMF, experiment, and the current ENDF/B-VIII.0 evaluation, we showed that there was still significant work to be done to improve the PFNS from CGMF. Historically, the PFNS is calculated too soft by Hauser-Feshbach fission models, and CGMF is no exception. The incorrect shape presents a significant challenge in fission modeling, including for our understanding of the fission process and for our ability to consistently calculate and predict a variety of prompt fission observables (such as fission fragment initial conditions, neutron and γ-ray multiplicities and energies, and the correlations between all observables). In our companion report, we detail our success in using CGMF to evaluate $\overline{ν}$. Although not included in the optimization explicitly, we also keep the initial conditions of the fission fragments physical, along with reproducing reasonably well the neutron multiplicity distribution. As we would expect from the sensitivities calculations from, the average neutron energies change very little from the $\overline{ν}$ optimization along with the PFNS (as will be shown in Sec. 2.6). The conclusion was that the global and statistical models would have to be investigated instead of just the fission fragment initial conditions (as is sufficient for $\overline{ν}$). This report details those efforts.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Human in vitro metabolism of an environmental mixture of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) found at the Portland Harbor Superfund Site

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are widespread environmental contaminants that pose health risks to humans. Toxicity testing approaches of PAHs have evolved from traditional rodent models to New Approach Methodologies (NAMs), such as high-throughput screening in zebrafish, enabling rapid evaluation of chemical hazards. However, translating toxicity findings from laboratory systems to humans remains difficult due to complexity and species-specific differences. Chemical dosimetry modeling offers a quantitative framework to bridge this gap, but its accuracy depends on robust knowledge of PAH metabolism. The objective of this study was to measure human metabolism rates of Supermix-10, the ten most abundant PAHs found at the Portland Harbor Superfund Site, to support development of human pharmacokinetic models. We incubated individual PAHs from Supermix-10 in pooled human liver microsomes and quantified parent PAH disappearance using high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) with UV and florescent detection. To assess the potential of mixture interactions, we also measured metabolism of all 10 compounds in an equimolar mixture and compared rates of parent disappearance to those observed for individual PAHs. All Supermix-10 PAHs demonstrated rapid parent compound disappearance in human hepatic microsomes. PAHs grouped into three metabolism patterns: high metabolism rates and capacity (2-methylnaphthalene, acenaphthylene, fluorene, naphthalene), high affinity metabolism that rapidly achieves low-level saturation (benzo[a]anthracene, chrysene), and moderate metabolism rates and capacity (fluoranthene, pyrene, retene, phenanthrene). Smaller PAHs exhibited faster metabolism, and higher metabolism rates correlated inversely with molecular weight. When incubated in an equimolar mixture, Supermix-10 demonstrated significantly slower metabolism (47–89 %) compared to metabolism of individual PAHs at the same concentration. These findings enhance our understanding of PAH metabolism in humans and demonstrate significant mixture interactions under the conditions tested. Furthermore, our findings offer insights into the metabolic behavior of Supermix-10 and provide critical metabolism rate data to support the development of physiological based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models. Dosimetry models can translate PAH chemical dosimetry from high-throughput testing platforms, like zebrafish and cellular system assays, to human exposures enhancing the accuracy and reliability of PAH risk assessments.

2-methylnaphthalene↗
DOE OSTI2025

Compounding effects of Lake and urbanization on summer precipitation in the Greater Chicago area

Here, this study explores the impacts of Lake Michigan and Chicago's urbanization on precipitation patterns over the Greater Chicago Area, using 22 years of observational data and Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulations focused on an early summer rain event. Observational analysis reveals that urban areas consistently experience more precipitation than the adjacent southern Lake Michigan region throughout the year, particularly before 2015. However, this disparity has narrowed since 2016 due to a more rapid increase in heavy precipitation over the lake compared to urban areas. Specifically, lake precipitation has risen by 25 mm per year, compared to 15 mm per year over urban areas. Additionally, the number of days with precipitation exceeding 5 mm per day has been rising at a rate of 1.34 days per year over the lake and 0.84 days per year over urban areas. Modeling experiments reveal that both urbanization and lake effects, including lake breezes, enhance precipitation over urban areas, primarily through convergence induced by interactions between land and lake breezes. In contrast, these same factors suppress precipitation over the lake. The suppression results from Lake Michigan's stable environment, characterized by cooler surface temperatures, limited evaporation in early summer, and a high-pressure anomaly over the lake driven by urban heating, which creates upward motion over urban areas and downward motion over the lake, further influencing precipitation patterns.

Coastal urban↗