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At least 883 records · Page 49

Statistical Error Analysis on White-Light Filter Ratio Experiments to Measure Electron Parameters

The Filter ratio technique to remotely measure electron temperature and speed using four color filters in visible light and a polarization camera was described in detail in four articles by Reginald et al., Solar physics, (2018, 2019a, 2019b, 2020). In these four articles we quantified the systematic error associated with using models of symmetric corona to interpret results from asymmetric corona. We also showed the criteria applied to select the bandwidths of filters, and the pros and cons of replacing the traditional linear polarizer with a polarization camera to measure pB. What started in 1990s as ground experiments conducted during total solar eclipses that lasted for a few minutes lead to a balloon borne experiment lasting eight hours in 2019 and will blossom into a space experiment on the International Space Station in 2023. Due to constraints on the bandwidths of the four filters, a successful mission requires quantification of the statistical error using Monte Carlo simulation to generate two feasibility profiles, which are unique to the design parameters of the coronagraph, to comprehend the feasibility to measure temperature and speed within the desired temporal and spatial resolutions. For the statistical error analysis, we use modeled K and F corona profiles, representative theoretical diffraction, scattering, and vignetting profiles, assumed efficiencies for lenses, mirrors, and polarizers, assumed detector properties on quantum efficiency, full well depth, dark noise, and read noise, and assumed instrument properties on aperture diameter, solid angle, and pixel resolution. We hope future white-light coronagraphs will exhibit capabilities to measure electron density, temperature, and speed.

Nelson Reginald↗

Logical shadow tomography: Efficient estimation of error-mitigated observables

We introduce a technique to estimate error-mitigated expectation values on noisy quantum computers. Our technique performs shadow tomography on a logical state to produce a memory-efficient classical reconstruction of the noisy density matrix. Using efficient classical post-processing, one can mitigate errors by projecting into the codespace as in subspace expansion and taking powers of the density matrix as in virtual distillation. Relative to subspace expansion which requires Ω (2^((n-1)k) samples to estimate a Pauli observable with an [[n; k]] stabilizer code, our technique requires only Ө(2^k) samples. Relative to virtual distillation, our technique can compute powers of the density matrix without implementing additional copies of quantum states the quantum computer. We present numerical results using logical states encoded with up to sixty physical qubits and show fast convergence to error-free expectation values with only 10^5 samples under 1% depolarizing noise.

quantum computing↗

An Examination of Heavy Ion-Induced Persistent Visual Error Signatures in an Electronic Display Driver Integrated Circuit

Given the ubiquity of electronic displays integration in human-based systems, the impending mission critical, space-based applications of electronic displays will necessitate SEE assessment of components unique to electronic displays. A commercially available DDIC designed to drive a small form factor organic light emitting diode (OLED) was visually monitored during heavy ion irradiation to catalogue radiation induced persistent visual error signatures that require manual intervention (i.e., power cycling) to return to nominal function. These error signatures were able to be reproduced via modification of configuration register values utilizing the instruction set intended for interfacing a microcontroller with the DDIC. This approach to emulation of heavy-ion induced errors on a table-top assists with human perception-based criticality analysis as well as development of mitigation techniques.

Electronic Displays↗

Preliminary Results Cycling GEOS-JEDI with GSI-based Background Errors

The first phase of transitioning the NASA GMAO GEOS atmospheric data assimilation capabilities to JEDI involves the replacement of the Grid-point Statistical Interpolation (GSI) with a corresponding JEDI analysis. This includes taking JEDI's Unified Observation Operator (UFO), its underlying dependencies, and the JEDI solver that enables a hybrid 4DEnVar strategy similar to what is used in the current GEOS-GSI system. Variational analysis involves at least two main components associated with the observation and background cost function terms. The first is directly related to the UFO, which is being carefully validated in a joint collaboration between GMAO and NCEP to demonstrate consistency with corresponding observations usage in GSI. The second component is the background term, which in a hybrid system involves the ability to set up both a climatologically-based term and an ensemble-based term. JEDI provides the means to implement both terms through its BUMP component. Use of BUMP would require a complete re-tune of both climatological and ensemble, which is a non-trivial exercise we would prefer to avoid. As an alternative, the work here studies the results of interfacing the GSI-background error capability (GSIBEC) into JEDI through SABER. With this, the exact same background error covariance formulation used in GSI can be employed in JEDI without need for re-tuning. This brief summary covers the work done to interface GSIBEC into JEDI and shows preliminary results where the background error covariances of the control (GEOS-GSI) and experiment (GEOS-JEDI) are identical in corresponding cycling experiments. The cycling exercise is obviously preliminary and so much can be expected from GEOS-JEDI when compared to GEOS-GSI. There is still a number of features that need closer attention and although in some cases in principle ready to cycle have been intentionally either turned off or not fully exercised (e.g., VarBC is applied but not cycled). Other features are still pending implementation, one such example is the implementation of the Tangent Linear Normal Mode Constraint. Still, results are quite encouraging as hopefully the discussion here illustrates.

Ricardo Todling↗

Leveraging the Roman Coronagraph Approach for the HWO Error Budget

The Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) is currently being considered as a future, coronagraph-equipped space telescope that would fulfill the top priority of Astro-2020. The top priority stated is the building of a telescope capable of detecting and characterizing exoplanets with sensitivity down to Earth-like planets. In a coronagraph approach, the methodology for setting up the error budget and performance model can benefit directly from the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope (RST) experience. RST’s Coronagraph Instrument (CGI) is a direct precursor to the HWO coronagraph, with performance reaching below 10 −7 in contrast demonstrated in very recent thermal-vac testing, and the possibility that it will perform better with more time on orbit. The RST CGI development benefited significantly from an error budget approach and analytical model focused on the noise incurred in measuring a planet’s flux ratio. In this brief paper we outline the current state of the application of the Roman approach to an HWO flux ratio noise error budget, including reasonable allocations informed by the Roman experience, and recent studies of narrow angle scatter done independently.

Bijan Nemati↗

Flight Path Control Error Analysis for the Helioswarm Observatory

The HelioSwarm Observatory requires specific geometries be formed by the nine satellites in the swarm to resolve different scales of solar wind turbulence. Maneuver execution and state estimation drive flight path control errors that could disrupt the swarm geometry. Using a Monte-Carlo analysis, flight path control errors for dispersed trajectories were generated and the impact to science performance and other mission constraints evaluated. The results highlight the unique aspects of swarm-type multi-satellite missions in terms of maneuver planning and error tolerance.

Stephen West↗

Flight Path Control Error Analysis for the Helioswarm Observatory

The HelioSwarm Observatory requires specific geometries be formed by the nine satellites in the swarm to resolve different scales of solar wind turbulence. Maneuver execution and state estimation drive flight path control errors that could disrupt the swarm geometry. Using a Monte-Carlo analysis, flight path control errors for dispersed trajectories were generated and the impact to science performance and other mission constraints evaluated. The results highlight the unique aspects of swarm-type multi-satellite missions in terms of maneuver planning and error tolerance.

Swarm↗

Onboard Navigation Error Analysis for Aerocapture at Uranus

Capturing into an orbit around Uranus using aerocapture allows one to design a mission with faster interplanetary trajectories and less propellant requirements. Such an aerocapture mission would rely on the onboard Guidance, Navigation, and Control (GNC) subsystems to successfully capture into an orbit around Uranus. Uncertainty in the state information and the noise in the sensor measurements induce navigation errors in the guidance and control subsystems, which can affect the overall performance of the aerocapture mission at Uranus. Understanding the effect of these navigation errors on mission performance is essential. To this end, this work considers different sensors with varying quality to understand their impact on the overall mission performance. In addition, this paper studies the impact of the uncertainty in the initial states used to initialize the onboard navigation filter and understands their effect on mission performance. This paper also shows the onboard navigation errors obtained from the Linear Covariance (LinCov) analysis and uses them for verification and validation (V&V) of the results from Program to Optimize and Simulate Trajectories-II (POST2).

Pardha Sai Chadalavada↗

Guidance for Human Error Analysis (HEA)

NASA’s Human-Rating Requirements for Space Systems in NASA Procedural Requirements (NPR) 8705.2C requires Program Managers to conduct a human error analysis (HEA) for all mission phases. The purpose of the HEA is to enable programs to understand and manage potential catastrophic hazards that could be caused by human error, understand the relative risks and uncertainties within the system design, and influence decisions throughout the system lifecycle. This document provides guidance to NASA civil servants and contractors on how the Agency’s HEA requirement can be fulfilled.

Human Error Analysis; NASA Procedural Requirement;↗

Sensitivity of Mars surface navigation to timing errors

This study will show that the surface asset positioning process is robust and relatively insensitive to these errors. Indeed, the combination of in-situ and MN orbiter to Earth Doppler data is capable of simultaneously resolving surface asset and MN orbiter positions to an accuracy of 10 m, and clock errors to levels better than 3 msec.

Mars Network navigation timing errors↗

Scaling and technology issues for soft error rates

Th effects of device technology and scaling on soft error rates are discussed, using information obtained from both the device and space communities as a guide to determine the net effect on soft errors.

soft error rate space radiation high-energy proton↗

Using Computational Cognitive Modeling to Diagnose Possible Sources of Aviation Error

We present a computational model of a closed-loop, pilot-aircraft-visual scene-taxiway system created to shed light on possible sources of taxi error. Creating the cognitive aspects of the model using ACT-R required us to conduct studies with subject matter experts to identify experiential adaptations pilots bring to taxiing. Five decision strategies were found, ranging from cognitively-intensive but precise, to fast, frugal but robust. We provide evidence for the model by comparing its behavior to a NASA Ames Research Center simulation of Chicago O'Hare surface operations. Decision horizons were highly variable; the model selected the most accurate strategy given time available. We found a signature in the simulation data of the use of globally robust heuristics to cope with short decision horizons as revealed by errors occurring most frequently at atypical taxiway geometries or clearance routes. These data provided empirical support for the model.

Pilots↗