Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “empirical”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 883 records · Page 49

Data-driven occupant-behavior analytics for residential buildings

Many advances have been made in building technology to help save energy, but influencing the behavior of the occupants is still necessary to achieve low-energy use targets. One of the most practical ways to influence and change occupant behaviors is through incentives. Developing incentives for energy-saving and quantifying the impact of occupant behaviors are both active areas of research. Here, we propose a data analytics framework for detecting changes in occupant behaviors, which will help build an analytics feedback loop from behavior impact to incentive design. The framework has two major parts. The first forecasts energy consumption for each occupant, while the second determines a probability distribution for changes in energy consumption. The parts are interchangeable with other existing machine learning and statistical methods. A specific instantiation of the framework, using kernel ridge-regression for forecasting and k-means to find an empirical behavior distribution, is described in detail. An HVAC use-case with 5 different incentivized behaviors is used as an example to show that the framework can detect behavior changes induced by incentives. Furthermore, we show that some simpler behavior-change detection methods do not work, further justifying the use of advanced analytics.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Design and testing of a free floating dual flap wave energy converter

With a wide variety of wave energy device archetypes currently under consideration, it is a major challenge to ensure that research findings and methods are broadly applicable. In particular, the design and testing of wave energy control systems, a process which includes experimental design, empirical modeling, control design, and performance evaluation, is of interest. This goal motivated the redesign and testing of a floating dual flap wave energy converter. As summarized in this paper, the steps taken in the design, testing, and analysis of the device mirrored those previously demonstrated on a three-degree of freedom point absorber device. The method proposed does not require locking WEC degrees of freedom to develop an excitation model, and presents a more attainable system identification procedure for at-sea deployments. The results show that the methods employed work well for this dual flap device, lending additional support for the broad applicability of the design and testing methods applied here. The aim of this paper is to demonstrate that these models are particularly useful for deducing areas of device design or controller implementation that can be reasonably improved to increase device power capture.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Automated vehicle microscopic energy consumption study (AV-Micro): Data collection and model development

While the Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC) system in automated vehicles (AVs) is expected to impact transportation energy significantly, existing AV energy consumption models only directly adopt those developed with Human-driven Vehicle (HV) data without even slight adaptation or calibration to accommodate unique AV energy consumption features. This study will investigate how accurately HV data-based models can predict the energy consumption of AVs. Empirical trajectory data and corresponding instantaneous energy consumption rates from both AVs and HVs were collected. We adopted two classical HV data-based models to fit these data. The calibration results indicated that these models yield around 20 30% prediction errors for AVs. To further improve the prediction accuracy, this study designed an AV-Micro model by incorporating components of multiple classic energy consumption models that better capture ACC energy consumption features, including piecewise driving behavior. With this, the AV-Micro model achieves lower than 10% prediction errors. The AV-Micro model’s high consistency across different test runs was verified with statistical significance tests, demonstrating its adaptability in different driving profiles. To confirm the discrepancies between the energy consumption features of AVs and HVs, more statistical significance tests were conducted to show that the AV-Micro model cannot be directly applied to HV data. The findings by calibrated AV-Micro models revealed that AVs consume approximately 80.5–146.4 J more energy than HVs for each meter traveled. Furthermore, the frequency analysis of energy consumption indicates that there is still some room for AVs to improve energy efficiency, particularly given their larger amplitude high-frequency fluctuations.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Exploring the effects of policy on stakeholder adoption and deployment of agrivoltaics: A case study of Massachusetts

Further deployment of agrivoltaics is likely to require a better understanding of how policies and agreements can shape the outcomes of solar siting on farmland. This study evaluates the Massachusetts agrivoltaics policy in terms of its implications on deployment and stakeholder experiences in adoption. We present findings from interviews with 26 state policymakers, Extension agents, representatives of non-governmental organizations, farm owners and operators, and solar developers. Our findings demonstrate how the policy has mixed effects on deployment processes and outcomes—in some instances, the policy enables deployment by formalizing cross-sector collaboration, increasing farm owner and operator participation in development, and facilitating novel business models. In other instances, the policy constrains deployment by prescribing operational requirements, creating liability risk, and developing dependency on empirical data to inform eligibility decisions. Interviewees explained how these mixed policy effects create both benefits and burdens for adopters, particularly farm owners and operators. These insights indicate the value of cross-sector collaboration during all phases of agrivoltaic policy implementation and project development; the importance of coordination across policy, research, and commercial activities; and the significant role of regulators and policy design in deployment. The evidence presented in this paper can inform decision making for emerging agrivoltaic policies and markets, both in the United States and internationally.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Probing lattice defects in crystalline battery cathode using hard X-ray nanoprobe with data-driven modeling

Lattice defects, e.g., dislocations and grain boundaries, critically impact the properties of crystalline battery cathode materials. A longstanding challenge is to probe the meso–scale heterogeneity and evolution of lattice defects with sensitivity to atomic-scale details. Herein, we tackle this issue with a unique combination of X-ray nanoprobe diffractive imaging and advanced machine learning techniques. The domains with different lattice defect configuration within a single-crystalline LiCoO2 cathode particle are faithfully revealed using our approach. We further visualize the rearrangement of grain boundaries and local crystallinity upon mild thermal annealing. Furthermore, these results pave a direct way to the understanding of crystalline battery materials’ response under external stimuli with high fidelity, which provides valuable empirical guidance to defect-engineering strategies for improving the cathode materials against aggressive battery operation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Optimizing high energy density sulfur cathodes: A multivariate approach to electrode formulation and processing

Lithium-sulfur (Li-S) batteries involve complex solid-liquid-solid phase transformations during both discharging and charging processes, where cathode materials, formulation, and structure play a crucial role. Here, a design of experiments (DoE) methodology and an empirical model are developed to systematically explore the interactions and trade-offs among cathode factors and process variables, and to obtain generalizable effects estimates for the multivariate system. Compared to the conventional one-factor-at-a-time (OFAT) approach, this work demonstrates advantages in both efficiency and accuracy by allowing the data to guide future research and decisions. Further, an optimized cathode formulation and processing parameters are predicted and validated experimentally, achieving over 1000 mAh g -1 in discharge capacity and improved cycling under practical lean electrolyte (4 µL mg -1 S) and high S-loading cathodes (>4 mg cm -2 ) conditions. The optimized cathode was scaled up and assembled into Li-S pouch cells, achieving 316 Wh kg -1 in cell-level energy, proving that the comprehensive and rigorous framework for optimizing complex systems with DoE leads to improved performance in a practical pouch cell system.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Probing Cretaceous-Paleogene crustal thickness in southern Tibet using quartz-zircon chronobarometry

Knowledge of the crustal thickness history of southern Tibet during the India-Asia collision is key to understanding what deformation mechanisms accommodated northward propagating crustal shortening. Thermoisotopic models suggest that a relatively thin margin of southern Asia persisted from ca. 200 to 45 Ma whereas trace element paleodepth proxies are interpreted to indicate a thinning phase from ca. 100 to 65 Ma when the crust reached ∼30 km-thickness. As neither of these methods directly measures crustal thickness, resolution of this conflict awaits development of a method that can. Here, in this study, we place bounds on the thickening history of southern Tibet using coupled quartz-zircon thermobarometry and U-Pb geochronology of granitoid plutons in the Gangdese batholith. We find that crustal thicknesses were as high (or higher) as 60–75 km at 65 Ma, or 10–15 Ma prior to the onset of hard continental collision. Magmatic inflation in the lower crust likely contributed to crustal thickening and thermal weakening of the lower crust, suggesting that pure shear in the lower crust was likely the primary accommodation mechanism for N-S shortening during collision. These data are in partial agreement with results of thermoisotopic models of crustal thickness but contradict thickness histories derived from empirical trace element proxies.

Chronobarometry↗

On the role of Battery Energy Storage Systems in the day-ahead Contingency-Constrained Unit Commitment problem under renewable penetration

The integration of variable Renewable Energy Sources (vRES) to alleviate greenhouse gas emissions has introduced significant challenges for power systems operations. These challenges include high levels of uncertainty due to the intermittence associated with vRES and therefore impose the need to devise a reliable and cost-effective day-ahead unit commitment and power and reserves scheduling for real-time operations. Also, this increasing penetration of vRES requires higher ramping capabilities from units originally designed for other purposes (e.g., base-load generation), which might be exacerbated during contingency states. Hence, in this work, we propose a methodology to address the day-ahead Contingency-Constrained Unit Commitment (CCUC) problem that leverages the participation of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESSs) to address load-following and post-contingency management, therefore alleviating the ramping burden on conventional thermal generators. To do so, we formulate a three-level optimization problem that represents the decision-making process of obtaining the least-cost commitment, generation and reserves scheduling, while restricting the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of the system imbalance at real-time operations to user-defined tolerance levels. In addition, we devise a computationally efficient solution approach for the proposed problem based on the Column-and Constraint Generation (CCG) algorithmic framework. Two numerical experiments are conducted to empirically illustrate the benefits of the proposed methodology. Key results indicate a reduction in real-time ramping needs and a better usage of the system resources, with a reduction in the overall system commitment levels and reserve scheduling costs when compared to a benchmark case in which storage is not available.

Moreira, Alexandre↗

Supply sunspots and shadows: Business siting patterns and inequitable rooftop solar adoption in the United States

Entrepreneurs in certain industries tend to locate new businesses in relatively affluent areas. Preferences to site businesses in affluent areas can reduce low-income household access to certain products. Some argue that business siting patterns could explain inequitable consumption patterns, though such causal claims are often empirically weak. Here, we explore whether business siting patterns partly explain inequitable adoption of rooftop solar photovoltaics in California. We show that solar business formation drives an immediate and sustained increase in local solar adoption, including in low-income areas. However, solar business siting patterns have only weak impacts on solar adoption equity. The data show how solar businesses headquartered in low-income areas nonetheless install solar for relatively affluent customers. Customer-level adoption inequity partly offsets the potential equity gains of siting more businesses in low-income areas. We discuss how the emergent nature and unique business model of rooftop solar help explain these nuanced results.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Simulation insights into wetting properties of hydrogen-brine-clay for hydrogen geo-storage

Hydrogen geo-storage is attracting substantial interdisciplinary interest as a cost-effective and sustainable option for medium- and long-term storage. Hydrogen can be stored underground in diverse formations, including aquifers, salt caverns, and depleted oil and gas reservoirs. The wetting dynamics of the hydrogen-brine-rock system are critical for assessing both structural and residual storage capacities, and ensuring containment safety. Through molecular dynamics simulations, we explore how varying concentrations of cushion gases (CO 2 or CH 4 ) influence the wetting properties of hydrogen-brine-clay systems under geological conditions (15 MPa and 333 K). We employed models of talc and the hydroxylated basal face of kaolinite (kaoOH) as clay substrates. Our findings reveal that the effect of cushion gases on hydrogen-brine-clay wettability is strongly dependent on the clay-brine interactions. Notably, CO 2 and CH 4 reduce the water wettability of talc in hydrogen-brine-talc systems, while exerting no influence on the wettability of hydrogen-brine-kaoOH systems. Detailed analysis of free energy of cavity formation near clay surfaces, clay-brine interfacial tensions, and the Willard-Chandler surface for gas-brine interfaces elucidate the molecular mechanisms underlying wettability changes. Our simulations identify empirical correlations between wetting properties and the average free energy required to perturb a flat interface when clay-brine interactions are less dominant. Here, our thorough thermodynamic analysis of rock-fluid and fluid-fluid interactions, aligning with key experimental observations, underscores the utility of simulated interfacial properties in refining contact angle measurements and predicting experimentally relevant properties. These insights significantly enhance the assessment of gas geo-storage potential. Prospectively, the approaches and findings obtained from this study could form a basis for more advanced multiscale simulations that consider a range of geological and operational variables, potentially guiding the development and improvement of geo-storage systems in general, with a particular focus on hydrogen storage.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Novel artificial neural network model for instantaneous power losses and operational efficiency mapping of MW-scale vanadium redox flow battery for improved technoeconomic analysis

A novel data-driven, machine-learning-based method for modeling the instantaneous power losses of a distribution-sited 2 MW/8MWh vanadium redox flow battery (VRFB), a grid-scale electrochemical storage technology, is introduced and compared against benchmark empirical modeling approaches, including symmetric and asymmetric models, as well as a recent convex hull modeling approach. The novel loss modeling method introduces several advantages over the benchmark models and over simplistic efficiency estimates, the most significant of which is that the model can accurately reflect the stepwise and non-linear parasitic losses associated with the duty cycles of mechanical auxiliary systems like pump motor drives and blower fans. Residuals of the models are compared; the proposed data driven model features significantly improved accuracy over the benchmark models. The model's coefficient of determination is also improved relative to that of the benchmark models. Furthermore, a novel method for visualization of operational efficiency of the grid-scale storage technology is introduced. To demonstrate the benefits of the novel data-driven method for modeling the VRFB, the benchmark models and the proposed models are embedded into an Open DSS distribution network model to study two applications of the grid-scale electrical storage system: load leveling for grid support and energy arbitrage. This article demonstrates that the accuracy of the instantaneous power loss model significantly impacts the understanding of the state of charge of the VRFB. In turn, the accuracy of the efficiency modeling of the VRFB impacts the understanding of the potential economic value and technical benefits to the distribution network operators. In conclusion, the presented power loss modeling approach is, therefore, highly relevant for utility-stakeholders, battery asset owners, system engineers, system designers, and financial planners interested in evaluating or optimizing the operation of grid-scale VRFBs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Flow dynamics and heat transfer in simplified battery energy storage systems with heated battery modules

Large-scale energy storage systems (ESSs) composed of batteries show promise in addressing current energy challenges, but dissipation of generated heat is important. Here, this paper focuses on buoyant convective flows in simplified ESS battery racks. Natural convection is not generally the primary cooling strategy but can be important in abnormal scenarios where there is module overheat or potentially thermal runaway. We use computational fluid dynamics to investigate the flow dynamics and heat transfer mechanisms in a simplified parameterized rack design. Despite its simplicity, this configuration produces many of the relevant features expected in real ESSs without details of module geometry or hardware, allowing broad conclusions independent of manufacture-specific designs. We start by providing visualizations of the flowfield and measurements of entrainment, heat flux, and pressure. To characterize the dependence on the system parameters, we develop an integral-scale analysis of the average temperature equation to highlight the dominant source terms. We use results from this analysis to derive a steady network model composed of simple algebraic expressions to provide first-order predictions of entrainment through the rack. The network model leads to a linear scaling of the Reynolds number based on convective mass flux with respect to the Grashof number based on the heat source. We deduce empirical relationships that relate the heat exchanged between modules using a surface-averaged Nusselt number as a function of the local Reynolds and Rayleigh numbers. Lastly, we investigate how space between the modules and rack in the spanwise direction creates flow bypass, resulting in different flow pathways.

Battery thermal management↗

Daily operational impacts on battery degradation in heavy-duty electric drayage trucks

Battery aging is a critical factor influencing the performance, longevity, and cost of ownership of battery electric trucks (BETs). This paper presents a comprehensive evaluation of battery aging for two Li-ion battery chemistries, Nickel-Manganese-Cobalt (NMC) and Lithium-Iron-Phosphate (LFP), accounting for both cycling and calendar aging. In contrast to traditional methods that rely on simplified linear degradation models based on manufacturer-provided data, this study employs semi-empirical aging models calibrated to experimentally collected data. The models are integrated into a detailed vehicle simulation environment, enabling a comprehensive assessment of battery degradation under realistic operating conditions. A case study focusing on heavy-duty electric drayage truck operations in the Port of Savannah, GA, is presented to illustrate the impact on battery pack lifespan of: seasonal variations, daily operational activities, charging strategies, and battery storage conditions. The results illuminate the significance of the battery pack’s state of charge during stationary periods, such as overnight storage or weekend parking, on battery degradation and its potential implications for long-term vehicle viability. Additionally, the study explores how different operational and environmental factors affect battery degradation, offering critical insights into best battery charging and storage practices. Our results demonstrate that LFP outperforms NMC in terms of years of useful life; however, by utilizing charging strategies that minimize the amount of time the battery spends resting at high levels of state-of-charge, the lifespan of the battery pack that uses NMC can nonetheless be increased by more than a factor of two.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

An objective inter-comparison of trash mark constellations generated by manual and automated detection methods

Trash marks are unintentional markings observed on printed, scanned, or photocopied documents that result from permanent defects or transient material in office machines and can be used for source attribution of questioned documents. Trash mark examinations have been in use in forensic laboratories for decades, yet the method remains relatively untested and relies on training, experience, and anecdotal information to support its validity. Herein this study generated and harnessed objective data to empirically test one of the foundational theories for assessing the origin of photocopied documents: provided trash marks are present in sufficient quantity and/or quality, no two machines will exhibit a constellation of trash marks that is indistinguishable from another. In this project, objective trash mark location and size data was generated for 50 known photocopiers using both a traditional and a novel, automated method. Inter-machine comparisons were conducted using a novel variant of the Hausdorff distance algorithm to generate a quantitative assessment of how similar or different the 2450 pairs of trash mark constellations were from one another. This study found that each of the machines bearing one or more trash marks exhibited objective differences in their trash mark constellations, ultimately providing support for the tested hypothesis

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Assessment of various tar and soot treatment methods and a priori analysis of the steady laminar flamelet model for use in coal combustion simulation

Soot formed in the fuel-rich regions of coal flames is known to have a significant impact on the radiative heat transfer characteristics of the flame. It is therefore important to account for the effect of soot radiation when simulating coal combustion systems. Several recent coal combustion studies have used acetylene as a surrogate for devolatilized tar and neglect soot formation altogether, while others have utilized empirical models for tar and soot or even chemical mechanisms which include tar and soot as species. In this work, we investigate several methods of treating coal-derived tar and soot and the impact each treatment has on predicted furnace temperature, particle mass loss, and other quantities of interest. Furthermore, we perform a priori comparisons of simulation results to calculations from a steady laminar flamelet model in order to assess the accuracy of a flamelet approach for each tar and soot treatment considered. Data used as a basis for the study is generated through One-Dimensional Turbulence (ODT) simulation of a coal combustion system in which high- fidelity models are used for gas phase chemistry and devolatilization, where char combustion is neglected.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A review of coal heating value correlations with application to coal char, tar, and other fuels

Accurately measuring a fuel’s heating value is one of the first steps in the classification of a new fuel. Heating values are widely used in coal combustion research and are becoming more useful in other fuel types as well. Many different empirical correlations to predict heating values based on primary organic (CHONS) elemental composition are found in the literature, many of which were originally created to predict heating values of parent coal, and some of which have been extended for biomass. However, no correlations exist for heating values of coal chars and tars. Thirteen literature heating value correlations (10 model forms with 13 unique sets of coefficients) were evaluated for their predictive accuracy of a wide variety of fuel types, including 353 coals. This comparative analysis showed that the predictive capabilities of many of these literature models are very similar for coal-based fuels, with good correlation of coal char heating values. Correlation of coal tar heating values was hampered by the lack of heating value data. The choice of which model to use becomes more important for biomass fuels as well as for more unique fuel types like propellants and explosives, municipal solid waste, etc. Finally, the best model forms for each fuel type are suggested based on several statistical measures of fit.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

The quest for efficient oxygenated fuels: Examining interactions between lubricant components and oxygenates

This work empirically evaluated oxygenated blendstock-lubricant compatibility using a novel but simple method. The reactivity or compatibility was evaluated via gas chromatograph equipped with a flame ionization detector (GC-FID) before and after heating for 2h at 150 °C, which would roughly mimic conditions encountered in the combustion chamber of an Spark Ignition (SI) or Compression-Ignition (CI) engine. Five oxygenate blendstocks spanning several functional groups and chain lengths (prenol, isoprenol, butyl acetate, isohexanol, polyoxymethylene dimethyl ethers) were evaluated in a base fuel with nine variations of lubricant components of controlled concentrations, including fully formulated commercial lubricants. Baseline comparative examples were also generated, to decouple the effect of the oxygenate on the mixture, by heating only the base fuel with the lubricant component. Results demonstrate the relative compatibility between noted lubricants and oxygenates in base fuel upon heating. This was illustrated by minimal to no changes in the GC-FID traces. However, reactions of several of the chosen lubricants, especially Molybdenum di (2-ethylhexyl) phosphorodithioate (Molyvan L) and zinc dialkyldithiophosphate (ZDDP), with prenol and polyoxymethylene dimethyl ethers blendstocks showed substantial side reactions compared to corresponding baseline examples. Control experiments without oxygenates but comprising the same lubricant components showed no change in the mixture with heating. We concluded the incompatibility is due to the oxygenate and not the components of the base fuel. This preliminary work is valuable in establishing trends as well as provide useful information when a new component is introduced in the fuel.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗