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DOE OSTI2022

Characterizing Heterogeneous Mixtures of Assembled States of the Tobacco Mosaic Virus Using Charge Detection Mass Spectrometry

The tobacco mosaic viral capsid protein (TMV) is a frequent target for derivatization for myriad applications, including drug delivery, biosensing, and light harvesting. However, solutions of the stacked disk assembly state of TMV are difficult to characterize quantitatively due to their large size and multiple assembled states. Charge detection mass spectrometry (CDMS) addresses the need to characterize heterogeneous populations of large protein complexes in solution quickly and accurately. Using CDMS, previously unobserved assembly states of TMV, including 16-monomer disks and odd-numbered disk stacks, have been characterized. We additionally employed a peptide-protein conjugation reaction in conjunction with CDMS to demonstrate that modified TMV proteins do not redistribute between disks. Finally, this technique was used to discriminate between protein complexes of near-identical mass but different configurations. In conclusion, we have gained a greater understanding of the behavior of TMV, a protein used across a broad variety of fields and applications, in the solution state.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Reversible Emulsions from Polyoxometalate–Polymer: A Robust Strategy to Cyclic Emulsion Catalysis and High-Internal-Phase Emulsion Materials

Reversible Pickering emulsions, achieved by switchable, interfacially active colloidal particles, that enable on-demand emulsification/demulsification or phase inversion, hold substantial promise for biphasic catalysis, emulsion polymerization, cutting fluids, and crude oil pipeline transportation. However, particles with such a responsive behavior usually require complex chemical syntheses and surface modifications, limiting their extensive use. Herein, we report a simple route to generate emulsions that can be controlled and reversibly undergo phase inversion. The emulsions are prepared and stabilized by the interfacial assembly of polyoxometalate (POM)–polymer, where their electrostatic interaction at the interface is dynamic. The wettability of the POMs that dictates the emulsion type can be readily regulated by tuning the number of polymer chains bound to POMs, which, in turn, can be controlled by varying the concentrations of both components and the water/oil ratio. In addition, the number of polymer chains anchored to the POMs can be varied by controlling the number of negative charges on the POMs through an in situ redox reaction. As such, a reversible inversion of the emulsions can be triggered by switching between exposure to ultraviolet light and the introduction of oxygen. Combining the functions of POM itself, a cyclic interfacial catalysis system was realized. Inversion of the emulsion also affords a pathway to high-internal-phase emulsions. Finally, the diversity of the POMs, the polymers, and the responsive switching groups open numerous new, simple strategies for designing a wide range of responsive soft matter for cargo loading, controlled release, and delivery in biomedical and engineering applications without time-consuming particle syntheses.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

Charged Biological Membranes Repel Large Neutral Molecules by Surface Dielectrophoresis and Counterion Pressure

Macromolecular crowding is the usual condition of cells. The implications of the crowded cellular environment for protein stability and folding, protein–protein interactions, and intracellular transport drive a growing interest in quantifying the effects of crowding. While the properties of crowded solutions have been extensively studied, less attention has been paid to the interaction of crowders with the cellular boundaries, i.e., membranes. However, membranes are key components of cells and most subcellular organelles, playing a central role in regulating protein channel and receptor functions by recruiting and binding charged and neutral solutes. While membrane interactions with charged solutes are dominated by electrostatic forces, here we show that significant charge-induced forces also exist between membranes and neutral solutes. Using neutron reflectometry measurements and molecular dynamics simulations of poly(ethylene glycol) (PEG) polymers of different molecular weights near charged and neutral membranes, we demonstrate the roles of surface dielectrophoresis and counterion pressure in repelling PEG from charged membrane surfaces. The resulting depletion zone is expected to have consequences for drug design and delivery, the activity of proteins near membrane surfaces, and the transport of small molecules along the membrane surface.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Ultradynamic Isoreticularly Expanded Porous Organic Crystals

Porous organic materials showcasing large framework dynamics present new paths for adsorption and separation with enhanced capacity and selectivity beyond the size-sieving limits, which is attributed to their guest-responsive sorption behaviors. Porous hydrogen-bonded crosslinked organic frameworks (H C OFs) are attractive for their remarkable ability to undergo guest-triggered expansion and contraction facilitated by their flexible covalent crosslinkages. However, the voids of H C OFs remain limited, which restrains the extent of the framework dynamics. Here in this work, we synthesized a series of H C OFs characterized by unprecedented size expansion capabilities induced by solvents. These H C OFs were constructed by isoreticularly co-crystallizing two complementary sets of hydrogen bonding building blocks to generate porous molecular crystals, which were crosslinked through thiol–ene/yne single-crystal-to-single-crystal transformations. The generated H C OFs exhibit enhanced chemical durability, high crystallinity, and extraordinary framework dynamics. For instance, H C OF-104 crystals featuring a pore diameter of 13.6 Å expanded in DMF to 300 ± 10% of their original lengths within just 1 min. This expansion allows the HCOFs to adsorb guest molecules that are significantly larger than the pore sizes of their crystalline states. Through methanol-induced contraction, these large guests were encapsulated in the fast-contracted H C OFs. These advancements in porous framework dynamics pave the way for new methods of encapsulating guests for targeted delivery.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Combining Theory and Experiment to Map the Atomic-Level Structure–Energy Pathways of Adsorbate-Mediated Phase Changes in a Cooperatively Flexible Metal–Organic Framework

An important subclass of metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) exhibits cooperative flexibility, wherein individual crystallites undergo global structural phase changes in response to external stimuli. Where cooperative flexibility results in reversible changes between crystalline states of distinct accessible porosity, these frameworks can exhibit rare yet desirable behaviors that cannot be explained by local dynamics alone. Yet, the chemical and structural origins of cooperative flexibility and how frameworks undergo these reversible phase changes at the atomic level remain poorly understood. Deliberate design for specific applications is therefore exceedingly difficult, and there is great impetus to develop a fundamental understanding of this phenomenon. Here, an effective and widely accessible computational approach is developed, which is designed to provide microscopic resolution via direct comparison to experimental data along the desorption-guided pathway. The strategy is applied to explain the desorption-induced phase change in an experimentally well-characterized framework, CdIF-13 (sod-Cd(benzimidazolate)2), where experiment alone was unable to resolve the atomistically detailed phase change landscape. Our findings reveal that the cooperative phase change pathways are adsorbate dependent with thermodynamics of intermediate structural states dictated by a nuanced interplay of ligand orientation, skeletal symmetry, and modes of surface adsorption. The results reveal that this isotropically flexible framework is “chaperoned” through a complex energy landscape by specific adsorbates, revealed by the reported computational approach with atomic-level insight and validated by experimentally determined structures. Thus, this work facilitates both understanding and future design of flexible materials for applications in gas storage, transport, delivery, and separation technologies.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Field-Coupled Water Splitting with Metal-Free Donor–Acceptor Covalent Organic-Framework Junctions

Advancing metal-free electrocatalysts for hydrogen and oxygen evolution reactions (HER/OER) across acidic and alkaline media requires coordinated control of intermediate binding thermodynamics, interfacial charge delivery, and near-electrode transport dynamics. Here, we design amide-linked benzene–triazine covalent organic frameworks (BTA/TzTA-Hz COFs) and integrate them with carbon nanotubes (CNTs) to form COF–CNT junctions that establish a built-in interfacial electric field. Density functional theory (DFT) and electrostatic potential maps indicate complementary active motifs, with benzene-proximal fragments associated with HER and triazine-proximal motifs associated with OER. CNT integration shifts the contact-potential difference by ≈0.20 V, while operando electrochemical impedance spectroscopy suggests partially separable high-frequency junction-charging and lower-frequency Faradaic/transport responses. A 300 mT static magnetic field lowers the HER and OER overpotentials by tens of millivolts. Under anodic bias, the effective interfacial charging capacitance increases, and Mott–Schottky analysis shows an apparent ∼0.15 V flat-band shift with an essentially unchanged slope. Together, these observations are consistent with field-perturbed interfacial charging and altered bias partitioning. Field-dependent impedance and bubble imaging are consistent with magnetohydrodynamic convection that promotes bubble detachment and near-electrode mass transport for both half-reactions, and they reveal an OER-specific high-frequency perturbation under anodic bias. Under field, the heterostructure reaches an OER onset overpotential of ∼261 mV and requires an overpotential of 366 mV at 10 mA cm –2 in alkaline electrolyte. These results illustrate how reticular-framework chemistry, junction engineering, and both built-in and applied fields can program reactivity through interfacial electrostatics and near-electrode transport in organic-framework electrocatalysts.

Garcia-Enriquez, Lissette [Univ. of Texas at El Pa↗

DOE OSTI2026

Sulfite Is Not Required for N 2 Reduction Catalyzed by Mo-Nitrogenase

Mo-nitrogenase catalyzes the reduction of dinitrogen (N 2 ) to two ammonia (NH 3 ) at the active-site FeMo-cofactor. Substrate activation requires the accumulation of three or four electrons and protons as two Fe-bound hydrides and is coupled to obligatory H 2 release through reductive hydride elimination. Subsequent delivery of four or five additional electrons and protons to the bound N 2 yields two NH 3 molecules. Increasing evidence suggests that at least one belt sulfide within FeMo-cofactor is dynamically involved in the catalytic cycle. A recent report further proposed that sulfite (SO 3 2− ) is required for N 2 reduction, with sulfite binding required for NH 3 release and a subsequent six-electron reduction of the bound sulfite to regenerate the resting cofactor. To test this proposal, we conducted turnover studies of Mo-nitrogenase under sulfite-free conditions using a reduced viologen as reductant and protein preparations devoid of dithionite or sulfite. Under these conditions, nitrogenase effectively catalyzed both N 2 reduction and proton reduction, exhibiting steady-state turnover under N 2 for 6 min, with a turnover number exceeding 150, approaching that observed with dithionite as reductant. The same H 2 -formed/N 2 -reduced ratio was observed whether dithionite or the viologen species was used as reductant. Further, EPR spectroscopic analyses showed that the FeMo-cofactor returned to its resting state after multiple catalytic cycles in the absence of sulfite. Finally, physiological bypass of sulfite formation does not affect the capacity for diazotrophic growth of the model nitrogen-fixing organism Azotobacter vinelandii . Finally, these results demonstrate that sulfite is not required for Mo-nitrogenase-catalyzed N 2 reduction either in vitro or in vivo .

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2020

Water-Soluble Flexible Organic Frameworks That Include and Deliver Proteins

Four water-soluble hydrazone-based three-dimensional (3D) flexible organic frameworks FOF-1-4 have been synthesized from a semirigid tetracationic tetraaldehyde and four flexible dihydrazides. 1 H NMR spectroscopy indicated the quantitative formation of FOF-1-4 in D 2 O, while dynamic light scattering experiments revealed that, depending on the concentration, these porous frameworks display hydrodynamic diameters ranging from 50 to 120 nm. The porosity of the frameworks is confirmed by ethanol vapor adsorption experiments of the solid samples as well as the high loading capacity for a 2.3 nm porphyrin guest in water. The new water-soluble frameworks exhibit low cytotoxicity and form inherent pores with diameters of 5.3 or 6.7 nm, allowing rapid inclusion of proteins such as bovine serum albumin and green and orange fluorescent proteins, and efficient delivery of the proteins into normal and cancer cells. Flow cytometric analysis reveals percentages of the delivered cells up to 99.8%.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2026

Advancing Protein Display on Bacterial Spores through an Extensive Survey of Coat Components

The profound stability of bacterial spores makes them a promising platform for biotechnological applications like biocatalysis, bioremediation, drug delivery, etc. However, though the Bacillus subtilis spore is composed of >40 types of proteins, only ∼12 have been explored as fusion carriers for protein display. Here, we assessed the suitability of 33 spore proteins (SPs) as enzyme display carriers by direct allele tagging at native genomic loci. Of the 33 SPs investigated, 26 formed functional fusions with β-glucuronidase (GUS)─a ∼272 kDa homotetramer. This almost triples the number of SPs assessed for enzyme display and doubles the number of functional fusions documented in the literature. We quantitatively assessed 1) SP promoter activation dynamics, 2) GUS activity on spores, 3) surface availability, and 4) protection from thermal and proteolytic degradation. Multicopy expression and pairwise coexpression of the most promising SP-GUS fusions highlighted the complexity of spore structure/assembly and the difficulty in predicting compatibility between different SP fusions. We also assessed the suitability of engineered spores to degrade PET (polyethylene terephthalate) films and found that surface-exposed SPs were most effective. Beyond the broad survey, a key outcome of our work was the identification of SscA (small spore coat assembly protein A) as an effective spore display carrier. SscA supported enzyme activity at least 4-fold higher than any other SP, including the well-established anchor, CotY. We attribute this to its promoter, which demonstrated early and sustained activation relative to other SPs and its small size (∼3 kDa), which likely minimally interferes with enzyme folding, oligomerization, and activity. Labeling and genetic studies, its hydrophobic nature, and low surface availability suggest that SscA assembles within the inner spore coat, which makes it stabilizing and suitable for many biocatalytic applications. Overall, this work serves as a knowledge base to advance the biotechnological utility of B. subtilis spores.

Bacillus subtilis↗

DOE OSTI2020

The Brachiopod δ 11 B Record Across the Carboniferous-Permian Climate Transition

In this work, we present the δ 11 B of well-preserved brachiopod fossils coupled with geochemical modeling to examine how seawater boron responded to abrupt and dynamic climate changes in the Late Paleozoic. The Late Carboniferous, a time of major coal formation and glacioeustatic sea level changes, is characterized by relatively stable brachiopod δ11B of 15–17‰, similar to values seen in modern brachiopods. Brachiopod δ 11 B dropped by ~5‰ in the early Permian and then restabilized at a new value of 10‰ within a few million years. Mass balance models of seawater δ 11 B reproduced the overall trends in our brachiopod data but failed to capture the large drop in δ11B in the early Permian. Published seawater 87 Sr/ 86 Sr and δ 44 / 40 Ca data based on brachiopod shells also shift to lower values in the early Permian, suggesting a common control on all three seawater isotope systems. The Permian terrestrial record of evaporites and eolian deposits suggests a prolonged reduced delivery of dissolved weathering products to the ocean, accounting for the change in seawater 87 Sr/ 86 Sr. This reduced weathering, in turn, led to increased atmospheric CO 2 and lowered seawater pH, which may have significantly decreased major removal mechanisms for seawater calcium and boron leading to declines in both isotope systems. We propose that boron removal via coprecipitation in carbonates and adsorption onto clay minerals was significantly diminished due to a reduction in the availability of the borate aqueous species caused by lowered seawater pH.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Unraveling the Combined Effects of Ice and Permafrost on Arctic Delta Morphodynamics

Arctic delta channel dynamics and coastal deposition patterns are uniquely affected by ice and permafrost. Building on previous experiments that documented the individual effects of ice and permafrost, we conducted new numerical modeling experiments to examine the combined influences of ice thickness and permafrost erodibility. We quantified the effects of ice, permafrost, and their combination on channel migration, avulsion, and persistence; onshore and nearshore deposition; and large-scale delta morphology. Both ice and permafrost limited channel mobility, enhanced overbank deposition, and roughened shorelines. Thick ice increased offshore channel incision and sediment delivery. Permafrost stabilized channels and focused deposition that led to enhanced channel levee development. The increased levee deposition limited widespread channel infilling leading to the preservation of abandoned channels. Levee growth was enhanced by overbank flooding due to ice-driven changes in water surface elevations. Furthermore, this flooding led to more extensive levees on deltas with both ice and permafrost compared to deltas with only permafrost. Ice also preserved small channels, leading to size-dependent channel persistence: the presence of ice in the channels reduced the fraction of time small channels remained active relative to larger channels. Resistant permafrost damped this effect, as smaller and more distal channels were active earlier in the flood on deltas with resistant permafrost likely due to the smaller number of channels on permafrost-laden deltas. Finally, our results suggest that the loss of both ice and permafrost will increase channel mobility, decrease overbank flooding, increase shoreline progradation rates, and decrease offshore transport of riverine fluxes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

A Growing Freshwater Lens in the Arctic Ocean With Sustained Climate Warming Disrupts Marine Ecosystem Function

One of the most robust changes in the hydrological cycle predicted by Earth System Models (ESMs) during the remainder of 21st century is an increase in the difference between precipitation and evapotranspiration (P-E) in arctic and boreal regions. We explore the long-term consequences of this change for marine ecosystems in the Arctic Ocean using the Community Earth System Model forced with a business as usual scenario of future greenhouse gas concentrations. We find that by the year 2300 increases in freshwater delivery considerably reduce Arctic Ocean surface salinity, creating a freshwater lens that has far-reaching impacts on marine biogeochemistry. The expanding freshwater lens limits vertical nutrient supply into the euphotic zone by enhancing vertical stratification and accelerating surface lateral mixing with surface waters in the North Atlantic, which become increasingly nutrient depleted from weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The resulting increase in nutrient stress reduces marine export production in the Arctic Ocean by 53% in 2300 relative to the 1990s and triggers a shift in community composition with small phytoplankton replacing diatoms. At the same time, the seasonal timing of export production undergoes a 2-month forward shift, with the peak advancing from July to May. This suggests that the threat to food webs and higher trophic levels may intensify after the year 2100 as gains in productivity from sea ice loss saturate and freshwater impacts on nutrient stress continue to strengthen. Our analysis highlights the critical importance of changing terrestrial hydrology and land-ocean coupling as drivers of long-term biogeochemical change in the Arctic Ocean and the necessity of multi-century climate change projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

The Effects of Climate Change on Interregional Electricity Market Dynamics on the U.S. West Coast

The United States (U.S.) West Coast power system is strongly influenced by variability and extremes in air temperatures (which drive electricity demand) and streamflows (which constrain hydropower production). As hydroclimate changes across the West Coast, a combination of forces may work in tandem to make its bulk power system more vulnerable to physical reliability issues and market price shocks. In particular, a warmer climate is expected to increase summer cooling (electricity) demands and shift the average timing of peak streamflow (hydropower production) away from summer to the spring and winter, depriving power systems of hydropower when it is needed the most. Here, we investigate how climate change could alter interregional electricity market dynamics on the West Coast, including the potential for hydroclimatic changes in one region (e.g. Pacific Northwest (PNW)) to “spill over” and cause price and reliability risks in another (e.g. California). We find that the most salient hydroclimatic risks for the PNW power system are changes in streamflow, while risks for the California system are driven primarily by changes in summer air temperatures, especially extreme heat events that increase peak system demand. Altered timing and amounts of hydropower production in the PNW do alter summer power deliveries into California but show relatively modest potential to impact prices and reliability there. Instead, it is future climate conditions (extreme heat) in California that may exert a stronger significant influence on prices and reliability in the PNW, especially if California continues to rely on its northern neighbor for imported power to meet higher summer demands.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2023

Long-Term Changes in Concentration and Yield of Riverine Dissolved Silicon From the Poles to the Tropics

Riverine exports of silicon (Si) influence global carbon cycling through the growth of marine diatoms, which account for ~25% of global primary production. Climate change will likely alter river Si exports in biome-specific ways due to interacting shifts in chemical weathering rates, hydrologic connectivity, and metabolic processes in aquatic and terrestrial systems. Nonetheless, factors driving long-term changes in Si exports remain unexplored at local, regional, and global scales. We evaluated how concentrations and yields of dissolved Si (DSi) changed over the last several decades of rapid climate warming using long-term data sets from 60 rivers and streams spanning the globe (e.g., Antarctic, tropical, temperate, boreal, alpine, Arctic systems). We show that widespread changes in river DSi concentration and yield have occurred, with the most substantial shifts occurring in alpine and polar regions. The magnitude and direction of trends varied within and among biomes, were most strongly associated with differences in land cover, and were often independent of changes in river discharge. These findings indicate that there are likely diverse mechanisms driving change in river Si biogeochemistry that span the land-water interface, which may include glacial melt, changes in terrestrial vegetation, and river productivity. Finally, trends were often stronger in months outside of the growing season, particularly in temperate and boreal systems, demonstrating a potentially important role of shifting seasonality for the flux of Si from rivers. Our results have implications for the timing and magnitude of silica processing in rivers and its delivery to global oceans.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Stress Testing California's Hydroclimatic Whiplash: Potential Challenges, Trade‐Offs and Adaptations in Water Management and Hydropower Generation

Abstract Inter‐annual precipitation in California is highly variable, and future projections indicate an increase in the intensity and frequency of hydroclimatic “whiplash.” Understanding the implications of these shocks on California's water system and its degree of resiliency is critical from a planning perspective. Therefore, we quantify the resilience of reservoir services provided by water and hydropower systems in four basins in the western Sierra Nevada. Using downscaled runoff from 10 climate model outputs, we generated 200 synthetic hydrologic whiplash sequences of alternating dry and wet years to represent a wide range of extremes and transitional conditions used as inputs to a water system simulation model. Sequences were derived from upper (wet) and lower (dry) quintiles of future streamflow projections (2030–2060). Results show that carryover storage was negatively affected in all basins, particularly in those with lower storage capacity. All basins experienced negative impacts on hydropower generation, with losses ranging from 5% to nearly 90%. Reservoir sizes and inflexible operating rules are a particular challenge for flood control, as in extremely wet years spillage averaged nearly the annual basins' total discharge. The reliability of environmental flows and agricultural deliveries varied depending on the basin, intensity, and duration of whiplash sequences. Overall, wet years temporarily rebound negative drought effects, and greater storage capacity results in higher reliability and resiliency, and lesser volatility in services. We highlight potential policy changes to improve flexibility, increase resilience, and better equip managers to face challenges posed by whiplash while meeting human and environmental needs.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

DOE OSTI2024

Climate, Hydrology, and Nutrients Control the Seasonality of Si Concentrations in Rivers

Abstract The seasonal behavior of fluvial dissolved silica (DSi) concentrations, termedDSi regime, mediates the timing of DSi delivery to downstream waters and thus governs river biogeochemical function and aquatic community condition. Previous work identified five distinct DSi regimes across rivers spanning the Northern Hemisphere, with many rivers exhibiting multiple DSi regimes over time. Several potential drivers of DSi regime behavior have been identified at small scales, including climate, land cover, and lithology, and yet the large‐scale spatiotemporal controls on DSi regimes have not been identified. We evaluate the role of environmental variables on the behavior of DSi regimes in nearly 200 rivers across the Northern Hemisphere using random forest models. Our models aim to elucidate the controls that give rise to (a) average DSi regime behavior, (b) interannual variability in DSi regime behavior (i.e., Annual DSi regime), and (c) controls on DSi regime shape (i.e., minimum and maximum DSi concentrations). Average DSi regime behavior across the period of record was classified accurately 59% of the time, whereas Annual DSi regime behavior was classified accurately 80% of the time. Climate and primary productivity variables were important in predicting Average DSi regime behavior, whereas climate and hydrologic variables were important in predicting Annual DSi regime behavior. Median nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations were important drivers of minimum and maximum DSi concentrations, indicating that these macronutrients may be important for seasonal DSi drawdown and rebound. Our findings demonstrate that fluctuations in climate, hydrology, and nutrient availability of rivers shape the temporal availability of fluvial DSi.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

DOE OSTI2025

Evaluating How Climate Adaptation Measures Affect the Interconnected Water‐Energy Resource Systems of the Western United States

Abstract The Western US faces increasing water stress from the impacts of climate change, making it difficult to meet water demands for the region's cities, agriculture, and hydropower generators. Existing literature suggests that climate adaptation measures such as water conservation, cropland retirement, wastewater recycling, and managed aquifer recharge can alleviate some of these challenges. Few analyses, however, compare the relative efficacy and system‐wide effects of these adaptations under different climate projections across the entire Western United States. Here we use a Western US‐wide water systems model to evaluate, by sector and sub‐region, how the widespread implementation of these adaptive measures impacts water demands, water deliveries, and electricity use related to the water system for three different climate projections. We find that wastewater recycling has greater potential to lower unmet indoor water demands than urban indoor water conservation measures. However, when implemented at scale, indoor water conservation reduces electricity use by an average of 683 Terawatt hours while wastewater recycling increases energy use by an average of 721 Terawatt hours, cumulatively from 2020 to 2070. Cropland retirement and aquifer recharge adaptations increase the ability to meet agricultural water demand, increase groundwater storage, and reduce summertime electricity use. While most of these findings are consistent across different climate projections, the benefits of aquifer recharge are sensitive to spatial variation of precipitation. Given the limitations and tradeoffs of each individually, the results suggest that a portfolio of adaptation measures will be needed for a climate‐resilient water and energy future in the Western US. Plain Language Summary The Western US faces increased water stress from the impacts of climate change, making it difficult to meet demands for cities, agriculture, and hydropower facilities. Adaptation measures like water conservation, retiring agricultural lands, recycling wastewater, and storing water underground can address these challenges. However, there is little modeling to understand the impact of these adaptations if they were implemented across the entire Western US while also considering climate change. We use a Western US‐wide water systems model to evaluate how implementing adaptation measures impacts groundwater levels, the ability to meet water demands, and electricity use related to water in three different possible climate futures. We find that recycling wastewater to drinking water standards does a better job of meeting urban water demands than water conservation measures. However, indoor water conservation reduces energy use for water while recycling wastewater increases energy use for water. Retiring agricultural lands and storing water underground both increase the ability to meet agricultural water demands, increase underground water storage, and reduce summertime energy use. No adaptation measures provides benefits across every metric we track. Therefore, multiple adaptation measures will likely be needed to achieve a climate‐resilient future for energy and water in the Western US. Key Points Water‐related climate change adaptations have different benefits and tradeoffs for interconnected water‐energy systems in the Western U.S. Wastewater recycling most increases urban water coverage, but has a significant tradeoff in the form of greater electricity use Cropland retirement and aquifer recharge benefit water and electricity systems most in the summer when those systems are most stressed

Singhal, A↗

DOE OSTI2026

Model‐Based Interpretation of Solute Exports and Carbon Partitioning During Shale Weathering in a Mountainous Hillslope

The weathering of sedimentary rocks in high-elevation catchments influences freshwater quality and the global carbon cycle. While individual biogeochemical mechanisms involved in this process are relatively well understood, quantifying their contributions to solute export and carbon fluxes under natural, transient conditions remains challenging. Here, we implement a numerical multidimensional and multiphase model to simulate coupled hydrological and biogeochemical processes in a shale-underlain, snow-dominated hillslope in the Rocky Mountains, Colorado. The model captures the dynamic interplay between soil respiration, mineral weathering, and climate-driven hydrological forcing, reproducing observed soil CO 2 dynamics, groundwater chemistry, and subsurface flow. Our results reveal that seasonal snowmelt enhances carbonate weathering by promoting the infiltration of CO 2 -rich water to depth, while pyrite oxidation is primarily sensitive to low water saturation that facilitates O 2 diffusion through the regolith. Topography modulates the spatial distribution of shale weathering, as steeper slopes enhance lateral drainage, favoring the delivery of reactants to greater depths. While shale weathering at our site acts as a transient carbon sink, with silicates and carbonates buffering acidity and promoting atmospheric CO 2 consumption (1% of soil-derived CO 2 ), the exported dissolved inorganic carbon is predominantly geogenic (∼73%). Consequently, when accounting for long-term marine carbonate precipitation. The current weathering regime represents a net source of carbon to the atmosphere. The oxidation of pyrite and petrogenic organic carbon together release approximately 0.9 mol·m −2 ·yr −1 of CO 2 . Our findings highlight the role of topography, hydroclimate, and the coupling between acid-base reactions in shaping the carbon balance and the solute exports in mountainous critical zones.

carbon cycling↗