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At least 883 records · Page 49

Godiva IV Shielding Benchmark Overview [Slides]

This presentation shows that Integral experiments increase the level of realism from that of data measurements. Further, Godiva IV is capable of intensities to activate foils. IER 498 uses a relative measurement to provide an intermediate level of realism. With reproducibility and room return management are key components. The test matrix put forward in CED-2 enables numerous cross-comparisons. IER 498 facilitates various additional works using a room return shield to isolate the source. IER 557 demonstrated burst reproducibility sufficient for IER 498.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Bayesian Optimized Deep Ensemble for Uncertainty Quantification of Deep Neural Networks: a System Safety Case Study on Sodium Fast Reactor Thermal Stratification Modeling

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are increasingly important to scientific computing and engineering system simulations. Accurate uncertainty quantification (UQ) for DNNs is critical in safety-sensitive engineering domains. Traditional Deep Ensemble (DE) methods, while easy to implement, frequently suffer from poorly calibrated uncertainty estimates and limited predictive accuracy due to reliance on fixed architectures with varied weight initializations. To address these issues, we introduce a workflow that combines Bayesian Optimization (BO) and DE. The workflow is modular, scalable, and integrates parallel BO initialized with Sobol sequences to individually optimize the hyperparameters of each ensemble member. This method enhances ensemble diversity, improves predictive accuracy, and provides reliable uncertainty estimates. We evaluate the proposed BODE approach in a sodium fast reactor thermal stratification modeling case study, where we used a densely connected convolutional neural network to predict turbulent viscosity during the reactor transient with consideration of data noise. We benchmark its performance against several optimization approaches, including baseline deep ensemble, evolutionary algorithm-optimized ensemble, ensemble formed via random search combined with greedy selection, and a BO ensemble using random initialization. Here, our results demonstrate superior performance of the developed BODE approach. In noise-free scenarios, BODE notably reduces incorrect aleatoric uncertainty and significantly enhances predictive accuracy. Under conditions of 5% and 10% Gaussian noise, BODE adaptively quantifies uncertainty proportional to data noise, achieving up to an 80% reduction in root mean square error compared to baseline methods and producing well-calibrated prediction intervals.

Bayesian optimization↗

Hierarchical Data Format for Nuclear Data Sensitivities

The SCALE code system includes capabilities for sensitivity and uncertainty (S/U) analysis as part of its TSUNAMI code suite. The sensitivity of a quantity of interest (for example, an application’s $k_{eff}$) to nuclear data is stored as a profile in a text-based file, which is known as a sensitivity data file (SDF). The sensitivity profile can be used to calculate uncertainties, correlation coefficients, and similarity indices. One of the goals of the present work was to seek general performance improvements in the TSUNAMI code suite, starting with the TSUNAMI-IP code for calculating similarity indices. Through profiling, it was found that reading the text-based sensitivity files was a performance bottleneck in the TSUNAMI-IP code. In a typical TSUNAMI-IP calculation, an application might be compared to thousands of benchmarks, thus requiring the reading of thousands of SDFs. Reading of binary-based data is generally faster than reading text-based data. Hierarchical Data Format 5 (HDF5) is a binary-based format that also benefits from being portable, and it can be inspected with nonproprietary tools. This paper describes an HDF5-based file format that has been introduced for SDFs.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Reinforcement Learning for Anomaly Detection in Nuclear Power Plant Operation and Maintenance

In nuclear power plants (NPPs), timely identification of sensor and human errors is critical to ensure safe and efficient plant operations. Anomaly detection models can be employed for this task. However, traditional anomaly detection approaches may have high dependency on labeled datasets and struggle with adaptability in complex, dynamic environments. Reinforcement learning (RL) has demonstrated significant potential in fault diagnosis and anomaly detection; however, its application to anomaly detection in NPPs remains a relatively underexplored research direction. Hence, to address this gap, in this study, we present a novel physics-informed reinforcement learning model, PIRL-AD: Physics-Informed Reinforcement Learning for Anomaly Detection, that integrates domain knowledge from calorimetric equations into the RL framework for enhanced sensor and human error anomaly detection. We evaluate the performance of PIRL-AD against a non-physics informed RL benchmark and a support vector machine (SVM) on data collected from a forced flow loop testbed. Experimental results suggest that PIRL-AD outperforms other baselines on a range of anomalous datasets that include both sensor and human-induced anomalies across key performance metrics, statistically outperforming the RL and SVM benchmarks with respect to geometric mean (respectively, 92.96% vs. 91.06% vs. 83.01%) and F1-score (respectively, 89.23% vs. 86.98% vs. 77.01%). Furthermore, the findings suggest the potential of physics-integrated reinforcement learning models for enhanced anomaly detection performance in NPPs.

Reinforcement learning↗

Acoustic sensing and autoencoder approach for abnormal gas detection in a spent nuclear fuel canister mock-up

Currently, spent nuclear fuel (SNF) from commercial nuclear power plants is stored in stainless-steel canisters for interim dry storage. To provide an inert environment, these canisters are backfilled with helium after vacuum drying. However, the helium environment may be contaminated during extended storage because of the material degradation. For example, the heavier fission gas xenon may be released from the fuel rods into the canister cavity should the fuel cladding be breached. Other gases such as air and water vapor may also be present as a result of leakage caused by chloride-induced stress corrosion cracking on the canister walls or by insufficient vacuum drying. Therefore, monitoring the gas composition can provide critical information about the health of SNF canisters. In this study, noninvasive testing was conducted on a 2/3-scaled SNF canister mock-up using acoustic sensing. Ultrasonic transducers were placed on the exterior surface of the canister to probe the gas composition. A dataset was collected by sealing the canister mock-up and introducing up to 1.53% argon or 1.29% air into the helium background gas. Three methods were used to detect changes in the gas composition: the time-of-flight (TOF) method, the differential method, and the autoencoder method. Results showed that the TOF method had sufficient resolution to detect abnormal gas concentrations of less than 1.0%. The differential method demonstrated a periodic in-phase and out-of-phase behavior between the benchmark (i.e., pure helium) and abnormal (i.e., with argon or air) state signals. The variational autoencoder (VAE) and the Wasserstein autoencoder (WAE) were trained on the benchmark data and were applied directly to the abnormal state data. It was found that both the unsupervised VAE and the WAE were able to distinguish the benchmark and abnormal states of the canister mock-up based on the reconstruction error.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Uncertainty-Guided Prediction Horizon of Phase-Resolved Ocean Wave Forecasting Under Data Sparsity: Experimental and Numerical Evaluation

Accurate short-term wave forecasting is critical for the safe and efficient operation of marine structures that rely on real-time, phase-resolved ocean wave information for control and monitoring purposes (e.g., digital twins). These systems often depend on environmental sensors (e.g., waverider buoys, wave-sensing LIDAR). Challenges arise when upstream sensor data are missing, sparse, or phase-shifted due to drift. This study investigates the performance of two machine learning models, time-series dense encoder (TiDE) and long short-term memory (LSTM), for forecasting phase-resolved ocean surface elevations under varying degrees of data degradation. We introduce the τ-trimming algorithm, which adapts the prediction horizon based on uncertainty thresholds derived from historical forecasts. Numerical wave tank (NWT) and wave basin experiments are used to benchmark model performance under short- and long-term data masking, spatially coarse sensor grids, and upstream phase shifts. Results show under a 50% probability of upstream data loss, the τ-trimmed TiDE model achieves a 46% reduction in error at the most upstream target, compared to 22% for LSTM. Furthermore, phase misalignment in upstream data introduces a near-linear increase in forecast error. Under moderate model settings, a ±3 s misalignment increases the mean absolute error by approximately 0.5 m, while the same error is accumulated at ±4 s using the more conservative approach. These findings inform the design of resilient, uncertainty-aware wave forecasting systems suited for realistic offshore sensing environments.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Using a surrogate-assisted Bayesian framework to calibrate the runoff-generation scheme in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) v1

Abstract. Runoff is a critical component of the terrestrial water cycle, and Earth system models (ESMs) are essential tools to study its spatiotemporal variability. Runoff schemes in ESMs typically include many parameters so that model calibration is necessary to improve the accuracy of simulated runoff. However, runoff calibration at a global scale is challenging because of the high computational cost and the lack of reliable observational datasets. In this study, we calibrated 11 runoff relevant parameters in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Land Model (ELM) using a surrogate-assisted Bayesian framework. First, the polynomial chaos expansion machinery with Bayesian compressed sensing is used to construct computationally inexpensive surrogate models for ELM-simulated runoff at 0.5∘ × 0.5∘ for 1991–2010. The error metric between the ELM simulations and the benchmark data is selected to construct the surrogates, which facilitates efficient calibration and avoids the more conventional, but challenging, construction of high-dimensional surrogates for the ELM simulated runoff. Second, the Sobol' index sensitivity analysis is performed using the surrogate models to identify the most sensitive parameters, and our results show that, in most regions, ELM-simulated runoff is strongly sensitive to 3 of the 11 uncertain parameters. Third, a Bayesian method is used to infer the optimal values of the most sensitive parameters using an observation-based global runoff dataset as the benchmark. Our results show that model performance is significantly improved with the inferred parameter values. Although the parametric uncertainty of simulated runoff is reduced after the parameter inference, it remains comparable to the multimodel ensemble uncertainty represented by the global hydrological models in ISMIP2a. Additionally, the annual global runoff trend during the simulation period is not well constrained by the inferred parameter values, suggesting the importance of including parametric uncertainty in future runoff projections.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Questionable Benchmarks [Slides]

An investigation and initial review of ‘questionable benchmarks’ was performed at LANL. Multiple methods were used, including machine learning techniques, to identify 'questionable benchmarks' and/or benchmarks with low uncertainties. Those benchmarks were then reviewed for obvious errors. This is not a recommendation to ICSBEP, but can be used as a starting point for a more comprehensive review. A journal paper is being written on this work.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Impact of microkinetic modeling assumptions on predicted kinetics and mechanisms over undercoordinated sites

Accurate modeling of catalytic reactions on undercoordinated sites requires accounting for the structural and ensemble-specific nature of the active sites. This study examines how common microkinetic modeling (MKM) assumptions affect predicted kinetics and mechanisms on the stepped Pt(211) facet for the ethane dehydrogenation (EDH) and the ethane hydrogenolysis (EH). Six (211) MKMs were developed, differing in (i) the number of active sites represented, (ii) adsorbate site occupancy treatment, and (iii) inclusion of cross-facet interactions. These models are benchmarked against a particle-based microkinetic model (PB-MKM), which best represents step-edge behavior. MKM assumptions caused deviations in turnover frequencies exceeding ten orders of magnitude and led to contrasting mechanistic and selectivity predictions. Multi-site MKMs overestimate activity by inflating free site availability, single-site models underestimate activity, and uniform occupancy models overpredict coverage of multi-dentate intermediates, leading to reaction-specific artifacts. Overall, the Combined Site Edge Model (CSEM), a single-site MKM accounting for site occupancy and cross-facet interactions, most closely approximates PB-MKM predictions. All models predict similar kinetics when surfaces are clean or primarily occupied by monodentate species. This work provides practical guidance for selecting MKM frameworks for undercoordinated catalytic surfaces and highlights the critical role of modeling assumptions in catalytic predictions.

(211) facet↗

Development and Validation of a Scoring System for Abnormalities in the Gopher Frog (Rana capito)

Headstarting efforts are thought to be critical in supplementing populations of the at-risk Gopher Frog (Rana capito); however, recent efforts have occasionally resulted in juveniles with developmental abnormalities. In response, we developed a scoring system to collect quantitative data on the presence and severity of these developmental abnormalities. Our objective was to describe and validate the abnormality scoring system so that it can be used by all Gopher Frog headstarting facilities. The scoring system covers five primary conditions encompassing commonly observed abnormalities. Two groups of participants with different levels of prior experience working with Gopher Frogs assigned scores to a set of images presented to them for each condition. We used intra-class correlation coefficients (ICC) to test the scoring system for inter- and intra-rater agreement as well as agreement with the benchmark standard (established by the authors). We found high ICC values for inter-rater agreement, intra-rater agreement, and agreement to the benchmark standard indicating either excellent or good reliability for all five conditions and for all raters when grouped together. These findings support the reliability and validity of the proposed developmental abnormality scoring system. Gopher Frog headstarting facilities can implement this scoring system to assist in tracking the frequency and severity of abnormalities observed in future headstarting efforts. We hope that by creating a reliable scoring system for Gopher Frogs, it can provide an overall framework and serve as a valuable resource to evaluate abnormalities across any amphibian species.

abnormality↗

Benchmarking Cu/BEA and HBEA catalysts for high-octane gasoline synthesis

We distinguish rates at which carbon deposition occurs during initiation, rates at which catalytic centers are lost during deactivation, and paraffin-to-olefin ratio during propagation as benchmarks that distinguish 5 wt% Cu/H-BEA and H-BEA (Si/Al = 13.5) catalysts during dimethyl ether (DME) homologation in the presence of hydrogen. Studies that systematically vary initial DME contact time (210, 94, and 45 mol H+, initial s (mol C ) -1 ), DME pressure (4 and 22 kPa), and H 2 pressure (1, 24, and 48 kPa) reveal that Cu enables lower carbon deposition rates (on a per proton basis) in the induction period, increases the effluent paraffin-to-olefin ratio during propagation, and decreases the instantaneous site-loss yields by a factor of ~ 1.5-2x (moles of active sites lost per mole of DME) during termination sequences thus affecting the degree of product saturation and catalyst stability during DME homologation. Furthermore, these results provide mechanistic insights revealing the critical role of Cu in facilitating DME homologation to high value, high-octane gasoline-range hydrocarbons with higher cumulative turnovers than proton form H-BEA.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Water vapor oxidation behaviors of nuclear graphite IG-110 for a postulated accident scenario in high temperature gas-cooled reactors

Water leakage in accidental conditions of high temperature gas-cooled reactors is one of the most critical problems that can compromise the integrity of different nuclear components. In this study, oxidation behaviors of nuclear graphite IG-110 in water ingress accidental conditions were investigated. Mass loss and oxidation rates were evaluated after oxidation tests at temperatures up to 1400 °C in an Ar-20 vol% H 2 O mixed atmosphere. The activation energy decreased from 318.6 to 148.9 kJ/mol with temperature, indicating two different oxidation regimes. The cross-sections of the oxidized samples were systematically characterized. The corresponding logarithmic porosity profiles showed a temperature dependency. Pore formation moved toward near-surface regions with increasing temperature and preferential binder oxidation, with filler particle degradation. Furthermore, oxidant concentration profiles and oxidation depths were estimated using a theoretical model and compared with the experimental results. This work provides important benchmark data and safety analysis guidance for the accident scenario in high temperature gas-cooled reactors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Expanding the representation of aerosol, cloud, and precipitation processes with graph network-based simulators

We explored a novel framework for simulating the small-scale processes that drive the evolution of aerosol, cloud, and precipitation particles, which are a critical gap in the predictive understanding of weather and climate. Particle-based methods have emerged as an effective tool for modeling aerosol-cloud-precipitation interactions, but existing particle-based models are computationally too expensive to simulate the large domains relevant for the atmosphere or to represent the full suite of relevant processes. The lack of a comprehensive and efficient reference model is a critical bottleneck in our understanding of cloud and precipitation processes and our ability to parameterize these processes for regional- and global-scale simulations. To address this need, we explored an approach to accelerate and expand particle-based models using a new machine learning approach, graph network-based simulators (GNS). Rather than modeling the evolution of the system by numerically integrating continuity equations, the GNS represents dynamics through learned message passing. Our aim was to develop fast and accurate surrogate models for particle-based simulations. We explored applying GNS to simulate cloud droplet transport, growth, and evaporation under turbulent conditions, but we found the GNS over-smoothed the simulations. We then applied the GNS to simulate aerosol dynamics through gas condensation and found the GNS was able to reproduce the benchmark, physics-based simulation with high accuracy.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Convergence and Quantum Advantage of Trotterized MERA for Strongly-Correlated Systems

Strongly-correlated quantum many-body systems are difficult to study and simulate classically. We recently proposed a variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) based on the multiscale entanglement renormalization ansatz (MERA) with tensors constrained to certain Trotter circuits. Here, we determine the scaling of computation costs for various critical spin chains which substantiates a polynomial quantum advantage in comparison to classical MERA simulations based on exact energy gradients or variational Monte Carlo. Algorithmic phase diagrams suggest an even greater separation for higher-dimensional systems. Hence, the Trotterized MERA VQE is a promising route for the efficient investigation of strongly-correlated quantum many-body systems on quantum computers. Furthermore, we show how the convergence can be substantially improved by building up the MERA layer by layer in the initialization stage and by scanning through the phase diagram during optimization. For the Trotter circuits being composed of single-qubit and two-qubit rotations, it is experimentally advantageous to have small rotation angles. We find that the average angle amplitude can be reduced considerably with negligible effect on the energy accuracy. Benchmark simulations suggest that the structure of the Trotter circuits for the TMERA tensors is not decisive; in particular, brick-wall circuits and parallel random-pair circuits yield very similar energy accuracies.

Miao, Qiang [Duke Quantum Center, Duke University,↗

Summary Report Of The FY25 Reactor Physics Verification And Validation Exercises In The Advanced Reactor Technologies - Gas-cooled Reactor Program

Valdiation and verification of numerical tools is critical for ensuring reasonable predictions for design scoping, licensing, and safety analsyis. In this report, two reactor physics verification and validation exercises are presented. The first of these exercises focuses on burnup analysis with data from the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) program. Simulations are performed with Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP) and are compared with the experimental measurements for the AGR 1 and 2 experiments that utilize both UCO and UO2 fuel. The second exercises utilizes data from the HTR-Proteus experiments to perform reactor physics validation. Specifications of the experimental facility are provdied, along with a demonstration of initial modeling efforts in Serpent for one of the determistic packing experiments. Both cases are part of the Generation-IV international forum (GIF) Very High-Temperature Reactor (VHTR) Computational Methods, Validation, and Benchmarking (CMVB) program, an international collaborative organization dedicated to the verification and validation of High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor (HTGR) analysis. Participation in the CMVB allows the US Department of Energy (DOE) to leverage these existing validation activities to provide extra value through benchmarking activities with other CMVB members.

and Benchmarking (CMVB) program↗

Multi-frame, ultrafast, x-ray microscope for imaging shockwave dynamics

Inertial confinement fusion (ICF) holds increasing promise as a potential source of abundant, clean energy, but has been impeded by defects such as micro-voids in the ablator layer of the fuel capsules. It is critical to understand how these micro-voids interact with the laser-driven shock waves that compress the fuel pellet. At the Matter in Extreme Conditions (MEC) instrument at the Linac Coherent Light Source (LCLS), we utilized an x-ray pulse train with ns separation, an x-ray microscope, and an ultrafast x-ray imaging (UXI) detector to image shock wave interactions with micro-voids. To minimize the high- and low-frequency variations of the captured images, we incorporated principal component analysis (PCA) and image alignment for flat-field correction. After applying these techniques we generated phase and attenuation maps from a 2D hydrodynamic radiation code (xRAGE), which were used to simulate XPCI images that we qualitatively compare with experimental images, providing a one-to-one comparison for benchmarking material performance. Moreover, we implement a transport-of-intensity (TIE) based method to obtain the average projected mass density (areal density) of our experimental images, yielding insight into how defect-bearing ablator materials alter microstructural feature evolution, material compression, and shock wave propagation on ICF-relevant time scales.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

BETO 2021 Peer Review - Algal Biofuels Techno-Economic Analysis 1.3.5.200

The objective of NREL's Algal Biofuel Techno-Economic Analysis (TEA) project is to provide process modeling and analysis to support Algae Program activities, utilizing TEA models to relate key process parameters with overall economics for cultivation, processing, and conversion of algal biomass to fuels and coproducts. By quantifying economic implications of key process metrics, TEA models highlight the technical requirements to achieve future program cost goals as well as enabling a means to track progress towards these goals. This project provides high impact and relevance though generation of critical cost data tied to funded research, with our analyses subsequently exercised by BETO to guide program plans, FOA priorities, and other directives. This includes costs for both algal biomass production and downstream conversion, most notably to support BETO's fuel cost targets below $2.5/GGE by 2030. To mitigate a key risk/challenge in constraining our work to academic analyses rooted only in future projections, our work also seeks to provide near-term value to today's algae industry through frequent industry engagement, while maintaining close ties with other BETO collaborators. This project has made numerous accomplishments since the 2019 peer review, including a continued focus on opportunities for value-added products, with related analyses for new pathway opportunities to achieve BETO cost goals and notable State-of-Technology (SOT) improvements over prior cost benchmarks.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

MCNP6 Developments: A 2022-23 Year in Review [Slides]

A separate MCNP6.3 V&V document reports on all the default calculations for all test suites is touched on. This report does not include the subcritical multiplication benchmark suite. After some additional clean-up and finalizing the post-processing and documentation steps, the subcritical multiplication benchmark suite will be released in the next version of our vnvstats repository. We tested the new HDF5 PTRAC feature in MCNP6.3 and found encouraging outcomes. Identical results coming out of the simulation with respect to the legacy PTRAC results. The overall runtime for all simulations is reduced by ~20% with the new HDF5 PTRAC capability. We consider giving the new HDF5 PTRAC features a try and using it for all subcritical multiplication and any other relevant (PTRAC) calculations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗