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At least 883 records · Page 49

Evolving CO 2 rather than SST leads to a factor of ten decrease in GCM convergence time

The high computational cost of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is a problem that limits their use in many areas. Recently an inverse climate modeling (InvCM) method, which fixes the global mean sea surface temperature (SST) and evolves the CO 2 mixing ratio to equilibrate climate, has been implemented in a cloud resolving model. In this paper, we apply InvCM to ExoCAM GCM aquaplanet simulations, allowing the SST pattern to evolve while maintaining a fixed global-mean SST. We find that InvCM produces the same climate as normal slab-ocean simulations but converges an order of magnitude faster. We then use InvCM to calculate the equilibrium CO 2 for SSTs ranging from 290 K to 340 K at 1 K intervals and reproduce the large increase in climate sensitivity at an SST of about 315 K at much higher temperature resolution. The speedup provided by InvCM could be used to equilibrate GCMs at higher spatial resolution or to perform broader parameter space exploration in order to gain new insight into the climate system. Additionally, InvCM could be used to find unstable and hidden climate states, and to find climate states close to bifurcations such as the runaway greenhouse transition.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The evolving role of geothermal energy for decarbonizing the United States

Geothermal energy is often referred to as a niche technology that is too localized, too small or too expensive to make much of a difference in how renewable energy will be supplied in a fully decarbonized future. As a result, geothermal energy has been undervalued in terms of what it could provide to complement, rather than compete with, electricity generation from wind, solar photovoltaic, concentrating solar power and other renewables. Geothermal energy systems are fully dispatchable and can provide baseload or load-following electric power or heat suitable for a wide range of applications including supplying district heating for communities and cities, and heating and cooling of individual buildings. The focus of our study is on the potential of utilizing geothermal energy for providing heat for buildings and industry at lower temperatures, a substitute for the combustion of fossil fuels. Because heating represents about 20% (20 EJ per year) of the annual primary energy consumption in the U.S.—with most of it coming from burning natural gas, oil and/or propane in furnaces—deploying geothermal heating on a national scale could have a significant impact on lowering carbon emissions. In heating-dominated states in the U.S. Northern Tier, heating often is among the largest contributors to the state's carbon footprint. This review begins with a discussion of the motivation and rationale behind considering geothermal as a key low-carbon heating option for the U.S. The study summarizes the U.S. geothermal resource and describes the applications and main engineering components of using geothermal energy for heating and cooling, electric power generation, and co-generation using district heating, geothermal heat pumps, and power conversion with steam flashing and organic Rankine plants. Environmental benefits and impacts are described. An extensive discussion of geologic and thermal-hydraulic aspects of the subsurface is included in the review because of their critical role in determining reservoir designs at specific sites to ensure sufficient productivity that is both safe and economically viable. Models for estimating levelized costs of district heating are used to show how costs are affected by reservoir performance, infrastructure capital costs, and financial parameters. Here, the review concludes with an assessment of technical subsurface issues associated with reservoir performance and the economic requirements for providing geothermal heating in district heating systems at a sufficient scale to have an impact on decarbonizing the U.S.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Self-Aligned Selective Area Front Contacts on Poly -Si/SiO x Passivating Contact c -Si Solar Cells

We report both polarity poly-Si/SiO x passivating contacts in a front/back device configuration may represent the next solar cell architecture after tunnel oxide passivating contacts (TOPCon) cells, but high parasitic absorption in the front poly -Si layer often limits its performance. This work explores a wet etching technique to remove the front poly -Si in the nonmetallized regions using self-aligned metal grids as an etch mask. We systematically examine various dielectric layers (SiN x ,Al 2 O 3 , and stacks thereof) to study the repassivation of the etched n + surface, and find that an SiN x /Al 2 O 3 passivation stack can effectively repassivate the etched surface, which we attribute to field-effect passivation from the positive fixed charge from the SiN x layer, and excellent chemical passivation property from Al 2 O 3 in the form of atomic H. We demonstrate a front/back poly-Si/SiO x passivating contact device, with an open-circuit voltage (V oc ) of 690 mV, short-circuit current density (J sc ) of 39.8 mA/cm 2 , fill factor of 78%, and power conversion efficiency of 21.4%. Furthermore, simulations using SunSolve and Quokka 3 show good agreement with both the optical and electrical properties of the experimental device. The power loss analysis reveals improvements in the optical loss from the back Ti adhesion and front SiN x layers would lead to a 23.5% device. Lastly, a techno-economic model compares the production cost of this improved cell with the current TOPCon cells. Our results highlight that further cost reductions in single-sided doped poly -Si layers are needed to compete with mainstream passivated emitter and rear cell, and TOPCon technologies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Land‐based climate solutions for the United States

Abstract Meeting end‐of‐century global warming targets requires aggressive action on multiple fronts. Recent reports note the futility of addressing mitigation goals without fully engaging the agricultural sector, yet no available assessments combine both nature‐based solutions (reforestation, grassland and wetland protection, and agricultural practice change) and cellulosic bioenergy for a single geographic region. Collectively, these solutions might offer a suite of climate, biodiversity, and other benefits greater than either alone. Nature‐based solutions are largely constrained by the duration of carbon accrual in soils and forest biomass; each of these carbon pools will eventually saturate. Bioenergy solutions can last indefinitely but carry significant environmental risk if carelessly deployed. We detail a simplified scenario for the United States that illustrates the benefits of combining approaches. We assign a portion of non‐forested former cropland to bioenergy sufficient to meet projected mid‐century transportation needs, with the remainder assigned to nature‐based solutions such as reforestation. Bottom‐up mitigation potentials for the aggregate contributions of crop, grazing, forest, and bioenergy lands are assessed by including in a Monte Carlo model conservative ranges for cost‐effective local mitigation capacities, together with ranges for (a) areal extents that avoid double counting and include realistic adoption rates and (b) the projected duration of different carbon sinks. The projected duration illustrates the net effect of eventually saturating soil carbon pools in the case of most strategies, and additionally saturating biomass carbon pools in the case of forest management. Results show a conservative end‐of‐century mitigation capacity of 110 (57–178) Gt CO 2 e for the U.S., ~50% higher than existing estimates that prioritize nature‐based or bioenergy solutions separately. Further research is needed to shrink uncertainties, but there is sufficient confidence in the general magnitude and direction of a combined approach to plan for deployment now.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A-LEAF

A-LEAF is an electricity market simulation framework. It includes models for short-term market operations and long-term investment planning of generation, storage, and transmission. Model formulations include least cost and two-stage market equilibrium. Simulations can be flexibly structured over one or more years, including options for periodic samples or jumping to a single future year. Years can be simulated as 365 consecutive days at hourly or 5-minute sample rates, or they can be subsampled using a representative day group selection algorithm.

MANN, WILLIAM↗

QuESt PCM

SAND2025-14369O QuESt PCM is a tool for modeling power system production cost. It is designed for high-fidelity representation of energy storage systems (ESS) and is part of QuESt 2.0: Open-source Platform for Energy Storage Analytics. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Nguyen, Tu Anh [Sandia National Lab. (SNL-CA), Liv↗

ENPAX (ENergy Platform — Automated eXpenditures) [SWR-26-053]

ENPAX (ENergy Platform — Automated eXpenditures) is an open-source Python library that provides modular, bottom-up capital and operating expenditure (CAPEX/OPEX) models for energy technologies. Cost estimates are derived using system design characteristics, site specific details, power system considerations and infrastructure assumptions.

Mulas Hernando, Daniel [National Laboratory of the↗

Multi-objective Eco-Routing Model Development and Evaluation for Battery Electric Vehicles

This paper develops a multi-objective eco-routing algorithm (eco- and travel time-optimum routing) for battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) and investigates the network-wide impacts of the proposed multi-objective Nash optimum (user equilibrium) traffic assignment on a large-scale network. Unlike ICEVs, BEVs are more energy efficient on low-speed arterial trips compared with highway trips. Different energy consumption patterns require different eco-routing strategies for ICEVs and BEVs. This study found that single-objective eco-routing could significantly reduce the energy consumption of BEVs but also significantly increase their average travel time. Consequently, the study developed a multi-objective routing model (eco- and travel time-routing) to improve both energy and travel time measures. The model introduced a link cost function that uses the specification of the value of time and the cost of fuel/energy. The simulation study found that multi-objective routing could reduce BEV energy consumption by 13.5%, 14.2%, 12.9%, and 10.7%, as well as ICEV fuel consumption by 0.1%, 4.3%, 3.4%, and 10.6% for “not congested, “slightly congested,”“moderately congested,” and “highly congested” conditions, respectively. The study also found that multi-objective user equilibrium routing reduced the average vehicle travel time by up to 10.1% compared with the standard user equilibrium traffic assignment for highly congested conditions, producing a solution closer to the system optimum traffic assignment. The results indicate that the proposed multi-objective eco-routing strategy can reduce vehicle fuel/energy consumption effectively with minimum impacts on travel times for both BEVs and ICEVs.

Engineering↗

Artificial intelligence for materials research at extremes

Abstract Materials development is slow and expensive, taking decades from inception to fielding. For materials research at extremes, the situation is even more demanding, as the desired property combinations such as strength and oxidation resistance can have complex interactions. Here, we explore the role of AI and autonomous experimentation (AE) in the process of understanding and developing materials for extreme and coupled environments. AI is important in understanding materials under extremes due to the highly demanding and unique cases these environments represent. Materials are pushed to their limits in ways that, for example, equilibrium phase diagrams cannot describe. Often, multiple physical phenomena compete to determine the material response. Further, validation is often difficult or impossible. AI can help bridge these gaps, providing heuristic but valuable links between materials properties and performance under extreme conditions. We explore the potential advantages of AE along with decision strategies. In particular, we consider the problem of deciding between low-fidelity, inexpensive experiments and high-fidelity, expensive experiments. The cost of experiments is described in terms of the speed and throughput of automated experiments, contrasted with the human resources needed to execute manual experiments. We also consider the cost and benefits of modeling and simulation to further materials understanding, along with characterization of materials under extreme environments in the AE loop. Graphical abstract AI sequential decision-making methods for materials research: Active learning, which focuses on exploration by sampling uncertain regions, Bayesian and bandit optimization as well as reinforcement learning (RL), which trades off exploration of uncertain regions with exploitation of optimum function value. Bayesian and bandit optimization focus on finding the optimal value of the function at each step or cumulatively over the entire steps, respectively, whereas RL considers cumulative value of the labeling function, where the latter can change depending on the state of the system (blue, orange, or green).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

WaterTAP 0.3 Release

The Water treatment Technoeconomic Assessment Platform (WaterTAP) is an open-source Python-based software package that supports the simulation and optimization of process-scale water treatment trains. WaterTAP seeks to provide the broader water research community with an integrated modeling capability to evaluate cost, energy, and environmental tradeoffs across water treatment options and identify high impact opportunities for innovation including novel materials, processes, and systems. An updated version of WaterTAP is released quarterly and each includes documentation and release notes.

IDAES↗

WaterTAP 0.4 Release

The Water treatment Technoeconomic Assessment Platform (WaterTAP) is an open-source Python-based software package that supports the simulation and optimization of process-scale water treatment trains. WaterTAP seeks to provide the broader water research community with an integrated modeling capability to evaluate cost, energy, and environmental tradeoffs across water treatment options and identify high impact opportunities for innovation including novel materials, processes, and systems. An updated version of WaterTAP is released quarterly and each includes documentation and release notes.

IDAES↗

WaterTAP 0.5 Release

The Water treatment Technoeconomic Assessment Platform (WaterTAP) is an open-source Python-based software package that supports the simulation and optimization of process-scale water treatment trains. WaterTAP seeks to provide the broader water research community with an integrated modeling capability to evaluate cost, energy, and environmental tradeoffs across water treatment options and identify high impact opportunities for innovation including novel materials, processes, and systems. An updated version of WaterTAP is released quarterly and each includes documentation and release notes.

IDAES↗

WaterTAP 0.6 Release

The Water treatment Technoeconomic Assessment Platform (WaterTAP) is an open-source Python-based software package that supports the simulation and optimization of process-scale water treatment trains. WaterTAP seeks to provide the broader water research community with an integrated modeling capability to evaluate cost, energy, and environmental tradeoffs across water treatment options and identify high impact opportunities for innovation including novel materials, processes, and systems. An updated version of WaterTAP is released quarterly and each includes documentation and release notes.

IDAES↗

WaterTAP 0.7 Release

The Water treatment Technoeconomic Assessment Platform (WaterTAP) is an open-source Python-based software package that supports the simulation and optimization of process-scale water treatment trains. WaterTAP seeks to provide the broader water research community with an integrated modeling capability to evaluate cost, energy, and environmental tradeoffs across water treatment options and identify high impact opportunities for innovation including novel materials, processes, and systems. An updated version of WaterTAP is released quarterly and each includes documentation and release notes.

IDAES↗

WaterTAP 0.8 Release

The Water treatment Technoeconomic Assessment Platform (WaterTAP) is an open-source Python-based software package that supports the simulation and optimization of process-scale water treatment trains. WaterTAP seeks to provide the broader water research community with an integrated modeling capability to evaluate cost, energy, and environmental tradeoffs across water treatment options and identify high impact opportunities for innovation including novel materials, processes, and systems. An updated version of WaterTAP is released quarterly and each includes documentation and release notes.

IDAES↗

WaterTAP 0.10 Release

The Water treatment Technoeconomic Assessment Platform (WaterTAP) is an open-source Python-based software package that supports the simulation and optimization of process-scale water treatment trains. WaterTAP seeks to provide the broader water research community with an integrated modeling capability to evaluate cost, energy, and environmental tradeoffs across water treatment options and identify high impact opportunities for innovation including novel materials, processes, and systems. An updated version of WaterTAP is released quarterly and each includes documentation and release notes.

IDAES↗

WaterTAP 0.11 Release

The Water treatment Technoeconomic Assessment Platform (WaterTAP) is an open-source Python-based software package that supports the simulation and optimization of process-scale water treatment trains. WaterTAP seeks to provide the broader water research community with an integrated modeling capability to evaluate cost, energy, and environmental tradeoffs across water treatment options and identify high impact opportunities for innovation including novel materials, processes, and systems. An updated version of WaterTAP is released quarterly and each includes documentation and release notes.

IDAES↗