Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “confidence”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 883 records · Page 49
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1983

The southern oscillation and long-range forecasting of the summer monsoon rainfall over India

The Indian summer monsoon rainfall and the Darwin pressure anomalies are examined for the 81-year period 1901-81. It is found that the tendency of the Darwin pressure anomaly before the monsoon season is a good indicator of the monsoon rainfall anomaly. During the 81-year period, there were only two instances (1901, 1941) when a negative tendency of winter (December, January, February) to spring (March, April, May) Darwin pressure anomaly was followed by a monsoon rainfall anomaly of less than minus one standard deviation; and only three instances (1916, 1933, 1961) when a positive tendency was followed by a rainfall anomaly of more than one standard deviation. Therefore, if the Darwin pressure anomaly during March, April and May is below normal, and if the Darwin seasonal pressure anomaly has been falling, a non-occurrence of drought over India can be predicted with a very high degree of confidence. Similarly, above normal Darwin pressure during March, April and May, and increasing seasonal pressure anomaly is a good indicator of the non-occurrence of very heavy rain over India.

Shukla, J.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Data analysis for dual-polarized communication link experiments

The effect of the propagation medium on the performance of dual-polarized radio links operating in the microwave and millimeter wave regions is analyzed, with particular reference to rain and ice depolarization. Three methods of displaying measured cross-polarization discrimination (XPD) versus the attenuation (A) are examined: mean, median, and equiprobable. The mean and median values are shown to be essentially the same, while equiprobable data are sensitive to many errors. Ice depolarization alone or imbedded in rain depolarization can shift the entire XPD vs A relationship for equiprobable data. It is concluded that XPD vs A sets from different experiments can be compared with confidence when mean and median values are used. However, caution must be exercised with equipotential data sets, particularly when ice effects are involved.

Stutzman, W. L.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Nimbus 7 CZCS - Reduction of its radiometric sensitivity with time

Preliminary results are described for an effort to quantify the sensitivity decay of a radiometry sensor (the Coastal Zone Color Scanner or CZCS aboard Nimbus 7). The method used in the study is to (1) compute the water-leaving radiance for imagery acquired in regions where this radiance is known or can be independently estimated, and (2) adjust the sensor calibration to force agreement between the two radiances. Decay factors for orbit numbers from 0 to 20,000 are plotted, and surface and space measurements are compared for the Gulf Stream and the Northern Sargasso Sea at different seasons. The fact that a seasonal variability in the chlorophyll a concentration in the Sargasso Sea was found in the sensor analysis (apparently the first such satellite observation) increases confidence in the method.

Gordon, H. R.↗
NASA NTRS1982

On-line methods for rotorcraft aeroelastic mode identification

The requirements for the on-line identification of rotorcraft aeroelastic blade modes from random response test data are presented. A recursive maximum likelihood (RML) technique is used in conjunction with a bandpass filter to identify isolated blade mode damping and frequency. The RML technique is demonstrated to have excellent convergence characteristics in random measurement noise and random process noise excitation. The RML identification technique uses an ARMA representation for the aeroelastic stochastic system and requires virtually no user interaction while providing accurate confidence bands on the parameter estimates. Comparisons are made with an off-line Newton type maximum likelihood algorithm which uses a state variable model representation. Results are presented from simulation random response data which quantify the identifed parameter convergence behavior for various levels of random excitation which is typical of wind tunnel turbulence levels. The RML technique is applied to hingless rotor test data from the NASA Langley Research Center Helicopter Hover Facility.

Molusis, J. A.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Evidence for temporal variations in polar plumes

The variability of the O VI and Mg X emissions from four plumes is studied in order to place empirical constraints on possible plasma heating processes and acceleration mechanisms for mass flows in polar plumes. The observations comprise a 40 min seqeunce of spectroheliograms acquired with a temporal resolution of approximately 2 min. It is found that the Mg X emission from each plume has a strong 'dc' component and that any variations occurred at approximately the 10 percent (of the mean) level or less. This means that temporal variations in the density and/or temperature were 5 percent or less. Some statistically significant variations in the measured Mg X signals are seen. It is noted that two of the plumes decreased in brightness by approximately 10 percent during the 40 min period of the observations. Besides this, two plumes exhibited short-term (few minute) variations that are seen as statistically significant at a confidence level of more than 90 percent. The latter variations (if real) are thought to be due to small (approximately 20,000 K) fluctuations in temperature caused by fluctuations in the local plasma heating rate.

Withbroe, G. L.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Roles of divergent and rotational winds in the kinetic energy balance during intense convective activity

Contributions of divergent and rotational wind components to the synoptic-scale kinetic energy balance are described using rawinsonde data at 3 and 6 h intervals from NASA's fourth Atmospheric Variability experiment. Two intense thunderstorm complexes occurred during the period. Energy budgets are described for the entire computational region and for limited volumes that enclosed storm-induced, upper level wind maxima located poleward of convection. Although small in magnitude, the divergent wind component played an important role in the cross-contour generation and horizontal flux divergence of kinetic energy. The importance of V(D) appears directly related to the presence and intensity of convection. Although K(D) usually comprised less than 10 percent of the total kinetic energy content, generation of kinetic energy by V(D) was a major factor in the creation of upper-level wind maxima to the north of the storm complexes. Omission of the divergent wind apparently would lead to serious misrepresentations of the energy balance. A random error analysis is presented to assess confidence limits in the various energy parameters.

Fuelberg, H. E.↗
NASA NTRS1984

The broad-band X-ray spectrum of a QSO sample

A sample of 25 QSOs is used to investigate the average spectrum between the soft X-ray energy band of the Einstein Observatory Image Proportional Counter, and the higher energy band of the HEAO 1 A-2 experiment. Assuming a power-law spectrum, a 90 percent confidence range is found for alpha(F(v) approximately v to the -alpha of 0.83 (+0.32, -0.22) for N(H) lower than 3 x 10 to the 20th atoms/sq cm. Higher column densities for QSOs are not anticipated, but if N(H) were about 10 to the 22nd atoms/sq cm, then alpha would be greater then 0.97. The present spectrum is similar to those exhibited by Seyfert galaxies and narrow emission line galaxies above 2 keV. The spectrum is soft enough that, if these objects are typical of the higher redshift, more radio-quiet QSOs, then QSOs can be excluded as being the dominant origin of the diffuse X-ray background.

Marshall, F. E.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Welded solar cell interconnection

The efficiency of the welding of solar-cell interconnects is compared with the efficiency of soldering such interconnects, and the cases in which welding may be superior are examined. Emphasis is placed on ultrasonic welding; attention is given to the solar-cell welding machine, the application of the welding process to different solar-cell configurations, producibility, and long-life performance of welded interconnects. Much of the present work has been directed toward providing increased confidence in the reliability of welding using conditions approximating those that would occur with large-scale array production. It is concluded that there is as yet insufficient data to determine which of three methods (soldering, parallel gap welding, and ultrasonic welding) provides the longest-duration solar panel life.

Stofel, E. J.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Assessment of Galileo modal test results for mathematical model verification

The modal test program for the Galileo Spacecraft was completed at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in the summer of 1983. The multiple sine dwell method was used for the baseline test. The Galileo Spacecraft is a rather complex 2433 kg structure made of a central core on which seven major appendages representing 30 percent of the total mass are attached, resulting in a high modal density structure. The test revealed a strong nonlinearity in several major modes. This nonlinearity discovered in the course of the test necessitated running additional tests at the unusually high response levels of up to about 21 g. The high levels of response were required to obtain a model verification valid at the level of loads for which the spacecraft was designed. Because of the high modal density and the nonlinearity, correlation between the dynamic mathematical model and the test results becomes a difficult task. Significant changes in the pre-test analytical model are necessary to establish confidence in the upgraded analytical model used for the final load verification. This verification, using a test verified model, is required by NASA to fly the Galileo Spacecraft on the Shuttle/Centaur launch vehicle in 1986.

Trubert, M.↗
NASA NTRS1983

The statewide forest/nonforest classification of Pennsylvania using Landsat MSS data

A procedure is described for processing the large volume of data needed to generate a Landsat-derived forest resource map (forest/nonforest mask) for the state of Pennsylvania, for use in a defoliation assessment program. Landsat coverage of the 28 million acres encompassing Pennsylvania requires portions of ten Landsat frames, totalling approximately 76 million pixels. A prime effort of this project was to efficiently and accurately classify this data into forest or nonforest categories. A specialized approach to Bayesian classification was developed which involved the use of MSS5 and MSS7; the identification of a single class, forest; and the use of the confidence map to generate the forest/nonforest mask. Statewide, for 7-acre contiguous forest areas, the overall agreement achieved between the mask and reference data was 90 percent.

Russo, S. A.↗
NASA NTRS1984

The radiative lifetime of the 5S(0)2 metastable level of O(2+)

The radiative lifetime of the 5S(0)2 metastable level of O(2+) was measured as 1.22 + or - 0.08 ms at the 90 percent confidence level by observing the time dependence of the spontaneous emission from metastable ions created and stored in a cylindrical radio-frequency ion trap. The intersystem line emission 2s(2)2p(2) 3P - 2s2p(3) 5S(0) was observed at 1660.8 and 1666.2 A. Discrepancies between measured and calculated values indicate that certain calculated transition probabilities for intersystem lines may be less reliable than previously believed.

Johnson, B. C.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Integration and flight demonstration of a high-capacity monogroove heat-pipe radiator

The cancellation of the TDRS-B satellite as the payload for the eighth Space Shuttle mission provided a unique opportunity to demonstrate on-orbit operation of the high-capacity monogroove heat pipe used in the space constructible radiator subsystem. In less than 4 months, a flight experiment was conceived, designed, fabricated, tested, integrated with a payload carrier, installed in the Orbiter Challenger payload bay, and successfully operated in flight. Still color photographs and direct crew visual observation of color changes in a pattern of temperature-sensitive liquid-crystal tapes provided the temperature data necessary to verify successful on-orbit startup and orbital transient response of the heat pipe when subjected to a heat load from its attached electrical heaters. This successful on-orbit demonstration verified analytical design tools and provided confidence in the use of high-capacity heat pipes for future space applications. The flight experiment hardware and the integration and test activities that led to the flight are described, and the actual flight results are compared to analytical performance predictions.

Rankin, J. G.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Validation of water vapor results measured by the Limb Infrared Monitor of the Stratosphere experiment on Nimbus 7

In the LIMS experiment using thermal IR limb scanning to sound the composition and structure of the upper atmosphere, one of the LIMS channels was spectrally centered at 6.9 micrometers to measure the vertical profile and global distribution of stratospheric water vapor. This channel's characteristics, the data from it, and the steps taken to validate results are described. The mean difference between the LIMS measurements and data from 13 balloon underflights is about 0.6 ppmv with LIMS mixing ratios biased high; this difference is of about the same order as estimated LIMS accuracy and less than the sum of the errors for LIMS and the balloon techniques. In-orbit precision is 0.2-0.3 ppmv and accuracy is estimated at 20-30 percent from 50 mbar to the stratopause. An unexplained diurnal variation exists in the vertical profile data which is largest at the 1-mbar level and virtually nonexistent at 10 mbar; day values are higher than night. More confidence is placed in zonal mean distributions averaged over several days than in single profiles. A zonal mean pressure-latitude cross section is described for January 5-9, 1979.

Russell, J. M., III↗
NASA NTRS1984

Cryogenic telescope on the Infrared Astronomical Satellite (IRAS)

The Infrared Astronomical Satellite (IRAS) has completed an unbiased all-sky survey at wavelengths from 10 to 100 microns. The design and performance of the focal plane array is described with emphasis on in-orbit measurements of the sensitivity and stability. In the four broad spectral bands centered at 12, 25, 60, and 100 microns, the system noise equivalent flux density (NEFD) values are in Jy/(Square root of Hz), 0.03, 0.025, 0.046, and 0.21, respectively (Jansky = 10 to the -26th W/sq m/Hz). For point sources, a single scan at the survey rate of 3.8 arcmin/s yields limiting flux densities at the 3-sigma confidence level of 0.36, 0.30, 0.39, and 1.2 Jy. The dc stability of the junction field effect transistor (JFET) amplifiers and the excellent off-axis rejection of the telescope permit total flux measurements of extended infrared emission at levels below 6,000,000 Jy/sr. Response of the extrinsic silicon and germanium photo-detectors to ionizing radiation is described.

Low, F. J.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Spectral observation of the soft X-ray background and of the North Polar Spur with solid state spectrometers

Soft X-ray diffuse background observations in the 0.3-1.5 keV interval of two sky regions, near the north galactic pole and the North Polar Spur (NPS) are reported. Data were taken with a solid-state spectrometer carried by a rocket. The near-polar region exhibited O VII ion emissions at 530 eV. A second component was not identified but was attributed to the Galactic Halo. Fe XVIII, Ne IX, and O VIII contributions were detected in the NPS, along with an enhancement at 1.35 keV from Mg XI lines. A two-temperature contour was fit to the spectra and chi-square confidence levels of 90 and 68 percent were obtained.

Rocchia, R.↗
NASA NTRS1983

The NASA data systems standardization program - Rationale and scope

A simple, top level logical reference model of the NASA Space Transportation System's end-to-end data system is being developed which can identify the functions and services of the system. Each function or service may be mapped into specific physical subsystems, so that interface relationships are evident and 'standard' protocols may be identified for development. By means of this interface standardization, subsystems can be designed not only independently and in parallel, but with confidence that when the subsystems are aggregated, the end-to-end system will operate efficiently and at low cost. This standardization effort has thus far been principally directed toward space-to-ground communications links.

Smylie, R. E.↗
NASA NTRS1984

A complete sample of quasars at B = 19.80

A quasar candidate spectroscopic UV-excess survey with B less than 19.80 has yielded 35 quasars in the 1.75 sq deg region studied. The X-ray data for the 35 quasars are used to show that quasars with B lower than 19.80 and z lower than 2.2 constitute 24 + 10, -8 percent of the observed X-ray background at 2 keV. This sample is combined with one containing 22 quasars with B values lower than 18.25, and it is noted that fits of evolution and luminosity functions are substantially similar to previous results, although the confidence limits for the model parameters are reduced by a factor of 2. Pure luminosity evolution models are found to produce very good fits to the observed N(less than B) data, and are used to estimate the overall contribution of quasars to the X-ray background.

Marshall, H. L.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Combustion hot section technology

The Turbine Engine Hot Section Technology Combustion Program is briefly described. The overall objective of the project is to develop and verify improved and more accurate analysis methods for increasing the ability to design with confidence the combustion system for advanced aircraft turbine engines. The approach is to first assess and evaluate existing combustor aerothermal analysis models by means of a contracted effort initiated during FY-82. The program also includes both analytical and experimental research efforts in the areas of aerothermal modeling and liner cyclic life. It is expected that the combustor model development effort will generate improved understanding in the areas of high pressure flame radiation characteristics, model numerical methods and solution schemes, complex geometrical boundary conditions, fuel spray - flow field interactions, combustion kinetics, flow and mixing of dilution jets, turbulence and heat transfer, and soot and carbon formation.

Ercegovic, D. B.↗