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Second Report of the Nuclear Data Subcommittee of the Nuclear Science Advisory Committee

The central importance of the nuclear data curated by the US Nuclear Data Program (USNDP) for clean energy generation, national security, nonproliferation, medical applications, and space exploration as well as basic science was described in a prior report issued by the DOE/NSF Nuclear Science Advisory Committee subcommittee on Nuclear Data (NSAC-ND) in September 2022. In this report, we present a set of fourteen (14) recommendations that will enhance and advance DOE-NP's stewardship of nuclear data. The first three recommendations focus on the existing core USNDP capabilities, namely: 1) Support the nuclear structure evaluation workforce to improve the currency, consistency, and accessibility of the Evaluated Nuclear Structure Data File (ENSDF); 2) Enhance nuclear reaction evaluation within the USNDP in support of the Evaluated Nuclear Data File (ENDF) through expansion of the workforce and integration of high-performance computing, automation, and machine learning and; 3) Continue atomic mass evaluation in support AME and NUBASE databases. This is followed by eight (8) recommendations representing new cross-cutting initiatives involving both measurement and evaluation to address outstanding nuclear data needs. These new initiatives require a highly trained, diverse workforce that includes personnel with expertise from both inside and outside the nuclear physics community from which evaluators have traditionally been recruited. As such, many of these initiatives are accomplished via a Topical Nuclear Data Collaborations (TNDC). A TNDC is made up of domestic and international stakeholders, subject matter and nuclear data experts, and nuclear data evaluators and features a workforce development plan to ensure that nuclear data evaluators maintain currency in the relevant applications and are seen as equity partners in the endeavor. These include: 1) Establish a coordinated effort to improve evaluation and modeling in nuclear astrophysics for stellar dynamics, multi-messenger astronomy and nucleosynthesis; 2) Initiate a TNDC to develop and maintain nuclear structure evaluation beyond discrete states, including nuclear level densities, photon strength functions and photonuclear data for improved reaction modeling, and exploring nuclear structure at finite temperature; 3) Create a TNDC to perform correlated fission data evaluation, including cross sections, fragment yields, v(A), v(E n ) for nuclear energy, national security, nonproliferation and basic science; 4) From a panel of subject matter experts to establish and annually update a roster of key decay data to nurture its accelerated dissemination including both measurement and evaluation for targeted high-value nuclides for national security, nonproliferation and medical applications; 5) Comprehensive, consistent neutron-induced structure and reaction data for nuclear energy, national security, nonproliferation and planetary nuclear spectroscopy; 6) Charged-particle stopping powers for detector design, space effects and ion beam therapy; 7) High-energy reactions for space exploration and medical nuclide production, and; 8) The creation of an infrastructure for open data and data preservation for use by the entire nuclear physics community. All told, these initiatives require approximately $6.5M increase in NP support of the USNDP in fiscal year 2023 dollars and would require at least 3-5 years to carry out due to the length of time needed to recruit and train new nuclear data researchers. This relatively modest investment would help ensure that the fruits of the nuclear data research carried out by DOE-NP and its collaborators would be brought to bear to address some of the most important needs of our nation and the world. To ensure effective execution of this plan, we present an overview of recruitment, training, and retention goals for the USNDP, the centerpiece of which is a mutually agreed upon code of conduct. Finally, we identify the facility and instrumentation needed to perform the recommended experimental activities. This includes a short review of target fabrication capabilities, reactors, neutron beam, light- and heavy-stable ion, gamma-ray, high-energy and radioactive ion beam facilities. Lastly, a more complete appendix of experimental facilities previously compiled is included with new input provided for 6 facilities.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogeneities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogeneities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogeneities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogenities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogenities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Constructing field-aligned coordinate systems for gyrokinetic simulations of tokamaks in X-point geometries

Structures in tokamak plasmas are elongated along the direction of the magnetic field and short in the directions perpendicular to the magnetic field. Many tokamak simulation codes take advantage of this by using a field-aligned coordinate system. However, field-aligned coordinate systems have a coordinate singularity at magnetic X-points where the poloidal magnetic field vanishes, which makes it difficult to use field-aligned coordinate systems when simulating the core and scrape-off layer simultaneously. Here, we present an algorithm for grid generation and computing geometric quantities in a standard field-aligned coordinate system that avoids the singularity and allows one to conduct two-dimensional gyrokinetic axisymmetric simulations in X-point geometries. Convergence tests of advection, boundary value problems and geometric quantities all show greater than first-order convergence even in the vicinity of the X-point. We also demonstrate the geometric consistency of our algorithm with an example simulation of the spherical tokamak for energy production, which shows machine-precision particle conservation.

fusion plasma↗

Simulating Marine Ecosystem Dynamics and Biogeochemical Cycling With Multiple Plankton Functional Types

Current representations of marine ecosystems in Earth System Models are greatly simplified, neglecting key interactions between dynamic food webs, biogeochemistry, and climate change. We use the Marine Biogeochemistry Library code base within the Community Earth System Model 2.2.2 to create an expanded ecosystem model with eight phytoplankton groups and four zooplankton size classes (MARBL-8P4Z). Incorporating more specific plankton types and size classes has the potential to capture a wider range of possible behaviors of the ecosystem, its complex interactions with biogeochemistry, and its feedback to climate change. It also permits stronger observational constraints, including in situ group-specific biomass and various observational estimates of plankton community composition. MARBL-8P4Z broadly captures observed global-scale patterns in biomass and community composition for both phytoplankton and zooplankton, with a good performance in simulating broad biogeochemistry fields. The model shows comparable spatial patterns and magnitudes to the observed picophytoplankton biomass (Prochlorococcus, Synechococcus, picoeukaryotes), and captures the seasonal cycle of mesozooplankton biomass. Picophytoplankton groups and microzooplankton dominate biomass and production in oligotrophic, subtropical regions, while nano-phytoplankton, diatoms and the larger zooplankton groups prevail at higher latitudes and within upwelling zones. The model simulates reasonable energy transfer efficiency through the food web, with tight linkages between the phytoplankton community composition, zooplankton grazing, and carbon export, with the potential to link to fisheries models. Thus, MARBL-8P4Z has the potential to account for key climate-driven ecological shifts in the plankton that will modify ocean biogeochemistry in the future.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Analytic error analysis of cross section interpolation methods in nodal diffusion codes - I : Theory

This paper discusses two cross section interpolation methods commonly found in popular nodal codes; the partial derivatives and multiple tables models. The motivation for choosing a model, and thus a case matrix structure, is a trade off between accuracy and computational cost. Due to decades of experience, there are default structures that are sufficient for current light water reactor analysis. However, this is not necessarily the case for advanced reactor designs. Therefore, it is advantageous to understand the sources of error in cross section interpolation models so that the quality of a case matrix may be improved. A mathematical framework for these models is presented in this work that provides a more rigorous connection between the nuclear engineering field's cross section interpolation methods and the broader mathematical field of function approximation. The two cross section models examined in this paper were found to utilize Lagrange interpolation and are a subset of Lagrange tensor products. Classical results of Lagrange polynomial error analysis were then applied to the partial derivative and multiple tables models to derive expressions for the total point-wise error. The analytical results classify the total error into two parts: the model form error and interpolation error. Finally, based on our observations, a better foundation for improving the quality of a case matrix is proposed. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Comprehensive Kinetics on the C 7 H 7 Potential Energy Surface under Combustion Conditions

The automated kinetics workflow code, KinBot, was used to explore and characterize the regions of the C 7 H 7 potential energy surface that are relevant to combustion environments and especially soot inception. We first explored the lowest-energy region, which includes the benzyl, fulvenallene + H, and cyclopentadienyl + acetylene entry points. We then expanded the model to include two higher-energy entry points, vinylpropargyl + acetylene and vinylacetylene + propargyl. The automated search was able to uncover the pathways from the literature. In addition, three important new routes were discovered: a lower-energy pathway connecting benzyl with vinylcyclopentadienyl, a decomposition mechanism from benzyl that results in side-chain hydrogen atom loss to produce fulvenallene + H, and shorter and lower energy routes to the dimethylene-cyclopentenyl intermediates. We systematically reduced the extended model to a chemically relevant domain composed of 63 wells, 10 bimolecular products, 87 barriers, and 1 barrierless channel and constructed a master equation using the CCSD(T)-F12a/cc-pVTZ//ωB97X-D/6-311++G(d,p) level of theory to provide rate coefficients for chemical modeling. Our calculated rate coefficients show excellent agreement with measured ones. We also simulated concentration profiles and calculated branching fractions from the important entry points to provide an interpretation of this important chemical landscape.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The Value of Diversity in the Renewable Energy Industry and Research Community

Part of creating a successful solar industry is developing a capable workforce. It has been repeatedly shown that organizations and companies are more productive when they have diverse and inclusive cultures. The solar industry in the U.S. performs well in some aspects (non-white workforce, positive work environment) but drastically under-performs in many others. We discuss these metrics and how this impacts the renewable energy industry and the solar research community. We highlight some initial actions which are necessary to begin to remediate these deficiencies, such as demographic tracking, recruiting strategies, and mentoring. We also present the historical and ongoing efforts to improve the diversity and inclusion of the Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, particularly through the work of this year’s Diversity and Inclusion (D&I) oversight committee. This year’s D&I committee is implementing diversity tracking, a women’s lunch, a diversity lunch, childcare resources, pronouns on badges, gender-neutral restrooms, addressing accessibility issues, and publishing a diversity statement and code of conduct to the PVSC website.

diversity↗

Validation of an Advanced High-Pressure PEM Electrolyzer and Composite Hydrogen Storage

One of the challenges associated with transitioning our nation’s transportation economy to any alternative fuel is bringing fuel production, storage, transportation, and end-customer delivery infrastructure online. There are challenges associated with planning and implementing hydrogen fueling stations at locations relevant to the parallel effort of bringing the related transportation vehicles into the market. There are additional challenges associated with the operation of hydrogen fueling stations and reducing operating costs through energy reduction. Through calculation and design efforts it was concluded that elevating the pressure of a PEM cell stack and further developing hydrogen processing equipment that support elevated pressures while maintaining similar characteristics to their current production counterparts will yield in energy savings and by extension cost reductions. In this report, the design of a 57-bar (827-psig) electrolysis system and electrolysis cell stack is described. Furthermore, the fabrication, component verification, and integrated testing are summarized. Prior to this development effort, Proton had demonstrated thousand of hours of durability on 30-bar (435-psig) differential pressure PEM electrolysis hardware. Proton has sold and installed many of these 30-bar devices at customer sites. Through this project, Proton has developed and tested 57-bar PEM electrolysis, thereby extending the proven capability of PEM electrolysis as a hydrogen generation and electrochemical compression device. A design and validation effort to arrange hydrogen processioning equipment for refueling OEM vehicles was also undertaken within this project. By arranging equipment within two 6-meter ISO shipping containers and further developing NFPA 2 Hydrogen Technologies Code to support containerized hydrogen equipment, efforts to site, install, and commission, and approve hydrogen fueling stations were reduced and now provide a groundwork for future installations.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Design Basis Document / Owner’s Technical Specification for Nitrate Salt Systems in CSP Projects (Final Technical Report)

The number of commercial coal, gas, and nuclear projects built over the past 100 years number in the thousands. As such, there is a large database, available to a wide range of commercial engineering contractors, on proven designs. In essence, unsuccessful designs have, through generations of iterations, been identified and then deleted from further consideration. In contrast, the number of commercial parabolic trough projects using nitrate salt for the thermal storage media is perhaps 60. Further, the number of commercial central receiver projects using nitrate salt as the working fluid is on the order of 20, including estimates for China. Given the relative immaturity of salt technology, and commercial pressures to successfully bid new solar projects into a mature electricity market, solar projects often promise more than has been delivered. The Design Basis Document / Owner’s Technical Specification is a first step in the iteration process. The report describes the successful features of commercial projects, outlines a range equipment and system failures in projects that didn’t operate as intended, and provides a draft set of design changes intended to correct the known problems. The product of the study is 3 volumes of technical material; one volume is on parabolic trough technologies; a second is on central receiver technologies, and the third is on potential design changes to parabolic trough and central receiver projects. The 3 volumes, which total some 590 pages, can be found at https://www.solardynllc.com/csp-plant-technologies. One of the principal topics in the report is the use of functional or prescriptive specifications. Functional specifications describe what the equipment needs to do, consistent with the minimum legal requirements of the local jurisdictions. The details of how this is to be accomplished is developed by the engineering contractor. Prescriptive specifications, which are developed by the Owner, prescribe to the engineering contractor how the functional requirements are to be met. This arrangement ensures that the favorable experience from a previous project is repeated. One example is the design code for the hot salt tank in central receiver projects. The closest design basis is API Standard 650 Welded Steel Tanks for Oil Storage. However, the maximum design temperature in API 650 is 260 °C. As such, solar projects have typically adopted a hybrid Code approach, in which allowable material stresses are taken from ASME Section II Materials. Further, since the tanks experience daily changes in temperature and in (static) pressure, and since portions of the tank can operate at stresses beyond the elastic range, the low cycle fatigue life of the tank is conducted using the rules of Section VIII Division 2. However, in a recent study by NREL, the principal damage mechanism was identified as creep rather than fatigue. Further, design stresses permitted under Section VIII Division 2, corresponding to a fatigue life of 30 years, result in projected creep lifetimes of only 2 to 5 years. An alternate design approach, prescribed by the Owner, would be based on Code sections intended for high temperature service in the creep regime. A candidate is Section III Division 5. Granted, this is a nuclear code section, and it’s use would not likely be mandated by local jurisdictions. However, the effects of creep have been deemed to be of sufficient importance that one nuclear project developer, and one central receiver project developer, have stipulated in the tank design specification that the equipment be designed to the requirements of Section III Division 5.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

North Dakota Integrated Carbon Storage Complex Feasibility Study. Final report

In spring 2017, the Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) initiated an effort to determine the feasibility of developing a commercial-scale CO 2 geologic storage complex able to store 50+ million tonnes (Mt) of CO 2 in central North Dakota safely, permanently, and economically. The objective was to fulfill the goals of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Carbon Storage Assurance Facility Enterprise (CarbonSAFE) Initiative and address technical and nontechnical challenges specific to commercial-scale deployment of a CO2 storage project. The findings clearly show that the concept of capturing CO 2 from a lignite-fired electrical generation facility in central North Dakota and safely and permanently storing the CO 2 in the deep subsurface is indeed technically, economically, and socially feasible. This project evaluated two study areas and their respective geologic storage complexes located adjacent to separate coal-fired facilities in North Dakota: the Basin Electric Power Cooperative (BEPC)-owned Great Plains Synfuels Plant (GPSP) and the Minnkota Power Cooperative (Minnkota)-owned Milton R. Young Station (MRYS). These locations, one with CO 2 capture in place and an existing CO 2 pipeline, are bolstered by progressive North Dakota pore space ownership and long-term liability laws. These elements and a motivated team created an ideal synergistic scenario for ensuring success of the CarbonSAFE Initiative and promoting North Dakota’s statewide vision for carbon management. The project included drilling two new geologic characterization wells, integrating an existing 3-D seismic survey, creating a geologic model subsequently used for injection simulation, a risk assessment, public outreach, and generating a site development plan based on results. In addition, the performance of select National Risk Assessment Partnership tools was evaluated. The geologic characterization wells were drilled ~5600 feet deep to the Broom Creek Formation; ~350 feet of core was retrieved from each well. The core included the Broom Creek (targeted injection zone) and a portion of the overlying Opeche Shale (seal). The Flemmer-1 well, west of Beulah, North Dakota, yielded 169 feet of sandstone. The BNI-1 well located south of Center, North Dakota, yielded 124 feet of sandstone. In each case, laboratory analysis of the sandstone showed permeability in the 300–1000-mD range, with porosity of 20%–30%. The Flemmer-1 well was sited within the boundaries of an existing 3-D seismic survey. Colocating the well with the seismic survey maximized the relationship between new and legacy data and developed a first-of-its-kind interpretation of the geologic fabric of the Broom Creek. Geologic characterization data were integrated into a 5544-mi 2 geocellular model that encompassed both new wells and stratigraphy from the surface to the Amsden Formation (underlying the Broom Creek). The model was later expanded vertically to include the deeper Black Island–Deadwood interval to examine its potential viability as a storage target. The geocellular model provided the foundation for dynamic simulation of CO 2 into the Broom Creek. Results of the simulation suggest that the Broom Creek could accept the DOE target rate of 2 Mt/yr of CO 2 into as few as two wells. To bracket the expected capture from MRYS, simulations were also investigated for a 4-Mt/yr rate near MRYS. Although more wells are needed (two additional), the Broom Creek still has the storage resource to accept the CO 2 at the increased rate. A risk assessment exercise was conducted to identify and assess technical and nontechnical risks that could prevent potential candidate storage complexes within the study area from serving as commercial storage sites. The assessment identified and evaluated six technical risk categories: 1) CO 2 injectivity, 2) storage capacity, 3) lateral migration of CO 2 , 4) lateral pressure propagation, 5) vertical migration of CO 2 or formation brine, and 6) induced seismicity. Following two rounds of analysis and scoring, no risks were determined to preclude continued efforts to develop carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) in central North Dakota. The risk assessment results will be used to guide future site characterization, modeling and simulation, and monitoring activities. A specific nontechnical strategic risk based on challenges that may be realized in amalgamation of pore space resulted in vertically expanding the geologic model to incorporate the potential for stacked storage in multiple saline reservoirs. By including the Black Island–Deadwood interval (the basal sedimentary reservoir in this region), the amalgamated areal extent could be reduced by as much as 45%. Working with a smaller geographic area reduces risks and costs associated with monitoring and pore space leasing. An economic evaluation incorporating capture; transport (<5 mi); Class VI wells; permitting; and monitoring, verification, and accounting suggests implementing commercial-scale CCUS is economically attractive if the federal tax benefits of 45Q are included. This is validated by Minnkota’s continued pursuit of CO 2 capture and geologic storage at MRYS through its Project Tundra initiative, indicating that there is a business case for CCUS in central North Dakota. Currently, North Dakota is the only state with underground injection control (UIC) Class VI primacy. Built into the North Dakota Century Code is a series of regulatory requirements that guide the process to obtain a Class VI CO 2 storage facility permit. As part of this project, a site development plan was compiled to assure compliance with North Dakota’s requirements to permit a commercial-scale CO 2 storage operation and includes a prospective time line encompassing a general breakdown of activities. In total, an estimated 30 months would be needed to execute the necessary steps to attain a North Dakota CO 2 storage facility permit. Outreach was an integral part of the project and encompassed any project-related activity that had contact or exposure beyond the project team. The goals of outreach were to foster an environment from which stakeholders could make informed decisions about the project and gauge community receptiveness to a CCUS project. A consistent set of messages and outreach products were developed in conjunction with an outreach advisory board that integrated project partners and team members. To gauge public acceptability of geologically storing CO 2 , 5611 households in the project area were invited to participate in an online survey. The survey results indicate that the public attitude regarding CCUS is neutral to positive, with strong sentiment that CO 2 capture and storage may be an approach to maintain the economic vitality of the region. To achieve project objectives, critical support in the form of financial backing, engineering evaluations, site access, outreach collaboration, operations data, risk assessment/evaluation, and software access was provided by BEPC, the North Dakota Industrial Commission Lignite Research Council, ALLETE Clean Energy, BNI Energy, North American Coal Corporation, Minnkota, Prairie Public Broadcasting, Computer Modelling Group Ltd., and Schlumberger.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Innovations in Building Energy Modeling: Research and Development Opportunities for Emerging Technologies

Building energy modeling (BEM) is a multipurpose tool for building energy efficiency (EE). The U.S. Department of Energy Building Technologies Office (BTO) seeks to expand the use and effectiveness of BEM in the design and operation of commercial and residential buildings with the goal of achieving lasting reductions in total and peak energy use. This report identifies gaps and outlines recommended initiatives to achieve this goal, based on a combination of technical analysis and stakeholder input. In addition to BTO, this report can benefit BEM professionals (architects, mechanical engineers, energy consultants, building auditors, equipment manufacturers, and BEM software vendors) and BEM clients (building owners and operators, EE program administrators, EE service providers, policymakers, and policy and code jurisdictions such as states and cities). This report was developed in two phases. In the first, BTO worked with a team from Navigant Consulting (now Guidehouse) to characterize objectives, opportunities, and current activities; identify gaps and barriers; and define initiatives. To collect input, Navigant conducted telephone interviews and workshops with industry experts. The initial phase produced a draft report, which was released for public review in 2016 and yielded over 400 comments. Based on these comments, BTO compiled a second draft report that addressed many of those comments while acknowledging changes that had occurred both at BTO and in the industry. Unlike the first draft report, the second focused much more heavily on BTO’s own role, portfolio, and activities. BTO is a direct player in the BEM field - it funds the development of several significant software packages that are embedded in commercial products - and transparency about its goals and future plans is requisite. BTO recognizes that a great number of other public and private organizations contribute to the BEM enterprise. With the second draft report, BTO did not attempt to produce a blueprint for the industry as a whole, but rather a working document BTO can use to iteratively solicit stakeholder input and synthesize it into a program. BTO released the second draft report for public review in 2019. The second round of review generated 83 pages of feedback and comments - almost exactly the length of the draft report itself - a significant portion of which was collected and synthesized by IBPSA-USA Advocacy Committee. This final report incorporates this feedback. This report does not address the use of BEM in support of building-based grid services, a recent BTO initiative called Grid-interactive Efficient Buildings (GEB). In 2019, BTO published a report that specifically addresses the role of BEM - and other “integration” technologies - in GEB.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A continuum meshfree method for sandbox-style numerical modeling of accretionary and doubly vergent wedges

Here, in this study, we introduce and utilize GEOSPH, a Lagrangian particle-based continuum Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH) code to simulate the deformation of geologic materials in sandbox-style experiments using an elastoplastic constitutive model. Due to the meshfree nature of SPH, our proposed framework is capable of handling the large deformations characteristic of sandbox-style experiments. SPH is also able to capture strain localization and discontinuities, allowing us to resolve faulting patterns emerging in the sandbox experiments. We successfully validate our SPH implementation against the benchmark experiments of Buiter and co-workers, and then apply SPH to understand the deformational processes occurring in doubly vergent orogens resultant from the S-point experimental setup and from finitely high wedge-like indenter backstops of different inclinations. We find that the topographic slope of the prowedge results from the competing processes of vertical uplift due to the indenter and forward thrusting, while the topographic slope of the retrowedge is a product of repeated shallow slope failure. Our findings show that SPH is a promising numerical method which should be added to the current palette of computational tools used by structural geologists for solving problems relating to tectonics and crustal deformation.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Black hole-neutron star binaries near neutron star disruption limit in the mass regime of event GW230529

In May 2023, the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) Collaboration reported the likely black hole-neutron star (BHNS) merger GW230529_181500. The signal was observed with high significance in only one detector, limiting constraints on the black hole spin and motivating our study of disruption in this mass regime. That event is expected to be the merger of a 2.5–4.5 M ⊙ primary with a secondary compact object of mass between 1.2–2.0 M ⊙ . This makes it the first BHNS merger with a significant potential for the production of electromagnetic (EM) counterparts, and provides further evidence for compact objects existing within the suspected lower mass gap. To produce post-merger EM transients, the component of the black hole spin aligned with the orbital angular momentum must be sufficiently high, allowing the neutron star to be tidally disrupted. The disrupting BHNS binary may then eject a few percent of a solar mass of matter, leading to an observable kilonova driven by radioactive decays in ejecta, and/or a compact-binary gamma-ray burst (cbGRB) resulting from the formation of an accretion disk and relativistic jet. Determining which mergers lead to disruption of the neutron star is necessary to predict the prevalence of EM signals from BHNS mergers, yet most BHNS simulations so far have been performed far from the minimum spin required for tidal disruption. Here, we use the Spectral Einstein Code to explore the behavior of BHNS mergers in a mass range consistent with GW230529_181500 close to that critical spin, and compare our results against the mass remnant model currently used by the LVK Collaboration to predict the probability of tidal disruption. Furthermore, our numerical results reveal the emergence of non-zero accretion disks even below the predicted NS disruption limit, of low mass but capable of powering cbGRBs. Our results also demonstrate that the remnant mass model underpredicts the disk mass for the DD2 equation of state, while they are within expected modeling errors for SFHo. The disruption limit itself, however, is not found to significantly differ from the predictions of the analytical model, unless remnant masses M rem ≲ 0.001 M ⊙ prove interesting observationally. In all of our simulations, any kilonova signal would be dim and most likely dominated by post-merger disk outflows.

GW230529_181500↗

Thermocatalytic Heat Pipes for Geothermal Resource Recovery

Heat pipes are an important technology that allow orders of magnitude faster heat transfer than simple conduction. However, operating principles in heat pipes place fundamental bounds on their performance (critical heat flux and efficiency). Conventional heat pipe functionality is inherently tied to vaporization and condensation of the working fluid charged in the heat pipe. These fluids each have different operating temperature ranges based on the capillary, entrainment, sonic, and boiling limits of the heat pipe design. These limits, typically the capillary limit, dictate the maximum heat flux a heat pipe can carry, and most importantly for geothermal systems, the distance over which the pipes can operate (100 to 200 m maximum under optimum conditions). A thermocatalytic heat pipe breaks the inherent limitations of phase change thermo- and hydrodynamics and can transform heat pipe technology as a potentially more efficient means of extracting heat from a geothermal resource. The thermocatalytic heat pipe uses a working fluid to transport both sensible and chemical heat. An endothermic chemical reaction at depth removes heat from the reservoir and produces reactive intermediates, which are transported to the surface and used to run a reverse exothermic reaction that releases heat for use in power generation or other useful purposes. This technology offers two distinct advantages over conventional geothermal heat recovery technologies: (1) lower heat loss to the rock outside of the geothermal reservoir, and (2) higher heat transfer rates to the well field within the geothermal reservoir. Both advantages offer opportunity to reduce risks and lower costs of geothermal energy recovery. In this report, we discuss an initial effort to assess the efficacy and limitations of this technology for extracting heat from both porous/permeable and nominally impermeable geothermal reservoirs. Numerical simulation capabilities of the STOMP-GT code were enhanced to enable simulations of thermochemical heat pipes traversing geothermal reservoirs. An array of potential thermochemical reaction systems was evaluated and screened. Of these, an ethanol dehydration reaction was most promising in the vapor-liquid reaction set. A solid-phase dehydration reaction (CuSO4·5H2O) showed the highest reaction enthalpy per unit volume but would require development of a nonaqueous carrier fluid to implement it in a heat pipe. Subsurface reservoir simulations predicted long-term performance of the heat pipes for each geothermal reservoir type. The performance of U-shaped wells and coaxial wells was evaluated for a suite of reactions for both hydrothermal and hot dry rock reservoirs and was compared with a baseline case of simply pumping water through the wells. The heat pipe technology was additionally evaluated for an enhanced geothermal system (EGS) with an injection borehole, production borehole, and intervening hydraulically conductive fracture. All reservoir types showed significant improvement in heat recovered over a 20-year operating period ranging from a 1.8X increase for the hot dry rock case to more than 2.5X more energy recovered for the EGS case.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗