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At least 883 records · Page 49

A Time-Varying Model for Predicting Formaldehyde Emission Rates in Homes

Recent studies have succeeded in relating emissions of various volatile organic compounds to material mass diffusion transfer using detailed empirical characteristics of each of the individual emitting materials. While significant, the resulting models are often scenario specific and/or require a host of individual component parameters to estimate emission rates. This study developed an approach to estimate aggregated emissions rates based on a wide number of field measurements. We used a multi-parameter regression model based on previous mass transfer models to predict formaldehyde emission rate for a whole dwelling using field-measured, time-resolved formaldehyde concentrations, air exchange rates, and indoor environmental parameters in 63 California single-family houses built between 2011 and 2017. The resulting model provides time-varying formaldehyde emission rates, normalized by floor area, for each study home, assuming a well-mixed mass balance transport model of the home, and a well-mixed layer transport model of indoor surfaces. The surface layer model asserts an equilibrium concentration within the surface layer of the emitted materials that is a function of temperature and RH; the dwelling ventilation rate serves as a surrogate for indoor concentration. We also developed a more generic emission model that is suitable for broad prediction of emission for a population of buildings. This model is also based on measurements aggregated from 27 homes from the same study. We showed that errors in predicting household formaldehyde concentrations using this approach were substantially less than those using a traditional constant emission rate model, despite requiring less unique building information.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Stress observations and driving force models for the South American plate

A comparison of stress observations to predictions of driving force models for the South American plate is presented. Conditions for dynamical equilibrium are used to estimate the magnitudes of forces as a function of age, with ridge push and slab pull as active forces, and plate drag and slab resistance as passive forces. The results are consistent with earlier published models, and it is found that the primary balance for an oceanic plate is between slab pull and the resisting drag forces. The model is generalized for the possible forces driving the South American plate, and it is compared with observed stress measurements and kinematics. The plate balance is found to be largely between ridge push and plate drag. The magnitude of a possible trench suction force is estimated using a model with an eddy between the Nazca slab and the overlying South American plate.

Stefanick, Michael↗

A finite element analysis of the freeze/thaw behavior of external artery heat pipes

A two-dimensional finite element model was used to determine the freeze/thaw characteristics of an external artery heat pipe. During startup, the working fluid, which was located in the liquid channel and the circumferential wall grooves, experienced a phase transformation from a solid to a liquid state. The transient heat conduction equations with moving interfacial conditions were solved using the appropriate initial boundary conditions. The modelling results include the cross-sectional temperature distribution and the interfacial or melt front position as a function of time. A fixed grid approach was adopted in the model for the phase-change process during thawing of frozen working fluid. The interfacial position between the liquid and solid regions was found by balancing the latent heat caused by interfacial movement with the heat addition or extraction at the related grid points.

Lu, X. J.↗

Numerical Simulation of AFP Nip Point Temperature Prediction for Complex Geometries

Material placement at the ideal nip point temperature over complex surfaces with uniformity across the width of the compaction rollers results in optimized part properties for Automated Fiber Placement (AFP) processes. However, current AFP systems utilize heat control models and methodologies, based on multiple process parameters such as feed-rate and orientation, that are mostly open-loop. Here, infrared (IR) heater input is calibrated as a function of process parameters during machine qualification. This work presents a numerical simulation to predict arrayed-infrared (AIR) emitter radiation onto a substrate that includes view factor implementation, IR radiative heat flow calculation, energy rate balance, and a transient heat transfer model. The purpose of this numerical model is to predict nip point temperature on complex surfaces, serving as a baseline for a new arrayed-infrared (AIR) thermoset heater to improve AFP process control. It is anticipated that this simulation will accurately control the temperature for high-speed AFP layup of complex geometries. An anticipated result of an AIR heater system is that material calibration and testing will be reduced as temperature is instantaneously monitored and controlled. Therefore, temperature across the roller width will be uniform during placement of complex parts, independent of their geometry.

Xia, Kaishu↗

Stability margin analysis of the Holos-quad microreactor design

A simplified point model of the Holos-Quad microreactor is introduced. The model is based on the point kinetics equations coupled to three heat balance equations, representing the mean temperatures of the fuel particles, the graphite moderator and the helium coolant. The differential equations are converted to the frequency domain, enabling the construction of the closed-loop reactor transfer function. Using this function the stability margins of the core design is analyzed for various power levels. It is shown that the gain margins approaches infinity, demonstrating the stability of the reactor for all power levels. The phase margin at nominal power is about 60 degrees, however it shows a non-monotonous dependence on power, with minimal value obtained for about 10% of nominal power. As power level is further increased, the phase margin also increases, demonstrating the reactor becomes more stable. This behavior may be of high importance in load-follow scenarios, where the power level of the reactor changes with time. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Process-Based Balance-of-System Cost Modeling for Offshore Wind Power Plants in the United States: Preprint

This work describes the development of a process based and open source balance of system cost model which provides the capability to evaluate both existing and novel offshore wind technologies. Individual design and installation steps are represented with bottom-up engineering models that compute the times and costs associated with the process; furthermore, operational constraints are assigned to each process so that delays due to weather and presence of marine mammals may be accounted for in the overall project timeline. The model structure, assumptions, inputs, and results are vetted with industry partners and compared against actual projects for validation; installation times are shown to agree with real data with relative errors of less than 35\%. Case studies are presented to demonstrate the functionality of the model. First, individual vessel efficiencies are computed for varying numbers of installation vessels and weather time series to show the diminishing returns of more than two feeder barges. Then, array cable capital costs and installation times are determined for a representative project with different turbine sizes. This quantifies the cost benefit tradeoffs of decreasing number of turbines, increased turbine spacing, and fewer turbine terminations and shows a net cost savings. These results demonstrate that the BOS model features the accuracy, functionality, and accessibility to serve as the foundation for a wide range of analyses to identify cost reduction potentials for offshore wind energy in the United States.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Modularly Constructed Polyhedral Oligomeric Silsesquioxane-Based Giant Molecules for Unconventional Nanostructure Fabrication

Controlled assembly of nanoscale building blocks is a promising approach to obtain functional materials with unique properties. In this paper, we report a way to manipulate the supramolecular structures of giant molecules based on discotic triangle cores and isobutyl polyhedral oligomeric silsesquioxanes (BPOSS) nanoparticles (NPs). It is found that depending upon the number of BPOSS at the periphery of the discotic cores, the packing of these nanoscale components (discotic core and POSS) could be manipulated into either cylindrical or Frank–Kasper (F–K) A15 ($Pm\overline 3n$) phases. The formation of these supramolecular nanostructures is mandated by the balance between the stacking of the discotic cores and the steric hindrance effect of the BPOSS NPs. This strategy to manipulate the packing of nanoscale building blocks for different supramolecular nanostructures including the fabrication of cylindrical structures and A15 ($Pm\overline 3n$) phases may be extended to other nanoscale building blocks for future development of materials with complex structures as well as tailored functionalities and properties.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Robust Thermal Control of Propulsion Lines for Space Missions

In spacecraft that have propulsion lines that are located externally with open bus architecture, the lines are typically insulated by Multi Layer Insulation (MLI) blankets to protect them thermally from the cold space environment. In addition to heat loss through the insulation, mechanical supports used to attach the lines to the spacecraft structure also create heat leaks from the lines. These lines typically have very low thermal conduction in the axial direction, so the heat balance in the lines tends to be very local without much heat spreading. The typical allowable temperature range for hydrazine-based lines is +15/+50°C. This tight temperature range has to be maintained for every location on these lines. For typical spacecraft, these lines can be several meters long. Temperature control is typically achieved by closed loop monitoring of temperatures along the lines and the corresponding powering of the heaters in a bang-bang approach to maintain the temperatures within the dead band of the control loop. The temperatures of propulsion lines are a function of several parameters with heat loss characteristics of the MLI being the key one. Unfortunately, this same key characteristic (MLI effective emittance) has a large variation along its length due to its dependence on workmanship, which in turn leads to large uncertainties in the propulsion lines’ local temperatures. Because of the poor conduction along the axial direction, heat balance along the length varies dramatically from one location to the next, even few inches apart, depending on the combination of the controlling parameters. This paper describes various robust design and implementation approaches that have been investigated to greatly reduce the randomness associated with predicting the temperature of these propulsion lines.

Bhandari, Pradeep↗

The role of annealing and grain boundary controls on the mechanical properties of limestones and marbles

Chemical and mechanical processes are coupled in many geological and geochemical environments. Reactive processes anneal defects and restructure grain boundaries, modifying their elastic properties, levels of internal friction, wave propagation rates and fracture behaviors. The nature of these changes is, however, contingent on the initial state of the rock. Here, in this study, impulse excitation was used to measure changes in mechanical properties as a function of dry and steam heating time at 300 °C for three carbonate rocks: Carrara marble, Carthage marble (Burlington Limestone), and Texas Cream limestone (Edwards limestone), with initial porosities of about 1 %, 3 %, and 27 %, respectively. Frequency-dependent phenomena along with mineral recrystallization were observed. This was coupled with small-angle X-ray and neutron scattering analysis to determine the relationship between changes in bulk mechanical and microstructural properties. An observed decrease in both the Young's and shear moduli in the experimental limestones as a function of heating time reflects and quantifies a reduction in the stiffness of the rock due to annealing. The internal friction of the samples first increases then decreases with reaction time, reflecting defect annealing, but this was balanced against grain boundary dissolution apparently driven by condensation of steam in the confined grain-boundary environment. This suggests an increase in the boiling point under confinement leading to dissolution, increased porosity and widening of the grain boundaries. In addition, comparison of small-angle X-ray and neutron scattering results suggests that it is inappropriate to assume that pores are empty for quantitative analysis of typical small-angle scattering samples.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Learning broken symmetries with approximate invariance

Recognizing symmetries in data allows for significant boosts in neural network training, which is especially important where training data are limited. In many cases, however, the exact underlying symmetry is present only in an idealized dataset, and is broken in actual data, due to asymmetries in the detector, or varying response resolution as a function of particle momentum. Standard approaches, such as data augmentation or equivariant networks fail to represent the nature of the full, broken symmetry, effectively overconstraining the response of the neural network. We propose a learning model which balances the generality and asymptotic performance of unconstrained networks with the rapid learning of constrained networks. This is achieved through a dual-subnet structure, where one network is constrained by the symmetry and the other is not, along with a learned symmetry factor. In a simplified toy example that demonstrates violation of Lorentz invariance, our model learns as rapidly as symmetry constrained networks but escapes its performance limitations.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Exploring DAOS as a Burst Buffer for a 100 Gbps DAQ Real-Time Streaming System

We present an experimental evaluation of a burst buffer for a real-time DAQ streaming system designed to transmit instrument data to remote data centers. The system is based on EJ-FAT, a load balancing system capable of Nx 100Gbps streams, distributing data from event sources to processing nodes. We explore applying the DAOS system as a burst buffer to serve a number of purposes: improve resiliency, elasticity and add new functions into the processing pipeline. In the evaluation a sender transmits events over a 100Gbps network to a receiver integrated with DAOS to store the reassembled events using DAOS APIs. We evaluate the system for possible bottlenecks and provide end-to-end evaluation with a burst buffer using DAOS storage abstractions. We show that a receiver node can support 38.1 Gbps. This proves the viability of our approach and allows us to extend this work to investigate scale-out properties and new streaming optimizations.

Mei, Xinxin↗

Three-dimension heat transfer program

An IBM 7094, three dimensional, heat transfer program for satellite application is discussed. The program may be applied to all phases of spacecraft life, from launch to orbital quasi-steady state. Launch phase heating includes inputs by radiation from the hot fairing and free molecule flow heating after nose cone ejection. Orbital heat fluxes are accounted for by direct sunlight, earth-reflected sunlight, and earth-emitted input to the satellite. Internal heat exchange by conduction and radiation is determined, provided the appropriate conductances, radiation view factors, and effective emittances are known. A simplified analysis of an active thermal controlled spacecraft is incorporated into the program. One or more surfaces may contain shutter systems which have optical properties specified as a function of shutter opening. The program evaluates the feasibility of any configuration based upon maintaining an internal component within its tolerable temperature limits. The program employs a matrix inversion subroutine (Gauss Elimination Method) to solve the heat balance equations.

COMPUTER PROGRAM↗

Spacelab Life Sciences 1 and 2 scientific research objectives

The pressurized Spacelab module was designed and built to allow investigators to conduct research in space in an environment approximating that of a ground-based laboratory. It is configured to allow multiple investigations employing both human and nonhuman subjects. This flexability is exemplified by the SLS-1, SLS-2, and SLS-3 experiment complement. A total of 21 experiments are scheduled for these missions; the areas to be investigated are renal/endocrine function, cardiovascular/cardiopulmonary function, hematology, immunology, metabolic activity of muscle, Ca metabolism, the vestibular system, and general biology. A plan for integration of measurements will allow each investigator to use data from other experiments. The experiments make up a scientifically balanced payload that addresses fundamental biomedical problems associated with space flight and provides the first opportunity to study the acute effects of weightlessness in a comprehensive, interrelated fashion.

Leach, Carolyn S.↗

Mathematical Modeling of Loop Heat Pipes

The primary focus of this study is to model steady-state performance of a Loop Heat Pipe (LHP). The mathematical model is based on the steady-state energy balance equations at each component of the LHP. The heat exchange between each LHP component and the surrounding is taken into account. Both convection and radiation environments are modeled. The loop operating temperature is calculated as a function of the applied power at a given loop condition. Experimental validation of the model is attempted by using two different LHP designs. The mathematical model is tested at different sink temperatures and at different elevations of the loop. Tbc comparison of the calculations and experimental results showed very good agreement (within 3%). This method proved to be a useful tool in studying steady-state LHP performance characteristics.

Kaya, Tarik↗

Simple Statistical Model to Quantify Maximum Expected EMC in Spacecraft and Avionics Boxes

This study shows cumulative distribution function (CDF) comparisons of composite a fairing electromagnetic field data obtained by computational electromagnetic 3D full wave modeling and laboratory testing. Test and model data correlation is shown. In addition, this presentation shows application of the power balance and extention of this method to predict the variance and maximum exptected mean of the E-field data. This is valuable for large scale evaluations of transmission inside cavities.

Models↗

Combined Meteorological and Hydrologic Uncertainties Shape Projections of Future Soil Moisture in the Eastern United States

Physical hazards pose risks to many critical systems. Designing adaptive measures to mitigate these risks is challenging due to large uncertainties in modeling future hazards and the associated sectoral responses. Here, we help address this challenge in a hydrologic context by examining the combined role of meteorological forcing and hydrologic parameter uncertainties in shaping projections of future soil moisture. By encoding a simple conceptual water balance model in a differentiable programming framework, we facilitate fast runtimes and an efficient calibration, enabling an improved uncertainty analysis. We characterize uncertainty in model parameters by calibrating against different target data sets and by using several loss functions. We then convolve the resulting parameter ensemble with a set of Earth system model projections to produce a large ensemble (2,340 members) of daily soil moisture simulations. Focusing on the eastern United States, we find that most ensemble members project a drying of soils across the region, although some simulate wetter conditions throughout this century. Our ensemble shows an increase in the frequency and intensity of dry extremes while there is less agreement for wet extremes. We conduct sensitivity analyses on several soil moisture signatures to measure the relative influence of meteorological and hydrologic uncertainties across space and time. Both meteorological and hydrologic factors contribute consistently to uncertainty surrounding long-term trends, while changes to both wet and dry soil extremes are typically more sensitive to hydrologic parameter uncertainty. Our results underscore the need to account for varied sources of uncertainty when developing long-term hydrometeorological projections.

Lafferty, David C. [University of Illinois Urbana‐↗

Dark Energy Survey Year 3 results: Optimizing the lens sample in a combined galaxy clustering and galaxy-galaxy lensing analysis

We investigate potential gains in cosmological constraints from the combination of galaxy clustering and galaxy-galaxy lensing by optimizing the lens galaxy sample selection using information from Dark Energy Survey (DES) Year 3 data and assuming the DES Year 1 metacalibration sample for the sources. We explore easily reproducible selections based on magnitude cuts in i-band as a function of (photometric) redshift, zphot, and benchmark the potential gains against those using the well-established redMaGiC [E. Rozo et al., Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 461, 1431 (2016)MNRAA40035-871110.1093/mnras/stw1281] sample. We focus on the balance between density and photometric redshift accuracy, while marginalizing over a realistic set of cosmological and systematic parameters. Our optimal selection, the MagLim sample, satisfies i<4zphot+18 and has ∼30% wider redshift distributions but ∼3.5 times more galaxies than redMaGiC. Assuming a wCDM model (i.e. with a free parameter for the dark energy equation of state) and equivalent scale cuts to mitigate nonlinear effects, this leads to 40% increase in the figure of merit for the pair combinations of Ωm, w, and σ8, and gains of 16% in σ8, 10% in Ωm, and 12% in w. Similarly, in ΛCDM, we find an improvement of 19% and 27% on σ8 and Ωm, respectively. We also explore flux-limited samples with a flat magnitude cut finding that the optimal selection, i<22.2, has ∼7 times more galaxies and ∼20% wider redshift distributions compared to MagLim, but slightly worse constraints. We show that our results are robust with respect to the assumed galaxy bias and photometric redshift uncertainties with only moderate further gains from increased number of tomographic bins or the inclusion of bin cross-correlations, except in the case of the flux-limited sample, for which these gains are more significant.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗