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At least 883 records · Page 49

Development and Validation of Algorithms That Analyze Communicating Thermostat Data to Identify Enclosure Retrofit Opportunities

Annual energy savings of up to $\$ 4$ to $\$ 5$ billion could be achieved nationwide through basic insulation and heating system retrofits of existing homes. However, current utility energy efficiency programs are costly and challenging to scale. Customer acquisition occurs primarily through energy bill mailers, mass media, and online advertising that lack specificity about home-specific retrofit opportunities, expected energy savings, and cost-effectiveness. Specific retrofit opportunities are identified via on-site home energy assessments (HEAs) that are inconvenient to homeowners, expensive, and of variable accuracy. We developed computational algorithms that automatically analyze communicating thermostat (CT) heating data that could be used to increase the customer uptake of insulation and air sealing energy conservation measures (ECMs) by identifying homes with the most significant retrofit opportunities, estimating post-retrofit energy savings, and formulating home-specific outreach. The algorithms are based on an extended second-order grey-box model that characterizes a building’s thermal response using lumped elements, coupled with an empirical model of infiltration that accounts for both wind and stack effects. The basic parameters of the model correspond to actual physical parameters of the home, i.e., the home’s overall R-value of and the building envelope ACH50. Unlike the conventional approach, which estimates model parameters based on the best fit to the observed time-dependent room temperature, our approach derives correlations between the daily heating system runtime and temperature difference (indoor-outdoor) that are more robust to data quality issues in real-world applications. We also used HEA data for algorithm development and validation. With the help of our utility partners, Eversource and National Grid, we obtained data sets for hundreds of Massachusetts homes. For each home, these data sets included three sets of information anonymized by the utility: (1) CT data (HVAC runtime, room temperature, and, for some vendors, outdoor temperature and wind speed) collected by the CT vendor (one of three) over a heating season, (2) HEA report performed by the HEA vendor (same vendor for all homes), (3) Monthly utility gas bills coincident with the CT data (3 to 24 per home, depending on availability). For some homes, we also obtained blower-door test results. Initially, we applied the algorithms developed to homes with a single CT and then extended them to homes with two CTs by using an equivalent home approach. Finally, we developed algorithms for prediction of energy savings and a methodology of comparing our predictions with those generated by HEAs. The main technical results indicate that we can reliably identify homes with insulation and/or air sealing retrofit opportunities and provide accurate savings predictions. Our hypothesis is that the algorithms could be applied to utility energy efficiency programs to identify homes that could realize significant energy savings from insulation and/or air sealing retrofits. This information could then be used to reach out to those homes with highly customized outreach, thereby delivering increased program energy savings and cost-effectiveness. This would: Significantly increase the uptake rate of on-site HEAs, and Significantly increase the fraction of HEAs resulting in ECM implementation. To test these hypotheses, we designed and conducted a randomized controlled trial (RCT). The RCT results suggest that personal messaging leads to a two- to five-fold increase in the HEA uptake rate.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Cumulative χ 2 Metric for VALID for ENDF/B-VII.1 and ENDF/B-VIII.0 in SCALE 6.3b9 [Slides]

Quantifying the performance of a new evaluation is difficult and doing so for a new library is significantly more challenging. Cumulative χ 2 metric is an established approach to comparing distributions. In this case, C/E results from different libraries. Andrei Trkov and Roberto Capote have published cumulative χ 2 results for ENDF/B-VIII.0. Cumulative χ 2 metric was recently calculated for VALID library maintained at ORNL.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Thermal Neutron Scattering Research at ORNL – ENDF File Validation [Slides]

ENDF File Validation is a process developed to simulate VISION experiments. This method showed significant differences in inelastic spectra compared to experimental measurements. Differential data should be incorporated into thermal neutron scattering evaluation process to ensure accurate TSL files. The Polyethylene Discrepancy Issue has been found and corrected. The resulting ENDF manual change has been submitted and is currently under review.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Expanded Validation of Uranium Systems with the KENO Monte Carlo Codes and SCALE 6.2.4 [Slides]

There is likely a trend in bias for uranium-fueled systems as a function of spectrum, but probably not as a function of enrichment. Some enrichment trends appear, but are potentially the result of outlier experimental results; further investigation is needed where possible. There are good examples in this data of markedly different biases from different systems. Future work includes review and vetting for inclusion in the VALID library and analysis with TSUNAMI.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Nuclear Software Validation for 7% Enriched UO 2 Fuel Lattices

This analysis performs validation for the Virtual Environment for Reaction Application’s (VERA’s) neutronics codes MPACT and Shift against measured data from the Seven Percent Critical Experiment (7uPCX) at Sandia National Laboratory. The benchmarking supports the future application of VERA for analysis of high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) fuel in commercial pressurized water reactors (PWRs). VERA demonstrates very good agreement with measured data, and the deterministic code MPACT also agrees very well with higher-fidelity stochastic methods KENO-VI and Shift in both total neutron flux and fission rate distribution comparisons. Despite some significant differences between the 7uPCX and existing commercial PWRs that challenge the neutron cross section data and transport solver methods used by MPACT, all of the results are excellent. The agreement increases the confidence in the applicability and accuracy of VERA for reactor analysis of HALEU fuels in commercial reactors.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Building Model Calibration: Validation of GridLAB-D Thermal Dynamics Modeling

This report investigates how well GridLAB-D’s house model characterizes the thermal dynamics of buildings given the overpredicted diurnal electric load swing observed in the Distribution System Operation with Transactive (DSO+T) study. This study seeks to validate GridLAB-D’s house model by calibrating it to data from the well-instrumented Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Lab Homes in Richland, WA. The datasets chosen included multiple pre-cooling and pre-heating testing periods where the indoor air temperature was allowed to float over a multi-hour length of time to mimic diurnal behavior. The multi-season calibrations were evaluated by comparing the heating/cooling electric power, indoor air temperature, and the rise/decay time during temperature float periods with Lab Homes data. The default GridLAB-D assumptions for latent load fraction, air heat capacity, mass heat capacity, window-to-wall-ratio, overall envelope conductance (assumed as NORMAL thermal integrity level), and solar heat gain coefficient were compared with the calibrated model to confirm when the default assumptions were adequate and the impact of calibration on the accuracy of modeling the thermal dynamics of homes.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Which nuclear data can be validated with LLNL pulsed-sphere experiments? [Slides]

LLNL pulsed sphere are a very valuable experiment series to validate scattering and fission nuclear data. It would be great if they could be evaluated as benchmarks and make it into SINBAD! We see potential issues in ENDF/B-VIII.0 6 Li, 12 C, 16 O, 24- 26 Mg, 27 Al, 48 Ti, 56 Fe, and 208 Pb nuclear data. Good agreement is found with 1,2 H, 7 Li, 9 Be, 14 N, 235,238 U, and 239 Pu nuclear data.

16O and 12C Spheres↗

Continuous fiber malleable thermoset composites with sub-1-minute dwell times; validation of impact performance and evaluation of the efficacy of the compression forming process. CRADA Final Report

Mallinda is developing polyimine malleable thermoset prepreg composite materials which have excellent mechanical properties (100 GPa tensile modulus, 2 GPA tensile strength, 2.4% elongation at break) and high operating temperatures (Tg>200°C). At scale, polyimine resins are commensurate in price with commodity epoxy resins. What distinguishes malleable thermoset prepreg from traditional thermoset prepreg materials, is that they are fully cured during Mallinda’s roll-to-roll production of prepreg laminate. This results in 5 key value-differentiating benefits. First, it simplifies manufacturing logistics by enabling ambient transportation and storage, and by significantly extending out-life and shelf-life almost indefinitely. Second, elimination of autoclave curing reduces the economic and energy costs to the customer. Third, scrap rates can be reduced as malleable thermoset prepreg materials are directly reusable. Fourth, the manufacturing consolidation step can be roughly 10x faster than traditional thermosets, because the resin is already cured. Parts can be made via compression forming by the application of heat and pressure to quickly vitrify and consolidate a multilayer part – easily leading to sub 3-minute cycle times (at lab scale we have demonstrated a 20 second dwell time, with room for further optimization). Finally, the closed-loop cradle-to-cradle solution-based recyclability of malleable thermoset composites can also contribute significantly to the future of sustainable lightweight materials. The focus of this project was the development, optimization and validation of malleable thermoset composite materials which exhibit manufacturing cycle times of 3-minute or less, high speed impact performance on par with incumbent technologies, and defect-free consolidation of 3 dimensional parts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Updates and Validation for the n+ 63,65 Cu Cross Sections [Slides]

The RRR and URR parameters for 63,65 Cu have been optimized to transmission and capture data. Several data sets have been newly incorporated in this evaluation. The angular distribution parameters have been adopted from differential measurements, as was done in ENDF/B-V. The performance of this evaluation in the integral benchmark calculations is favorable, and the validation is ongoing.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Experiments for validation of TSL evaluations [Slides]

There is a recent revival of thermal scattering evaluation capabilities and there are many new evaluations available in ENDF-8.0 and elsewhere. This creates a need for experimental validation other than criticality benchmarks. Thermal scattering libraries (TSL) provide information to describe the double differential thermal scattering at different moderator temperatures. For moderators, the biggest effect of TSL is the thermal scattering cross section.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

SCALE 6.2.4: Validation Overview

SCALE is a multi-application code system with tools for reactor physics, criticality safety, radiation shielding, and spent fuel characterization for a range of nuclear systems. The last of the SCALE 6.2 series, version 6.2.4, was released in June 2020. Validation studies in nuclear criticality safety, reactor physics, and shielding applications were performed to confirm results, assess accuracy, and identify biases from SCALE simulations. Nuclear criticality safety applications yield small code biases for a wide range of systems, generally overestimating cross section uncertainty. Reactor physics applications improvements in nuclide inventory and full-core eigenvalue predictions, with similar performance in decay heat predictions. Radiation shielding applications yield sufficient agreement in comparisons to measurements and alternate simulations for eight shielding experiments.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

MCNP ® Code Version 6.3.0 Verification & Validation Testing

This report describes the verification and validation testing performed on MCNP ® code version 6.3.0. The purpose of this report is to act as a compendium of test suite descriptions and results. Accordingly the document is divided into two parts. Part I (this part) describes each test suite in the following sections. Part II provides the results of testing each suite and comparisons to experimental and/or alternative computational results, as appropriate.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Development & Validation of Low-Cost, Highly-Durable, Spinel-Based Materials for SOFC Cathode-Side Contact (Final Report)

A cathode-side contact layer is required to provide and maintain stable electrical conduction paths between the interconnect and cathode in a solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) stack assembly and thus minimize the ohmic resistance and stack power loss. Current cathode-interconnect contact materials are based on noble metals, electrically-conductive perovskites, their composite materials, etc. These materials are either too expensive or do not possess the overall balanced performance required for the cathode-side contact application. To achieve the DOE SOFC system cost and performance stability goals, a new generation of low-cost, high-performance contact materials needs to be developed. In this project, spinel-based materials thermally converted from the Fe-Ni and Co-Mn based alloy precursors were developed and validated for the cathode-side contact application. The precursor alloy compositions were optimized via a combination of composition screening in the (Ni,Fe) 3 O 4 and (Mn,Co) 3 O 4 spinel system, alloy design using physical metallurgy principles, and cost considerations. The alloy powders with the desired composition and particle size were manufactured via gas atomization. The optimal process parameters for thermal conversion of these alloy precursor layers to a spinel-based layer were identified, i.e., 900°C x 2h in air, which is close to the initial stack firing condition. The area-specific resistances (ASRs) of the interconnect/contact/cathode test assemblies with the developed contact layer were determined for various durations (up to 5000 h) under simulated cathodic operation conditions. Some of the alloy-derived spinel contacts exhibited the lowest ASR and ASR degradation rate. The in-stack performance of the most promising alloy-derived contact layer is currently being evaluated via stack testing. To reduce the stack cost, the Co-Mn based alloy powders were utilized as the precursor for synthesis of dense spinel-based interconnect coating. By optimizing both the initial powder size/distribution and the alloy powder composition, a dense (Mn,Co) 3 O 4 -based spinel coating was achieved. Furthermore, co-sintering of the coating/contact dual-layer structure under the initial stack firing condition was realized by utilizing the tailored Co-Mn alloy precursors. Cost analysis of the developed technology indicated a total stack cost reduction of around 10.6% with the implementation of co-sintering of the interconnect coating and the contact layer during initial stack firing. Since low-cost processes such as screen printing is utilized in the precursor application and no reduction heat treatment is needed for the coating formation, the developed technology can be readily implemented at the industrial partner’s manufacturing facilities with no additional capital investment needed.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Evaluation and Validation of the n+ 63,65 Cu Cross Sections [Slides]

This presentation discusses the objective of the research which is to update n+ 63,65 Cu cross section evaluations with recently measured data to resolve discrepancies in benchmark performance. It also discusses the models used which are the R -matrix analysis and the analysis of angular distribution coefficients. Additionally, the validation methods that were used are discussed, including the Rez shielding benchmark and the ICSBEP criticality benchmarks. In conclusion, he n+ 63,65 Cu cross sections have been updated via R-matrix analysis up to 100 keV. An increased average capture cross section and the adoption of experimentally based Legendre coefficients lead to improved performance in reactivity benchmarks. In the fast region, the adoption of the JENDL-4.0 cross sections above 4.0 MeV improves the performance in shielding benchmarks. Ultimately, the n 63,65 Cu ENDF files will be submitted to ENDF/B-VIII.1.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Verification and validation testing and tools: comparison between MCNP code versions and nuclear data libraries [Slides]

This presentation discusses the primary goal of software testing which is to test the code for correctness. It also discusses the results for individual suites and the role of validation and verification also referred to in the presentation as V&V. In summation, the V&V framework enables easy comparison between calculations performed with different code versions and/or nuclear data libraries. This entire framework will be distributed with the upcoming MCNP6.3 release. V&V test suites shown and several that were not (Criticality, LAQGSM, Lockwood) will be distributed in the new framework.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Horizontal Split Table Conceptual Design for Validation of Nuclear Data used in Advanced Reactors [Slides]

This presentation discusses a methodology that was developed to create conceptual designs of benchmark critical experiments for advanced reactors and nuclear data testing. A first concept that was explored was a pebble-bed high-temperature gas cooled reactor, based on the HTR-10 reactor. The very high correlation is a proof of concept that the design is similar to the application, and performing such critical experiments would help nuclear data testing and validation. Other concepts could be explored if needed, such as a molten-salt reactor, a sodium-cooled fast reactor, or heat pipe reactors/microreactor.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Development of a Gibbs Energy Minimiser for the MOOSE-based Corrosion Modelling App Yellowjacket and Validation of MSTDB

Nuclear materials are highly complex multiscale, multiphysics systems,and an effective prediction of nuclear reactor performance and safety requires simulation capabilities that tightly couple different physical phenomena. The Idaho National Laboratory’s Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) provides the computational foundation for performing such simulations. With the move towards advanced reactors, such as the Molten Salt Reactor (MSR), that employ high temperature fluids compared to conventional reactors, corrosion has become a problem of great interest. A new application called Yellowjacket is currently under development to directly couple thermodynamic equilibrium and kinetics with phase field models in order to model corrosion in MSRs. As part of Yellowjacket, a Gibbs energy minimiser is being developed to perform thermochemical equilibrium calculations for a range of different materials, which is currently in its infancy. This report describes the further progress towards the development of Yellowjacket Gibbs energy minimiser. Ontario Tech University is developing a new Gibbs energy minimiser for Yellowjacket which is the primary contribution of this work. The aim to develop a thermochemistry solver for the MOOSE framework following the same development philosophy and using the same tools and libraries. A special focus is on performance, documentation and SQA. Furthermore through a scope extension partway through the fiscal year a thorough assessment of the MSTDB-TC v1.3 was performed at Ontario Tech University in the context of continuous improvement and quality assurance. The objective of the work was to have an arm’s length review of the database to give confidence that the database is performing as it was intended while assessing its current state to give recommendations to future developments. This assessment involved two parts: A) a quantitative assessment, and B) a qualitative assessment. Part A involved developing an automated test-suite that would compute values from the database using Thermochimica with comparisons to experimental measurements for validation purposes, which gives confidence to the database’s stakeholders that its functioning properly. Part B involved reviewing all binary systems in the database and making a qualitative assessment with two performance indicators: comprehensiveness and overall confidence. It is important to note that the models in the database are empirical, which is to say that the quality of any model is highly dependent on the experimental data used to inform its development.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗