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At least 883 records · Page 49

Bathymetric Influences on Antarctic Ice-Shelf Melt Rates

Ocean bathymetry exerts a strong control on ice sheet-ocean interactions within Antarctic ice-shelf cavities, where it can limit the access of warm, dense water at depth to the underside of floating ice shelves. However, ocean bathymetry is challenging to measure within or close to ice-shelf cavities. It remains unclear how uncertainty in existing bathymetry datasets affect simulated sub-ice-shelf melt rates. In this work, we infer linear sensitivities of ice-shelf melt rates to bathymetric shape with grid-scale detail by means of the adjoint of an ocean general circulation model. Both idealized and realistic-geometry experiments of sub-ice-shelf cavities in West Antarctica reveal that bathymetry has a strong impact on melt in localized regions such as topographic obstacles to flow. Moreover, response of melt to bathymetric perturbation is found to be non-monotonic, with deepening leading to either increased or decreased melt depending on location. Our computational approach provides a comprehensive way of identifying regions, where refined knowledge of bathymetry is most impactful, and also where bathymetric errors have relatively little effect on modeled ice sheet-ocean interactions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Creep fronts and complexity in laboratory earthquake sequences illuminate delayed earthquake triggering

Earthquakes occur in clusters or sequences that arise from complex triggering mechanisms, but direct measurement of the slow subsurface slip responsible for delayed triggering is rarely possible. We investigate the origins of complexity and its relationship to heterogeneity using an experimental fault with two dominant seismic asperities. The fault is composed of quartz powder, a material common to natural faults, sandwiched between 760 mm long polymer blocks that deform the way 10 meters of rock would behave. We observe periodic repeating earthquakes that transition into aperiodic and complex sequences of fast and slow events. Neighboring earthquakes communicate via migrating slow slip, which resembles creep fronts observed in numerical simulations and on tectonic faults. Utilizing both local stress measurements and numerical simulations, we observe that the speed and strength of creep fronts are highly sensitive to fault stress levels left behind by previous earthquakes, and may serve as on-fault stress meters.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Characterization of a mock up nuclear waste package using energy resolved MeV neutron analysis

Reliable radiographic methods for characterizing nuclear waste packages non-destructively (without the need to open containers) have the potential to significantly contribute to safe handling and future disposal options, particularly for legacy waste of unknown content. Due to required shielding of waste containers and the need to characterize materials consisting of light elements, X-ray methods are not suitable. Here, energy-resolved MeV neutron radiography is demonstrated as a first-of-its-kind application for non-destructive and remote examination of mock up nuclear waste packages from a safe position using time-of-flight techniques enabled by a novel event-mode imaging detector system. Energy-resolved neutron transmission spectra were measured spatially, permitting the detection of analogue materials to actual nuclear waste such as water, melamine, and ion exchange resin within a 2.54 cm wall thickness steel pipe. The results demonstrate the capability to locate the materials through this wall thickness by radiography and tomographic reconstruction, revealing detailed 3D distributions and structural anomalies. The method effectively detects residual water in ion exchange resin, highlighting its sensitivity to moisture content, a crucial parameter for nuclear waste characterization. Monte Carlo simulations are in agreement with the experimental findings, providing a pathway to simulate waste forms more difficult to tackle experimentally. This work paves the way to apply sub-nanosecond intense MeV neutron sources, such as laser-driven neutron sources under development, to nuclear waste characterization.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Large bandgap observed on the surfaces of EuZn 2 As 2 single crystals

EuM 2 As 2 (M = Zn, Cd, In, Sn etc.) is an excellent material system for studying magnetism-tuned topological properties. However, discrepancies exist between experimental data and theoretical calculations regarding the bulk and surface bandgaps. In this work, cleaved EuZn 2 As 2 crystals are studied using scanning tunneling microscopy/spectroscopy and density functional theory calculations. Triangular-shaped defect-induced modifications in the local density of states help distinguish between Eu-terminated and AsZn-terminated surfaces. While large bandgaps (~1.5 eV at 77 K) are observed on both pristine surfaces, the bandgap size is found to be highly sensitive to local heterogeneity, tending to decrease. By combining experimental observations with theoretical simulations, we conclude that the reduced bandgap in heterogeneous regions arises from Zn vacancies and/or substitution by As atoms, both impacting greater in the Eu surface electronic properties than those in the AsZn surface. This demonstrates the intimate relationship between the electronic structure and magnetism in EuZn 2 As 2 .

interfaces↗

$t_1$-Noise eliminated dipolar heteronuclear multiple-quantum coherence solid-state NMR spectroscopy

Heteronuclear correlation (HETCOR) spectroscopy is one of the key tools in the arsenal of the solid-state NMR spectroscopist to probe chemical and spatial proximities between two different nuclei and enhance spectral resolution. Dipolar heteronuclear multiple-quantum coherence (D-HMQC) is a powerful technique that can be potentially utilized to obtain 1 H detected 2D HETCOR solid-state NMR spectra of any NMR active nucleus. A long-standing problem in 1 H detected D-HMQC solid-state NMR experiments is the presence of t 1 -noise which reduces sensitivity and impedes spectral interpretation. In this contribution, we describe novel pulse sequences, termed t 1 -noise eliminated (TONE) D-HMQC, that minimize t 1 -noise and can provide higher sensitivity and resolution than conventional D-HMQC. Monte-Carlo and numerical simulations confirm that t 1 -noise in conventional D-HMQC primarily occurs because random MAS frequency fluctuations cause variations in the NMR signal amplitude from scan to scan, leading to imperfect cancellation of uncorrelated signals by phase cycling. The TONE D-HMQC sequence uses 1 H π-pulses to refocus the evolution of 1 H CSA across each SR4 2 1 recoupling block, improving the stability of the pulse sequence to random MAS frequency fluctuations. The 1 H refocusing pulses also restore the orthogonality of in-phase and anti-phase magnetization for all crystallite orientations at the end of each recoupling block, enabling the use of 90° flip-back or LG spin-lock trim pulses to reduce the intensity of uncorrelated signals. We demonstrate the application of these methods to acquire 1 H detected 2D 1 H{ 35 Cl} and 1 H{ 13 C} HETCOR spectra of histidine·HCl·H 2 O with reduced t 1 -noise. To show generality, we also apply these methods to obtain 2D 1 H{ 17 O} spectra of 20%- 17 O fmoc-alanine and for the first time at natural abundance, 2D 1 H{ 25 Mg} HETCOR spectra of magnesium hydroxide. The TONE D-HMQC sequences are also used to probe 1 H– 25 Mg and 1 H– 27 Al proximities in Mg–Al layered double hydroxides and confirm the even mixing of Mg and Al in these materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Extended Lagrangian Born–Oppenheimer molecular dynamics using a Krylov subspace approximation

It is shown how the electronic equations of motion in extended Lagrangian Born–Oppenheimer molecular dynamics simulations can be integrated using low-rank approximations of the inverse Jacobian kernel. This kernel determines the metric tensor in the harmonic oscillator extension of the Lagrangian that drives the evolution of the electronic degrees of freedom. The proposed kernel approximation is derived from a pseudoinverse of a low-rank estimate of the Jacobian, which is expressed in terms of a generalized set of directional derivatives with directions that are given from a Krylov subspace approximation. The approach allows a tunable and adaptive approximation that can take advantage of efficient preconditioning techniques. The proposed kernel approximation for the integration of the electronic equations of motion makes it possible to apply extended Lagrangian first-principles molecular dynamics simulations to a broader range of problems, including reactive chemical systems with numerically sensitive and unsteady charge solutions. This can be achieved without requiring exact full calculations of the inverse Jacobian kernel in each time step or relying on iterative non-linear self-consistent field optimization of the electronic ground state prior to the force evaluations as in regular direct Born–Oppenheimer molecular dynamics. We note the low-rank approximation of the Jacobian is directly related to Broyden’s class of quasi-Newton algorithms and Jacobian-free Newton–Krylov methods and provides a complementary formulation for the solution of nonlinear systems of equations.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Scintillation light detection in polycrystalline diamond using single photon detectors

Here, this study investigates the scintillation properties of polycrystalline diamond for particle detection applications, particularly in neutron and alpha radiation environments. Polycrystalline diamonds provide a cost-effective alternative to monocrystalline diamonds while retaining essential detection properties. Photoluminescence measurements were performed to analyze emission spectra, revealing distinct characteristics based on impurity content and crystallinity. Scintillation responses were assessed using Silicon Photomultipliers (SiPMs), demonstrating the capability of polycrystalline diamond powders to respond to alpha irradiation, albeit with reduced resolution compared to traditional scintillators. A prototype neutron detector was developed by combining diamond powder with neutron-sensitive 6 LiF, and its performance was evaluated through experimental testing and Geant4 simulations. The findings indicate that polycrystalline diamond-based detectors can achieve significant detection efficiency while remaining insensitive to gamma radiation, offering potential for portable neutron detection applications.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Thermal acclimation of plant photosynthesis and autotrophic respiration in a northern peatland

Peatlands contain one-third of global soil carbon (C), but the responses of peatland ecosystems to long-term warming are not well understood. Here, we pursue an emergent understanding of warming effects on ecosystem C fluxes at peatlands by constraining a process-oriented model, the terrestrial ECOsystem model, with observational data from a long-term warming experiment at the Spruce and Peatland Responses Under Changing Environments site. Model-based assessments show that ecosystem-level photosynthesis and autotrophic respiration exhibited significant thermal acclimation, with temperature sensitivities being linearly decreased with warming. Using the thermal-acclimated parameter values, simulated gross primary production, net primary production, and plant autotrophic respiration (R a ), were all lower than those simulated with non-thermal acclimated parameter values. In contrast, ecosystem respiration simulated with thermal acclimated parameter values was higher than that simulated with non-thermal acclimated parameter values. Net ecosystem CO 2 exchange was much higher after constraining model parameters with observational data from the warming treatments, releasing C at a rate of 28.3 g C m -2 yr -1 °C -1 . Our data-model integration study suggests that peatlands are likely to release more C than previously estimated. Earth system models may overestimate C uptake by peatlands under warming if physiological thermal acclimation of plants is not incorporated. Thus, it is critical to consider the long-term physiological thermal acclimation of plants in the models to better predict global C dynamics under future climate and their feedback to climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Comparative Analysis of Capacitive Sensors with Different Geometrical layouts for Cable Insulation Degradation Detection

This paper presents a comparative analysis between an Interdigital Capacitor (IDC) sensor and a Serpentine Capacitive (SRC) sensor. The effects of electrode layouts on sensor performance are studied by means of finite element simulation where the geometrical dimensions (except electrode length) and material characteristics of both sensors are identical. Conformal IDC and SRC sensors with equal sensor area are modeled on a cable surface. The simulation results show a tradeoff between IDC and SRC sensors in terms of sensitivity and penetration depth. The SRC sensor shows 13.3% increase in sensitivity and 16.8% increase in capacitance compared to the IDC sensor, though the electric field penetration depth of the SRC sensor is 18.8% lower than the IDC sensor. In addition, the effects of change in electrode width, inter-electrode gap, and number of electrodes on SRC and IDC sensor comparative performance are evaluated.

Interdigital Capacitance, Serpentive Capacitive Se↗

Materials challenges for quantum technologies based on color centers in diamond

Emerging quantum technologies require precise control over quantum systems of increasing complexity. Defects in diamond, particularly the negatively charged nitrogen-vacancy center, are a promising platform with the potential to enable technologies ranging from ultra-sensitive nanoscale quantum sensors, to quantum repeaters for long distance quantum networks, to simulators of complex dynamical processes in many-body quantum systems, to scalable quantum computers. While these advances are due in large part to the distinct material properties of diamond, the uniqueness of this material also presents difficulties, and there is a growing need for novel materials science techniques for characterization, growth, defect control, and fabrication dedicated to realizing quantum applications with diamond. In this article we identify and discuss the major materials science challenges and opportunities associated with diamond quantum technologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Progress report on analytic and numerical studies of x-ray-induced impulse

In a variety of high-energy-density (HED) systems, x-rays of a given energy are used to generate shockwaves, bulk motion, and impulse in materials. As radiation energy is deposited within the material, the material is heated. The number of photons of a certain wavelength absorbed is determined by the spectral intensity of the radiation and the material’s opacity evaluated at that wavelength. This heating results in a pressure increase dictated by the material’s equation of state. Depending on the intensity of the absorbed radiation, it may also cause the material to change phase into a liquid, gas, or plasma. The increased pressure drives the heated surface layer to blow off, imparting impulse and sending a compressive wave into the bulk of the material. Additionally, the compression wave interacts with the solid boundary of the material, resulting in a tensile wave that may cause the material to spall. The impulse generated by the deposition of x-ray energy within the sample can be modeled using purely analytical methods, e.g. the Bethe, Bade, Averell, and Yost (BBAY) model. However, the blow-off process is rather complicated, and proper modeling efforts must account for material ejected by spallation, vaporization, jetting, and plasma ablation. For this reason, analytical models have an unclosed term describing the final energy of the blown-off material Ef(z). Prior modeling efforts have arbitrarily fixed this at some value or modeled it using a limiting set of thermodynamic assumptions. The work we are currently performing uses validated simulations using sophisticated photon transport, equation of state, and strength models/data to provide a fit for Ef(z) that is useful for predictive calculation of impulse. We will apply our methodology and show results for different materials and x-ray sources. This work is particularly useful for the design of experiments studying x-ray impulse generation. The present report is outlined as follows. Section 1.2 describes a series of HED experiments investigating x-ray-generated impulse in materials. Section 1.3 describes the computational approach we employ in this study, and presents validation results against the aforementioned experiments. Section 1.4 introduces analytical models for impulse generation, as well as our method for utilizing impulse from simulations to close the models. We discuss the concept of impulse-spectrum sensitivity, it’s application to uncertainty quantification, and derive a very useful analytical expression for it in 1.5. We then summarize recent progress in this project and discuss future work in section 1.6.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Evaluated 238 U(n,f) Average Prompt Fission Neutron Multiplicities Including the CGMF Model

This report documents an evaluation of the average prompt fission neutron multiplicity, $\overline{v}_p$, of 238 U from 800 keV to MeV. This evaluation had to be re-done from “scratch” as the input to previous $\overline{v}_p$ evaluations, specifically ENDF/B-VIII.0, was not found. That means that all available experimental data were re-analyzed and uncertainties were re-estimated. The new evaluated 238 U $\overline{v}_p$ based on only experimental data differs distinctly from ENDF/B-VIII.0 $\overline{v}_p$ from 2 to 4.5 MeV, and from 6 to 7 MeV, and is otherwise similar. The difference from 2 to 4.5 MeV stems from the fact that ENDF/B-VIII.0 was tweaked in this energy range to data of Frehaut, while two other, equally trustworthy, data sets would indicate an evaluated 238 U $\overline{v}_p$ that is up to 2% higher. Also, second chance fission in ENDF/B-VIII.0 was smoothed over from 6–7 MeV. Another major difference to ENDF/B-VIII.0 is that one of the evaluations presented here includes model information from the Hauser-Feshbach fission fragment decay code CGMF, while ENDF/B-VIII.0 is based purely on experimental data. CGMF links several fission quantities with each other; $\overline{v}_p$ is predicted by assumptions made on, e.g., pre-neutron emission yields as a function of mass, the total kinetic energy, or spin and parity of fission fragments. This allows to validate the new 238 U $\overline{v}_p$ by using CGMF parameters obtained from fitting to experimental 238 U $\overline{v}_p$ to predict yields as a function of mass, the average total kinetic energy, or the mean energy of the prompt fission neutron spectrum. These model-predicted values can then be compared to experimental and evaluated data. The model-predicted fission-observable values using evaluated parameters obtained here are reasonably close to experimental data for some observables, but are farther away from experimental data related to TKE observables. In addition to that, the evaluated 238 U(n,f) $\overline{v}_p$ shows similar deviations from ENDF/B-VIII.0 as for the evaluation with only experimental data. This difference is expected to lead to changes in simulated effective neutron multiplication factor, $k_{eff}$ of ICSBEP critical assemblies that are sensitive to 238 U in the fast range (BigTen, Flattop, Flattop-Pu). These changes in $k_{eff}$ need to be counter-balanced. Chi-Nu PFNS experimental data are expected to be released in the next few months that might lead to the needed changes in the PFNS. Until then, we hold off in benchmarking the new 238 U(n,f) $\overline{v}_p$ as well as submitting it to ENDF/B-VIII.1. Also, new high-precision 238 U $\overline{v}_p$ are expected to be measured by the CEA in the next two years that will shed further light on question on 238 U $\overline{v}_p$ from 2–4.5 and 6–7 MeV.

238U↗

Study of a Proposed fissionTPC Measurement of 233 U(n,f)/ 235 U(n,f) Cross Section Ratio

A review of the available 233 U( n, f )/ 235 U( n, f ) cross section ratio data compared to the ENDF evaluation in the fast neutron energy range, 0.1–20 MeV, shows that discrepancies exist between some of the various measurements and the evaluation. The discrepancies vary and a function of incident neutron energy and range between 1–5%. In this document we review two potential options for performing new measurements of the cross section ratio to potentially resolve these discrepancies. The two options are compared and contrasted in terms of measurement accuracy and cost. The first option would utilize the fissionTPC, which was designed specifically to achieve measurement uncertainties of better than 1% to resolve a similar data–evaluation discrepancy in the 239 Pu( n, f ) cross section. While this would seem to be an ideal option in this case also, there are challenges. The fissionTPC is a complex instrument and the cost of maintenance and operations are significant. Furthermore, some of the fissionTPC equipment is nearing the end of its useful life which presents a risk to completion of a measurement campaign. The second option is to use a dual-fission chamber, which is the more traditional approach to these types of measurements. The cost is estimated to be about half that of a fissionTPC measurement, while the much simpler design of the detector reduces overall risk. The trade-off is the measurement uncertainty, which would be on order of 1–3% with a careful measurement and analysis. This uncertainty however may not be good enough to fully resolve the discrepancies. The objective of a new measurement would be the improvement in the ENDF evaluation with the end goal of improving the accuracy of models and simulations at the end of the nuclear data pipeline. An understanding of the sensitivity of these models to the data uncertainties would help guide the choice of measurement techniques.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Sensitivity of Riparian Buffer Designs to Climate Change—Nutrient and Sediment Loading to Streams: A Case Study in the Albemarle-Pamlico River Basins (USA) Using HAWQS

Riparian buffer zones (RBZs) provide multiple benefits to watershed ecosystems. We aimed to conduct an extensive sensitivity analysis of the RBZ designs to climate change nutrient and sediment loadings to streams. We designed 135 simulation scenarios starting with the six baselines RBZs (grass, urban, two-zone forest, three-zone forest, wildlife, and naturalized) in three 12-digit Hydrologic Unit Code watersheds within the Albemarle-Pamlico river basin (USA). Using the hydrologic and water quality system (HAWQS), we assessed the sensitivity of the designs to five water quality indicator (WQI) parameters: dissolved oxygen (DO), total phosphorous (TP), total nitrogen (TN), sediment (SD), and biochemical oxygen demand (BD). To understand the climate mitigation potential of RBZs, we identified a subset of future climate change projection models of air temperature and precipitation using EPA’s Locating and Selecting Scenarios Online tool. Analyses revealed optimal RBZ designs for the three watersheds. In terms of watershed ecosystem services sustainability, the optimal Urban RBZ in contemporary climate (1983–2018) reduced SD from 61–96%, TN from 34–55%, TP from 9–48%, and BD from 53–99%, and raised DO from 4–10% with respect to No-RBZ in the three watersheds. The late century’s (2070–2099) extreme mean annual climate changes significantly increased the projected SD and BD; however, the addition of urban RBZs was projected to offset the climate change reducing SD from 28–94% and BD from 69–93% in the watersheds. All other types of RBZs are also projected to fully mitigate the climate change impacts on WQI parameters except three-zone RBZ.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

FATES crown damage simulation outputs 2022

This dataset contains outputs from the Functionally Assembled Terrestrial Ecosystem Simulator (FATES) and accompanies the paper "Needham, J.F., Arellano, A., Davies, S.J., Fisher, R.A., Hammer, V., Knox, R., Mitre, D., Muller-Landau, H.C., Zuleta, D., Koven, C.D. Tree crown damage and its effects on forest carbon cycling in a tropical forest, 2022, Global Change Biology". Data are unprocessed netcdf file outputs from simulations that were run to test the effect of a new crown damage module in FATES. Specifically, this data package contains a sensitivity analysis to the carbon cushion parameter damage_Ccushion_ensemble_e1b5bd9_bf013ef_2021-09-02.h0.ensemble.sofar.nc, a sensitivity analysis to the root nitrogen stoichiometry parameter damage_Nstoich_ensemble_e1b5bd9_bf013ef_2021-09-02.h0.ensemble.sofar.nc, a sensitivity analysis to parameters controlling crown damage and recovery damage_recovery_ensemble_e1b5bd9_354f0b0_2021-09-02.h0.ensemble.sofar.nc, and a sensitivity analysis to the number of crown damage bins elm_fates_bci_*_damagebins.Eac53ccb80b-F8f994c29.2022-04-19.elm.h0.fullrun.nc. This data package also contains a high root nitrogen configuration of FATES, including both a control, and a crown damage simulation high_root_N_control_e1b5bd9_354f0b0_2021-09-02.clm2.h0.fullrun.nc and high_root_N_damage_e1b5bd9_354f0b0_2021-09-02.clm2.h0.fullrun.nc. There is an analogous low root nitrogen configuration of FATES, including a control, low_root_N_control_e1b5bd9_bf013ef_2021-09-02.clm2.h0.fullrun.nc a damage only simulation low_root_N_damageonly_e1b5bd9_bf013ef_2021-09-02.clm2.h0.fullrun.nc, a damage plus mortality simulation low_root_N_damage_mort_e1b5bd9_bf013ef_2021-09-02.clm2.h0.fullrun.nc, and a mortality only simulation low_root_N_mort_only_e1b5bd9_ef845c8_2021-09-02.clm2.h0.fullrun.nc. Finally, there is a two PFT simulation in which we test the effect of recovery on competitive dynamics, low_root_N_damage_two_pfts_stoichastic_e1b5bd9_bf013ef_2021-09-10.clm2.h0.fullrun.nc. These simulations test the effect of representing crown damage in FATES, compared with simulations that have an equivalent increase in mortality. Jupyter notebooks to analyse these files can be found at https://github.com/JessicaNeedham/Needham_etal_GCB_2022_FATES_crown_damage.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Core-collapse Supernova Sensitivity Machine (Final Technical Report)

Core-collapse supernovae are vital phenomena for understanding the extreme physics of stellar evolution, nuclear interactions, and the origins of elements in the universe. This project developed high-resolution 3D simulations and innovative 1D turbulence models to study the explosion mechanisms, yielding critical insights into the role of turbulence, magnetohydrodynamics, and neutrino physics. The outcomes include enhanced sensitivity analyses connecting nuclear physics inputs to observable supernovae characteristics, tools for the broader research community, and substantial contributions to the training of future scientists.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Simulated wind speed and initial conditions over the WFIP2 region: Cold-front (D01)

The purpose of this work is to assess the sensitivity of the forecast for turbine height wind speed to initial condition (IC) uncertainties over the Columbia River Gorge and Columbia River Basin for two typical weather phenomena: a local thermal gradient induced by a marine air intrusion and passage of a cold front. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model data assimilation system (WRFDA) was used to generate ensemble ICs from the North American Regional Analysis (NARR) for the WRF model initialization. The simulated turbine-height wind speeds were categorized into four types using the self-organizing map (SOM) technique. This work advances understanding of IC uncertainties impacts on wind speed forecasts and locates the high-impact regions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Simulated wind speed and initial conditions over the WFIP2 region: Cold-front (D02)

The purpose of this work is to assess the sensitivity of the forecast for turbine height wind speed to initial condition (IC) uncertainties over the Columbia River Gorge and Columbia River Basin for two typical weather phenomena: a local thermal gradient induced by a marine air intrusion and passage of a cold front. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model data assimilation system (WRFDA) was used to generate ensemble ICs from the North American Regional Analysis (NARR) for the WRF model initialization. The simulated turbine-height wind speeds were categorized into four types using the self-organizing map (SOM) technique. This work advances understanding of IC uncertainties impacts on wind speed forecasts and locates the high-impact regions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗