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At least 883 records · Page 49

Perovskite Grown in Gallium Nitride Nanowire Matrix for Stable and High‐Efficiency X‐Ray Detection

High-quality quasi-2D perovskites in a GaN nano-wire matrix are grown to build a 3D hetero-structure for high-performance X-ray sensing. In the 3D hetero-structure, GaN nano-wire matrix serves as an n-type charge collector that can rapidly extract carriers through the bulk film of the perovskite layer. Together with a p-type top electrode, a p–i–n diode with the 3D hetero-structure is built, that exhibits a rectified current–voltage characteristic. After analyzing the interface energy alignment, it is found that the fermi levels of the perovskite and GaN are aligned in the dark, and a quasi-fermi level splits upon illumination, introducing a built-in electrical field at the interface. As a result, strong photo-induced current is observed from the diode without an external field. Finally, the 3D diode for X-ray detection demonstration is used, revealing a sensitivity of 308.9 µC Gy air -1 cm -2 at an exceptionally low applied field of 0.125 V µm -1 . The X-ray-induced signal from the 3D diode is stable after 155 cycles of X-ray irradiation under a constant electric field. This demonstration informs a new 3D architecture for high-performance X-ray sensing, and it shows that GaN is a robust n-type interface for perovskite optoelectronic devices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Engineering Overview of a Multidisciplinary HSCT Design Framework Using Medium-Fidelity Analysis Codes

An objective of the HPCC Program at NASA Langley has been to promote the use of advanced computing techniques to more rapidly solve the problem of multidisciplinary optimization of a supersonic transport configuration. As a result, a software system has been designed and is being implemented to integrate a set of existing discipline analysis codes, some of them CPU-intensive, into a distributed computational framework for the design of a High Speed Civil Transport (HSCT) configuration. The proposed paper will describe the engineering aspects of integrating these analysis codes and additional interface codes into an automated design system. The objective of the design problem is to optimize the aircraft weight for given mission conditions, range, and payload requirements, subject to aerodynamic, structural, and performance constraints. The design variables include both thicknesses of structural elements and geometric parameters that define the external aircraft shape. An optimization model has been adopted that uses the multidisciplinary analysis results and the derivatives of the solution with respect to the design variables to formulate a linearized model that provides input to the CONMIN optimization code, which outputs new values for the design variables. The analysis process begins by deriving the updated geometries and grids from the baseline geometries and grids using the new values for the design variables. This free-form deformation approach provides internal FEM (finite element method) grids that are consistent with aerodynamic surface grids. The next step involves using the derived FEM and section properties in a weights process to calculate detailed weights and the center of gravity location for specified flight conditions. The weights process computes the as-built weight, weight distribution, and weight sensitivities for given aircraft configurations at various mass cases. Currently, two mass cases are considered: cruise and gross take-off weight (GTOW). Weights information is obtained from correlations of data from three sources: 1) as-built initial structural and non-structural weights from an existing database, 2) theoretical FEM structural weights and sensitivities from Genesis, and 3) empirical as-built weight increments, non-structural weights, and weight sensitivities from FLOPS. For the aeroelastic analysis, a variable-fidelity aerodynamic analysis has been adopted. This approach uses infrequent CPU-intensive non-linear CFD to calculate a non-linear correction relative to a linear aero calculation for the same aerodynamic surface at an angle of attack that results in the same configuration lift. For efficiency, this nonlinear correction is applied after each subsequent linear aero solution during the iterations between the aerodynamic and structural analyses. Convergence is achieved when the vehicle shape being used for the aerodynamic calculations is consistent with the structural deformations caused by the aerodynamic loads. To make the structural analyses more efficient, a linearized structural deformation model has been adopted, in which a single stiffness matrix can be used to solve for the deformations under all the load conditions. Using the converged aerodynamic loads, a final set of structural analyses are performed to determine the stress distributions and the buckling conditions for constraint calculation. Performance constraints are obtained by running FLOPS using drag polars that are computed using results from non-linear corrections to the linear aero code plus several codes to provide drag increments due to skin friction, wave drag, and other miscellaneous drag contributions. The status of the integration effort will be presented in the proposed paper, and results will be provided that illustrate the degree of accuracy in the linearizations that have been employed.

Weston, R. P.↗

Micrometer to Atomic Scale Characterisation of Primitive Astromaterials Using A Novel Method, Metis-Fa: A Coordinated Atom Probe Tomography, Transmission Electron Microscopy and NanoSIMS Approach

Introduction: Presolar grains preserve isotopic, chemical and microstructural records of physical and chemical processing, and formation mechanisms within a vast range of evolved stellar systems, the interstellar medium, solar nebula and their parent bodies. These evolutionary records are preserved at the micrometric to atomic scale, requiring coordinated studies to expand our understanding of evolutionary processes occurringthroughout ours and external stellar systems [1]. NanoSIMS enabled rapid in situ identification and isotopic characterisation of presolar grains and their stellar origins using 17O/16O and 18O/16O, and 13C/12C isotopic ratios [1]. Coordination with transmission electron microscopy (TEM) revealed crystallographic and localised contextual relationships and quantitively constrained their major and minor compositions [1]. However, trace elements cannot be quantified, the most sensitive geochemical tracers of environmental conditions, essential to unravelling the chemical record of their evolutionary pathway and parent stellar systems [2-3] . Furthermore, owing to the combination of technical limitations (only 5 – 7 isotopes can be measured per NanoSIMS run) and their small grain sizes of 100 nm < 3 μm (with rare exceptions in nanodiamonds (2 nm ≤) and SiC (< 40 μm)), the number of measurable isotopes per grain volume is limited [1,3] . Through more comprehensive isotopic studies of presolar grains, NanoSIMS studies have shown the importance of the latter, identifying Fe and Mg as important indicators of nuclear synthetic processing and their stellar origins, respectively [4- 5]. Coordination of NanoSIMS and Atom Probe Tomography (APT) revealed morphological signatures, and isotopic and chemical signatures at major to trace levels without requirements for preselection of elements [6]. However, crystallographic signatures in localized contextual relationships cannot be measured. Consequently, coordination of NanoSIMS, TEM and APT is essential to gain access to almost all contextual, structural and geochemical signatures within each presolar grain.Transmission electron microscopy requires a 100 nm thin lamella which is unstable in APT and would not produce any viable data. Atom probe tomography requires a needle-shaped specimen which when measured in TEM removes the local context, impacts the quality of the TEM diffraction images due to the shank angle of the needle, and can alter the chemistry of beam sensitive materials from the higher degree of surface exposure at the tip. To address these issues, we developed METIS-Fa (Multi-technical measurements of Electron Transparent materials using an Indium Sandwich - a FIB approach). A novel method which enables coordination of NanoSIMS, TEM and APT for generalized and targeted studies of individual grains, including beam sensitive materials, without compromising sample preparation requirements for TEM and APT. This method requires only indium and a Focus Ion Beam (FIB), minimizing the movement of fragile materials while still enabling preparation of TEM lamella into APT needles. Samples: Initial experimental development and testing of the method occurred at Astromaterials Research and Exploration Science (ARES), Johnson Space Centre (JSC), NASA and APT measurements and needle preparation occurred at JdLC, Curtin University. Synthetic silicate samples were used as analogs for presolar silicates when performing a trial run of the method. Samples were extracted from a polished thin section created at JSC, NASA, comprised of 38 wt.% Si, 17 wt.% FeO, 13 wt.% MgO, 12 wt.% Al, 11 wt.% Ca based on electron microprobe analysis (EMPA) [8] . Experimental details, pressure and temperature conditions were presented in [8] and references therein. Testing of the capability to target individual grains in mineral matrices using this method for acquisition in APT, measured matrix regions in meteoritic thin sections of primitive meteorites. These meteorites and their identified presolar grains for future targeted studies are detailed in [9]. Techniques: The TEM-FIB lamella were prepared using a FIB. An e-beam assisted pt deposition was used as a protective coating for the synthetic and meteoritic samples. When targeting individual grains, a secondary e-beam assisted pt deposition button is placed over the desired grain before the protective coating to denote its location. A JEOL 2500SE field-emission TEM was used for high-resolution imaging, energy-dispersive X-ray (EDX) and electron diffraction data.TheMETIS-Fa method was experimentally designed, tested and executed using a FIB at ARES, JSCNASA. Needles for APT were prepared using the Tescan Lyra3 GM Dual Beam Focus Ion Beam (FIB) Field Emission SEM (FE-SEM) at the JdLC, Curtin University. Atom probe tomography measurements were conducted using a CAMECA Local Electrode Atom Probe, LEAP 4000X HR. Two pure indium needles were analyzed initially to constraining acquisition parameters and stability under the beam. Manual acquisition was required to maintain evaporation of specimen’s at the apex and monitor interactions with measurement parameters. Experimental Design: Indium foil is pressed onto an Al stub with a pneumatic press and mounted into the FIB adjacent to the TEM-FIB lamella of interest. Using a FIB, two indium slices (5 μm x ~300 nm x 3 μm) are extracted from indium foil and aligned with the TEM-FIB lamella before touching the TEM-FIB lamella. Each slice is then attached through cold welding to the FIB-TEM lamella. This approach eliminates the need for chemical treatments and proved effective for aligning the Indium within the region of interest for APT, holding it in place for up to 4 days during testing.Once both indium slices are attached within their pre-determined region per grain targeting requirements, they are gradually melted onto the FIB-TEM lamella.When targeting a specific grain, measurements should be taken of the pt button and its distance from edge to edge of the lamella before and after sandwiching. A secondary button should be placed over the same region after the Indium slices have been attached to improve precision when preparing APT needles. Results: Figure 1 shows two indium slices melted onto a FIB-TEM lamella, adding additional bulk for preparation into APT needles as shown in Figure 2 [7] . The latter was essential so samples could be measured in TEM and APT without compromising sample preparation requirements and consequently data quality and acquisition stability. METIS-Fa proved effective forimproving geometry. Figure 3 shows a successful APTrun of the synthetic silicate. EMPA, TEM and APTshowed no chemical alterations. During targetingtesting, a solar silicate grain was successfully identifiedand measured in TEM, and prepared into an APTneedle. However, the indium was melted too long during sample preparation, causing expansion andformation of internal porosity leading to sample loss.Conclusion: METIS-Fa greatly expands the number of isotopic and chemical signatures measured per grain volume, and enables measurements of contextual, structural, crystallographic, isotopic and geochemical signatures within individual grains. Gaining access to such a vast range of evolutionary signatures required for expanding our understanding of external stellar and planetary systems and the evolution of our solar system. This method was designed for application to a vast range of phases including being sensitive materials and thus provides a way for coordination of NanoSIMS, TEM and APT not just for the study of presolar grains and by extension primitive astromaterials, but studies in a vast range of other fields including the geosciences and material sciences.Acknowledgments: Thankyou to ARES, JSC, NASA; JdLC Curtin University and Space Science Technology Centre for the use of laboratory facilities and funding [confirm].

Nicole D Nevill↗

SO(3)-invariance of informed-graph-based deep neural network for anisotropic elastoplastic materials

This work examines the frame-invariance (and the lack thereof) exhibited in simulated anisotropic elasto-plastic responses generated from supervised machine learning of classical multi-layer and informed-graph-based neural networks, and proposes different remedies to fix this drawback. The inherent hierarchical relations among physical quantities and state variables in an elasto-plasticity model are first represented as informed, directed graphs, where three variations of the graph are tested. While feed-forward neural networks are used to train path-independent constitutive relations (e.g., elasticity), recurrent neural networks are used to replicate responses that depends on the deformation history, i.e. or path dependent. In dealing with the objectivity deficiency, we use the spectral form to represent tensors and, subsequently, three metrics, the Euclidean distance between the Euler Angles, the distance from the identity matrix, and geodesic on the unit sphere in Lie algebra, can be employed to constitute objective functions for the supervised machine learning. In this, the aim is to minimize the measured distance between the true and the predicted 3D rotation entities. Following this, we conduct numerical experiments on how these metrics, which are theoretically equivalent, may lead to differences in the efficiency of the supervised machine learning as well as the accuracy and robustness of the resultant models. Neural network models trained with tensors represented in component form for a given Cartesian coordinate system are used as a benchmark. Our numerical tests show that, even given the same amount of information and data, the quality of the anisotropic elasto-plasticity model is highly sensitive to the way tensors are represented and measured. The results reveal that using a loss function based on geodesic on the unit sphere in Lie algebra together with an informed, directed graph yield significantly more accurate rotation prediction than the other tested approaches.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Spectroscopic signatures of next-nearest-neighbor hopping in the charge and spin dynamics of doped one-dimensional antiferromagnets

In this work, we study the impact of next-nearest-neighbor (nnn) hopping on the low-energy collective excitations of strongly correlated doped antiferromagnetic cuprate spin chains. Specifically, we use exact diagonalization and the density matrix renormalization group method to study the single-particle spectral function, the dynamical spin and charge structure factors, and the Cu L-edge resonant inelastic x-ray scattering (RIXS) intensity of the doped t-t'-J model for a set of t' values. We find evidence for the breakdown of spin-charge separation as |t'| increases and identify its fingerprints in the dynamical response functions. The inclusion of nnn hopping couples the spinon and holon excitations, resulting in the formation of a spin-polaron, where a ferromagnetic spin polarization cloud dresses the doped carrier. The spin-polaron manifests itself as additional spectral weight in the dynamical correlation functions, which appear simultaneously in the spin- and charge-sensitive channels. We also demonstrate that RIXS can provide a unique view of the spin-polaron, due to its sensitivity to both the spin and charge degrees of freedom.

1D spin chains↗

Effects of noise on the overparametrization of quantum neural networks

Overparametrization is one of the most surprising and notorious phenomena in machine learning. Recently, there have been several efforts to study if, and how, quantum neural networks (QNNs) acting in the absence of hardware noise can be overparametrized. In particular, it has been proposed that a QNN can be defined as overparametrized if it has enough parameters to explore all available directions in state space. That is, if the rank of the quantum Fisher information matrix (QFIM) for the QNN's output state is saturated. Here, we explore how the presence of noise affects the overparametrization phenomenon. Our results show that noise can “turn on” previously zero eigenvalues of the QFIM. This enables the parametrized state to explore directions that were otherwise inaccessible, thus potentially turning an overparametrized QNN into an underparametrized one. For small noise levels, the QNN is quasioverparametrized, as large eigenvalues coexists with small ones. Then, we prove that as the magnitude of noise increases all the eigenvalues of the QFIM become exponentially suppressed, indicating that the state becomes insensitive to any change in the parameters. As such, there is a pull-and-tug effect where noise can enable new directions but also suppress the sensitivity to parameter updates. Finally, our results imply that current QNN capacity measures are ill-defined when hardware noise is present. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Observations of ozone, acyl peroxy nitrates, and their precursors during summer 2019 at Carlsbad Caverns National Park, New Mexico

Carlsbad Caverns National Park (CAVE) is located in southeastern New Mexico and is adjacent to the Permian Basin, one of the most productive oil and natural gas (O&G) production regions in the United States. Since 2018, ozone (O 3 ) at CAVE has frequently exceeded the 70 ppbv 8-hour National Ambient Air Quality Standard. We examine the influence of regional emissions on O 3 formation using observations of O 3 , nitrogen oxides (NO x = NO + NO 2 ), a suite of volatile organic compounds (VOCs), peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN), and peroxypropionyl nitrate (PPN). Elevated O 3 and its precursors are observed when the wind is from the southeast, the direction of the Permian Basin. We identify 13 days during the July 25 to September 5, 2019 study period when the maximum daily 8-hour average (MDA8) O 3 exceeded 65 ppbv; MDA8 O 3 exceeded 70 ppbv on 5 of these days. The results of a positive matrix factorization (PMF) analysis are used to identify and attribute source contributions of VOCs and NO x . On days when the winds are from the southeast, there are larger contributions from factors associated with primary O&G emissions; and, on high O 3 days, there is more contribution from factors associated with secondary photochemical processing of O&G emissions. The observed ratio of VOCs to NO x is consistently high throughout the study period, consistent with NO x -limited O 3 production. Finally, all high O 3 days coincide with elevated acyl peroxy nitrate abundances with PPN to PAN ratios > 0.15 ppbv ppbv -1 indicating that anthropogenic VOC precursors, and often alkanes specifically, dominate the photochemistry. Implications: The results above strongly indicate NO x -sensitive photochemistry at Carlsbad Caverns National Park indicating that reductions in NO x emissions should drive reductions in O 3 . However, the NO x -sensitivity is largely driven by emissions of NO x into a VOC-rich environment, and a high PPN:PAN ratio and its relationship to O 3 indicate substantial influence from alkanes in the regional photochemistry. Thus, simultaneous reductions in emissions of NO x and non-methane VOCs from the oil and gas sector should be considered for reducing O 3 at Carlsbad Caverns National Park. Reductions in non-methane VOCs will have the added benefit of reducing formation of other secondary pollutants and air toxics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Timepix4 analog front-end design: Lessons learnt on fundamental limits to noise and time resolution in highly segmented hybrid pixel detectors

This manuscript describes the optimization of the front-end readout electronics for high granularity hybrid pixel detectors. The theoretical study aims at minimizing the noise and jitter. The model presented here is validated with both circuit post layout simulations and measurements on the Timepix4 Application Specific Integrated Circuit (ASIC). The analog front-end circuit and the procedure to optimize the dimensions of the main transistors are described with detail. The Timepix4 is the most recent ASIC designed in the framework of the Medipix4 Collaboration. It was manufactured in 65nm CMOS process, and consists of a four side buttable matrix of 448 × 512 pixels with 55µm pitch. The analog front-end has a gain of ~36mV/ke - when configured in High Gain Mode, and ~20mV/ke - when configured in Low Gain Mode. The Equivalent Noise Charge (ENC) is ~68e - rms and ~80e - rms in High Gain Mode and in Low Gain Mode respectively. In event driven mode the incoming hits can be time stamped within a ~ 200ps time bin and the chip can deal with a maximum flux of ~ 3.6MHzmm –2 s –1 . In photon counting mode, the chip can deal with up to ~ 5GHzmm –2 s –1 . The routine designed to optimize the Timepix4 front-end is then used to analyze the performance limits in terms of jitter and noise for Charge Sensitive Amplifiers in pixel detectors.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Prediction of curing kinetics of resorcinol‐added resole phenolic resins using differential scanning calorimetry for the fabrication of carbon/carbon composites

Phenolic resins are commonly used as carbon precursors for the fabrication of carbon/carbon composites due to their high carbon yield and aromatic nature. To decrease curing times, acid catalysts are generally used, but the addition of resorcinol was found to have a similar effect while being incorporated into the resin matrix with no contamination or corrosion issues. In this work, the curing kinetics of pure, 10, 20, and 30 wt% resorcinol-added phenolic resins were investigated through differential scanning calorimetry. Heating rates of 0.5, 1, 2.5, and 5°C min -1 were used with several curing models to predict isothermal curing. Averaged mean absolute error (MAE) for the isoconversional mathematical approaches namely Kissinger–Akahira–Sunose (MAE = 12.9 min), Flynn–Wall–Ozawa (15.8 min), and Vyazovkin (14 min) show that these methods provide the best predictions, attributed to their adoption of an activation energy that depends on the extent of cure (E a (α)). The Kissinger method (MAE = 36 min), which depends only on peak temperature with a constant activation energy assumption, and the data noise sensitive Friedman model (MAE = 1144.7 min) provide the least accurate results. Thermogravimetric analysis revealed that resorcinol decreases the curing times by up to 71% without lowering carbon yield.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ionizing radiation effects in SONOS-based neuromorphic inference accelerators

Here, we evaluate the sensitivity of neuromorphic inference accelerators based on Silicon-Oxide-Nitride-Oxide-Silicon (SONOS) charge trap memory arrays to total ionizing dose (TID) effects. Data retention statistics were collected for 16 Mbit of 40 nm SONOS digital memory exposed to ionizing radiation from a Co-60 source, showing good retention of the bits up to the maximum dose of 500 krad(Si). Using this data, we formulate a rate-equation-based model for the TID response of trapped charge carriers in the ONO stack, and predict the effect of TID on intermediate device states between ‘program’ and ‘erase’. This model is then used to simulate arrays of low-power, analog SONOS devices that store 8-bit neural network weights and support in situ matrix-vector multiplication. We evaluate the accuracy of the irradiated SONOS-based inference accelerator on two image recognition tasks – CIFAR-10 and the challenging ImageNet dataset – using state-of-the-art convolutional neural networks, such as ResNet-50. We find that across the datasets and neural networks evaluated, the accelerator tolerates a maximum TID between 10 krad(Si) and 100 krad(Si), with deeper networks being more susceptible to accuracy losses due to TID.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Digital halftoning methods for selectively partitioning error into achromatic and chromatic channels

A method is described for reducing the visibility of artifacts arising in the display of quantized color images on CRT displays. The method is based on the differential spatial sensitivity of the human visual system to chromatic and achromatic modulations. Because the visual system has the highest spatial and temporal acuity for the luminance component of an image, a technique which will reduce luminance artifacts at the expense of introducing high-frequency chromatic errors is sought. A method based on controlling the correlations between the quantization errors in the individual phosphor images is explored. The luminance component is greatest when the phosphor errors are positively correlated, and is minimized when the phosphor errors are negatively correlated. The greatest effect of the correlation is obtained when the intensity quantization step sizes of the individual phosphors have equal luminances. For the ordered dither algorithm, a version of the method can be implemented by simply inverting the matrix of thresholds for one of the color components.

Mulligan, Jeffrey B.↗

Quantum embedding study of strain- and electric-field-induced Stark effects on the NV - center in diamond

The NV - color center in diamond has been demonstrated as a powerful nanosensor for quantum metrology due to the sensitivity of its optical and spin properties to external electric, magnetic, and strain fields. In view of these applications, we use quantum embedding to derive a many-body description of strain- and electric-field-induced Stark effects on the NV - center. Here, we quantify how strain longitudinal to the axis of NV - shifts the excited states in energy, while strain with a component transverse to the NV - axis splits the degeneracies of the 3 E and 1 E states. The largest effects are for the optically relevant 3 E manifold, which splits into E x and E y with transverse strain. From these responses we extract strain susceptibilities for the E x/y states within the quasilinear regime. Additionally, we study the many-body dipole matrix elements of the NV - and find a permanent dipole 1.6 D at zero strain, which is somewhat smaller than that obtained from recent density functional theory calculations. We also determine the transition dipole between the E x and E y and how it evolves with strain.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Probabilistic sizing of laminates with uncertainties

A reliability based design methodology for laminate sizing and configuration for a special case of composite structures is described. The methodology combines probabilistic composite mechanics with probabilistic structural analysis. The uncertainties of constituent materials (fiber and matrix) to predict macroscopic behavior are simulated using probabilistic theory. Uncertainties in the degradation of composite material properties are included in this design methodology. A multi-factor interaction equation is used to evaluate load and environment dependent degradation of the composite material properties at the micromechanics level. The methodology is integrated into a computer code IPACS (Integrated Probabilistic Assessment of Composite Structures). Versatility of this design approach is demonstrated by performing a multi-level probabilistic analysis to size the laminates for design structural reliability of random type structures. The results show that laminate configurations can be selected to improve the structural reliability from three failures in 1000, to no failures in one million. Results also show that the laminates with the highest reliability are the least sensitive to the loading conditions.

Shah, A. R.↗

Probabilistic Modeling of a Three-Stage Human Landing System Architecture

Space Policy Directive-1 has led to NASA partnerships with commercial entities on procurement which includes the development of the Human Landing System (HLS) [1]. With the goal of delivering human crew to the lunar surface by 2024, system uncertainties become an important obstacle to the maturation of multiple new, driving technologies and mission concepts of the HLS program. As unmitigated uncertainties have previously led to failed development programs, these risks and their impacts must be understood and handled to ensure program success [2]. Sources of uncertainty include novel engine designs and configurations, increased reliance on cryogenic fluid management(CFM), and refueling technologies—which propagate as high-level performance metrics such as overall propellant mass and engine performance. Also, the occurrence of operational uncertainties—e.g. launch conditions or need to abort during the mission—can cause cascading effects on the rest of the mission that are difficult to definitively quantify, and are outside the scope of control. These concrete examples and other occurrences can be categorized as either epistemic or aleatory uncertainties.Epistemic uncertainty arises due to a lack of knowledge and can be alleviated with design and program maturation. Aleatory uncertainty is due to the inherent randomness of the system and cannot be directly reduced, unlike epistemic uncertainty. Robust design and probabilistic methods can compensate for aleatory effects. A taxonomy of uncertainty is referred to for this work [3]. In this paper, a probabilistic methodology to handle uncertainties has been demonstrated on a three-element HLS concept [1, 4], which allows tracking of current best estimates of the concept and assessment of concept design robustness against uncertainties. A sample case has been completed for this abstract, and an expansion on the methodology will be included in the final paper. This methodology has two key parts: first, the creation of a dynamic architecture model of a three-element HLS concept; and second, its use with surrogate modeling and range estimating techniques to capture and propagate uncertainties. This abstract will cover the basics of the approach used, and further details and justifications will be in the final paper.The mission profile associated with this three-element concept (Fig 1) was modeled as a set of mission events that facilitated mass changes, idles, or spacecraft maneuvers. The mission profile scope starts with each element’s NRHO orbit insertion and aggregation and ends at post-sortie rendezvous with Orion. More detail on the mission profile will be in the final paper. The DYnamic Rocket EQuation Tool (DYREQT), a space systems synthesis and sizing framework used by NASA, was used as the physics framework to model the HLS architecture for applying the probabilistic methodology [5, 6]. Specifically, a parametric representation of the lander, ascent, and transfer elements and the mission profile of each element was established, with vehicle and mission parameters available as inputs to allow for a dynamic model. Each vehicle stage was modeled with high-level performance metrics, using Isp and propellant mass fraction (PMF) to remain parametric. For the probabilistic analysis, uncertainties of interest within the HLS concept were enumerated and represented as parameters within the DYREQT model as inputs for vehicle stages or mission profile events. These parameters were frozen at their nominal values for the purposes of baselining architecture performance and sizing the vehicle appropriately based on reference documentation [1]. Range estimating—a probabilistic method that combines Monte Carlo sampling, focus on critical parameters, and heuristics to assess risk and opportunities—is traditionally used with Mass Equipment Lists (MELs), but has been adapted with operational parameters as well as vehicle parameters in theDYREQT model to capture mission uncertainty alongside vehicle uncertainty [7, 3]. This method was selected due to its application and insight on a system from a bottom-up perspective, independence from historical rules of thumb, and ability to generate sensitivities based on design decisions and uncertainties. As a sample case for the abstract, the boiloff rates of the vehicle elements and the loiter times during the mission (simulating launch time variations and changing window of opportunities) were used with range estimating to provide preliminary results. To perform the range estimation portion of this methodology (depicted in Fig. 3, further details in final paper), the DYREQT model was sampled using a Design of Experiments (DoE) to efficiently explore the architecture design space with respect to the sample set of uncertainty parameters; 5,000 cases via Latin Hypercube Sampling were computed on the DYREQT architecture model. Then, the results were used to create surrogate models, multivariate regressions that can visualize hypercube trends in the design space, of the architecture with respect to the uncertainty parameters. Range estimating was applied to the surrogates instead of the actual models, which saves computational expense due to the bulk of cases needed for the Monte Carlo simulation as part of range estimating. Uncertainty parameters were sampled independently from triangular distributions using the DoE ranges as ‘min’ and ‘max’, and the nominal value as ‘most likely’. Based engineering intuition, some uncertainty parameters are correlated—e.g. if the main propellant has a high boil-off rate, the oxidizer should follow suit as both are related to CFM technology.While a Monte Carlo simulation samples all inputs as independent, the results would show model correlations; thus, it is efficient to sample the inputs as correlated. Using a correlation matrix constructed for the uncertainty parameters, previously independent samples were transformed to perform a Correlated Monte Carlo. A table for the DoE ranges and probability distribution parameters is shown in Table 1, and more details on Correlated Monte Carlo Simulations will be discussed in the final paper. The model’s resulting DoE showed that multivariate polynomial equations fit via least squares method captured its behavior accurately for the sample case. For the Correlated Monte Carlo Simulation, a positive correlation between fuel and oxidizer boiloff rates was used as a demonstration. 10,000 cases were computed with the surrogates and the launched masses for each vehicle element was collated. The results can be displayed in a probability density function (PDF), showing the impact of the uncertainty parameters chosen. Integrating the PDFs will yield a cumulative distribution function (CDF) that shows the cumulative probability of a given value on the x-axis. For the sample case, the elements’ launch mass margin was calculated and represented in as CDFs, as a demonstrated representation of figures of merit for the HLS concept. For the lander and ascent elements, the NRHO mass insertion limit is 16t; the transfer element has a limit of 30t [1]. It can be seen with Figure 2 that this probabilistic methodology can provide insight into mass margin with respect to the uncertainties being modeled. Currently, the results show that the lander (descent) vehicle element has the most restrictive design space; it is the only element to show a 10% probability of negative margin. Further analysis on the Monte Carlo results will show sensitivities for driving constraints and parameters for architecture feasibility, which can lead to establishing potential mission rules.The combination of range estimating with a parametric architecture model for HLS demonstrated the capability of this probabilistic methodology in a sample case. As the HLS development progresses, this methodology has the potential for keeping current best estimates of architecture performance for awarded concepts due to the flexibility in DYREQT’s modeling framework and its parametric nature. Concept maturation and increased epistemic knowledge can be injected into the model probabilistic modeling, and thus continue to track probability of mission success.

Stephanie Y Zhu↗

Absolute cross section of the C 12 ( p , γ ) N 13 reaction

Solar neutrino measurements have recently reached a level of sensitivity such that CNO fluxes can now be experimentally determined. While these first measurements are still only sensitive to the higher energy neutrinos resulting from the β + decays of 15 Ο produced by the 14 Ν ⁡( p ,$\gamma$)⁢ 15 O reaction, future measurements will work towards detection of neutrinos from the β + decay of 13 N from the 12 C ⁡( p ,$\gamma$)⁢ 13 N reaction. Here, this paper reports on a recent measurement of the 12 C ⁡( p ,$\gamma$)⁢ 13 N reaction covering a broad laboratory energy range between 1.0 and 2.5 MeV. The measurement was made to better determine the overall normalization of the absolute cross section and to explore the interference effects between the two broad, overlapping resonances at proton energies of 0.460 and 1.689 MeV and the direct capture to the ground state of 13 N in the framework of a multichannel R -matrix analysis. This work takes into account previous radiative capture as well as elastic 12 C ( p , p ) 12 C scattering data, making uncertainty estimations using a Bayesian framework, to determine a reliable extrapolation of the low energy S factor towards the stellar energy range of CNO hydrogen burning. These new experimental results, and a detailed investigation of the past literature data, suggest that the resonant component of the cross section should be 30% lower than previously accepted.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Application and development of the Schwinger multichannel scattering theory and the partial differential equation theory of electron-molecule scattering

One version of the multichannel theory for electron-target scattering based on the Schwinger variational principle, the SMC method, requires the introduction of a projection parameter. The role of the projection parameter a is investigated and it is shown that the principal-value operator in the SMC equation is Hermitian regardless of the value of a as long as it is real and nonzero. In a basis that is properly orthonormalizable, the matrix representation of this operator is also Hermitian. The use of such basis is consistent with the Schwinger variational principle because the Lippmann-Schwinger equation automatically builds in the correct boundary conditions. Otherwise, an auxiliary condition needs to be introduced, and Takatsuka and McKoy's original value of a is one of the three possible ways to achieve Hermiticity. In all cases but one, a can be uncoupled from the Hermiticity condition and becomes a free parameter. An equation for a based on the variational stability of the scattering amplitude is derived; its solution has an interesting property that the scattering amplitude from a converged SMC calculation is independent of the choice of a even though the SMC operator itself is a-dependent. This property provides a sensitive test of the convergence of the calculation. For a static-exchange calculation, the convergence requirement only depends on the completeness of the one-electron basis, but for a general multichannel case, the a-invariance in the scattering amplitude requires both the one-electron basis and the N plus 1-electron basis to be complete. The role of a in the SMC equation and the convergence property are illustrated using two examples: e-CO elastic scattering in the static-exchange approximation, and a two-state treatment of the e-H2 Chi(sup 1)Sigma(sub g)(+) yields b(sup 3)Sigma(sub u)(+) excitation.

Weatherford, Charles A.↗

Pilot Non-Conformance to Alerting System Commands

This research project examined the effects of consonance between cockpit displays and alerting system as a technique to encourage pilots to conform to alerting system commands. An experiment used the task of collision avoidance during closely spaced parallel approaches as a case study, building upon previous experiments which identified instances of non-conformance and conflicts between the alerting criteria preferred by pilots, compared to that used by alerting systems. Using a workstation based, part-task simulator, each of 45 subjects completed 45 experiment runs. In each run, the subjects were told they were flying an approach. Their primary task was to keep their wings level despite turbulence through the use of a sidestick. The sidestick commands did not affect the path of the aircraft, however, so that consistent approach paths were be followed. Their secondary task was to indicate when an aircraft on a parallel approach is blundering towards them, as evidenced by the traffic display. Subjects were asked to press different buttons indicating whether they feel an avoidance maneuver is required by the traffic situation or not. At the completion of each run, subjects were asked to rate their confidence in their decision and, if appropriate, to rate the timeliness of automatic alerts when had been given. Three different automatic alert conditions were tested. The "No Automatic Alerts Given" condition is self-explanatory. In the "Automatic Alerts Based on NTZ Criteria" condition, an automatic alert was given when the NTZ criteria was triggered; this criteria is consistent with subject reactions in other studies, in which subjects were found to react, on average, when the other aircraft was 1350 min to the side of the own aircraft. In the "Automatic Alerts Based on MIT Criteria" condition, an automatic alert was given when the MIT criteria was triggered; this criteria was developed by Carpenter and Kuchar for parallel approaches to have better performance, at the cost of increased complexity and higher sensitivity to pilot non-conformance. Three displays were tested. The "Baseline Display" is based on a moving map display, with a top-down view, track-up orientation, iconic presentation of the other aircraft's positions and a text presentation of the other aircraft's altitude. The "NTZ Alert Criteria Shown" display added to the Baseline Display an explicit presentation on the display of the boundary delineating the NTZ criteria, allowing for quick comparison of the other aircraft's position relative to this alert criteria. Likewise, the "MIT Alert Criteria Shown" display added to the Baseline Display an explicit presentation on the display of the boundary delineating the MIT criteria, allowing for quick comparison of the other aircraft's position relative to this alert criteria The test matrix for this experiment was three dimensional, varying displays, alerts and traffic conflict scenarios.

Pritchett, Amy↗

Influence of Thermally-Grown Oxide (TGO) Layer on the Driving Forces Associated with Failure in Environmental Barrier Coating (EBC) Systems

Environmental barrier coatings (EBC) is an enabling technology for the successful application of ceramic matrix composites (CMCs) in air-breathing gas turbine engines. Spallation of environmental barrier coating (EBC) induced by thermally grown oxide (TGO) layer is a key EBC failure mode. The TGO layer, resulting from steam oxidation, grows either from a silicon bond coat layer (if present) or from the silicon carbide (SiC) based substrate itself. Critical thickness of the TGO layer for failure is in the range of 20-30 microns but it can vary due to exposure temperature, microstructure etc. Current work at NASA Glenn Research Center, under the Revolutionary Tools and Methods (RTM) project is aimed at addressing associated failure modes in EBC systems and developing robust analysis tools to aid in the design/analysis of these systems. The objective of the current work is to conduct a sensitivity study to examine the influence of uniformly and non-uniformly grown oxide layers with or without damage on the associated driving forces leading to spallation of the EBC when subjected to isothermal loading. Initial results indicate that the presence of damage (vertical cracks caused by in-plane stresses) enhances the stresses that are present due to non-uniformity. However, the presence of non-uniformity itself is still the main factor influencing the magnitude of peel and shear stresses in the TGO layer.

Mital, Subodh K.↗