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At least 883 records · Page 49

Planck 2013 results. XXIII. Isotropy and statistics of the CMB

The two fundamental assumptions of the standard cosmological model-that the initial fluctuations are statistically isotropic and Gaussian-are rigorously tested using maps of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy from the Planck satellite. The detailed results are based on studies of four independent estimates of the CMB that are compared to simulations using a fiducial ΛCDM model and incorporating essential aspects of the Planck measurement process. Deviations from isotropy have been found and demonstrated to be robust against component separation algorithm, mask choice, and frequency dependence. Many of these anomalies were previously observed in the WMAP data, and are now confirmed at similar levels of significance (about 3σ). However, we find little evidence of non-Gaussianity, with the exception of a few statistical signatures that seem to be associated with specific anomalies. In particular, we find that the quadrupole-octopole alignment is also connected to a low observed variance in the CMB signal. A power asymmetry is now found to persist on scales corresponding to about ℓ = 600 and can be described in the low-ℓ regime by a phenomenological dipole modulation model. However, any primordial power asymmetry is strongly scale-dependent and does not extend to arbitrarily small angular scales. Finally, it is plausible that some of these features may be reflected in the angular power spectrum of the data, which shows a deficit of power on similar scales. Indeed, when the power spectra of two hemispheres defined by a preferred direction are considered separately, one shows evidence of a deficit in power, while its opposite contains oscillations between odd and even modes that may be related to the parity violation and phase correlations also detected in the data. Although these analyses represent a step forward in building an understanding of the anomalies, a satisfactory explanation based on physically motivated models is still lacking.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Gyrokinetic statistical absolute equilibrium and turbulence

A paradigm based on the absolute equilibrium of Galerkin-truncated inviscid systems to aid in understanding turbulence [T.-D. Lee, Q. Appl. Math. 10, 69 (1952)] is taken to study gyrokinetic plasma turbulence: a finite set of Fourier modes of the collisionless gyrokinetic equations are kept and the statistical equilibria are calculated; possible implications for plasma turbulence in various situations are discussed. For the case of two spatial and one velocity dimension, in the calculation with discretization also of velocity v with N grid points (where N+1 quantities are conserved, corresponding to an energy invariant and N entropy-related invariants), the negative temperature states, corresponding to the condensation of the generalized energy into the lowest modes, are found. This indicates a generic feature of inverse energy cascade. Comparisons are made with some classical results, such as those of Charney-Hasegawa-Mima in the cold-ion limit. There is a universal shape for statistical equilibrium of gyrokinetics in three spatial and two velocity dimensions with just one conserved quantity. Possible physical relevance to turbulence, such as ITG zonal flows, and to a critical balance hypothesis are also discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Molecular weight distributions of irradiated siloxane-based elastomers: A complementary study by statistical modeling and multiple quantum nuclear magnetic resonance

The statistical methodology of population balance (PB) has been applied in order to predict the effects of cross-linking and chain-scissioning induced by ionizing radiation on the distribution of molecular weight between cross-links (MWBC) of a siloxane-based elastomer. Effective molecular weight distributions were extracted from the quantification of residual dipolar couplings via multiple quantum nuclear magnetic resonance (MQ-NMR) measurements and are taken to reflect actual MWBC distributions. The PB methodology is then applied to the unirradiated MWBC distribution and considers both chain-scissioning and the possibility of the formation of three types of cross-links: random recombination of scissioned-chain ends (end-linking), random covalent bonds of free radicals on scissioned-chain ends (Y-cross-linking), and the formation of random cross-links from free radicals on side groups (H-cross-linking). The qualitative agreement between the statistical modeling approach and the NMR data confirms that it is possible to predict trends for the evolution of the distribution of MWBC of polymers under irradiation. The approach described herein can also discern heterogeneities in radiation effects in different structural motifs in the polymer network.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Kolmogorov similarity scaling for one-particle Lagrangian statistics

Here, we use direct numerical simulation data up to a Taylor scale Reynolds number R λ =1000 to investigate Kolmogorov similarity scaling in the inertial sub-range for one-particle Lagrangian statistics. While similarity scaling is not achieved at these Reynolds numbers for the Lagrangian velocity structure function, we show clearly that it is achieved for the Lagrangian acceleration frequency spectrum and the scaling range becomes wider with increasing Reynolds number. Stochastic and heuristic model calculations suggest that the difference in behavior observed for the structure function and spectrum is simply a consequence of different rates of convergence to scaling behavior with increasing Reynolds number. Our estimate C 0 ≈6.9±0.2 for the Lagrangian structure function constant is close to earlier estimates based on extrapolation of the peak value of the compensated structure function. The findings presented here suggest prospects for studying Kolmogorov similarity for Lagrangian statistics using the latest innovations in simulation, and measurement techniques are more hopeful than previously suggested in the literature.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A non-statistical atomic model for beam emission and motional Stark effect diagnostics in fusion plasmas

In this work we analyze magnetic sublevel populations in a neutral beam penetrating a fusion plasma. The collisional-radiative model NOMAD was extended to include magnetic parabolic sublevels with principal quantum numbers n Less-Than-Or-Slanted-Equal-To 10. The collisional parameters were calculated with the advanced atomic-orbital close coupling method and the Glauber approximation. The ionization by the induced electric field was also included in the model. The results of our calculations show significant deviations of the sublevel populations and, accordingly, line intensities of the {sigma} and {pi} components, from the statistical approximation. It is shown, for instance, that for a number of experimental conditions the total intensity of {sigma} components is not equal to the total intensity of {pi} components, which has a strong effect on determination of magnetic field and pitch angle in fusion devices. The results are presented for a wide range of plasma and beam parameters. The most significant deviations are observed for strong magnetic fields and high beam energies typical for the ITER plasma, where component intensity ratios may deviate by more than 20% from the statistical values.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Estimating uncertainties in statistics computed from direct numerical simulation

Rigorous assessment of uncertainty is crucial to the utility of direct numerical simulation (DNS) results. Uncertainties in the computed statistics arise from two sources: finite statistical sampling and the discretization of the Navier–Stokes equations. Due to the presence of non-trivial sampling error, standard techniques for estimating discretization error (such as Richardson extrapolation) fail or are unreliable. This work provides a systematic and unified approach for estimating these errors. First, a sampling error estimator that accounts for correlation in the input data is developed. Then, this sampling error estimate is used as part of a Bayesian extension of Richardson extrapolation in order to characterize the discretization error. These methods are tested using the Lorenz equations and are shown to perform well. These techniques are then used to investigate the sampling and discretization errors in the DNS of a wall-bounded turbulent flow at Reτ ≈ 180. Both small (Lx/δ × Lz/δ = 4π × 2π) and large (Lx/δ × Lz/δ = 12π × 4π) domain sizes are investigated. For each case, a sequence of meshes was generated by first designing a “nominal” mesh using standard heuristics for wall-bounded simulations. These nominal meshes were then coarsened to generate a sequence of grid resolutions appropriate for the Bayesian Richardson extrapolation method. In addition, the small box case is computationally inexpensive enough to allow simulation on a finer mesh, enabling the results of the extrapolation to be validated in a weak sense. For both cases, it is found that while the sampling uncertainty is large enough to make the order of accuracy difficult to determine, the estimated discretization errors are quite small. This indicates that the commonly used heuristics provide adequate resolution for this class of problems. However, it is also found that, for some quantities, the discretization error is not small relative to sampling error, indicating that the conventional wisdom that sampling error dominates discretization error for this class of simulations needs to be reevaluated.

Oliver, Todd A.↗

Boundary between the thermal and statistical polarization regimes in a nuclear spin ensemble

As the number of spins in an ensemble is reduced, the statistical fluctuations in its polarization eventually exceed the mean thermal polarization. This transition has now been surpassed in a number of recent nuclear magnetic resonance experiments, which achieve nanometer-scale detection volumes. Here, we measure nanometer-scale ensembles of nuclear spins in a KPF{sub 6} sample using magnetic resonance force microscopy. In particular, we investigate the transition between regimes dominated by thermal and statistical nuclear polarization. The ratio between the two types of polarization provides a measure of the number of spins in the detected ensemble.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Statistical approach to nuclear level density

We discuss the level density in a finite many-body system with strong interaction between the constituents. Our primary object of applications is the atomic nucleus but the same techniques can be applied to other mesoscopic systems. We calculate and compare nuclear level densities for given quantum numbers obtained by different methods, such as nuclear shell model (the most successful microscopic approach), our main instrument - moments method (statistical approach), and Fermi-gas model; the calculation with the moments method can use any shell-model Hamiltonian excluding the spurious states of the center-of-mass motion. Our goal is to investigate statistical properties of nuclear level density, define its phenomenological parameters, and offer an affordable and reliable way of calculation.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Statistical analysis and modeling of intermittent transport events in the tokamak scrape-off layer

The turbulence observed in the scrape-off-layer of a tokamak is often characterized by intermittent events of bursty nature, a feature which raises concerns about the prediction of heat loads on the physical boundaries of the device. It appears thus necessary to delve into the statistical properties of turbulent physical fields such as density, electrostatic potential, and temperature, focusing on the mathematical expression of tails of the probability distribution functions. The method followed here is to generate statistical information from time-traces of the plasma density stemming from Braginskii-type fluid simulations and check this against a first-principles theoretical model. The analysis of the numerical simulations indicates that the probability distribution function of the intermittent process contains strong exponential tails, as predicted by the analytical theory.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Connes distance function on fuzzy sphere and the connection between geometry and statistics

An algorithm to compute Connes spectral distance, adaptable to the Hilbert-Schmidt operatorial formulation of non-commutative quantum mechanics, was developed earlier by introducing the appropriate spectral triple and used to compute infinitesimal distances in the Moyal plane, revealing a deep connection between geometry and statistics. In this paper, using the same algorithm, the Connes spectral distance has been calculated in the Hilbert-Schmidt operatorial formulation for the fuzzy sphere whose spatial coordinates satisfy the su(2) algebra. This has been computed for both the discrete and the Perelemov’s SU(2) coherent state. Here also, we get a connection between geometry and statistics which is shown by computing the infinitesimal distance between mixed states on the quantum Hilbert space of a particular fuzzy sphere, indexed by n ∈ ℤ/2.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Statistical properties of solar flares and coronal mass ejections through the solar cycle

Waiting Time Distributions (WTDs) of solar flares are investigated all through the solar cycle. The same approach applied to Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) in a previous work is considered here for flare occurrence. Our analysis reveals that flares and CMEs share some common statistical properties, which result dependent on the level of solar activity. Both flares and CMEs seem to independently occur during minimum solar activity phases, whilst their WTDs significantly deviate from a Poisson function at solar maximum, thus suggesting that these events are correlated. The characteristics of WTDs are constrained by the physical processes generating those eruptions associated with flares and CMEs. A scenario may be drawn in which different mechanisms are actively at work during different phases of the solar cycle. Stochastic processes, most likely related to random magnetic reconnections of the field lines, seem to play a key role during solar minimum periods. On the other hand, persistent processes, like sympathetic eruptions associated to the variability of the photospheric magnetism, are suggested to dominate during periods of high solar activity. Moreover, despite the similar statistical properties shown by flares and CMEs, as it was mentioned above, their WTDs appear different in some aspects. During solar minimum periods, the flare occurrence randomness seems to be more evident than for CMEs. Those persistent mechanisms generating interdependent events during maximum periods of solar activity can be suggested to play a more important role for CMEs than for flares, thus mitigating the competitive action of the random processes, which seem instead strong enough to weaken the correlations among flare event occurrence during solar minimum periods. However, it cannot be excluded that the physical processes at the basis of the origin of the temporal correlation between solar events are different for flares and CMEs, or that, more likely, more sophisticated effects are at work at the same time leading to an even more complex picture. This work represents a first step for further investigations.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Application of image recognition algorithms for statistical description of nano- and microstructured surfaces

In this paper we propose a statistical approach for describing the self-assembling of sub-micronic polystyrene beads on silicon surfaces, as well as the evolution of surface topography due to plasma treatments. Algorithms for image recognition are used in conjunction with Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM) imaging of surfaces. In a first step, greyscale images of the surface covered by the polystyrene beads are obtained. Further, an adaptive thresholding method was applied for obtaining binary images. The next step consisted in automatic identification of polystyrene beads dimensions, by using Hough transform algorithm, according to beads radius. In order to analyze the uniformity of the self–assembled polystyrene beads, the squared modulus of 2-dimensional Fast Fourier Transform (2- D FFT) was applied. By combining these algorithms we obtain a powerful and fast statistical tool for analysis of micro and nanomaterials with aspect features regularly distributed on surface upon SEM examination.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Path integral molecular dynamics for exact quantum statistics of multi-electronic-state systems

An exact approach to compute physical properties for general multi-electronic-state (MES) systems in thermal equilibrium is presented. The approach is extended from our recent progress on path integral molecular dynamics (PIMD), for quantum statistical mechanics when a single potential energy surface is involved. We first define an effective potential function that is numerically favorable for MES-PIMD and then derive corresponding estimators in MES-PIMD for evaluating various physical properties. Furthermore, its application to several representative one-dimensional and multi-dimensional models demonstrates that MES-PIMD in principle offers a practical tool in either of the diabatic and adiabatic representations for studying exact quantum statistics of complex/large MES systems when the Born-Oppenheimer approximation, Condon approximation, and harmonic bath approximation are broken.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Weak convergence to equilibrium of statistical ensembles in integrable Hamiltonian systems

This article explores the long-time behavior of the bounded orbits associated with an ensemble of initial conditions in a nondegenerate integrable Hamiltonian system. Such systems are inherently nonlinear and subject to highly regular phase space filamentation that can drive the ensemble of orbits toward a stationary state. Describing the statistical ensemble by a probability density on a neighborhood of a family of invariant tori, it is proved that the probability density describing the ensemble at time t converges weakly to an invariant density as t → ∞. More generally, we provide sufficient conditions for convergence to equilibrium of a multiphase system in action-angle form. These ideas are applied to an illustrative exactly soluble example. Finally, this work is relevant for understanding the statistical mechanics of integrable and near-integrable Hamiltonian systems

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Reconstruction of effective potential from statistical analysis of dynamic trajectories

The broad incorporation of microscopic methods is yielding a wealth of information on the atomic and mesoscale dynamics of individual atoms, molecules, and particles on surfaces and in open volumes. Analysis of such data necessitates statistical frameworks to convert observed dynamic behaviors to effective properties of materials. Here, we develop a method for the stochastic reconstruction of effective local potentials solely from observed structural data collected from molecular dynamics simulations (i.e., data analogous to those obtained via atomically resolved microscopies). Using the silicon vacancy defect in graphene as a model, we apply the statistical framework presented herein to reconstruct the free energy landscape from the calculated atomic displacements. Evidence of consistency between the reconstructed local potential and the trajectory data from which it was produced is presented, along with a quantitative assessment of the uncertainty in the inferred parameters.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Statistical data analysis of x-ray spectroscopy data enabled by neural network accelerated Bayesian inference

Bayesian inference applied to x-ray spectroscopy data analysis enables uncertainty quantification necessary to rigorously test theoretical models. However, when comparing to data, detailed atomic physics and radiation transfer calculations of x-ray emission from non-uniform plasma conditions are typically too slow to be performed in line with statistical sampling methods, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. Furthermore, differences in transition energies and x-ray opacities often make direct comparisons between simulated and measured spectra unreliable. Here, we present a spectral decomposition method that allows for corrections to line positions and bound–bound opacities to best fit experimental data, with the goal of providing quantitative feedback to improve the underlying theoretical models and guide future experiments. In this work, we use a neural network (NN) surrogate model to replace spectral calculations of isobaric hot-spots created in Kr-doped implosions at the National Ignition Facility. The NN was trained on calculations of x-ray spectra using an isobaric hot-spot model post-processed with Cretin, a multi-species atomic kinetics and radiation code. The speedup provided by the NN model to generate x-ray emission spectra enables statistical analysis of parameterized models with sufficient detail to accurately represent the physical system and extract the plasma parameters of interest.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Statistical properties of backscattered semiconductor laser radiation with different degrees of coherence

This paper compares the statistical properties of the backscatter intensity in a single-mode optical fibre for semiconductor lasers with a high and a low degree of coherence. We demonstrate that, when short probe pulses are used, shorter than the coherence times of the lasers, the statistical properties of the backscatter intensity obtained with the two lasers are identical, and the intensity distribution over an ensemble of independent fibre sections has an exponential form for both. With increasing probe pulse duration, the backscatter intensity distribution obtained with the shorter coherence time laser approaches a Gaussian one, whereas the distribution function obtained with the high-coherence laser remains nearly exponential. Reflectograms of a coherent reflectometer that relies on the detection of backscattered radiation have the highest contrast for an exponential backscatter intensity distribution over an ensemble of independent fibre sections. The reflectometer then probably has the highest sensitivity to external influences. This leads us to conclude that, when short probe pulses are used, which ensure high spatial resolution (10 m and better), one can use a laser with a short coherence time, equal to the pulse duration.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Statistical characteristics of laser interference and its effect on IR optoelectronic observation systems

We consider statistical characteristics of laser interference recorded in the focal region of an IR optoelectronic observation system under field and out-of-field illumination by laser radiation. The applicability of the analytical description of experimental histograms of the laser interference signal distribution at the photodetector array output using the probability density approximations in the form of gamma distribution and the Gaussian function is substantiated. It is shown that the specific form of these functions is determined both by the mean value (mathematical expectation) of the interference signal and by the characteristic parameter M, which depends on the statistical properties of the laser interference. (laser applications and other issues in quantum electronics)

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗