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At least 883 records · Page 49

Microgravity-Induced Physiological Fluid Redistribution: Computational Analysis to Assess Influence of Physiological Parameters

Space flight impacts human physiology in many ways, the most immediate being the marked cephalad (headward) shift of fluid upon introduction into the microgravity environment. This physiological response to microgravity points to the redistribution of blood and interstitial fluid as a major factor in the loss of venous tone and reduction in heart muscle efficiency which impact astronaut performance. In addition, researchers have hypothesized that a reduction in astronaut visual acuity, part of the Visual Impairment and Intracranial Pressure (VIIP) syndrome, is associated with this redistribution of fluid. VIIP arises within several months of beginning space flight and includes a variety of ophthalmic changes including posterior globe flattening, distension of the optic nerve sheath, and kinking of the optic nerve. We utilize a suite of lumped parameter models to simulate microgravity-induced fluid redistribution in the cardiovascular, central nervous and ocular systems to provide initial and boundary data to a 3D finite element simulation of ocular biomechanics in VIIP. Specifically, the lumped parameter cardiovascular model acts as the primary means of establishing how microgravity, and the associated lack of hydrostatic gradient, impacts fluid redistribution. The cardiovascular model consists of 16 compartments, including three cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) compartments, three cranial blood compartments, and 10 thoracic and lower limb blood compartments. To assess the models capability to address variations in physiological parameters, we completed a formal uncertainty and sensitivity analysis that evaluated the relative importance of 42 input parameters required in the model on relative compartment flows and compartment pressures. Utilizing the model in a pulsatile flow configuration, the sensitivity analysis identified the ten parameters that most influenced each compartment pressure. Generally, each compartment responded appropriately to parameter variations associated with itself and adjacent compartments. However, several unexpected interactions between components, such as between the choroid plexus and the lower capillaries, were found, and are due to simplifications in the formulation of the model. The analysis illustrates that highly influential parameters and those that have unique influences within the model formulation must be tightly controlled for successful model application.

gravitational physiology↗

An Integrated Mass Balance Model for Pyrochemical Processing

GE Hitachi Nuclear Energy proposes the use of the pyroprocessing techniques to effectively close the nuclear fuel cycle. In order to better understand the quantities of inputs and their effect on the outputs (waste packages, product, etc.) of the process, an integrated process model was designed to track mass flows and aid in sizing and quantifying the amount of equipment needed for different desired throughputs. The flowchart that was modeled is discussed, and each process is explained in detail from the front-end fuel preparation through waste generation and product accumulation. The chemical, electrochemical, and mechanical operations of these processes are also identified and explained. Process parameters that the model allows the user to vary are also identified, and the effects of changing these parameters are also discussed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Comprehensive Analysis of Model Parameter Uncertainty Influence on Evaluation of HVAC Operation to Mitigate Indoor Virus: A Case Study for an Office Building in a Cold and Dry Climate

Simulation-based studies of HVAC operation to mitigate indoor virus have been conducted to understand tradeoffs between indoor air quality (IAQ) and energy consumption. However, the influence of model parameter uncertainty in these studies has not been systematically quantified, which is critical when providing guidance to building operators. To address this gap, we identify 20 model parameters for a typical medium office building system in a cold and dry climate that can influence IAQ and energy consumption for indoor virus scenarios. Next, the distributions of the parameter values are estimated from literature and a set of simulation samples for three representative days is generated that simultaneously sample all of the parameters from their distributions. Two HVAC virus mitigation strategies are studied: increased filtration using MERV 13 filters and increased ventilation, via supply of 100% outdoor air into buildings. The model parameter uncertainty leads to significant variability in the results, particularly for the IAQ because of the highly uncertain virus generation rate. Use of 100% outdoor air can be beneficial for some uncertain scenarios on the hot day, but shows less IAQ improvement and/or significant energy increases on the other days. The virus removal efficiency and pressure drop of the HVAC filter, fan efficiency, and internal heat gain are the most important parameters to determining the tradeoffs of the two strategies. Our results demonstrate how this model parameter uncertainty analysis methodology can provide practical guidance to building operators.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Relating ground truth collection to model sensitivity

The importance of collecting high quality ground truth before a SAR mission over a forested area is two fold. First, the ground truth is used in the analysis and interpretation of the measured backscattering properties; second, it helps to justify the use of a scattering model to fit the measurements. Unfortunately, ground truth is often collected based on visual assessment of what is perceived to be important without regard to the mission itself. Sites are selected based on brief surveys of large areas, and the ground truth is collected by a process of selecting and grouping different scatterers. After the fact, it may turn out that some of the relevant parameters are missing. A three-layer canopy model based on the radiative transfer equations is used to determine, before hand, the relevant parameters to be collected. Detailed analysis of the contribution to scattering and attenuation of various forest components is carried out. The goal is to identify the forest parameters which most influence the backscattering as a function of frequency (P-, L-, and C-bands) and incident angle. The influence on backscattering and attenuation of branch diameters, lengths, angular distribution, and permittivity; trunk diameters, lengths, and permittivity; and needle sizes, their angular distribution, and permittivity are studied in order to maximize the efficiency of the ground truth collection efforts. Preliminary results indicate that while a scatterer may not contribute to the total backscattering, its contribution to attenuation may be significant depending on the frequency.

Amar, Faouzi↗

National Unmanned Aerial System Standardized Performance Testing and Rating (NUSTAR)

The overall objective of the NUSTAR Capability is to offer standardized tests and scenario conditions to assess performance of the UAS. The following are goals of the NU-STAR: 1. Create a prototype standardized tests and scenarios that vehicles can be tested against. 2. Identify key performance parameters of all UAS and their standardized measurement strategy. 3. Develop standardized performance reporting method (e.g., consumer report style) to assist prospective buyers. 4. Identify key performance metrics that could be used by judged towards overall safety of the UAS and operations. 5. If vehicle certification standard is made by a regulatory agency, the performance of individual UAS could be compared against the minimum requirement (e.g., sense and avoid detection time, stopping distance, kinetic energy, etc.).

Testing↗

UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION OF CALCULATED FUEL TEMPERATURE FOR AGR-3/4 IRRADIATION EXPERIMENT

The third in a series of Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) experiments conducted at the Idaho National Laboratory, AGR-3/4, was completed in April 2014, resulting in irradiation of the tristructural isotropic fuel for 369 effective full power days. A number of designed-to-fail fuel particles were embedded along the central line of each irradiated compact to provide a known source of fission products for subsequent transport through the compact matrix and structural graphite materials. The fuel temperature in each capsule during irradiation, a significant factor in the release and transport of fission products, was maintained within a predefined range representative of a high temperature gas reactor. Fuel temperatures were not measured directly because contact between a thermocouple and the fuel could lead to unwanted particle failures. An ABAQUS-based finite element heat transfer code, calibrated based on temperatures measured in the surrounding graphite rings, was used to predict fuel temperatures during irradiation. To quantify the uncertainty of calculated fuel temperatures, thermal model parameters with high sensitivity and/or large uncertainty were identified. Propagation of model parameter uncertainty and sensitivity is then used to quantify the overall uncertainty of calculated temperatures. Quantification of input uncertainties over the extended irradiation period of the AGR-3/4 experiment is a challenging task due to changes in capsule thermal properties and geometry caused by exposure to neutron irradiation at high temperatures. In the absence of direct measurements or complete knowledge about these changes, inputs to thermal model and associated uncertainties are estimated based on modeling assumptions and expert judgment. Unplanned events that occurred during irradiation contribute to input uncertainties as well. For example, shrinkage of fuel compact and graphite rings led to significant increase in the gap size uncertainties. This paper focuses on uncertainty quantification of calculated fuel temperature for AGR-3/4 capsule thermal models.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

System Identification of a DC-DC Buck Converter Based on Two-Channel Relay Method

This work presents a system identification approach based on a two-channel relay applied to a DC-DC buck converter operating in closed-loop with a PI controller to regulate its output voltage. The implemented two-relay method allows system identification while the system is running online. Moreover, the algorithm works in a closed-loop configuration while introducing a minimal perturbation in the converter's operation. The presented algorithm was used to identify the frequency response of the converter with no-prior knowledge about the system structure. Furthermore, the identified transfer function parameters has a good agreement with the mathematical model of the converter. Simulation results of the comparison between the switching model, mathematical model and the identified model are provided to validate the theoretical analysis.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Shared Genomic Regions Underlie Natural Variation in Diverse Toxin Responses

Phenotypic complexity is caused by the contributions of environmental factors and multiple genetic loci, interacting or acting independently. Studies of yeast and Arabidopsis often find that the majority of natural variation across phenotypes is attributable to independent additive quantitative trait loci (QTL). Detected loci in these organisms explain most of the estimated heritable variation. By contrast, many heritable components underlying phenotypic variation in metazoan models remain undetected. Before the relative impacts of additive and interactive variance components on metazoan phenotypic variation can be dissected, high replication and precise phenotypic measurements are required to obtain sufficient statistical power to detect loci contributing to this missing heritability. Here, we used a panel of 296 recombinant inbred advanced intercross lines of Caenorhabditis elegans and a high-throughput fitness assay to detect loci underlying responses to 16 different toxins, including heavy metals, chemotherapeutic drugs, pesticides, and neuropharmaceuticals. Using linkage mapping, we identified 82 QTL that underlie variation in responses to these toxins, and predicted the relative contributions of additive loci and genetic interactions across various growth parameters. Additionally, we identified three genomic regions that impact responses to multiple classes of toxins. These QTL hotspots could represent common factors impacting toxin responses. We went further to generate near-isogenic lines and chromosome substitution strains, and then experimentally validated these QTL hotspots, implicating additive and interactive loci that underlie toxin-response variation.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Theoretic aspects of the identification of the parameters in the optimal control model

The identification of the parameters of the optimal control model from input-output data of the human operator is considered. Accepting the basic structure of the model as a cascade of a full-order observer and a feedback law, and suppressing the inherent optimality of the human controller, the parameters to be identified are the feedback matrix, the observer gain matrix, and the intensity matrices of the observation noise and the motor noise. The identification of the parameters is a statistical problem, because the system and output are corrupted by noise, and therefore the solution must be based on the statistics (probability density function) of the input and output data of the human operator. However, based on the statistics of the input-output data of the human operator, no distinction can be made between the observation and the motor noise, which shows that the model suffers from overparameterization.

Vanwijk, R. A.↗

A Bayesian Framework for Milling Stability Prediction and Reverse Parameter Identification

This paper describes a physics-guided Bayesian framework for identifying the milling stability boundary and system parameters through iterative testing. Prior uncertainties for the parameters are identified through physical simulation and literature reviews, without physical testing of the actual milling system. Those uncertainties are then propagated to the stability map using a physics-based stability model, which is used to suggest a test point. The uncertainties are updated based on the new information acquired from the cutting test to form a new probability distribution, called the posterior. Finally, the posterior are compared to measured values for the stability boundary and system parameters to evaluate the approach. Based on experimental observations, the advantages and disadvantages of using a physics-guided model are discussed.

Cornelius, Aaron↗

Data for KETCHUP: Parameterizing of Large-Scale Kinetic Models Using Multiple Datasets with Different Reference States

Repository for Kinetic Estimation Tool Capturing Heterogeneous Datasets Using Pyomo (KETCHUP), a flexible parameter estimation tool that leverages a primal-dual interior-point algorithm to solve a nonlinear programming (NLP) problem that identifies a set of parameters capable of recapitulating the steady-state fluxes and concentrations in wild-type and perturbed metabolic networks. KETCHUP can use K-FIT [2] input files. Example K-FIT input files are located in the K-FIT repository at https://github.com/maranasgroup/K-FIT.

Metabolomics↗

Screening sensitivity analysis of a PWR fuel assembly FEM structural model

Within the present project, computational methods to describe the static mechanical response of PWR fuel assemblies (FA) in the reactor core are developed. For this purpose a structural model of a PWR fuel assembly has been implemented with the Finite Element Method (FEM) using the ANSYS APDL Mechanical code. The purpose of the model is to investigate the long-term creep deformation of the fuel assemblies in the reactor core, commonly known as fuel assembly bow. FA bow is considered to be a complex process with a large number of influencing mechanisms and many only roughly known boundary conditions. Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses are a common way to investigate the predictive power and reliability of such complex models. Hence, as a first approach to understand the importance of the many model parameters, a qualitative sensitivity analysis of the model was conducted using the screening method proposed by Morris. In the first part of the paper, the FA structural model and its principal parameters are presented. The second part presents first the different simulation experiments used for the screening analyses. Based on the model description, relevant input parameters are then identified and a typical range of values is determined. The sensitivity analysis is performed in two subsequent steps. First, the model is screened for influential stiffness parameters with the objective of stiffening the FA structure. Second, the influence of the uncertain boundary conditions and material models on the FA creep deformation is tested. For the considered FA design it is concluded that the influence of the involved uncertainties is comparable to the influence of the parameters which can increase the stiffness. An integral approach accounting for these uncertainties is hence necessary to predict FA bow reliably in order to take additional measures for a further reduction of FA bow amplitudes. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Exploring the Sensitivity of Photosynthesis and Stomatal Resistance Parameters in a Land Surface Model

Abstract Land surface models, like the Common Land Model component of the ParFlow integrated hydrologic model (PF-CLM), are used to estimate transpiration from vegetated surfaces. Transpiration rates quantify how much water moves from the subsurface through the plant and into the atmosphere. This rate is controlled by the stomatal resistance term in land surface models. The Ball–Berry stomatal resistance parameterization relies, in part, on the rate of photosynthesis, and together these equations require the specification of 20 input parameters. Here, the active subspace method is applied to 2100 year-long PF-CLM simulations, forced by atmospheric data from California, Colorado, and Oklahoma, to identify which input parameters are important and how they relate to three quantities of interest: transpiration, stomatal resistance from the sunlit portion of the canopy, and stomatal resistance from the shaded portion. The slope (mp) and intercept (bp) parameters associated with the Ball–Berry parameterization are consistently important for all locations, along with five parameters associated with ribulose bisphosphate carboxylase/oxygenase (RuBisCO)- and light-limited rates of photosynthesis [CO2 Michaelis–Menten constant at 25°C (kc25), maximum ratio of oxygenation to carboxylation (ocr), quantum efficiency at 25°C (qe25), maximum rate of carboxylation at 25°C (vcmx25), and multiplier in the denominator of the equation used to compute the light-limited rate of photosynthesis (wj1)]. The importance of these input parameters, quantified by the active variable weight, and the relationship between the input parameters and quantities of interest vary seasonally and diurnally. Input parameter values influence transpiration rates most during midday, summertime hours when fluxes are large. This research informs model users about which photosynthesis and stomatal resistance parameters should be more carefully selected. Quantifying sensitivities associated with the stomatal resistance term is necessary to better understand transpiration estimates from land surface models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Nonlinear and Failure Analysis of Composite Structures

The overall goal of this research is to assess the effect of discontinuities and uncertainties on the nonlinear response and failure of stiffened composite panels subjected to combined mechanical and thermal loads. The key elements of the study are: (a) study of the effects of stiffener geometry and of transverse stresses on the response, damage initiation and propagation in stiffened composite panels; (b) use of hierarchical sensitivity coefficients to identify the major parameters that affect the response and damage in each of the different levels in the hierarchy (micromechanical, layer, panel, subcomponent and component levels); and, (c) application of fuzzy set techniques to identify the range and variation of possible responses. The computational models developed are used in conjunction with experiments to understand the physical phenomena associated with the nonlinear response and failure of stiffened composite panels. A toolkit is developed for use in conjunction with deterministic analysis programs to help the designer in assessing the effect of uncertainties in the different computational model parameters on the variability of the response quantities.

Noor, Ahmed K.↗

On the identifiability of linear dynamical systems

Consider the situation in which the unknown parameters of a stationary linear system may be parametrized by a set of unknown parameters. The question thus arises of when such a set of parameters can be uniquely identified on the basis of observed data. This problem is considered here both in the case of input and output observations and in the case of output observations in the presence of a white noise input. Conditions for local identifiability are derived for both situations and a sufficient condition for global identifiability is given for the former situation, i.e., when simultaneous input and output observations are available.

Glover, K.↗

Development of Formation Deployment and Intialization Concepts

NASA's Cross-Cutting Technology Development Program identified formation flying as a key enabler for the next generation Earth and Sciences campaign. It is hoped that this technology will allow a distributed network of autonomous satellites to act collaboratively as a single collective unit paving the way for extensive co-observing campaigns, coordinated multi-point observing programs, improved space-based interferometry, and entirely new approaches to conducting science. APL as a team member with GSFC, funded by the Earth Sciences and Technology Organization (ESTO), investigated formation deployment and initialization concepts which is central to the formation flying concept. This paper presents the analytical approach and preliminary results of the study. The study investigated a simple mission involving the deployment of six micro-satellites, one at a time, from a bus. At the initialization state, the satellites fly in an along-track trajectory separated by nominal spacing. The study entailed the development of a two-body (bus and satellite) relative motion propagator based on Clohessy-Wiltshire (C-W) equations with drag from which the relative motion of the micro-satellites is deduced. This code was used to investigate cluster development characteristics subject to "tip-off' (ejection) conditions. Results indicate that cluster development is very sensitive to the ballistic coefficients of the bus and satellites, and to relative ejection velocity. This information can be used to identify optimum deployment parameters, along with accuracy bounds for a particular mission, and to develop a cluster control strategy minimizing global fuel and cost. A suitable control strategy concept has been identified, however, it needs to be developed further.

Badesha, Surjit S.↗

Characterizing Quantum Devices Using Model Selection

Quantum information processors are a new kind of computing device with the potential to solve certain problems very quickly. The quantum bits, or "ʺqubits,"ʺ that enable such processors are being developed at Sandia and around the world. In support of this effort, Sandia’s Center for Computing Research is designing methods and algorithms to characterize and debug the behavior of experimental qubits, such as trapped ions and electron spins in silicon. This is a challenge, because qubits are hard to characterize for exactly the same reason that they are powerful. Their behavior (and misbehavior) is far richer and more complicated than that of classical bits! The most reliable models of quantum errors have infinitely many parameters, and we never have enough data to fit all of them. Until now, researchers simply threw out most of these parameters resulting in a crude approximation that makes the problem tractable, but isn’t reliable or accurate enough for Sandia’s experimental work. Our new techniques use statistical model selection to identify “significant” error parameters on the fly, applying a data-­‐‑driven information criterion to choose a Hilbert space that describes the data well without overfitting. To find a reliable criterion, we needed to evaluate many candidates on an enormous corpus of test cases–for which we relied on Red Sky’s ability to run parallel Monte Carlo simulations. Our computations demonstrate how classic model selection methods have to be modified for quantum devices. These results will enable new techniques that identify the effective dimension of as-­‐‑built qubits on the fly, and then use this information to reliably pin down error behaviors and produce successively better and more useful qubits. This project highlights the close and productive relationship between Sandia and the University of New Mexico, where Travis Scholten is working towards a Ph.D. in physics. Both the intellectual environment of UNM and the high-­‐‑powered supercomputing available at Sandia were critical ingredients in achieving our research goals.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Identifiability and predictability of integer- and fractional-order epidemiological models using physics-informed neural networks

Here we analyze a plurality of epidemiological models through the lens of physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) that enable us to identify time-dependent parameters and data-driven fractional differential operators. In particular, we consider several variations of the classical susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) model by introducing more compartments and fractional-order and time-delay models. We report the results for the spread of COVID-19 in New York City, Rhode Island and Michigan states and Italy, by simultaneously inferring the unknown parameters and the unobserved dynamics. For integer-order and time-delay models, we fit the available data by identifying time-dependent parameters, which are represented by neural networks. In contrast, for fractional differential models, we fit the data by determining different time-dependent derivative orders for each compartment, which we represent by neural networks. We investigate the structural and practical identifiability of these unknown functions for different datasets, and quantify the uncertainty associated with neural networks and with control measures in forecasting the pandemic.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗