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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 883 records · Page 49
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021

During the COVID-19 pandemic there has been a strong interest in forecasts of the short-term development of epidemiological indicators to inform decision makers. In this study we evaluate probabilistic real-time predictions of confirmed cases and deaths from COVID-19 in Germany and Poland for the period from January through April 2021. We evaluate probabilistic real-time predictions of confirmed cases and deaths from COVID-19 in Germany and Poland. These were issued by 15 different forecasting models, run by independent research teams. Moreover, we study the performance of combined ensemble forecasts. Evaluation of probabilistic forecasts is based on proper scoring rules, along with interval coverage proportions to assess calibration. The presented work is part of a pre-registered evaluation study. We find that many, though not all, models outperform a simple baseline model up to four weeks ahead for the considered targets. Ensemble methods show very good relative performance. The addressed time period is characterized by rather stable non-pharmaceutical interventions in both countries, making short-term predictions more straightforward than in previous periods. However, major trend changes in reported cases, like the rebound in cases due to the rise of the B.1.1.7 (Alpha) variant in March 2021, prove challenging to predict. Multi-model approaches can help to improve the performance of epidemiological forecasts. However, while death numbers can be predicted with some success based on current case and hospitalization data, predictability of case numbers remains low beyond quite short time horizons. Additional data sources including sequencing and mobility data, which were not extensively used in the present study, may help to improve performance.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Direct observation of magnetic ordering induced via systematic lattice disorder in artificial rhombus spin ices

It is critical to understand the effect of lattice geometry on the order parameter of a condensed matter system, as it controls phase transitions in such systems. Artificial spin ices (ASIs) are two-dimensional lattices of Ising-like nanomagnets that provide an opportunity to explore such phenomena by lithographically controlling the lattice geometry to observe its influence on magnetic ordering and frustration effects. Here we report a systematic approach to studying the effects of disorder in rhombus ASIs generated from combinations of five vertex motifs. We investigate four geometries characterized by a geometric order parameter, with symmetries ranging from periodic to quasiperiodic to random. Lorentz transmission electron microscopy data indicates magnetic domain behavior depends on chains of strongly-coupled islands in the periodic and sixfold-twinned lattices, while the behavior of the disordered lattice is dominated by vertex motifs with large configurational degeneracy. Utilizing micromagnetic simulations, a quantitative analysis of the lattice energetics showed that the experimental rotationally-demagnetized state of the disordered ASI was closer in energy to the idealized ground state compared to other periodic and twinned ASIs. Finally, our work provides a unique pathway for using degeneracy, magnetic frustration, and order to control the magnetization behavior of designer disordered systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Critical values of cyber parameters in a dynamic microgrid system

An islanded microgrid can be used to serve critcal load as a resiliency source when a severe outage occurs. In an islanded mode, control of a microgrid relies on the communication system significantly. Hence, microgrids are cyberphysical systems and, therefore, the cyber system plays a crucial role in the performance of the cyber-power system. A microgrid control scheme is proposed for power dispatch and regulation based on the droop and proportional-integral (PI) feedback control. The proposed control strategy is validated for transient stability following dynamic events. To evaluate the impact of a networked control system on control performance, a cyber model is developed to represent data acquisition periods and communication delays. An analytical method is proposed to determine the critical values for the data reporting periods and communication delays. The analytical method based on a state space model of a networked control system is applicable for large-scale systems. A 2-dimensional stability region of a microgrid in the space of cyber parameters can be obtained by the proposed method, and the critical values of cyber parameters are determined based on the stability region. Simulation results validate that the design of a microgrid as a cyber-physical system needs to be guided by critical values for the data reporting period and communication delay to prevent system instability.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2023

BEYONDPLANCK VI. Noise characterization and modeling

We present a Bayesian method for estimating instrumental noise parameters and propagating noise uncertainties within the global BeyondPlanck Gibbs sampling framework, and apply this to Planck Low Frequency Instrument (LFI) time-ordered data. Following previous literature, we initially adopt a 1/ f model for the noise power spectral density (PSD), but find the need for an additional lognormal component in the noise model for the 30 and 44 GHz bands. We implement an optimal Wiener-filter (or constrained realization) gap-filling procedure to account for masked data. We then use this procedure to both estimate the gapless correlated noise in the time-domain, n corr , and to sample the noise PSD parameters, ξ n = {σ 0 , f knee , α, A p }. In contrast to previous Planck analyses, we assume piecewise stationary noise only within each pointing period (PID), not throughout the full mission, but we adopt the LFI Data Processing Center (DPC) results as priors on α and f knee . On average, we find best-fit correlated noise parameters that are mostly consistent with previous results, with a few notable exceptions. However, a detailed inspection of the time-dependent results reveals many important findings. First and foremost, we find strong evidence for statistically significant temporal variations in all noise PSD parameters, many of which are directly correlated with satellite housekeeping data. Second, while the simple 1/ f model appears to be an excellent fit for the LFI 70 GHz channel, there is evidence for additional correlated noise not described by a 1/ f model in the 30 and 44 GHz channels, including within the primary science frequency range of 0.1–1 Hz. In general, most 30 and 44 GHz channels exhibit deviations from 1/ f at the 2–3σ level in each one hour pointing period, motivating the addition of the lognormal noise component for these bands. For some periods of time, we also find evidence of strong common mode noise fluctuations across the entire focal plane. Overall, we conclude that a simple 1/ f profile is not adequate to fully characterize the Planck LFI noise, even when fitted hour-by-hour, and a more general model is required. These findings have important implications for large-scale CMB polarization reconstruction with the Planck LFI data, and the current work is a first attempt at understanding and mitigating these issues.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Cepheids with giant companions: II. Spectroscopic confirmation of nine new double-lined binary systems composed of two Cepheids

Context.Binary Cepheids with giant companions are crucial for studying the physical properties of Cepheid variables, in particular providing the best means to measure their masses. Systems composed of two Cepheids are even more important, but to date, only one such system has been identified, in the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC). Aims.Our current aim is to increase the number of these systems known tenfold and to provide their basic characteristics. The final goal is to obtain the physical properties of the component Cepheids, including their masses and radii, and to learn about their evolution in the multiple systems, also revealing their origin. Methods.We started a spectroscopic monitoring campaign of nine unresolved pairs of Cepheids from the OGLE catalog to check if they are gravitationally bound. Two of these so-called double Cepheids are located in the LMC, five are in the Small Magellanic Cloud (SMC), and two are in the Milky Way (MW). Results.We report a spectroscopic detection of the binarity of all nine of these double Cepheids with orbital periods ranging from 2 to 18 years. This increases the number of known binary double (BIND) Cepheids from 1 to 10 and triples the number of all confirmed double-lined binary (SB2) Cepheids. For five BIND Cepheids, the disentangled pulsational light curves of the components show anti-correlated phase shifts due to orbital motion. We show the first empirical evidence that typical period–luminosity relations (PLRs) are rather binary Cepheid PLRs, as they include light of the companion. Conclusions.The statistics of pulsation period ratios of BIND Cepheids do not agree with those expected for pairs of Cepheids of the same age. These ratios together with the determined mass ratios far from unity suggest a merger origin of at least one component for about half of the systems. The SMC and MW objects are the first found in SB2 systems composed of giants in their host galaxies. The Milky Way BIND Cepheids are also the closest such systems, being located at about 11 and 26 kpc.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
DOE OSTI2020

Dirac energy spectrum and inverted bandgap in metamorphic InAsSb/InSb superlattices

A Dirac-type energy spectrum was shown in gapless ultra-short-period metamorphic InAsSb/InSb superlattices by angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy (ARPES) measurements. The Fermi velocity value 7.4x10 5 m/s in a gapless superlattice with a period of 6.2nm is in a good agreement with the results of magneto-absorption experiments. An “inverted” bandgap opens in the center of the Brillouin zone at higher temperatures and in the superlattice with a larger period. The ARPES data suggest the presence of a surface electron accumulation layer.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2020

A simple model to scope out parameter space for indirect drive designs on NIF

In this work, we present a simple model to scope out parameter space for indirect-drive, inertial confinement fusion designs for the National Ignition Facility laser. Because the parameter space is large, simple models can be used to identify regions of parameter space for further study with more sophisticated models and experiments. We include a model for Hohlraum radiation drive and symmetry—both based on empirical scalings from the data. The model for radiation drive is based on assuming that the high atomic number (Z) Hohlraum wall dominates the energy balance during the high power, peak of the pulse (≳ 300 TW). We find that the time-dependent radiation drive flux can be described by the running integral of the laser energy divided by the Hohlraum area multiplied by constant slopes in two distinct time periods. The first period is when the laser power rises rapidly, so the radiation temperature increases due to changes in laser power and wall albedo. The second period is during peak power—here, the laser power is typically held constant—so, the radiation temperature increases only due to changes in the wall albedo. This model is applied to several NIF designs with different Hohlraum sizes, laser pulse length durations, and peak powers and energies. Drive and symmetry models can be combined to find regions of parameter space that have high capsule absorbed energy while maintaining a symmetric implosion. We propose a new metric for evaluating designs based on minimizing the radius at which the maximum implosion kinetic energy is achieved.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Resonant amplification of enzymatic chemical oscillations by oscillating flow

Using theory and simulation, we analyzed the resonant amplification of chemical oscillations that occur due to externally imposed oscillatory fluid flows. The chemical reactions are promoted by two enzyme-coated patches located sequentially on the inner surface of a pipe that transports the enclosed chemical solution. In the case of diffusion-limited systems, the period of oscillations in chemical reaction networks is determined by the rate of the chemical transport, which is diffusive in nature and, therefore, can be effectively accelerated by the imposed fluid flows. In this work, we first identify the natural frequencies of the chemical oscillations in the unperturbed reaction–diffusion system and, then, use the frequencies as a forcing input to drive the system to resonance. We demonstrate that flow-induced resonance can be used to amplify the amplitude of the chemical oscillations and to synchronize their frequency to the external forcing. In particular, we show that even 10% perturbations in the flow velocities can double the amplitude of the resulting chemical oscillations. Particularly, effective control can be achieved for the two-step chemical reactions where during the first half-period, the fluid flow accelerates the chemical flux toward the second catalytic patch, while during the second half-period, the flow amplifies the flux to the first patch. The results can provide design rules for regulating the dynamics of coupled reaction–diffusion processes and can facilitate the development of chemical reaction networks that act as chemical clocks.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

The superatomic state beyond conventional magic numbers: Ligated metal chalcogenide superatoms

The field of cluster science is drawing increasing attention due to the strong size and composition-dependent properties of clusters and the exciting prospect of clusters serving as the building blocks for materials with tailored properties. However, identifying a unifying central paradigm that provides a framework for classifying and understanding the diverse behaviors is an outstanding challenge. One such central paradigm is the superatom concept that was developed for metallic and ligand-protected metallic clusters. The periodic electronic and geometric closed shells in clusters result in their properties being based on the stability they gain when they achieve closed shells. This stabilization results in the clusters having a well-defined valence allowing them to be classified as superatoms – thus, extending the periodic table to a third dimension. This perspective focuses on extending the superatomic concept to ligated metal-chalcogen clusters that have recently been synthesized in solutions and form assemblies with counterions that have wide-ranging applications. Here we illustrate that the periodic patterns emerge in the electronic structure of ligated metal-chalcogenide clusters. The stabilization gained by the closing of their electronic shells allows for the prediction of their redox properties. Further investigations reveal how the selection of ligands may control the redox properties of the superatoms. These ligated clusters may serve as chemical dopants for two-dimensional semiconductors to control their transport characteristics. Superatomic molecules of multiple metal-chalcogen superatoms allow for the formation of nano pn junctions ideal for directed transport and photon harvesting. As a result, the perspective outlines future developments, including the synthesis of magnetic superatoms.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Analysis of coherent Thomson scattering from a low temperature plasma

In this work, the spectrum of coherent Thomson scattering (CTS) induced by a periodic ponderomotive perturbation in a low-density low temperature plasma is considered. The analysis is performed for the case when the period of the resulting optical lattice is less than the Debye screening length in the plasma by solving an electron Boltzmann equation, where the total force is the sum of the periodic force due to the optical lattice and the electrostatic force due to self-consistent electric field in the plasma. An analogy between the CTS spectra calculated here and coherent Rayleigh scattering spectra in a neutral gas is established. For relatively low intensity for the optical lattice, the calculated CTS spectra are nearly Gaussian with widths slightly wider than the incoherent Thomson widths. We demonstrate that at higher intensities the line shape narrows and saturates to a width approximately half of that found at low lattice intensities. The proportionality of the spectral width to the square root of the electron temperature allows one to extract the electron temperature from the saturated spectra. Possible application of CTS for remote measuring the electron temperature in plasma is discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Representations and strategies for transferable machine learning improve model performance in chemical discovery

Strategies for machine-learning (ML)-accelerated discovery that are general across material composition spaces are essential, but demonstrations of ML have been primarily limited to narrow composition variations. By addressing the scarcity of data in promising regions of chemical space for challenging targets such as open-shell transition-metal complexes, general representations and transferable ML models that leverage known relationships in existing data will accelerate discovery. Over a large set (~1000) of isovalent transition-metal complexes, we quantify evident relationships for different properties (i.e., spin-splitting and ligand dissociation) between rows of the Periodic Table (i.e., 3d/4d metals and 2p/3p ligands). We demonstrate an extension to the graph-based revised autocorrelation (RAC) representation (i.e., eRAC) that incorporates the group number alongside the nuclear charge heuristic that otherwise overestimates dissimilarity of isovalent complexes. To address the common challenge of discovery in a new space where data are limited, we introduce a transfer learning approach in which we seed models trained on a large amount of data from one row of the Periodic Table with a small number of data points from the additional row. We demonstrate the synergistic value of the eRACs alongside this transfer learning strategy to consistently improve model performance. Analysis of these models highlights how the approach succeeds by reordering the distances between complexes to be more consistent with the Periodic Table, a property we expect to be broadly useful for other material domains.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Quantum mechanics based non-bonded force field functions for use in molecular dynamics simulations of materials and systems: The nitrogen and oxygen columns

Accurate Force Fields (FFs) are essential for Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulations of the dynamics of realistic materials in terms of atomic-level interactions. The FF parameters of short-range valence interactions can be derived through Quantum Mechanical (QM) calculations on model systems practical for QM (<300 atoms). Similarly, the dynamic electrostatic interactions can be described with methods such as QEq or PQEq that allow charges and polarization to adjust dynamically. However, accurately extracting long-range van der Waals (vdW) interactions from QM calculations poses challenges due to the absence of a definitive method to distinguish between the different energetic components of electrostatics, polarization, vdW, hydrogen bonding, and valence interactions. To do this we use the Perdew–Burke–Ernzerhof flavor of Density Functional Theory, including empirical D3 vdW corrections, to predict the Equation of State for each element (keeping any covalent bonds fixed), from which we obtain the two-body vdW nonbond potential. Here, we extend these calculations to include non-bonded parameters for the N and O columns of the periodic table so that we now describe columns 15 (N), 16 (O), 17 (F), and 18 (Ne) of the periodic table. For these 20 elements, we find that the two-body vdW potentials can all be mapped to a single universal two-body curve, with just three scaling parameters: Re, De, and L. We refer to this as the Universal NonBond (UNB) potential. We expect this to be useful for new MD simulations and a helpful starting point to obtain UNB parameters for the remainder of the periodic table.

Chemistry↗
DOE OSTI2025

Transient plasma-detachment events induced by multiple gas puffs in ADITYA-U tokamak

Application of periodic short bursts of gas leads to periodic separation of the plasma column edge from the limiter in the Ohmically heated discharges of ADITYA-U tokamak. After every gas-puff, injecting around 10 17 –10 18 m −3 molecules of fuel gas in the edge of the plasma column, a significant reduction in plasma density, temperature, H α emission intensity and an increase in the H β /H α ratio is observed in the vicinity of the limiter radius for a certain time duration before these parameters regain their pre-gas puff values. A decline in the ion-flux to the limiter is also observed simultaneously. The global confinement of plasma also increases after each gas-puff. These observations, which repeat after each gas-injection, imply that the plasma–neutral interaction occurs further away from the limiters after the gas-injection and indicate a periodic plasma separation from the limiter surface. Further investigation revealed that the gas-injection modifies the radial and toroidal electric field, which may be playing a role in the separation of the plasma column from the limiter surface. It was further demonstrated by an electrode bias experiment in the absence of gas-injection that an application of an external radial electric field can result in obtaining a separated plasma state.

Physics - Plasma physics↗
DOE OSTI2020

Interference effects in the formation of the light bullet spectrum under axicon focusing

Specific features of the anti-Stokes band of the light bullet supercontinuum spectrum under filamentation of 1900-nm femtosecond pulses, focused by an axicon in fused silica and calcium fluoride, have been experimentally, numerically, and analytically investigated. It is found that the formation of two or more light bullets in a filament leads to modulation of spectral components’ intensity. The oscillation period of spectral components, defined as the wavelength interval between adjacent intensity minima, decreases with decreasing their wavelength. On a logarithmic scale, the relative change in the oscillation period in the spectrum is proportional to the spectral component wavelength and is independent of the pulse energy and the position of the light bullet formation region in the filament. It is established that the modulation in the spectrum is due to the interference of the broadband supercontinuum emitted by light bullets, and its period decreases with increasing interval between them. (paper)

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2021

The mesoscale order of nacreous pearls

A pearl’s distinguished beauty and toughness are attributable to the periodic stacking of aragonite tablets known as nacre. Nacre has naturally occurring mesoscale periodicity that remarkably arises in the absence of discrete translational symmetry. Gleaning the inspiring biomineral design of a pearl requires quantifying its structural coherence and understanding the stochastic processes that influence formation. By characterizing the entire structure of pearls (~3 mm) in a cross-section at high resolution, we show that nacre has medium-range mesoscale periodicity. Self-correcting growth mechanisms actively remedy disorder and topological defects of the tablets and act as a countervailing process to long-range disorder. Nacre has a correlation length of roughly 16 tablets (~5.5 µm) despite persistent fluctuations and topological defects. For longer distances (>25 tablets ~8.5 µm), the frequency spectrum of nacre tablets follows f –1.5 behavior, suggesting that growth is coupled to external stochastic processes—a universality found across disparate natural phenomena, which now includes pearls.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Reconstructing Hanford worker external doses from photons for epidemiology

The accurate reconstruction of external photon doses is essential for credible radiation epidemiology. This article presents the methodology used to derive dose estimates for 37 012 Hanford Site workers included in the Million Person Study. The approach employs historical dose records from the Hanford Radiation Exposure database and a previous epidemiology study. Bias correction factors specific to dosimeter type and period of use were applied and missing annual doses were estimated using a hierarchical nearby method to estimate deep dose equivalent for each worker. For early years with limited detection sensitivity, missed doses were quantified based on expected time-period-specific, low-dose statistical distributions. The revised dose estimates resulted in lower median and mean career doses than unadjusted data, while increasing the number of person-years with nonzero dose. Sensitivity analyses assessed the influence of bias in dosimetry measurements, missed doses and gap years on dose estimates. Differences in cumulative dose estimates between unadjusted and revised annual estimates are most prominent in the early operational years due to the highest bias during that time period.

dose reconstruction↗
DOE OSTI2022

Reaction–drift–diffusion models from master equations: application to material defects

We present a general method to produce well-conditioned continuum reaction–drift–diffusion equations directly from master equations on a discrete, periodic state space. We assume the underlying data to be kinetic Monte Carlo models (i.e. continuous-time Markov chains) produced from atomic sampling of point defects in locally periodic environments, such as perfect lattices, ordered surface structures or dislocation cores, possibly under the influence of a slowly varying external field. Our approach also applies to any discrete, periodic Markov chain. Here, the analysis identifies a previously omitted non-equilibrium drift term, present even in the absence of external forces, which can compete in magnitude with the reaction rates, thus being essential to correctly capture the kinetics. To remove fast modes which hinder time integration, we use a generalized Bloch relation to efficiently calculate the eigenspectrum of the master equation. A well conditioned continuum equation then emerges by searching for spectral gaps in the long wavelength limit, using an established kinetic clustering algorithm to define a proper reduced, Markovian state space.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Transients using low-high pulsed power in inductively coupled plasmas

Pulsed inductively coupled plasmas (ICPs) are widely deployed in the fabrication of semi-conductor devices. Pulse repetition frequencies (PRFs) of up to tens of kHz are commonly used during plasma etching for the high power densities they generate during the pulse-on period, and for their unique chemistries during the pulse-off period. The use of highly attaching halogen gases produces low electron densities during the pulse-off period, and these low density can result in instabilities, E-H transitions and ignition delays when applying power on the next pulse. To mitigate these possibilities, a low-level power environment could be maintained during “pulse-off” to moderate the minimum plasma density, therefore reducing ignition delays and enhancing plasma stability. In this work, ICPs sustained by 5 kHz pulsed power using Ar/Cl 2 mixtures at 20 mTorr were computationally investigated. For these conditions, the computed electron temperature (T e ) reaches a quasi-steady state during both the high- and low-power excitation. The model predicts that within the electromagnetic skin-depth, T e spikes to a high value during a low-to-high power modulation, and to a low value during a high-to-low power modulation. At the same time, a few cm above the substrate, there is little modulation in T e , as electron power convected from the skin depth disperses in traversing the reactor. Finally, the positive and negative spikes, and convection of transients across the reactors, are functions of power ramping time and gas mixtures.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗