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At least 883 records · Page 49

The Zonal Patterns in Late Quaternary Tropical South American Precipitation

Speleothem oxygen isotope records (δ 18 O) of tropical South American rainfall in the late Quaternary show a zonal “South American Precipitation Dipole” (SAPD). The dipole is characterized by opposing east-west precipitation anomalies compared to the present—wetter in the east and drier in the west at the mid-Holocene (~7 ka), and drier in the east and wetter in the west at the Last Glacial Maximum (~21 ka). However, the SAPD remains enigmatic because it is expressed differently in western versus eastern δ18O records and isotope-enabled climate model simulations usually misrepresent the magnitude and/or spatial pattern of δ 18 O change. Here, we address the SAPD enigma in two parts. First, we re-interpret the δ 18 O data to account for upwind rainout effects that are known to be pervasive in tropical South America, but are not always considered in Quaternary paleoclimate studies. Our revised interpretation reconciles the δ 18 O data with cave infiltration and other proxy records, and indicates that the centroid of tropical South American rainfall has migrated zonally over time. Second, using an energy balance model of tropical atmospheric circulation, we hypothesize that zonal migration of the precipitation centroid can be explained by regional energy budget shifts, such as changing Saharan albedo associated with the African Humid Period, that have not been modeled in previous SAPD studies. This hypothesis of a migrating precipitation centroid presents a new framework for interpreting δ18O records from tropical South America and may help explain the zonal rainfall anomalies that predate the late Quaternary.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Largest Ever Recorded Heatwave—Characteristics and Attribution of the Antarctic Heatwave of March 2022

An unprecedented heatwave impacted East Antarctica in March 2022, peaking at 39°C above climatology, the largest temperature anomaly ever recorded globally. We investigate the causes of the heatwave, the impact of climate change, and a climate model's ability in simulating such an event. The heatwave, which was skillfully forecast, resulted from a highly anomalous large-scale circulation pattern that advected an Australian airmass to East Antarctica in 4 days and produced record atmospheric heat fluxes. Southern Ocean sea surface temperatures anomalies had a minimal impact on the heatwave's amplitude. Simulations from a climate model fail to simulate such a large temperature anomaly mostly due to biases in its large-scale circulation variability, showcasing a pathway for future model improvement in simulating extreme heatwaves. The heatwave was made 2°C warmer by climate change, and end of 21st century heatwaves may be an additional 5–6°C warmer, raising the prospect of near-melting temperatures over the interior of East Antarctica.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Advances in physics understanding of high poloidal beta regime toward steady-state operation of CFETR

Experimental and modeling investigations of the high βp scenarios on the DIII-D and EAST tokamaks show advantages in high energy confinement, avoidance of n = 1 MHD, and core-edge integration with reduced heat flux, making this scenario an attractive option for CFETR steady-state operation. Experiments show that plasmas with high confinement and high density can be achieved with neutral beam injection on DIII-D (β p ~ 2.2, β N ~ 3.5, f BS ~ 50%, f Gw ~ 1.0, H 98y2 ~ 1.5) and pure RF power on EAST (β P ~ 2.0, β N ~ 1.6, f BS ~ 50%, f Gw ~ 0.8, H 98y2 > 1.3). By tailoring the current density profile, a q-profile with local (off-axis) negative shear is achieved that yields improved confinement and MHD stability. Transport analysis and simulation suggest that the combination of high density gradient and high Shafranov shift allows turbulence stabilization and higher confinement. Using on-axis ECH injection, tungsten accumulation is avoided on EAST, and this is reproduced in modeling. Reduced heat flux (by >40%) and maintenance of high core confinement is achieved with active feedback control of the radiated divertor, an important result for long pulse operation in tokamaks. In conclusion, the improved physics understanding and validated modeling tools are used to design a 1GW steady-state scenario for CFETR.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Hybrid deep learning architecture for general disruption prediction across tokamaks

In this paper, we present a new deep learning disruption prediction algorithm based on important findings from explorative data analysis which effectively allows knowledge transfer from existing devices to new ones, thereby predicting disruptions using very limited disruptive data from the new devices. Here, the explorative data analysis conducted via unsupervised clustering techniques confirms that time-sequence data are much better separators of disruptive and non-disruptive behavior than the instantaneous plasma state data with further advantageous implications for a sequence-based predictor. Based on such important findings, we have designed a new algorithm for multi-machine disruption prediction that achieves high predictive accuracy on the C-Mod (AUC=0.801), DIII-D (AUC=0.947) and EAST (AUC=0.973) tokamaks with limited hyperparameter tuning. Through numerical experiments, we show that boosted accuracy (AUC=0.959) is achieved on EAST predictions by including in the training only 20 disruptive discharges, thousands of non-disruptive discharges from EAST, and combining this with more than a thousand discharges from DIII-D and C-Mod. The improvement of predictive ability obtained by combining disruptive data from other devices is found to be true for all permutations of the three devices. Furthermore, by comparing the predictive performance of each individual numerical experiment, we find that non-disruptive data are machine-specific while disruptive data from multiple devices contain device-independent knowledge that can be used to inform predictions for disruptions occurring on a new device.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Influence of triangularity on the plasma response to resonant magnetic perturbations

The effect of the axisymmetric plasma shape on the non-axisymmetric plasma response to resonant magnetic perturbations is investigated in experiment and modeling for the DIII-D, EAST and ASDEX Upgrade tokamaks. Systematically modeling the effect of the triangularity, whilst keeping other equilibrium quantities largely unchanged, reveals that the plasma response is strongly suppressed at high triangularity compared to that at low triangularity. This is validated through targeted comparison with experiments at DIII-D, EAST, and ASDEX Upgrade. DIII-D and EAST magnetic measurements are used to validate simulations, while at ASDEX Upgrade the plasma edge displacement is measured. Both experiments and modeling find a reduced magnetic plasma response on the high-field side at high triangularity across devices. Multi-modal analysis of the simulation results extracts the mode structure and applied spectrum dependence of each mode. The amplitude of the dominant mode reveals similar trends with the edge resonance and radial displacement near the X-point, which suggests that the multi-mode plasma response provides another way to understand the edge localized mode (ELM) control physics. The plasma response is strongly reduced at high triangularity compared to that at low triangularity, which implies different ELM control effects as shaping is varied. Furthermore, these findings indicate that the plasma shape should be taken into consideration when designing an RMP-ELM control strategy in experiment, and that predictive plasma response calculations can be used to maximize access to RMP-ELM control in future devices by maximizing the coupling between coils and the plasma.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

CMIP6 skill at predicting interannual to multi-decadal summer monsoon precipitation variability

Monsoons affect the economy, agriculture, and human health of two thirds of the world’s population. Therefore, predicting variations in monsoon precipitation is societally important. We explore the ability of climate models from the sixth phase of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project to predict summer monsoon precipitation variability by using hindcasts from the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (Component A). The multi-model ensemble-mean shows significant skill at predicting summer monsoon precipitation from one year to 6–9 years ahead. However, this skill is dependent on the model, monsoon domain, and lead-time. In general, the skill of the multi-model ensemble-mean prediction is low in year 1 but increases for longer-lead times and is largely consistent with externally forced changes. The best captured region is northern Africa for the 2–5 and 6–9 year forecast lead times. In contrast, there is no significant skill using the ensemble-mean over East and South Asia and, furthermore, there is significant spread in skill among models for these domains. By sub-sampling the ensemble we show that the difference in skill between models is tied to the simulation of the externally forced response over East and South Asia, with models with a more skilful forced response capable of better predictions. A further contribution is from skilful prediction of Pacific Ocean temperatures for the South Asian summer monsoon at longer lead-times. Therefore, these results indicate that predictions of the East and South Asian monsoons could be significantly improved.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Interseasonal Connections between the Timing of the Stratospheric Final Warming and Arctic Sea Ice

Connections across seasons in atmospheric circulation and sea ice have long been sought to advance seasonal prediction. This study presents a link between the springtime stratosphere and Arctic sea ice in summer through autumn. The polar stratospheric vortex dominates the winter stratosphere before breaking down each spring, which is called the stratospheric final warming, as solar radiation returns to the pole. Interannual variability of this breakdown is dynamically driven, leading to different springtime tropospheric and surface circulation patterns. To examine the different impacts of delayed and early final warmings, a multimodel composite was generated from selected CMIP5 models. Additionally, regressions were performed on JRA-55 against an index of springtime polar vortex strength. In both the multimodel composites and reanalysis regressions, significant anomalies in sea ice thickness persist several months following an anomalous timing of the final warming. A later final warming or stronger springtime polar stratospheric vortex leads to negative sea ice thickness anomalies in the East Siberian Sea and positive anomalies in the Beaufort Sea in comparison with an earlier final warming or weaker polar vortex. The spring polar stratospheric vortex is related to spring polar surface circulation patterns. The winds associated with this pattern induce anomalous sea ice motion, moving ice from the East Siberian Sea toward the Beaufort Sea. Reduced sea ice in the East Siberian Sea is linked to anomalous warmth over this region in autumn. Our results suggest that the timing of the stratospheric final warming exerts an influence on the tropospheric circulation and sea ice through autumn, which has implications for seasonal climate prediction.

Kelleher, Michael↗

Understanding Observed Precipitation Change and the New Climate Normal from the Perspective of Daily Weather Types in the Southeast United States

Abstract Observed precipitation changes in the Southeast United States (SEUS) are spatially heterogeneous. Most of the inland SEUS and eastern Gulf Coast become drier, and the East Coast north of Charleston, South Carolina, and southern Florida become wetter from the old 30-yr period of 1961–90 to the recent period of 1991–2020. The observed climate change is examined from the perspective of daily weather types (WTs). A k -means clustering analysis has been conducted using daily 850-hPa circulation for 1948–2021. The obtained 10 WTs peak in different seasons, respectively. The frequencies and precipitation intensity of the WTs have been analyzed. A winter WT characterized by a western Appalachian trough (WAT) and a summer WT featuring North Atlantic subtropical high (NASH) have a rising trend of annual frequency from 1948 to 2021. An Appalachian high in the autumn has a decreasing frequency but becomes drier and stronger. Some precipitation intensity change and small location shift have also been observed. The drying up on the eastern Gulf Coast and the inland area of the SEUS is mainly caused by the weakened southwesterly low-level jet (LLJ) on the western flank of the NASH that reduces rain in the spring, the less frequent but stronger and drier Appalachian high in the summer and autumn, and the weaker and more western located Plains trough (PT) in the winter, spring, and autumn. The precipitation increase in the East Coast and southern Florida is majorly due to more frequent, stronger, and rainier troughs along the western Appalachian as well as the East Coast.

Qian, Jian-Hua↗

Hybrid predictive modeling approach simulated evapotranspiration and ecosystem respiration data

This dataset includes measured data used for developing hybrid-predictive-modeling (HPM) approach and simulated evapotranspiration and ecosystem respiration data across several Fluxnet sites, SNOTEL sites and East River locations (Chen et al., 2020 in review). Fluxnet sites considered in this study include: CA-OAS, CA-OBS, US-NR1, US-TON, US-VAR, US-SRM, US-WHS, US-WKG. Snotel sites Butte (ER-BT), Porphyry Creek (ER-PK) and Schofield Pass (ER-SP) are included as well 16 east river locations with different vegetation types denoted by evergreen forests (EF), deciduous forests (DF), riparian shrublands (RS) and meadow grassland (MS). This data package includes: 1) A summary spread sheet of the sites and acronyms for data variables. 2) Processed Fluxnet datasets that are obtained from Fluxnet.fluxdata.org with HPM estimated evapotranspiration (ET) and ecosystem respiration (RECO). Trained models and metrics for parameters for the Fluxnet sites were added in an update on November 2, 2020; 3) Processed SNOTEL datasets obtained from www.nrcs.usda.gov/snow/ and HPM estimated ET and RECO; 4) Weather data at east river locations obtained from DAYMET (daymet.ornl.gov) as well as HPM estimated ET and RECO. NDVI datasets are obtained from Landsat 5, 7 and 8 on Google Earth Engine platform. Detailed QA/QC and sampling methods of measured data are available at the original data source.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

CHESS 2025: Spectrometer orthorectified at-sensor radiance from NEON AOP imaging spectroscopy surveys

This dataset provides Level 1 (L1) orthorectified at-sensor radiance derived from measurements collected by the Imaging Spectrometer-1 (NIS-1) onboard the NEON (National Ecological Observatory Network) Airborne Observation Platform (AOP) for the 2025 Colorado Headwaters Ecological Spectroscopy Study (CHESS). NIS-1 captures light reflected from the Earth’s surface in 426 discrete wavelength bands as raw digital numbers (DNs; Level 0). These data are then calibrated to physical units (uW/cm²·sr·nm) following the processing steps described in the NEON Imaging Spectrometer Level 1B Calibrated Radiance Algorithm Theoretical Basis Document (ATBD; Gallery 2022). The data delivered here are the primary inputs for the surface reflectance product in “Custom surface reflectance, shade masks, and equivalent water thickness maps for the Colorado Headwaters Ecological Spectroscopy Study” (Carroll et al. 2026). For intertemporal comparison, the radiance data here are most directly relatable to the v2 radiance data in “NEON AOP Imaging Spectroscopy Survey of Upper East River Colorado Watersheds: Raw-Space Radiance and Observational Variable Dataset” (Goulden et al. 2018), to which the same processing methodology was applied. Together, the radiance and reflectance data enable users to exploit the unique reflection signatures of different surface objects for land cover classification, foliar trait mapping, plant vigor assessment, water content estimation, trace-element identification, and other scientific applications. The data were acquired over three study domains in the Upper Gunnison river basin: the upper East River watershed (CRBU); Almont Triangle and Taylor Canyon (ALMO); and Upper Taylor River watershed (UPTA) between 2025-06-13 and 2025-07-15. Within each domain, data are delivered by flightline as orthorectified and calibrated hyperspectral rasters in Hierarchical Data Format version 5 (HDF5) format, with radiance values provided in uW/cm²·sr·nm on a fixed, uniform Universal Transverse Mercator (UTM) grid at 1 meter spatial resolution. The radiance rasters include all 426 NIS-1 spectral bands, along with associated quality-assurance (QA) and diagnostic and ancillary layers needed for atmospheric correction workflows. Orthorectified radiance is produced from pushbroom spectrometer observations by applying NEON’s radiometric calibration (including bad pixel masking, dark subtract, dark pedestal shift correction, electronic panel ghost correction, grating ghost correction, deblur correction and flat-fielding) and spectral calibration (using spectral response function band centers and full-width at half-maximum intensity), followed by geolocation and regridding to the fixed grid. CHESS Project Description: The Colorado Headwaters Ecological Spectroscopy Study (CHESS) comprised a multi-week airborne remote sensing and field observation campaign in the Upper Gunnison Basin, Colorado, conducted in June and July of 2025. Airborne remote sensing was conducted by the National Ecological Observatory Network Airborne Observation Platform (NEON AOP), concurrent with a field campaign run by the Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory (RMBL), the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) and SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory Watershed Function Science Focus Area (SFA), and NASA-JPL (Jet Propulsion Laboratory) Earth Surface Mineral Dust Source Investigation (EMIT) program. Between June 10 and July 18, 2025, the NEON AOP flight team collected high-resolution aerial imaging spectroscopy and Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) data over three domains: the Upper East River (CRBU), Almont Triangle (ALMO), and the Upper Taylor Basin (UPTA). In coordination with the flights, a field campaign acquired ground-truth observations, including observations of vegetation composition, foliar traits, forest demography, and subsurface properties in 18 core sampling areas within the domains. Additional surface water observations were taken at over 380 point locations. All CHESS campaign datasets can be found within the CHESS ESS-DIVE data portal: https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/portals/chess. Funding Acknowledgement: Field and remote-sensing data acquisition was performed under a grant from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (80NSSC24K1005). This work was also supported by the Watershed Function Science Focus Area at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory funded by the US Department of Energy, Office of Science, Biological and Environmental Research under Contract No. DE-AC02-05CH11231.

2018 NEON and 2025 CHESS Campaigns↗

Complex Fault Geometry of the 2020 M ww 6.5 Monte Cristo Range, Nevada, Earthquake Sequence

On 15 May 2020 an M ww 6.5 earthquake occurred beneath the Monte Cristo Range in the Mina Deflection region of western Nevada. Rapid deployment of eight temporary seismic stations enabled detailed analysis of its productive and slowly decaying aftershock sequence (p=0.8), which included ~18,000 autodetected events in 3.5 months. Double-difference, waveform-based relative relocation of 16,714 earthquakes reveals a complex network of faults, many of which cross the inferred 35-km-long east–northeast-striking, left-lateral mainshock rupture. Seismicity aligns with left-lateral, right-lateral, and normal mechanism moment tensors of 128 of the largest earthquakes. The mainshock occurred near the middle of the aftershock zone at the intersection of two distinct zones of seismicity. In the western section, numerous subparallel, shallow, north-northeast-striking faults form a broad flower-structure-like fault mesh that coalesces at depth into a near-vertical, left-lateral fault. We infer the near-vertical fault to be a region of significant slip in the mainshock and an eastward extension of the left-lateral Candelaria fault. Near the mainshock hypocenter, seismicity occurs on a northeast-striking, west-dipping structure that extends north from the eastern Columbus Salt Marsh normal fault. Together, these two intersecting structures bound the Columbus Salt Marsh tectonic basin. East of this intersection and the mainshock hypocenter, seismicity occurs in a narrow, near-vertical, east-northeast-striking fault zone through to its eastern terminus. At the eastern end, the aftershock zone broadens and extends northwest toward the southern extension of the northwest-striking, right-lateral Petrified Springs fault system. The eastern section hosts significantly fewer aftershocks than the western section, but has more moment release. We infer that shallow aftershocks throughout the system highlight fault-fracture meshes that connect mapped fault systems at depth. Here, comparing earthquake data with surface ruptures and a simple geodetic fault model sheds light on the complexity of this recent M 6.5 Walker Lane earthquake.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Rupture Model of the 5 April 2024 Tewksbury, New Jersey, Earthquake Based on Regional Lg -Wave Data

On 5 April 2024, an earthquake of magnitude 4.8 occurred in Tewksbury, New Jersey. It was the largest instrumentally recorded event since 1900 in New Jersey and southern New York. Millions of people around New York City, ~65 km east–northeast of Tewksbury, felt the shaking from the mainshock, but the epicentral area experienced no known significant property damages. We determine the focal mechanism, which is oblique faulting, and retrieve the Lg–wave relative source time functions (RSTFs) from the stations at regional distances to understand rupture processes and ground motions. Our fault–slip models well explain azimuthal variations of the RSTFs. The models show the rupture propagating toward the east–northeast (~50° to 60°), not along the fault strike. The slip distribution on the nodal plane striking north and dipping to the east shows a slip area of 1.1 km radius with the rupture propagating down–dip. The down–dip rupture may account for the observed lack of strong shaking in the epicentral area.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Vadose Zone Model for B-3 Pond for Composite Analysis

The objectives of the vadose modeling for the updated Hanford Site composite analysis (CA) are to simulate the flow and transport of water and radionuclide releases from the surface to the water table and to provide radionuclide transfer rates for the plateau to river (P2R) model, version 8.3. Water additions include natural recharge and water discharged to the ground as a result of industrial processes associated with Hanford Site operations. Contaminant sources include radionuclides in water discharged to the ground during operations and radionuclides disposed “dry” in solid waste burial grounds or other means. The simulation time starts in 1943 and ends at 12070, which is 10,000 years after assumed Hanford Site closure in 2070. The scope of this ECF is to document the development and results of the B-3 Pond vadose zone model. The B-3 Pond model covers the main lobe of the 216-B-3 Pond System located in a topographic low east of the 200 East Area. The pond system operated from 1945 to 1997 and received effluents from the Plutonium Uranium Extraction Plant, B Plant, 284-E Powerhouse, and other 200 East Area facilities.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Vadose Zone Model for B-3C Pond for Composite Analysis

The objectives of the vadose modeling for the updated Hanford Site composite analysis (CA) are to simulate the flow and transport of water and radionuclide releases from the surface to the water table and to provide radionuclide transfer rates for the plateau to river (P2R) model, version 8.3. Water additions include natural recharge and water discharged to the ground as a result of industrial processes associated with Hanford Site operations. Contaminant sources include radionuclides in water discharged to the ground during operations and radionuclides disposed “dry” in solid waste burial grounds or other means. The simulation time starts in 1943 and ends at 12070, which is 10,000 years after assumed Hanford Site closure in 2070. The scope of this ECF is to document the development and results of the B-3C Pond vadose zone model. The B-3C Pond model covers the 216-B-3C Expansion Pond of the 216-B-3 Pond System located in a topographic low east of the 200 East Area. The pond system operated from 1945 to 1997 and received effluents from the Plutonium Uranium Extraction Plant, B Plant, 284-E Powerhouse, and other 200 East Area facilities.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Y-12 Groundwater Protection Program Groundwater and Surface Water Sampling and Analysis Plan for Calendar Year 2022

This plan provides a description of the groundwater and surface water quality monitoring activities planned for calendar year (CY) 2022 at the U.S. Department of Energy Y-12 National Security Complex (Y-12) that will be managed by the Y-12 Groundwater Protection Program (GWPP). Groundwater and surface water monitoring will be performed in three hydrogeologic regimes at Y-12: the Bear Creek Hydrogeologic Regime (Bear Creek Regime), the Upper East Fork Poplar Creek Hydrogeologic Regime (East Fork Regime), and the Chestnut Ridge Hydrogeologic Regime (Chestnut Ridge Regime). The Bear Creek and East Fork regimes are located in Bear Creek Valley and the Chestnut Ridge Regime is located south of Y-12. Additional surface water monitoring will be performed north of Pine Ridge along the boundary of the Oak Ridge Reservation. The following sections of this report provide details regarding the CY 2022 groundwater and surface water monitoring activities. Section 2 describes the monitoring locations in each regime and the processes used to select the sampling locations. A description of the field measurements and laboratory analytes is provided in Section 3. Sample collection methods and procedures are described in Section 4, and Section 5 lists the documents cited for more detailed operational and technical information.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Characterization of SDU 6 Sump Water Samples

This report details results from characterization of the Saltstone Disposal Unit 6 (SDU 6) East Sump water samples. In March of 2022, Saltstone Radiation Protection Department (RPD) personnel reported SDU 6 East Sump beta/gamma radiation levels at ~ 33 dpm/mL (~ 15 pCi/mL) beta/gamma in excess of the water sampling limit of 16 dpm/mL (7.2 pCi/mL). Replicate samples obtained from the SDU 6 East Sump were sent to the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) for analysis to include pH, limited anions, toxic metals and radionuclides. Subsequent sump samples associated with SDU 7 that has not yet been filled with any radioactive material were also analyzed at SRNL for both nitrate and nitrite.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Specifications of EBR-II Neutron Radiography Method Description and Digitization Approach

All neutron radiography (NRAD) images of fuel pins in Argonne’s collection were originally generated using the NRAD imaging facility established in the Hot Fuel Examination Facility (HFEF) at Idaho National Laboratory (INL). The NRAD reactor facility was built in 1977 and has been operating since. The reactor is a TRIGA-type reactor operating at a power level of 250 kWth to provide a neutron source for radiography imaging. The reactor is equipped with two beam tubes (i.e., east beam tube and north beam tube) to guide the neutron beams to two radiography stations. The east radiography station is directly under the HFEF main cell and is dedicated for specimens already in the HFEF hot cell. The north radiography station is outside of the main HFEF hot cell and allows NRAD imaging of non-irradiated items. The NRAD images of EBR-II irradiated metallic fuel pins were taken in the east radiography station. Thermal neutrons have the capability to transmit through most materials and are ideal for NRAD imaging. However, because of their high thermal neutron absorption cross-section, fissile materials (e.g., highly-enriched nuclear fuels) may not be as transmissible to thermal neutrons. This is also the case for oversize specimens with extraneous thickness. Epithermal neutron imaging is therefore used as a complement to thermal neutron NRAD imaging. At HFEF’s NRAD facility, both thermal and epithermal neutrons can be used for NRAD imaging. Irradiated nuclear fuels emit high levels of γ radiation that can easily darken X-ray films, so direct exposure NRAD cannot be used to image them. Instead, an indirect NRAD imaging method was developed at HFEF’s NRAD facility. In this method, foils made of materials that can be activated by neutrons (i.e., with large neutron absorption cross section) are used to collect transmitted neutron signals. Then the activated foils are then placed against X-ray films and enclosed in a vacuum cassette so that the γ decay from the activated foils can produce images on the X-ray films. Then, general X-ray film processing procedures are used to digitize and store the images. By using different foil materials, different energy neutrons can be used for NRAD imaging. At the HFEF NRAD station, two types of films are commonly used: dysprosium (Dy) foils with thickness of 130 microns are used to capture thermal neutron signal, while indium (In) foils with thickness of 130 microns are used to capture epithermal neutron signal. A cadmium or gadolinium foil is put before the indium foil to work as a thermal neutron filter. The thermal and epithermal NRAD images can be taken simultaneously by using a Dy/Cd/In sandwiched foil combination. The typical NRAD exposure time is approximately 20 minutes. Then the exposed foils are transferred to film vacuum cassettes. The vacuum ensures that there is no gap between the foil and the film. The foil-to-film exposure time is at least three half-lives of the corresponding radioisotopes, which are 3 hours for In and 7.5 hours for Dy, respectively. Exposed films are processed using an automatic film processor to produce completed NRAD images.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

ENSO Impact on Winter Precipitation in the Southeast United States through a Synoptic Climate Approach

The ENSO impact on winter precipitation in the Southeast United States was analyzed from the perspective of daily weather types (WTs). We calculated the dynamic contribution associated with the change in frequency of the WTs and the thermodynamic contribution due to changes in the spatial patterns of the environmental fields of the WTs. Six WTs were obtained using a k-means clustering analysis of 850 hPa winds in reanalysis data from November to February of 1948–2022. All the WTs can only persist for a few days. The most frequent winter weather type is WT1 (shallow trough in Eastern U.S.), which can persist or likely transfer to WT4 (Mississippi River Valley ridge). WT1 becomes less frequent in El Niño years, while the frequency of WT4 does not change much. WTs 2–6 correspond to a loop of eastward propagating waves with troughs and ridges in the mid-latitude westerlies. Three WTs with a deep trough in the Southeast U.S., which are WT2 (east coast trough), WT3 (off east coast trough) and WT6 (plains trough), become more frequent in El Niño years. The more frequent deep troughs (WTs 2, 3 and 6) and less frequent shallow trough (WT1) result in above-normal precipitation in the coastal Southeast U.S. in the winter of El Niño years. WT5 (off coast Carolina High), with maximum precipitation extending from Mississippi Valley to the Great Lakes, becomes less frequent in El Niño years, which corresponds to the below-normal precipitation from the Great Lakes to Upper Mississippi and Ohio River Valley in El Niño years, and vice versa in La Niña years. The relative contribution of the thermodynamic and dynamic contribution is location dependent. On the east coast, the two contributions are similar in magnitude.

Qian, Jian-Hua↗