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At least 865 records · Page 48

A Variable Eddington Factor Model for Thermal Radiative Transfer with Closure Based on Data-Driven Shape Function

Here, a new variable Eddington factor (VEF) model is presented for nonlinear problems of thermal radiative transfer (TRT). The VEF model is data-driven and acts on known (a-priori) radiation-diffusion solutions for material temperatures in the TRT problem. A linear auxiliary problem is constructed for the radiative transfer equation (RTE) whose emission source and opacities are evaluated at these known material temperatures. The solution to this RTE approximates the specific intensity distribution in phase-space and time. It is applied as a shape function to define the Eddington tensor for the presented VEF model. The shape function computed via the auxiliary RTE problem will capture some degree of transport effects within the TRT problem. The VEF moment equations closed with this approximate Eddington tensor will thus carry with them these captured transport effects. In this study, the temperature data comes from multigroup P 1 , P 1/3 , and flux-limited diffusion radiative transfer models. The proposed VEF model can be interpreted as a transport-corrected diffusion reduced-order model. Numerical results are presented on the Fleck-Cummings test problem which models a supersonic wavefront of radiation. The VEF model is shown to improve accuracy by 1–2 orders of magnitude compared to the considered radiation-diffusion model solutions to the TRT problem.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Waveform analysis of a large-area superconducting nanowire single photon detector

Superconducting nanowire single photon detectors (SNSPDs) are typically used as single-mode-fiber-coupled single-pixel detectors, but large area detectors are increasingly critical for applications ranging from microscopy to free-space quantum communications. However, the long meander-line length of such large-area SNSPDs results in a proportionately large kinetic inductance that affects the waveform generated by the device. Here, we explore changes in the rising edge of the readout pulse for a single-pixel large-area SNSPD as a function of the optical spot size on the detector and compare to the rising edge of the dark-count waveform. We observe a bimodal distribution of bright-count rise times and show that the probability of a slow rise time increases in the limit of large spot sizes, indicative of a position sensitive response. Additionally, in the limit of low bias currents, the dark-count readout pulse is most similar to the large spot-size bright-count readout pulse, which suggests that dark counts arise from locations spanning the device. Overall, these results are consistent with a simple model of traveling microwave modes excited by single photons incident at varying positions along the length of the nanowire.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Neural simulation-based inference of the neutron star equation of state directly from telescope spectra

Neutron stars provide a unique opportunity to study strongly interacting matter under extreme density conditions. The intricacies of matter inside neutron stars and their equation of state are not directly visible, but determine bulk properties, such as mass and radius, which affect the star's thermal X-ray emissions. However, the telescope spectra of these emissions are also affected by the stellar distance, hydrogen column, and effective surface temperature, which are not always well-constrained. Uncertainties on these nuisance parameters must be accounted for when making a robust estimation of the equation of state. In this study, we develop a novel methodology that, for the first time, can infer the full posterior distribution of both the equation of state and nuisance parameters directly from telescope observations. This method relies on the use of neural likelihood estimation, in which normalizing flows use samples of simulated telescope data to learn the likelihood of the neutron star spectra as a function of these parameters, coupled with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods to efficiently sample from the corresponding posterior distribution. Our approach surpasses the accuracy of previous methods, improves the interpretability of the results by providing access to the full posterior distribution, and naturally scales to a growing number of neutron star observations expected in the coming years.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Tensor network simulations of quasi-GPDs in the massive Schwinger model

Generalized parton distribution functions (GPDs) are off-diagonal light-cone matrix elements that encode the internal structure of hadrons in terms of quark and gluon degrees of freedom. In this work, we present the first nonperturbative study of quasi-GPDs in the massive Schwinger model, quantum electrodynamics in 1+1 dimensions (QED 2 ), within the Hamiltonian formulation of lattice field theory. Quasidistributions are spatial correlation functions of boosted states, which approach the relevant light-cone distributions in the luminal limit. Using tensor networks, we prepare the first excited state in the strongly coupled regime and boost it to close to the light-cone on lattices of up to 400 lattice sites. We compute both quasiparton distribution functions and, for the first time, quasi-GPDs, and study their convergence for increasingly boosted states. In addition, we perform analytic calculations of GPDs in the two-particle Fock-space approximation and in the Reggeized limit, providing qualitative benchmarks for the tensor network results. Our analysis establishes computational benchmarks for accessing partonic observables in low-dimensional gauge theories, offering a starting point for future extensions to higher dimensions, non-Abelian theories, and quantum simulations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Dynamic Adaptive Relaying for Distribution Grids with High Inverter-Based Generation

The penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) in distribution systems is rapidly increasing. This can lead to large variations in the operating load and the fault current seen by a relay, which can impact the reliability of overcurrent protection. Adaptive overcurrent relaying (AOCR) can address this concern by enabling the relay to adjust its pickup settings based on the system operating conditions. This paper presents a novel dynamic AOCR approach that allows the relays to locally estimate the pickup settings and dynamically modify them. The approach is based on a two-stage estimation algorithm that uses local measurements and system information to estimate the worst-case fault current and the relay pickup settings. The relay pickup settings are then dynamically modified based on the estimated fault current. The performance of the proposed approach is evaluated on multiple configurations of the EPRI J1 feeder and the IEEE 13-bus system. The results show that the proposed approach can effectively improve the reliability of overcurrent protection in distribution systems with DERs.

adaptive overcurrent protection↗

Dark Lock-in Thermography Identifies Solder Bond Failure as the Root Cause of Series Resistance Increase in Fielded Solar Modules

Correlating the electrical performance of photovoltaic modules to the spatially resolved photoluminescence, electroluminescence, and dark lock-in thermography (DLIT) images is an important long-term goal for developing solar cell technology. These images offer highly sophisticated and detailed information about the spatial distribution and (if imaged at successive time intervals) temporal degradation of local series and shunt resistances. There have been extensive studies to correlate these imaging techniques to local characteristics at the cell level. However, it has been difficult to extract and quantify module-level information from the techniques. In this study, we interpret module current-voltage (I-V) measurements along with corresponding DLIT images within a module-scale simulation framework, demonstrating that series resistance degradation of the module I-V characteristics, in this case, can be attributed to solder bond failures. Our simulations highlight how current crowding associated with a failed solder joint (or a section of the solder pad) translates to the characteristic point-like (asymmetric doublet) heating pattern in neighboring solder joints (or the neighboring regions of the solder pad). Overall, the correlation between series resistance and solder joint degradation could inform expedited diagnosis of field degradation of solar modules.

42 ENGINEERING↗

PV O&M Cost Model [SWR-21-14]

This tool presents a method for calculating costs associated with the operation and maintenance (O&M) of photovoltaic (PV) systems. The tool compiles details regarding the cost and frequency of multiple O&M services to estimate annual O&M costs ($/year) for each year of an analysis period, the net present value ($) of life cycle costs accumulated over the analysis period, and the reserve account amount ($) that might be required to fund unexpected repairs. The reserve account includes parts inventory and is important for providing a source of funds to make repairs quickly and avoid lost production. This method allows a detailed selection of services to perform based on system size, market served (e.g., residential, commercial, or utility), type and configuration of system components (e.g., micro-, string, or central inverter), and site and environmental conditions (e.g., pollen, bird populations) which is an improvement over simple per unit valuations of O&M costs ($/kW/year). This model also distinguishes costs that vary from year to year and increase at different rates over time as modeled by heuristic failure distributions (e.g., Weibull or Lognormal distribution) based on actuarial data for many of the services.

Walker, Andy↗

A software package for modeling and simulating fault graphs

This report describes a novel fault graph modeling language and a simulation tool for executing models specified in the language. The modeling language has three primary features that distinguish it from similar reliability analysis tools. These are (1) a random variable modeling several distinct outcomes of a single fault; (2) chains of faults in which one fault triggers another; and (3) time to fail sampled from probability distributions including positive normal, exponential, Weibull with a minimum, or immediate. These features are motivated by their use in a historical analysis of centrifuge reliability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Develop a weather-aware climate model to understand and predict extremes and associated power outages and renewable energy shortages with uncertainty-aware and physics-informed machine learning

Focal Area(s): The focus area is predictive modeling through the use of AI techniques and AI-derived model components with a particular emphasis on extreme weather in Atmospheric Science and power outages and shortages in Energy Science. Science Challenge: Predicting weather extremes (e.g., heavy precipitation, strong wind, and large hailstones), and weather-related power system outages and shortages can mitigate economic losses, save lives, support renewables integration, and improve power system resiliency. However, currently, the poor reliability and large uncertainty associated with the weather extreme prediction in the current climate models make the problem intractable. The key challenges are: (1) physical factors like green-house gases (GHGs), aerosols, and land use and land cover (LULC) can significantly impact extreme storms, but the understanding of these impacts is limited, particularly globally; (2) the convective permitting resolutions needed to model severe convective storms and their impacts are computationally prohibitive with global climate models (GCMs); (3) interactions between weather extremes and power system outages are complex and subject to great uncertainty. Current outage prediction models are short lead (~ 3 days), which do not allow for long-time planning of energy production and distribution. Moreover, we have limited capacity to predict weather events leading to sustained shortages in a renewable-energy-dominated power system. These challenges drive motivation for mechanistic understanding and reliable and efficient predictive modeling of extremes and their impacts from the sub-seasonal to long term projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

EdgeAI: How to Use AI to Collect Reliable and Relevant Watershed Data

Focal Area(s): Focal areas are on data acquisition and assimilation enabled by AI, advanced methods including experimental/network design/optimization, unsupervised learning (including deep learning), and hardware-related efforts involving AI (e.g., edge computing). Science Challenge: The transformational science challenge that we address is the following: – Ensuring, in near real-time, that the data collected from distributed sensor networks is accurate and contains useful information to identify, quantify, and predict watershed and ecosystem dynamic responses to short- and long-term perturbations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integrated Boiler Management through Advanced Condition Monitoring and Component Assessment

The objective of this project, supported by the U.S. Department of Energy (USDOE) under DEFE0031683, is to develop, demonstrate, and support technology transfer of an integrated boiler management system inclusive of distributed sensing and near real-time damage assessment tools to provide for the first highly accurate condition monitoring system for boiler components.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Characterization of ceramic fuel powder packing fractions to support INFLUX

Triply periodic minimal surface (TPMS)-based structures show marked potential in novel nuclear reactor fuel designs, as their high surface area-to-volume ratio increases the efficiency of heat transfer out of the fuel, enabling safer, more innovative reactor designs. This milestone report addresses the role of dUO 2 powder processing route on the fill behavior of TPMS-based cladding shells to understand and advance the feasibility of manufacturing TPMS-based nuclear fuel forms. dUO 2 powder was processed through either a dry granulation route, varying consolidation pressure, or through milling, varying milling time, milling method and milled size distribution. The lowest tapped bulk densities (TBD), but best powder flowabilities, were obtained when testing unprocessed dUO 2 powder which was prone to self-agglomeration and formed low-density spheroids. The highest TBD and lowest flowabilities were obtained when using powder produced by hammer-milling dUO 2 powder to pass through a 200-mesh sieve, which led to particles with angular morphologies. Powder produced by dry granulation exhibited TBD that varied according to the consolidation pressure used to form the initial pellets and exhibited improved flowabilities when compared to hammer-milled material. Because of the large span of granule sizes formed as well as the irregular shape associated with the granules, a packing fraction of 0.69 was achieved, exceeding the analytical solution for random close packing of mono-sized spheres. TPMS polymer shells were loaded with unprocessed, granulated, and hammer-milled dUO 2 powders, and their qualitative packing behaviors were analyzed using x-ray computed tomography (xCT). TBDs calculated after loading TPMS polymer shells were 10-20% lower when compared to tapped bulk density measurements taken in a glass graduated cylinder, indicating a non-trivial impact on the tapped bulk density of either the TPMS channel size, TPMS channel surface material, powder cohesiveness, or a combination of the two parameters. A metallic zircaloy-4 TPMS shell will be loaded with hammer-milled dUO 2 powder upon receipt of the shell from Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and shipped to Idaho National Labs (INL) for subsequent hot isostatic pressing (HIP) densification experiments.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Selective Dynamical Imaging of Interferometric Data

Recent developments in very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) have made it possible for the Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) to resolve the innermost accretion flows of the largest supermassive black holes on the sky. The sparse nature of the EHT’s (u, v)-coverage presents a challenge when attempting to resolve highly time-variable sources. We demonstrate that the changing (u, v)-coverage of the EHT can contain regions of time over the course of a single observation that facilitate dynamical imaging. These optimal time regions typically have projected baseline distributions that are approximately angularly isotropic and radially homogeneous. We derive a metric of coverage quality based on baseline isotropy and density that is capable of ranking array configurations by their ability to produce accurate dynamical reconstructions. We compare this metric to existing metrics in the literature and investigate their utility by performing dynamical reconstructions on synthetic data from simulated EHT observations of sources with simple orbital variability. We then use these results to make recommendations for imaging the 2017 EHT Sgr A* data set.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DMTN-260: Failure Modes and Error Handling for Prompt Processing

The Prompt Processing system will be responsible for processing roughly a thousand visits per night, and distributing the results in near real time, for at least ten years of Rubin Observatory operations. As such, it must be highly robust to algorithmic, network, and infrastructure failures, ranging from momentary glitches to extended downtimes. DMTN-219 introduced the initial design for the Prompt Processing framework; this document expands on the design to address expected failure modes and recovery strategies for each.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Method for enhancing a computer to estimate an uncertainty of an onset of a signal of interest in time-series noisy data

A computer-implemented method of enhancing a computer to estimate an uncertainty of an onset of a signal of interest in time-series noisy data. A first mathematical model of first time series data that contains only noise is calculated. A second mathematical model of second time series data that contains the noise and an onset of a signal of interest in the second time series data is calculated. A difference is evaluated between a first combination, being the first mathematical model and the second mathematical model, and a second combination, being the first time series data and the second time series data, wherein evaluating is performed using a generalized entropy metric. A specific time when an onset of the signal of interest occurs is estimated from the difference. An “a posteriori” distribution is derived for an uncertainty of the specific time at which the onset occurs.

Stracuzzi, David John↗

Prototyping of a Rotary Triboelectric Nanogenerator for Power at Sea

Increasing at-sea power generation by Triboelectric Nanogenerator (TENG) energy harvesters towards the order of 1-Watt will create significant opportunities to power ocean observation buoys and distributed sensor nodes by extending mission time and increasing sensor payload. Of the many possible configurations of harvesting wave energy with TENGs, we document the rationale for choosing and developing a rotary TENG that operates by the freestanding mode. The rotary TENG prototype consists of two plates, a rotor and a stator, to take advantage of the various mechanisms of converting wave action into rotational motion. We have constructed a testing apparatus that allows us to vary several key parameters of the device: distance between rotor and stator, triboelectric material, rotational speed, number of electrodes and output load impedance. Preliminary results show that when driven at a constant 500 rpm, we can achieve a power density of 0.7 W/m3. A variable speed motor drives the rotor, which can be driven using a velocity profile informed by the equivalent to the output from a wave energy converter (WEC). The optimized rotational TENG can be stacked and driven by a single shaft, increasing the energy density of the device. The output of such a TENG could be used to power devices in the ocean at a low cost and high durability.

electrostatic generator↗

First constraints on the nonperturbative gluon Collins-Soper kernel

The gluon Collins-Soper kernel, which encodes the rapidity evolution of transverse-momentum-dependent gluon distributions, is constrained for the first time in the nonperturbative regime, for transverse momentum scales $q_{T} \in [ 300\text{ MeV}, 1.3\text{ GeV}]$. The constraints are determined in lattice QCD at a close-to-physical pion mass $M_π= 172(3)\text{ MeV}$, a single lattice spacing $a=0.15\text{ fm}$, and next-to-next-to-leading logarithmic matching in Large-Momentum Effective Theory. These results represent the first step toward a controlled determination of the gluon Collins-Soper kernel in QCD, with eventual phenomenological import and relevance to present and future experiments sensitive to the gluon structure of hadronic matter.

Avkhadiev, Artur [Argonne; MIT, Cambridge, CTP]↗

Fault Graph (fg)

This software package offers a novel fault graph modeling language and a simulation tool for executing models specified in the language. The modeling language has three primary features that distinguish it from similar reliability analysis tools. These are (1) a random variable modeling several distinct outcomes of a single fault; (2) chains of faults in which one fault triggers another; and (3) time to fail sampled from probability distributions including positive normal, exponential, Weibull with a minimum, or immediate.

Nutaro, James↗