Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “strong correlation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 865 records · Page 48

Meteorological Characterization of Global Dust Sources

The global distribution of absorbing aerosols index (AI) derived from Nimbus 7 Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) measurements has been used to identify the major sources of atmospheric dust particles [Prospero, et al., 2000]. In this presentation, we will show that the TOMS aerosol index can also be used to the meteorological characterization of the source areas. We found a huge "dust belt" with a strong correlation between the TOMS index and the sea-level pressure wrapping all the major dust sources. To handle the difficulty of using quantitatively the TOMS Al and its strong dependency on the aerosol layer altitude, the Al has been correlated to the planetary boundary layer depth (PBL) and the surface wind speed. The strongest correlation is obtained with the product of these two variables and at the precise location of the dust sources identified by Prospero et al. The relation between the TOMS Al and the product of the PBL height and the surface wind speed has been used to study the interannual variability of the North-Africa dust sources in relation with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Finally, we will show that even on a short time base the variability of the TOMS Al can be related to the surface wind speed and PBL height.

Ginoux, Paul↗

Correlation between Cr 3+ Luminescence and Oxygen Vacancy Disorder in Strontium Titanate under MeV Ion Irradiation

Strontium titanate (SrTiO 3 ), a model system with a strongly correlated electronic structure, has attracted much attention recently because of its outstanding physicochemical properties and considerable potentials for technological applications. The capability to control oxygen vacancy profiles and their effect on valence states of cations will increase significantly the functionality of devices based on transition metal oxides. This work presents new insights into the near-infrared luminescence emission of Cr 3+ centers in stoichiometric SrTiO 3 induced using 3 MeV protons at temperatures of 100 K, 170 K, and room temperature. The study covers a wide spectral range, including near-infrared, visible, and near-UV regions. Our main purpose is to investigate the role of the oxygen vacancies introduced by energetic charged particles on the shape and yield of induced luminescence spectra, in particular to explore the interplay between the Cr 3+ luminescence at 1.55 eV and oxygen disorder. A clear correlation is found between the decay of the Cr luminescence yield during irradiation and the growth of a band at 2.0 eV, well-resolved below 170 K, which has been very recently attributed to d–d transitions of electrons self-trapped as Ti 3+ in the close vicinity of oxygen vacancies. This correlation suggests irradiation-induced oxidation of the Cr 3+ (Cr 3+ → Cr n+ , n > 3) via trapping of irradiation-induced holes, while the partner electrons are self-trapped as Ti 3+ . Here, these new results provide effective guidelines for further understanding the electronic and photocatalytic behavior of STO:Cr 3+ .

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Defect structure and electronic properties of SiOC:H films used for back end of line dielectrics

Back end of the line dielectrics (BEOL) with low dielectric constants, so called low-k dielectrics, are needed for current and future integrated circuit technology nodes. However, an understanding of the defects which limit reliability and cause leakage currents for these films is not yet developed. We primarily utilize conventional electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR) and leakage current measurements to investigate amorphous hydrogenated carbon doped oxide (a-SiOC:H) dielectrics, the most important in current BEOL technology. The resonance measurements were complemented by transmission Fourier-transform infra-red spectroscopy, x-ray reflectivity, and Rutherford backscattering measurements. Various compositions of a-SiOC:H films were deposited on 300 mm diameter Si (100) wafers. They exhibit a wide range of dielectric constant, composition, and porosity. Variations in deposition method, process chemistry, and post deposition curing were also investigated. We observe a remarkable range of paramagnetic defect populations within the films. In a large subset of the films with similar defect structure, we observe a strong correlation between carbon dangling bond paramagnetic defect densities and leakage currents, especially at lower electric fields. This correspondence strongly suggests that, in this subset, defects observed by EPR are in a large part responsible for the leakage currents at low electric fields. In addition, the results suggest that the observed defects likely limit the dielectric reliability in problems such as time dependent dielectric breakdown and stress induced leakage current in many of these films. However, the EPR results are complex, and a simple universal correspondence between defect populations and leakage does not seem to be present.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

THE SINS/zC-SINF SURVEY of z {approx} 2 GALAXY KINEMATICS: OUTFLOW PROPERTIES

Using SINFONI H{alpha}, [N II], and [S II] AO data of 27 z {approx} 2 star-forming galaxies (SFGs) from the SINS and zC-SINF surveys, we explore the dependence of outflow strength (via the broad flux fraction) on various galaxy parameters. For galaxies that have evidence for strong outflows, we find that the broad emission is spatially extended to at least the half-light radius ({approx}a few kpc). Decomposition of the [S II] doublet into broad and narrow components suggests that this outflowing gas probably has a density of {approx}10-100 cm{sup -3}, less than that of the star-forming gas (600 cm{sup -3}). There is a strong correlation of the H{alpha} broad flux fraction with the star formation surface density of the galaxy, with an apparent threshold for strong outflows occurring at 1 M{sub Sun} yr{sup -1} kpc{sup -2}. Above this threshold, we find that SFGs with log m{sub *} > 10 have similar or perhaps greater wind mass-loading factors ({eta} = M-dot{sub out}/SFR) and faster outflow velocities than lower mass SFGs, suggesting that the majority of outflowing gas at z {approx} 2 may derive from high-mass SFGs. The mass-loading factor is also correlated with the star formation rate (SFR), galaxy size, and inclination, such that smaller, more star-forming, and face-on galaxies launch more powerful outflows. We propose that the observed threshold for strong outflows and the observed mass loading of these winds can be explained by a simple model wherein break-out of winds is governed by pressure balance in the disk.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Trusted Communication: Utilizing Speech Communication to Enhance Human-Machine Teaming Success

An area of increasing interest for the next generation of aircraft is autonomy and the integration of increasingly autonomous systems into the national airspace. Such an integration requires humans to work closely with autonomous systems, forming teams. Our hypothesis is that a team composed of both humans and autonomous systems will operate better than either entity alone. We have existing procedures for certifying pilots to operate in the national airspace and are currently working on methods for validating the function of autonomous systems, however we have no method in place for assessing the interaction of these two disparate systems. Communication is one avenue. This paper will examine the use of language as a metric for ascertaining human-machine teaming effectiveness. A proof-of-concept of the application of two communication-based analysis techniques, Linguistic Inquiry and Word Count (LIWC) and Latent Semantic Analysis (LSA), for the prediction of success in human/chatbot teaming was conducted. By running these analyses over data from the 2014 and 2015 Loebner Prize competitions of human/chatbot teaming, numerical scores were obtained that can be associated with scores provided by human judges during the competition. Correlating their LIWC and LSA data with the scores provided by the judges, and using linear regression over this correlation, formulae were obtained that predict the score of human/chatbot interaction. These formulae were tested over the 2013 Loebner Prize transcripts, determining that, though there was strong correlation between predicted and actual scores, the predictive success of this method was not strong. However, with specialized topic spaces and lexica, as well as larger data sets, the predictive power of these metrics will improve. Given the importance of providing metrics for human-machine system team success and given the promise shown by the communication-basedLIWCand LSAmethods, continuing research in this area is necessary. After examining the potential for using communication and spoken language as a metric for the success of human/autonomous system teaming, this paper then examines aspects inherent to communication systems that may contribute to unreliability and reduced trust. Modern natural language processing tools rely on deep learning algorithms to create language rules that produce accurate results, but these rules are uninterpretable. The resulting blackbox system lacks transparency necessary for full validation and complete trust. Additionally, speech-based interfaces pose other difficulties to developing coordinated teamwork between humans and autonomous systems. Human communication is infrequently limited to speech only, instead usually relying on a combination of verbal, gestural, and general body language communication. Reducing an analysis of team effectiveness to a study of spoken language alone is problematic as it leaves these other equally important forms of communication out. This paper will examine these problems and the general deficiencies in speech-based metrics for human-machine teaming.

E L Meszaros↗

Emergency department overcrowding and its associated factors at HARME medical emergency center in Eastern Ethiopia

Introduction: Emergency department (ED) overcrowding has become a significant concern as it can lead to compromised patient care in emergency settings. Various tools have been used to evaluate overcrowding in ED. However, there is a lack of data regarding this issue in resource-limited countries, including Ethiopia. This study aimed to validate NEDOCS, assess level of ED overcrowding and identify associated factors at HARME Medical Emergency Center, located in Hiwot Fana Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Harar, Ethiopia. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted at the HARME Medical Emergency Center, Hiwot Fana Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, involving a total of 899 patients during 120 sampling intervals. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the agreement between objective and subjective assessments of ED overcrowding. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was employed to identify factors associated with ED overcrowding and statistically significant association was declared using 95% confidence level and a p-value < 0.05. Results: The interrater agreement showed a strong correlation with a Cohen's kappa (κ) of 0.80. The National Emergency Department Overcrowding Study Score demonstrated a strong association with subjective assessments from residents and case team nurses, with an AUC of 0.81 and 0.79, respectively. According to residents' perceptions, ED were considered overcrowded 65.8% of the time. Factors significantly associated with ED overcrowding included waiting time for triage (AOR: 2.24; 95% CI: 1.54–3.27), working time (AOR: 2.23; 95% CI: 1.52–3.26), length of stay (AOR: 2.40; 95% CI: 1.27–4.54), saturation level (AOR: 2.35; 95% CI: 1.31–4.20), chronic illness (AOR: 2.19; 95% CI: 1.37–3.53), and abnormal pulse rate (AOR: 1.52; 95% CI: 1.06–2.16). Conclusion: The study revealed that ED were overcrowded approximately two-thirds of the time.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

UR 2 : Ultra-rapid reactivity test for real-time, low-cost quality control of calcined clays

To reduce cement's carbon footprint, there is growing interest in commercial adoption of sustainable SCMs such as calcined clays. However, the existing ASTM standard (R 3 test, C1897) to test the reactivity of such clays takes up to 7 days and cannot be used for real-time quality control in an industrial setting. We address this issue by introducing a 5-min Ultra-Rapid Reactivity (UR 2 ) test. By dissolving 47 clay specimens in 4 M NaOH solutions at 90°C, we report that a dissolution index of 1.54Al + Si correlates strongly to the 7-day R 3 heat (R 2 = 0.92, RMSE = 94.1 J/g). This dissolution index also correlates to the 28-day compressive strength for 14 clay mixtures (R 2 = 0.94, RMSE = 1.7 MPa). This UR 2 test relies on colorimetry and can be conducted via off-the-shelf, low-cost cameras. Overall, our new UR 2 test opens a pathway for real-time, low-cost quality control of calcined clays.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Fe(II)- and Sulfide-Facilitated Reduction of 99Tc(VII)O4- in Microbially Reduced Hyporheic Zone Sediments

Redox-reactive, biogeochemical phases generated by reductive microbial activity in hyporheic zone sediments from a dynamic groundwater-river interaction zone were evaluated for their ability to reduce soluble pertechnetate [99Tc(VII)O4-] to less soluble Tc(IV). The sediments were bioreduced by indigenous microorganisms that were stimulated by organic substrate addition in synthetic groundwater with or without sulfate. In most treatments, 20 µmol L-1 initial aqueous Tc(VII) was reduced to near or below detection (3.82×10-9 mol L-1) over periods of days to months in suspensions of variable solids concentrations. Native sediments containing significant lithogenic Fe(II) in various phases were, in contrast, unreactive with Tc(VII). The reduction rates in the bioreduced sediments increased with increases in sediment mass, in proportion to weak acid-extractable Fe(II) and sediment-associated sulfide (AVS). The rate of Tc(VII) reduction was first order with respect to both aqueous Tc(VII) concentration and sediment mass, but correlations between specific reductant concentrations and reaction rate were not found. X-ray microprobe measurements revealed a strong correlation between Tc hot spots and Fe-containing mineral particles in the sediment. However, only a portion of Fe-containing particles were Tc-hosts. The Tc-hot spots displayed a chemical signature (by EDXRF) similar to pyroxene. The application of autoradiography and electron microprobe allowed further isolation of Tc-containing particles that were invariably found to be ca 100 µm aggregates of primary mineral material embedded within a fine-grained phyllosilicate matrix. EXAFS spectroscopy revealed that the Tc(IV) within these were a combination of a Tc(IV)O2-like phase and Tc(IV)-Fe surface clusters, with a significant fraction of a TcSx-like phase in sediments incubated with SO42-. AVS was implicated as a more selective reductant at low solids concentration even though its concentration was below that required for stoichiometric reduction of Tc(VII). These results demonstrate that composite mineral aggregates may be redox reaction centers in coarse-textured hyporheic zone sediments regardless of the dominant anoxic biogeochemical processes.

Environmental Molecular Sciences Laboratory↗

Latent instabilities in metallic LaNiO₃ films by strain control of Fermi-surface topology

Strain control is one of the most promising avenues to search for new emergent phenomena in transition metal-oxide films. Here, we investigate the strain-induced changes of electronic structures in strongly correlated LaNiO₃ (LNO) films, using angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy and the dynamical mean-field theory. The strongly renormalized e g -orbital bands are systematically rearranged by misfit strain to change its fermiology. As tensile strain increases, the hole pocket centered at the A point elongates along the k z -axis and seems to become open, thus changing Fermi-surface (FS) topology from three- to quasi-two-dimensional. Concomitantly, the FS shape becomes flattened to enhance FS nesting. A FS superstructure withQ₁ = (1/2,1/2,1/2) appears in all LNO films, while a tensile-strained LNO film has an additional Q₂ = (1/4,1/4,1/4) modulation, indicating that some instabilities are present in metallic LNO films. Charge disproportionation and spin-density-wave fluctuations observed in other nickelates might be their most probable origins

Yoo, Hyang Keun↗

Structure and decay correlations of two-neutron systems beyond the dripline

The two-neutron unbound systems of 16 Be, 13 Li, 10 He, and 26 O have been measured using the Modular Neutron Array (MoNA) and 4 Tm Sweeper magnet setup. The correlations of the 3-body decay for the 16 Be and 13 Li were extracted and demonstrated a strong correlated enhancement between the two neutrons. The measurement of the 10 He ground state resonance from a 14 Be(-2p2n) reaction provided insight into previous predictions that wavefunction of the entrance channel, projectile, can influence the observed decay energy spectrum for the unbound system. Lastly, the decay-in-target (DiT) technique was utilized to extract the lifetime of the 26 O ground state. The measured lifetime of 4.5$+1.1\atop{-1.5}$ (stat.)±3(sys.) ps provides the first indication of two-neutron radioactivity.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Evidence for correlation effects in noncentrosymmetric type-II Weyl semimetals

Topological fermions have mainly been addressed in the limit of weakly correlated systems, while the realization of Kondo-like physics arising from Dirac-Weyl fermions and implying strong correlations is rare. The noncentrosymmetric Weyl fermion R AlGe compounds (with R = La and Ce) provide a promising playground for revealing the impact of electronic correlations driven by f-electron states on Weyl fermions. Here, we tackle their charge dynamics as a function of temperature. Besides spotting typical optical signatures of a type-II Weyl semimetal in both materials, we discover that electronic correlations at low temperatures renormalize the nontrivial bands hosting the Weyl nodes and lead to a reduction of the Fermi velocity as well as an enhancement of the charge carriers effective mass in CeAlGe with respect to LaAlGe, both being a fingerprint of a so-called Weyl-Kondo system.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

A real time dose monitoring and dose reconstruction tool for patient specific VMAT QA and delivery

Purpose: To develop a real time dose monitoring and dose reconstruction tool to identify and quantify sources of errors during patient specific volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) delivery and quality assurance. Methods: The authors develop a VMAT delivery monitor tool called linac data monitor that connects to the linac in clinical mode and records, displays, and compares real time machine parameters with the planned parameters. A new measure, called integral error, keeps a running total of leaf overshoot and undershoot errors in each leaf pair, multiplied by leaf width, and the amount of time during which the error exists in monitor unit delivery. Another tool reconstructs Pinnacle{sup 3} Trade-Mark-Sign format delivered plan based on the saved machine logfile and recalculates actual delivered dose in patient anatomy. Delivery characteristics of various standard fractionation and stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) VMAT plans delivered on Elekta Axesse and Synergy linacs were quantified. Results: The MLC and gantry errors for all the treatment sites were 0.00 {+-} 0.59 mm and 0.05 {+-} 0.31 Degree-Sign , indicating a good MLC gain calibration. Standard fractionation plans had a larger gantry error than SBRT plans due to frequent dose rate changes. On average, the MLC errors were negligible but larger errors of up to 6 mm and 2.5 Degree-Sign were seen when dose rate varied frequently. Large gantry errors occurred during the acceleration and deceleration process, and correlated well with MLC errors (r= 0.858, p= 0.0004). PTV mean, minimum, and maximum dose discrepancies were 0.87 {+-} 0.21%, 0.99 {+-} 0.59%, and 1.18 {+-} 0.52%, respectively. The organs at risk (OAR) doses were within 2.5%, except some OARs that showed up to 5.6% discrepancy in maximum dose. Real time displayed normalized total positive integral error (normalized to the total monitor units) correlated linearly with MLC (r= 0.9279, p < 0.001) and gantry errors (r= 0.742, p= 0.005). There is a strong correlation between total integral error and PTV mean (r= 0.683, p= 0.015), minimum (r= 0.6147, p= 0.033), and maximum dose (r= 0.6038, p= 0.0376). Conclusions: Errors may exist during complex VMAT planning and delivery. Linac data monitor is capable of detecting and quantifying mechanical and dosimetric errors at various stages of planning and delivery.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Online characterization of primary and secondary emissions of particulate matter and acidic molecules from a modern fleet of city buses

The potential impact of transitioning from conventional fossil fuel to a non-fossil-fuel vehicle fleet was investigated by measuring primary emissions via extractive sampling of bus plumes and assessing secondary mass formation using the Gothenburg Potential Aerosol Mass (Go:PAM) reactor from 76 in-use transit buses. Online chemical characterization of gaseous and particulate emissions from these buses was conducted using chemical ionization mass spectrometry (CIMS) with acetate as the reagent ion, coupled with the Filter Inlet for Gases and AEROsols (FIGAERO). Acetate reagent ion chemistry selectively ionizes acidic compounds, including organic and inorganic acids, as well as nitrated and sulfated organics. A significant reduction (48 %–98 %) in fresh particle emissions was observed in buses utilizing compressed natural gas (CNG), biodiesels like rapeseed methyl ester (RME) and hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO), and hybrid-electric HVO (HVO HEV ) compared to diesel (DSL). However, secondary particle formation from photooxidation of emissions was substantial across all the fuel types. The median ratio of particle mass emission factors of aged to fresh emissions increased in the following order: DSL buses at 4.0, HVO buses at 6.7, HVO HEV buses at 10.5, RME buses at 10.8, and CNG buses at 84. Of the compounds that can be identified by CIMS, fresh gaseous emissions from all Euro V/EEV (Enhanced Environmentally friendly Vehicle) buses, regardless of fuel type, were dominated by nitrogen-containing compounds such as nitrous acid (HONO), nitric acid (HNO 3 ), and isocyanic acid (HNCO), alongside small monoacids (C 1 –C 3 ). Notably, the emission of nitrogen-containing compounds was lower in Euro VI buses equipped with more advanced emission control technologies. Secondary gaseous organic acids correlated strongly with gaseous HNO 3 signals (R 2 =0.85–0.99) in Go:PAM, but their moderate to weak correlations with post-photooxidation secondary particle mass suggest that they are not reliable tracers of secondary organic aerosol formation from bus exhaust. Our study highlights that non-regulated compounds and secondary pollutant formation, not currently addressed in legislation, are crucial considerations in the evaluation of environmental impacts of future fuel and engine technology shifts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Skylab altimeter applications and scientific results

Analysis of the Skylab S-193 Altimeter Experiment data has produced many significant results. The purpose of this paper is to present some of these results which illustrate the programmatic altimeter technology gained and show the scientific potential of altimetry for various applications, including correlation with existing topographic features, geoids and physical models. It will be shown that there exists a very strong correlation between subsurface topography in the broad ocean area and the shape of the ocean surface as determined from the altimeter. Modeled scattering waveforms will be correlated with Skylab Altimeter waveforms. The agreement of a variety of existing geoid models with the altimeter data will be shown. In addition the calibration, accuracy and stability of the S-193 altimeter instrumentation will be discussed.

Mcgoogan, J. T.↗

A statistical VLBI study of milli-arcsecond cores in extragalactic radio sources

VLBI observations at 2.3 GHz with a baseline of approximately 8 x 10 to the 7th wavelengths were performed on a complete sample of 103 sources from the Parkes + or - 4 deg catalog. Compact milli-arcsec cores were found in 35 percent of all sources: in 80 percent of quasars, in 10 percent of galaxies, and in 20 percent of empty field sources. It is shown that for quasars the percentage of the source flux density coming from milli-arcsec cores increased with increasing radio spectral index, radio variability, and optical redness. It is noted that quasars with extended radio structure (not less than approximately 10 arcsec) seem more likely to have a detectable milli-arcsec core than do extended radio galaxies. The absence of a strong correlation between quasar milli-arcsec structure and redshift is found to be evidence for a lack of strong physical evolution in quasars.

Preston, R. A.↗

Analysis of the dielectric properties of trunk wood in dominant conifer species from New England and Siberia

Data were collected for dominant conifer species. Dielectric properties of trunk wood were measured using a C-band dielectric probe. For certain specimens, electrical resistance was also measured using a shigometer. The water status of the trees studies was determined either by use of a Scholander pressure chamber on branch samples collected simultaneously with dielectric measurements or by fresh-weight/dry-weight assessment of wood core samples extracted and analyzed with the dielectric probe and shigometer. Diurnal delectric properties and xylem water column tension are inversely correlated such that real and imaginary dielectric values drop as tension increases. The dielectric properties were positively correlated with wood core moisture content while electrical resistance was poorly correlated with wood core moisture content in one species studied. Results support the view that dielectric properties are strongly correlated with moisture status in trunk wood, and possibly ion concentrations associated with decay processes in damaged specimens.

Ranson, K. J.↗

The Response of African Land Surface Phenology to Large Scale Climate Oscillations

Variations in agricultural production due to rainfall and temperature fluctuations are a primary cause of food insecurity on the African continent. Analysis of changes in phenology can provide quantitative information on the effect of climate variability on growing seasons in agricultural regions. Using a robust statistical methodology, we describe the relationship between phenology metrics derived from the 26 year AVHRR NDVI record and the North Atlantic Oscillation index (NAO), the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI). We map the most significant positive and negative correlation for the four climate indices in Eastern, Western and Southern Africa between two phenological metrics and the climate indices. Our objective is to provide evidence of whether climate variability captured in the four indices has had a significant impact on the vegetative productivity of Africa during the past quarter century. We found that the start of season and cumulative NDVI were significantly affected by large scale variations in climate. The particular climate index and the timing showing highest correlation depended heavily on the region examined. In Western Africa the cumulative NDVI correlates with PDO in September-November. In Eastern Africa the start of the June-October season strongly correlates with PDO in March-May, while the PDO in December-February correlates with the start of the February-June season. The cumulative NDVI over this last season relates to the MEI of March-May. For Southern Africa, high correlations exist between SOS and NAO of September-November, and cumulative NDVI and MEI of March-May. The research shows that climate indices can be used to anticipate late start and variable vigor in the growing season of sensitive agricultural regions in Africa.

Brown, Molly E.↗

Quantifying Burned Area of Wildfires in the Western United States From Polar-Orbiting and Geostationary Satellite Active-Fire Detections

Background : Accurately estimating burned area from satellites is key to improving biomass burning emission models, studying fire evolution and assessing environmental impact. Previous studies have found that current methods for estimating burned area of fires from satellite active-fire data do not always provide an accurate estimate. Aims and Methods : In this work, we develop a novel algorithm to estimate hourly accumulated burned area based on the area from boundaries of non-convex polygons containing the accumulated Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS)active-fire detections. Hourly time series are created by combining VIIRS estimates with fire radiative power (FRP) estimates from GOES-17 data. Conclusions, Key Results and Implication : We evaluate the performance of the algorithm for both accumulated and change in burned area between airborne observations, and specifically examine sensitivity to the choice of the parameter controlling how much the boundary can shrink towards the interior of the area polygon. Results of the hourly accumulation of burned area for multiple fires from 2019 and 2020 generally correlate strongly with airborne infrared (IR) observations collected by the United States Forest Service National Infrared Operations (NIROPS), exhibiting correlation coefficient values usually greater than 0.95 and errors <20%.

burned area↗