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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 865 records · Page 48
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

DED Additively Manufactured HEAs Optimized via Parametric Study of Functionally Graded Materials

Complex concentrated alloys (CCAs) are a system of alloys composition of nearly equiatomic elements, creating a state of high configurational entropy in the material. These alloys are of interest for various industrial applications due to their high strength and hardness, wide operational temperature range, creep and diffusion resistance, and radiation resistance. In the current work CoCrFeNi-base CCAs are synthesize by combining three commonly industrial alloys: IN718, SS316L, and 70Co30Cr (commercially known as Stellite 21), in-situ utilizing directed energy deposition (DED) additive manufacturing (AM). One bulk specimen is fabricated with a 1:1:1 ratio of IN718, SS316L, and 70Co30Cr where IN718 is a source of nickel and chrome, SS316 is a source of iron and chrome, and 70Co30Cr is a source of cobalt and supplemental chrome. Additionally, a functionally graded material (FGM) of the identified CCA system from SS316 was fabricated with 10 layers, where the initial five layers are the base material of SS316L and graded by steps of 20% to transition to the CCA system. Overall build quality, microstructure, compositional distribution, phases analysis, and microhardness were studied by laser optical microscopy, scanning election microscopy (SEM), energy dispersive spectroscopy (EDS), X-ray diffraction analysis (XRD), and Vickers microhardness techniques. Overall build quality showed a successful bulk build with acceptable density, however unmelted particles are observed in the as-built alloy. Compositional results show that the system meets the Boltzmann’s hypothesis definition of an HEA, and that an FCC CCA was produced with increased hardness, small grain size, and superior hardness properties to the SS316L substrate. While initial XRD results show predominately FCC structure, EDS analysis of interdendritic regions show the existence of Laves phases in the material. The fabrication of an FGM CCA allowed for potential screening of additional alloy mixes which may be of interest to explore in future research, and the resulting composition is compared to predicted values. This novel method of CCA fabrication results in substantial cost savings of these CCA systems over traditional methods.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Experimental Investigation of Vapor Formation in Liquid CO2 Flow Through a Converging-Diverging Nozzle

Carbon dioxide is an attractive working fluid for many cycles, including for pumped thermal energy storage (PTES). A challenge with some proposed sCO2 PTES cycles is the operation of sCO2 machinery outside the typical bounds of experience, with local phase change from the liquid state being particularly unknown. Presently, there is insufficient data in the literature regarding multiphase CO2 to adequately design a multiphase-tolerant turbine, so generation of foundational data is required. This experimental study investigates the flow characteristics of sub-sonic liquid CO2 undergoing expansion and phase change in a converging-diverging nozzle. The nozzle is instrumented to measure static pressure, unsteady pressure, temperature, and density. The static pressure transducers are located at 27 axial locations to accurately characterize the pressure profile in the nozzle. High-accuracy RTDs are located at the entrance and exit of the nozzle, and three dynamic pressure transducers are strategically located to capture any unsteady phenomena. During testing, values of mass flow and nozzle inlet pressure are swept to vary the pressure drop and fluid properties. The measured total pressure drop in the nozzle is compared to a homogenous model and the Lockhart-Martinelli correlation method, with the latter predicting loss quite closely. The resulting data set is valuable for validating multiphase numerical models in a simple geometry before implementation of these models in turbomachinery design.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Air Classification of Forestry Residues for Fast Pyrolysis

Understanding critical biomass attributes through efficient fractionation is crucial for advancing sustainable pyrolysis for renewable energy and chemical production. This study investigates the intricate relationship between biomass preprocessing and pyrolysis product yields, employing the air classification technique for the treatment of loblolly pine residues with varying moisture content. A comprehensive exploration of the physicochemical properties of air-classified loblolly pine informs a sophisticated pyrolysis simulation model. Given the complex and multifaceted nature of biomass pyrolysis, operating across diverse temporal and spatial scales, a pyrolysis kinetics-based CFD–DEM simulation method is employed to predict product yields. Results showed that the elevated moisture content amplifies particle adhesiveness, necessitating augmented air velocities for effective separation, thereby influencing the efficiency of the separation process. While carbon and hydrogen contents exhibit relative stability across diverse moisture contents and blower frequencies, the oxygen content undergoes noticeable changes. For example, the oxygen contents were measured as 29.2 and 38.6 wt% in the light fraction of 30% moisture content sample at blower frequencies of 10 and 20 Hz, respectively. An intriguing finding emerges from pyrolysis simulation, indicating that a lower blower frequency in air classification moderately enhances bio-oil yield and significantly improves its quality, particularly in terms of water content. For instance, the water content in the bio-oil was about 1.5% and 10% in the heavy and light fractions, respectively from 10% moisture sample under 15 Hz blower frequency.

09 - BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Hydroxyl radical yields in the heavy ion radiolysis of water

Scavenging experiments coupled with Monte Carlo track structure and kinetics simulations have been used to determining and understand the yields of hydroxyl radicals in the radiolysis of water with protons and carbon ions. Carbon dioxide production from aerated formic acid solutions with concentrations ranging from 10-3 to 1 mol./dm3 was used as a probe of the time dependence of the hydroxyl radical yield from about 5 ns to 1 ?s. Numerical extrapolation of the results at slightly different ion energies in combination with data from gamma radiolysis experiments allows a systematic analysis of both track average and track segment yields, with considerable track chemistry found to occur on the nanosecond to microsecond time scale. Track chemistry calculations utilizing Monte Carlo track structure simulations and nonhomogeneous independent reaction times diffusion-reaction modeling of product yields reproduce experimental observations. Subsequently, the track simulation methods were used to predict hydroxyl radical kinetics in deaerated and aerated water at neutral pH. Taken with literature data for helium ion beam studies, the results offer insight into the potential for indirect radiation induced damage to biological systems for light ions with very different track structures.

38 - RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCL↗
DOE OSTI2022

Integrating multimodal data through interpretable heterogeneous ensembles

Motivation: Integrating multimodal data represents an effective approach to predicting biomedical characteristics, such as protein functions and disease outcomes. However, existing data integration approaches do not sufficiently address the heterogeneous semantics of multimodal data. In particular, early and intermediate approaches that rely on a uniform integrated representation reinforce the consensus among the modalities but may lose exclusive local information. The alternative late integration approach that can address this challenge has not been systematically studied for biomedical problems. Results: We propose Ensemble Integration (EI) as a novel systematic implementation of the late integration approach. EI infers local predictive models from the individual data modalities using appropriate algorithms and uses heterogeneous ensemble algorithms to integrate these local models into a global predictive model. We also propose a novel interpretation method for EI models. We tested EI on the problems of predicting protein function from multimodal STRING data and mortality due to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) from multimodal data in electronic health records. We found that EI accomplished its goal of producing significantly more accurate predictions than each individual modality. It also performed better than several established early integration methods for each of these problems. The interpretation of a representative EI model for COVID-19 mortality prediction identified several disease-relevant features, such as laboratory test (blood urea nitrogen and calcium) and vital sign measurements (minimum oxygen saturation) and demographics (age). These results demonstrated the effectiveness of the EI framework for biomedical data integration and predictive modeling.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Earth System Model Improvement Pipeline via Uncertainty Attribution and Active Learning

Primary focal area: 2 (Predictive Modeling via AI): We develop methods to formally quantify uncertainties in Earth System models for the land-atmosphere coupled system. Science Challenge: Earth system models still have significant biases in historical predictions of the intensity and frequency of water cycling extremes (e.g., droughts and flood events), leading to low confidence in future projections. Uncertainties arise from incomplete understanding of land and atmospheric processes, and insufficient observational constraints on model parameters. Many observations, including those from key DOE investments such as ARM and AmeriFlux, are used to evaluate model performance but have not been used to formally quantify model uncertainty because of the expense of running ESM simulations. An efficient pipeline engaging cutting-edge machine learning (ML) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods is needed to improve the predictive understanding of water cycle extremes in the Earth system.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

High-pressure characterization of Ag 3 AuTe 2 : Implications for strain-induced band tuning

Recent band structure calculations have suggested the potential for band tuning in the chiral semiconductor Ag 3 AuTe 2 to zero upon application of negative strain. In this study, we report on the synthesis of polycrystalline Ag 3 AuTe 2 and investigate its transport and optical properties and mechanical compressibility. Transport measurements reveal the semiconducting behavior of Ag 3 AuTe 2 with high resistivity and an activation energy E a of 0.2 eV. The optical bandgap determined by diffuse reflectance measurements is about three times wider than the experimental E a ⁠. Despite the difference, both experimental gaps fall within the range of predicted bandgaps by our first-principles density functional theory (DFT) calculations employing the Perdew–Burke–Ernzerhof and modified Becke–Johnson methods. Furthermore, our DFT simulations predict a progressive narrowing of the bandgap under compressive strain, with a full closure expected at a strain of –4% relative to the lattice parameter. To evaluate the feasibility of gap tunability at such substantial strain, the high-pressure behavior of Ag 3 AuTe 2 was investigated by in situ high-pressure x-ray diffraction up to 47 GPa. Mechanical compression beyond 4% resulted in a pressure-induced structural transformation, indicating the possibility of substantial gap modulation under extreme compression conditions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations for Nonlinear System Identification

Neural ordinary differential equations (NODE) have been recently proposed as a promising approach for nonlinear system identification tasks. In this work, we systematically compare their predictive performance with current state-of-the-art nonlinear and classical linear methods. In particular, we present a quantitative study comparing NODE's performance against neural state-space models and classical linear system identification methods and evaluate their inference speed and prediction performance on open-loop errors across eight different dynamical systems. The experiments show that NODEs can consistently improve the prediction accuracy by order of magnitude compared to benchmark methods. Besides improved accuracy, we also observed that NODEs are less sensitive to hyperparameters compared to neural state-space models by paying the cost of increased computation at the inference time.

machine leaning, system identification, physics in↗
DOE OSTI2020

Consistency-Enhanced Evolution for Variable Selection Can Identify Key Chemical Information from Spectroscopic Data

In the last few decades, spectroscopic techniques such as near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy have gained wide applications in several industries, such as the pharmaceutical, agricultural, oil, and gas industries. As a result, various soft sensors have been developed to predict sample properties from spectroscopic readings. Because the spectroscopic readings at different wavelengths, especially at the adjacent wavelengths, are highly correlated, it has been shown that variable selection could significantly improve a soft sensor’s prediction performance while reducing the model complexity. To improve the prediction performance, most variable selection methods focus on identifying the variables (i.e., wavelengths or wavelength segments) that are strongly correlated with the dependent variable. Although many successful applications have been reported, these variable selection methods do have their limitations. Specifically, the selected wavelengths sometimes show little connection to the chemical bounds or functional groups presenting in the sample. In addition, the selected variables can be quite sensitive to the choice of the training samples. In this work, we address these limitations from a different perspective: if a variable selection algorithm can identify the truly relevant input variables, it should consistently identify the same subset of variables regardless of the choice of the training samples. Therefore, we propose a variable selection method that aims to improve the consistency of variable selection resulting from different training samples. Furthermore, the new algorithm is termed consistency-enhanced evolution for variable selection (CEEVS). To demonstrate the performance and robustness of CEEVS, we compare the proposed method with three representative variable selection methods using five published NIR data sets. These case studies clearly demonstrate that by improving the variable selection consistency, we can not only achieve improved prediction performance, but also identify key chemical information from spectroscopic data.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

CONFLUX: A standardized framework to calculate reactor antineutrino flux

Nuclear fission reactors are abundant sources of antineutrinos for neutrino physics experiments. The flux and spectrum of antineutrinos emitted by a reactor can indicate its activity and composition, suggesting potential applications of neutrino measurements beyond fundamental scientific studies that may be valuable to society. The utility of reactor antineutrinos for applications and fundamental science is dependent on the availability of precise predictions of these emissions. For example, in the last decade, disagreements between reactor antineutrino measurements and models have inspired revision of reactor antineutrino calculations and standard nuclear databases as well as searches for new fundamental particles not predicted by the Standard Model of particle physics. Past predictions and descriptions of the methods used to generate them are documented to varying degrees in the literature, with different modeling teams incorporating a range of methods, input data, and assumptions. The resulting difficulty in accessing or reproducing past models and reconciling results from differing approaches complicates the future study and application of reactor antineutrinos. The CONFLUX (Calculation Of Neutrino FLUX) software framework is a neutrino prediction tool built with the goal of simplifying, standardizing, and democratizing the process of reactor antineutrino flux calculations. CONFLUX includes three primary methods for calculating the antineutrino emissions of nuclear reactors or individual beta decays that incorporate common nuclear data and beta decay theory. The software is prepackaged with the current nuclear databases, including ENDF.B/VIII, JEFF-3.3, and ENSDF, and it includes the capability to predict time-dependent reactor emissions, adjust nuclear database or beta decay inputs/assumptions, and propagate related sources of uncertainty. Here, this paper describes the CONFLUX software structure, details the methods used for flux and spectrum calculations, and provides examples of potential use cases.

Zhang, Xianyi [Lawrence Livermore National Laborat↗
DOE OSTI2021

The WRF-Solar Ensemble Prediction System to Provide Solar Irradiance Probabilistic Forecasts

In this study, we introduce the recently developed WRF-solar ensemble prediction system and a calibration method. The performances of forecast models are evaluated using the National Solar Radiation Database observational analysis for day-ahead solar irradiance predictions. The results demonstrate that the ensemble forecast improves the quality of the forecasts by considering the uncertainty of each ensemble member. The analog ensemble calibration contributed to the reduction of positive bias and an overall improvement in the probabilistic attributes, such as reliability and statistical consistency.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Clarifying trust of materials property predictions using neural networks with distribution-specific uncertainty quantification

It is critical that machine learning (ML) model predictions be trustworthy for high-throughput catalyst discovery approaches. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods allow estimation of the trustworthiness of an ML model, but these methods have not been well explored in the field of heterogeneous catalysis. Herein, we investigate different UQ methods applied to a crystal graph convolutional neural network to predict adsorption energies of molecules on alloys from the Open Catalyst 2020 dataset, the largest existing heterogeneous catalyst dataset. We apply three UQ methods to the adsorption energy predictions, namely k-fold ensembling, Monte Carlo dropout, and evidential regression. The effectiveness of each UQ method is assessed based on accuracy, sharpness, dispersion, calibration, and tightness. Evidential regression is demonstrated to be a powerful approach for rapidly obtaining tunable, competitively trustworthy UQ estimates for heterogeneous catalysis applications when using neural networks. Recalibration of model uncertainties is shown to be essential in practical screening applications of catalysts using uncertainties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Discovery and Synthesis of a Family of Boride Altermagnets

Borides are a rich material family. To push the boundaries of borides’ properties and applications into broader fields, we have conducted systematic theoretical and experimental searches for synthesizable phases in ternary borides TM 2 B 2 (T = 3d, M = 4d/5d transition metals). We find that TM 2 B 2 in the FeMo 2 B 2 -type and CoW 2 B 2 -type structures form a large family of stable/metastable materials of 120 members. Among them, we identify 40 materials with stable magnetic solutions. Further, we discover 11 altermagnets in the FeMo 2 B 2 -type structure. So far, boride altermagnets are rare. In these altermagnets, T = Fe or Mn atoms are arranged in parallel T-chains with strong ferromagnetic intrachain couplings and antiferromagnetic interchain couplings. They simultaneously exhibit electronic band spin splitting, typical of ferromagnetism, and zero net magnetization, typical of antiferromagnetism. They also exhibit magnonic band chiral splitting. Both effects originate from the unique altermagnetic symmetries crucially constrained by the nonmagnetic atoms in the structure. Transport properties of relevance to spintronic applications, including the strain-induced spin-splitter effect and anomalous Hall effect, are predicted. An iodine-assisted synthesis method for TM 2 B 2 is developed, using which 7 of the predicted low-energy phases are experimentally synthesized and characterized, including 4 altermagnets. This work expands the realm of borides by offering new opportunities for studying altermagnetism and altermagnons in borides. It also provides valuable insights into the discovery and design of altermagnets. Here, by demonstrating that altermagnets can exist as families sharing a common motif, this work paves a feasible route for discovering altermagnets by elemental substitutions and high-throughput computations.

Chemical structure↗
DOE OSTI2020

Skillful multiyear predictions of ocean acidification in the California Current System

The California Current System (CCS) sustains economically valuable fisheries and is particularly vulnerable to ocean acidification, due to its natural upwelling of carbon-enriched waters that generate corrosive conditions for local ecosystems. Here we use a novel suite of retrospective, initialized ensemble forecasts with an Earth system model (ESM) to predict the evolution of surface pH anomalies in the CCS. We show that the forecast system skillfully predicts observed surface pH variations a year in advance over a naive forecasting method, with the potential for skillful prediction up to five years in advance. Skillful predictions of surface pH are mainly derived from the initialization of dissolved inorganic carbon anomalies that are subsequently transported into the CCS. Our results demonstrate the potential for ESMs to provide skillful predictions of ocean acidification on large scales in the CCS. Initialized ESMs could also provide boundary conditions to improve high-resolution regional forecasting systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Computational modeling of phononic pseudocrystal isolators

Methods for the efficient computational prediction of the performance of phononic pseudocrystals (structured materials capable of blocking extraordinary ranges of frequency) in COMSOL and other comparable finite element method codes are set forth. These methods include boundary conditions that make possible halving the size of the computational domain. Also included is an introduction of elastic energy density methods for assessing the extinction of elastic waves within the patterned region.

Swift, Stephen Hales↗
DOE OSTI2024

Short-Term Load Forecasting Considering EV Charging Loads with Prediction Interval Evaluation

Short-term load forecasting plays a critical role in power system planning and operation. Along with the electrification of various loads, electricity demands are becoming increasingly hard to predict. Notably, the recent rise in electric vehicles (EVs) has further contributed to this unpredictability. To address this issue, this paper proposes a probabilistic load forecasting strategy utilizing Gaussian process regression, structured in a day-ahead manner. While many works focus on deterministic prediction, probabilistic forecasting offers additional insights into variability and uncertainty, enabling more flexible and reliable operation for power systems. To enhance the accuracy of the load forecasting model, the inputs include features related to EV charging habits as well as commonly used weather information. The load forecasting results are evaluated using various metrics, including conventional ones that assess the accuracy of point forecasts, as well as additional metrics that test the reliability of prediction intervals. The proposed load forecasting method is finally tested on real residential power consumption data and EV charging data sampled from real-world sources. The results prove that the new features can greatly improve the performance of the load forecasting method.

electrical vehicle↗