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At least 865 records · Page 48
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Sandia Electromagnetic Environment Simulator Facilities

Sandia National Laboratories’ (Sandia’s) Electrical Sciences Group (1350) provides a spectrum of solutions for electromagnetic (EM) environment effects on electrical systems to advance physical understanding including experiments, analytical and numerical model development leveraging first-principles physics, and high-performance computational modeling and simulation (M&S). The six departments in the Electrical Sciences Group provide analysis, design guidance, and experiments in support of nuclear weapons qualification in normal, abnormal, and hostile environments, as well as research and development for advanced electrical systems that can operate through these environments. This document is intended to provide a quick summary of Sandia’s EM experimental facilities, most of which provide unique national capabilities.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2021

Shear Assisted Processing and Extrusion (ShAPE) of Aluminum Alloy 7075, 2024, and Al-12.4TM

The most common aluminum alloys utilized in the aerospace industry are 7075 and 2024 due to their high strength-to-weight ratio compared to advanced high strength steels and other aluminum alloys. Despite excellent performance, these aluminum alloys have seen limited use outside of the aerospace industry due in part to high cost. If high-performance aluminum extrusions could be made more cost effectively by eliminating energy intensive process steps typical of conventional extrusion, then numerous opportunities exist for more widespread adoption. A key reason for the high cost of 7075 and 2024 extrusions (25-75% higher than 6061) is their slow extrusion speed. 7075 and 2024 are limited to 2 m/min and 3.5 m/min respectively, in contrast to 6061 which can be extruded at 20–80 m/min. In addition to slow speed, aluminum alloys require numerous thermal treatments throughout the extrusion process including homogenization and pre-heating prior to extrusion, and solution heat treating and artificial aging after extrusion. Each of these steps contribute to the total energy consumed during manufacturing of extruded components. This project investigates the use of ShAPE to improve extrusion speed and reduce, or even eliminate, the typical thermal treatments for high strength aluminum alloys, all while improving material performance. The overarching goal of this project was to demonstrate that Shear Assisted Processing and Extrusion (ShAPE) can manufacture high-performance aluminum alloy tubing with lower manufacturing energy and improved mechanical properties compared to conventional extrusion. Unlike conventional extrusion where the billet is rammed against a stationary die using a strictly linear motion, the ShAPE process superimposes a rotational shear force by spinning the die while the billet is plunged. Compared to conventional linear extrusion, the ShAPE process imparts significantly more strain into the feedstock material, which enables the formation of novel microstructures. These microstructures manifest an array of property and process improvements for extrusion of high-performance aluminum alloys. The following accomplishments were achieved for this project: Extrusion of 7075 at 12.2 meters/min compared to 2 meters/min for conventional extrusion; Elimination of 7075 billet homogenization (430 °C for 20 hours) which is required prior to conventional extrusion; Elimination of 7075 billet pre-heating (400 °C for 1 hour) in a separate furnace which is required prior to conventional extrusion; Achieved 7075-T6with yield strength = 595 MPa, ultimate tensile strength = 531MPa, and elongation = 17.4% for extrusions made from unhomogenized billets. Exceeds the ASTM and ASM standard, and typical industry values; Achieved 7075-T5 (i.e., no solution heat treatment) with yield strength = 588 MPa, ultimate tensile strength = 535 MPa, and elongation = 14.8% for extrusions made from homogenized billets; Extrusion of 2024 at 7.4 meters/min compared to 3.5 meters/min for conventional extrusion; Achieved 2024-T8510 yield strength = 522 MPa, ultimate strength = 510MPa, and elongation = 7.1% for extrusions made from wrought billets. Exceeds the ASTM and ASM standard, and typical industry values; Extrusion of Al-12.4TM high-performance aluminum powder directly into tubing, in a single step, which eliminates process steps typical of powder metallurgy extrusion.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Assessment of Survey Results from Advanced Reactor Industry Domain Experts on Nonlinear Soil-Structure Interaction Analysis Software Verification and Validation

The seismic load case has a significant impact on the design and cost of nuclear power plants. Given the need to substantially reduce cost, advanced reactor designers are looking to leverage numerical tools that enable seismic analysis of an integrated vessel/support/structure/soil system. Modern nonlinear analysis tools provide a solution, capturing dynamic coupling between components (including soil-structure interaction (SSI)) concurrent with nonlinear behavior in one or more parts of the system. Although these methods have a rich history of technical development and implementation, software quality assurance (SQA) following nuclear industry standards remains a significant burden for those wishing to adopt such methods for advanced reactor design and licensing. To reduce the SQA burden, this project will develop the guidance for SQA verification and validation (V&V) of coupled nonlinear SSI analysis tools, to include a test matrix of software features and test problems to support commercial grade dedication (CGD). The guidance is intended to be technology-neutral: supporting designers of all advanced reactors. To maximize the value of the project to reactor designers, the project team performed focused surveys of and interviews with advanced reactor designers. Additionally, the project surveyed members of the broader industry involved in reactor design and licensing. The aggregated industry feedback consists of written survey responses, live polling responses, focused interviews, and informal feedback provided after outreach presentations, collectively referred to as “survey results”. Herein, the survey results are reported, reviewed, and assessed to inform follow-on project activities. The survey results confirmed the familiarity of the industry with the coupled nonlinear SSI analysis. They also affirm the project need based upon the expressed intent to (1) incorporate nonlinear features and (2) pursue the coupled nonlinear SSI analysis to reduce seismic demands and construction costs. All reactor designers indicated their intent to incorporate two or more nonlinear features, and all reactor designer respondents opined that the coupled nonlinear SSI analysis would allow for the optimization of the reactor design and construction. However, the programmatic challenges, whether real or perceived, present a significant barrier to reactor designers. The barrier most commonly identified by the reactor designer population was regulatory risk, with 70% citing this as a reason not to pursue the approach. The perceived regulatory risk identified by the reactor designers underscores the importance of regulator engagement and dialogue in this project. Additionally, half of the reactor designers identified cost and lack of guidance as a deterrent. The survey results also provide insights to tailor specific aspects of the guidance document and test matrix. The project plans to prepare both a formal referenceable guidance document and a collaborative, web-based test matrix and problem set. The project will focus on more complete test problem definitions for the prioritized nonlinear features over shallower problem descriptions for a larger set of features. The nonlinearities prioritized as high based upon survey feedback include fluid-structure interaction and seismic isolation and energy dissipation devices. The nonlinearities prioritized as intermediate include nonlinear geomaterials, nonlinear concrete, nonlinear steel, and interface/contact nonlinearity. Deep embedment and the associated nonlinear phenomena are assigned the lowest priority based upon survey feedback.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

High‐order cubature rules for tetrahedra

Summary In this paper, we construct new high‐order numerical integration schemes for tetrahedra, with positive weights and integration points that are in the interior of the domain. The construction of cubature rules is a challenging problem, which requires the solution of strongly nonlinear algebraic (moment) equations with side conditions given by affine inequality constraints. We present a robust algorithm based on a sequence of three modified Newton procedures to solve the constrained minimization problem. In the literature, numerical integration rules for the tetrahedron are available up to order p =15. We obtain integration rules for the tetrahedron from p =2 to p =20, which are computed using multiprecision arithmetic. For p ≤15, our approach provides integration rules that have the same or fewer number of integration points than existing rules; for p =16 to p =20, our rules are new. Numerical tests are presented that verify the polynomial‐precision of the cubature rules. Convergence studies are performed for the integration of exponential, rational, weakly singular and trigonometric test functions over tetrahedra with flat and curved faces. In all tests, improvements in accuracy is realized as p is increased, though in some cases nonmonotonic convergence is observed.

Jaśkowiec, Jan↗
DOE OSTI2022

Analysis of an Elasto-Hydrodynamic Seal by Using the Reynolds Equation

This paper reports numerical studies of an Elasto-Hydrodynamic (EHD) seal, which is being developed for supercritical CO2 (sCO2) turbomachinery applications. Current sCO2 turbomachinery suffers from high leakage rates, which is creating a major roadblock to the full realization of sCO2 power technology. The high leakage rates not only penalize the efficiencies but also create environmental concerns due to greenhouse effects caused by the increased CO2 discharge to the atmosphere. The proposed EHD seal needs to work at elevated pressures (10–35 MPa) and temperatures (350–700 °C) with low leakage and minimal wear. The unique mechanism of the EHD seal provides a self-regulated constriction effect to restrict the flow without substantial material contact, thereby minimizing leakage and wear. This work utilizes a physics-based modeling approach. The flow through the gradually narrowing seal clearance is modeled by the well-known Reynolds equation in EHD lubrication theory, while the deformation of the seal is modeled by using the governing equations of three-dimensional solid mechanics. As for the solution methodology, COMSOL’s Thin-Film Flow and Solid Mechanics modules were employed with their powerful capabilities. The numerical results were presented and discussed. It was observed that the Reynolds equation fully coupled with the surface deformation was able to successfully capture the constriction effect. The maximum and minimum leakages were calculated to be 2.25 g/s and 0.1 g/s at P = 5.5 MPa and P = 11 MPa for the design seal, respectively. It was interesting to observe that the seal leakage followed a quadratic trend with increasing pressure differential, which can become advantageous for high-pressure applications such as sCO2 power generation technology.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

An asymptotically compatible approach for Neumann-type boundary condition on nonlocal problems

In this paper we consider 2D nonlocal diffusion models with a finite nonlocal horizon parameter δ characterizing the range of nonlocal interactions, and consider the treatment of Neumann-like boundary conditions that have proven challenging for discretizations of nonlocal models. We propose a new generalization of classical local Neumann conditions by converting the local flux to a correction term in the nonlocal model, which provides an estimate for the nonlocal interactions of each point with points outside the domain. While existing 2D nonlocal flux boundary conditions have been shown to exhibit at most first order convergence to the local counter part as δ → 0, the proposed Neumann-type boundary formulation recovers the local case as O(δ 2 ) in the L∞(Ω) norm, which is optimal considering the O(δ 2 ) convergence of the nonlocal equation to its local limit away from the boundary. We analyze the application of this new boundary treatment to the nonlocal diffusion problem, and present conditions under which the solution of the nonlocal boundary value problem converges to the solution of the corresponding local Neumann problem as the horizon is reduced. To demonstrate the applicability of this nonlocal flux boundary condition to more complicated scenarios, we extend the approach to less regular domains, numerically verifying that we preserve second-order convergence for non-convex domains with corners. Finally, based on the new formulation for nonlocal boundary condition, we develop an asymptotically compatible meshfree discretization, obtaining a solution to the nonlocal diffusion equation with mixed boundary conditions that converges with O(δ 2 ) convergence.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Asynchronous Truncated Multigrid-Reduction-in-Time

In this paper, we present the new “asynchronous truncated multigrid-reduction-in-time” (AT-MGRIT) algorithm for introducing time parallelism to the solution of discretized time-dependent problems. The new algorithm is based on the multigrid-reduction-in-time (MGRIT) approach, which, in certain settings, is equivalent to another common multilevel parallel-in-time method, Parareal. In contrast to Parareal and MGRIT that both consider a global temporal grid over the entire time interval on the coarsest level, the AT-MGRIT algorithm uses truncated local time grids on the coarsest level, each grid covering certain temporal subintervals. Further, these local grids can be solved completely in an independent way from each other, which reduces the sequential part of the algorithm and, thus, increases parallelism in the method. Here, we study the effect of using truncated local coarse grids on the convergence of the algorithm, both theoretically and numerically, and show, using challenging nonlinear problems, that the new algorithm consistently outperforms classical Parareal/MGRIT in terms of time to solution.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

A low-rank power iteration scheme for neutron transport criticality problems

Computing effective eigenvalues for neutron transport often requires a fine numerical resolution. Here, the main challenge of such computations is the high memory effort of classical solvers, which limits the accuracy of chosen discretizations. In this work, we derive a method for the computation of effective eigenvalues when the underlying solution has a low-rank structure. This is accomplished by utilizing dynamical low-rank approximation (DLRA), which is an efficient strategy to derive time evolution equations for low-rank solution representations. The main idea is to interpret the iterates of the classical inverse power iteration as pseudo-time steps and apply the DLRA concepts in this framework. In our numerical experiment, we demonstrate that our method significantly reduces memory requirements while achieving the desired accuracy. Analytic investigations show that the proposed iteration scheme inherits the convergence speed of the inverse power iteration, at least for a simplified setting.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

TNet: A Model-Constrained Tikhonov Network Approach for Inverse Problems

Deep learning (DL), in particular deep neural networks, by default is purely data-driven and in general does not require physics. This is the strength of DL but also one of its key limitations when applied to science and engineering problems in which underlying physical properties—such as stability, conservation, and positivity—and accuracy are required. DL methods in their original forms are often not capable of respecting the underlying mathematical models or achieving desired accuracy even in big-data regimes. On the other hand, many data-driven science and engineering problems, such as inverse problems, typically have limited experimental or observational data, and DL would overfit the data in this case. Leveraging information encoded in the underlying mathematical models, we argue, not only compensates for missing information in low data regimes but also provides opportunities to equip DL methods with the underlying physics, hence promoting better generalization. This paper develops a model-constrained DL approach and its variant TNet—a Tikhonov neural network—which are capable of learning not only information hidden in the training data but also in the underlying mathematical models to solve inverse problems governed by partial differential equations in low data regimes. We provide the constructions and some theoretical results for the proposed approaches for both linear and nonlinear inverse problems. Since TNet is designed to learn inverse solutions with Tikhonov regularization, it is interpretable: in fact it recovers Tikhonov solutions for linear cases while potentially approximating Tikhonov solutions for nonlinear inverse problems. We also prove that data randomization can enhance not only the smoothness of the networks but also their generalizations. Comprehensive numerical results confirm the theoretical findings and show that with even as little as 1 training data sample for one-dimensional (1D) deconvolution, 5 for an inverse 2D heat conductivity problem, 100 for inverse initial conditions for a time-dependent 2D Burgers’s equation, and 50 for inverse initial conditions for 2D Navier–Stokes equations, TNet solutions can be as accurate as Tikhonov solutions while being several orders of magnitude faster. Furthermore, this is possible owing to the model-constrained term, replications, and randomization.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Thermomechanics coupling to Monte Carlo particle transport on unstructured mesh geometries using Cardinal

Geometry deformation due to thermal expansion influences neutron transport in many systems. Studying this phenomenon involves coupling models for neutronics, thermal hydraulics, and solid mechanics. To enable high fidelity modeling of these coupled physics, new capabilities were introduced in Cardinal, coupling OpenMC Monte Carlo particle transport models with MOOSE thermomechanical physics on unstructured moving-mesh geometries. In this work, we present a fully open-source capability leveraging on-the-fly mesh skinning to automatically regenerate OpenMC geometry, which allows multiphysics feedback from temperature, density, and geometry changes. The new capability is verified using an analytic benchmark slab problem, which couples S 2 neutron transport with thermal conduction, convective boundary conditions, Doppler-broadened cross sections, and nonlinear thermal expansion effects along the heated slab. Cardinal reproduces the analytic solutions for the neutron flux, heating, k eff , and temperature with demonstrated convergence in various error terms including mesh resolution and cross section temperature library spacing. For the nominal benchmark conditions and with a fine mesh, maximum relative errors for neutron flux, temperature, and heating are lower than 1%, while errors in integral quantities such as k eff and slab length are within 1 pcm and 48 µm, respectively. This work (i) presents a new numerical approach to thermomechanics coupling with OpenMC models, (ii) is the first (to our knowledge) to utilize a mechanical partial differential equation (PDE) solution to solve the (Griesheimer and Kooreman, 2022) analytic benchmark, and (iii) develops this verified capability within an open-source package.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Theoretical Analysis of Fractional Viscoelastic Flow in Circular Pipes: General Solutions

Fractional calculus is a relatively old yet emerging field of mathematics with the widest range of engineering and biomedical applications. Despite being an incredibly powerful tool, it, however, requires promotion in the engineering community. Rheology is undoubtedly one of the fields where fractional calculus has become an integral part of cutting-edge research. There exists extensive literature on the theoretical, experimental, and numerical treatment of various fractional viscoelastic flows in constraint geometries. However, the general theoretical approach that unites several most commonly used models is missing. Here we present exact analytical solutions for fractional viscoelastic flow in a circular pipe. We find velocity profiles and shear stresses for fractional Maxwell, Kelvin–Voigt, Zener, Poynting–Thomson, and Burgers models. The dynamics of these quantities are studied with respect to normalized pipe radius, fractional orders, and elastic moduli ratio. Three different types of behavior are identified: monotonic increase, resonant, and aperiodic oscillations. The models developed are applicable in the widest material range and allow for the alteration of the balance between viscous and elastic properties of the materials.

Gritsenko, Dmitry (ORCID:0000000248181512)↗
DOE OSTI2022

Local Lagrangian reduced-order modeling for the Rayleigh-Taylor instability by solution manifold decomposition

The Rayleigh-Taylor instability is a classical hydrodynamic instability of great interest in various disciplines of science and engineering, including astrophysics, atmospheric sciences and climate, geophysics, and fusion energy. Analytical methods cannot be applied to explain the long-time behavior of the Rayleigh-Taylor instability, and therefore, numerical simulation of the full problem is required. However, in order to capture the growth of amplitude of perturbations accurately, both the spatial and temporal discretizations need to be extremely fine for traditional numerical methods, and long-time simulation may become prohibitively expensive. In this paper, we propose efficient reduced order model techniques to accelerate the simulation of the Rayleigh-Taylor instability in compressible gas dynamics. Here, we introduce a general framework for decomposing the solution manifold to construct the temporal domain partition and temporally-local reduced order model construction with varying Atwood number. We propose two practical approaches in this framework, namely decomposition by physical time and by penetration distance. Numerical results are presented to examine the performance of the proposed approaches.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Tackling the curse of dimensionality in fractional and tempered fractional PDEs with physics-informed neural networks

Fractional and tempered fractional partial differential equations (PDEs) are effective models of long-range interactions, anomalous diffusion, and non-local effects. Traditional numerical methods for these problems are mesh-based, thus struggling with the curse of dimensionality (CoD). Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) offer a promising solution due to their universal approximation, generalization ability, and mesh-free training. In principle, Monte Carlo fractional PINN (MC-fPINN) estimates fractional derivatives using Monte Carlo methods and thus could lift CoD. However, this may cause significant variance and errors, hence affecting convergence; in addition, MC-fPINN is sensitive to hyperparameters. In general, numerical methods and specifically PINNs for tempered fractional PDEs are under-developed. Herein, we extend MC-fPINN to tempered fractional PDEs to address these issues, resulting in the Monte Carlo tempered fractional PINN (MC-tfPINN). To reduce possible high variance and errors from Monte Carlo sampling, we replace the one-dimensional (1D) Monte Carlo with 1D Gaussian quadrature, applicable to both MC-fPINN and MC-tfPINN. We validate our methods on various forward and inverse problems of fractional and tempered fractional PDEs, scaling up to 100,000 dimensions. Our improved MC-fPINN/MC-tfPINN using quadrature consistently outperforms the original versions in accuracy and convergence speed in very high dimensions.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Landau discriminants

Scattering amplitudes in quantum field theories have intricate analytic properties as functions of the energies and momenta of the scattered particles. In perturbation theory, their singularities are governed by a set of nonlinear polynomial equations, known as Landau equations, for each individual Feynman diagram. The singularity locus of the associated Feynman integral is made precise with the notion of the Landau discriminant, which characterizes when the Landau equations admit a solution. In order to compute this discriminant, we present approaches from classical elimination theory, as well as a numerical algorithm based on homotopy continuation. These methods allow us to compute Landau discriminants of various Feynman diagrams up to 3 loops, which were previously out of reach. For instance, the Landau discriminant of the envelope diagram is a reducible surface of degree 45 in the three-dimensional space of kinematic invariants. We investigate geometric properties of the Landau discriminant, such as irreducibility, dimension and degree. In particular, we find simple examples in which the Landau discriminant has codimension greater than one. Furthermore, we describe a numerical procedure for determining which parts of the Landau discriminant lie in the physical regions. In order to study degenerate limits of Landau equations and bounds on the degree of the Landau discriminant, we introduce Landau polytopes and study their facet structure. Finally, we provide an efficient numerical algorithm for the computation of the number of master integrals based on the connection to algebraic statistics.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Boson star normal modes

Boson stars are gravitationally bound objects that arise in ultralight dark matter models and form in the centers of galactic halos or axion miniclusters. We systematically study the excitations of a boson star, taking into account the mixing between positive and negative frequencies introduced by gravity. We show that the spectrum contains zero-energy modes in the monopole and dipole sectors resulting from spontaneous symmetry breaking by the boson star background. We analyze the general properties of the eigenmodes and derive their orthogonality and completeness conditions which have non-standard form due to the positive-negative frequency mixing. The eigenvalue problem is solved numerically for the first few energy levels in different multipole sectors and the results are compared to the solutions of the Schrödinger equation in fixed boson star gravitational potential. The two solutions differ significantly for the lowest modes, but get close for higher levels. We further confirm the normal mode spectrum in 3D wave simulations where we inject perturbations with different multipoles. As an application of the normal mode solutions, we compute the matrix element entering the evaporation rate of a boson star immersed in a hot axion gas. The computation combines the use of exact wavefunctions for the low-lying bound states and of the Schrödinger approximation for the high-energy excitations.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2024

A High-Order Eulerian–Lagrangian Runge–Kutta Finite Volume (EL–RK–FV) Method for Scalar Nonlinear Conservation Laws

Abstract We present a class of high-order Eulerian–Lagrangian Runge–Kutta finite volume methods that can numerically solve Burgers’ equation with shock formations, which could be extended to general scalar conservation laws. Eulerian–Lagrangian (EL) and semi-Lagrangian (SL) methods have recently seen increased development and have become a staple for allowing large time-stepping sizes. Yet, maintaining relatively large time-stepping sizes post shock formation remains quite challenging. Our proposed scheme integrates the partial differential equation on a space-time region partitioned by linear approximations to the characteristics determined by the Rankine–Hugoniot jump condition. We trace the characteristics forward in time and present a merging procedure for the mesh cells to handle intersecting characteristics due to shocks. Following this partitioning, we write the equation in a time-differential form and evolve with Runge–Kutta methods in a method-of-lines fashion. High-resolution methods such as ENO and WENO-AO schemes are used for spatial reconstruction. Extension to higher dimensions is done via dimensional splitting. Numerical experiments demonstrate our scheme’s high-order accuracy and ability to sharply capture post-shock solutions with large time-stepping sizes.

Chen, Jiajie↗
DOE OSTI2024

On the role of Battery Energy Storage Systems in the day-ahead Contingency-Constrained Unit Commitment problem under renewable penetration

The integration of variable Renewable Energy Sources (vRES) to alleviate greenhouse gas emissions has introduced significant challenges for power systems operations. These challenges include high levels of uncertainty due to the intermittence associated with vRES and therefore impose the need to devise a reliable and cost-effective day-ahead unit commitment and power and reserves scheduling for real-time operations. Also, this increasing penetration of vRES requires higher ramping capabilities from units originally designed for other purposes (e.g., base-load generation), which might be exacerbated during contingency states. Hence, in this work, we propose a methodology to address the day-ahead Contingency-Constrained Unit Commitment (CCUC) problem that leverages the participation of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESSs) to address load-following and post-contingency management, therefore alleviating the ramping burden on conventional thermal generators. To do so, we formulate a three-level optimization problem that represents the decision-making process of obtaining the least-cost commitment, generation and reserves scheduling, while restricting the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of the system imbalance at real-time operations to user-defined tolerance levels. In addition, we devise a computationally efficient solution approach for the proposed problem based on the Column-and Constraint Generation (CCG) algorithmic framework. Two numerical experiments are conducted to empirically illustrate the benefits of the proposed methodology. Key results indicate a reduction in real-time ramping needs and a better usage of the system resources, with a reduction in the overall system commitment levels and reserve scheduling costs when compared to a benchmark case in which storage is not available.

Moreira, Alexandre↗
DOE OSTI2022

A new multi-model absolute difference-based sensitivity (MMADS) analysis method to screen non-influential processes under process model and parametric uncertainty

Process-based models have been widely used for hydrologic modeling, and it is a common practice to use sensitivity analysis methods for excluding non-influential hydrologic processes from further investigation and/or model improvement. This study develops a new method called multi-model absolute difference-based sensitivity (MMADS) analysis method to screen non-influential system processes and parameters. MMADS is conceptually similar to the Morris method for addressing parametric uncertainty, but has a unique feature to address both process model uncertainty (i.e., a process may be represented by multiple process models) and process model parameter uncertainty (i.e., parameters associated with a process model are random). MMADS first evaluates absolute differences of a quantity of interest (i.e., a system model output) by varying process models and/or process model parameter values, and then calculates the mean and variance of the differences for investigating process influence. The mean measures overall influence of the process on the quantity of interest, and the variance estimates influence of nonlinear effects of the process and/or its interactions with other processes. MMADS is an extension of the Morris method from a parameter space to a joint parameter-model space for explicitly addressing both process model uncertainty and model parameter uncertainty. The performance of MMADS is evaluated by using two numerical experiments. One experiment is based on Sobol’s G*-function with ten product elements, and has analytical solutions of the MMADS mean and variance of absolute differences. The other experiment is for groundwater flow modeling which considers three processes (i.e., recharge, geology, and snowmelt) that interact with each other. Finally, results indicate that MMADS is computationally efficient and can identify non-influential processes of complex hydrological systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗