Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Validated Models”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 865 records · Page 48

Utilizing 3D Mechanical Earth Models for Calibration and Validation in a Large-Scale Carbon Capture and Storage Project in North Dakota

Conference paper presented at 17th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (GHGT-17), Calgary, Alberta, Canada, October 20–24, 2024. Three-dimensional (3D) mechanical earth models (MEMs) are pivotal in assessing geological sites for carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) storage and mitigating potential risks associated with storage and injection. The Energy & Environmental Research Center is exploring innovative carbon storage monitoring techniques at a CO 2 storage site near Beulah, North Dakota. These methods aim to provide lower-impact, faster feedback for commercial carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects. The research includes monitoring CO 2 injection using various approaches: 1) an automated, integrated modular monitoring station; 2) time-lapse electromagnetic (EM) field surveys; 3) drone-based surveillance; 4) time-lapse seismic techniques; and 5) advanced wellbore monitoring.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Development of Gamma Background Radiation Digital Twin with Machine Learning Algorithms: Application of Unsupervised Machine Learning to Detection of Anomalies and Nuisances in Gamma Background Radiation Environmental Screening Data

Environmental screening of gamma radiation consists of detecting weak nuisance and anomaly signal in the presence of strong and highly varying background. In a typical scenario, a mobile detector-spectrometer continuously measures gamma radiation spectra in short, e.g., one-second, signal acquisition intervals. The measurement data is a 2D matrix, where one dimension is gamma ray energy, and the other dimension is the number of measurements or total time. In principle, gamma radiation sources can be detected and identified from the measured data by their unique spectral lines. Detecting sources from data measured in a search scenario is difficult due to the highly varying background because of naturally occurring radioactive material (NORM), and low signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) of spectral signal measured during one-second acquisition intervals. The objective of this work is to explore unsupervised machine learning (ML) algorithms for development of a digital twin of gamma radiation background, and for detection and identification of weak nuisances and anomalies events in the presence of highly fluctuating background. In one segment of work, we developed a gamma background estimation model using a Longshort term memory (LSTM) network for one-step CPS time series prediction. The LSTM model was validated with two data sets of measurements from two independent NaI detectors positioned on a mobile platform. The data sets contained background radiation only and no orphan isotope sources. The LSTM model was constructed and tested using data from one of the detectors. Performance of the LSTM model was validate through one-step prediction of CPS time series of another NaI detector without re-training. This approach allows to create a digital twin for nuclear background estimation. Using LSTM, it could be possible to detect a source through subtraction of the estimated counts from the measured background. In another segment of work, we investigated detection of gamma emitting sources in the presence of complex background using unsupervised machine learning. Spectral lines of isotopes are difficult to observe in one-second measurements. Averaging over the entire measurement campaign data set reveals spectral lines of most common background isotopes. Spectral lines of orphan sources, which might appear only in a few measurements during the campaign, will be washed out if averaging is performed over the entire measurement data set. The approach we have explored consists of extracting one-second measurements containing weak spectral features through data clustering. Averaging one-second spectra in a cluster should reveal the presence of anomaly sources. We created two ML models using K-means clustering and Neural Network Self-organizing Map (SOM). Performance of these ML models was benchmarked using search data. One data set contained 137 Cs source, and another dataset contained 131 I source.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integration of renewable energy generation and storage systems for emissions reduction in an islanded campus microgrid

Microgrid connected building communities are projected to play an integral part in the clean energy transition. These types of systems, when integrated with distributed energy resources (DERs) such as combined heat and power (CHP), district heating and cooling, renewable generation, and energy storage, can provide clean, reliable power to critical facilities and vulnerable communities. The intermittent nature of renewable generation is a challenge when integrating renewables into any grid system, but particularly in islanded microgrids. The University of Texas at Austin (UT) operates an islanded microgrid powered by a CHP plant, while also utilizing district heating and cooling systems and thermal energy storage (TES). High fidelity operating data was used to develop a validated reduced order model of UT’s integrated campus energy systems to serve as a testbed for use in a case study. Hypothetical renewable energy installations on land owned by UT in west Texas were modeled and integrated into the validated campus models along with battery energy storage (BES). Simulations showed that a combination of renewable energy from wind, and optimally controlled 24-hour thermal and battery storage systems could reduce carbon dioxide emissions on campus by 45.4%. The additional retrofit of burner systems to utilize hydrogen natural gas blends resulted in an overall annual emissions reduction of 54.7%. Carbon capture and storage eliminated the majority of the remaining emissions with increased plant energy expenditure. The presented simulations display the practical limitations of a CHP system complemented by renewable generation and short-term storage in eliminating emissions. Furthermore, results highlight the need for further research and development in long duration storage technologies and hydrogen fueled turbines to increase penetration of renewable energy and reduce emissions.

CHP↗

A library of AI-assisted FAIR water cycle and related disturbance datasets to enable model training, parameterization and validation

This whitepaper is responsive to focal area Data acquisition and assimilation enabled by machine learning, AI, and advanced methods. Here we describe how FAIR (Findable, Accessible, Reusable, Interoperable) datasets related to water cycle extremes are essential for successful implementation of ML in Earth System and other models. We also describe how AI can be used to acquire and integrate water cycle data related to extreme events to create a library of FAIR datasets for training and evaluating algorithms.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Automated bidirectional coupling of multiscale models of aerosol dosimetry: Validation with subject-specific deposition data

Assessing the toxicity of airborne particulate matter or the efficacy of inhaled drug depends upon accurate estimates of deposited fraction of inhaled materials. In silico approaches can provide important insights into site- or airway-specific deposition of inhaled aerosols in the respiratory system. In this study, we improved on our recently developed 3D/1D model that simulate aerosol transport and deposition in the whole lung over multiple breath cycles. A subject-specific multiscale lung model of a healthy male subject using computational fluid-particle dynamics (CFPD) in a 3D model of the oral cavity through the large bronchial airways entering each lobe was bidirectionally coupled with a recently improved Multiple Path Particle Dosimetry (MPPD) model to predict aerosol deposition over the entire respiratory tract over multiple breaths for four conditions matching experimental aerosol exposures in the same subject from which the model was developed. These include two particle sizes (1 and 2.9 μm) and two subject-specific breathing rates of ~300 ml/s (slow breathing) and ~750 ml/s (fast breathing) at a target tidal volume of 1 L. In silico predictions of retained fraction were 0.31 and 0.29 for 1 μm and 0.66 and 0.62 for 2.9 μm during slow and fast breathing, respectively, and compared well with experimental data (1 μm: 0.31 ± 0.01 (slow) and 0.27 ± 0.01 (fast), 2.9 μm: 0.63 ± 0.03 (slow) and 0.68 ± 0.02 (fast)). Furthermore, these results provide a great deal of confidence in the validity and reliability of our approach.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

BISON capability and validation for U3Si2, Cr2O3-doped UO2, FeCrAl, and Cr-coated Zircaloy ATF concepts

Development, implementation, and validation of material and behavior models for accident tolerant fuel (ATF) concepts in the BISON fuel performance code began in 2014 in response to the events that occurred at the Fukushima Daichii nuclear power plant in March 2011. Early on, the focus was on U3Si2 fuel and FeCrAl cladding as part of a high-impact problem through the Nuclear Energy and Advanced Model- ing Simulation program [1]. Then, developments for Cr2O3- doped UO2 fuel, as well as SiC-SiC and Cr-coated Zircaloy cladding began based upon industry interests. Near the end of fiscal year 2018 the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors took over further Accident Tolerant Fuel (ATF) work in BISON in support of Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) engagement. Discussions with the NRC clarified their list of priority fuel and cladding concepts, which included Cr2O3-doped UO2 and U3Si2 fuels, as well as Cr-coated Zircaloy and FeCrAl claddings. Further, reports similar in form to NUREG/CR-7024 [2] that was developed for traditional light water reactor (LWR) materials, UO2 fuel with Zircaloy claddings were created for the priority fuel and cladding concepts. In this paper select details from the reports entitled "ATF material model development and validation for priority fuel concepts" [3] and "ATF material model development and validation for priority cladding concepts" [4] are presented. First, a brief overview of the available models and their associated uncertainty are provided for the priority fuel and cladding concepts. Then, for the concepts with experimental data, comparisons between simulation and experiment are shown taking into account forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques. For the concepts without publicly available experimental data, parametric studies incorporating forward UQ are completed to verify claims made about the materials’ behavior.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Shepherding Metadata Through the Building Lifecycle

Many different digital representations of a building are produced over the course of its lifecycle. These representations contain the metadata required to support different stages of the building, from initial planning and design, to construction and commissioning, through operations, audits, retrofits and maintenance. However, because of differences in the semantics, structure and syntax of these representations, the metadata they contain is not interoperable. We present a novel method for leveraging these representations to create a unified, authoritative Brick metadata model for a building that can be continually maintained over the course of the building lifecycle. A simple synchronization protocol relays inferred Brick metadata from existing metadata sources such as gbXML, BuildingSync, Project Haystack and Modelica to a central integration server, which merges the metadata into a valid Brick model.

Fierro, Gabe↗

Solar Farm’s Microclimates Effects: Predicting Abundance and Visiting Frequency of Pollinators

The solar farm is garnering attention for its contribution to ecosystem services, particularly in supporting pollinators. Although numerous studies have focused on the distinct microclimates of solar farms, there has been limited effort to validate and model the impact of these conditions on insects [1]. To effectively evaluate and leverage the ecosystem services from solar farms in policymaking, understanding how insects react to microclimate variations in diverse designs and management methods is essential. This study aims to validate and model the impact of temperature and shade at solar farms on pollinator populations and their frequency of pollination as well as compare the potential for increased pollination under different types of panels within a solar grazing setup.

Chung, Hyun Yong↗

A computational fluid dynamics model to estimate local quantities in firebrand char oxidation

Firebrand burning is a complex phenomenon that is influenced by several parameters which are difficult to fully explore experimentally. Computational fluid dynamics models capable of predicting local quantities are essential for accurate prediction of char oxidation in firebrands. This article presents a computational fluid dynamics model to estimate firebrand mass loss, diameter change, and surface temperature during char oxidation. The model was validated using previously conducted wind tunnel experiments. These experiments were conducted for firebrands of two different aspect ratios, which were arranged in three different configurations (single, horizontal array, and vertical array), and for four different wind speeds (0.5, 1, 1.5, and 2 m/s). The computational fluid dynamics results were compared with a previous 1 D model. In all the test cases, the computational fluid dynamics model predicted the physical phenomena with significantly improved accuracy compared to a 1 D model. The char oxidation model presented in this article can be coupled with other models to study firebrand generation and trajectory, biomass pyrolysis, fluidized bed reactors, and coal combustion.

Engineering↗

A network-enabled pipeline for gene discovery and validation in non-model plant species

Identifying key regulators of important genes in non-model crop species is challenging due to limited multi-omics resources. To address this, we introduce the network-enabled gene discovery pipeline NEEDLE, a user-friendly tool that systematically generates coexpression gene network modules, measures gene connectivity, and establishes network hierarchy to pinpoint key transcriptional regulators from dynamic transcriptome datasets. After validating its accuracy with two independent datasets, we applied NEEDLE to identify transcription factors (TFs) regulating the expression of cellulose synthase-like F6 ( CSLF6 ), a crucial cell wall biosynthetic gene, in Brachypodium and sorghum. Our analyses uncover regulators of CSLF6 and also shed light on the evolutionary conservation or divergence of gene regulatory elements among grass species. These results highlight NEEDLE’s capability to provide biologically relevant TF predictions and demonstrate its value for non-model plant species with dynamic transcriptome datasets.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Development and Validation of Two-Phase Flow Models in MOOSE and Application to Molten Salt Reactors

Two-phase flow in Molten Salt Reactors (MSRs) is important as it impacts reactivity evolution, reactor transient response, and the removal of species dissolved in the molten salt through gas phase transfer. Therefore, accurately predicting the gas distribution and the associated liquid-gas interface area in MSRs is essential for their design and operation. Recently, we integrated two new models into Idaho National Laboratory (INL)’s Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE): a multi-D generalization of a mixture drift-flux model and a Euler-Euler model. The Euler-Euler model offers higher fidelity, while the mixture drift-flux model provides greater computational efficiency, which is typically preferred for modeling reactor transients. However, the mixture model's accuracy in capturing void distribution and interfacial area in MSRs still needs to be assessed. This article begins with a description of the mathematical framework for the two-phase models implemented in MOOSE. It then presents validation of these models against relevant experimental data. Finally, both models are applied to the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment case study, analyzing various operational conditions such as different rates of fission product volatilization and diverse cover gas entrainment scenarios at the reactor pump. The article concludes by assessing the suitability of both models for capturing the two-phase flow dynamics critical to MSR operations.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

Development of a Gibbs Energy Minimiser for the MOOSE-based Corrosion Modelling App Yellowjacket and Validation of MSTDB

Nuclear materials are highly complex multiscale, multiphysics systems,and an effective prediction of nuclear reactor performance and safety requires simulation capabilities that tightly couple different physical phenomena. The Idaho National Laboratory’s Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) provides the computational foundation for performing such simulations. With the move towards advanced reactors, such as the Molten Salt Reactor (MSR), that employ high temperature fluids compared to conventional reactors, corrosion has become a problem of great interest. A new application called Yellowjacket is currently under development to directly couple thermodynamic equilibrium and kinetics with phase field models in order to model corrosion in MSRs. As part of Yellowjacket, a Gibbs energy minimiser is being developed to perform thermochemical equilibrium calculations for a range of different materials, which is currently in its infancy. This report describes the further progress towards the development of Yellowjacket Gibbs energy minimiser. Ontario Tech University is developing a new Gibbs energy minimiser for Yellowjacket which is the primary contribution of this work. The aim to develop a thermochemistry solver for the MOOSE framework following the same development philosophy and using the same tools and libraries. A special focus is on performance, documentation and SQA. Furthermore through a scope extension partway through the fiscal year a thorough assessment of the MSTDB-TC v1.3 was performed at Ontario Tech University in the context of continuous improvement and quality assurance. The objective of the work was to have an arm’s length review of the database to give confidence that the database is performing as it was intended while assessing its current state to give recommendations to future developments. This assessment involved two parts: A) a quantitative assessment, and B) a qualitative assessment. Part A involved developing an automated test-suite that would compute values from the database using Thermochimica with comparisons to experimental measurements for validation purposes, which gives confidence to the database’s stakeholders that its functioning properly. Part B involved reviewing all binary systems in the database and making a qualitative assessment with two performance indicators: comprehensiveness and overall confidence. It is important to note that the models in the database are empirical, which is to say that the quality of any model is highly dependent on the experimental data used to inform its development.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

pnnl-predictive-phenomics/csc052-gem

Genome-Scale Metabolic Model Continuous Validation with Memote for CarbStor Community Member Bacillus These repositories contain the continuous validation environment for an organism-specific genome-scale metabolic model (GEM) using Memote. Memote is a software tool that provides a suite of tests to ensure the quality and consistency of metabolic models. By integrating Memote into a continuous integration (CI) workflow, we can automatically validate updates to the GEM, ensuring that model modifications improve or maintain the model's integrity.

Torres, Victor E.↗

pnnl-predictive-phenomics/csc040-gem

Genome-Scale Metabolic Model Continuous Validation with Memote for CarbStor Community Member Rhodococcus These repositories contain the continuous validation environment for an organism-specific genome-scale metabolic model (GEM) using Memote. Memote is a software tool that provides a suite of tests to ensure the quality and consistency of metabolic models. By integrating Memote into a continuous integration (CI) workflow, we can automatically validate updates to the GEM, ensuring that model modifications improve or maintain the model's integrity.

McNaughton, Andrew [@PNNL]↗

pnnl-predictive-phenomics/csc043-gem

Genome-Scale Metabolic Model Continuous Validation with Memote for CarbStor Community Member Paenibacillus These repositories contain the continuous validation environment for an organism-specific genome-scale metabolic model (GEM) using Memote. Memote is a software tool that provides a suite of tests to ensure the quality and consistency of metabolic models. By integrating Memote into a continuous integration (CI) workflow, we can automatically validate updates to the GEM, ensuring that model modifications improve or maintain the model's integrity.

Zucker, Jeremy [Pacific Northwest National Laborat↗

GRUMDN: A Multi-Task Model for Predicting Human Patterns-of-Life from Stay Transition Data

Understanding human patterns-of-life (PoL) is essential towards ensuring safe and secure indoor facility environment as well as outdoor urban environment. Prediction of human movement in between places of interest is vital in understanding human PoL. Movement between spaces maybe represented and detected in one of the two forms: 1) trajectories: locations measured at regular time intervals by mobile sensors, bluetooth or GPS sensors; or 2) stay transitions: semantic PoI (points of interest) and stay duration data measurable by eventbased sensors that collect data when a check-in or check-out event is detected. Stay transition data provides a more compressed data format compared to trajectories data, especially in situations with longer stay durations, while preserving the information necessary for PoL analysis. Now as introduced briefly in the paper, our deployed end application (Digital Twin of a facility with non-player characters, besides the interactive user in virtual reality) needed a well-performing and validated AI/ML model for simulating high quality stay transitions behavior. In this study we thus primarily present our findings with developing and validating that model, which is a multi-task neural network for stay transition prediction. The neural network consists of two heads, for corresponding two tasks of stay category prediction and stay duration prediction. We evaluated gated recurrent units and multi-layer perceptrons of varying network sizes for stay category prediction; while mixture density networks, noisy generator-only networks, and generative adversarial networks of varying network sizes for stay duration prediction. We have then evaluated four multi-task models, constructed by combining these specialized models, on their ability to predict stay transition data. We tested our models on datasets from two different cases: 1) a simulation-generated dataset of indoor movement within the HFIR (high flux isotope reactor) nuclear reactor facility at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL); and 2) the GeoLife human mobility dataset of outdoor urban movement available in literature. Our results indicate that GRUMDN, which combines gated recurrent units (GRU) for stay category prediction task, and mixture density networks (MDN) for stay duration prediction task, did overall outperform other multitask models and the current state-of-the-art.

Gunaratne, Chathika [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000225088745↗

Day-ahead photovoltaic power production forecasting methodology based on machine learning and statistical post-processing

A main challenge towards ensuring large-scale and seamless integration of photovoltaic systems is to improve the accuracy of energy yield forecasts, especially in grid areas of high photovoltaic shares. The scope of this paper is to address this issue by presenting a unified methodology for hourly-averaged day-ahead photovoltaic power forecasts with improved accuracy, based on data-driven machine learning techniques and statistical post-processing. More specifically, the proposed forecasting methodology framework comprised of a data quality stage, data-driven power output machine learning model development (artificial neural networks), weather clustering assessment (K-means clustering), post-processing output optimisation (linear regressive correction method) and the final performance accuracy evaluation. The results showed that the application of linear regression coefficients to the forecasted outputs of the developed day-ahead photovoltaic power production neural network improved the performance accuracy by further correcting solar irradiance forecasting biases. The resulting optimised model provided a mean absolute percentage error of 4.7% when applied to historical system datasets. Finally, the model was validated both, at a hot as well as a cold semi-arid climatic location, and the obtained results demonstrated close agreement by yielding forecasting accuracies of mean absolute percentage error of 4.7% and 6.3%, respectively. Finally, the validation analysis provides evidence that the proposed model exhibits high performance in both forecasting accuracy and stability.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Development of a thermal creep model for aluminum alloy 6061 cladding in U-10Mo monolithic fuel plates

Plate-type fuel elements consisting of a high-density, low-enriched uranium (LEU) U–10Mo-based fuel foil encapsulated in an aluminum alloy (AA) cladding are fabricated using the hot isostatic pressing (HIP) technique. During the HIP process, the fuel plate system is heated to 560 °C, then cooled to room temperature. This heat cycle significantly affects the mechanical properties of the aluminum cladding, and experimental investigations have shown that, post-HIP bonding, the mechanical properties of the aluminum cladding transition from those of AA 6061-T6 to something closer to the O temper. More specifically, the ultimate strength of the cladding decreases while its ductility increases, making it challenging to capture the changes in mechanical behavior and material properties. Understanding the residual stresses generated during the HIP process is critical for assessing the fuel plate’s integrity under various temperature, pressure, and irradiation. To simulate the HIP bonding process, the elastic, plastic, and thermal properties of the cladding are assumed to be similar to those of AA 6061-O temper. However, the primary challenge lies in the lack of available data for the creep model of the AA 6061 cladding during this transient process of HIP. The present study focuses on developing a computational model that predicts the creep behavior of the aluminum cladding in the fuel plates during the HIP process, as cladding creep significantly influences the residual stresses generated in U-10Mo fuel plates during HIP fabrication. Furthermore, as HIP bonding occurs at high temperatures that are nearing the melting point of aluminum, the present work considered a temperature-dependent Arrhenius-type creep model. In particular, a hyperbolic sine creep model is employed to estimate the creep properties of the as-fabricated aluminum cladding. In conclusion, the residual stresses predicted in the U-10Mo fuel when using the newly calibrated creep model closely align with the experimental measurements, validating the model’s accuracy.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗