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At least 865 records · Page 48

Quantitative Risk Analysis

The US energy sector is vulnerable to multiple hazards including both natural disasters and malicious attacks from an intelligent adversary. The question that utility owners, operators and regulators face is how to prioritize their investments to mitigate the risks from a hazard that can have the most impact on the asset of interest. In order to be able to understand their risk landscape and develop a prioritized mitigation strategy, they must quantify risk in a consistent way across all hazards their asset is facing. Without being able to quantitatively measure risk, it is not possible to defensibly prioritize security investments or evaluate trade-offs between security and functionality. Development of a methodology that will consistently measure and quantify risk across different hazards is needed.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Water Network Tool for Resilience (WNTR) User Manual

Drinking water systems face multiple challenges, including aging infrastructure, water quality concerns, uncertainty in supply and demand, natural disasters, environmental emergencies, and cyber and terrorist attacks. All of these have the potential to disrupt a large portion of a water system causing damage to infrastructure and outages to customers. Increasing resilience to these types of hazards is essential to improving water security. As one of the United States (US) sixteen critical infrastructure sectors, drinking water is a national priority. The National Infrastructure Advisory Council defined infrastructure resilience as “the ability to reduce the magnitude and/or duration of disruptive events. The effectiveness of a resilient infrastructure or enterprise depends upon its ability to anticipate, absorb, adapt to, and/or rapidly recover from a potentially disruptive event”. Being able to predict how drinking water systems will perform during disruptive incidents and understanding how to best absorb, recover from, and more successfully adapt to such incidents can help enhance resilience.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Sociocultural Behavior Influence Modelling & Assessment: Current Work and Research Frontiers.

A common problem associated with the effort to better assess potential behaviors of various individuals within different countries is the shear difficulty in comprehending the dynamic nature of populations, particularly over time and considering feedback effects. This paper discusses a theory-based analytical capability designed to enable analysts to better assess the influence of events on individuals interacting within a country or region. These events can include changes in policy, man-made or natural disasters, migration, war, or other changes in environmental/economic conditions. In addition, this paper describes potential extensions of this type of research to enable more timely and accurate assessments.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Collaborative study on "Earthquake Ground Motion Simulation Using Rupture Dynamics"

California (LLNL) and Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Japan (DPRI) on rupture dynamics for crustal earthquakes, we carried out analyses of effects of several dynamic rupture parameters, such as stress drop, slip weakening distance and stress excess on fault rupture slip, slip velocity, and rupture velocity. In addition, we examined potential relationships between the assumed initial stress conditions, including asperities location, and rupture initiation and the final slip and slip velocity obtained from the spontaneous rupture modeling.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Water Network Tool for Resilience Version 0.1

Water utilities are vulnerable to a wide variety of human-caused and natural disasters. These disruptive events can result in loss of water service, contaminated water, pipe breaks, and failed equipment. Furthermore, long term changes in water supply and customer demand can have a large impact on the operating conditions of the network. The ability to maintain drinking water service during and following these types of events is critical. Simulation and analysis tools can help water utilities explore how their network will respond to disruptive events and plan effective mitigation strategies. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Sandia National Laboratories are developing new software tools to meet this need. The Water Network Tool for Resilience (WNTR, pronounced winter) is a Python package designed to help water utilities investigate resilience of water distribution systems over a wide range of hazardous scenarios and to evaluate resilience-enhancing actions. The following documentation includes installation instructions and examples, description of software features, and software license. It is assumed that the reader is familiar with the Python Programming Language.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Chance-Constrained Optimization for Critical Infrastructure Protection

Stochastic optimization deals with making highly reliable decisions under uncertainty. Chance constraints are a crucial tool of stochastic optimization to develop mathematical optimization models; they form the backbone of many important national security data science applications. These include critical infrastructure resiliency, cyber security, power system operations, and disaster relief management. However, existing algorithms to solve chance-constrained optimization models are severely limited by problem size and structure. In this investigative study, we (i) develop new algorithms to approximate chance-constrained optimization models, (ii) demonstrate the application of chance-constraints to a national security problem, and (iii) investigate related stochastic optimization problems. We believe our work will pave way for new research is stochastic optimization as well as secure national infrastructures against unforeseen attacks.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Commercial Property Assessed Clean Energy (CPACE) for Tax-Exempt and Public Entities (“CivicPACE”)

This report summarizes the work of the CivicPACE team to open the market for property assessed clean energy financing for the nonprofit, tax exempt sector. Property Assessed Clean Energy (PACE) finances property improvements that are paid back through a line item on the property owner’s tax bill. Most states restrict such improvements to renewable energy and energy efficiency, although they may include water conservation and disaster related improvements such as hurricane or earthquake preparedness. When such projects are developed for commercial properties, it is referred to as commercial PACE or CPACE. When CPACE applies to tax exempt or nonprofit organizations, we refer to it as CivicPACE. CivicPACE also represents the name of this program. The purpose of the CivicPACE project was to help nonprofit tax-exempt organizations such as affordable housing, faith-based institutions, and schools gain greater access to financing for solar energy deployment through PACE. As such, the lessons learned and best practices from the CivicPACE team work is intended for state and municipal program designers, PACE administrators, solar installers, and nonprofit organizations. CPACE is experiencing rapid growth. Cumulative CPACE financing grew from 8.2 million in 2010 to 111 million in 2014 to 588 million in 2017. Renewable energy, mostly solar, represents about a quarter of the financing; the nonprofit sector represents about 10% of total financing. The Project Team was formed in early 2015 when solar financing options were limited for nonprofits (NPOs). Traditional bank financing was difficult for nonprofit organizations to secure since they are often viewed as a credit risk. Despite the growth of CPACE, few tax-exempt organizations were using the financing mechanism at the start of 2015. Nonetheless, CPACE financing appeared to have tremendous potential for solar development for tax-exempt organizations such as schools, churches, and multifamily affordable housing, because it addresses many of the traditional nonprofit financing roadblocks, such as credit risk. Given the benefits and the rapid growth of CPACE, the opportunity to expand CPACE financing for solar development on tax-exempt buildings was timely. The Project team was comprised of The Solar Foundation (TSF), Urban Ingenuity (UI), and Clean Energy Solutions, Inc. (CESI). The Solar Foundation was the Principal Investigator and overall team lead. The Solar Foundation is an independent 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization whose mission is to accelerate adoption of the world’s most abundant energy source. PACE financing specialist Urban Ingenuity was the lead for the team for the pilot projects. Clean Energy Solutions (CESI) was the lead on the market analysis, financial modeling, and HUD regulatory issues for PACE financed solar development on affordable housing. The CivicPACE team focused on four key activities to help open the market for CPACE financing of solar development for nonprofit entities: research, pilot projects, technical assistance, and information dissemination.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Check the Stack: An Enabling Framework for Resilient Microgrids

Highly destructive natural disasters have illustrated the fragility of critical infrastructure including emergency services, healthcare, and water treatment during long-term electricity outages. One pathway to increase the resilience of critical infrastructure amidst disruptions to grid systems is developing microgrids, particularly those that incorporate solar photovoltaics (PV) and energy storage. This document defines a resilient microgrid as a set of interconnected load that includes critical infrastructure and distributed energy resources with the ability to island from the grid during an outage. Research is limited with respect to how much critical infrastructure could benefit from microgrids, how many states have pursued this prioritization approach, and what policies need to be in place to support more widespread deployment. This report explores each of these questions to offer the industry and policymakers a clearer understanding of the opportunity for resilient microgrids and how policy can be designed to support this market.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Resilience: Concepts from Engineering, Ecology, and the Social Sciences

“Resilience” is fast becoming a key word for describing the desired result of the activities we group under the heading of “homeland security.” Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Napolitano has made resilience a key theme in her speeches, highlighting the efforts of DHS to “strengthen the resilience of ... infrastructure, computer networks, and of ... communities and citizens.” She has talked about resilience as “strengthening the ability for our systems, our cities, our towns, and our country to bounce back quickly from an attack or a natural disaster, and to be even stronger than before. This paper first provides an overview of resilience concepts from U.S. government and academic research sources. It then discusses resilience concepts and metrics from the academic literature in more detail, focusing on three types of resilience: engineering resilience, ecological resilience, and community and regional resilience. Next, it discusses system characteristics that have been associated with increased resilience. Based on this background, we propose a model of the infrastructure resilience analysis process. We then review LANL capabilities for each process element and indicate areas where capability development opportunities exist. Appendices provide additional information on funding sources and key players in infrastructure resilience, and a more detailed technical explanation of ecological resilience.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Utility Investments in Resilience of Electricity Systems

Recent power outages caused by hurricanes, wildfires and other natural disasters, coupled with evolving cyber and physical threats, have increased interest in the resilience of electricity systems. The U.S. Department of Energy’s Grid Modernization Lab Consortium (GMLC) defines resilience as “the ability to prepare for and adapt to changing conditions and withstand and recover rapidly from disruptions, including the ability to withstand and recover from deliberate attacks, accidents, or naturally occurring threats or incidents.” In a new report for Berkeley Lab, organizations that represent state regulators, utilities and consumers discuss the level and scope of resilience needed, how to decide what investments are most impactful, and roles of local, state and federal officials.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Development of Accident Tolerant Fuel Options For Near Term Applications

In this section, the basis for the proposal followed by description of the work scope and methodologies are discussed. Following the Fukushima disaster in 2011, US congress mandated the department of energy to start a R&D program on accident tolerant fuel (ATF) concepts for the existing light water reactor fleet. By 2015, the start date of this IRP, several ATF concepts were being pursued by various entities. In general, the ATF concepts were divided into two categories: near term and long term. The near term concepts included: Coated Zircaloy clad, fuels with additives and dopants and FeCrAl/steel based claddings. The long term concepts included: SiC composite cladding, high density fuels (U 3 Si 2 , UN) and TRISO type fuel forms (e.g. FCM). It is of particular importance for any DOE funded effort to give background information and original Funding Opportunity Announcement (FOA) goals in its final report to evaluate whether the FOA goals and the proposed work were actually addressed. The FOA for this IRP sought for modeling and simulation capability to predict various ATF performances during normal operation, design basis accident and severe accident conditions. Particularly, the FOA was concern with the state of the core performance during a severe accident. It was postulated that if an ATF retains its structural integrity, the performance of non-fuel structures in the core needs to be addressed. The IRP team focused the proposal on Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR) performance for near term ATF concepts: Coated cladding, Fuel with additives and dopants to accelerate adoption of such concepts and address the unanswered questions regarding their performance. The project also gave limited focus on another near term concept, FeCrAl cladding, by restricting its scope to time-to-failure prediction since substantial effort supported by other programs including ORNL ATF program, GEH ATF program and NEAMS High Impact Problem were already made or underway during the IRP tenure. Despite two previous IRPs funded in 2012 with focus on experimental study of metallic and ceramic Zircaloy coated claddings, this IRP still included a coating program. This was a testament to the project leadership’s belief that the coated clad concept will be the primarily initial pathway for near term industrialization of ATF technology due to presence of enrichment penalty and licensing hurdles of the alternative clad concepts. In doing so, the IRP was positioned to provide key findings on coated Zircaloy as a uniquely funded external program to DOE’s industrial ATF campaign. Currently, in 2019, the coated clad concept is being pursued by all three vendors for licensed application and Lead Test Rods and Lead Test Assemblies (LTRs/LTAs) have already been inserted or planned to be inserted in the existing fleet. At the start of the IRP project, based on the meeting with the projects technical and federal point of contacts, it was also agreed upon if the contractual obligations are met, then the scope of the simulation work will be extended to Boiling Water Reactors as included in Section 2.10.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Powering the Blue Economy: Exploring Opportunities for Marine Renewable Energy in Various Maritime

The blue economy is an emerging sector that will require energy to allow many scientific and commercial endeavors to reach their potential. The U.S. Department of Energy’s Water Power Technologies Office seeks to understand marine and coastal opportunities for which marine energy could fulfill those energy needs. This report documents the material gathered during a year-long fact-finding effort engaging users and developers, through literature review, workshops, interviews, and national lab analyses, as well as a Request for Information process. Each market was assessed by a set of common analyses: opportunity summary; application description and power requirements; market description, power options, and geographic relevance; marine energy potential value proposition; and path forward including research and development needs and potential partners. The major finding is that there are more markets with potential than anticipated, both for Power at Sea (including ocean observation and navigation, underwater vehicle charging, marine aquaculture, marine algae, and seawater mining), and Resilient Coastal Communities (including desalination, coastal resiliency and disaster recovery, and community-scale isolated power systems). The enabling attributes of marine energy resources include that they are abundant, geographically diverse, energy dense, predictable, and complementary to other energy sources. This report can help direct analysis and research and development efforts by government, scientists, developers, and other stakeholders to more deeply understand and meet specific technical and economic requirements to power emerging opportunities in the blue economy.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Micro Reactor Instrumentation and Control FY2019 Report

Micro-reactors (i.e., very small transportable or mobile nuclear reactors with a capacity less than 20 MWt) are being developed to supply heat and power for various applications in remote areas, military installations, emergency operations, humanitarian missions, and disaster relief zones. A wide variety of reactor types are under consideration, including sodium-cooled fast reactors, molten salt reactors, light water reactors, very-high-temperature gas reactors, and heat pipe reactors. These miniaturized transportable reactor designs remain largely untested and unproven. System and component testing are needed to demonstrate design safety and system robustness, reliability and efficiency.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Gas-Electrical Grid Coordination for Cross Infrastructure Resilience Enhancement

An electric power grid is exceedingly faced with extreme events, such as physical attacks and natural disasters. In comparison, the underground natural gas pipeline-based transportation network is considered less vulnerable to such environmental threats. We consider that the overhead power transmissions can be hardened by replacing segments of electric power system with underground natural gas pipelines as an energy transportation system to counter effect extreme events which can damage interdependent infrastructures severely. This project investigates an extension of the power system planning problem considering extreme events and identifies the feasibility of solving this problem with advanced modeling and optimization methods. The proposed planning framework is formulated as a two-stage optimization problem. It is found that the integrated planning introduces the additional cost of pipeline planning and the operation constraints into the power system planning. However, gas pipelines are generally less exposed to extreme events, which can provide a more resilient power transmission for supplying the electrical loads. It is with this potential for enhancing the power grid resilience that the proposed integrated expansion of electricity and natural gas system is considered an optimal layout for the transportation of energy.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Strategic Survey of Antineutrino-based Nonproliferation Technologies

Antineutrinos carry approximately 3% of the total energy released in fission processes. As a consequence, nuclear energy production provides by far the brightest antineutrino sources on Earth. Antineutrino interactions with ordinary matter are weak and these particles cannot be shielded, making them an ideal signature of fissioning systems. However, the same property makes antineutrinos difficult to detect. Antineutrino detection technologies have matured in recent years, and emerging detection approaches warrant further investment. For near-field applications, the major enabling technological advancement, reported in 2018, is the conclusive detection of the antineutrino spectrum in segmented detectors operating at the surface with minimal shielding. For far-field applications, the highlights are the routine detection of reactor antineutrinos at hundreds of kilometer standoff in the kiloton-scale KamLAND and Borexino liquid scintillator detectors, and in particular the observation of the residual South Korean reactor antineutrino flux in KamLAND following the Fukushima disaster that led to shutdown of reactors in Japan

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Radioactive Plume Avoidance and Aircraft Decontamination – Best Practices

Response to an incident involving the release of radioactive material will most likely involve aircraft for disaster relief and radiological monitoring. Aircraft flying into a radiologically contaminated area risk becoming contaminated, and in the worst cases having to be removed from service. Contamination is avoidable, and decontamination is possible, but both require planning and forethought.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Nonproliferation Legacy Technology and Artifact Collection: NASA Space Shuttle Tiles

The NASA Space Shuttle Tiles were used by Sandia in the process of developing the Laser Dynamic Range Imager (LDRI) in support of NASA's Return to Flight following the 2003 Space Shuttle Columbia disaster. The heat shield tiles, provided to Sandia by NASA, are identical to those that were located on the underbelly of the Space Shuttle Columbia's orbiter. Sandia used the tiles to test the efficacy of the LDRI's imaging capabilities. The LDRI was utilized during every space shuttle mission between 2005 and 2011. The tiles are currently located in Building 891 and need to be moved to free up space for operational use. Given their technical significance, Sandia would like to archive them as historically significant items in long-term storage until such time as they can be appropriately displayed or employed as a demonstration artifact. This document provides basic information about the provenance of this artifact.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Integrated Modeling and Simulation Capability For Full Scale Multi-Physics Simulation and Visualization of Microreactor Concept

Microreactors are small mobile transportable nuclear reactors with thermal power less than 20 MWt that are designed to meet the needs of remote areas, military installations, emergency operations, and disaster relief zones. These reactor are concepts that are intended to be factory-manufacturable, easily transportable, and will allow for semi- or full-autonomous operation. To assist with development of microreactors, modeling and experimentation need to be performed with verification and validation to gain confidence in the models and tools. The objective of this study is apply advanced modeling and simulation capabilities being developed by the DOE Office of Nuclear Energy Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program to perform integrated modeling and simulation capability for multiphysics simulation of the microreactor concepts. This activity will provide an opportunity to exercise the codes to provide both gain experience and to provide feedback to the developers.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗